Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Gross Profit
Total Revenue
Business Revenue
Other Revenue
Cost of Revenue
Cost of Goods and Services
Other Cost of Revenue
Changes in Inventories
Operating Income/Expenses
Selling, General and Administrative Expenses
Staff Costs
Other Staff Costs
Pension and Other Employee Benefits Costs
Stock-Based Compensation
General and Administrative Expenses
Rent Expense
Selling and Marketing Expenses
Depreciation, Amortization and Depletion
Depreciation and Amortization
Depreciation
Amortization
Other Income/Expense, Operating
Other Expenses, Operating
Other Income, Operating
Provision Expense/Write-Back
Provision for Doubtful Accounts
Total Operating Profit/Loss
Non-Operating Income/Expenses, Total
Total Net Finance Income/Expense
Net Interest Income/Expense
Interest Expense Net of Capitalized Interest
Gross Interest
Interest Income
Net Investment Income
Income from Associates, Joint Ventures and Other Participating Interests
Share of Profit and Interest from Associates
Gain/Loss on Foreign Exchange
Gain/Loss on Investments and Other Financial Instruments
Dividend and Investment Income
Irregular Income/Expenses
Asset Disposals
Impairment/Write Off/Write Down of Capital Assets
Impairment/Write Off/Write Down of Other Assets
Goodwill Impairment/Write Off
Other Income/Expense, Non-Operating
Rental Income
Pretax Income
Provision for Income Tax
Net Income from Continuing Operations
Net Income after Extraordinary Items and Discontinued Operations
Non-Controlling/Minority Interests
Net Income after Non-Controlling/Minority Interests
Net Income Available to Common Stockholders
Total Gross Dividends
Common Shares Gross Dividends
Discontinued Operations
Reported Normalized Income
Reported Effective Tax Rate
Reported Normalized EBITDA
Non-Operating Income/Expenses, Supplemental Section
Net Interest Income/Expense, Supplemental
Interest Expense Net of Capitalized Interest, Supplemental
Interest Capitalized, Supplemental
Irregular Items, Supplemental
Other Irregular Income/Expenses, Supplemental
Other Irregular Expenses, Supplemental
Employee Costs and Professional Fees, Supplemental Section
Pension and Other Employee Benefits Costs, Supplemental
Stock-Based Compensation, Supplemental
Directors' Remuneration, Supplemental
Auditor Fees, Supplemental
Non-Audit Fees Paid to Auditor, Supplemental
Operating Income/Expenses, Supplemental Section
Research and Development Expenses, Supplemental
Basic EPS
Diluted EPS
Basic WASO
Diluted WASO
Fiscal year ends in Jun 30 | AUD
Source: https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xasx/tls/financials
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
18,664,000,00018,342,000,00017,253,000,00016,121,000,00013,660,000,000
25,911,000,00026,013,000,00026,011,000,00025,259,000,00022,767,000,000
25,834,000,00025,912,000,00025,667,000,00024,291,000,00022,767,000,000
77,000,000 101,000,000 344,000,000 968,000,000
-7,247,000,000 -7,671,000,000 -8,758,000,000 -9,138,000,000 -9,107,000,000
-3,204,000,000 -3,771,000,000 -3,490,000,000
-4,043,000,000 -7,671,000,000 -8,758,000,000 -5,367,000,000 -5,617,000,000
13,026,000,00014,022,000,00014,043,000,00013,545,000,00012,851,000,000
-8,523,000,000 -9,235,000,000 -7,628,000,000 -7,286,000,000 -5,671,000,000
-5,041,000,000 -5,381,000,000 -5,157,000,000 -4,637,000,000 -4,058,000,000
-4,691,000,000 -5,381,000,000 -4,806,000,000 -4,336,000,000 -4,058,000,000
-312,000,000 -322,000,000 -278,000,000
-38,000,000 -29,000,000 -23,000,000
-972,000,000 -998,000,000 -1,056,000,000 -990,000,000 -1,089,000,000
-660,000,000 -724,000,000 -1,071,000,000 -1,349,000,000 -256,000,000
-301,000,000 -330,000,000 -344,000,000 -310,000,000 -268,000,000
-4,155,000,000 -4,441,000,000 -4,470,000,000 -4,282,000,000 -5,338,000,000
-4,155,000,000 -4,441,000,000 -4,470,000,000 -4,282,000,000 -5,338,000,000
-2,957,000,000 -3,058,000,000 -3,005,000,000 -2,810,000,000 -3,774,000,000
-1,198,000,000 -1,383,000,000 -1,465,000,000 -1,472,000,000 -1,564,000,000
-1,897,000,000 -2,148,000,000 -1,945,000,000 -1,977,000,000 -1,842,000,000
-1,897,000,000 -2,148,000,000 -1,945,000,000 -1,977,000,000 -1,842,000,000
5,468,000,0008,000,0002,000,0001,000,000
3,502,000,0003,000,0001,000,0008,000,000
3,635,000,0006,000,0001,000,0008,000,000
-133,000,0003,000,000
1,966,000,0005,000,0001,000,0003,000,000
531,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
11,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
95,000,000 ,000,000
121,000,000
34,271,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
21,350,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
64,312,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
1,362,000,0003,000,0005,000,0000,000,000
1,362,000,0003,000,0005,000,0000,000,000
1,963,000,0005,000,0001,000,0005,000,000
1,963,000,0005,000,0001,000,0005,000,000
3,842,000,000
60,987,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
-42,962,000,0001,000,0004,000,0007,000,000
-42,962,000,0001,000,0004,000,0007,000,000
-690,000,0002,000,0002,000,0006,000,000
-690,000,0002,000,0002,000,0006,000,000
-1,505,000,0003,000,0008,000,0007,000,000
-1,505,000,0003,000,0008,000,0007,000,000
-812,000,000
-40,767,000,0006,000,0004,000,0002,000,000
9,558,000,0000,000,0000,000,0002,000,000
9,558,000,0000,000,0000,000,0002,000,000
1,269,000,0009,000,0006,000,0005,000,000
8,289,000,0001,000,0004,000,0007,000,000
2,325,000,0005,000,0003,000,0009,000,000
5,964,000,0006,000,0001,000,0008,000,000
486,000,0003,000,0003,000,000 ,000,000
194,000,0007,000,0008,000,000 ,000,000
194,000,0007,000,0008,000,000 ,000,000
25,000,000 ,000,000
16,000,000 ,000,000
9,000,000
292,000,000 ,000,000
1,623,000,0007,000,0003,000,0001,000,000
1,039,000,0002,000,000 ,000,0008,000,000
111,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
928,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
29,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
44,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
142,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
1,232,000,0004,000,000
27,573,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
9,159,000,0006,000,0003,000,000 ,000,000
4,189,000,0005,000,0008,000,0000,000,000
4,189,000,0005,000,0008,000,0000,000,000
1,185,000,0008,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
3,004,000,0007,000,0009,000,0002,000,000
2,518,000,0006,000,0009,000,0008,000,000
2,476,000,0005,000,0002,000,0004,000,000
2,369,000,0004,000,0004,000,0003,000,000
2,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
1,457,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
908,000,000 ,000,0001,000,0006,000,000
2,000,000 ,000,000
107,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
107,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
42,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
1,055,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
865,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
865,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
190,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
161,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
161,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
1,431,000,0001,000,000
1,236,000,0007,000,000 ,000,000
1,236,000,0007,000,000 ,000,000
79,000,000
18,414,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
15,344,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
14,808,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
14,574,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
707,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
13,867,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
234,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,0007,000,000
536,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
300,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
166,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
6,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
160,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
134,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
1,539,000,0004,000,0009,000,0005,000,000
1,539,000,0004,000,0009,000,0005,000,000
70,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
70,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
70,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
1,006,000,0002,000,000
1,161,000,0002,000,000 ,000,000
1,161,000,0002,000,000 ,000,000
14,560,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
14,541,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
4,421,000,0008,000,0007,000,0001,000,000
4,421,000,0008,000,0007,000,0001,000,000
4,421,000,0008,000,0007,000,0001,000,000
10,225,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
-105,000,0007,000,0008,000,000 ,000,000
-4,000,0007,000,0007,000,0007,000,000
70,000,000 ,000,000
34,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000 ,000,000
-143,000,0001,000,0009,000,0007,000,000
8,000,000 ,000,000
19,000,0003,000,0009,000,000 ,000,000
11,893,297,855 ,297,855 ,297,855 ,297,855
11,893,297,855 ,297,855 ,297,855 ,297,855
TELSTRA CASH FLOW STATEMENT 2016
Cash Flows from/Used in Operating Activities, Direct 8,133,000,000
Net Cash Flow from Continuing Operating Activities, Direct 8,133,000,000
Cash Receipts from Operating Activities, Direct 31,345,000,000
Receipts from Customers, Direct 31,163,000,000
Receipts from Government Grants, Direct 182,000,000
Cash Payments from Operating Activities, Direct -23,212,000,000
Payments to Suppliers for Goods and Services, Direct -21,179,000,000
Taxes Paid, Direct -1,860,000,000
Other Cash Payments from Operating Activities, Direct -173,000,000
Cash Flow from Investing Activities -2,207,000,000
Cash Flow from Continuing Investing Activities -2,207,000,000
Purchase/Sale and Disposal of Property, Plant and Equipment, Net -2,581,000,000
Purchase of Property, Plant and Equipment -3,051,000,000
Sale and Disposal of Property, Plant and Equipment 470,000,000
Purchase/Sale of Intangibles, Net -1,143,000,000
Purchase of Intangibles -1,143,000,000
Sale of Intangibles
Purchase/Sale of Business, Net 1,248,000,000
Sale of Business 1,340,000,000
Purchase/Acquisition of Business -92,000,000
Purchase/Sale of Investments, Net -49,000,000
Purchase of Investments -105,000,000
Sale of Investments 56,000,000
Dividends Received/Paid, CFI 82,000,000
Interest Received/Paid, CFI 131,000,000
Other Investing Cash Flow 105,000,000
Payment for Loan Granted and Repayments Received, Net
Cash Advances and Loans Made to Other Parties
Cash Receipts from Repayment of Advances and Loans Made to Other Parties
Cash Flow from Financing Activities -3,777,000,000
Cash Flow from Continuing Financing Activities -3,777,000,000
Issuance of/Repayments for Debt, Net 1,033,000,000
Issuance of/Repayments for Long Term Debt, Net 1,033,000,000
Proceeds from Issuance of Long Term Debt 4,987,000,000
Repayments for Long Term Debt -3,954,000,000
Issuance of/Repayments for Lease Financing -101,000,000
Cash Dividends and Interest Paid -4,647,000,000
Cash Dividends Paid -3,787,000,000
Interest Paid, CFF -860,000,000
Other Financing Cash Flow 6,000,000
Issuance of/Payments for Common Stock, Net -68,000,000
Payments for Common Stock -68,000,000
Proceeds from Issuance of Common Stock
Cash and Cash Equivalents, End of Period 3,550,000,000
Change in Cash 2,149,000,000
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes 5,000,000
Cash and Cash Equivalents, Beginning of Period 1,396,000,000
2017 2018 2019 2020
7,775,000,000 8,606,000,000 6,683,000,000 7,010,000,000
7,775,000,000 8,606,000,000 6,683,000,000 7,010,000,000
31,523,000,000 32,075,000,000 30,387,000,000 29,659,000,000
31,288,000,000 31,901,000,000 30,231,000,000 29,506,000,000
235,000,000 174,000,000 156,000,000 153,000,000
-23,748,000,000-23,469,000,000-23,704,000,000-22,649,000,000
-21,997,000,000-21,948,000,000-22,748,000,000-21,895,000,000
-1,751,000,000 -1,521,000,000 -956,000,000 -754,000,000
Sources:
https://au.finance.yahoo.com/quote/TLS.AX/history?period1=1404086400&period2=1561852800&interval=
https://au.finance.yahoo.com/quote/ASX.AX/history?period1=1402531200&period2=1560297600&interval
ly Return Cost of Equity (Ke)
Beta Equity using Yahoo Finance D 0.15
Market Risk Premium (Given) 5.96%
Australia Bond 5 Year Yield 0.37%
Cost of Equity (Ke) 1.23%
Jensen's Alpha
Expected Return of Telstra 1.23%
Risk free Rate 0.37%
Beta 0.15
Expected Market Return 5.96%
Jensen's Alpha 0.054%
Year 2015
Operating Income (EBIT) 5,638,000,000
Interest Expense 796000000
Interest Coverage Ratio 7.08
Average Interest Coverage Ratio 4.37
Tesltra Firm High Market Cap Firm
Range of Ratio 4.25-5.5
Credit Rating A
Credit Spread 1.80%
=1561852800&interval=1d&filter=history&frequency=1d
=1560297600&interval=1d&filter=history&frequency=1d
Source:
https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates-bonds/government-bonds/australia
Source;
http://pages.stern.nyu.ed
Source:
https://au.finance.yahoo.com/quote/TLS.AX/history?period1=1568278334&period2=1599900734&interval=
https://www.telstra.com.au/content/dam/tcom/about-us/investors/pdf%20F/2019-Annual-Report.PDF
http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/valquestions/syntrating.htm
d2=1599900734&interval=1mo&filter=history&frequency=1mo
EARNINGS AND CASHFLOW
Operating Income in 201 809,000,000
Effectie Tax Rate 30%
NOPAT AUD 566,300,000
Total Invested Capital AUD 44,403,000,000
ROIC 1.28%
WACC 1.73%
Year 2019
Interest Coverage Ratio 0.774
Synthetic Bond Rating A Sources:
Market Price per share 3.771 https://au.finance.yahoo.com/qu
Book alue per share 1.275
Telstra's Price to Book Ratio 2.957
Competitor's Price to Book Ratio (3U Holding) 1.340 https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/quo
Telstra's CAPEX-Depr/Sales Ratio 13.072%
Competitor's CAPEX-depr/sales ratio (3U Holding) 17.823% https://www.wsj.com/market-data
u.finance.yahoo.com/quote/TLS.AX/history?period1=1442102400&period2=1599955200&interval=1mo&filter=history
z.finance.yahoo.com/quote/UUU.DE/key-statistics
ww.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/DE/XMUN/UUU/financials/annual/income-statement
rval=1mo&filter=history&frequency=1mo
DIVIDEND POLICY
Years 2015 2016
Dividend Per Share 0.31 0.31
Earning per share 0.47 0.33
Payout Ratio 65.96% 93.94%
Price per share (year end4.6585 4.3869
Dividend Yield 6.65% 7.07%
all.st/news/3u-holding-ag-etruuu-looks-interesting-and-its-about-to-pay-a-dividend/#:~:text=Dividends%20are%20typi
erse-frankfurt.de/equity/3u-holding-ag
sting.com/equities/telstra-corporation-limited.-ratios
sting.com/equities/telstra-corporation-limited.-ratios
u.finance.yahoo.com/quote/TLS.AX/history?period1=1442102400&period2=1599955200&interval=1mo&filter=history
ends%20are%20typically%20paid%20from,at%20just%2032%25%20of%20profit.
rval=1mo&filter=history&frequency=1mo
Two-Stage FCFF Discount Model
Page 29
Two-Stage FCFF Discount Model
If yes, enter the market price per share (At end of June 2019) =
& Number of shares outstanding =
& Market Value of Debt =
Do you want to change the debt ratio in the stable growth period?
If yes, enter the debt ratio for the stable growth period =
Costs of Components
Do you want to enter cost of equity directly?
If yes, enter the cost of equity =
If no, enter the inputs to the cost of equity
Beta of the stock =
Riskfree rate=
Risk Premium=
Earnings Inputs
Do you want to use the historical growth rate?
If yes, enter EBIT from four years ago =
Page 30
Two-Stage FCFF Discount Model
ROC = 4.21%
Reinv. Rate = -128.83%
Do you want to change any of these inputs for the high growth period?
If yes, specify the values for these inputs (Please enter all variables)
ROC = 1.28%
Reinv. Rate = 100.00%
Beta
Will the beta to change in the stable period?
If yes, enter the beta for stable period =
Page 31
Two-Stage FCFF Discount Model
PROGRAM OUTPUTS
Cost of Equity =
Equity/(Debt+Equity ) =
After-tax Cost of debt =
Debt/(Debt +Equity) =
Cost of Capital =
Page 32
Two-Stage FCFF Discount Model
Historical Growth =
Outside Estimates =
Fundamental Growth =
Weighted Average
Page 33
Two-Stage FCFF Discount Model
Page 34
Two-Stage FCFF Discount Model
Page 35
Two-Stage FCFF Discount Model
Page 36
Two-Stage FCFF Discount Model
No (Yes or No)
39.51% (in percent)
4 (in years)
No
0.15
0.37% (in percent)
5.96% (in percent)
2.50% ( in percent)
No (Yes or No)
2.00% (in percent)
Page 37
Two-Stage FCFF Discount Model
No (Yes or No)
1.00
No (Yes or No)
( in percent)
Depreciation Revenues
4% 4% (in percent)
Do not enter 0% (in percent)
No (Yes or No)
5% (in percent)
Page 38
Two-Stage FCFF Discount Model
No (Yes or No)
Yes
12%
120% (in percent)
PROGRAM OUTPUTS
1.23%
69.56%
1.75%
30.44%
1.39%
$1,803,200,000.00
($667,000,000.00)
($1,656,000,000.00)
$4,126,200,000.00
Page 39
Two-Stage FCFF Discount Model
-14.50% 20.00%
2.00% 20.00%
1.28% 80.00%
-1.48%
Page 40
Two-Stage FCFF Discount Model
Page 41
Two-Stage FCFF Discount Model
1 2 3 4
$1,776,516,505.25 $1,750,227,869.02 $1,724,328,248.26 $1,698,811,886.36
($657,129,829.75) ($647,405,716.86) ($637,825,499.99) ($628,387,049.80)
($18,688,952.81) ($18,412,396.36) ($18,139,932.37) ($17,871,500.25)
$2,452,335,287.80 $2,416,045,982.24 $2,380,293,680.62 $2,345,070,436.42
$2,418,680,816.35 $2,350,188,088.00 $2,283,634,951.60 $2,218,966,481.36
0.20%
$1,674,168,871.26
1.23%
69.56%
1.75%
30.44%
1.39%
$140,516,524,990.76
$9,271,470,337.31
$132,960,381,142.51
$142,231,851,479.82
604,000,000
$19,500,000,000.00
$123,335,851,479.82
$0.00
$10.38
Page 42
Two-Stage FCFF Discount Model
Terminal Year
$1,702,209,510.14
$22,091,452.79
$5,949,186.09
$1,674,168,871.26
Page 43
Two Stage Dividend Discount Model
Current EPS (June 2019) = 0.18 Length of growth stage (no more than 10
Current Dividends/Share (June 2019)= $0.16 High growth rate =
Discount Rate = 1.23% Stable growth rate =
Payout ratio in stable phase 110.00%
5
-31.40%
$0.03
88.89%
$0.02
$0.02
Sources:
https://www.gurufocus.com/term/dividend_growth_3y/TLSYY/3-Year-Dividend-Growth-Rate/Telstra-Corp-Ltd#:~:text=During%20the%20pas
https://www.gurufocus.com/term/dividend_growth_3y/TLSYY/3-Year-Dividend-Growth-Rate/Telstra-Corp-Ltd#:~:text=During%20the%20pas
20%2D21.60%25%20per%20year.
20%2D21.60%25%20per%20year.
PE APPROACH Source:
Industry Median PE Ratio 19.6 https://www.investing.com/equities/telstra-co
Telstra Current EPS 0.18
Intrinsic value per share 3.528
RECONILIATION
FCFF 2 STAGE $10.38
DDM 2 STAGE $0.87
PE APPROACH 3.528
Average Intrinsic value per share $4.93
CURRENT MARKET PRICE PER SHARE $3.75
Difference ($1.18)
ing.com/equities/telstra-corporation-limited.-ratios
VALUTATION OF REAL OPTIONS
Years 15
Investment in Millions $ 2,900
PV of Cash Flows in Millions $ 2,800
Value of the Project without Real Option $ (100)
Inputs of Model
PV of Cash Flows in Millions $2,800.00
Annualized standard deviation 79.91%
Investment in Millions $2,900.00
Years of Project 15
Output of Model
Stock Price= $2,800.00
Strike Price= $2,900.00
Expiration (in years) = 15
d1 = 1.3484
N(d1) = 0.9112
d2 = -1.7465
N(d2) = 0.0404