Nama = Fariza Nursyamsi

Npm = 170110018

Tugas = Distribusi Probabilitas

BIOSTATISTIK

Kasus 1

a. Disribusi Probabilitas Binomial, karena kasusnya mudah dicari

b. Berikut dibawah ini …
n!
P(x) = px . qn-x
x ! ( n−x ) !
25 !
P (x = 10 ) = (0,75)10 . (0,25)15
10! ( 25−10 ) !
25 x 24 x 23 x 22 x 21 x 20 x 19 x 18 x 17 x 16 x 15 !
P(x = 10) = (0,75)10.
10 x 9 x 8 x 7 x 6 x 5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1 x 15 !
(0,25)15

19.612.560
P (x = 10 ) = (0,75)10 . (0,25)15
6

P ( x = 10 ) = 3.268,760 ( 0,75)10 . (0,25)15

P ( x = 10) = 0,00017

Kasus 2

90 % = Iklan

41% = terpapar rokok

1. P = (0,41) (20) = 8,2

P ( x = 5 ) = μx . e – μ
x!
= 8,25 . e -8,2
5!
= 0, 0848 atau 8,48%
2. a. P = (0,59) (20) = 11,8
P( x = 8 ) = μx . e – μ
x!
 = 11,88. e-11,8
8!
= 0,0699 atau 6,99%
b.Paling sedikit 5 siswa SMP Merokok
P (X > 5 ) = 1 – P ( x ≤ 5 )
= 1 – [ P (x = 0 ) + P (x = 1) + P (x = 2) + P (x=3) + P (x=4) +
P (x = 5 )]
P (x = 0 ) = e-8,2 . 8,20
0!
= 0,00027465357
P (x = 1) = e-8,2 . (8,2)1
1!
= 0, 00225215927
P (x = 2 ) = e-8,2 . (8,2)2
2!
= 0,00923385302
P (x = 3 ) = e-8,2 . (8,2)3
3!
=0,025239194826
P (x = 4 ) = e-8,2 . (8,2)4
4!
= 0,05174035644
P (x= 5) = e-8,2 . (8,2)5
5!
= 0,08485418455
Jadi ,
P (x > 5 ) = 1 – [ P(x=0) + P(x=1) + P (x=2) + P (x = 3) + P (x =4) + P
(x=5)]
= 1 – [ (0,00027) + (0,0022) + (0,0092) + (0,0025) + (0,051) +
(0,084)]
= 1 – 0,17167
= 0,82833 atau 82,83%