You are on page 1of 11

STOCKREPORTS+

HUSKY ENERGY INC (HSE-T)


Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Refining & Mktg.
DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2020 March 08

Last Close Avg Daily Vol 52-Week High Trailing PE Annual Div ROE LTG Forecast 1-Mo Return
5.04 (CAD) 2.7M 14.90 -- 0.50 -7.8% -22.4% -42.0%
2020 March 06 Market Cap 52-Week Low Forward PE Dividend Yield Annual Rev Inst Own 3-Mo Return
TORONTO Exchange
5.1B 4.98 12.3 9.9% 20.0B 9.8% -46.8%

AVERAGE SCORE
NEUTRAL OUTLOOK: HSE's current score is Score Averages
relatively in-line with the market. Oil & Gas Group: 5.9 Mid Market Cap: 7.1
Fossil Fuels Sector: 6.2 TSX Comp Index: 7.2

Average Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend

Positive IMO 9 9 8 9 10
PKI 9 8 8 8 8
Neutral HSE 9 9 8 6 6
SPB 7 8 5 6 6
Negative
SU 8 9 6 5 5
2017-03 2018-03 2019-03 2020-03

HIGHLIGHTS THOMSON REUTERS I/B/E/S MEAN


- The score for Husky Energy Inc last changed from 9 to 6 on
2020-03-01. Hold Mean recommendation from all analysts covering
20 Analysts the company on a standardized 5-point scale.
- The recent change in the Average Score was primarily due to a
decline in the Earnings and Fundamental component scores.
Strong
Sell Reduce Hold Buy
Buy

PRICE AND VOLUME CHARTS


1-Year Return: -65.0% 5-Year Return: -81.1%

BUSINESS SUMMARY
Husky Energy Inc is a Canada-based company engaged in oil and gas refining and marketing sector. The Company has two core businesses,
Integrated Corridor and Offshore. Integrated Corridor operates in Western Canada and the United States, where thermal production is integrated with
the Downstream business and supported by Western Canada operations. Offshore the Company is focused in the Asia Pacific and Atlantic regions.
The Company is focused on returns from investment in a portfolio of opportunities that can generate increased funds from operations and free cash
flow.

The Financial and


Risk business of
Thomson Reuters Page 1 of 11
is now Refinitiv. © 2020 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
STOCKREPORTS+
HUSKY ENERGY INC (HSE-T)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Refining & Mktg.
DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2020 March 08

INDICATOR COMPONENTS
The AVERAGE SCORE combines the quantitative analysis of five widely-used investment decision making tools: Earnings,
Fundamental, Relative Valuation, Risk, and Price Momentum. A simple average of the underlying component ratings is normally
distributed to rank stocks on a 1-10 scale (10 being awarded to the most favorable). These factors may be evaluated differently using
alternative methodologies and the importance of individual factors varies across industries, market capitalization and investment styles.
Additional criteria should always by used to evaluate a stock.

Earnings Fundamental Relative Valuation Risk Price Momentum

PEER ANALYSIS Currency in CAD

PRICE MOMENTUM VALUATION FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSTS


Average Price 1-Mo 3-Mo 1-Yr Market Trailing Forward Dividend Net LTG I/B/E/S # of
Score Ticker (2020-03-06) Return Return Return Cap PE PE Yield Margin Forecast Mean Analysts
5 SU 33.52 -15.1% -20.9% -25.8% 51.2B 18.4 12.6 5.6% 7.6% 5.6% Buy 24
10 CNQ 30.26 -22.0% -22.2% -15.6% 35.9B 6.7 11.1 5.6% 23.7% 5.7% Buy 23
10 IMO 28.23 -11.1% -15.5% -22.5% 21.0B 9.8 12.8 3.1% 6.5% 8.7% Hold 21
6 CVE 7.90 -35.0% -35.9% -29.7% 9.7B 4.4 20.6 3.2% 10.9% -- Buy 21
8 PKI 36.06 -24.1% -21.4% -3.4% 5.3B 18.4 24.8 3.4% 2.1% -- Buy 13
6 HSE 5.04 -42.0% -46.8% -65.0% 5.1B -- 12.3 9.9% -6.9% -22.4% Hold 20
9 GEI 24.12 -10.8% -8.4% 6.9% 3.5B 19.5 22.7 5.6% 2.5% 25.0% Buy 16
9 TOU 11.00 -18.2% -22.5% -45.9% 3.0B 9.3 16.9 4.4% 17.4% 9.0% Buy 14
6 PSK 12.04 -22.0% -16.2% -37.7% 2.8B 25.6 38.5 6.5% 41.5% -- Hold 14
6 SPB 10.11 -12.5% -18.5% -10.5% 1.8B 12.2 15.3 7.1% 5.0% -- Buy 12
7 GIII 0.29 58.3% 83.9% 23.9% 23M -- -- -- -- -- Strong Buy 1
7.5 Average 18.05 -14.0% -13.1% -20.5% 12.7B 13.8 18.8 5.4% 11.0% 5.3% Buy 16.3

PEER COMPANIES
SU Suncor Energy Inc GEI Gibson Energy Inc
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources TOU Tourmaline Oil Corp
IMO Imperial Oil PSK Prairiesky Royalty
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc SPB Superior Plus Corp
PKI Parkland Fuel Corp GIII Gen III Oil Corp

The Financial and


Risk business of
Thomson Reuters Page 2 of 11
is now Refinitiv. © 2020 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
STOCKREPORTS+
HUSKY ENERGY INC (HSE-T)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Refining & Mktg.
DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2020 March 08

EARNINGS Currency in CAD

NEGATIVE OUTLOOK: Weak earnings with Earnings Score Averages


recent analyst downgrades or a history of Oil & Gas Group: 5.7 Mid Market Cap: 6.1
missing consensus estimates. Fossil Fuels Sector: 5.9 TSX Comp Index: 6.1

Earnings Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend

Positive IMO 6 7 6 7 9
PKI 8 7 8 8 6
Neutral SU 5 5 2 1 2
HSE 7 8 5 2 1
Negative
SPB 9 6 2 2 1
2017-03 2018-03 2019-03 2020-03

EARNINGS INDICATORS
Earnings Surprises Estimate Revisions Recommendation Changes
(33.3% weight) (33.3% weight) (33.3% weight)

PKI

IMO
HSE IMO
SU PKI
SPB

HSE SPB
PKI SPB HSE
SU SU

IMO

Last 4 Quarters Last 4 Weeks Last 120 Days


# Positive Surprises (> 2%) 2 # Up Revisions 0 # Broker Upgrades 0
# Negative Surprises (< -2%) 1 # Down Revisions 5 # Broker Downgrades 4
# In-Line Surprises (within 2%) 1 Avg Up Revisions 0.0%
Avg Surprise 5.6% Avg Down Revisions -25.0%

HIGHLIGHTS PRICE TARGET


- Husky Energy Inc currently has an Earnings Rating of 1, which is The chart indicates where analysts predict the stock price will be within
significantly more bearish than the Oil & Gas Refining & Mktg industry the next 12 months, as compared to the current price.
average of 4.8. HSE scores a bearish 4 or less for two of three
component ratings. 14.00 12-Month Price Target
Mean (CAD) 9.75
- Over the past 90 days, the consensus price target for HSE has 12.00 HIGH
High 12.00
decreased notably from 11.30 to 9.75, a loss of -13.7%. 10.00 MEAN
Low 6.00
- On 2020-02-27, the company announced quarterly earnings of -0.24 8.00 Target vs. Current 93.5%
per share, a negative surprise of -2500.0% below the consensus 0.01. 5.04
6.00 LOW # of Analysts 18
Over the past 4 quarters, the company has reported 2 positive, 1
negative, and 1 in-line surprises. The average surprise for this time 4.00
period has been 5.6%. Current Price Price Target
(CAD)

The Financial and


Risk business of
Thomson Reuters Page 3 of 11
is now Refinitiv. © 2020 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
STOCKREPORTS+
HUSKY ENERGY INC (HSE-T)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Refining & Mktg.
DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2020 March 08

EARNINGS PER SHARE


Actuals Estimates
0.600
0.310 0.320 Quarterly 20-03 20-06
Earnings per share (EPS) is calculated 0.400 0.260
by dividing a company's earnings by the HIGH Mean 0.074 0.066
number of shares outstanding. Analysts 0.200
tend to interpret a pattern of increasing MEAN High 0.274 0.235
0.000 LOW
earnings as a sign of strength and flat Low -0.030 0.000
or falling earnings as a sign of -0.240
-0.200 # of Analysts 7 7
weakness.
-0.400
The charts provide a comparison 19-03 19-06 19-09 19-12 20-03 20-06
between a company's actual and
estimated EPS, including the high and 1.470
Actuals Estimates
low forecasts. 1.500

1.200 Annual 2020 2021


HIGH Mean 0.473 0.618
0.900 0.710
High 0.895 1.020
0.600 MEAN
Low 0.150 0.220
0.300 # of Analysts 11 12
LOW

0.000
2018 2019 2020 2021

MEAN ESTIMATE TREND ANALYST RECOMMENDATIONS


Q Q Y Y Price Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S Mean: Hold (20 Analysts)
20-03 20-06 2020 2021 Target
Current 0.074 0.066 0.473 0.618 9.75
Strong Buy 0
30 Days Ago 0.170 0.161 0.714 0.688 11.10 Buy 0
90 Days Ago 0.219 0.204 0.804 0.874 11.30 Hold 12
% Change (90 Days) -66.2% -67.6% -41.2% -29.3% -13.7%
Reduce 6
Current Fiscal Year End: 20-12
Next Expected Report Date: 2020-04-24 Sell 2

EARNINGS SURPRISES
Comparing a company's actual earnings to the mean expectation of Surprise Detail (Last 6 Periods)
analysts results in a difference referred to as a 'positive' or 'negative'
surprise. Research has shown that when a company reports a Surprise Announce Period End Actual Mean Surprise
surprise, it is often followed by more of the same surprise type. Type Date Date EPS EPS (%)
Surprise Summary (Last 12 Quarters) Negative 2020-02-27 2019-12-31 -0.240 0.010 -2500%
In-Line 2019-10-24 2019-09-30 0.260 0.262 -0.8%
Surprise Type Amount Percent
Positive 2019-07-25 2019-06-30 0.320 0.260 23.1%
Positive Quarters (> 2%) 8 66.7%
Positive 2019-04-26 2019-03-31 0.310 0.174 78.2%
Negative Quarters (< -2%) 3 25.0%
Negative 2019-02-26 2018-12-31 0.190 0.195 -2.6%
In-Line Quarters (within 2%) 1 8.3%
Positive 2018-10-25 2018-09-30 0.570 0.483 18.0%

ANNUAL REVENUE
A pattern of increasing sales in Actuals Estimates
conjunction with a rising EPS may
influence a buy recommendation, while 26B
2020 2021
flat or falling sales and faltering 24B
earnings may explain a sell 22.3B
HIGH
Mean 19.6B 21.0B
recommendation. A rising EPS with flat 22B High 21.7B 22.8B
or falling sales may result from 20.0B MEAN
increased cost efficiency and margins, 20B
Low 17.9B 18.5B
rather than market expansion. This LOW
Forecasted Growth -1.9% 4.9%
chart shows the sales forecast trend of 18B
# of Analysts 8 8
all analysts and the highest and lowest
projections for the current and next 16B
2018 2019 2020 2021
fiscal year.

The Financial and


Risk business of
Thomson Reuters Page 4 of 11
is now Refinitiv. © 2020 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
STOCKREPORTS+
HUSKY ENERGY INC (HSE-T)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Refining & Mktg.
DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2020 March 08

FUNDAMENTAL
NEUTRAL OUTLOOK: Fundamentals relatively Fundamental Score Averages
in-line with the market. Oil & Gas Group: 6.4 Mid Market Cap: 7.0
Fossil Fuels Sector: 6.5 TSX Comp Index: 7.2

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Fundamental Score Trend Peers 2019 2019 2019 2019 Current 3Y Trend
IMO 10 10 9 10 10
Positive
PKI 5 5 4 4 9
Neutral SPB 9 4 6 9 8

Negative SU 9 10 10 10 8

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 HSE 10 10 10 10 7
2017 2018 2019

FUNDAMENTAL INDICATORS
Profitability Debt Earnings Quality Dividend
(25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight)

HSE
SPB
IMO HSE
PKI IMO
SPB IMO
SU
SU

PKI
PKI
IMO PKI SU
SPB
SPB

SU
HSE
HSE

Revenue Growth -10.2% Current Ratio 1.1 Oper. Cash Yield 303.9% Dividend Growth 25.0%
For year over year For interim period For latest 12 months For year over year
ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12
Gross Margin -9.5% Debt-to-Capital 25.5% Accruals -5.1% Dividend Payout 28.3%
For latest 12 months For annual period For latest 12 months For latest 12 months
ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12 ending 2018-12
Return On Equity -7.8% Interest Funding 14.7% Days Sales In Inv. 30.3 Dividend Coverage 6.1
For interim period For interim period For annual period For annual period
ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12
Net Margin -6.9% Interest Coverage -27.6 Days Sales In Rec. 26.6 Current Div. Yield 9.9%
For latest 12 months For interim period For annual period For latest 12 months
ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12 ending 2020-03

HIGHLIGHTS
- The Fundamental Rating for Husky Energy Inc declined significantly - The company's days sales in receivables has been lower than its
over the last quarter from 10 to 7. The average Fundamental Rating industry group average for each of the past five years.
for its Oil & Gas industry group is 6.4 and the S&P/TSX COMPOSITE - Of the 176 firms within the Oil & Gas industry group, Husky Energy Inc
index average is 7.2. is among 35 companies that pay a dividend. The stock's dividend
- The company's gross margin has been lower than its industry group yield is currently 9.9%.
average for each of the past five years.
- The company's interest funding has been higher than its industry
group average for each of the past five years.

The Financial and


Risk business of
Thomson Reuters Page 5 of 11
is now Refinitiv. © 2020 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
STOCKREPORTS+
HUSKY ENERGY INC (HSE-T)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Refining & Mktg.
DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2020 March 08

RELATIVE VALUATION
POSITIVE OUTLOOK: Multiples significantly Relative Valuation Score Averages
below the market or the stock's historic norms. Oil & Gas Group: 7.4 Mid Market Cap: 4.5
Fossil Fuels Sector: 7.2 TSX Comp Index: 4.7

Relative Valuation Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend

Positive HSE 10 10 10 10 10
IMO 9 9 9 9 9
Neutral PKI 6 6 6 6 7
SPB 5 5 5 8 7
Negative
SU 7 6 6 6 6
2017-03 2018-03 2019-03 2020-03

RELATIVE VALUATION INDICATORS


Price to Sales Trailing PE Forward PE
(50% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight)

HSE
IMO IMO
PKI

HSE
SPB IMO
SPB
PKI SU
SU
SU SPB
PKI

HSE

Price to Sales 0.3 Trailing PE -- Forward PE 12.3


5-Yr Average 0.9 5-Yr Average 23.7 5-Yr Average 39.1
Rel. to 5-Yr Avg. 67% Discount Rel. to 5-Yr Avg. -- Rel. to 5-Yr Avg. 69% Discount
TSX Comp Index 1.5 TSX Comp Index 16.5 TSX Comp Index 14.8
Rel. to TSX Comp 81% Discount Rel. to TSX Comp -- Rel. to TSX Comp 17% Discount

HIGHLIGHTS
- Husky Energy Inc currently has a Relative Valuation Rating of 10 - Based on Price to Sales, HSE currently trades at a 70% Discount to its
which is significantly above the S&P/TSX COMPOSITE index average Oil & Gas industry group peers. On average, the company has traded
rating of 4.7. at a 47% Discount over the past five years.
- The company's Price to Sales ratio and Forward P/E are both currently - At 12.3, HSE's current Forward P/E is at a 17% Discount to the
at or near their 5-year lows. S&P/TSX COMPOSITE index average of 14.8.

The Financial and


Risk business of
Thomson Reuters Page 6 of 11
is now Refinitiv. © 2020 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
STOCKREPORTS+
HUSKY ENERGY INC (HSE-T)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Refining & Mktg.
DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2020 March 08

PRICE TO SALES TRAILING PE


The most recent week's close price divided by the revenue per share. The most recent week's close price divided by the sum of the four most
recently reported quarterly earnings.
Price to Sales: 0.3 Trailing PE: --
5-Year Average: 0.9 5-Year Average: 23.7
TSX Comp Index Average: 1.5 TSX Comp Index Average: 16.5
Oil & Gas Group Average: 1.0 Oil & Gas Group Average: 11.9
4.0 >50
3.6 45
3.2 40
2.8 35
2.4 30
2.0 25 5-Yr Average
1.6 20
1.2 15
0.8 5-Yr Average 10
0.4 5
0.0 0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

FORWARD PE FORWARD PEG


The most recent week's close price divided by the sum of the four The Forward P/E divided by the five-year forecasted growth rate.
upcoming quarterly consensus estimates.
Forward PE: 12.3 Forward PEG: --
5-Year Average: 39.1 5-Year Average: 1.0
TSX Comp Index Average: 14.8 TSX Comp Index Average: 1.2
Oil & Gas Group Average: 10.4 Oil & Gas Group Average: 2.6
>50 >5.0
45 4.5
40 5-Yr Average 4.0
35 3.5
30 3.0
25 2.5
20 2.0
15 1.5
10 1.0 5-Yr Average
5 0.5
0 0.0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

The Financial and


Risk business of
Thomson Reuters Page 7 of 11
is now Refinitiv. © 2020 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
STOCKREPORTS+
HUSKY ENERGY INC (HSE-T)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Refining & Mktg.
DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2020 March 08

RISK
POSITIVE OUTLOOK: Consistent return Risk Score Averages
patterns (low volatility). Oil & Gas Group: 5.4 Mid Market Cap: 8.6
Fossil Fuels Sector: 5.8 TSX Comp Index: 8.8

Risk Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend

Positive HSE 8 8 8 9 9
IMO 9 9 9 9 9
Neutral PKI 8 9 9 9 9
SPB 9 9 9 9 9
Negative
SU 9 9 9 9 9
2017-03 2018-03 2019-03 2020-03

RISK INDICATORS
Magnitude of Returns Volatility Beta (1-year) Correlation
(25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight)

IMO IMO HSE


SU SU IMO
PKI PKI SU
SPB SPB SPB
HSE HSE PKI

PKI
SPB
HSE

IMO
SU

Daily Returns (Last 90 Days) Standard Deviation Beta vs. TSX Comp 2.27 Correlation vs. TSX Comp
Best 4.9% Last 90 Days 2.82 Positive Days Only 1.06 Last 90 Days 68%
Worst -12.5% Last 60 Months 8.48 Negative Days Only 2.75 Last 60 Months 52%
Monthly Returns (Last 60 Months) Intra-Day Swing (Last 90 Days) Beta vs. Group 0.79 Correlation vs. Group
Best 16.2% Average 3.4% Positive Days Only 0.50 Last 90 Days 67%
Worst -20.6% Largest 14.3% Negative Days Only 1.34 Last 60 Months 20%

HIGHLIGHTS RISK ANALYSIS


- Husky Energy Inc currently has a Risk Rating of 9 while the Last 90 Days Last 60 Months
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE index has an average rating of 8.7. Best Worst # # Largest Best Worst
- On days when the market is up, HSE tends to perform in-line Daily Daily Days Days Intra-Day Monthly Monthly
with the S&P/TSX COMPOSITE index. However, on days Peers Return Return Up Down Swing Return Return
when the market is down, the shares generally decrease by HSE 4.9% -12.5% 27 34 14.3% 16.2% -20.6%
more than the index does.
- In both short-term and long-term periods, HSE has shown high IMO 3.4% -4.1% 26 36 6.1% 17.0% -12.6%
correlation (>= 0.4) with the S&P/TSX COMPOSITE index. PKI 1.7% -9.9% 29 33 11.5% 25.4% -11.5%
Thus, this stock would provide only low levels of diversification
to a portfolio similar to the broader market. SPB 3.9% -9.3% 21 34 9.3% 18.3% -16.9%
- Over the last 90 days, HSE shares have been more volatile SU 3.8% -4.3% 26 35 4.9% 11.2% -11.6%
than the overall market, as the stock's daily price fluctuations
have exceeded that of 80% of S&P/TSX COMPOSITE index TSX Comp 2.2% -2.7% 36 25 2.7% 8.5% -6.5%
firms.

The Financial and


Risk business of
Thomson Reuters Page 8 of 11
is now Refinitiv. © 2020 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
STOCKREPORTS+
HUSKY ENERGY INC (HSE-T)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Refining & Mktg.
DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2020 March 08

PRICE MOMENTUM Currency in CAD

NEGATIVE OUTLOOK: Weak recent price Price Momentum Score Averages


performance or entering historically poor Oil & Gas Group: 3.9 Mid Market Cap: 5.7
seasonal period. Fossil Fuels Sector: 4.1 TSX Comp Index: 5.3

Price Momentum Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend

Positive PKI 9 7 7 5 3
SPB 2 6 2 2 3
Neutral IMO 2 3 1 3 2
SU 4 6 1 3 2
Negative
HSE 1 2 1 1 1
2017-03 2018-03 2019-03 2020-03

PRICE MOMENTUM INDICATORS


Relative Strength Seasonality
(70% weight) (30% weight)

PKI
SPB
IMO
SU

HSE

HSE
IMO
PKI
SPB
SU

Relative Strength Indicator (Scale from 1 to 100) Average Monthly Return (Last 10 Years)
HSE Industry Avg MAR APR MAY
Last 1 Month 16 29 Company Avg -1.2% 2.0% -3.8%
Last 3 Months 31 40 Industry Avg 0.8% 4.2% -1.3%
Last 6 Months 37 44 Industry Rank 50 of 79 7 of 78 46 of 79

PRICE PERFORMANCE
Daily close prices are used to calculate the HSE HSE TSX Mid
performance of the stock as compared to a
TSX Mid Close Price (2020-03-06) 5.04 982
relevant index over five time periods.
52-Week High 14.90 1,096
-21.1%
1-Week 52-Week Low 4.98 957
0%

-42% - The Price Momentum Rating for Husky Energy Inc is at its 3-
1-Month
-9.3% year low of 1.
- On 2020-03-06, HSE closed at 5.04, 66.2% below its 52-week
-46.8%
3-Month high and 1.2% above its 52-week low.
-4.7%
- HSE shares are currently trading 41.9% below their 50-day
-51.6% moving average of 8.68, and 48.8% below their 200-day
YTD moving average of 9.85.
-6.4%

-65%
1-Year
0.5%

The Financial and


Risk business of
Thomson Reuters Page 9 of 11
is now Refinitiv. © 2020 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
STOCKREPORTS+
HUSKY ENERGY INC (HSE-T)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Refining & Mktg.
DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2020 March 08

Mean Estimate Trend


DETAILED STOCK REPORT TIPS The mean estimates show how the consensus has changed over the past 30 days
and 90 days for the upcoming two quarters (when available) and two years. The
The Thomson Reuters Stock Report is a comprehensive, company-specific analysis percentage change is calculated for the company as a means for comparison by
that includes a proprietary Stock Rating along with underlying component indicators measuring the difference between the current consensus estimate and that of 90
and supportive data elements. The report is updated daily, although some of the days ago.
data elements and the ratings are updated weekly.
Analyst Recommendations
Average Score The I/B/E/S Mean is the average recommendation of all analysts covering the stock,
The Average Score combines a quantitative analysis of five widely-used investment as provided by Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S (Institutional Brokers Estimate System).
decision making tools - Earnings, Fundamental, Relative Valuation, Risk, and Price The recommendations are presented on a five-point standardized scale: strong buy,
Momentum. First, a simple average of the five underlying component ratings is buy, hold, reduce, and sell.
calculated. Then, a normal distribution is used to rank each stock across the market
on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being most favorable. A score of 8 to 10 is considered Earnings Surprises
positive, 4 to 7 is neutral, and 1 to 3 is negative. These five factors may be ● The surprise summary includes the total number of time periods (and
evaluated differently using alternative methodologies, and the importance of percentage) in the last 12 quarters (quarterly) or last 4 years (annual) in which
individual factors varies across industry groups, market capitalization and earnings surprises were positive, negative, or in-line. In order to be recognized
investment styles. Additional criteria should always be used to evaluate a stock. as a positive or negative surprise, the percent must be greater than 2% above or
2% below the consensus, respectively.
A company must have sufficient data available for at least three of the five ● The surprise detail section includes a listing of the company's quarterly earnings
component indicators in order to receive an overall Average Score. Approximately reported for the most recent 6 periods (quarters or years). The consensus
85% of the stocks within the coverage universe meet the criteria to generate a analyst estimate is provided to determine if the actual earnings report
score. represented a positive surprise, negative surprise, or in-line result.
Indicator Components Fundamental
The five indicators that comprise the stock rating are displayed. Like the stock The Fundamental Rating is based on a combination of four fundamental component
rating, the component rating scale is 1 to 10, with 10 being best. A company will factors: profitability, debt, earnings quality, and dividend. Companies that do not
receive an ‘NR’ for No Rating if the required data elements or criteria are not met. A pay a dividend are not penalized. Each factor is equally weighted. Then, equal
detailed section for each component is included in the report. deciles are used to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10
being most favorable. A stock needs to have at least two of the four fundamental
Indicator Trends factors present in order to receive a score.
Within each component section, historical score trends are displayed, typically using
a 4-week moving average over a timeframe of the past three years. The dotted ● Profitability is comprised of four data elements.
orange line indicates the average of the scores over those three years. The most - Revenue Growth: (Net Sales – Previous Net Sales) / Previous Net Sales
recent occurrences of the best and worst scores are also displayed on the chart in - Gross Margin: Gross Profit / Net Sales
grey boxes to put the current score into historical context. - Return on Equity: Net Income / Total Equity
- Net Margin: Net Profit / Net Sales
Next to the trend chart for the company, current score averages are included, along ● Debt is comprised of four data elements.
with peer company comparisons of values from 6 months ago, 3 months ago, 1 - Current Ratio: Current Assets / Current Liabilities
month ago, the most recent value from 1 week ago, and the current score. The four - Debt-to-Capital: Total Debt / Total Capital
closest industry peers are presented based on similar market capitalization. - Interest Funding: (Interest Expense on Debt + Preferred Cash Dividends) /
Funds from Operations
Peer Analysis - Interest Coverage: Earnings before Interest and Taxes / (Interest Expense on
● The Thomson Reuters Business Classification (TRBC) system is used for Debt + Preferred Cash Dividends)
industry comparisons. It is designed to track and display the primary business of ● Earnings Quality is comprised of four data elements.
a corporation by grouping together correlated companies that offer products and - Operating Cash Yield: (Operating Cash Flow – Net Income) / Net Income
services into similar end markets. The system includes 10 Economic Sectors, 28 - Accruals: (Net Income – Operating Cash Flow – Investing Cash Flow) /
Business Sectors, 54 Industry Groups, and 136 Industries. Average Net Operating Assets
● The Peer Analysis section of the report compares the company to its ten closest - Days Sales in Inventory: 365 / (Cost of Goods Sold / Inventory)
peers. The peers are selected from the industry based on similar market - Days Sales in Receivables: 365 / (Net Sales / Receivables)
capitalization. The peer listing may have fewer than ten companies if there are ● Dividend is comprised of four data elements. The company must have a current
fewer than ten companies within that industry classification. dividend yield.
- Dividend Growth Rate: (Dividends per Share – Previous Dividends per Share)
Highlights / Previous Dividends per Share
The Thomson Reuters proprietary automated text-generation system creates - Dividend Payout: Dividends per Share / Earnings per Share
highlights summarizing the most noteworthy data. The bullets will vary by company - Dividend Coverage: Funds from Operations / Cash Dividends
and will change from week to week as different criteria are met. - Dividend Yield: Annual Dividends per Share / Current Market Price per Share

Earnings Indicator Trend


The Earnings Rating is based on a combination of three factors: earnings surprise, The fundamental indicator trend displays either quarterly scores over the past three
estimate revision, and recommendation changes. Each factor is equally weighted. years or annual scores over the past six years, depending on the reporting periods
Then, equal deciles are used to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1 for the country. The best and worst scores can be easily determined from the
to 10, with 10 being most favorable. A stock needs to have at least two of the three values shown on the chart for each quarter or year.
earnings factors in order to receive a score.
Relative Valuation
● Earnings Surprises - The number of positive and negative surprises within the The Relative Valuation Rating is based on a combination of three component
last 4 periods (quarters or years). factors: Price to Sales (50% weight), Trailing P/E (25% weight), and Forward P/E
● Estimate Revisions - The number of up and down revisions and the average (25% weight). After the weightings are considered to combine individual factors,
percentage change of those revisions within a 4 week period. equal deciles are used to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10,
● Recommendation Changes - The number of broker upgrades and downgrades in with 10 being most favorable. These common valuation metrics are evaluated
the last 120 days. against the overall market, the index, and the company's own historic 5-year
averages. A stock needs to have at least one of the three relative valuation factors
Price Target in order to receive a score.
The price target is based on the predictions of analysts covering the stock and
shows the high, low and mean price expected within the next 12 months. ● Price to Sales: Close Price / (Sales for 4 Quarters or 1 Year / Shares
Outstanding)
Earnings Per Share ● Trailing P/E: Close Price / Most Recent 4 Quarters or 1 Year of Earnings
The quarterly and annual earnings per share are presented when available, along ● Forward P/E: Close Price / Upcoming 4 Quarters or 1 Year of Earnings
with the mean, high and low. Quarterly data is displayed for the past 4 quarters
(actual) and the next 2 quarters (estimated). Annual data is displayed for the past 2
years (actual) and the next 2 years (estimated).
The Financial and
Risk business of
Thomson Reuters Page 10 of 11
is now Refinitiv. © 2020 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
STOCKREPORTS+
HUSKY ENERGY INC (HSE-T)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Refining & Mktg.
DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2020 March 08

Valuation Averages
Negative values are excluded when calculating the averages. A maximum value of
100 is placed on Trailing P/E and Forward P/E, a maximum value of 5 is placed on
Forward PEG, and a maximum value of 20 is placed on Price to Sales when
calculating the averages. Higher values are rounded down to the maximum for the
averages.

Valuation Multiples
The valuation multiples provide the Trailing P/E, Forward P/E, Forward PEG, and
Price to Sales for the company and the S&P 500 index average. In addition, a
comparison of the current company’s values to its 5-year average and an industry
average are presented. A discount occurs when the company’s ratio is valued more
favorably (lower) than that to which it is compared.

Risk
The Risk Rating displays stocks on a scale of 1 to 10 with 10 being awarded to the
least risky stocks. It is derived by looking at a series of long-term (5-year) and
short-term (90-day) stock performance measures including volatility, magnitude of
returns, beta, and correlation. Each factor is equally weighted. Then, equal deciles
are used to rank each stock across the market. A stock needs to have at least two
of the four risk factors in order to receive a score.

● Magnitude of Returns – The best / worst daily returns in the past 90 days and the
best / worst monthly returns in the past 60 months.
● Volatility – The standard deviation of the stock price over the last 90 days and
last 60 months, along with the average and largest intra-day stock swing.
● Beta – Measures the tendency of a security’s returns to respond to swings in the
market, based on the beta of the company versus the relevant index.
● Correlation – Determines how closely the returns of the stock and the relevant
index move together, measured over the last 90 days and last 60 months.

Risk Analysis
Price analysis for the company and the relevant index is provided over two time
periods. Daily analysis is provided for the last 90 days, whereas monthly statistics
are used for the last 60 months.

Price Momentum
The Price Momentum Rating is based on a combination of two technical
performance factors: relative strength (70% weight) and seasonality (30% weight).
After the weightings are considered to combine individual factors, equal deciles are
used to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being most
favorable. A stock needs to have data for the relative strength factor in order to
receive a score.

● Relative Strength – The relative strength of the company for the last 1 month, 3
months, and 6 months on a scale of 1 to 100.
● Seasonality – The average monthly return (price performance) for the current
month and next 2 months for the company and industry, over the past 10 years.
A lower industry rank indicates a higher return.

Price Performance
Daily close prices are used to calculate the price performance of the stock. The
performance of the relevant index is also displayed as a means of comparison.

DISCLAIMER
Republication or redistribution of Thomson Reuters content, including by framing
or similar means, is prohibited without the prior written consent of Thomson
Reuters. All information in this report is assumed to be accurate to the best of our
ability. Thomson Reuters is not liable for any errors or delays in Thomson
Reuters content, or for any actions taken in reliance on such content.

Any forward-looking statements included in the Thomson Reuters content are based
on certain assumptions and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that
could cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations. There is no
assurance that any forward-looking statements will materialize.

The content in this Thomson Reuters report does not constitute investment advice
or a recommendation to buy or sell securities of any kind. Past performance is not a
guarantee of future results. Investors should consider this report as only a single
factor when making an investment decision.

The Financial and


Risk business of
Thomson Reuters Page 11 of 11
is now Refinitiv. © 2020 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.

You might also like