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For a country as vast and as diverse as India is, the states had to be categorized in
accordance to a host of factors: their sizes and most importantly their geographical
outreach.
Key findings of the report
● Gujarat has topped the Export Preparedness Index 2020 followed by Maharashtra
and Tamil Nadu.
● The other states that have made it to the top 10 include Rajasthan, Odisha,
Telangana, Haryana, Chhattisgarh, Karnataka and Kerala.
● The coastal states have emerged as the best performers, with six out of eight
coastal states featuring in the top 10 rankings.
● Among the Himalayan states, Uttarakhand is the highest, followed by Tripura
and Himachal Pradesh.
● Across the Union Territories, Delhi has performed the best, followed by Goa and
Chandigarh.
● The average score of Indian states in sub-pillars of Exports Diversification,
Transport Connectivity, and Infrastructure (three sub-pillars) was above 50%.
Challenges faced by India’s Export Sector
Based on the findings of the report, export promotion in India faces three
fundamental challenges:
● Intra- and inter-regional disparities in export infrastructure.
● Poor trade support and growth orientation among states.
● Poor R&D infrastructure to promote complex and unique exports.
Key strategies to address these challenges
● A joint development of export infrastructure, strengthening industry-academia
linkages and creating state-level engagements for economic diplomacy is the way
forward.
● These strategies could be supported by revamped designs and standards for local
products.
● Innovating tendencies to provide new use cases for local products must be
harnessed with adequate support from the Centre.
● The best practices of the states should be regularly documented and
disseminated to promote peer-to-peer learning under cooperative federalism.
● The focus here is to identify the drivers and the bottlenecks for each state in their
scorecard further, with states now engaging more directly with international
forums of business, it would be necessary to create capacity across the board to
ensure regional disparities do not continue to exist in the country.
Conclusion:
● To achieve the target of making India a developed economy by focusing on
‘Atma Nirbhar Bharat’, there is a need to increase exports from all the states and
union territories.
● Celebrating innovative policymakers, facilitating linkages, building capacity, and
transitioning to more complex and unique products depending on the inherent
competitive advantages of the states would be the way forward for export
promotion in the years to come.
5. EASE OF DOING BUSINESS RANKINGS
Context
● Ease of Doing Business (EODB) is a joint initiative by the Department for
Promotion of Industries and Internal Trade and the World Bank to improve the
overall business environment in the States.
How Rankings are done?
● Ranking of States based on the implementation of Business Reform Action Plan
which was started in the year 2015.
● The Business Reform Action Plan 2018-19 includes 180 reform points which
covers 12 business regulatory areas such as Access to Information, Single
Window System, Labour, Environment, etc.
● The objective of attracting investments and increasing the Ease of Doing Business
in each State was achieved by introducing an element of healthy competition
through a system of ranking states based on their performance in the
implementation of Business Reform Action Plan.
● These rankings represent the ease of doing business in terms of increased
transparency, efficiency and effectiveness of the government regulatory functions
vis-a-vis the business enterprises.
● Andhra Pradesh has topped the rankings followed by Uttar Pradesh, Telangana,
Madhya Pradesh and Jharkhand. Tripura, Sikkim, Odisha were among the worst
performers.
The top ten states under State Reform Action Plan 2019 are:
1. Andhra Pradesh
2. Uttar Pradesh
3. Telangana
4. Madhya Pradesh
5. Jharkhand
6. Chhattisgarh
7. Himachal Pradesh
8. Rajasthan
9. West Bengal
10. Gujarat
Reasons for better performance by states
● Uttar Pradesh made into the top ranks of states that have become better
destinations to do business in 2019, based on its ability to better implement a
range of reforms which ranges from single-window clearances to easier access to
information.
● States were ranked based on their performance on 180 reforms initiatives across
45 business regulatory areas, including easy access to information, paying taxes,
obtaining utility permits, contract enforcement, labour and construction permit
enablers, single-window approval systems and land administration.
● Also states have to upload their respective one performance “exclusively” to user
feedback, which is one of “major changes” in the current rankings.
Conclusion
● The aim of Ease of Doing Business is to create a conducive business environment
by streamlining regulatory structures and creating an investor-friendly business
climate by cutting down red tape.
● India being a federally structured nation, States/UTs play a vital role in
promoting investor confidence. The process of assessing State level reforms has
been a journey of evolution as the process has matured with the passage of time
and is an ongoing process.
EPW
6. NEED FOR AUTONOMOUS FOREIGN POLICY ON CHINA
Undemarcated borders
● The alignment of the LAC has never been agreed upon, and it has neither been
delineated nor demarcated.
● There is no official map in the public domain that depicts the LAC.
● The current understanding of the LAC reflects the territories that are, at present,
under the control of each side, pending a resolution of the boundary dispute.
● The unsettled border issue is a bone of contention between India–China relations.
● It erupts every few years which brings both countries on the verge of military
confrontation, followed by temporary peace restored through negotiations.
Failure of protocols and agreements
● Both India and China have agreed to protocols in 2005 and 2013 that describe the
rules of engagement to handle border stand-offs.
● India and China signed the landmark Border Peace and Tranquility Agreement
(BPTA) in 1993, an agreement that recognised the LAC.
Chinese Concerns
● Chinese hardliners view India as a competitor and challenger to China’s rise to
global dominance and suggest a hard stand with respect to India.
● India is viewed as an ally of the U.S by China, where as United States (US) is seen
as threat to china, as it is challenging China’s territorial claims in the South
China Sea, interfering in Hong Kong and Taiwan, and launching a concerted
campaign on the alleged atrocities against Uighur Muslims in Xinjiang and
Tibetans by the Chinese state.
Reasons for Attack on India by China
● The recent Chinese preemptive actions in the eastern Ladakh sector is due to the
fear that the US may use India to employ the “forward policy” in the border
areas to embarrass the Communist Party of China (CPC) and its leadership.
● Chinese hardliners view India as a competitor and challenger to China’s rise to
global dominance and suggest a hard stand with respect to India.
Advantage over China
● In 2014, the Chumar area flared up and continued even when Chinese President
Xi Jinping’s visit to India was underway.
● Indian Army enjoyed a geographic advantage over the People’s Liberation Army
(PLA), which gave the Indian negotiators an edge over their Chinese
counterparts when they sat down to de-escalate the situation.
● Recently, EAM of India wants to de-escalate the deteriorating situation in
Ladakh, only after the military provided India the advantage by capturing some
crucial heights in south Pangong Tso lake area.
Conclusion
● Strained China-India ties might lead to a situation where India alone or in
association with other countries may cause trouble for China.
● India should consider building bilateral relations with countries with a view to
draw their specific attention to China’s aggressive policies and designs.
● The decoupling of China-India relations will further strengthen the “anti-China
alliance” between the U.S., Japan, Australia, Vietnam, Indonesia and other
countries, who will actively take the initiative to reshape global industrial chains,
use the Indo-Pacific Strategy to check and balance China’s military and economic
power, and expand international organizations.
7. MACROECONOMICS OF A LOCKDOWN
Define Lockdown
It is a shock to the economy that changes in a short period. The period after the
lockdown is lifted, constitutes another short period.
There are three periods to be considered:
● Pre-lockdown
● Lockdown
● Post-lockdown
Impact of Lockdown
● Production of both goods and services is severely curtailed.
● There is minimal trade and transportation and administration.
● Capacity utilisation in non-essential sectors falls to zero. Like, for automobiles.
● The restriction on movement and lockdown has led to the breakdown of supply
chains of agricultural produce with no facilities for transportation of produce.
● The slowdown in the economy domestically and the expected recession
worldwide will contribute to lower demand for agricultural commodities.
● Employment rate falls, which indicates the rise in social security payments and
the increased demand for work under Mahatma Gandhi National Rural
Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA) in India.
● Due to low capacity utilisation across businesses, fresh investment becomes zero.
● In the public sector investment falls due to budget constraints.
● In the private sector, investment becomes negative.
● Households incomes declined (in the organised sector) or became zero (due to
unemployment in both organised and unorganised sectors) while consumption
of essentials has to continue.
● All commodity prices fall due to lack of demand, but it rises in urban areas due
to shortages and hoarding.
● There will be a tendency for deflation in the economy.
After Lockdown
● Immediately after lockdown, most production stops.
● Income will fall due to wage cuts and unemployment.
● Due to a sharp fall in demand, all commodity prices will fall.
● Post-lockdown, due to the need for physical distancing, the costs will rise and
production cannot go back to full capacity for most lines of production, like for
travel, tourism and sports.
● consumption will decline drastically during lockdown and will only pick up
gradually after lockdown.
● Due to shortage of resources with the government, Investment will be negligible
during lockdown and pick up gradually after the lockdown.
Revenue of Government
● Tax/GDP ratio will fall. In India, it will fall from 16% in 2019/20 to 8% or less.
● Since both GDP and tax/GDP ratio will fall, revenue will fall sharply.
Budgetary Expenditures
● The Fiscal Deficit will rise sharply, because subsidies will rise and all taxes fall on
profits, incomes and indirect taxes.
● Demand will fall in the economy due to the big fall in private investment and
consumption.
● Government can cut tax rates and try to boost incomes.
Post-lockdown
● Production in some sectors will start operations gradually.
● Primary sectors like agriculture and forestry will continue at full capacity, but
their contribution to GDP will be small.
● Labour shortages will lead to an increase in wages for industry.
India in 2020–21
● India’s GDP is likely to decline from `204 lakh crore in 2019–20 to `130 lakh crore
in 2020–21.
● An additional expenditure on medical expenses and building health
infrastructure will be needed
● Support to businesses is required which can come from the moratorium on
repayment of interest and loans.
● Non-tax revenue will fall drastically as the public sector will be running into
losses, there will be delay in auction of spectrum, etc and there will be no
disinvestment.
Conclusion
● Lockdown may be temporary but there are several constraints in output which
changes the dynamics of the economy for the subsequent period.
● After the lockdown, the economy would not recover to its pre-lockdown
position.
● The lockdown affects employment, consumer sentiment and capacity utilisation.
Private investment turns negative due to business failures and because all
economic actors dissave—households, businesses and government.
8. FINANCING THE RIGHT TO EDUCATION
About Right to Education Act
It is titled “the Right of Children to Free and Compulsory Education Act”. It was
passed by the Parliament in August 2009. India became one among 135 countries
where education is a fundamental right of every child.
● The 86th Constitutional Amendment (2002) inserted Article 21A in the Indian
Constitution which states:
○ “The State shall provide free and compulsory education to all children of 6
to 14 years in such manner as the State, may by law determine.”
● As per this, the right to education was made a fundamental right and removed
from the list of Directive Principles of State Policy.
● The RTE is the consequential legislation envisaged under the 86th Amendment.
● This Act makes it obligatory on the part of the government to ensure admission,
attendance and completion of elementary education by all children falling in the
age bracket six to fourteen years.
● Essentially, this Act ensures free elementary education to all children in the
economically weaker sections of society.
Implementation of RTE Act
● The RTE Act lays down the duties of the central government “to prepare the
estimates of capital and recurring expenditure for the implementation of the Act”
● But there is a neglect of the resource adequacy and In the context of the Sarva
Shiksha Abhiyan (SSA), the blame is placed on the lack of spending capacity by
various state governments and other local institutions.
● As per another argument, despite higher expenditures, there is little success in
terms of outcomes measured as test scores.
● To link investments in, for instance, classrooms or teachers to test scores would
be to ignore the ecosystem of schooling with inter-related factors that must come
together to ensure proper school functioning, along with the right kind of
learning activity.
Status of RTE
● Despite Right to Education, about 15 million children in the relevant age group
are out of school (NSS 2014–15), which is highest recorded in Uttar Pradesh (UP)
(13%), followed by Bihar and Rajasthan (around 10%), then Gujarat and Madhya
Pradesh (MP) (8%), and Jharkhand (7%).
● A disproportionate share of OSC belong to marginalised groups; 40% of OSC are
from Scheduled Caste (SC) and Scheduled Tribe (ST) communities.
● Also, states with a high proportion of out of school witnesses high levels of
privatisation, which is the reason why socio-economically weaker sections, be
forced to look for low-cost private options or they discontinue their education.
● School-level data reveals substantial gaps between the normative requirement as
laid down in the RTE Act, such as in infrastructure.
● As per the CAG report of 2017, school buildings having major cracks in beams,
leakages in roofs, temporary structures, school buildings without fitness
certificates, etc.
● A large percentage of schools are violating the RTE norms on teacher
requirements.
● The estimated teacher gap stands at 25% of required teachers (31% when OSC are
included).
● Teacher gaps within a state concentrated in the backward and remote areas,
accounting for the large proportion of schools violating the RTE teacher
requirement.
● The lack of professional qualifications in teachers is closely related to the deficits
in institutional capacity for teacher education and training.
● Despite the RTE Act, there are substantial gaps in basic facilities for children who
are currently in school as well as the significant proportions that are out of
school.
Equalisation of States in Education Grants
● SSA grants per child have been consistently higher for the better performing
states compared to the lagging states.
● The main objectives of SSA is to facilitate additional funds from the central
government so as to reduce the disparity in fiscal capacity to achieve universal
elementary education across states,
● The horizontal distribution of central taxes does not match the educational
disadvantages of the states either.
Role of the Finance Commission in Education
● There is a need for additional resources to be provided to any state government
so that the state government may provide its share of funds for carrying out the
provisions of the RTE Act.
● The Fifteenth Finance Commission needs to examine l the resource requirements
and suggest suitable specific purpose grants so as to reduce the imbalances and
address the requirements of universalisation.
● It is important that the Finance Commission takes a comprehensive view of the
sectoral needs as well as spending patterns and the priorities of the states.
Pass Commission Recommendations
● The Twelfth Finance Commission (2005–10) has recommended grants towards
equalisation of educational expenditures for eight states: Assam, Bihar,
Jharkhand, MP, Odisha, Rajasthan, UP and West Bengal.
● The Thirteenth Finance Commission (2010–15) recommended grants for
elementary education based on estimates of requirement.
● The emphasis of the Fourteenth Finance Commission has been to move from
conditional transfers to unconditional transfers; it has raised the states’ share in
the divisible pool of central taxes.
Recommendations
● The Fifteenth Finance Commission needs to address the inequalities in provision
of elementary education.
● We suggest a specific purpose grant for elementary education, with certain
guidelines.
● The states’ responses to the Fourteenth Finance Commission increases in
devolution share provide further reason for the Fifteenth Finance Commission to
consider specific purpose grants as a push for the universalisation of elementary
education.
● As per the the recent Report of the Fifteenth Finance Commission for the
financial year 2020–21 recommends performance-based grants for elementary
education. These conditional grants to states are to provide financial incentives
for best performing states judged in terms of improvement in learning outcomes
and transition rates to secondary for girls
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