HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy of Washington, D.C.
from October 12 through October 14, 2020. A total of 625 registered voters in
Honolulu County, Hawaii were interviewed live by telephone statewide. All
indicated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

Those interviewed were selected randomly from a telephone-matched Honolulu

County voter registration list that included both land line and cell phone numbers.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no

more than ± 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability
that the "true" figure would fall within that range if all voters were surveyed. The
margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or age grouping.

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Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: If the 2020 election for Honolulu Mayor were held today, would you vote for Keith
Amemiya or Rick Blangiardi?

AMEMIYA BLANGIARDI UNDECIDED

COUNTY 36% 49% 15%

GENDER ID AMEMIYA BLANGIARDI UNDECIDED

Men 36% 51% 13%

Women 36% 47% 17%

AGE AMEMIYA BLANGIARDI UNDECIDED

<50 35% 47% 18%

50+ 37% 51% 12%

RACE/ETHNICITY AMEMIYA BLANGIARDI UNDECIDED

White 35% 53% 12%

Japanese 42% 45% 13%
Hawaiian 39% 45% 16%
Mixed/Other 34% 49% 17%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION AMEMIYA BLANGIARDI UNDECIDED

Democrat 47% 38% 15%

Republican 21% 65% 14%
Independent 30% 54% 16%

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Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of Mayor Kirk Caldwell’s handling of the coronavirus?

APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

COUNTY 38% 49% 13%

GENDER ID APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Men 33% 62% 5%

Women 45% 35% 20%

AGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

<50 34% 57% 9%

50+ 42% 42% 16%

RACE/ETHNICITY APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

White 33% 59% 8%

Japanese 58% 28% 14%
Hawaiian 36% 53% 11%
Mixed/Other 33% 51% 16%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Democrat 52% 36% 12%

Republican 25% 68% 7%
Independent 26% 55% 19%

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Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: Do you agree or disagree with Mayor Caldwell's four-tiered strategy to gradually
reopen Oahu's economy?

AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

COUNTY 51% 37% 12%

GENDER ID AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

Men 45% 47% 8%

Women 57% 27% 16%

AGE AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

<50 46% 43% 11%

50+ 55% 32% 13%

RACE/ETHNICITY AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

White 48% 45% 7%

Japanese 64% 26% 10%
Hawaiian 41% 46% 13%
Mixed/Other 52% 32% 16%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

Democrat 59% 30% 11%

Republican 46% 46% 8%
Independent 42% 41% 17%

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Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
QUESTION: As you may know, bars and nightclubs on Oahu have not been allowed to reopen
under the city's four-tiered strategy. Do you agree or disagree with this decision?

AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

COUNTY 57% 36% 7%

GENDER ID AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

Men 47% 50% 3%

Women 67% 22% 11%

AGE AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

<50 53% 41% 6%

50+ 61% 31% 8%

RACE/ETHNICITY AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

White 50% 47% 3%

Japanese 64% 26% 10%
Hawaiian 54% 33% 13%
Mixed/Other 58% 35% 7%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

Democrat 78% 19% 3%

Republican 24% 66% 10%
Independent 49% 40% 11%

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Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll
 DEMOGRAPHICS

PARTY IDENTIFICATION: Democrat 294 (47%)

Republican 144 (23%)
Independent/Other 187 (30%)

RACE/ETHNICITY: White 160 (26%)

Japanese 120 (19%)
Native Hawaiian 70 (11%)
Filipino 54 (9%)
Other Asian 52 (8%)
Mixed Race 119 (19%)
Other 46 (7%)
Refused 4 (1%)

AGE: 18-34 112 (18%)

35-49 176 (28%)
50-64 170 (27%)
65+ 160 (26%)
Refused 7 (1%)

SEX: Male 305 (49%)

Female 319 (51%)
Other 1

INTERVIEWS: Land-line 183 (29%)

Mobile 442 (71%)

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Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – October 2020 Honolulu County Poll