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Fuel Industry 4.0
From an Industrial Mode to an
Agricultural Mode
AN Rao
About the Author
AN Rao, a lifelong learner and a Learning Sherpa, after wrapping up his corporate career spanning
35 years of leadership roles across automobile, computer peripherals, IT, IT services
and learning domains, started his life phase of purposeful impact. He worked with
various Global and Indian corporations such as Cognizant, HP, Wipro, Microland and TVS
Electronics. In his last formal role, he was the Global Head of Learning at Cognizant and was
responsible for designing and executing the learning strategies for a global workforce of
280,000 people spanning 50+ countries and five generations (Baby boomers to Gen Z).
He believes that opportunity and a hunger to learn continuously helped him be successful in
over 10 distinctly different roles during his career. He now consults in the learning domain and is
A. N. Rao (Pg. XXX)
a coach. He is a prolific traveller, and a self-taught photographer.
DIGITAL ECOSYSTEM
DIGITAL FUNCTIONAL
VALUE CHAINS
DIGITAL ASSETS
DIGITAL STRATEGY
#learningagility
#continuouslearning
#hyperpersonalization
#learningrevolution
#learningtechnologies
#futureofwork
#futureoflearning
#universaldesignforlearning
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”
I metaphorically call it Batch Size N = 1.
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I will start by talking about an absolutely fascinating 2010 TED talk, Bring on the Learning
Revolution by Dr Ken Robinson: “I meet all kinds of people who don’t enjoy what they
do. They get no pleasure from what they do. They simply go through their lives getting
on with it. They do not think they are good at anything. They endure it rather than enjoy
it and wait for the weekend. But I also meet people who love what they do. But these
are the minority. I think there are many possible explanations for it. And, high among
them is education because, education—in a way—dislocates very many people from “Our task is to educate their (our students) whole
their natural talents.” being so they can face the future. We may not see the
future, but they will and our job is to help them make
something of it.” –Ken Robinson
That is a huge statement, and something many of us reading this chapter, connected
with business or the world of learning, say quite often these days.
The task of breaking out of the learning paradigm of the past is not easy.
To wrap up that thought with a beautiful summary from Dr Robinson: “We have to
go away from industrial form of education which is based on linearity and conformity
and batching people. We have to move to a model that is based more on principles
of agriculture. We have to recognize that human flourishing is not a mechanical
process—it’s an organic process.”
Reforming the current systems is not sufficient because reforming only repairs the
broken. The whole art, science, practice and utility of learning need to undergo not an
evolution but a substantial revolution. Learning needs to go not from 1.0 to 1.1, but a
whole different paradigm altogether.
It has to be transformed into something else. I call it the 2nd Learning Revolution or
Learning 2.0.
To understand what learning has to transform into to be relevant for the future, we
‘‘ Reforming the current
systems is not sufficient
because reforming only
repairs the broken.
need to first understand what is wrong with the past and current practices for our future The whole art, science,
needs. practice and utility of
Learning agility1, the survival elixir for people and corporations around the world, is an learning need to under-
‘’’
element as important as oxygen. It came into our lives a long time ago—approximately go not an evolution but
a substantial revolution.
1 Learning agility is the ability and willingness to learn from experience and then apply
that learning to perform successfully in new situation.
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2 million years prior to the arrival of the Homo Sapiens (you and I), and definitively
leading to our existence in the current form. I have every reason to believe that our
continued existence, success, relevance, survival and sustained growth as individuals
and corporations for a long time will depend on our learning agility. Profound? Let me
explain.
Paleoanthropology studied 3–4-million-year-old fossil evidence during the past 100 or
so years and hypothesized that our existence as humans is accidental, caused largely
by the Darwinian genetic mutations and selection. While the mutations may have been
random, some elements of the process may not have been. Many mutations could not
cope with the changes and disappeared, but those who learned how to master the
environment around them, acquire the abilities to succeed in them, survived. Homo
Habilis and Homo Ergaster were two early forms of humans. They co-existed around
2 million years ago and while they both started on an herbaceous diet, the Ergasters
soon learnt to turn scavengers and eat meat. The protein infusions lead to the significant
growth of the brain and the early forms of intelligence, which lead to making stone
tools, hunting and assured survival. The Homo Habilis did not change their dietary habits
and perished over time.
Thus, started a journey and the earliest evidence of learning to change and acquiring
of new relevant capabilities are the pre-requisites of survival. The simple principle
continues to date.
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A lot happened in other parts of the world too. But I am confining to a few data points to
explain, as the subject of this article is not a history of learning.
‘‘
standardization, efficiency and continuous infusion of technology and management
principles in various forms. Change acceleration started accelerating. The growth of standardi-
zation and assembly line
The Industrial Revolution set an important pattern for education in the early 20th manufacturing required
century. The growth of standardization and assembly line manufacturing required legions of skilled, and
legions of skilled and more educated workers. Standardization was the best way to more educated workers.
ignite education at scale. Classrooms became standardized in textbooks and content, Standardization was
‘’’
teaching methods and classroom design. This efficiency allowed important mass the best way to ignite
education for a growing country ever more hungry for a modern workforce. A literate, education at scale.
educated citizenry greatly facilitated the growth of industry and manufacturing.
INDUSTRY 4.0
INDUSTRY 3.0 Cyber Physical
INDUSTRY 2.0 Automation, systems, Internet
computers and of Things, networks
INDUSTRY 1.0 Mass production,
assembly line, electronics
Mechanization,
steam power, electrical energy
weaving loom
Source: Industrial revolution stages from steam power to cyber physical systems, automation and
internet of things.
Figure 5.1: The four Industrial Revolutions
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Mobile devices
1. Digitization/Integration
of value chains Location
Augmented reality detection
technologies
4.0
INDUSTRY
2.Digitization 3. Digital
Multilevel customer Advanced
of product business
interaction and human-machine
and service models and
interfaces
3.0 1969-2010s customer profiling
offerings customer
access
Computing/Internet
Nuclear energy
Authentication &
2.0 1830s-1915 Big data analytics
fraud detection
Assembly line
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And then, we hit the chasm in the world of learning. The Fourth Industrial Revolution
arrived, with incredible velocity of innovation and its application in business—all at the
same time. It shook us up with an unprecedented rapidity of demand for comprehensive
change in our thought process.
By the time we reached the early onset of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, learning
and education acquired certain characteristics which earlier were probably right
and adequate, but became grossly inadequate to support the Digital Business
Transformation. What has been a virtue thus far started turning into a veritable sheet
anchor.
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technology and research became the dominant clusters, adding an extra layer of
complexity in learning needs. The emergence of the verticalization of industry (finance,
insurance, healthcare, HiTech and e-business, retail, and so on) added more depth
and variety to business. Globalization went on to add the extra dimension of intense
competition. By the time we reached the later part of the Third Industrial Revolution,
innovation supported by Internet started playing an important role in business
‘’’
designs kicked in to personal- teaching failed to keep pace. All students have different levels of curiosity, different
ize the seat for each pilot. perceptions and interests, and different levels of more complex skills such as
reading, memorizing and using language. And it is worse if they have a disability:
learning or physical deafness.
In moments of benign and mirthful sarcasm (if such exists),
I often say that the learning fraternity wrote the story of the much
maligned reluctant horse: “you can take a horse to the water, but you
cannot make it drink”.
The innate assumptions about the students and the horses were similar.
Horses do not drink and students do not learn because they lack the
motivation. We cannot be more wrong or unfair than that.
The horse deserves better. And the learners absolutely deserve better.
Ann Heelan, the CEO of the Association of Higher Education, Access
and Disability (AHEAD), Ireland, put it very succinctly in her 2015 article
Why Do We Still Teach as if All Students are the Same: “When I started
teaching, I thought my task was to hammer my knowledge into the heads
of students. I realized in time this was not what the job was about. The
real purpose of teaching is learning, and if students are not learning then
teaching is not working.”
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‘’’
of testing. Their performance in these assessments opened or closed doors of
And the learners abso-
opportunities. That created an added pressure on the students to comply with the
lutely deserve better.
process and not really learn.
There was an innate assumption in universities that what the education system
teaches is, in some form, what the industry needs. This assumption stopped being valid
progressively as work and skill became more complex. While we started seeing a lot of
effort to fix the assessment process, the implementation of new assessment methods
is still in the initial stages.
‘‘
new role with much less readiness than is needed, and ends up learning what is needed
on the job. On-the-job learning is
turning into a fix for an
So, the learning curve phase ended up being their primary mode of learning to be job
inadequate pre-job
ready, instead of being a means to acquire deeper expertise and maturity in their
training. Finishing
capability. As the gap between the job readiness and job requirements kept widening,
schools and in-house
on-the-job experience became the primary path to job readiness. There was a significant
corporate training
lead-time a person spent on the job getting ready for it.
functions for fresh
On-the-job learning is turning into a fix for an inadequate pre-job training. Finishing graduates are ‘repair
‘’’
schools and in-house corporate training functions for fresh graduates are ‘repair centers’ for the absence
centers’ for the absence of job readiness. That is a strong point of view, but a reality of job readiness.
acknowledged by the business enterprise around the world.
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‘‘ Learning started
becoming synonymous
with knowing when
the growing need was
you train a pilot, he/she can fly a plane and land it safely. When you train a surgeon, he/
she can perform a surgery. They all get better with time, but they can do what they are
trained for on day 1.
Why then are we talking so much about employability of a majority of the university
for doing, and knowing graduates? The conversation is so commonplace, we almost take it to be the the right
to do quickly once on and natural thing to happen.
the job, and not just
‘’’
A 2016 survey of employability of university graduates from around the world
knowing about what is
(Figure 5.3) tells a very damning story. The size of the problem only gets magnified when
relevant on the job.
we apply these employability percentages on the population of graduates in these
countries. Large economies with 15 per cent employability of about 5 million engineers
they produce each year is a really big problem for all concerned.
Learning started becoming synonymous with knowing when the growing need was
for doing and knowing to do quickly once on the job and not just knowing about what is
40
30
Percentage
20
I don’t know
Other country
10
Switzerland
Singapore
Germany
Australia
Canada
France
China
Brazil
Spain
India
Italy
UK
US
0
Graduates Employability by Country
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relevant on the job. The exceptions are some trade specific vocational trainings. But
they are a small portion of the population.
Smartphones
Web
Market Realist
Mobile phone
PC
Television
Radio
Telephone
Electricity
0 10 20 30 40 50
Years taken until adopted by 25% of the U.S. population
Source: Global University Employability Survey 2016 by Times Higher Education c Emerging
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In many industries and countries, the most in-demand occupations or specialties did
not exist 10 or even 5 years ago, and this pace of change is set to accelerate.
By one popular estimate, 65 per cent of children entering primary school today
will ultimately end up working in completely new job types that do not yet exist.
Cloud has transformed from the initial IaaS to PaaS to FaaS in a serverless computing
models like the Lambda from Amazon Web Service. Monolithic architectures based
on single technology stack (such as a Java or Net) have yielded way to microservices
architecture and API-based rapid integrations and mega digital corporations such as
Netflix, PayPal, eBay, Amazon, Twitter made these the only way they work.
Velocity in business now requires people to be full stack developers capable of front-end
user interface design, business logic layer in the middle and the data layer in the back-
end. Surely, not a place for a one trick pony.
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one-third of the skills we need, regardless of industry, will have changed. New skills are
emerging all the time, getting consumed quite rapidly and are replacing old skills before
we realize.
New roles are emerging all the time to represent the emerging forms of work.
‘‘ Businesses now require
that people learn
rapidly and be job
ready in days again
Businesses now require that people learn rapidly and be job ready in days again and and again and again,
again and again, as the technologies they need to use keep changing constantly. as the technologies
‘’’
Shortening project cycle times do not really leave a lot of scope for the learning curve. they need to use keep
Job readiness and learning are now becoming synonymous and mostly simultaneous. changing constantly.
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‘‘ Learning ecosystem
The Worker is Changing
and learning design and The workforce ecosystem is changing very rapidly. The Deloitte 2018 Global Human
delivery mechanisms Capital Trends report appropriately draws attention to this tectonic shift in the
need to change traditional definition of worker, which largely meant a salaried employee. Globally,
substantially to cater to there are approximately 77 million formally identified freelancers in Europe, India and
the needs of ubiquity the United States (2018). In the United States, more than 40 per cent of workers are
‘’’
and flexibility these now employed in alternative work arrangements (Figure 5.6), such as contingent, part-
workers need. time or gig work. This percentage is steadily rising—increasing by 36 per cent in just the
past 5 years. Freelancer marketplace organizations such as Upwork (17 million clients),
Toptal, 99 designs, Freelancer (31 million users), Fiverr (7 million users)
are now mainstream.
The significant increase in these numbers arises from their belief that
freelancing gives them the flexibility and an opportunity to do what they
love doing, ability to work on emerging technologies and opportunities.
They love their ability to choose. Nearly half of the millennial workforce in
US, for example, are freelancers. While this setup gives them tremendous
opportunity, it also demands a heightened level of flexibility in how they
work, how they learn and how they respond to changes in the market.
To ensure they are in-step with emerging employer demands, more than
55 per cent of these freelancers say they have reskilled in the last 6 months,
versus just 30 per cent of other workers.
Learning ecosystem and learning design and delivery mechanisms
need to change substantially to cater to the needs of ubiquity and
flexibility these workers need.
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n = 11,070
Source: Deloitte Global Human Capital Trends Survey,2018, Deloitte insights | deloitte.com/insights
Figure 5.6: Alternative Work Arrangements are on the rise
UNTETHERED
Today’s employees find themselves working from several locations and structuring their
work in nontraditional ways to accommodate their lifestyles Companies are finding it
difficult to reach these people consistently and even harder to develop them efficiently.
ON-DEMAND
OVERWHELMED... Employees are accessing information―and learning―differently than they did just a
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5 27
Number of times online every day few years ago Most are looking for answers outside of traditional training and
Early days today development channels For example:
of the Internet % of time workers spend on
things that offer little personal To learn what People are increasingly turning to
1%
Search engines
satisfaction and do not they need for their smartphones to find
online courses
help them get work done. their jobs, just-in-time answers to
4 9
are constantly
Most learners distracted with
won’t watch millions of websites,
videos apps, and video clips.
longer
than
of a typical workweek
COLLABORATIVE
minutes
2 is all that employees
People
unlock their times Learners are also developing and accessing personal and professional networks to obtain
information about their industries and professions.
smartphones
have to focus on
3 ~80%
up to every hour
Learners are: at Google,
training and asking 55%
development ? other people
5 10
actually complain that of workforce learning sharing what
they don’t have time to they know ecosystem of
Online, designers now have between happens via on-the-job
2 ,000 +
5
do their jobs interactions with peers,
2 1/2
to 5
38% 62%
Half-life (in years) of many of workers who say they of IT professionals who
professional skills have opportunities for learning report having paid for training
and growth at their workplace out of their own pockets
© Bersin by Deloitte
Figure 5.7: The modern workplace learning
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Lifelong process of upskilling, reskilling and multiskilling are key to keep a person
perpetually fit for the current role and ready for the next aspirational role. Learning
ecosystems have to cater to this need taking into consideration the constraints (of
time, place and resources), abilities and disabilities that are an integral part of each
learner.
Batch Size N = 1
The first old world learning institution that gets demolished is the average learner
mind-set. Each learner has fundamentally different learning abilities, learning needs,
preferred learning modes and retention capabilities. Learning systems for the future are
centered around hyper-personalization. I metaphorically call it Batch Size N = 1.
I love xAPI (experience APIs) used in the modern learning platforms for the richness
of information it provides us about learner habits and information across the various
means they learn through. This will help us hyper-personalize.
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The emergence of the LXPs (the learner experience platforms) for key
players such as EdCast, Degreed, Percipio, Pathgather has been a welcome
development.
LXP systems use various means to pipe the right content to the learner (Figure 5.9)
to enhance the learning experience and they learn the learner’s preferences and
get better all the time. These are still in the early stage and are slowly finding their
place in the learning platform strategies along with or without the LMS systems.
Manufacturer’s Warranty
Manufacturer’s warranty for a physical product is something we have all grown
used to. When we buy a refrigerator, for example, we have an accurate sense
of what it can do or cannot do. Learning design has to rise to the maturity level
based on an outcome assurance paradigm. It should be possible to predict what
a learner would be capable of doing or not doing at the end of a learning session.
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Good for traditional enterprise Good for B2C and vendors with The future: Al-based content
training and education. large content libraries discovery for any type of
content including documentation
and books
©Josh Bersin
Linkedin, Fuse, Curatr, Filtered, Curatr, Filtered
Linkedin, Percipio, Cornerstone
Degreed
For example, can a software development training program predict the code writing
productivity, the error density, the efficiency and maintainability, the compliance level
(non-plagiarism etc.), and security strength of the code the trainee would be capable
of at the end of the training? The steadily shrinking cycle times in modern day’s business
need predictable work product with predictable quality to avoid serious customer
experience or security breach consequences.
So, manufacturer’s warranty is becoming a mandatory requirement of any learning
system. Warranty is a composite outcome of the entire lifecycle of learning—learning
outcomes, instructional design, content choices, content delivery mechanisms, real-
time mentoring, hands-on labs, closed loop feedback mechanisms, assessments
and positive reinforcements for retention, and so on. The purpose of calling this out
distinctly is to suggest that the warranty be at the core of the philosophy for all the
players in the chain.
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The next phase is the performance support or real-time learning while on the job
(I am not sure of the best way a query is to be written in a program language and I want
to quickly check and get going). Retention and reinforcement through tiny nuggets
and quizzes delivered randomly through mobile apps consolidates the learning.
The other aspect of blending is to see how much of macro, micro learning and real-time
performance support learning every learner needs. Macro learning content helps in the
early stage of acquiring a new skill but it turns less productive in the later stages. Micro
Personalized
Online Learning
line Learning
On
Teacher-led,
Sma
Individual
Individual
ll Group
Learning Instruction
Co
ll a b o r a ti v e
©JBersin by Deloitte
Collaborative
Where Does Macro and Micro Learning Apply?
Teach
Credential
Micro Great
Micro
Pace of Learning
Micro
Macro
Macro
Bad
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Tone
of voice
Brand Style
User
Distribution
needs
Editorial
Taxonomy
SEO
& classification
Tagging
Organic Feeds & model
3rd Party
Content
Paid Classification
SEM terms
Premium Partnerships
paid for & affiliated
content content
learning and hands-on practice take over. Real-time nuggets of learning specific queries
are needed at an advanced stage of learning a new skill.
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seamless browser or mobile app and learns as per her preferences—anytime and
anywhere. There is such a plethora of content sources across domains.
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is lost over time when there is no conscious attempt to retain it. It is very rarely that
all the learnings are used on the job all the time. Periodic ticklers and quizzes help
retentions. Assessment platforms can help gauge the retention and recommend
bursts of micro learnings (or even a macro learning session) if there is room to believe
that the retention is showing signs of fading.
8. Learner’s Intrinsic Wiring: And finally, psychometric, behavioral and aptitude
assessments are a critical part of any learning cycle. A pre-assessment will help
understand the learning abilities of the learner. This will help with customization
needed. Assessments such as DISC help a great deal in aligning the approach to the
innate wiring of a learner. Early identification of learning and attention issues, for
example, can go a long way in customizing learning in a manner that motivates the
learner. Listening and watching would be a way to address someone with reading
related disability. Heavily hands-on oriented approach would enormously help
someone inherently oriented to doing as a way to learn. Tremendous empathy can
be injected into the learning journey and experience using the right assessment
strategies well before a person starts learning.
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individual’s learning ability and curiosity. Learning strategy can succeed today
if wise use of appropriate technologies is integrated tightly to create a seamless
learning journey.
How we gather facts and Planning and performing tasks. How learners get engaged and
categorize what we see, hear, and How we organize and express our stay motivated. How they are
read. Identifying letters, words, or ideas. Writing an essay or solving challenged, excited, or interested.
an autho’s style are recognition a math problem are strategic These are affective dimensions.
tasks. tasks.
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Summing Up
The willingness and ability to learn lifelong and apply that learning to a new situation or
a new role or a new environment to perform to one’s potential has always been the way
to success personally and professionally. That tenet has not changed.
As technology, industry, business and society changed over time and got progressively
more complex and at the same time richer and richer with opportunities, learning, the
essential enabler, lagged behind.
We now have an incredible opportunity to break clean from the habits of the past, and
create the next revolution in the world of learning.
It is not easy, but then it is also not impossibly hard if we get down to first principles,
use the tremendous insights, technology and resources we have at our disposal
and make learning count: to every single person in the realm of Digital Business
Transformation.
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REFERENCES
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why-we-need-both-science-and-humanities-for-a-fourth-industrial-revolution-
education/
15. What Is Universal Design for Learning (UDL)? https://www.understood.
org/en/school-learning/for-educators/universal-design-for-learning/
understanding-universal-design-for-learning
16. Modern Workplace Learning 2019: Book by Jane Hart
17. Expertise Economy: Book by David Blake and Kelly Palmer
18. Freelance statistics for 2019 https://www.websiteplanet.com/blog/freelance-stats/
19. xAPI is revolutionizing our understanding of learner habits and preferences https://
www.elucidat.com/blog/elearning-xapi-examples/
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