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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 File Name: C:/Documents and Settings/Administrator/My Documents/4 Day Exercise - Xls Colour Codes
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 File Name: C:/Documents and Settings/Administrator/My Documents/4 Day Exercise - Xls Colour Codes
File Name:
C:\Documents and Settings\Administrator\My Documents\4 Day Exercise.xls
Colour Codes
Ex1
Annunity Equity IRR
Min DSCR
Upside Case Project IRR
2008 2009
1
Assumptions
Operating Assumptions
Revenues Assumptions
Number of Rooms 80 80
RevPar - USD/Day 112
Inflation Rate 3%
Occupancy Rate 70%
Other Revenues - Room Service and Conferences 31%
Financing Assumptions
Financing Assumptions
Working Section
Revenues
Number of Rooms 80
RevPar 112.00
Utilisation 70%
Room Revenues 2,289,280
Operating Expenses
Number of Staff 60
Cost per Staff 2,900
Overhead Percentage 30%
Total Staff Costs 226,200
EBITDA 200
Cost/Room 129,000
S-Curve 100%
Rooms 80
Investment 10,320,000
Sources of Funds
Debt 6,528,477.43
Equity Capital Issued 3,791,522.57
Total Sources 10,320,000.00
Debt Schedule
Debt Schedule
Opening Balance - 6,528,477.43
Add: Drawdown 6,528,477.43
Less: Repayments 659,610.87
Closing Balance 6,528,477.43 5,868,866.56
LIBOR Rate 4.50% 4.50%
Credit Spread 1.50% 1.50%
Total Interest Rate 6.000% 6.000%
Depreciation Schedule
Depreciation 1,146,666.67
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Equity Balance
Opening Balance - 3,791,522.57
Add: Net Profit for Year - - 1,076,722.72
Less: Dividends - - 589,666.92
Add: Equity Injection 3,791,522.57 -
Closing Balance 3,791,522.57 3,304,466.78
Balance Sheet
Fixed Assets 10,320,000.00 10,320,000.00
Accumulated Depreciation - 1,146,666.67
Net Assets 10,320,000.00 9,173,333.33
2008 2009
Free Cash (10,320,000.00) 344,140.00
Equity Cas -3,791,522.57 -589,666.92
PR 11.10% Eq IRR 17.98% Gearing
2009
Cash Before Debt S 461,652.59
Divide by Debt Serv 1,051,319.52
Sensitivity Analysis
0.44
140
130
120
110
100
Oil Price
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
Hurdle Rate
17.98%
140
130
120
110
100
Oil Price
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
18.0% RevPar 112
0.44
11.10% Tenor 8
80 80 80 80 80
112 112 112 112 112
3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
70% 70% 70% 70% 70%
31% 31% 31% 31% 31%
60 60 60 60 60
2,900 2,900 2,900 2,900 2,900
30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
80 80 80 80 80
114.80 117.67 120.61 123.63 126.72
70% 70% 70% 70% 70%
2,346,512 2,405,175 2,465,304 2,526,937 2,590,110
60 60 60 60 60
2,973 3,047 3,123 3,201 3,281
30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
231,855 237,651 243,593 249,682 255,925
Gearing
30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
0.80 0.63 0.53 0.46 0.41
0.80 0.63 0.53 0.46 0.41
0.80 0.63 0.53 0.46 0.41
0.80 0.63 0.53 0.46 0.41
0.80 0.63 0.53 0.46 0.41
0.80 0.63 0.53 0.46 0.41
0.80 0.63 0.53 0.46 0.41
0.80 0.63 0.53 0.46 0.41
0.80 0.63 0.53 0.46 0.41
0.80 0.63 0.53 0.46 0.41
0.80 0.63 0.53 0.46 0.41
0.80 0.63 0.53 0.46 0.41
20%
Gearing
30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
13.2% 14.2% 15.5% 17.3% 19.7%
13.2% 14.2% 15.5% 17.3% 19.7%
13.2% 14.2% 15.5% 17.3% 19.7%
13.2% 14.2% 15.5% 17.3% 19.7%
13.2% 14.2% 15.5% 17.3% 19.7%
13.2% 14.2% 15.5% 17.3% 19.7%
13.2% 14.2% 15.5% 17.3% 19.7%
13.2% 14.2% 15.5% 17.3% 19.7%
13.2% 14.2% 15.5% 17.3% 19.7%
13.2% 14.2% 15.5% 17.3% 19.7%
13.2% 14.2% 15.5% 17.3% 19.7%
13.2% 14.2% 15.5% 17.3% 19.7%
2015 2016 2017
7 8 9
80 80 80
112 112 112
3% 3% 3%
70% 70% 70%
31% 31% 31%
60 60 60
2,900 2,900 2,900
30% 30% 30%
80 80 80
129.89 133.13 136.46
70% 70% 70%
2,654,863 2,721,235 2,789,265
60 60 60
3,363 3,447 3,533
30% 30% 30%
262,323 268,881 275,603
1,927,481.49 991,810.86 -
935,670.63 991,810.86 -
991,810.86 - -
4.50% 4.50% 4.50%
1.50% 1.50% 1.50%
6.000% 6.000% 6.000%
115,648.89 59,508.65 -
991,810.86 - -
1,301,522.47 1,146,666.67 -
2,293,333.33 1,146,666.67 -
2.18 2.21
79.32% 97.64%
48.55% 101.27%
80% 90%
0.37 0.34
0.37 0.34
0.37 0.34
0.37 0.34
0.37 0.34
0.37 0.34
0.37 0.34
0.37 0.34
0.37 0.34
0.37 0.34
0.37 0.34
0.37 0.34
80% 90%
23.5% 30.5%
23.5% 30.5%
23.5% 30.5%
23.5% 30.5%
23.5% 30.5%
23.5% 30.5%
23.5% 30.5%
23.5% 30.5%
23.5% 30.5%
23.5% 30.5%
23.5% 30.5%
23.5% 30.5%
Upside Case
3
60 39% 4.5% 3%
3,000,000.00
2,000,000.00
1,000,000.00
-
Row 5
(1,000,000.00) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Row 6
(2,000,000.00)
(3,000,000.00)
(4,000,000.00)
(5,000,000.00)
1,212,558 1,243,402 1,274,461 2,357,026
821,124.84 848,657.31 876,405.25 1,984,866.71
310,554.62 324,448.15 337,546.91 1,633,055.13
1,212,558.44 1,243,402.05 1,274,460.65 2,357,025.77
821,124.84 848,657.31 876,405.25 1,984,866.71
664,544.56 687,379.63 710,289.24 1,813,767.21
753,318.81 779,106.98 804,997.23 2,019,533.37
773,354.58 799,453.95 825,725.79 1,932,666.86
694,532.11 718,266.80 742,103.03 1,846,535.41
795,806.29 822,579.21 849,544.81 1,957,200.45
773,354.58 799,453.95 825,725.79 1,932,666.86
755,160.81 776,844.71 797,898.08 1,984,866.71
857,867.83 894,182.23 931,244.35 2,049,577.60
821,124.84 848,657.31 876,405.25 1,984,866.71
1,134,285.39 1,171,212.68 1,208,637.28 2,327,065.69
826,340.69 854,007.34 881,898.18 1,982,200.04
830,678.89 858,497.98 886,541.15 1,995,306.68
833,784.11 861,696.36 889,835.48 1,998,699.84
897,080.47 926,891.62 956,986.59 2,067,865.48
825,901.86 853,577.65 881,473.20 1,990,086.69
837,358.02 866,321.66 895,673.85 1,984,866.71
785,088.42 804,224.06 823,140.37 1,922,317.77
(160,808.88) (161,457.16) (163,866.13) 1,284,751.21
454,127.90 472,771.57 490,903.19 1,675,079.42
821,124.84 848,657.31 876,405.25 1,984,866.71
1,210,241.02 1,249,446.98 1,289,218.61 2,410,064.47
Row 5
9 10
Row 6
Interest
Rate
Cost of
Food
Num of
Staff
Cost of
Staff
Low vs Base
High vs Base
Other
Rev Pct
Cost
per Room
Occupancy
Rate
Room
Rate
4,000,000.00
2,000,000.00
-
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
(2,000,000.00)
(6,000,000.00)
(8,000,000.00)
(10,000,000.00)
(12,000,000.00)
Annunity PR IRR 11.10% Eq IRR 13.19% Gearing 30% Term 8 DSCR 0.80
4,000,000.00
2,000,000.00
0.00
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
-2,000,000.00
Free Cash
-4,000,000.00 Equity Cash
-6,000,000.00
-8,000,000.00
-10,000,000.00
-12,000,000.00
Base Case 1 2 3
Base Case 1 2 3
Downside Case 100 200 300
Upside Case 4000 5000 6000
Base Case
=INDEX(E5:G7,1,1)-- 1
1
=INDEX(E5:G7,3,3)-- 6000
=INDEX(E5:G7,1,3)-- 3
=INDEX(E5:E7,2)--> 100
=INDEX(E7:G7,3)--> 6000
Annunity
PR IRR 11.10% Eq IRR 13.19% Gearing 30% Term 8 DSCR 0.80 RevPar 112
2,500,000.00
2,000,000.00
1,500,000.00
1,000,000.00
500,000.00
0.00
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017