You are on page 1of 15

EXPONENTIAL TECH INVESTOR

5G FORTUNES

HOW TO MAKE A FORTUNE ON


THE NEXT TECH REVOLUTION

www.bonnerandpartners.com
2

5G Fortunes
How to Make a Fortune on the Next Tech Revolution
By Jeff Brown, Editor, Exponential Tech Investor

Welcome to Exponential Tech Investor. Our that connection possible.


mission is to profit from technology companies
on the verge of exponential growth. We do this Hundreds of thousands of miles of transoceanic
by investing in small- or micro-cap companies on cables connect to vast, land-based fiber-optic
the verge of mass adoption. networks, which in turn connect to consumers’
homes and businesses.
In this report, I’ll show you one of the biggest
technology stories today. Then, I’ll reveal the one Over the years, these wireless networks – and
company poised for 10x gains as this tech revolu- the infrastructure that supports them – have
tionizes modern communications. evolved. But not all of it has lived up to consum-
ers’ expectations.
From Sci-Fi to Reality
For example, the current 4G cellular networks
One of the biggest emerging trends in tech right are a disappointment.
now is fifth-generation (5G) wireless technology,
and I’ve been watching it closely. The developers who built the 4G network
thought it would deliver average download
It’s a trend I’m deeply connected with. I worked speeds of 100 megabits per second (Mbps). But
for many years as an executive in the wireless in reality, many people only see speeds of about
industry with the top wireless network opera- 10 Mbps.
tors around the world. This has allowed me to
maintain important connections within the high (Megabits per second, or Mbps, is a common
technology industry and stay on top of important measurement for internet connection and down-
developments in the space. load speeds. For example, to stream a high-defi-
nition video from Netflix, you need a download
So when I say that 5G is one of the biggest, most speed of at least 5 Mbps.)
revolutionary technological innovations of our
time, you can be certain I don’t say it lightly. But with 5G, the peak speed jumps to 10 gigabits
per second (Gbps). One gigabit is 1,000 megabits.
And that innovation won’t come overnight. A So, at peak speed, 5G will be 1,000 times faster
massive infrastructure project is in the works, than the average 4G connection we have today.
right now, to make it all possible.
Even if we just assume that average 5G speeds
What we as everyday consumers don’t see is would be 10% of their potential, we’re still look-
that when you connect to the internet on your ing at 1,000 Mbps. That means that average 5G
computer, smartphone, or smart TV, a vast speeds will be 100 times faster than what we
physical communications infrastructure makes

www.bonnerandpartners.com
3

have today. video over mobile, and internet access

With that kind of speed, you’ll be able to down- • 4G (deployed in the 2010s): Significant
load a two-hour movie in 10 seconds. Dropped increase in data bandwidth enabling inter-
phone calls and slow-loading web pages will be a net browsing and streaming of high-quality
thing of the past. video, voice over IP technology (basically
free phone calls anywhere in the world
Plus, some previously “sci-fi” tech will finally using services like Skype or any kind of
become a reality. Technologies like self-driving messaging application)
cars, augmented and virtual reality, and holo-
graphic projection will all operate over high- Wireless technology is what enables today’s
speed 5G connections. The applications are modern mobile phone networks. Since the first
endless. generation in the 1980s, the industry has been
forced to develop the next generation of wireless
5G is a game changer because of all the techno- technology every 10 years or so.
logical innovation it will bring about.
I say “forced” because the industry basically
Some estimates cite that it’ll be responsible for has had no choice… By the end of each wireless
$12 trillion worth of new goods and services by generation, wireless networks become congest-
2035. That’s about 56% of America’s total GDP ed with traffic. And once that happens, wireless
in 2019. network operators can no longer consistently
provide high-quality service to consumers.
I simply cannot think of a trend with more profit
potential than 5G right now. But to really un- What’s the problem? Why the congestion? Well,
derstand why 5G is so transformative, let’s look one chart explains it all…
back to the early days of wireless and see how far
we’ve come… The chart on the next page shows the amount of
data and voice traffic transmitted over the world’s
The History of Wireless Networks wireless networks since the fourth quarter of
At a very high level, here’s what each wireless 2014. And it shows the exponential growth in de-
generation has enabled since 1G in 1983: mand for sending and receiving data (like images,
music downloads, and websites) over wireless
• 1G (deployed in the 1980s): Analog cellular networks.
technology, very low bandwidth, designed
to enable mobile phone calls The amount of voice traffic (in gray) was roughly
constant over the last several years. But what’s
• 2G (deployed in the 1990s): Digital cellu- striking is that data (in blue) has exploded. As of
lar technology, digital voice phone calls, Q4 2019, our wireless networks are transmitting
enabled SMS (short messaging service – 40 exabytes of data every month.
sending texts)
To put that in perspective: Just one exabyte is
• 3G (deployed in the 2000s): Widespread equivalent to 100,000 times all the printed mate-
use of CDMA technology, high-quality rial in the Library of Congress.
audio for calls, early stages of low-quality

www.bonnerandpartners.com
4

I know… it’s hard for us to get our


heads around how much informa-
tion that is.

And given the rate of growth,


wireless network congestion will
only get worse...

Have you had a dropped call in


the last 12 months? Or have you
dialed a number, someone picks
up, and you can’t hear them? Has
it taken too long to download a
web page? Can’t seem to receive
or send your email?

These problems are almost al-


ways due to network congestion.
Just like when there’s a traffic jam What will 5G mean for consumers? How will it
on a highway and the cars aren’t moving… there be different from what we experience daily over
can be too much data on a wireless network, and 4G networks?
the digital packets of information just can’t get to
their destination. • Typical speeds on 5G will be an average of 1
gigabit per second (Gbps), which would be
There’s only one solution to fix that problem… 100 times faster than what a U.S. consumer
The world has to build new infrastructure to sup- experiences on 4G today.
port the exponential growth in data traffic over
wireless networks. There’s no other way. • Self-driving cars will be connected in real
time over wireless networks.
The Next Infrastructure Boom
• Companies will be piloting trucks for
And here’s the exciting part… It’s already be-
logistics remotely, just as drones can be
gun. The network build-out for 5G is happening
flown from halfway around the world over
right now in the U.S. and in a limited number of
satellite networks.
first-mover countries.
• We’ll be able to surf the internet and make
It’s important that we position ourselves now
phone calls while riding on a high-speed
in the Exponential Tech Investor portfolio to
train up to 310 miles per hour (500 km/
profit from this massive trend. Not only will 5G
hour).
transform our lives and enable us to do things we
could have never done before… but it will also be • Consumers will be able to “sit in” on meet-
one of the single best investment opportunities ings by projecting themselves using holo-
that we’ll see in the next 10 years. graphic images in real time with no video

www.bonnerandpartners.com
5

or audio delay. world has ever seen. And it won’t come easy.

• And there will effectively be no latency 5G is very different from 4G technology. It’s
(delay) over 5G networks. Latency will drop more expensive to build out, more complicated,
by 99% from more than 100 milliseconds and far more powerful.
down to a mere 1 millisecond. Latency like
this would enable a doctor to operate on a What’s important to understand is that there is
patient with robotic surgery… over a wireless a fundamental, technical reason for why these
network. networks are more expensive to build.

5G wireless networking technology is not evolu- 3G and 4G technology used wireless towers that
tionary… it is revolutionary. could cover 30-45 miles of flat terrain. But 5G
network architecture is completely different.
I hope that by reading this, you’re as excited as I
am with what’s coming. From my perspective, it It uses what’s called a “small cell” architecture,
can’t happen fast enough. And the positive eco- which requires far more cell tower locations. For
nomic implications are just incredible… major metropolitan areas, this could mean one
small cell tower on almost every street corner.
Massive Investment Leads
to Massive Growth Today, there are about 200,000 cell phone
towers scattered across the U.S. Yet when the 5G
Very shortly, I’ll show you how we’ll invest in this
network is constructed, there will be more than
massive communications build-out. But first, let
1,000,000 cell phone towers to support the high-
me show you how the 5G build-out will impact
er bandwidth, higher speeds, and new services
the world economy…
delivered over 5G.
For the U.S. market alone, it’s expected that the
That’s at least a fivefold increase in the number
major wireless carriers (AT&T, Verizon, and the
of towers needed for 5G compared to the previ-
combined T-Mobile/Sprint) will spend as much
ous generation.
as $275 billion on 5G wireless infrastructure.
There’s a good reason for this shift in architec-
To put that into more understandable terms,
ture… the congestion problem I mentioned earli-
this will result in an estimated three million jobs
er in this report.
created and $500 billion in GDP growth… again,
just in the U.S. Even with all of the improvements in wireless
communications technology over the last 10
Globally, total investments will be on the order
years, dropped calls still happen all the time.
of $200 billion per year through 2025. By my
calculations, total global investment will be on Right now, one small company is helping fix that.
the order of $2 trillion by the time the build-out Its game-changing technology is improving the
is done. quality and performance of mobile phone calls.
I’m confident it’s going to do extremely well in the
Put simply, this is the largest, most significant
future… and we could see 10x gains.
communications infrastructure build-out the

www.bonnerandpartners.com
6

Why 5G Won’t Make You Sick


With 5G wireless network construction happening at an accelerated pace and 5G wireless broad-
band internet services already appearing in markets around the U.S., consumers are now seeing
the first 5G smartphones for sale.

Not surprisingly, we’ve received a lot of questions about whether or not 5G wireless technology is
safe for consumers. It’s important for us to ask these questions and also to understand the facts
behind the research.

Mobile phones emit radiofrequency radiation, or radio waves, which are a form of non-ionizing
radiation. This kind of radiation is normal and all around us. Non-ionizing radiation only has
enough energy to excite a molecule, and the byproduct is merely heat.

Ionizing radiation, by contrast, is higher frequency and can be a severe health hazard. It can
cause radiation sickness, burns, cancer, and even genetic damage. Ionizing radiation is the kind
of radiation we find in using nuclear power.

It is important to be clear that 5G wireless technology is a form of non-ionizing radiation. And


for that matter, so is the current 4G wireless technology and every other generation prior to that.

Since radio frequencies (RF) have been used in radio, TV, wireless networks, and many other
services for decades, this is a careful area of study for regulatory agencies to ensure that these RF
waves have no negative impact on consumers’ health.

To be very clear, there has been no conclusive evidence that RF wireless technology causes any
side effects in consumers who use, or even those in the presence of, wireless networks.

A study in Denmark analyzed the records of more than 358,000 mobile phone subscribers with
brain tumor incidence data from the Danish Cancer Registry. The “analysis found no association
between cell phone use and the incidence of glioma, meningioma, or acoustic neuroma, even
among people who had been cell phone subscribers for 13 or more years.”

In 2018, there was some very bad reporting concerning a study on the effects of high exposure of
radiofrequency energy on rats. It found that male rats exposed to radio waves developed schwan-
nomas (small tumors) on their hearts at statistically higher rates than the control group. However,
mice and female rats exposed to the same radio waves did not develop any of these small tumors.

Somewhat ironically, those animals that were exposed to the radiofrequency radiation actually
lived longer than the control animals that weren’t.

Also worth mentioning is that there have only been a handful of documented cases in humans of
schwannomas of the heart… They are incredibly rare in humans.

www.bonnerandpartners.com
7

This study was conducted by the National Toxicology Program (NTP), which is part of the Na-
tional Institutes of Health (NIH). Worth noting is that the study was performed at the request of
the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), which is responsible for determining the safety of such
radiofrequency energy.

Left out of the negative reporting on this research was the fact that the study used levels of radiof-
requency energy that were considerably above what the FDA deems as the current safety limit for
cell phones. And the current safety limits have a 50-fold safety margin to ensure consumer safety.

In the words of the NTP, “The levels and duration of exposure to radiofrequency radiation were
much greater than what people experience with even the highest level of cell phone use, and ex-
posed the rodents’ whole bodies. So, these findings should not be directly extrapolated to human
cell phone usage.”

The FDA summarized that it had “not found sufficient evidence that there are adverse health effects
in humans caused by exposures at or under the current radiofrequency energy exposure limits.”

In support of the FDA’s position, the National Cancer Institute notes that it does not see increas-
ing numbers of brain tumors in the general population. Given that humans have been exposed to
radiofrequency energy for decades, if there was a direct correlation to our health, we should have
seen the impact already. So far, we have not.

For obvious reasons, I’ll be tracking this topic closely as 5G wireless networks become more wide-
spread. My readers know well that 5G wireless networks will use up to five times more cell phone
towers than 4G and more power in order to deliver higher speed to smartphones. It’s important
to note that all 5G-enabled smartphones will still meet the safety limits and standards set by the
Federal Communications Commission (FCC), which is informed by the FDA.

The above research should dispel any concerns you might have about 5G’s impact on your health.
But if you’re still worried about it, I’ll leave you with a couple extra steps you can take to minimize
your RF exposure…

First, use a landline phone whenever possible and try to avoid long conversations on mobile
phones. Second, when you do have long conversations on mobile phones, I recommend using
some kind of headset (wired or wireless) that allows you to talk without having the mobile phone
right next to your head. For those who are concerned, this is a simple precaution that anyone can
take.

We’re in for an incredible time as 5G wireless technology becomes available throughout the U.S.
and in other markets around the world. We’re going to see such incredible improvement in wire-
less service, we’ll wonder how we ever survived without it.

www.bonnerandpartners.com
8

But before we get to that company, United States Radio Frequency Allocations
let’s take a closer look at what’s
going on with wireless communi-
cations technology today…

Growing Pains
As I showed in the chart on page
4, mobile data growth has been
exponential over the last few
years. Data usage has been dou-
bling roughly every 14–15 months.

This creates a major challenge for


wireless network operators like
AT&T, Verizon, and Sprint.

Wireless networks transmit data Source: NTIA

and phone calls through the air


That’s where 1G, 2G, 3G, and 4G/LTE wireless
in clearly defined radio frequen-
technologies come in…
cy (RF) ranges. These frequency ranges are the
spectrum that is used for transmission. Wireless Each generation tends to operate at much higher
network operators purchase or license the rights frequencies in the radio spectrum. The reason is
to deliver a service using the spectrum. that there is more spectrum available for use at
higher frequencies compared to where services
The spectrum is typically thought of as a “public
are being delivered today.
good” and is usually regulated by each country’s
government and harmonized with adjacent coun- At the moment, the most widely deployed wire-
tries in order to avoid unwanted signal interfer- less technologies worldwide are the third gener-
ence. ation (3G) and fourth generation (4G). The fifth
generation (5G) is not far behind, with some of
The problem is, when data traffic continues to
the earliest deployments beginning back in 2018.
grow exponentially – doubling again and again
– more efficient technology and additional spec- The key thing to understand is that 3G and 4G
trum is required to avoid dropped calls and technologies are transmitted across a wide range
signals. of frequencies – basically between 700 MHz
and 2200 MHz. As the world starts to progress
You see, the spectrum allocated for services
toward 5G deployments, the frequency range is
transmitted over RF is jam-packed. The above
getting even higher – anywhere between 2400
image will give you a feeling for how busy the
MHz and 8600 MHz.
radio spectrum is. It represents the United States
market, but most countries have similar spec- So we will continue to need new generations of
trum usages and allocation. wireless technologies that are more efficient with

www.bonnerandpartners.com
9

their use of allocated spectrum. Evolution of Wireless Communication


We’ll also need to continue to add
spectrum at higher frequencies as
The data rate for 5G will be 100,000
the demand for data consumption times more than the data rate for 2G
continues to increase. Full IP Efficiency

That leads us to our recommen- Data/PS 5G

dation. This company provides a 4G


Digital (LTE)
critical component in the RF space 3G

that improves the quality and per- Analogue 2G


formance of mobile phone calls. 1G

You can think of this company as a


backdoor play on the evolution of X10 X200 X4200 X30000 X100000
wireless technology and the expo- Data rate increase

nential growth in data.


Source: 3GPP
And best of all, almost no one has
heard of it… frequency filter (RF filter) technology called a
“wide-band single-crystal bulk acoustic wave
Next-Generation Tech resonator.” To keep things simple, we’ll refer to it
Akoustis (AKTS) is a small company outside as a single-crystal BAW filter.
of Charlotte, North Carolina, that’s been quietly
You might not know this, but every phone and
developing leading-edge technology for wireless
wireless device has RF filters. These allow the
devices.
phones to receive and transmit voice, video, and
It was established in May 2014 by its CEO, Jeff data over the wireless network at certain fre-
Shealy, who has spent the last 20 years of his quencies. They’re used by Wi-Fi networks as well.
career in the RF/wireless industry. Jeff founded Every mobile phone or wireless device contains
a company called RF Nitro that was acquired anywhere between 20 and 40 of these filters.
in 2001 by industry leader RF Micro Devices
I won’t get too technical on the product, but
(RFMD). He spent 13 years at RFMD. In 2015,
there are a few key things to know.
RFMD and another industry player called
TriQuint merged and formed a company called In May 2016, Akoustis published a breakthrough
Qorvo. I’ll come back to this in a moment. single-crystal BAW filter design at a conference
held by the IEEE (Institute of Electrical and
Akoustis was essentially a scientific research
Electronics Engineers). The IEEE is one of the
entity for its first several years of existence. Until
most well-respected trade organizations in high
2017, the company was completely focused on
technology, so the venue was significant.
developing a new, novel technology that im-
proves the performance of wireless devices. The impact that Akoustis’ BAW filter has on the
performance of a mobile device is significant. It
That novel technology is a new kind of radio
has the ability to support two times the spectrum

www.bonnerandpartners.com
10

bandwidth compared to competing solutions, gle one of those phones will contain up to 40 RF
which results in: filters compatible at 5G frequencies. That’s a lot
of filters.
• Better signal strength
The total RF filter market is broken down into
• Fewer dropped calls two simple categories: “low band” filters, called
SAW filters, and “high band” filters, called BAW
• Lower power consumption
filters.
• Less heat generated by the phone
SAW filters are used in low-RF bands, typically
In short, this technology allows a mobile device 2 GHz or less. BAW filters are used in high-RF
to access more spectrum with fewer filters due to bands, typically 2 GHz up to potentially 20 GHz.
its ability to cover a wider spectrum bandwidth. Again, Akoustis is focused entirely on BAW
filters.
Aside from allowing users to dependably make
and receive phone calls, it also offers longer bat- About 28 billion RF filters were shipped in 2016,
tery life. This is one of the most wanted features generating nearly $12 billion in revenue. And the
by adult smartphone users. After all, if we don’t RF market is forecast to grow to $19 billion by
have any power left in our batteries, it won’t mat- 2021.
ter how good our smartphone is.
The underlying driver for this market is the
But one of the biggest challenges that smartphone migration from 4G wireless technology to
and tablet manufacturers have is manufacturing 5G… which is being deployed worldwide right
products that can survive a full day of usage with- now. And as the world upgrades its wireless
out needing to be recharged throughout the day. technology to meet the demands for more
data traffic… RF filters will get more and more
So technologies that help to reduce power con- complex.
sumption on smartphones are seen as absolutely
critical by the industry. Increased RF complexity results in the need for
more RF filters in mobile devices. Put even more
I’ll go into more details about Akoustis’ BAW simply, as data services are transmitted over
filter in a minute. But first, let’s take a look at the a larger amount of different parts of the radio
overall RF filter market… spectrum, more RF filters are required. In 2005,
which was when 3G technology was being widely
A Massive Market That deployed, only two RF filters were required.
Continues to Expand
The market size for RF filters is massive. And for But by 2013, in the midst of 4G wireless technol-
a simple reason: Every single phone and wireless ogy deployments, the amount of filters required
device contains RF filters. jumped by a factor of 10! By 2015, that number
doubled again to more than 40. Needless to say,
Think about that. Consumers purchase near- the number of filters required will increase again
ly two billion new phones every year, and that during the migration to 5G wireless technology
number will increase as 5G rolls out. Every sin- and higher frequency bands.

www.bonnerandpartners.com
11

And this jump in filter complexity


has a direct impact on Akoustis’
bottom line.

Think about this: Every wireless

Annual Revenue (in Billions)


device contained about $0.75
worth of RF filters back in 2014.
That number grew to $4.00 per de-
vice in 2015… and $7.50 per device
in 2016. In 2017, as the 4G network
hit its limits, every wireless device
contained about $19.50 worth of
RF filters. That’s a 2,500% increase
over 2014.

And Akoustis projects that every


wireless device will contain $24.50
worth of RF filters as 5G technolo-
gy hits its stride.

A Duopoly Creates a
Great Market Opportunity
Now, there’s something interest-
ing about the BAW filter market…
It is essentially a duopoly. It is
controlled by only two companies,
Qorvo and Broadcom.

I mentioned Qorvo earlier. As


I said, it was formed from the
merger of RFMD and TriQuint.
Broadcom is the result of the
acquisition of Broadcom by another
semiconductor company called
Avago, which was completed in
February 2016.
products. Buyers of BAW filters are desperate for
The mergers and acquisitions activity during the alternatives in this space. So there’s a massive
last several years has created this unique duopoly opportunity for a third player like Akoustis.
in the market.
Game-Changing Technology
The result has been a less competitive market for
The new BAW filter technology Akoustis has de-
companies that purchase BAW filters for their

www.bonnerandpartners.com
12

signed is revolutionary. has lower margins than the high-bandwidth


business. Akoustis will be the only player with
As I told you earlier, the single-crystal design is single-crystal high-bandwidth BAW filters, which
capable of supporting a spectrum bandwidth that means that it will be able to charge a premium
is twice as wide as what’s currently used in the for its products. This will result in a much
market. healthier gross margin, which will eventually
generate healthy free cash flow for the company.
This leads to better signal strength, fewer
dropped calls, and prolonged battery life. It will And the Akoustis business model is actually pret-
also result in the reduction of the number of fil- ty simple.
ters required in a mobile device.
In 2017, the company strategically acquired a
A reduction in components (filters) leads to sav- 120,000-square-foot wafer manufacturing fa-
ing space in the design… And space is at a premi- cility in New York to produce its patented BAW
um in smartphone design. filters.

Now, it’s important to note that Akoustis’ single- This move enables Akoustis to consolidate all as-
crystal BAW filters will be more expensive than pects of the manufacturing process, which reduc-
the lower-bandwidth BAW filters from Qorvo es its design and manufacturing time, improves
and Broadcom that are commonly used in the manufacturing quality, and increases its ability to
market. service customers. What’s more, the facility has
the production capacity to support up to $200
This might sound like a competitive disadvan-
million per year in sales, with incremental invest-
tage… But there are three reasons it’s not.
ment.
First, I believe that the use of Akoustis filters will
Akoustis’ sales channel is also pretty straightfor-
reduce the overall cost of the bill of materials for
ward. It generates business opportunities pri-
mobile devices because fewer components re-
marily through three channels:
sults in lower costs.
• Reference designs: Akoustis works directly
Second, the reduction in battery consumption
with mobile baseband semiconductor play-
will be the second major driver for using Akous-
ers like Qualcomm, MediaTek (Taiwan),
tis’ BAW filters. I can foresee a 5%-10% reduc-
and Intel to design its technology for their
tion in power consumption.
reference designs. Players like Qualcomm
You may think 10% isn’t much. But in terms of create reference designs to make it easy for
power consumption, it is massive. Think about less-sophisticated companies with fewer
an average day of usage with a mobile device. If in-house engineering resources to design
a device is used for eight hours (480 minutes) mobile devices. When Akoustis’ filters are
for voice, video, and data, a 10% improvement part of the reference design, it is highly
would result in an additional 48 minutes of us- likely that the mobile device manufacturer
age. That’s a big deal. will use its product.

Third, the low-bandwidth BAW filter business • Radio frequency front-end (RFFE) man-

www.bonnerandpartners.com
13

ufacturers: Designing the components for


radio frequencies is widely known as an
art form. It requires a lot of fine-tuning. As
a result, many mobile phone manufactur-
ers use an RF module (which includes not
only the BAW filter but also a switch and
an amplifier all used to receive and send
radio frequencies) to simplify the design
process. Companies like Skyworks, Qorvo,
Samsung (Korea), and Murata (Japan) are
well-known for manufacturing these front-
end modules. Akoustis sells its products The market doesn’t realize it yet, but Akoustis
directly to these players. will be a classic exponential growth story where
one year the revenues are nonexistent, the next
• Direct to the manufacturers: Mobile device
they are material but not too significant, and the
manufacturers that have enough in-house
following year… explosive growth.
engineering resources are able to design
their entire products. Akoustis will look Akoustis has demonstrated the ability to execute
to sell directly to these major players like the manufacturing of its BAW filters efficiently, and
Samsung, Apple, and Huawei (China). the company is well-positioned to become a major
player in the multibillion-dollar BAW market.
You can see this relationship between Akoustis,
component manufacturers, and smartphone To give you a feel for how quickly Akoustis could
manufacturers in the graph above. grow its revenues, in 2019, there were about 1.4
billion smartphones shipped globally.
It’s important to note that this is a long sales
cycle. If Akoustis designs its product into a The high-end smartphone market is one of
reference design this year, production will most Akoustis’ major targets for its new technology.
likely not happen until next year. The same is Targeting the high end makes sense. It’s where
true for any designs that it might have with RFFE the manufacturers and their customers will rec-
module manufacturers. Revenue will start to flow ognize the value of the higher performance that
from these strategic wins 9–24 months in the Akoustis’ technology brings.
future.
The high-end market comprises roughly 30%-
Extraordinary Growth Potential 35% of global smartphone shipments. At 30%,
2017 is the year Akoustis went from being a sci- this would represent more than 400 million
entific research entity to a commercial enterprise units shipping in 2019.
with a high-tech portfolio of products.
On average, a high-end smartphone has about
Akoustis now has a suite of BAW filter products 10 BAW filters. I estimate that Akoustis’ average
available, and the company has already an- revenue per phone would be around $3.
nounced multiple large-scale production orders
from major enterprise customers. If I’m right about how disruptive – and valuable

www.bonnerandpartners.com
14

– Akoustis’ technology will be, I think Akoustis stands the value of Akoustis’ IP like I do.
could capture about 10% of the high-end smart-
phone market share by the end of 2020. This Now’s the Perfect Time to Get In
would result in an annual run rate of $126 mil- To say that Akoustis is “under the radar” is an
lion in revenue. understatement. If you were to ask 10 of your
friends and colleagues, I’d bet that exactly zero of
Think about that. Akoustis has the potential to them have heard of the company.
grow from zero revenue in 2016 to more than
$120 million in just four years. The stock wasn’t even listed on the Nasdaq until
March 13, 2016. Prior to that, Akoustis was
Dominant Intellectual Property
trading over-the-counter (OTC), with few shares
Position
trading daily.
Earlier, I noted that Akoustis was essentially a
scientific research company for its first several And Akoustis has remained off Wall Street’s ra-
years of operation. And during that time, Akous- dar, even after its up-listing on the Nasdaq… But
tis quietly amassed a solid patent portfolio for its that’s quickly changing.
new single-crystal BAW filter technology. As of
The word is getting out…
early 2019, Akoustis already had 29 patents as
well as 54 patents pending approval. And that’s why now is the absolute perfect time
to get into AKTS.
While most of the market failed to notice, Akous-
tis cleverly created a dominant intellectual prop-
erty position in single-crystal BAW filter devices. Action to Take: Buy Akoustis (AKTS)
Essentially, it controls all of the foundational up to $8. For our most up-to-date risk
intellectual property (IP) for these filters. management, please refer to our online
portfolio here.
But this case is even better… Akoustis is the only
company that holds the foundational IP for sin- Note: If this stock is trading above our
gle-crystal BAW filter devices. recommended buy price at the time of
reading, my official recommendation is
And because of the benefits these BAW filters patience. Technology stocks experience
will bring to the industry, there will be rapidly natural volatility that almost always gives
growing demand for Akoustis’ technology. us a great entry point. I want to make sure
readers invest in the best companies at a
And there will be only two ways to get it… by
great price.
buying the BAW filters from Akoustis or buy-
ing the company outright. That means Akoustis
could become an attractive acquisition target. Regards,

Obvious candidates looking to buy Akoustis Jeff Brown


would be Qorvo, Broadcom, Qualcomm, Sky- Editor, Exponential Tech Investor
works, or even a private equity firm that under-

www.bonnerandpartners.com
15

To contact us, call toll free Domestic/International: 1-800-681-1765, Mon-Fri: 9am-7pm ET, or email services@bonnerandpartners.com.
© 2020 Bonner & Partners, LLC. 55 NE 5th Avenue, Delray Beach, FL 33483. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or
in part, is prohibited without written permission from the publisher. 
Information contained herein is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. It is not designed to meet your
personal situation – we are not financial advisors nor do we give personalized advice. The opinions expressed herein are those of the publisher and are
subject to change without notice. It may become outdated and there is no obligation to update any such information. 
Recommendations in Bonner & Partners publications should be made only after consulting with your advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or
financial statements of the company in question. You shouldn’t make any decision based solely on what you read here. 
Bonner & Partners writers and publications do not take compensation in any form for covering those securities or commodities. 
Bonner & Partners expressly forbids its writers from owning or having an interest in any security that they recommend to their readers. Furthermore, all
other employees and agents of Bonner & Partners and its affiliate companies must wait 24 hours before following an initial recommendation published
on the Internet, or 72 hours after a printed publication is mailed.

www.bonnerandpartners.com

You might also like