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PETER H. ROSSI HOWARD E. FREEMAN MARK W. LIPSEY EVALUATION A SYSTEMATIC APPROACH REVIZE 2004 nee iene ase CONTENTS 4 Programs, Plies, nd Paani ‘Whats Baton Rear | Bl Hivory of ofoton Research ‘ha Overview of rgar ration rlaton Resear i Pracce ‘Who Can Do Bahan 2 lori vations ‘Wc onc of he ato an at Be ‘Woe Conslertins Shool Guide Eran ine ‘The Natur th Eran tbe Rainaip alton Quests en Falun Meds Stitching Al Toeer simmary 45 Meoitying sues and Formulating Questions ‘What es ¢ Good Braation Quen! remining the Questeas an Wich tbe Evan ‘Shou Rowe Cling Erasnon Queen an Seting Ps Sina us 4 Amensing the Neal fora Program “Tel of reat sx Dgosing Socal ‘ation nd Serie News Defining Sel Pens ‘Syealyng the tent ote lem: Wen, Whar, ‘oo Hw Sg? Defining and sting te Tees of nerentons Desert the Nit See Neds ‘smmary 5 Papresing and Assay Program Theory “Phe Pauly AnsunentRempcse Being and Eepesing Prag They Asesing Progam They Soosnary {6 Monitoring Progen oes end Feormance ‘Whats ogame Mostorae! eects oa Rogam Mowing esa Ser Utizzon entrng Oaninstona anos Mentoring Mopamn Ost Calesting Dt for Nostonne ‘Anais ef Montarng Dat Sonmary 7 Suntec for impct Assent Thay Conn in act assent "Eernesus Cofouing Faces Design cts ‘eis Sats or lings ok Aang of ings Assess Deis Foetal Arps to nest Actes "Guentatne Vases Quatre Daa pact niece ly oes pec Anes 129 2s. 2s (Cosing te Right psc sessment Seater ' Randomised Deis for impact Assent ‘rio Anais Experiments an npc sessment Sy “AplyingHapdomined Eaperimente [nitions onthe Use of Read periments 9 Quasisperiental Impact Assessments (easel gut Asesinent Censtng Comarzon Crop it Qu “Bpeinetel Erlutecs Some Canons a Using Consracted Coz summary 10 Assan of Fall Coverage Programs "Nenuaus Pll Cones Propane elec Conte Shadow Cont 1 Meweting Eien ey Concept in Eisen Anais ahd Cot Benue Ass Cont tenes Acai ‘Summsey 12 The Sail Contest of Easton "The Purpatlaes of Eaten Aces The Soi Eel ol Eaten ‘The Pfetsin of ration radon Sri Cees, nd Eis ‘illanton of Elation Renal Epoque simmary aia = 0 oe ur 36 3a 268 ar a 390 aor 28 0 ar a5 a 3s 2° Referees ‘Ahora Sanden About the Astor an 9 PREFACE searbeexctonaltilk is Deere cre ‘Seite ands pein te eps oe ‘esate soduly esa pope Tht Se oly nmr te iota he apes Speen ceca ae (ued each bs oe lk SoA tay ils pen A Seas soe ey geen ete ‘ih fad our bak clement we he ‘dig vl lp ote cesar ti eerunes wah cnn. Ws ‘ett pe mane pce gn ‘Wc ord etal a ad nner ens ae eb wor gates ty od ‘ng cates Rowe Fe ad tees ¢ Tate netfee pak omentog Bower emetic aber tenes psd ae hn ‘ry ning ot fe Ouran ge ‘alr cdy ehh Lagan tal ‘Si on pad chat lca ‘iow ee Weng wi pr ‘hy aya tens ton Iuvinghimasonnuoe at tesametie ling ‘Bot Mark yar cet tenig Stet Rong he hh ak f Mae ie dni a Plow tar ee gw Kha snow orn wes Ee. aaa es wa Heb ‘alse soc ck sd tl essence Howat a deh ‘Seon rare ten ne (Shenk dean Wace wien ooo (Sronalemese este Sure Lipo el ih sellout) yale ea pi efile cm br te omen ek ai, tas ‘asc eos ll oa, Ser i fia A ect sso peated cc oe Pca owe cometng cts Mae col isms een sy cf Dad Campi In ee (Pan ne wi ld oe dpm dein onl a Be aaa ccnte Sc eatin fg ss ao 8 (Sie Res Sad tents ‘vagina ‘Sethe caesmn tr dcn ‘owt acceeny whe allow stb ‘Sn pono a et Sri ad (ea hse pc Campa at ‘Sty 19th lomo es we er fact pote oe ny pence on ya scent a ae he or yy s Zz A Seki yopam Anan rn anyon ft ipa aint ‘crm ocd rsa pagans seb le Sedlrmnehmtinds cedar tn sc be deme Sionrpene deen dager Stent Trgmeh yon a eb on PROGRAMS, POLICIES, AND EVALUATIONS ‘Mh chap nr ram ran ar of ey ncn ci ing ama. nl conmatoang nomena te feof sce oom or aan fim ct, Bn ed lire ete rial mane tm fs can ae pear oa ‘etn nro pee ot cat ef pal i ‘pa inne cn of rpm magna an amin sty "seasonal mannens of pega nes Brann dan cnt {shart and eg a er ee ‘Unesting elon crt nan bere ecto io, ss ansasting eos a een ahr a caer sap ‘Poses. Param enon pan lane fl manasa teak of ‘uglier ns ear ote an ene cane et ‘err oe nm ou ne el i, eae, “nya fine of rane ta es ot oo nied eva sa ‘Spe tine cry th i aaa enon oe “hs inp papa on eatin eo rove al igo he fect of el pera oan np entra ed et Senn cones orp. lene and eins open with Ita se chang oe ee eit sani maya ‘She ernest ay op 1 pee bins Bar ane sre ‘ow Cher Dem to Ssstopratr mascitorahnetas man See unt sd ee ‘Tnlokisoe ind taint oe ‘pol ean a a ‘Seen nee i cay fo sa Sid cee yl ed ‘Sp Alosghehe tem cnt eh {crepancy eat at ‘wiles sae The ‘Snlesnes deena at ‘sip oy een cantinercsoame nade {isis enero mony, ame, cath nig rn enter re ‘Sm roca se anys mn neon phscn eerie eBSeapcagan ‘hee ei fie see ‘tapos teama sie ders tee Beso ttc pat ited wh a pla dt Dap oc tring mene eer eta ‘Sowed tht mnt me pene! relly te ema oy im we see ay at Nevers he teresa eed ad Det sees erent woe compel nmr ci muy partes ht [pretest bel in a ‘ely tnt yen ee tp Sec pager a ‘Sn dap ann come ot ‘nar 1s EVALUATION RESEARCI? Adu des dato aon isc a a pie eon eo, (ome wwe rn ep ‘ria ene lpg oe one ral pst re ‘eer waanlsrisths char Pope ‘at of oe ach ce ‘ar ama see he fee ‘rena foal mento puns Mee ‘rece eves oo) ‘esr morc etl stay oe, ‘Siti npe ocd pena he {ona spec incl be een ‘Seva pes ey ae tcc Ie so Sey he apie At ates sey petomate,foding ut ry a fst weer pps fe tee SORES eect ee 1 Weta sd apft - pte i wea doar = ‘emt decor? Wott ere prt i seni ee i aed Ye ewes et ose aioe pe 1 Micon seit: 1 Ee peaeenten cigar 1 Rocrezeebdagiapetet) ‘ecient 1 itinerant age oreaioreatal seam abt he a tr ran een ‘Saher ewe shove aw acy alo ‘Sealed pop mara eu ine ‘Salon varw ems ara ‘ey ec Set ‘ten, my poems eetuesbaaa en. Poag these ithe el “hap so eps he smelt popu py hema “ir pn pew en oe tte boat ope pa eso ro Miety roar te agus Ertan, ios iis be. 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May of ef (Pa eae de ene ‘eal wal er ped 196 fee Sena eesiey eo ae Oper Kemal + Pty ohn wc re she ner mid sore aon a ‘Sint sec rr eyed ov cal mal aig A mae ‘Sle he sac es Soo eek Covel ace Paget Seagate potty Nighomn chained supose aie showed abr singel pe tidtabdr ince nage nse 1 Or he pv ey he er stegoned a sean ant ts ean he Ui Sr Aa fe beer ee pop ae Conte at ‘ton he cp am "Sy dd wee apace Le ried ‘erm iv see caer ‘el or one les wi he pe EEE vie pie thew sa tm ee ‘Sue or nse etn es Sete tndenser chine, ‘ibe ee em the ‘hes uid andy pects p (tr te weal ene Tes ona pna uy sl ig ey Pa ins 9 ongy meri pn inde ‘en eam Wi ny Eig and sep sry en Se ai aren n mete, Foto at eee ‘See tht stud oy aes oe ish aor tec er mas Soe neti “oe tr xp int thee sys ren at hae ben St tee en ree diay en Slee svi Se ste iy ote ceo See Seipe race voenmel, eceaeaeeaatE ABRIEFmisTORY OF PYAIATION RESEARCH ‘Awe ol oat nach oe ‘elie ped teach ‘honing emg pene ‘ovo Sorbet tere ‘thsi tendon Te ‘Pimevasbn sacle wh he ered ‘na he msde emacs ‘Sih le lta od eee ‘hit hate coed aig taco Otte ingore we the cana sa Site near of he sal soy ho Se mca ‘Silat sta fos ee ahertie ea incl pyr for Steen ene oy wotea pope luton Research Sacil Sen ety {hein nd a ea Pr Wel ‘eet ‘sci cy of erptanel ag ‘fcpum nl pai th snes ‘Serenata ni fm tons Se yt 98 nal ore odin wee ting tee a ‘Bem ad stems ethos tee ioc em 7 nc. atria pleas pon iva i Ein (es of rset Rc or Seal Popa ee ai 1 ea Sag {SS eel tol ogennetton ‘en prinepea Sela ser as Wee Be ‘Be pet ce pc it Shuster ewe of oe ‘Shalom da fom ee ‘Ta ee bern al Puma 1978 {Boe cnn dren tod er 186, Seneca, 90, Mas ed a a rma or From mt ering, sel cl <= sea wow st sean pce ws erie bos mri y coe ‘red wits he US Aye eco gre (hese nr n le se pmsl td Pe ‘Sela semen cco ‘scl th uy promt Eicon eandiy omental, ‘The Bom Period a ‘rauaton Research SSS petit mle ‘a pmenane Sl oe vs ‘hengtine dancin ‘thew ierndpe! 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For ic, otal ‘Unie Why ors stop ty el pects ater es lp evened fa nie ‘pinto epsnlymag io Sis ue tough dil ee a } sus othe ec bed ort mse at Cg Je te acne oe ber me ‘imesh hee shy ln Spo are cn Srpecalaeeinetst meme Ul SSEISon dies of toe cme {onion sd sigs ce fod Meili 967, Ree 196, Scan 19nd Winn Ac 8 ‘te emo aed commen share ‘stot ade scant seo Sel amit vn Sine leh deepen ‘a reo ag dening it ‘cera ope ene nd {Sgt at ofthe erode oe DEFINING SOCAL PROBLEMS rea oy gs no id Ere sone tcp i he eae vee Seite ear me Seecllool tles ‘Satta ee pro Si penn aval aor ast Soci at py ‘igo prs rb it EXog Ss pealr oe ely ee ‘Sto nly ce sed ScSTsGS pn ancl 58 Son Re, ew el cm da ite ts sass o ea ‘Sgealenn Hover ice rrp hy moe poo if gren Norby ak prey st ition nh omc ‘or sepionnse Macnee a Una op ane po apa Sipe he te por vane fener mae pny lr ay "gn seg coment pra ‘heentedangtars's emo ‘main no ae Dati wc plone ag 2 pane ey ted fn nsanc nan ay fenton de ‘sl esr ‘ends by US Covel crating ‘Wetena, 96) The Gada rand ‘fe pent pte pogo eed then sine tee fe clea gustan sey oe ado ioe vnc ov aur young A ‘Scher af ke plea deoce Sy See hei den at Tad, tesco of ce smi rpm eon anys ‘ee el ey enone sh ‘iene eg ace reeds Feros dl oe nts pny se sired ote ero meat emer coe ey ey al ‘pn here be Sienna ts hres oes ins he sf ac coveted ty oo el in ot ta ‘bens The sents cts tat a il oe a ‘Since home peo ated ay ey cee saeasoc Spee ce Seager Eeeiiieoeer ESememencectnaee [Soe ers ia Soe eree Seated ae cit Aiamcet ernie sehen me crue amas ee tact ro aotohee cos Ses iose seetiesane Seamer Sa Ses Peo eaters ssieageinnce oem ‘ut both with eed hw he pee is Siero Seco si eteoree Sakmann i aoos senile tue dal pemgins ad ‘etn don sPeciro 1H EXTENT OF ‘THE PROBLEM: WHEN, WHERE, AND HOW BIG? “he de snd King of sl poe ‘Bod eed te ec ond ‘isthe pn ee oe {aes meen sees Roe pk ‘ein ssn mae ery se ‘Poplin 380 or 3300 abo mas ‘Ele tee pln eed po ‘any poor nent orf blow sy of be homes et foe ‘eer el, ‘irs ue tet hat» po emesis tn ere estes ‘cs atc ein aa soeireterseeet rates eee ay seins Gerace Ease treee Sccoearvacets Sle Searls Bre Sieas mae Goorin ieee Stemware Eapoecariatest Suetieemven Seca TEE rie ornament erties se Corene aoa ips a com Seta anecoa asia Sloeacgaeeas mie seco ed Site nooactennt =e ‘sing isting Data Sources to Develop Estnates seo i da sus td we ‘Rindngefwch daiwa ets ‘one rai, enn me {Spd panna sod nc whe se hoation sma t n, ‘lin i we te teal nd Srarmromaursdietaon testa ‘Swelsrmeion sal ‘rah aden or cme, a a ey necro ‘mein ade Gee (Se Sumy are Sent GS Come ever tonics hat ‘Sbmaon ane dnp oa ct I ie A owas, Ele ‘thers i med ‘Surtees eta ad ape the pba por bt ue nt ‘nel fecnung cdo ena nh eels tt appa es old be Ped re en ch dont tan mesg ne nie ms ay be rete en roi be ‘wen esis nd pen ‘Ste ttn, Cale, 199 wre i ens aye ein seo | mamas siamo a j Ses = | Alwony wet ttl tains Se is de chery Trt, acre PYSUSMO'SS emple Dtad en pepe sea sions soe Kinnear te deems uate tty Sippegmsenaiicags SNCohr ecco SS cRErireirints eecmtinnadateaonn SSL Ohaimraaanes * Stet ener ester eae a aes Semen armas | Seen Aaa eng my Foor le at Korky netted. eet | wemcemears Gray ciate ESSeeeee «eto Sica es Gece wanmemeeses | SEs See Satsang mye. a | seins sorte Readdatpctsco Scat iat cors | SASSSESS tsosmom Hee ee ae fee ee ecetpemmtimemcrate toe eae coer | "eermmenoeme (uiceumeeronac aie etic: Sonera d | ERR” eee fhcesee Sociales ear ty Speen Sees cece op conan | “Seebetetos aio iooe “ult by cies ard sats, and to advoracy ofthe of sapling, ‘+ Aorta! mr Th tes wry ter nin he eo Sgt er aca See ae ca ee ntsamae | Ee See, mcenecoe SSeS iis Selene cna SSS Se ee ieee Soomeceente secon ELErooe SS ENC Sacineterens | Somwemenracs comer Seaton, Geaseeeee oucunente bcd an sampling nonvepon- then under many fle propams. 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