Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Paddy-Wheat Region
Abstract
I. Introduction:
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Most of the scholars focused on analysis of growth of agricultural
production and productivity under the impact of Green Revolution
Technology. But some scholars also analyzed its impact on the
employment of agricultural labourers.
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increased the demand of skilled permanent farm servants on Punjab
farms who can drive tractors5 and can supervise and arrange casual
agricultural labourers. Inspite of their importance in Punjab
agriculture no study has empirically studied the impact of
mechanisation on the employment of permanent farm servants. The
present study has tried to analyse the impact of mechanisation on the
employment of permanent farm servants in the post green revolution
period.
The main secondary data sources like census of India and the
NSSO (Employment and Unemployment surveys) do not provide us
any information and data on the permanent farm servants.6. Even at
the village level no official record is maintained regarding the farms
which hire permanent farm servants. The data collected by individual
researchers are not easily available to other researchers. That is why
the present study is based on a primary survey conducted by the
author. In Punjab mainly three crops are grown i.e. wheat, paddy and
cotton. In this study we selected two villages at random on the basis of
cropping pattern. One village named Shergarh from district Bhatinda
in which cotton and wheat cropping pattern is dominant. The second
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village is Dasonda Singhwalla, from district Sangrur, in which paddy
and wheat cropping pattern mainly prevails.
Independent Variables:
Variables Definition
Tractor ownership with employer This variable is in a binary form
[owns=1; otherwise=0] and is also a good proxy for size of
the farm;
Electric motor ownership This is again a binary variable and
[owns=1; otherwise=0] a good proxy for the irrigated
farms;
Adult male members of employer’s This is a continuous variable and
family working on the farms denotes actual number of male
members of employer’s (farmer’s)
family working on the farms;
Region: This is a binary variable for the
Cotton-Wheat=1,Paddy-Wheat=0 location of a farm.
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IV. Data Analysis and Model Used:
Where ‘’ represents a row vector of coefficients in the logit form model
is written:
Pr (Yi =1/Xi )
In = βxi (ii)
Pr(Yi = 0/Xi )
The log likelihood function for this model may be given as:
L(β) Ù
= Σ Xi Yi -Σ Xi Yi - (iv)
β i i
Ù
Σ XiYi -Σ XiYi = 0 - (v)
i i
For most of the data and models the equation (v) does not give
explicit solution. In such cases the most common method is the
Newton-Raphson algorithm.8
For this purpose let d () be the vector of first derivatives of log-
likelihood with respect to ‘’ and L() be the matrix of second
derivatives
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i.e.
δL(β)
U[β] = = Σ XiYi - Σ X Yi
δβ i i
δ2L(β)
ln[β] = = -Σ XiXi' Yi(1- Yi)
δφ i
The vector of first derivative U() is the gradient while the matrix of
second derivatives I() is called the Hessian. The Newton-Raphson
algorithm is then:
Where I-1 is the inverse of I. In this study we relied upon the Newton-
Raphson method for the estimation of coefficients.
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Table-1
Total = 100
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Further, the number of electric motors exceeds by 31 percent in
the paddy-wheat region’s village relatively to the cotton-wheat region’s
village. This difference of 31 percent is highly significant at 1 percent
level (Table-1). From this we may infer that the village falling in the
paddy-wheat region is using more tubewell than the village of cotton-
wheat region, but has smaller average size of holding. The
tractorisation in the two villages is almost similar.
Two villages are also different in case of employment of
permanent farm servants. The average number of permanent farm
servants working on farms is 0.31 in the village of paddy-wheat region,
where as in the village of cotton-wheat region it is 0.23. This difference
of 0.08 is significant at 10 percent level. It means in paddy-wheat
region more permanent farms servants are hired. Moreover, no
difference was found (Table-1) in terms of average number of adult
male members of cultivators’ households in the two cropping regions.
The estimated mean difference is not significant even at 10 percent
level.
From this discussion we may say that the selected villages are
quite non-homogenous in terms of average holding size (acres),
irrigation and average number of hired permanent farm servants on
farms. In the next section we have tried to explore how these
characteristics affect chances of employment of permanent farm
servants in two different cropping zones.
VI. Impact of Mechanisation and Availability of Family Labour on
the Employment of Permanent Farm Servants: Empirical Results:
In this section we have applied the logit model to analyse how
the previously discussed characteristics impact the probability of
employment of permanent farm servants. The results estimated with
the logit model are presented in tables 2(A) and 2(B).
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From equation -1 given in table 2(A) and 2(B) we may conclude
that tractorisation in each village increases the chances of
employment of permanent farm servants. The estimated coefficient has
a positive sign and is highly significant at 1 percent level; moreover R2
is also quiet high. The AIC is quiet low in comparison to other single
variables given in equation-2 and equation-3.From the estimated
coefficients and slopes we may infer that in cotton-wheat region’s
village with the tractorisation of farms the chances of employment of
permanent farm servants are higher relatively to paddy-wheat region’s
village.
Table 2 (A)
Impact of Mechanisation and Family Labour Supply on the Employment of
Permanent Farm Servants in Cotton-Wheat Region: Logit model
Dependent Variable (Y) : A farm hired a permanent
farm servant =1
Explanatory otherwise = 0
Variables(x)
Eqt.1 Eqt.2 Eqt.3 Eqt. 4
2.59 2.09
Tractor ownership (0.43) (0.46)
- -
[Dummy] = 1 [5.96]*** [4.51]***
{0.45} {0.34}
1.74 0.92
Electric motor
(0.41) - (0.48)
ownership -
[4.25]*** [1.92]*
[Dummy] = 1
{0.35} {0.06}
Adult male 0.60 0.38
members of (0.16) (1.82)
- -
employer’s family [3.91]*** [2.10]**
working on farms {0.09} {0.06}
Intercept -2.48 -1.69 -2.31 -3.17
McFadden R2 0.23 0.09 0.09 0.28
Adj R2 0.21 0.07 0.08 0.24
AIC 149.09 174.60 174.32 143.55
Likelihood Ratio
43.56*** 18.05*** 18.34*** 53.10***
Test
Total Farm
176
(N)
Note: *,**, *** significant at 10%, 5% & 1% [Two Tailed]
‘( )’ contains standard Error ‘ [ ]’ contains Z values.
‘{ }’ contains slopes at mean.
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This may be due to the greater use of tractors on farms in
cotton-wheat region to extract ground water for irrigation, spraying of
chemicals on cotton crop and at the time of sowing cotton and wheat
crops.
Table 2 (B)
Impact of Mechanisation and Family Labour Supply on the
Employment of Permanent Farm Servants in Paddy-Wheat Region:
Logit model
Explanatory Dependent variable (Y) : A farm hired permanent farm
Variables (x) servant =1
otherwise = 0
Eqt.1 Eqt.2 Eqt.3 Eqt. 4
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On the other hand in paddy-wheat region during paddy season
the tractor is used only for preparing fields for the transplantation of
paddy and at the time of sowing of wheat. Due to this difference in
use of tractors for various farm operations in two regions there may be
more chances of employment of permanent farm servants in cotton-
wheat region, the bigger size of holding may also be contributory to the
observed tendency as owners of big farms usually employ permanent
farm servants as tractor drivers. Similarly, the use of electric-motors
on farms increases the probability of employment of permanent farm
servants [Equation-2 in table- 2 (A) and 2 (B)]. In each equation-2, the
estimated co-efficient is highly significant at 1 percent level and R 2
reduces in equation-2 comparatively to previous equation-1 and the
AIC increases. The size of coefficient and slope also reduce in
comparison to tractorisation. In cotton-wheat region’s village the size
of estimated co-efficient and slope is higher than paddy-wheat region’s
village. It is quiet puzzling and difficult to explain because it was
expected to be high in paddy-wheat region where there is more use of
electric motors during paddy season and more labour is consumed for
managing water even during night times. This odd result may be
partly due to the tendency to hire temporary servant for three/ four
months to manage water on farms. This additional employment of a
semi-permanent farm servant may reduce the probability of
employment of permanent farm servants on more irrigated farms with
electric-motors in paddy-wheat region.
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equation-3. The slope is marginally high of this variable in cotton-
wheat region. It means there is more need of family labour and
permanent farm servants. It is true also because cotton crop is more
labour intensive because its harvesting is totally manual and very time
consuming. Moreover, this crop needs spray of chemicals against
insecticides frequently and takes long time to mature which needs
more labour for its care and supervision.
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Table-3
Comparison of Impact of Mechanisation and Family Labour
Supply on the Employment of Permanent Farm Servants in
Cotton-Wheat and Paddy-Wheat Region(Z test statistic)
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VIII. Conclusions:
Notes
1. The traditional agricultural labour markets completely disappeared with
the green revolution [Franke] (1971)];
2. In Punjab, big farms only hire permanent farm servants [Chand(1985)];
3. For a whole year talented and skilled permanent farm servants are hired
even after green revolution [Aggarwal (1971, 1981)];
4. The importance of permanent farm servants for responsible farm tasks
discussed by Mukesh and Kotwal (1985);
5. Mechanisation not only increased the demand of labourers in agriculture
but demand of permanent farm servants who can drive tractors on farms
increased tremendously in Punjab [Shyamol & Melvin (1978)];
6. The categorization of agricultural labourers into casual labourers and
permanent farm servants made in Agricultural Labour Enquiry Reports
during early 1950s criticized by Raj (1962) aftermath no such
demarcation was made by statistical authorities;
7. The probability of employment of permanent farm servants in rural West
Bengal with the logit model carried out by Bardhan (1986). He took
irrigation level of village & rainfall in district etc. as independent
variables;
8. For details see Allison (2008);
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REFERENCES
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