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Regular Paper

Creating a Proactive Obsolescence


Management System Framework through the
Systems Engineering Continuum
Todd G. Pobiak,* Thomas A. Mazzuchi, and Shahram Sarkani

School of Engineering & Applied Science, George Washington University, 1776 G Street, NW, Washington, DC 20052
PROACTIVE OBSOLESCENCE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM FRAMEWORK VIA THE SE CONTINUUM

Received 26 October 2011; Revised 25 November 2011; Accepted 25 November 2012, after one or more revisions
Published online 23 May 2013 in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com).
DOI 10.1002/sys.21258

ABSTRACT
With commercial and military systems becoming more complex, using more sophisticated products,
complex processes, and specialized people and having longer system life cycles, it is essential that
organizations have a systematic approach to managing systems from an Obsolescence Management
System perspective. This paper presents a new systems engineering architecture framework, House of
Systems Engineering (HoSE), and shows how its constructs can be applied to support the building of a
proactive Obsolescence Management System framework. We first provide a brief overview of the HoSE,
including the systems engineering aspects and the systems architecture methodology used in the HoSE.
Next, we discuss the 2-dimensional Obsolescence Management System framework based on the HoSE.
Finally, a case study is performed to justify the framework. The case study results suggest that the
framework is beneficial in finding gaps in an Obsolescence Management Plan. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals,
Inc. Syst Eng 17: 125–139, 2014

Key words: Obsolescence Management; DMSMS; framework; systems engineering; House of Systems
Engineering; architecture framework

1. INTRODUCTION prises [e.g., military]), have a systematic approach to manag-


ing these systems. Stogdill [1999: 18] points out that: “ Ob-
Obsolescence is not just a components engineering problem; solescence issues are not unique to any particular weapon or
obsolescence is not just a program problem; obsolescence is support system. Obsolescence occurs in all systems with a
an enterprise problem [Drake, 2003]. As early as the 1940s, service life longer than that of one or more of their compo-
utility companies were struggling with obsolescence issues nents” .
[Bonbright, 1941]. With military and commercial systems A longer system life cycle has led to a significant concern
becoming more complex, using more sophisticated compo- regarding component obsolescence. Obsolescence can be
nents, and having a longer system life cycle, it is essential that caused by the rapid changes in technology (components,
enterprises, both private enterprises (e.g., commercial nuclear material, etc.), uneconomical production requirements, envi-
power plants [DiSandro and Torok, 2005] and public enter- ronmental or safety requirements, and limited availability of
items. Rapid advances in technology have shortened compo-
nent life cycles from between 10 and 20 years to between 3
*Author to whom all correspondence should be addressed (e-mail: tpo- and 5 years [McDermott, Shearer, and Tomczykowski, 1999].
biak@gwu.edu; Todd.Pobiak@hii-nns.com).
Perry [1994: 3] pointed out in his acquisition reform memo-
Systems Engineering Vol. 17, No. 2, 2014 randum “ that the design cycle for commercial technology is
© 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. approximately 3–4 years and for the Department of Defense
125
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126 POBIAK,
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SARKANI

(DOD) it is 8–10 years.” Many DOD systems are technologi- ance to Obsolescence Management decision-makers in devel-
cally obsolete at the time they are fielded. Driven by the oping an Obsolescence Management plan.
consumer electronics product sector, newer and better elec-
tronic components are being introduced more frequently,
rendering older components obsolete [Singh and Sandborn, 2. AN OVERVIEW OF THE HOUSE OF SYSTEMS
2006]. It is estimated that approximately 3% of the global pool ENGINEERING (HoSE)
of electronic components goes obsolete every month [Sand-
born, Mauro, and Knox, 2007]. Nonelectronic (mechanical) The House of Systems Engineering (HoSE) (Fig. 1) is a
obsolescence issues have been surfacing for several years in systems engineering architecture framework. The concept of
the military aviation community. By fiscal year 2020, the Air the HoSE was originally introduced in 2010 [Pobiak, 2010].
Force is projecting that the average age of its aircraft will The HoSE shows the big picture of systems engineering rather
exceed 30 years. Most of these aircraft were designed to fly than a stovepipe approach. It is our hope that this system
for 20–25 years [Howard, 2002]. There also needs to be a engineering architecture framework (HoSE), discussed be-
focus on software obsolescence since software is being used low, will be used to build successful systems (e.g., the Obso-
in nearly all modern systems today. These systems rely on lescence Management System), will support educational
software to replace discrete logic circuits and control mecha- institutions in teaching system engineering principles, and
nisms that were used in the past. will be a valuable tool for systems engineers from a holistic
Regardless if it is newer developments in technology (i.e., approach.
IC processing power), or the manufacturer is no longer in Frameworks help organize and assess completeness of
business to produce and supply a custom component, organi- integrated models of their enterprises [Bahill, Botta, and
zations must be prepared to deal with this issue of component, Daniels, 2006). Architecture is the art and science of building.
technology, and manufacture obsolescence. Organizations However, in engineering context, if one were to apply the
that are in this type of technology driven environment will definition of architecture cited above, the art or science of
sooner or later need to address the obsolescence issue from a building, then one can easily extend architecture to the de-
proactive system approach if they are going to compete and signing and building of any complex system. Building one
survive in the global economy. room at a time without the blueprints for the whole house is
analogous to developing business resources and systems
As pointed out by Herald et al. [2009: 3], a proactive
without an enterprise architecture framework. The result is
management approach to obsolescence is much better than a
“ ‘wait and see’ approach that focuses on point-solution sup- duplication of functions, inefficient information exchanges,
port and reaction to an obsolescence event. Reacting to an
obsolescence event after it has already occurred, often re-
quires more cost to rectify, and takes on the risk of system
downtime which jeopardizes operational schedules.” Proc-
esses must be in place to proactively deal with obsolescence.
A framework provides a systematic taxonomy1 of con-
cepts, and it provides a way of viewing a system from many
different perspectives and showing how they are all related
[Sowa and Zachman, 1992]. System architecture shows a
logical construct (or architecture) for defining and controlling
the interfaces and the integration of all of the system compo-
nents. A framework should be established for rationalizing
the various architectural concepts and specifications in order
to provide clear communication, to allow for improving and
integrating development methodologies and tools, and to
establish credibility and confidence in systems [Zachman,
1987].
The systems engineering architecture framework proposed
to support the development of the Obsolescence Management
System framework is the House of System Engineering
(HoSE). The HoSE leverages the framework description pro-
vided by Sowa and Zachman [1992]. The foundation of the
HoSE is based on sound system engineering principles dis-
cussed in the INCOSE Systems Engineering Handbook [IN-
COSE, 2010] and the Systems and Software Engineering
International Standard [ISO/IEC-15288, 2008]. The Obsoles-
cence Management System framework shall provide guid-
1
Taxonomy—from ancient Greek “ arrangement” and ancient Greek nomia Figure 1. House of Systems Engineering (HoSE). [Color figure can
“ method” — the study of the general principles of scientific classification be viewed in the online issue, which is available at wileyonlineli-
[Merriam-Webster, 2011]. brary.com.]

Systems Engineering DOI 10.1002/sys


PROACTIVE OBSOLESCENCE
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and a lack of integration [Bernard, 2005]. The architecture of


a system generally refers to the structural description of the
set of elements that comprise that system and the contextual
relationships between them [Morganwalp and Sage, 2004].

2.1. Main Features of the HoSE


Figure 2 shows the three major structures of the HoSE:
foundation, frame (SE3 Cube), and roof.

2.1.1. Foundation
The foundation of the HoSE is based on the systems engineer-
ing principals outlined in both the INCOSE Systems Engi-
neering Handbook [INCOSE, 2010] and the Systems and
Software Engineering International Standard [ISO/IEC-
15288, 2008].

2.1.2. Frame (SE3 Cube)


The frame of the HoSE, also referred to as the System Engi-
neering Cube (SE3 Cube), is the main structure of the frame-
work. Figure 3 highlights the main features of the SE3 Cube.
The SE3 Cube has the risk cube color code scheme (green,
yellow, and red) to represent that every System Life Cycle
Stage shall involve Risk Management. The SE3 Cube consists Figure 3. Frame: Systems Engineering Cube (SE3 Cube). [Color
of the following six main aspects: System of Interest (SOI), figure can be viewed in the online issue, which is available at
System Life Cycle Processes, System Life Cycle Stages, wileyonlinelibrary.com.]

Horizontal Crosscutting Element (Horizontal SE3 Cube


View), Vertical Crosscutting Element (Vertical SE3 Cube
View), and the SE3 Cube Element (SE3 Cube Viewpoint).
Below are the descriptions of each of these six aspects of the
SE3 Cube.
2.1.2.1. System of Interest (SOI). The System of Interest
(SOI) represents the system under observation. It represents
a distinct system view, such as the system itself, its subsys-
tems, its components, and its parts. This could be an aircraft
system (system), wing motor drive subsystem (subsys-
tem/system element), motor (component), or transistor (part).
It is the selected SOI that will be analyzed from a systems
engineering perspective across the various System Life Cycle
Processes and System Life Cycle Stages. The Vertical SE3
Cube View, discussed later, will explain this concept in more
detail.
2.1.2.2. System Life Cycle Processes. The HoSE uses the
four System Life Cycle Processes as expressed in Systems
and Software Engineering International Standard [ISO/IEC-
15288, 2008]. The four System Life Cycle Process described
in ISO/IEC 15288 are as follows:
2.1.2.2.1. Agreement Processes. The Agreement Processes
define the necessary activities to establish an agreement
between two enterprises.
2.1.2.2.2. Organizational Project-Enabling Processes.
The Organizational Project-Enabling Processes ensure
the enterprise’s capability to acquire and supply serv-
ices and products through the initiation, support, and
control of projects. They provide the necessary re-
Figure 2. Three major structures of the House of Systems Engineer- sources and infrastructure to support projects and en-
ing. [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue, which is sure the satisfaction of established agreements and
available at wileyonlinelibrary.com.] organizational objectives.

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128 POBIAK, MAZZUCHI, AND SARKANI

2.1.2.2.3. Project Processes. The Project Processes are Processes and artifacts across all System Life Cycles for a
used to establish and develop project plans, carry out specific SOI.
the project plans, evaluate actual achievement, and 2.1.2.6. SE3 Cube Element (SE3 Cube Viewpoint). The
progress against the established plans, and control exe- SE3 Cube Element (SE3 Cube Viewpoint) is a distinct view-
cution of the project through to completion. point of a SOI (e.g., Radar System) at a specific System Life
2.1.2.2.4. Technical Processes. The Technical Processes Cycle Stage. SE3 Cube Viewpoint would be beneficial if a
are used to define the requirements for a product or systems engineer wanted to focus on a particular attribute (a
system, transform the established requirements into specific process, requirement, metric, etc.) of a SOI at a
successful product, allow for consistent reproduction particular System Life Cycle Stage. SE3 Cube Viewpoint can
of the product where necessary, utilize the product to be seen as one of many Knowledge Management cells (e.g.,
provide the required services, sustain those services, processes, information, data, metrics, etc.) within the HoSE
and dispose of the product when the services are no framework. These knowledge management cells would then
longer necessary. transfer this information to the main repository of the system.
2.1.2.3. System Life Cycle Stages. The HoSE identifies
seven System Life Cycle Stages as expressed in INCOSE 2.1.3. Roof
Systems Engineering Handbook Software [INCOSE, 2010]. The roof represents Knowledge Management; it represents
The seven System Life Cycle Stages described in the IN- the repository of information (policies, procedures, processes,
COSE Systems Engineering Handbook are as follows: data, stakeholder requirements, etc.). Knowledge Manage-
2.1.2.3.1. Exploratory Research. The Exploratory Re- ment leverages relevant knowledge assets to improve effi-
search Stage identifies stakeholders’ needs, and ex- ciency, effectiveness, and innovation [Stankosky, 2004]. The
plores ideas and technologies to integrate into systems. roof has the risk cube color coded scheme (green, yellow, and
2.1.2.3.2. Concept. The Concept Stage refine stakehold- red) to represent that Risk Management protects the complete
ers’ needs, search feasible concepts, and proposes prac- system.
tical solutions for systems.
2.1.2.3.3. Development. The Development Stage refines
system requirements, creates solution description, 3. AN OBSOLESCENCE MANAGEMENT
builds a system, and verifies and validates a system. SYSTEM FRAMEWORK
2.1.2.3.4. Production. The Production Stage produces sys-
tems, inspects, verifies, and validates systems. To support the objectives in Section 1, we took the SE3 Cube
2.1.2.3.5. Utilization. The Utilization Stage operates the (Fig. 3), and converted it to a 2-dimensional framework to
system to meet users’ system and service needs. support the development of an Obsolescence Management
2.1.2.3.6. Support. The Support Stage provides sustained System framework from a systems engineering perspective.
capability to systems. Table I represents the initially suggested framework. It is
2.1.2.3.7. Retirement. The Retirement Stage stores, ar- constructed as a 25 × 7 matrix with 25 general system engi-
chives, or disposes of the system and services when no neering System Life Cycle Processes as rows (A–Y), and 7
longer required. System Life Cycle Stages (1–7). There are a total of 176 cells
2.1.2.4. Horizontal Crosscutting Element (Horizontal in the framework. The rows and columns will be used in
SE3 Cube View). The horizontal crosscutting element (hori- combination to determine cell applicability for the Obsoles-
zontal SE3 Cube View) is a representative view of multiple cence Management System requirements identified below
SOI’s from the perspective of a specific System Life Cycle (e.g., J1–J7 (The Obsolescence Management System require-
Stage. For example, if multiple SOI’s (e.g., jet propulsion ment is applicable to the Decision Management Process and
system, jet electronic system, etc.) were being evaluated at is applicable throughout all System Life Cycle Stages (Ex-
any give System Life Cycle Stage (e.g., production stage), the ploratory Research—Retirement), Y7 (the Obsolescence
horizontal SE3 Cube View would represent all common Sys- Management System requirement is applicable to the Dis-
tem Life Cycle Process and artifacts for those SOI’s. This posal Process and is applicable to the Retirement System Life
horizontal SE3 Cube View would be useful for systems engi- Cycle Stage).
neers to determine what common System Life Cycle Process Table I shows the HoSE’s SE3 Cube Viewpoint (small
could be applied across multiple SOI’s (e.g., jet propulsion bolded outlined box) in the 2-dimensional framework; it is the
system, jet electronic system, etc.). This would eliminate the individual cell within the framework matrix. Table I also
duplication of processes, resources, etc. shows the HoSE’s vertical SE3 Cube View (large bolded
2.1.2.5. Vertical Crosscutting Element (Vertical SE3 outlined box) in the 2-dimensional layout. It is the complete
Cube View). The vertical crosscutting element (vertical SE3 view of all viewpoints within the framework.
Cube View) is a representative view of a specific SOI (e.g., This framework is intended to provide a complete view of
jet propulsion system) across all System Life Cycle Stages the Obsolescence Management System. Therefore, each
(Exploratory Research through Retirement). From the per- viewpoint in the matrix needs to be evaluated to determine
spective of the vertical SE3 Cube View, all System Life Cycle how the System Life Cycle Processes apply to Obsolescence
Processes and artifacts across all System Life Cycles Stages Management at each System Life Cycle Stage (when). Devel-
can be viewed from a specific SOI perspective. The vertical oping a system can be very complex (e.g., from defining the
SE3 Cube View is beneficial to systems engineers in evaluat- stakeholder needs, developing the requirements, synthesizing
ing whether there are any gaps in the System Life Cycle those requirements, developing the system, etc.). The need

Systems Engineering DOI 10.1002/sys


PROACTIVE
PROACTIVE OBSOLESCENCE
OBSOLESCENCE MANAGEMENT
MANAGEMENT SYSTEMSYSTEM FRAMEWORK
FRAMEWORK VIA THEVIA
SE THE 129 129
SE CONTINUUM
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Table I. Obsolescence Management System Framework

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130 POBIAK,
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has already been determined: Develop an Obsolescence Man- 3.1.2. Organizational Project-Enabling Processes
agement System framework to support a system from concept 3.1.2.1. Life Cycle Model Management Process. The
through retirement. For the purposes of this paper (and for purpose of the Life Cycle Model Management Process is to
simplicity), only the requirements portion of the Obsoles- provide life cycle policies, processes, procedures, and models
cence Management System will be identified from a systems that support the organization’s objectives that are defined,
engineering perspective. Future works by the authors will adapted, improved, and maintained to support project needs.
address the Obsolescence Management System framework in This process involves establishing policies and procedures,
more detail. monitoring process execution, prioritizing, and planning im-
provement opportunities.
3.1. Obsolescence Management System These are the OMS requirements that have been deter-
Framework SE3 Cube Viewpoint Evaluation mined to fall under the Life Cycle Model Management Proc-
ess (requirements are applicable at C3–C7 except where
The requirements for the Obsolescence Management System noted): OMS requirements shall be documented in an organi-
were derived from the key aspects of the System Life Cycle zation’s Obsolescence Management System Plan (OMSP)
Processes, as described in the Systems and Software Engi- (C3); OMSP shall be incorporated into applicable organiza-
neering International Standard [ISO/IEC-15288, 2008], lit- tional procedures (C3); OMSP shall be updated as required;
erature review, and the authors’ knowledge on the subject OMS shall ensure that policies, procedures, and process are
matter. As a good practice for writing system requirements, up-to-date; OMS shall plan and prioritize organizational Ob-
shall was used in each of the Obsolescence Management
solescence Management improvements.
System requirement statements. To better understand the cor-
Note: see Section 3.2.1, Context Diagram for an Obsoles-
relations between the Obsolescence Management System re-
cence Management System Process.
quirements and the System Life Cycle Processes, the 25
3.1.2.2. Infrastructure Management Process. The pur-
System Life Cycle Processes in ISO/IEC 15288 will be de-
pose of the Infrastructure Management Process is to provide
scribed, along with the initially suggested Obsolescence Man-
agement System requirements, as follows. the infrastructure and services to projects to meet organiza-
tional objectives throughout the life cycle. This process de-
3.1.1. Agreement Processes fines infrastructure requirements (tools, facilities,
3.1.1.1. Acquisition Process. The purpose of the Acquisi- communications and information technology resources),
tion Process is to obtain a service or product in accordance maintains infrastructure requirements, and improves infra-
with the requirements of the acquirer. This process involves structure resources as project requirements change.
developing acquisition strategy, developing contract/agree- These are the OMS requirements that have been deter-
ment document, supplier selection, developing a communica- mined to fall under the Infrastructure Management Process
tion strategy, and supplier payments. (requirements are applicable at D1–D7): OMS shall specify
These are the Obsolescence Management System (OMS) hardware requirements (e.g., computers, etc.); OMS shall
requirements that have been determined to fall under the specify software requirements (e.g., database, etc.); OMS
Acquisition Process (requirements are applicable at A3–A7 shall be supported by information technology services; OMS
except where noted): OMS requirements shall be stated in shall specify stowage facilities requirements (required tem-
agreement (contracts, statement of work, etc.) documents perature control, security, etc.). OMS infrastructure needs
(A3); OMS requirement agreements/contracts shall be moni- shall be continuously identified, improved, and communi-
tored; OMS requirement agreement shall be updated as required; cated.
OMS shall be supported by the supplier selection process; OMS 3.1.2.3. Project Portfolio Management Process. The
shall have a transfer strategy with supplier for products (e.g., purpose of the Project Portfolio Management Process is to
drawings, specifications, tooling, etc.) and services; OMS shall initiate and sustain projects in order to meet the strategic
have a communication plan with suppliers. objectives of the organization. This process secures business
3.1.1.2. Supplier Process. The purpose of the Supply and investment opportunities; provides budgets and re-
Process is to provide an acquirer with a service or product that sources; and defines project management authorities and ac-
meets the agreed-upon requirements. This process involves countabilities.
identifying an acquirer for a service or product, con- These are the OMS requirements that have been deter-
tracts/agreement requirements, developing a communication mined to fall under the Project Portfolio Management Process
strategy, and acquirer payments. (requirements are applicable at E1–E7): OMS shall be con-
These are the OMS requirements that have been deter- sidered an investment opportunity for an organization to
mined to fall under the Supplier Process (requirements are support projects; OMS shall use a valid and realistic cost
applicable at B3–B7 except where noted): OMS requirements avoidance methodology to support return on investment
shall be stated in agreement (contracts, statement of work, (ROI) calculations; OMS shall be justified by a business case
etc.) documents (B3); OMS requirement agreements shall be analysis; OMS shall support the goal to reduce total owner-
monitored; OMS requirement agreements shall be updated as ship cost; OMS shall support the goal to reduce system life
required; OMS shall have a transfer strategy with acquirer for cycle cost; OMS shall identify who has organizational respon-
products (e.g., drawings, specifications, tooling, etc.) and sibility, accountability, and authority for Obsolescence Man-
services; OMS shall have a communication plan with the agement; OMS shall specify how obsolescence issues will be
acquirer. reported and on what timeline.

Systems Engineering DOI 10.1002/sys


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3.1.2.4. Human Resource Management Process. The 3.1.3.2. Project Assessment and Control Process. The
purpose of the Human Resource Management Process is to purpose of the Project Assessment and Control Process is to
provide the organization with the necessary human resources. determine the project status and direct the project plan to
This process identifies the skills required for a project; en- make certain that the project performs according to the estab-
sures that personnel skills are developed, maintained, and lished plans. This process evaluates projects’ progress against
enhanced; individual information, knowledge, and skills are established requirements; analyzes project performance indi-
recorded, shared, and reused. Human Resource Management cators; ensures that adequate resources and services are pro-
Process is also responsible for knowledge management infra- vided to achieve project plan; communicates project status to
structure. responsible parties; defines and directs corrective actions
These are the OMS requirements that have been deter- when project plan is not being achieved.
mined to fall under the Human Resource Management Proc- These are the OMS requirements that have been deter-
ess (requirements are applicable at F1–F7): OMS shall mined to fall under the Project Assessment and Control
determine the human resource skills required to support Ob- Process (requirements are applicable at I3–I7 except where
solescence Management; OMS shall develop or obtain edu- noted): OMS shall specify what performance measures and
cational and training resources to support Obsolescence data to monitor (e.g., obsolescence metric data); OMS shall
Management; OMS shall maintain records for those employ- dictate that audits be performed on suppliers with products
ees that have had education and training in Obsolescence that have potential for obsolescence; OMS shall mandate
Management; OMS shall develop and maintain a knowledge supplier surveys to assist in predicting product obsolescence;
management repository for all information relating to Obso- OMS shall use predictive tools [e.g., Obsolescence Manage-
lescence Management for the entire system hierarchy. ment Information System (OMIS), Government and Industry
3.1.2.5. Quality Management Process. The purpose of Data Exchange Program (GIDEP), etc.] to evaluate hierarchy
the Quality Management Process is to ensure that services and of system to predicting product obsolescence; OMS shall
products meet the organization’s quality objectives to obtain report and communicate Obsolescence Management issues as
customer satisfaction. This process defines quality processes they arise, and define and direct corrective actions; OMS shall
and procedures, defines quality objectives, establishes ac- evaluate new technologies to assist with eliminating obsoles-
countability and authorities, reports customer satisfaction cence issues (I1–I6)—consider using the Mitigation of Obso-
status, and takes action when quality objectives are not met. lescence Cost Analysis (MOCA) software for technology
These are the OMS requirements that have been deter- insertions to help mitigate obsolescence issues [Sandborn,
mined to fall under the Quality Management Process (require- 2004].
ments are applicable at G1–G7 except where noted): OMS
3.1.3.3. Decision Management Process. The purpose of
shall use quality management measures (supplier audits, Bill
the Decision Management Process is to choose the best course
of Material reviews, etc.) to ensure that the system meets
of project action where alternatives exist. This process defines
technical, quality, cost, and schedule requirements to achieve
and plans decisions; analyzes decision information; and
customer satisfaction; OMS shall ensure that organization
tracks decisions.
quality management objectives support Obsolescence Man-
agement; OMS shall be integrated into the Quality Manage- These are the OMS requirements that have been deter-
ment Plan (G3). mined to fall under the Decision Management process (re-
quirements are applicable at J1–J7 except where noted): OMS
3.1.3. Project Process shall determine who has the authority to make what decisions
3.1.3.1. Project Planning Process. The purpose of the (e.g., management buy-in) related to Obsolescence Manage-
Project Planning Process is to create and communicate effec- ment; OMS shall make decisions related to technical (e.g.,
tive and feasible project plans. This process delivers project electrical, mechanical, etc.) obsolescence issues; OMS shall
plans; defines roles, responsibilities, authorities, and account- make decisions related to enterprise (contracts, budgets, poli-
abilities for the project; requests services and resources cies, procedures, etc.) obsolescence issues; OMS shall make
needed to meet project objectives; directs staff according to obsolescence decisions based on obsolescence prioritization
project plans; activates project plans. planning (J3–J6); OMS shall make obsolescence decisions
These are the OMS requirements that have been deter- based on trade-studies; OMS shall make decisions related to
mined to fall under the Planning Process (requirements are technology refresh plans (J1–J6); OMS shall make decisions
applicable at H1–H7 except where noted): OMS shall indicate related to technology insertion plans (J1–J6); OMS shall
obsolescence resource constraints (e.g., budget, component make decisions related to Risk Management regarding obso-
quantity, technologies, etc.); OMS shall be included in the lescence; OMS shall determine how decisions for obsoles-
work breakdown structure; OMS shall define roles, responsi- cence will be reported and maintained.
bilities, accountabilities, and authorities for Obsolescence 3.1.3.4. Risk Management Process. The purpose of the
Management; OMS shall estimate the budget required to Risk Management Process is to continuously identify, ana-
support the project; OMS shall determine the required human lyze, treat, and monitor the risks.
resource to support the project; OMS shall identify the infra- These are the OMS requirements that have been deter-
structure requirements (stowage capacity needs, information mined to fall under the Risk Management Process (require-
technology assets: computers, software, etc.) to support the ments are applicable at K1–K7): OMS shall identify
project; OMS shall be integrated into the Systems Engineer- obsolescence risks; OMS shall analyze obsolescence risks;
ing Plan (H3). OMS shall prioritize obsolescence risks; OMS shall deter-

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mine how the obsolescence risks will be mitigated; OMS shall holder requirements, analyzes stakeholder requirements, and
determine how obsolescence risks will be reported. maintains stakeholder requirements.
3.1.3.5. Configuration Management Process. The pur- These are the OMS requirements that have been deter-
pose of the Configuration Management Process is to deter- mined to fall under the Stakeholder Requirements Definition
mine and maintain the integrity of all identified outputs of a Process (requirements are applicable at O1–O3): OMS shall
process or project and make them available to the appropriate identify all stakeholders who have knowledge and experience
stakeholders. This process plans and performs configuration in Obsolescence Management; OMS shall document all Ob-
management. solescence Management System requirements (this paper can
These are the OMS requirements that have been deter- be used as a starting point for those requirements); OMS shall
mined to fall under the Configuration Management Process define any constraints on the Obsolescence Management
(requirements are applicable at L3–L7 except where noted): System requirements (e.g., budget, stowage capacity, human
OMS shall mandate system configuration control; OMS shall resources, etc.).
identify items (e.g., system elements, components, parts) 3.1.4.2. Requirements Analysis Process. The purpose of
under configuration control that have been identified as a the Requirements Analysis Process is to take stakeholder
candidate for becoming obsolete (markings, identifiers, etc.); requirements and transform them into a technical view of a
OMS shall store controlled obsolete items (e.g., system ele- required product that could meet those services. This process
ments, components, and parts that will be retained for main- defines system requirements, analyzes system requirements,
taining existing systems that use these items) in the and maintains system requirements.
appropriate environment (e.g., temperature); OMS shall These are the OMS requirements that have been deter-
maintain strict control and access to controlled obsolete items; mined to fall under the Requirements Analysis Process (re-
OMS shall maintain configuration data for controlled obso- quirements are applicable at P2–P3): OMS shall, during the
lete items; OMS shall update the configuration data when defining of the systems functional boundaries and interfaces,
obsolete items are deleted from the system and new items are consider generic system development [common design across
added to replace these obsolete items (L3–L6). various platforms (e.g., aircraft carriers and submarines)] and
3.1.3.6. Information Management Process. The purpose common interfaces (plug and play modules) to eliminate
of the Information Management Process is to provide rele- redesign or rework due to obsolescence; OMS, when consid-
vant, timely, complete, and valid information to designated ering how long the system needs to last/perform, shall take
into account how obsolescence might affect critical systems;
stakeholders. This process produces, collects, transforms,
OMS shall define all stakeholder constraints/limitations re-
stores, retrieves, disseminates, and disposes of information. It
lated to obsolescence; OMS, when specifying system require-
manages technical, project, organizational, agreement, and
ments and functions based on risk and criticality, shall be sure
user information.
to consider obsolescence issues related to reliability, avail-
These are the OMS requirements that have been deter- ability, and supportability; OMS shall analyze all Obsoles-
mined to fall under the Information Management Process cence Management requirements and make sure all
(requirements are applicable at M1–M7): OMS shall define requirements have been clearly identified and defined.
the Obsolescence Management information that needs to be 3.1.4.3. Architectural Design Process. The purpose of the
managed; OMS shall determine the content and format of Architectural Design Process is to synthesize design solution
information; OMS shall identify who has the authority to so that system requirements are satisfied. This process per-
originate, generate, archive, and dispose of this information; forms effectiveness assessments, tradeoff analysis, and risk
OMS shall determine who can access and retrieve this Obso- analysis that will lead to the most feasible and optimized
lescence Management information. design.
3.1.3.7. Measurement Process. The purpose of the Meas- These are the OMS requirements that have been deter-
urement Process is to gather, analyze, and report data relating mined to fall under the Architectural Design Process (require-
to the products and processes, to support effective manage- ments are applicable at Q1–Q7, except where noted): OMS,
ment of those processes, and to validate quality of products. when developing the design criteria for system elements, shall
These are the OMS requirements that have been deter- verify that it is sustainable through life time support methods;
mined to fall under the Measurement Process (requirements OMS shall, when determining to use commercial-off-the-
are applicable at N1–N7): OMS shall determine the obso- shelf (COTS) system elements, evaluate alternative design
lescence information needs of technical and management solution through trade studies (Q1–Q6); OMS shall ensure
personnel; OMS shall determine the required data to be that COTS will be supported by design configuration methods
collected, analyzed, and reported to support obsolescence and obsolescence control and notification (Q1–Q6); OMS
needs; OMs shall define the criteria to evaluate this obso- shall determine whether obsolescence system elements can be
lescence data. reused and how these elements will be managed and control-
led for reuse and retention; OMS shall design and refine
3.1.4. Technical Processes (technology insertions or technology refresh) system alterna-
3.1.4.1. Stakeholder Requirements Definition Process. tives through the use of trade studies, business case analysis,
The purpose of the Stakeholder requirements Definition Proc- and technology roadmaps—technology evaluations (avail-
ess is to define the system requirements that can provide the able and emerging) (Q1–Q6).
products and services needed by stakeholders in a defined 3.1.4.4. Implementation Process. The purpose of the
environment. This process elicits requirements, defines stake- Implementation Process is to create a specified system ele-

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ment. This process uses the allocated requirements for the when in operation, meet the terms of the stakeholders’ re-
system element to design, code, fabricate, or build each quirements in its intended operational environment.
individual element using specified processes, standards, ma- The following is the OMS requirement that has been
terial, and technologies based on drawings, instructions, and determined to fall under the Validation Process (requirement
other design information. is applicable to V3–V4): OMS shall validate that the right
These are the OMS requirements that have been deter- Obsolescence Management system requirements have been
mined to fall under the Implementation Process (requirements created that supports the stakeholder obsolescence require-
are applicable at R1–R7 except where noted): OMS shall ments in the operational environment and that they will
determine how procedures, fabrication processes, tooling,
achieve customer satisfaction.
and equipment will be managed and supported in regards to
obsolescence (R3); OMS shall determine a system element 3.1.4.9. Operation Process. The purpose of the Operation
replacement strategy (technology insertion, technology re- Process is to deliver expected services when the system is in
fresh, etc.) to mitigate obsolescence issues; OMS shall focus use. This process prepares the system for operations, performs
on critical limitation areas, such as old and new technologies system activation, and verifies that the system is meeting the
and materials that might introduce risks associated with ob- customer’s needs.
solescence. These are the OMS requirements that have been deter-
3.1.4.5. Integration Process. The purpose of the Integra- mined to fall under the Operation Process (requirements are
tion Process is to develop a system by assembling it based on applicable at W5): OMS shall monitor system elements that
the architectural design. This process assembles system ele- have been identified as having obsolescence concerns; OMS
ments to form complete or partial systems to create a product shall identify new system elements that might become obso-
dictated by the system requirements. lete; OMS shall prioritize and resolve these system elements
These are the OMS requirements that have been deter- obsolescence issues; OMS shall develop modernization (e.g.,
mined to fall under the Integration Process (requirements are
technology insertions, technology refresh, etc.) plans to sus-
applicable at S4 except where noted): OMS shall ensure that
tain system elements due to system element obsolescence
system elements are available for integration and not delayed
due to obsolescence issues; OMS shall determine how system issues during operation.
integration items (e.g., jigs, assembly equipment) will be 3.1.4.10. Maintenance Process. The purpose of the Main-
managed in regards to system element obsolescence (S4–S7); tenance Process is to sustain system capability to provide a
OMS shall ensure, when obtaining system elements from service. This process plans maintenance and performs main-
stowage that have been identified as controlled obsolete tenance.
items, that there are appropriate control requirements (secu- These are the OMS requirements that have been deter-
rity, inventory management, etc.) in place (S4–S7). mined to fall under the Maintenance Process (requirements
3.1.4.6. Verification Process. The purpose of the Verifi- are applicable at X6): OMS shall determine how system
cation Process is to confirm that the system fulfills the speci- elements with obsolescence issues will be obtained (e.g.,
fied design requirements. This process plans verification and bridge buy, life time buy, etc.) to support the system; OMS
performs verification on the system elements. shall determine the appropriate quantities of obsolete sys-
The following is the OMS requirement that has been tem elements that need to be available to support the system
determined to fall under the Verification Process (requirement
maintenance replacement plan and predicted failure rates;
is applicable to T3–T4): OMS shall verify that design meets
Obsolescence Management system requirements (e.g., sus- OMS shall document and record the replacement of obso-
tainment requirements, configuration requirements, risk man- lete system elements; OMS shall determine the proper
agement requirements, etc.). storage and handling of the obsolete system elements that
3.1.4.7. Transition Process. The purpose of the Transition will be used to support the system; OMS shall determine if
Process is to create a capability to provide services directed the obsolete system elements that are being replaced for
by stakeholder requirements in the operational environment. maintenance can be refurbished to sustain the life of these
This process installs a verified system, along with enabling system elements.
systems as defined in agreements. 3.1.4.11. Disposal Process. The purpose of the Disposal
These are the OMS requirements that have been deter- Process is to end the system entity existence. This process
mined to fall under this Transition Process (requirements are plans disposal, performs disposal, and finalizes disposal.
applicable at U4–U5): OMS shall ensure that proper system These are the OMS requirements that have been deter-
configuration is recorded to properly track system element mined to fall under the Disposal Process (requirements are
obsolescence issues; OMS shall ensure that proper storage,
applicable at Y7): OMS shall identify obsolete system ele-
handling, and shipping methods have been established for
ments to be retained for reuse to support systems that still have
system elements obsolescence items so they are not damaged,
mishandled, or misplaced; OMS shall ensure that service is these system elements installed; OMS shall determine the
sustainable by the Obsolescence Management system; OMS proper storage and handling of these Obsolete system ele-
shall ensure that enabling systems are sustainable and do not ments (e.g., might have radiation concerns, etc.); OMS shall
have obsolescence issues. determine the proper disposal/destruction methods of system
3.1.4.8. Validation Process. The purpose of the Validation elements to prevent counterfeit system elements reentering
Process is to provide evidence that the system’s services, the supply chain.

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3.2. Supporting Artifact for the Obsolescence 3.2.1.2. Description. It is inevitable that system elements
Management System Framework will go obsolete over time. Obsolescence Management en-
sures that system elements are managed, analyzed, monitored,
3.2.1. Context Diagram for the Obsolescence Management and, if obsolescence issues arise, then will be resolved, re-
System Process corded, and reported.
The Context Diagram for the Obsolescence Management A typical strategy for coping with obsolescence issues is
System Process would be an artifact that would fall under the determining the probability of system elements going obso-
Life Cycle Management Process. This will be an excellent lete and the impact (technical, schedule, cost) to the system.
artifact to use to show the Obsolescence Management System An obsolescence prioritization schema is very important to
Process, both in diagram and text, to systems engineers and make sure the most critical system elements are analyzed first
others that need to be knowledgeable in this process. to reduce the likelihood of the system shutting down. Figure
The following format for the context diagram was used to 4 shows the context diagram for the Obsolescence Manage-
ensure consistency with ISO/IEC-15288 [ISO/IEC-15288, ment System Process.
2008], and to following the same guidelines as presented in 3.2.1.3. Inputs. The inputs to the Obsolescence Manage-
the INCOSE Systems Engineering Handbook [INCOSE, ment Process include the following:
2010].
3.2.1.1. Purpose. The Purpose of the Obsolescence Man- • Candidate Obsolescence Issues—Obsolescence issues
agement System Process is to manage, analyze, monitor, may come from any stakeholder and originate from any
resolve, record, and report obsolescence issues continuously System Life Cycle Process. Obsolescence issues need
throughout the System Life Cycle Stages. to be identified at the very beginning of the life cycle
The Obsolescence Management Process needs to be im- (concept stage) and through the very end of the life
plemented across the System Life Cycle Processes. cycle (retirement).

Figure 4. Context diagram for the Obsolescence Management System Process.

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• Technology Roadmaps—use to assist in evaluating sys- • Analyze Obsolescence Issues:


tems, processes, and technologies as they relate to – Identify obsolescence issue.
obsolescence. – Analyze risks for probability and impact (technical,
• Business Case Analysis—use to assist the Obsoles- schedule, cost, overall) to determine the magnitude
cence Management System in the decision making of the obsolescence issue and its priority for resolu-
process
tion.
• Trade Studies—use to support obsolescence in deter-
mining alternative solutions. – Define a resolution scheme and resources for each
3.2.1.4. Controls/Enablers. This process is governed by obsolescence issue, including identification of a per-
the following controls and enablers: son who will be responsible for continuous assess-
• Applicable Laws and Regulations ment of the status of the situation until it is resolved.
• Government and Industry Standards— relevant gov- • Resolve Obsolescence Issues:
ernment and industry specifications and standards – Using the criteria for acceptable and unacceptable
• Contracts and Agreements—terms and conditions of obsolescence issues, generate a plan of action when
contracts and agreements the obsolescence threshold exceeds acceptable lev-
• Project Procedures and Standards— including project els.
plans and project system engineering plans • Monitor Obsolescence Issues:
• Project Directives – Maintain a record of obsolescence issues and how
• Organization/Enterprise Policies, Procedures, and they were managed.
Standards
– Maintain transparent Obsolescence Management
• Organization/Enterprise Infrastructure
• Project Infrastructure. communications.
3.2.1.5. Outputs. Outputs of the Obsolescence Manage- • Evaluate the Obsolescence Management Process:
ment Process include the following: – Define, analyze, and document measures indicating
• Obsolescence Management System Plan. the status of the obsolescence issues and the effec-
• Obsolescence Management Profile—Sometimes re- tiveness of the management of these obsolescence
ferred to as a obsolescence prioritization matrix; it issues.
contains the findings of the Obsolescence Management
Process.
• Obsolescence Management Reporting—The obsoles- 4. A CASE STUDY ILLUSTRATION FOR THE
cence issues are documented and communicated along OBSOLESCENCE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
with mitigation plans, and current status. For selected FRAMEWORK
obsolescence issues, an action plan is produced to direct
the project team to properly respond to the obsoles- To validate and test that the Obsolescence Management Sys-
cence issue. tem framework met the requirements stated in Section 1—
3.2.1.6. Process Activities. The Obsolescence Manage- “ The Obsolescence Management System framework shall
ment Process includes the following activities: provide guidance to Obsolescence Management decision-
• Plan Obsolescence Management: makers in developing an Obsolescence Management plan” —
– Identify and define the components required in the a case study was performed. The case study included
Obsolescence Management Plan. reviewing and analyzing an East Coast Technical Organiza-
– Document the Obsolescence Management strategy tion’s (ECTO) Obsolescence Management System Plan (Ob-
solescence Management Plan). The organization developed
(plan).
its first Obsolescence Management plan within the last 5
• Manage the Obsolescence Profile:
years. The case study was then compared against the initially
– Define and document obsolescence issue thresholds suggested Obsolescence Management System framework re-
and acceptable and unacceptable obsolescence issue quirements to determine if there were gaps in the organiza-
conditions (at the system and subsystem level). tion’s Obsolescence Management Plan.
– Communicate the obsolescence issues with the ap- A summary of the case study results for the Agreement
propriate stakeholders. Processes, Organizational Project-Enabling Processes, Pro-

Table II. Case Study Results for the Agreement Processes

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Table III. Case Study Results for the Organizational Project-Enabling Process

ject Processes, and Technical Processes are shown in Tables framework is proposed to support this effort. In this paper, we
II, III, IV, and V, respectively. From the summary results, it have provided a summary background of obsolescence issues
can be seen that there are Obsolescence Management System and concerns and the need for organizations to have a system-
requirement gaps in the ECTO’s OMP throughout the System atic approach to managing systems from an Obsolescence
Life Cycle Processes. Management System perspective. We presented a new sys-
tems engineering architecture framework, House of Systems
Engineering (HoSE), and explained and defined its con-
5. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION structs. Next, we showed how the HoSE constructs were
applied to build a 2-dimensional Obsolescence Management
To ensure that systems continue to be effective and opera- System framework and explained how its constructs would
tional throughout the System Life Cycle Stages (exploratory support Obsolescence Management from a System Life Cycle
research, concept, development, utilization, support, and re- Processes and System Life Cycle Stages perspective; we
tirement), an Obsolescence Management System (OMS) identified Obsolescence Management System requirements

Table IV. Case Study Results for the Project Processes

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Table V. Case Study Results for the Technical Processes

for each of the 25 System Life Cycle Processes and associated the key foundational attributes of an Obsolescence Manage-
System Life Cycle Stage(s). We also presented a context ment System (e.g., potential problems it could solve, imple-
diagram for the Obsolescence Management System Process. mentation requirements, and expected benefits)?
Finally, we provided a case study to justify the Obsolescence In conclusion, it is hoped that this Obsolescence Manage-
Management System framework by comparing the Obsoles- ment System framework will be of value for Obsolescence
cence Management System framework requirements against Management decision-makers in the development of an Ob-
an east coast technical organization’s Obsolescence Manage- solescence Management Plan.
ment Plan. The case study results suggest that the framework
is beneficial in finding gaps in an Obsolescence Management
plan and therefore would be beneficial in developing an REFERENCES
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Todd Pobiak has over 21 years of engineering experience. He has worked in both the manufacturing and design
environments. He was employed at Canon Virginia, Inc., Newport News, VA for 8 years as an electrical engineer. Todd
was the founder of PageTech, Inc., Yorktown, VA, a telecommunication company that he operated for 10 years, which
specialized in the sales and service of telecommunication products. Todd is currently an engineer 4 in the Reactor Plant
Planning Yard (RPPY) at Huntington Ingalls—Newport News Shipbuilding, VA. He specializes in the modernization
of the CVN68 Class Aircraft Carriers. He received his engineering degree from The Pennsylvania State University,
University Park, State College, PA (1991), and holds an MBA from Strayer University, Newport News, VA (2007). He
has also completed all requirements for a Ph.D. in Systems Engineering from The George Washington University,
Washington, DC. His dissertation focus was on obsolescence management.

Thomas Mazzuchi received a B.A. (1978) in Mathematics from Gettysburg College, Gettysburg, PA, and an M.S. (1979)
and a D.Sc. (1982), both in Operations Research, from the George Washington University, Washington, DC. Currently,
he is a Professor of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering in the School of Engineering and Applied
Science at the George Washington University. He has also served as Chair of the Department of Operations Research,
as Chair of the Department of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, and as Interim Dean of the School
of Engineering and Applied Science. Dr. Mazzuchi has been engaged in consulting and research in the area of reliability
and risk analysis for over 25 years. He served for 21⁄2 years as a research mathematician at the International Operations
and Process Research Laboratory of the Royal Dutch Shell Company, Amsterdam, Netherlands. While at Shell, Dr.
Mazzuchi was involved with reliability and risk analysis of large processing systems, maintenance optimization of
off-shore platforms, and quality control procedures at large-scale chemical plants. During his academic career, he has
held research contracts in development of testing procedures for both the U.S. Air Force and the U.S. Army, in spares
provisioning modeling with the U. S. Postal Service, in mission assurance with NASA, and in maritime safety and risk
assessment with the Port Authority of New Orleans, the Washington Office of Marine Safety, Washington State
Department of Transportation, and the San Francisco Bay Area Transit Authority.

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Shahram Sarkani, Ph.D., P.E., is Professor of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, and Faculty Adviser
and Academic Director of EMSE Off-Campus Programs (since 2001), at the George Washington University, Washing-
ton, DC. Professor Sarkani joined the George Washingotn University faculty in 1986, where his administrative
appointments include chair of the Civil, Mechanical, and Environmental Engineering Department (1994–1997) and
Interim Associate Dean for Research, School of Engineering and Applied Science (1997–2001). In over 150 technical
publications and presentations, his research in systems engineering, systems analysis, and applied enterprise systems
engineering has application to risk analysis, structural safety, and reliability. He has conducted sponsored research with
such organizations as NASA, NIST, NSF, U.S. AID, and the U.S. Departments of Interior, Navy, and Transportation.
Professor Sarkani holds the Ph.D. in Civil Engineering from Rice University, Houston, TX, and B.S. and M.S. degrees
in Civil Engineering from Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA. He is a Registered Professional Engineer in
Virginia.

Systems Engineering DOI 10.1002/sys

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