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Abstract: Objectives: Prevention of in-hospital falls contributes to improvement of patient safety. However, the
identification of high-risk patients remains a challenge despite knowledge of fall-risk factors. Hence, objective
was to prospectively validate the performance of the LUCAS (Longitudinal Urban Cohort Ageing Study)
fall-risk screening, based on routine data (fall history, mobility, mental status) and applied by nurses. Design:
Observational study comparing two groups of patients who underwent different fall-risk screenings; the LUCAS
screening (2010 - 2011) and the STRATIFY (St Thomas’s Risk Assessment Tool In Falling Elderly Inpatients)
(2004 - 2006). Setting: Urban teaching hospital. Participants: Consecutively hospitalized patients (≥ 65 years
old) were screened on admission; LUCAS n = 2,337, STRATIFY n = 4,735. Measurements: The proportions of
fallers were compared between the STRATIFY and the LUCAS time periods. The number of fallers expected
was compared to that observed in the LUCAS time period. Standardized fall-incidence recording included
case-note checks for unreported falls. Plausibility checks of fall-risk factors and logistic regression analysis
for variable fall-risk factors were performed. Results: The proportions of fallers during the two time periods
were LUCAS n = 291/2,337 (12.5 %) vs. STRATIFY n = 508/4,735 (10.7 %). After adjustment for risk-factor
prevalence, the proportion of fallers expected was 14.5 % (334/2,337), the proportion observed was 12.5 %
(291/2,337) (p = 0.038). Conclusions: In-hospital fall prevention including systematic use of the LUCAS fall-
risk screening reduced the proportion of fallers compared to that expected from the patients’ fall-risk profile.
Raw proportions of fallers are not suitable to evaluate fall prevention in hospital because of variable prevalence
of patients’ fall-risk factors over time. Continuous communication, education and training is needed to sustain
in-hospital falls prevention.
Key words: Geriatric medicine, risk management, in-hospital falls, fall-risk screening, patient safety.
by ≥ 2 factors. Operational definitions of mental alteration are lecture of one hour was performed by a member of the research
explained on the LUCAS fall-risk screening documentation team in cooperation with the head of the nursing services
sheet (confused: patients with disturbed orientation, memory, to train nurses on the use of the LUCAS fall-risk screening
confused ideas or inconclusive and incoherent speech; agitated: and to show documentation of screening result in the paper
patient inadequately excited, nervous or restless psycho- patient record, including evaluation of single fall-risk factors
motoric activity; demented: patients with defined clinical and classification of patients being at high or low risk.
diagnosis of dementia irrespective of the type of dementia, Subsequently, pre-tests were performed for two weeks. As not
symptomatology suspicious of dementive disease, cognitive, all nurses were able to participate individual trainings were
emotional or social deficits). While collecting these data, given additionally on the wards during this pre-test phase. The
patients were screened by STRATIFY (11) and, consequently, pre-test analysis did not indicate the need of further training.
targeted preventive measures were undertaken according to the High-risk patients received the same fall-prevention
fall risk as rated by STRATIFY. Starting in 2010, the LUCAS measures as were previously provided to high-risk patients
screening was then used by nurses to categorize patients into a according to STRATIFY (2004 - 2006), i.e. labeling of the
high-risk and a low-risk group. patient’s bed, additional supervision and assistance with
The primary aim of this study was to evaluate the patient transfer and toilet use, individual patient and caregiver
screening’s performance by comparing the proportion of fallers counseling including provision of an information leaflet, staff
using STRATIFY (2004 - 2006) and LUCAS (2010 - 2011) as education and encouragement to use eyeglasses, hearing aids,
screening, respectively (17). footwear, and mobility devices appropriately, in addition to
routine geriatric care (12).
Participants and methods
Sources and collection of data
Setting
As part of an academic teaching hospital in the northwest
STRATIFY (2004 - 2006)
corner of Hamburg, Germany (250,000/1.8 million inhabitants
Data collection contained socio-demographic information,
in this urban area), the geriatric clinic provides 131 beds and
Barthel-Index, ICD-diagnoses, and the STRATIFY fall-risk
serves about 2,500 inpatients annually, with around 68 %
factors, electronically provided by the hospital controlling
referred from the emergency room, the admission ward or
department. There were 4,735 observations of patients admitted
other departments, 23 % from other hospitals in and around
from 1st September 2004 - 31st December 2006 when the
Hamburg, and 9 % referred from general practitioners, all for
STRATIFY screening was used (STRATIFY time period).
geriatric acute and complex therapy according to the German
DRG system. There are five wards, with one dedicated to
LUCAS (2010 - 2011)
acutely ill patients with mental impairment (AICI) (18).
Eligible patients were all patients consecutively admitted
Patients are admitted to wards with beds available, except
during 1st March 2010 - 28th February 2011, 65 years and
admission to the AICI ward. There are early-morning meetings
older, and with LOS ≥ 48 hours. Patients admitted twice due to
on each ward (10 - 15 min.) and weekly sessions of the total
the same medical reasons were included once, including only
ward staff (60 min.). The patient rooms have more space than
the first admission. Further data were collected that included
in conventional hospital buildings, facilitating nurses’ and
information on functional health status (e.g. BI, Mini Mental
therapists’ access to the patients’ beds, and the handling and
State Examination) and the items of the LUCAS fall-risk
parking of mobility devices. Handrails, night-lights, nonslip
screening, as STRATIFY was not used any longer in the clinic.
bathroom flooring, electric beds, and appropriate height chairs
Socio-demographic data and ICD-diagnoses were provided by
and toilet seats are standard.
the hospital controlling department. A data manager collected
the information on functional health status and the LUCAS fall-
Definitions and fall-prevention measures
risk screening from the paper patient records.
A fall was defined as ‘an unexpected event in which the
Additional predefined plausibility checks of fall-risk factors
patient came to rest on the ground, floor or lower level’ (19).
were performed in order to check whether nurses had used the
Fall incidences were recorded using the standardized reporting
LUCAS screening properly. The ICD-10-GM Versions 2010
system (12). The patients’ case notes were checked by the
and 2011 and primary and secondary diagnostic codes were
research team to detect unreported falls (20). Occupied bed
used to check the fall-risk factors ‘mental alteration’ and ‘fall-
days (OBDs) were defined as the difference between the dates
history’. The BI mobility items ‘transfer’ and ‘walking’ were
of admission and discharge.
recalculated in every patient to verify ‘insecure mobility’.
Before implementation of the LUCAS fall-risk screening
a one hour interdisciplinary updating training session for all
Statistical analyses
members of the interdisciplinary geriatric team was performed
Percentages, medians, ranges and interquartile ranges
by the leading geriatrician and members of the research team
(IQR) were calculated as appropriate to describe patient
(power-point presentation incl. examples). Furthermore, a
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characteristics. The Mann-Whitney test and χ2 test were used Two sided p-values ≤ 0.05 were considered to be significant.
to assess differences between patients. Data management applied SPSS 12.0.1 (SPSS Inc., 1989 -
We compared the proportions of fallers between the two 2003), and the analyses were performed using SAS 9.2 (SAS
time periods (LUCAS and STRATIFY time period) in order Institute Inc. 2008). Ethical approval was obtained from the
to assess effects associated with the implementation of the Hamburg General Medical Council Ethics Committee (No.
LUCAS fall-risk screening. We also conducted a logistic PV-2980).
regression analysis to estimate the regression coefficients for
the first dataset in order to account for variable distribution Results
of fall-risk factors in the two time periods. These coefficients
were then used to calculate the number of fallers expected Recruitment and patient characteristics
taking into account risk-factor distribution. We then compared During 2010 - 2011, there were 2,402 eligible out of 2,559
the number of fallers expected and the number of fallers patients admitted. There remained 2,337/2,402 (97.3 %) who
observed, determining significance by using the χ2 test. were screened using the LUCAS fall-risk screening (Figure
The aim of the logistic regression analysis was thus not 1). According to the screening documented, 27.3 % of patients
to evaluate the screening tools’ ability to predict fallers, but were mentally impaired, 41.9 % had falls before admission and
rather to estimate the proportion of fallers and the probability 54.3 % presented with insecure mobility. Using this screening,
to fall considering variability in the prevalence of fall-risk 40.4 % of patients were assigned to the high-risk group and
factors. It is clear that the incidence of falls is influenced by fall received fall-prevention intervention measures accordingly
prevention measures. (Table 1).
All confidence intervals (CI) were calculated at 95 % level.
Table 1
Patient characteristics and distribution of fall-risk factors
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Figure 1 i.e. 78/776 (10.1 %) and 51/776 (6.6 %) vs. 125/1,561 (8.0 %)
Patient flowchart for the two observation periods and 37/1,561 (2.4 %).
Figure 2
Proportion of fallers observed using STRATIFY and LUCAS
Notes: LOS = length of hospital stay, h = hours, excl. = exclusive, AICI ward = specialized
ward for acutely ill patients with mental impairment, OBDs = occupied bed days
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AICI ward, there were five out of the total 7 fall events with result became even more apparent.
fractures (5/190 vs. 2/260; 2.6 vs. 0.8 % of all falls recorded). It has to be stressed that common values of predictability
The proportion of fallers decreased slightly over the were not suitable here because of the provision of fall
complete period observed (2004 - 2011). Yet, stabilization prevention to patients at high risk as identified by the LUCAS
seems to appear. The reduction in fallers after implementation screening. Consequently, we used the proportion of fallers and
of systematic prevention seems being moderately sustained the fall-rate as outcome measures. Furthermore, the change in
(Figure 3). In retrospect, the proportion of fallers decreased patient risk-factors’ prevalence detected did prohibit the direct
from 16 and 20 % in both female and male patients, as had comparison of raw proportions of fallers. Therefore, a logistic
been recorded in the period 2000 – 2002 (21). regression model was used to adjust for variable risk-factor
prevalence.
Figure 3
Proportion of fallers and rate of falls per 1,000 OBDs over time Clinical implications
%
Importance of reduced functional competence
As reported earlier (12, 21) more falls were recorded in men,
probably due to their lower functional-status levels compared
to the female patients. In general, the patients’ lower functional
competence corresponded to high fall-risk factor prevalence.
Therefore, more high-risk patients had to be expected. There
were 40.4 % screened high risk by LUCAS vs. 41.4 % by
STRATIFY. Despite higher risk-factor prevalence the LUCAS
screening defined a reasonable high-risk group. This is of
practical relevance as staff resources are limited, and adherence
to regular screening and its acceptance may be strengthened
(24). In fact, adherence to screen every patient admitted was
very high.
Screening performance
Notes: incl. = inclusive, excl. = exclusive, AICI ward = specialized ward for acutely ill Although the LUCAS screening is supposed being easily
patients with mental impairment, OBDs = occupied bed days
performed it had not always been applied appropriately by
the nurses. The risk factor “mental alteration” showed the
Discussion
highest discrepancy between the nurses’ documentation and
the plausibility checks indicating the potential need of further
Key Findings
clarification. With respect to the efforts on improving the
The LUCAS fall-risk screening was validated in a
IHF-prevention process this finding is somewhat concerning
temporally independent sample of 2,337 patients and defined
as group session and additional training on the wards were
a reasonable high-risk group. The proportion of fallers was
offered. Continuous staff training seems mandatory in order
reduced although adjustment for fall-risk factors showed an
to sustain the prevention process. Advanced training will be
increased prevalence. Functional and cognitive status were
organized to make nurses more sensitive of problems how to
major risk factors for in-hospital falls. Unfortunately, in
use the screening. Also, the introduction of leadership support
routine clinical practice, even a three-item fall-risk screening
by one nurse on each ward responsible for fall-prevention
to identify patients at high risk of falling may not always be
(25) and the evaluation of the fall-risk prevention intervention
applied appropriately.
process will be considered (26, 27).
Nevertheless, this finding was somewhat unexpected in
Prospective fall-risk screening validation
an academic geriatric clinic (22). One may speculate whether
The LUCAS fall-risk screening is based on clinical
general reluctance to documentation or daily habitual pro-
information as recorded in routine geriatric practice in hospital.
active ‘risk-watching’ and management by the nursing staff
Comprehensive geriatric assessment facilitates awareness
may be potential reasons (28). Frequent fluctuation in staff
of older patients’ risk constellations (22). The strengths of
corresponding to lower level of experience has also to be
this study are the high numbers of patients screened using
considered. However, it also might be caused by too low an
STRATIFY and LUCAS and the long observation periods (23).
awareness of mental impairment as has been reported from
The prospective validation showed efficiency in defining a
general hospitals (29), and addressed as a matter of urgent
high-risk group, and subsequent fall-prevention measures were
subject to improvement (30). In retrospect, some patients had
associated with a reduction in the risk-adjusted proportion of
a diagnosis of delirium, and it is well known that delirium may
fallers. After exclusion of the patients on the AICI ward, this
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be quite difficult to recognize as early as possible. This is the in a specific setting is mandatory. For example, informal
case, in particular, if symptomatology is not that of an agitated assessment of delirium was inadequate compared to formal
delirium (31). screening in the emergency department (46) supporting a
formal approach.
Reduced mental function
The high occurrence of falls on the AICI ward is comparable Limitations
with that reported from another study (32). Although the For reasons of limited resources under routine care
number of patients from the AICI ward was small in this conditions our study could not be designed to disentangle
study our findings do also compare with those from a large single components of the falls prevention process. However,
patient sample (33). Interdependencies between mental function an important element for interpretation of preventive effects
and mobility (34, 35) appear to have an impact on location has been applied, that is the description of mental and physical
and type of IHF (36). Five out of seven falls with fractures function (47).
were recorded on the AICI ward. Also in hospitals mental Furthermore, there is yet no information available on the
disturbances may particularly be associated with injurious falls LUCAS fall-risk screening performance in other hospitals’
(33, 37). The risk of falling in older hospitalized patients with geriatric wards and or other medical departments. This
mental impairments does add to other risks in this particular screening might have its highest clinical impact in hospital
patient segment (38). Therefore, one may well assume that settings caring for a high number of older patients, but
prevention of functional decline, and of delirium (39) and, where staff is not well familiar with pro-active geriatric risk-
thereby, of prevalent fall-risk factors may considerably management.
contribute to improvement in IHF reduction. In general, information about effects of hospital-wide
interventions to improve the care for frail older inpatients
Usefulness of formal screening is scanty and still fragmented (48). Geriatric syndromes are
Mental impairment as relevant co-morbidity is a prerequisite highly prevalent among older patients admitted to acute care
for admittance to the AICI ward. One of the three LUCAS hospitals (49). Early identification of patients at risk seems
screening items is thus fulfilled in these patients. Therefore, to be necessary to prevent geriatric syndromes’ exacerbation,
it may well be argued if fall-risk screening will contribute to unwanted events, but also to improve therapeutic outcome. The
improved identification of high-risk patients on this ward at all. number of frail persons is supposed to rise, and elevated risk of
Rather, fall-risk prevention measures are mandatory for every falling is highly prevalent in these patients (50).
patient admitted irrespective the screening’s result. Also, the Our fall-prevention program (screening and fall preventive
number of fall-related hospital admissions is increasing (40). A measures) focused on high-risk patients in particular, was
priori, these patients do also fulfill one of the three risk factors accompanied by a reduced proportion of fallers. Thereby,
when admitted, creating a similar problem. nursing staff’s resources would be at disposal for intensified
The use and impact of formal fall-risk screening vs. patient care and for the provision of preventive measures.
nurses’ or physiotherapists’ judgment alone is still a matter of Additionally, a full economic analysis in form of a cost-
ambiguity (41-43). An alternative to identify patients at high effectiveness-analysis will be performed comparing the
risk of falling and, therefore, need of prevention is by using LUCAS fall-risk screening and the STRATIFY screening.
higher age as risk indicator of falls (44). The British National Hence, estimates will be provided to what extent (monetary)
Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) recommends resources can be saved including monetary depiction of the
not using fall prediction tools. Instead, all patients aged 65 process for IHF prevention (9).
years or older should be regarded as being at risk of falling
(45). Conclusions
However, analyses of fall-risk factors in geriatric in-patients
failed to show a strong relationship between age and IHF, as Older inpatients’ levels of functional competence are closely
also reported by Oliver and colleagues when developing the related to fall-risk classification, with mental function being
STRATIFY screening. Rather, functional status level had of particular relevance. Raw proportions of fallers are not
strong relationship (11, 15). Therefore, the decision on the suitable to evaluate IHF prevention. Adjustment for variable
use of formal fall-risk screening, nurses’ or other professional prevalence of fall-risk factors over time is necessary. Also,
judgment or an age limit should probably depend on setting- the findings do underscore the importance of continuous
specific analyses, to reveal what does work best for reducing information, communication and training of nursing staff and
IHF (13, 41). interdisciplinary teams to sustain the process of IHF prevention.
The demand of formal fall-risk screening may depend on
staffs’ experience including risk management of geriatric Acknowledgements: We thank Joerg Hasford who served as scientific advisor and
critically reviewed the study design and Björn Klugmann for supporting data preparation.
syndromes (15) and different compositions of interdisciplinary
teams as well. Irrespectively, validation of formal screening Contributors: WvRK, VSH and LN were responsible for the study concept and design.
LN and SG recruited study participants, collected data and organized data management.
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VSH and LN performed the statistical analyses. VSH, LN and WvRK contributed to data older adults admitted to hospital. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2011;7: CD006211.
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