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The Warren Buffett Spreadsheet

Download my full Excel stock valuation spreadsheet that includes 8 valuation models in one spr
A spreadsheet that lets you analyze the price and quality of stocks in a fast and simple way

Manual input next to yellow cells

DCF Intrinsic Value Calculator

Company: UNP
Date: 12/5/2017
Current stock price: 130

Year: 1 2
Free cash flow 160 902

Free cash flow 5 year CAGR 5%

Free cash flow 10 y average 2314


Free cash flow 5 y average 3451
Free cash flow 3 y average 3630

Required discount rate %: 11%


Required margin of safety % : 30%

Shares outstanding (TTM) 798


Total equity 19151

3-stage DCF intrinsic value calculator


2 Stage DCF valuation

5y average free cash flow: 3451

Years: 1-3 4-7


Growth Rate: 15% 12%

Terminal Growth Rate: 2% Discount Rate:

Shares Outstanding: 798 MOS:

Year Flows Growth


1 3,969 15%
2 4,564 15%
3 5,249 15%
4 5,879 12%
5 6,584 12%
6 7,374 12%
7 8,259 12%
8 9,052 10%
9 9,921 10%
10 10,873 10%

Terminal Year 11091


PV of Year 1-10 Cash Flows: 38454
Terminal Value: 62552
Total PV of Cash Flows: 101006
Number of Shares: 798
Intrinsic Value (IV): 127

Margin of safety -3%


Annual Expected return 0%
Buyprice 89
valuation models in one spreadsheet
n a fast and simple way

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 TTM
750 1623 2612 2149 3327 3039 2694 4020 4176

ulator
Change?

8-10 Change?
10% 15%

11%

30%

Value
3,576
3,704
3,838
3,872
3,907
3,943
3,978
3,928
3,878
3,829
CAGR
39%

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