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METODO LINEAL

POBLACION PROYECTADA
AÑO Pci K 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
1965 1300 51.818 4409.091 4668.182 4927.273 5186.364 5445.455
1978 1930 52.857 4414.286 4678.571 4942.857 5207.143 5471.429
1991 2280 64.483 4472.414 4794.828 5117.241 5439.655 5762.069
2000 3240 45.500 4377.500 4605.000 4832.500 5060.000 5287.500
2013 3860 41.429 4357.143 4564.286 4771.429 4978.571 5185.714
2020 4150 = = = = = =
PROMEDIO: 4406.087 4662.173 4918.260 5174.347 5430.433

𝐾=(𝑃𝑢𝑐−𝑃𝑐𝑖)/(𝑇𝑢𝑐−𝑇𝑐𝑖) 𝑃𝑓=𝑃𝑢𝑐+𝐾∗(𝑇𝑓−𝑇𝑢𝑐)
𝐾=(𝑃𝑢𝑐−𝑃𝑐𝑖)/(𝑇𝑢𝑐−𝑇𝑐𝑖)
𝐾=(4150−1300)/(2020−1965) 𝑃𝑓=4150+51,818∗(2025−2020)
𝑃𝑓=𝑃𝑢𝑐+𝐾∗(𝑇𝑓−𝑇𝑢𝑐)
𝑲=𝟓𝟏,𝟖𝟏𝟖𝟏𝟖 𝑷𝒇=𝟒𝟒𝟎𝟗,𝟎𝟗𝟏

ALUMNO ALVARO ANDRES DIAZ QUISPE


(𝑇𝑓−𝑇𝑢𝑐)

818∗(2025−2020)

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