VENTAS

TEQUILA WHISKY
# X Y XY X^² Y^²
1 150.00 113 16,875 22,500 12,656
2 30.00 23 675 900 506
3 50.00 38 1,875 2,500 1,406
4 61.00 46 2,791 3,721 2,093
5 100.00 75 7,500 10,000 5,625
6 30.00 23 675 900 506
7 25.00 19 469 625 352
8 200.00 100 20,000 40,000 10,000
9 50.00 38 1,875 2,500 1,406
10 450.00 225 101,250 202,500 50,625
11 200.00 100 20,000 40,000 10,000
12 450.00 225 101,250 202,500 50,625
13 200.00 100 20,000 40,000 10,000
14 25.00 19 469 625 352
15 30.00 23 675 900 506
16 50.00 38 1,875 2,500 1,406
17 93.00 70 6,487 8,649 4,865
18 100.00 75 7,500 10,000 5,625
19 300.00 150 45,000 90,000 22,500
20 25.00 19 469 625 352
21 400.00 200 80,000 160,000 40,000
22 300.00 150 45,000 90,000 22,500
23 450.00 225 101,250 202,500 50,625
24 200.00 100 20,000 40,000 10,000
25 450.00 225 101,250 202,500 50,625
26 150.00 113 16,875 22,500 12,656
27 700.00 350 245,000 490,000 122,500
28 150.00 113 16,875 22,500 12,656
29 400.00 200 80,000 160,000 40,000
30 300.00 150 45,000 90,000 22,500
SUMATORIA 6,119.00 3,339.25 1,108,958.75 2,161,945.00 575,469.06
 n= 30
∑xy= 1,108,958.75
∑x= 6,119.00 37,442,161.00
∑y= 3,339.25
∑x2 2,161,945.00

b= ((30)*(=))-((3,292)*(4,030))
((30)*((1,051,042))-(3,292)^²)

b= 12,835,891.75
27,416,189.00

b= 0.46818657947

a= 3,339.25 2,864.83
30 30

a= 111.308333333 95.4944559924673

a= 15.81387734

Regresion Lineal

Y=a+bX1
a b
Y= 15.8138773 0.46818657947
 Regresion Lineal Simple
Venta Tequila Vs. Venta Whisky
400

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

0
0.00 100.00 200.00 300.00 400.00 500.00 600.00

Column D Linear (Column D) GPS

 VENTAS
TEQUILA WHISKY
# X Y XY X^² Y^²
1 150.00 113 16,875 22,500 12,656
2 30.00 23 675 900 506
3 50.00 38 1,875 2,500 1,406
4 61.00 46 2,791 3,721 2,093
5 100.00 75 7,500 10,000 5,625
6 30.00 23 675 900 506
7 25.00 19 469 625 352
8 200.00 100 20,000 40,000 10,000
9 50.00 38 1,875 2,500 1,406
10 450.00 225 101,250 202,500 50,625
11 200.00 100 20,000 40,000 10,000
12 450.00 225 101,250 202,500 50,625
13 200.00 100 20,000 40,000 10,000
14 25.00 19 469 625 352
15 30.00 23 675 900 506
16 50.00 38 1,875 2,500 1,406
17 93.00 70 6,487 8,649 4,865
18 100.00 75 7,500 10,000 5,625
19 300.00 150 45,000 90,000 22,500
20 25.00 19 469 625 352
21 400.00 200 80,000 160,000 40,000
22 300.00 150 45,000 90,000 22,500
23 450.00 225 101,250 202,500 50,625
24 200.00 100 20,000 40,000 10,000
25 450.00 225 101,250 202,500 50,625
26 150.00 113 16,875 22,500 12,656
27 700.00 350 245,000 490,000 122,500
28 150.00 113 16,875 22,500 12,656
29 400.00 200 80,000 160,000 40,000
30 300.00 150 45,000 90,000 22,500
SUMATORIA 6,119.00 3,339.25 1,108,958.75 2,161,945.00 575,469.06
 n= 30
∑xy= 1,108,958.75
∑x= 6,119.00
∑y= 3,339.25
∑x2 2,161,945.00
Y^²= 575,469.06

r= ((30)(2,487,160))-((5,692)*(7220))
(√((30)*(1,946,042))-(5,692)^²)*√((30)*(3,247,050))-(7,220)^²)

r= 12835891.75
5236.04707771 2472.5455127257

r= 12835891.75
12946364.7064135

r= 0.9914668744 Coeficiente de
Correlacion

R^²= 0.9830 Coeficiente de

Determinación 98.30

La Variacion X ( Venta de Tequila) explica el

98.30% de la variación de Y (Venta de Whisky)
 n= 30
∑xy= 1,108,958.75 Syx= √(99137)-((-1.7911)(1387))-((0.5101)(197199))/(23-2)
∑x= 6,119.00
∑y= 3,339.25 Syx= 7.0036
∑x2= 2,161,945.00 Syx= 575,469.06
∑y2= 575,469.06 28.00

Syx= 123.6774519362

Syx= 11.1210
 Regresion Lineal

Y=a+bX1
a b
Y= 15.8138773 0.46818657947

101)(197199))/(23-2)

52,806.49 519,199.60
28.00

Error Estandar de Estimación

PRONOSTICO CON BASE A LA REGRESION a
Y= 15.813877340866

VENTAS
TEQUILA WHISKY
# X Y Pronostico (Y-Yb)^²
1 150.00 113 86.042 1.420
2 30.00 23 29.859 7,886.920
3 50.00 38 39.223 5,447.670
4 61.00 46 44.373 4,297.895
5 100.00 75 62.633 1,318.295
6 30.00 23 29.859 7,886.920
7 25.00 19 27.519 8,567.045
8 200.00 100 109.451 127.878
9 50.00 38 39.223 5,447.670
10 450.00 225 226.498 12,925.795
11 200.00 100 109.451 127.878
12 450.00 225 226.498 12,925.795
13 200.00 100 109.451 127.878
14 25.00 19 27.519 8,567.045
15 30.00 23 29.859 7,886.920
16 50.00 38 39.223 5,447.670
17 93.00 70 59.355 1,727.095
18 100.00 75 62.633 1,318.295
19 300.00 150 156.270 1,497.045
20 25.00 19 27.519 8,567.045
21 400.00 200 203.089 7,866.212
22 300.00 150 156.270 1,497.045
23 450.00 225 226.498 12,925.795
24 200.00 100 109.451 127.878
25 450.00 225 226.498 12,925.795
26 150.00 113 86.042 1.420
27 700.00 350 343.544 56,973.712
28 150.00 113 86.042 1.420
 29 400.00 200 203.089 7,866.212
30 300.00 150 156.270 1,497.045
SUMATORIA 6,119.00 3,339.25 3,339.25 203,782.71

Yb= 111.31 promedios de todas las Y

 b
0.468186579469524

95%
t= 2.74
Z= 1.96
Syx= 11.1210

(Pronostico -Yb)^² LIMITE INFERIOR LIMITE SUPERIOR

638.394 62.98 109.11 ((Pronostico-Yb)^²)
6,633.92 6.79 52.92 ((Y-Yb)^²
5,196.27 16.16 62.29
4,480.30 21.31 67.44
2,369.33 39.57 85.70 R^²=
6,633.92 6.79 52.92
7,020.73 4.45 50.58
3.45 86.39 132.52
5,196.27 16.16 62.29
13,268.62 203.43 249.56
3.45 86.39 132.52
13,268.62 203.43 249.56
3.45 86.39 132.52
7,020.73 4.45 50.58
6,633.92 6.79 52.92
5,196.27 16.16 62.29
2,699.13 36.29 82.42
2,369.33 39.57 85.70
2,021.54 133.20 179.33
7,020.73 4.45 50.58
8,423.60 180.02 226.15
2,021.54 133.20 179.33
13,268.62 203.43 249.56
3.45 86.39 132.52
13,268.62 203.43 249.56
638.39 62.98 109.11
53,933.63 320.48 366.61
638.39 62.98 109.11
 8,423.60 180.02 226.15
2,021.54 133.20 179.33
200,319.74
((Pronostico-Yb)^²) = 0.98301
((Y-Yb)^²

0.9830 Coeficiente de
Determinación
 Resumen Detalle
a
Analisis de Regresion Y= 15.81387734 0.

Coeficiente de Correlaciòn ® 0.991466874376038

Coeficiente de Determinación (R^2) 0.98300656298499
Error de Estimación 11.1210364596203
 Detalle
a b
Y= 15.81387734 0.468186579

0.991466874376038
0.98300656298499
11.1210364596203