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Following are some questions and answers on foreign investment flows into India.
In 2009, India attracted $36.6 billion in FDI funds, equivalent to 2.7 percent of its
gross domestic product. China attracted $95 billion, or 1.9 percent of GDP.
But foreign direct investment flows into India fell by over 24 percent in the first
seven months this year to $12.56 billion, putting pressure on domestic investment
to take up the slack.
The slow pace of policy reform that would further open sectors such as retail,
insurance and real estate to foreign investment have acted as a deterrent. Delays
in framing a new land acquisition act, which would ease availability of land for
industry, have also hurt FDI flows into infrastructure and other sectors.
FDI flows to India are likely to remain subdued in coming months as well, analysts
said, given the shaky global recovery. That's a contrast to flows of foreign funds
into Indian stocks, which are on track to hit a record high this year.
FDI flows into India, which held up reasonably well during the global financial
crisis, are likely to total between $20 billion and $30 billion in 2010, economists
say.
However, most major corporate investors are aware of the challenges of doing
business in India and will focus on the longer-term opportunities in a country
where the 1.2 billion population is growing at a rapid 8.5 percent a year.
FDI flows in financial services, real estate and power fell as regulatory restrictions
and strong domestic investment squeezed out some foreign bidders for high-
return projects.
FDI flows to real estate declined to 6 percent of total FDI flows during the June
quarter from 11 percent in 2009/10, while flows to the services sector fell to 11
percent from 17 percent.
However, FDI in telecoms, at about $1 billion during the June quarter, formed 16
percent of the total FDI funds during the period, up from 10 percent in the
2009/10 fiscal year.
Big foreign firms have had mixed success investing in India. Vodafone paid $11
billion for control of an Indian mobile carrier but earlier this year booked a 2.3
billion pound ($3.64 billion) charge on its business due to fierce competition and
the high cost of wireless spectrum.
South Korea's POSCO has endured more than three years of delay for a $12 billion
steel plant in Orissa due to protests by farmers.
The trade ministry forecasts that the current account gap will reach 3 percent of
GDP this fiscal year, or about $46.4 billion.
Officials have said that India may end up with a balance of payments deficit this
year given the rapid expansion in the current account deficit and fall in FDI. If so,
massive foreign exchange reserves of some $291 billion will be more than
sufficient to fund the gap.
A fall in FDI inflows will keep the balance of payments under pressure and could
undermine the rupee. If commodity and oil prices rise globally, a weaker rupee
will add to inflationary pressures.
With fighting inflation is the central bank's top priority, any development that
could push up prices will be carefully watched and play into its thinking on
tightening monetary policy.
On the other hand, a wider deficit could lead to some liquidity tightness in the
market, helping the central bank's five rate hikes so far this year be passed on
more effectively.
Forbidden Territories:
FDI is not permitted in the following industrial sectors: