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Last Close Avg Daily Vol 52-Week High Trailing PE Annual Div ROE LTG Forecast 1-Mo Return
5.04 (CAD) 2.7M 14.90 -- 0.50 -7.8% -22.4% -42.0%
2020 March 06 Market Cap 52-Week Low Forward PE Dividend Yield Annual Rev Inst Own 3-Mo Return
TORONTO Exchange
5.1B 4.98 12.3 9.9% 20.0B 9.8% -46.8%
AVERAGE SCORE
NEUTRAL OUTLOOK: HSE's current score is Score Averages
relatively in-line with the market. Oil & Gas Group: 5.9 Mid Market Cap: 7.1
Fossil Fuels Sector: 6.2 TSX Comp Index: 7.2
Average Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive IMO 9 9 8 9 10
PKI 9 8 8 8 8
Neutral HSE 9 9 8 6 6
SPB 7 8 5 6 6
Negative
SU 8 9 6 5 5
2017-03 2018-03 2019-03 2020-03
BUSINESS SUMMARY
Husky Energy Inc is a Canada-based company engaged in oil and gas refining and marketing sector. The Company has two core businesses,
Integrated Corridor and Offshore. Integrated Corridor operates in Western Canada and the United States, where thermal production is integrated with
the Downstream business and supported by Western Canada operations. Offshore the Company is focused in the Asia Pacific and Atlantic regions.
The Company is focused on returns from investment in a portfolio of opportunities that can generate increased funds from operations and free cash
flow.
INDICATOR COMPONENTS
The AVERAGE SCORE combines the quantitative analysis of five widely-used investment decision making tools: Earnings,
Fundamental, Relative Valuation, Risk, and Price Momentum. A simple average of the underlying component ratings is normally
distributed to rank stocks on a 1-10 scale (10 being awarded to the most favorable). These factors may be evaluated differently using
alternative methodologies and the importance of individual factors varies across industries, market capitalization and investment styles.
Additional criteria should always by used to evaluate a stock.
PEER COMPANIES
SU Suncor Energy Inc GEI Gibson Energy Inc
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources TOU Tourmaline Oil Corp
IMO Imperial Oil PSK Prairiesky Royalty
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc SPB Superior Plus Corp
PKI Parkland Fuel Corp GIII Gen III Oil Corp
Earnings Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive IMO 6 7 6 7 9
PKI 8 7 8 8 6
Neutral SU 5 5 2 1 2
HSE 7 8 5 2 1
Negative
SPB 9 6 2 2 1
2017-03 2018-03 2019-03 2020-03
EARNINGS INDICATORS
Earnings Surprises Estimate Revisions Recommendation Changes
(33.3% weight) (33.3% weight) (33.3% weight)
PKI
IMO
HSE IMO
SU PKI
SPB
HSE SPB
PKI SPB HSE
SU SU
IMO
0.000
2018 2019 2020 2021
EARNINGS SURPRISES
Comparing a company's actual earnings to the mean expectation of Surprise Detail (Last 6 Periods)
analysts results in a difference referred to as a 'positive' or 'negative'
surprise. Research has shown that when a company reports a Surprise Announce Period End Actual Mean Surprise
surprise, it is often followed by more of the same surprise type. Type Date Date EPS EPS (%)
Surprise Summary (Last 12 Quarters) Negative 2020-02-27 2019-12-31 -0.240 0.010 -2500%
In-Line 2019-10-24 2019-09-30 0.260 0.262 -0.8%
Surprise Type Amount Percent
Positive 2019-07-25 2019-06-30 0.320 0.260 23.1%
Positive Quarters (> 2%) 8 66.7%
Positive 2019-04-26 2019-03-31 0.310 0.174 78.2%
Negative Quarters (< -2%) 3 25.0%
Negative 2019-02-26 2018-12-31 0.190 0.195 -2.6%
In-Line Quarters (within 2%) 1 8.3%
Positive 2018-10-25 2018-09-30 0.570 0.483 18.0%
ANNUAL REVENUE
A pattern of increasing sales in Actuals Estimates
conjunction with a rising EPS may
influence a buy recommendation, while 26B
2020 2021
flat or falling sales and faltering 24B
earnings may explain a sell 22.3B
HIGH
Mean 19.6B 21.0B
recommendation. A rising EPS with flat 22B High 21.7B 22.8B
or falling sales may result from 20.0B MEAN
increased cost efficiency and margins, 20B
Low 17.9B 18.5B
rather than market expansion. This LOW
Forecasted Growth -1.9% 4.9%
chart shows the sales forecast trend of 18B
# of Analysts 8 8
all analysts and the highest and lowest
projections for the current and next 16B
2018 2019 2020 2021
fiscal year.
FUNDAMENTAL
NEUTRAL OUTLOOK: Fundamentals relatively Fundamental Score Averages
in-line with the market. Oil & Gas Group: 6.4 Mid Market Cap: 7.0
Fossil Fuels Sector: 6.5 TSX Comp Index: 7.2
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Fundamental Score Trend Peers 2019 2019 2019 2019 Current 3Y Trend
IMO 10 10 9 10 10
Positive
PKI 5 5 4 4 9
Neutral SPB 9 4 6 9 8
Negative SU 9 10 10 10 8
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 HSE 10 10 10 10 7
2017 2018 2019
FUNDAMENTAL INDICATORS
Profitability Debt Earnings Quality Dividend
(25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight)
HSE
SPB
IMO HSE
PKI IMO
SPB IMO
SU
SU
PKI
PKI
IMO PKI SU
SPB
SPB
SU
HSE
HSE
Revenue Growth -10.2% Current Ratio 1.1 Oper. Cash Yield 303.9% Dividend Growth 25.0%
For year over year For interim period For latest 12 months For year over year
ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12
Gross Margin -9.5% Debt-to-Capital 25.5% Accruals -5.1% Dividend Payout 28.3%
For latest 12 months For annual period For latest 12 months For latest 12 months
ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12 ending 2018-12
Return On Equity -7.8% Interest Funding 14.7% Days Sales In Inv. 30.3 Dividend Coverage 6.1
For interim period For interim period For annual period For annual period
ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12
Net Margin -6.9% Interest Coverage -27.6 Days Sales In Rec. 26.6 Current Div. Yield 9.9%
For latest 12 months For interim period For annual period For latest 12 months
ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12 ending 2019-12 ending 2020-03
HIGHLIGHTS
- The Fundamental Rating for Husky Energy Inc declined significantly - The company's days sales in receivables has been lower than its
over the last quarter from 10 to 7. The average Fundamental Rating industry group average for each of the past five years.
for its Oil & Gas industry group is 6.4 and the S&P/TSX COMPOSITE - Of the 176 firms within the Oil & Gas industry group, Husky Energy Inc
index average is 7.2. is among 35 companies that pay a dividend. The stock's dividend
- The company's gross margin has been lower than its industry group yield is currently 9.9%.
average for each of the past five years.
- The company's interest funding has been higher than its industry
group average for each of the past five years.
RELATIVE VALUATION
POSITIVE OUTLOOK: Multiples significantly Relative Valuation Score Averages
below the market or the stock's historic norms. Oil & Gas Group: 7.4 Mid Market Cap: 4.5
Fossil Fuels Sector: 7.2 TSX Comp Index: 4.7
Relative Valuation Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive HSE 10 10 10 10 10
IMO 9 9 9 9 9
Neutral PKI 6 6 6 6 7
SPB 5 5 5 8 7
Negative
SU 7 6 6 6 6
2017-03 2018-03 2019-03 2020-03
HSE
IMO IMO
PKI
HSE
SPB IMO
SPB
PKI SU
SU
SU SPB
PKI
HSE
HIGHLIGHTS
- Husky Energy Inc currently has a Relative Valuation Rating of 10 - Based on Price to Sales, HSE currently trades at a 70% Discount to its
which is significantly above the S&P/TSX COMPOSITE index average Oil & Gas industry group peers. On average, the company has traded
rating of 4.7. at a 47% Discount over the past five years.
- The company's Price to Sales ratio and Forward P/E are both currently - At 12.3, HSE's current Forward P/E is at a 17% Discount to the
at or near their 5-year lows. S&P/TSX COMPOSITE index average of 14.8.
RISK
POSITIVE OUTLOOK: Consistent return Risk Score Averages
patterns (low volatility). Oil & Gas Group: 5.4 Mid Market Cap: 8.6
Fossil Fuels Sector: 5.8 TSX Comp Index: 8.8
Risk Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive HSE 8 8 8 9 9
IMO 9 9 9 9 9
Neutral PKI 8 9 9 9 9
SPB 9 9 9 9 9
Negative
SU 9 9 9 9 9
2017-03 2018-03 2019-03 2020-03
RISK INDICATORS
Magnitude of Returns Volatility Beta (1-year) Correlation
(25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight)
PKI
SPB
HSE
IMO
SU
Daily Returns (Last 90 Days) Standard Deviation Beta vs. TSX Comp 2.27 Correlation vs. TSX Comp
Best 4.9% Last 90 Days 2.82 Positive Days Only 1.06 Last 90 Days 68%
Worst -12.5% Last 60 Months 8.48 Negative Days Only 2.75 Last 60 Months 52%
Monthly Returns (Last 60 Months) Intra-Day Swing (Last 90 Days) Beta vs. Group 0.79 Correlation vs. Group
Best 16.2% Average 3.4% Positive Days Only 0.50 Last 90 Days 67%
Worst -20.6% Largest 14.3% Negative Days Only 1.34 Last 60 Months 20%
Price Momentum Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive PKI 9 7 7 5 3
SPB 2 6 2 2 3
Neutral IMO 2 3 1 3 2
SU 4 6 1 3 2
Negative
HSE 1 2 1 1 1
2017-03 2018-03 2019-03 2020-03
PKI
SPB
IMO
SU
HSE
HSE
IMO
PKI
SPB
SU
Relative Strength Indicator (Scale from 1 to 100) Average Monthly Return (Last 10 Years)
HSE Industry Avg MAR APR MAY
Last 1 Month 16 29 Company Avg -1.2% 2.0% -3.8%
Last 3 Months 31 40 Industry Avg 0.8% 4.2% -1.3%
Last 6 Months 37 44 Industry Rank 50 of 79 7 of 78 46 of 79
PRICE PERFORMANCE
Daily close prices are used to calculate the HSE HSE TSX Mid
performance of the stock as compared to a
TSX Mid Close Price (2020-03-06) 5.04 982
relevant index over five time periods.
52-Week High 14.90 1,096
-21.1%
1-Week 52-Week Low 4.98 957
0%
-42% - The Price Momentum Rating for Husky Energy Inc is at its 3-
1-Month
-9.3% year low of 1.
- On 2020-03-06, HSE closed at 5.04, 66.2% below its 52-week
-46.8%
3-Month high and 1.2% above its 52-week low.
-4.7%
- HSE shares are currently trading 41.9% below their 50-day
-51.6% moving average of 8.68, and 48.8% below their 200-day
YTD moving average of 9.85.
-6.4%
-65%
1-Year
0.5%
Valuation Averages
Negative values are excluded when calculating the averages. A maximum value of
100 is placed on Trailing P/E and Forward P/E, a maximum value of 5 is placed on
Forward PEG, and a maximum value of 20 is placed on Price to Sales when
calculating the averages. Higher values are rounded down to the maximum for the
averages.
Valuation Multiples
The valuation multiples provide the Trailing P/E, Forward P/E, Forward PEG, and
Price to Sales for the company and the S&P 500 index average. In addition, a
comparison of the current company’s values to its 5-year average and an industry
average are presented. A discount occurs when the company’s ratio is valued more
favorably (lower) than that to which it is compared.
Risk
The Risk Rating displays stocks on a scale of 1 to 10 with 10 being awarded to the
least risky stocks. It is derived by looking at a series of long-term (5-year) and
short-term (90-day) stock performance measures including volatility, magnitude of
returns, beta, and correlation. Each factor is equally weighted. Then, equal deciles
are used to rank each stock across the market. A stock needs to have at least two
of the four risk factors in order to receive a score.
● Magnitude of Returns – The best / worst daily returns in the past 90 days and the
best / worst monthly returns in the past 60 months.
● Volatility – The standard deviation of the stock price over the last 90 days and
last 60 months, along with the average and largest intra-day stock swing.
● Beta – Measures the tendency of a security’s returns to respond to swings in the
market, based on the beta of the company versus the relevant index.
● Correlation – Determines how closely the returns of the stock and the relevant
index move together, measured over the last 90 days and last 60 months.
Risk Analysis
Price analysis for the company and the relevant index is provided over two time
periods. Daily analysis is provided for the last 90 days, whereas monthly statistics
are used for the last 60 months.
Price Momentum
The Price Momentum Rating is based on a combination of two technical
performance factors: relative strength (70% weight) and seasonality (30% weight).
After the weightings are considered to combine individual factors, equal deciles are
used to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being most
favorable. A stock needs to have data for the relative strength factor in order to
receive a score.
● Relative Strength – The relative strength of the company for the last 1 month, 3
months, and 6 months on a scale of 1 to 100.
● Seasonality – The average monthly return (price performance) for the current
month and next 2 months for the company and industry, over the past 10 years.
A lower industry rank indicates a higher return.
Price Performance
Daily close prices are used to calculate the price performance of the stock. The
performance of the relevant index is also displayed as a means of comparison.
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Any forward-looking statements included in the Thomson Reuters content are based
on certain assumptions and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that
could cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations. There is no
assurance that any forward-looking statements will materialize.
The content in this Thomson Reuters report does not constitute investment advice
or a recommendation to buy or sell securities of any kind. Past performance is not a
guarantee of future results. Investors should consider this report as only a single
factor when making an investment decision.