Professional Documents
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SSRN Id2048565 PDF
SSRN Id2048565 PDF
Alice M. Cope
Cornell University
Alexandra M. Rock
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Maximilian D. Schmeiser *
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
ABSTRACT
The increasing availability of mobile banking has the potential to transform the way consumers
interact with their financial institutions and expand access to financial services for previously
underserved populations. However, given the sensitive nature of the information shared when
using mobile banking, its adoption is limited by consumer concerns about the overall security of
the technology. This study uses a unique dataset to examine how consumers’ perceptions of the
risks of using mobile banking, as well as their own personal level of risk tolerance, affect
adoption of mobile banking. We find that consumers who believe that mobile banking is unsafe
or who don’t know how safe it is adopt mobile banking at much lower rates than those who
believe it is safe. We further find that consumers with higher levels of risk tolerance are more
likely to adopt mobile banking, even after controlling for their perceptions of the safety of
mobile banking.
*
Corresponding author contact information: Maximilian D. Schmeiser, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve
System, 20th and C Sts, NW Washington, DC 20551. Phone: 202-728-5882, Email: max.schmeiser@frb.gov.
phones, in particular with the adoption of smart phones. However, recent data has shown that
consumers are not adopting and using this technology due to perceived security concerns. Today,
fewer than 15% of Americans are without a mobile phone. Further, almost 45% of the population
uses a smartphone, including iPhone, Android, and Blackberry devices (Javelin 2011). As
technology has advanced, mobile devices have become much more than simply a means of
placing a phone call. The capability to access the Internet on mobile phones is used at least once
a week by over 80% of American smartphone owners (Gross, Hogarth, and Schmeiser 2012).
Giving the ubiquity of mobile phones, and their evolving capability, they are increasingly being
used as a tool for financial management, financial decision making, and shopping, with positive
Mobile banking is one commonly used financial management service on mobile phones
that has been increasing in popularity, with over 40 percent of smartphone users indicating that
they use mobile banking (Javelin Strategy & Research 2011). There are many advantages of
using mobile banking for consumers’ financial well-being including accessibility, convenience,
and personalization (Schwiderski-Grosche and Knospe 2002). The financial services sector has
been particularly adept at connecting mobile users to their mobile technologies. Among 23 of
the top 25 deposit taking institutions in the U.S. that offer mobile banking, 96% (approximately
22) have downloadable apps, 87% (approximately 20) offer mobile web banking, and 70%
(approximately 16) offer SMS text services. Consumers can access these applications on their
phone to perform a variety of banking functions, such as getting account balance information,
transferring money between accounts, or setting up their account to receive text message alerts
of the ways in which they use financial services. While the convenience of having access to
banking information anytime and anywhere provided by mobile banking may be empowering to
some consumers, the storage of personal financial information and payment information (i.e.,
credit card numbers) on a device that is easily lost, stolen, or exposed to malware presents
obvious risks. If these risks are an overwhelming concern for the consumer, then the consumer
may opt out of the technology. This is especially true if the personal benefits are not
substantially large or understood, or they may choose to adopt the technology after it has been
tested by the market and shown to be safe and/or beneficial. Roger’s (2003) diffusion of
innovation model looks at this directly and notes some consumers, particularly those that adopt
shortly after the technology is introduced to the market, choose to adopt out of a desire and
Roger’s (2003, 1965) diffusion of innovation model disaggregates consumers into five
different groups with their rates of adoption forming a normal bell curve. The first group of
adopters is the innovators; these adopters have a desire and a willingness to take on risk to try
new things. The second group is the early adopters who are selective about the technologies they
adopt and may need to see the technology working within the market place before adopting. The
next two groups hold the largest proportion of adopters and are the early majority and the late
majority. The early majority is willing to see how the technology can fit into their lives and then
adopt the technology; the late majority is more skeptical of the technology but is willing to adopt
when most of this uncertainty is resolved. Finally the last group of adopters is the laggards
which may include individuals with an aversion to change. Since mobile banking is a relatively
new technology, it can be argued that adopters of mobile banking today are falling within the
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early adopters or the early majority group. However, it may be that individuals within the late
majority or the laggards may benefit the most by adopting the technology, especially from a
financial inclusion policy perspective. That being said, while recent data shows that the primary
barrier to consumer adoption of mobile banking technology is a perceived lack of security, those
who have adopted mobile banking may look fundamentally different than the non-adopters in
terms of their willingness to take on risk. Risk is amplified in the mobile scenario where one’s
consumer attitudes towards the technology and facilitating adoption (Yang 2005).
engage the consumers who find the risks outweigh the personal benefits and clearly
communicate the benefits of the technology in order to foster further adoption (Venkatesh and
Morris 2000). A study in Norway by Suoranta and Mattila (2003) found the most important
trigger to mobile banking adoption to be when consumers found a relative advantage to using the
technology. This ‘relative advantage’ was revealed through the benefits of availability, 24/7
access, independence of time and place, and portability. Before adopting a new technology,
consumers need to see clear benefits from using the technology, and have the ability to take
smartphone users arise, the opportunities to use mobile banking as a means of fostering the
financial inclusion of underserved populations may present itself (Servon and Kaestner 2008).
experiences from interaction in the marketplace (Kim, Shin, and Lee 2009). Consumer
perception of risk was found to have significant negative effects on adoption of mobile
technology in the early 2000s; as the perceived risk of the technology increased, adoption
3
decreased (Lee, Lee, and Eastwood 2003). This was further supported in studies showing that
consumer perception of risk is a major impediment to adoption (Howcroft, Hamilton, and Hewer
2002). This indicates that consumers who perceive mobile banking as risky are not adopting the
determinant of whether a consumer will choose to adopt a new technology. But, a consumer’s
willingness to take on risk, or the consumer’s level of risk aversion, is a ‘softer’ variable that is
hard to identify. Therefore, this study was constructed to build off the earlier literature of
technology adoption and consumer choice models by disaggregating consumer’s trust into their
trust in the technology and their general level of trust. Through the focus on two unique
individual characteristics, one a general level of personal risk tolerance and the other a
perception of the risk of the technology, it is hoped that consumer perception of security risk can
be broken down into the relationship between individual risk aversion and individual mobile
banking aversion to give policy makers a better understanding of why consumers are or are not
H1: Higher levels of personal risk tolerance will be positively related to consumers (who
own mobile phones) choosing to adopt mobile banking (mobile banking = 1).
H2: Lower levels of the perceived safety associated with using mobile banking will be
negatively related to consumers (who own mobile phones) choosing to adopt mobile banking
4
LITERATURE REVIEW
psychological factors affecting the adoption of new technology. One of the first models that
developed to look at technology adoption is the theory of reasoned action (TRA) (Fishbein and
Ajzen 1975). The TRA model is used to explain behavioral intention by looking at behavioral
attitudes, normative pressure, usage intention, and actual use (Nysveen, Pedersen, and
Thorbjørnsen 2005). However, this theory does not take into account perceived control, which
Ajzen (1991) built into his model, the Theory of Planned Behavior. Ajzen’s (1991) theory stated
that perceived control is directly related to behavior intention because if consumers find the
technology is too costly, or that the technology is not useful, or that the consumer will not be in
control of the technology, they may opt not to adopt it. To that end, human behavior is affected
1991). Along these same lines the technology acceptance model (TAM) developed (Davis 1985).
Davis’s (1985) model predicts that user’s intentions to adopt a technology is based on their
perception of its user friendliness, defined as being free from effort, and usefulness, defined as
An examination of the literature determines that these models have been used, and
expanded, in order to explore mobile technologies, and mobile banking specifically. Yang (2005)
validated the TAM by finding a positive effect between perceived usefulness and attitude on
mobile banking adoption. Others have further upheld the TAM model in the context of mobile
technology adoption. An analysis of mobile banking users in Taiwan by Luarn and Lin (2005),
found consumer perception of ease of use and usefulness played a significant role in increased
5
intention to adopt the technology. Lu et al. (2005) concur that perceived usefulness and
perceived ease of use are both positively correlated with adoption rates of wireless online
services via mobile technology. These models build upon Davis’s (1985) theories and firmly
of consumer perception towards mobile banking in the United States. Further, Rogers’ (2003)
in determining the rate of adoption, which can otherwise be defined as the timing choice of the
consumer to enter the technology market. In fact, perceived attributes have been found to explain
about half of the variance in the rate of innovation adoption (Rogers 2003, 1965).
Additionally, it has been shown that perception has been found to be particularly
important in the financial services realm, where researchers note that mobile platform providers
will have greater success reaching customers who perceive new services to be easy to use and
convenient (Thornton and White 2001). If the perception by the consumer is that the technology
is useful and easy to use, then they will choose to adopt this technology. It is worth noting that
few previous studies have considered the perception of such attributes as security risk in
consumer choice models, especially within the United States market. One paper of relevance is a
study by Laforet and Li (2005), which examined the relationship between consumer attitudes
towards mobile banking and their adoption of mobile banking in China. They found that the only
significant attitudinal difference between users and nonusers of mobile banking was concern
about the confidentiality and security of the technology, primarily concerns about hackers
gaining access to their information or being the victim of fraud. The study concludes that
attitudes towards security and perception of risk are the most critical factors discouraging
adoption.
6
Risk Tolerance and Choice Models
Prior to surveys directly asking about consumer’s perception of security risk, models
developed to explore technological adoption based off of familiarity and trust. The literature
demonstrates that familiarity breeds acceptance of innovative technology and use of innovative
products and services (Thornton and White 2001). Miyazaki and Fernandez (2001) found that
higher levels of internet experience may lead to lower risk perceptions regarding online shopping
with fewer concerns for online fraud. However, they also found that internet experience may
increase concerns over the security of private information; especially if the consumer has had an
experience with or heard of a breach of security. Trust is also consistently found to be important
in the technology adoption literature and has received an increasing level of attention in research
exploring consumer adoption of mobile technology. Researchers consistently find that online
banking adoption is largely dependent on trust (Howcroft, Hamilton, and Hewer 2002; McKnight
and Chervany 2001; Bhattacherjee 2002). The level of initial trust individuals have in the
technology is a major determinant of the degree to which they will interact and engage with the
product in the future (Kim, Shin, and Lee 2009; McKnight and Chervany 2001). While some
may argue trust is dependent on familiarity, in a study by Gefen (2002) it was found that the root
of trust actually lies in an individual’s personal disposition for trust more than in external factors.
Pavlou (2003) found that trust and perceived risk can be integrated into a technology
adoption model, and defined trust as a belief that the other party will behave in a socially
responsible behavior. This socially responsible behavior includes not taking advantage of the
vulnerabilities of the other person. In mobile banking these vulnerabilities include issues
7
inherent belief or conviction in the security of the platform (Gefen 2002; Kim, Shin, and Lee
2009); and the more technologically complex the interactions are, the more trust is required
(Gefen 2002). Kim et al. (2009) observed that a consumers’ need for trust is significantly greater
for the adoption of mobile banking due to the heightened concern regarding exposure of personal
financial information However, while the model by Kim et al. (2009) effectively explores both
personal and external factors that may influence technology adoption, the data came from
Korean mobile banking users which limits the generalization of the results to U.S. consumers
Therefore, consumers who choose to adopt mobile technology must place their trust in
the underlying system; they must trust that the underlying system is sound and not subject to
breaches in security; and they must be willing take on risk. These three requirements may cause
the adopters of mobile banking technology to look fundamentally different in their level of risk
aversion than non-adopters. In the mid-1960s, John Pratt (1964) and Kenneth Arrow (1965)
developed one of the first ways to measure absolute risk aversion from which relative risk
aversion developed. Relative risk aversion is used heavily within portfolio management.
Through the literature on risk aversion, it has been found that gender, race, type of employment,
income, age, height, and parental background have an effect on an individual’s willingness to
take on risk.
Dohmen, Falk, Huffman, and Sunde (2011) specifically found that women, older, and
shorter individuals are less willing to take on risk than individuals with less educated parents.
Gilliam, Chatterjee, and Grable (2010), in comparing measures of risk tolerance, found women
had a lower risk tolerance than men, being older tended to lower an individual’s risk tolerance, as
did being less educated. Ekelund et al (2005), in a study from Finland, found that risk adverse
8
individuals were less likely to be self-employed. Halek and Eisenhauer (2001) looked at life
insurance coverage to determine level of risk aversion and found that self-employed individuals
are not significantly different than individuals employed by others in their attitudes towards
speculative risks but are significantly more risk averse to downside risks. Additionally they
found that education increases an individual’s aversion to pure risk but increases an individual’s
willingness to take on speculative risk; and that race affects risk aversion with minorities being
less risk averse than whites. Through robust testing of three separate and independent sources,
Hartog et al (2002) found that women are more risk averse than men, that increased income
reduces risk aversion, that civil servants are more risk averse than those working in the private
sector and that self-employed individuals are less risk averse than employees. Finally Riley Jr
and Chow (2012) found that relative risk aversion decreases as an individual rises above the
poverty level and decreases significantly for the very wealthy; and that risk aversion decreases
Choice models generally take these levels of risk aversion and combine them with a
vector of demographics and other relevant independent variables in order to attempt to explain
who the consumers are that may choose to adopt a certain good or technology. Traditionally
these models have not been able to capture the ‘softer’ aspects of consumer perception. Ashok,
Dillon, and Yuan (2012) discussed ways to extend a choice model to include attitudinal and other
latent variables. As laid out in the following method section, this paper attempts to capture these
‘softer’ aspects of consumer perception and consumer risk aversion, along with a vector of
demographics, to build off this literature and further explain who does or does not adopt mobile
banking.
9
METHOD
Survey Data
The data for this study were obtained from a survey conducted by the Federal Reserve Board to
assess consumers’ use of mobile banking. The survey was administered by Knowledge
Networks, a private data collection company, using their online probability-based sample of US
residents ages 18 and older. Respondents were randomly selected from the approximately 50,000
panel members yielding a nationally representative sample of US adults. 1 The survey was
fielded from December 22, 2011 to January 9, 2012. A total of 2,290 respondents completed the
survey. The survey data included 85 questions relating to mobile banking usage and consumer
our sample to respondents with mobile phones and excluding those observations with missing
values yields an estimation sample of 1,921 observations. When further restricting our sample to
Dependent Variable
For the purpose of their study, the Federal Reserve defined mobile banking as using a mobile
phone to “access your bank account, credit card account, or other financial account. This can be
done either by accessing your bank’s web page through the web browser on your mobile phone,
via text messaging, or by using an application downloaded to your phone.” This question was
only asked of the 1,994 respondents who owned a mobile phone. The dependent variable in our
1
Detailed information regarding the construction of the Knowledge Networks Panel, as well as research validating
the nationally representative nature of the panel is available in Knowledge Networks. 2012. Mobile Financial
Service. In Knowledge Networks Project Report, edited by S. Rodkin and J. Garrett. Palo Alto.
2
Further information on the survey data are available in the report Consumers and Mobile Financial Services. 2012.
Federal Reserve Board.( http://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/mobile-device-report-201203.pdf)
10
study, mobile banking adoption, was derived from the question “Have you used mobile banking
in the past 12 months?” Individuals who responded “Yes” were coded as one, while those who
Consumers’ perception and understanding of the risks associated with mobile banking were
assessed using their responses to the question “How would you currently rate the overall security
of mobile banking for protecting your personal information?” The respondent was able to choose
from 5 responses: Very safe, Somewhat safe, Somewhat unsafe, Very unsafe, and Don’t Know.
The responses to this question were recoded into three separate indicators for perceived risk of
mobile banking: Safe, Unsafe, and Don’t Know. The responses to this question reveal the
consumer’s personal perception of the security risk associated with mobile banking, and provides
insight into consumer understanding of the security concerns surrounding mobile financial
services technology.
Risk Aversion
We are further interested in the extent to which an individual’s own level of risk aversion
influences the adoption of mobile banking conditional on their perception of the risks associated
with mobile banking itself. While we are limited by the fact that the survey did not ask explicitly
about the individual’s willingness to take risks with their own financial information, the risk
tolerance questions asked in the survey have been used extensively in the literature as measures
of individual risk aversion. Moreover, the existing literature on technology adoption and risk
11
aversion, have found that general risk tolerance is strongly suggestive of whether an individual
We use two distinct measures derived from the survey to determine individual risk
aversion. The first measure of an individual’s level of risk aversion was derived from self-
Which of the following statements comes closest to describing the amount of financial risk that you are willing to
take when you save or make investments?
The wording for this question is identical to that used in the Federal Reserve Board’s Survey of
Consumer Finances (SCF). The responses to this question were disaggregated into four separate
However, given that the possible responses to the self-assessed financial risk question are
somewhat subjective, this question may yield imprecise measures of risk tolerance. Therefore,
we supplement this measure with an alternative measure of risk aversion proposed by Barsky et
al. (1997) and Kimball, Shapiro, and Sahm (2008). Following the procedure outlined in Kimball,
Shapiro, and Sahm (2008) we derive an estimate of a respondent’s risk aversion from their
response to a sequence of questions asking them whether or not they would accept a given
gamble over lifetime income. The first question in the sequence was:
Suppose that you are the only income earner in the family, and you have a good job guaranteed to give you your
current income every year for life. You are given the opportunity to take a new and equally good job, with a 50-50
chance that it will double your income and a 50-50 chance that it will cut your income by one-third (33
percent).Would you take the new job? Yes or No.
If the respondent indicated that they would accept the new job they were then asked:
Now suppose that the chances were 50-50 that it would double your income and 50-50 that it would cut your income
by half (50 percent).Would you still take the new job? Yes or No.
12
If instead the respondent indicated that they would not accept the new job offer presented in the
Now suppose that the chances were 50-50 that it would double your income and 50-50 that it would cut your income
by one-fifth (20 percent).Would you now take the new job?
Based on their sequence of responses individuals were classified into one of four possible risk
aversion categories and assigned the corresponding risk aversion value from Kimball, Shapiro,
and Sahm (2008). The risk aversion parameter runs from zero to one, with higher values
corresponding to higher levels of risk tolerance. This risk aversion value was then substituted for
Table 1 details the summary statistics for our full sample of mobile phone users. Over 42
percent of respondents own a smartphone and 19 percent are mobile banking users. When asked
to rate the overall security of mobile banking for protecting personal information, approximately
a third of consumers fell into each response category: perceive mobile banking as safe, perceive
mobile banking as unsafe, and don’t know if mobile banking is safe. Further, our first measure of
financial risk to earn substantial rewards, 16 percent willing to take above average financial risk
for above average returns, 43 percent as willing to take average financial risks for average
returns, and 37 percent not willing to take any financial risk. For our second measure of risk
tolerance, respondents were assigned one of four possible values based on their answers to the
sequence of gambles over income. While the potential risk tolerance values run from 0
(extremely risk averse) to 1 (extremely risk tolerant) the values observed in our data were: .168,
.232, .261, .327. The average value for this risk tolerance variable was .209, which implies that
most consumers in our data are relatively risk averse, consistent with the finding from our
13
Table 2 details the summary statistics of two sub-samples of the full sample, those who
are mobile bankers and those who are not mobile bankers. The mobile banker sub-group has a
slightly higher level of education (39 percent vs. 33 percent have a bachelors or higher), has
more minority respondents, has more employed respondents and fewer respondents not in the
labor force, and is younger (the other demographics has less than a 10 percent difference
between the two groups). These characteristics are in line with the literature on risk aversion is
we are assuming that those who are in the non-mobile banking sub-group are more risk averse.
There are 362 individuals in the mobile banking sub-group and 1,557 individuals in the non-
Of the respondents who use mobile banking, 87 percent own a smart phone and 74
percent perceive mobile banking as safe. Of the non-mobile banking users, 32 percent own a
smartphone and approximately 23 percent perceive mobile banking as safe. Of the mobile
bankers approximately 7 percent are willing to take substantial risk to earn substantial reward, 25
percent are willing to take above average financial risk for above average rewards, 38 percent are
willing to take average financial risks for average returns, and 29 percent are not willing to take
any financial risk. Among the non-mobile bankers, 2 percent are willing to take substantial
financial risk to earn substantial financial reward, 14 percent are willing to above average
financial risk for above average financial reward, 44 percent are willing to take average financial
risk for average financial reward, and 39 percent are not willing to take any financial risk. From
a review of the demographics, non-mobile bankers appear to be more risk averse since larger
percent of this population is willing to take average financial risk for average financial reward, or
are not willing to take any financial risk. This holds true when looking at the mobile bankers
value for risk tolerance, .226, which is greater than the non-mobile bankers value for risk
14
tolerance, .206, indicating that mobile bankers as a group are more risk tolerant than non-mobile
bankers.
This finding supports our two hypothesis that: (1) higher levels of personal risk tolerance
will be positively related to consumers (who own mobile phones) choosing to adopt mobile
banking; and (2) lower levels of perceived safety associated with using mobile banking will be
negatively related to consumers (who own mobile phones) choosing to adopt mobile banking.
Empirical Model
We estimate the effect of risk aversion and risk perception on adoption of mobile banking using
Where the dependent variable, Adoption, is a dichotomous variable that equals one if individual,
i, uses mobile banking, and zero otherwise, MR is the vector of indicators for the individual’s
perception of the security risks inherent in mobile banking, R is the individual level measure of
risk aversion, and X is a vector of demographic characteristics including education, race, gender,
household income, marital status, employment status, and age. In the full sample of mobile
phone users we also include an indicator for whether or not the individual owns a smartphone.
All logit coefficient estimates are converted to average marginal effects using the margins
command in Stata version 12.1. Standard errors are calculated using the delta method. We
report these marginal effects in the results tables for ease of interpretation.
From the literature review, the data should show that those with less education,
minorities, women, individuals with relatively lower incomes, married, individuals working for
others, and older individuals (over the age of 65) will be more risk averse. This will indicate that
15
they have a lower value for R. The data should also show that that those with less education,
have lower incomes, are married, are employed by others, and older individuals (over age 65)
will perceive the technology to be more risky. This comes from the literature associated with
Roger’s (1965; 2003) diffusion of innovation which indicates these individuals will be among
the later adopters since these individuals have been found to be less willing to take on risk to try
new things and may not understand how the new technology adds a benefit to their lives.
In order to determine whether the data being used in this study follows the pattern of the
risk literature, the population was disaggregated into three sub-groups and tested for their level
of risk aversion and whether or not they perceived mobile banking to be safe. These three
subgroups were: all mobile bankers, mobile bankers who own smart phones, and those who are
not mobile bankers but own a mobile phone. These three subgroups were chosen to test the
hypothesis that adopters of mobile banking are more risk tolerant than non-mobile bankers, as
shown in the over view of the demographics. The same regressions were run for each of the
subgroups. Table 3 explores whether an individual perceives mobile banking to be safe; table 4
looks at all mobile phone users in the sample; table 5 looks at only smartphone users; and table 6
looks at individuals who own a mobile phone, but are not mobile bankers.
Demographically those who did not perceived mobile banking as safe (table 3), were
women and individuals over 60 from the full sample; and women as well as all age groups
(relative to those under 30) for the non-mobile banker sample, while a high school or bachelor’s
level education (relative to those receiving less than a high school education) found mobile
banking safe. This suggests that education and age have a greater effect on an individual’s
16
RESULTS
We examine the adoption of mobile banking separately for three groups. First, we include
all mobile phone users in our estimation sample. Second, we restrict our sample to only those
individuals with smartphones, as smartphone users are almost ten times more likely to adopt
mobile banking than non-smartphone users (42 percent adoption rate versus 5 percent adoption
rate, respectively). Then we look at non-mobile bankers who own a mobile phone to gain a
better understanding of the level of risk aversion individuals who mobile bank have versus those
Table 4 presents results for the full sample of mobile phone users. In our first model
marriage status, employment status, and age. Not surprisingly, we find that age plays a highly
significant role in influencing adoption of mobile banking, with the probability of adoption
dropping substantially with increase in the age category of the respondent. All the age coefficient
The regression results seen in column (1) of table 4 indicate that there is only a weak
relationship between educational attainment and adoption of mobile banking holding other
characteristics constant, with none of the coefficients significant at the 1 percent level. There also
employment status and adoption of mobile banking technology. These coefficient estimates
largely remain unchanged in subsequent specifications that add variables covering perceived
17
security of mobile banking for protecting personal information, tolerance of financial risk
In the next specification of the model, we examine the effect of the perceived security
risk of using mobile financial services on adoption of the technology. As shown in column (2) of
table 4, consumers who identify mobile banking technology as “Unsafe” were 18.0 percentage
points less likely to adopt mobile banking technology than those who believe the technology is
“Safe”. Those that responded “Don’t know” regarding knowledge about the security risk of the
technology were 19.8 percentage points less likely to adopt than those who believe the
technology is “Safe”. Both estimates are significant at the one percent level.
In column (3) of table 4 we incorporate our first measure of risk aversion into the model
using individual consumer responses regarding the level of financial risk they are willing to bear.
Consumers with the highest risk tolerance, defined by those willing to take substantial financial
risk to earn substantial rewards, were 11.6 percentage points more likely to adopt mobile banking
technology than those not willing to take any financial risk, significant at the one percent level.
Those willing to take on above average financial risk to earn above average returns were 4.7
percentage points more likely to adopt the technology, significant at the five percent level.
Lastly, individuals who would only take average financial risks for average returns were not
statistically more likely to adopt mobile banking than those who would not take any financial
risk. Somewhat surprisingly, with the addition of the measure of risk aversion there was almost
no change in the magnitude of the effect of perceived security risk of mobile banking on
adoption. This suggests that the perceived riskiness of the technology affects the probability of
adoption of mobile banking independent of the respondents’ own individual level of risk
aversion.
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The final column (4) in table 4 displays the effect of individual risk aversion on mobile
banking adoption when risk aversion is measured by the risk tolerance value derived using the
procedure outlined in Kimball, Shapiro, and Sahm (2008). The effect of relative risk tolerance on
adoption of mobile banking may be best described through an example comparing the relative
adoption rates of the highest and lowest risk tolerance found in our sample. The scale ranges
from zero to one, but these were not the minimum and maximum values found in our data. The
highest risk tolerance level observed in the data was a .327 and the lowest was a .168, yielding a
difference of .159. When this difference in values is multiplied by the coefficient on our risk
tolerance variable, 0.358, it yields a 5.7 percentage point difference in the probability of mobile
banking adoption between these two levels of risk aversion. In other words, the most risk averse
person in the data is 5.7 percentage points less likely to adopt mobile banking than the least risk
averse person in the data, holding all else constant. This disparity in adoption rates between the
most and least risk averse individuals is similar to the magnitude of the difference found using
self-reported willingness to take financial risk. Thus regardless of the measure used, an
individual’s level of risk tolerance affects their adoption of this new technology.
It is worth noting that when controlling for risk aversion level, using either of the two
methods in our study, the magnitude of the effect of self-perceived mobile banking security does
not change, as seen in columns (2) and (4) of table 4. Again, this finding highlights that the
perceived riskiness of the technology and an individual’s risk tolerance exert independent effects
on technology adoption.
19
In table 5 we present results for the sample restricted to smartphone users. As seen in
column (4) of table 4, consumers who own a smartphone are 21 percentage points more likely
than non-smartphone users to adopt mobile banking technology, significant at the one percent
level. Given that smartphone users may be different than non-smartphone users in a variety of
ways, we analyze them separately in order to provide insight into the underlying drivers of
mobile banking adoption among this growing population. The model specifications in table 5
As shown in column (1) of table 5, the coefficient estimates on the demographic variables
generally maintain the same sign and significance level as for the full sample of mobile phone
users; however, the magnitudes of the coefficients are somewhat larger in the sample restricted
to smartphone users. One notable difference between the demographic coefficient estimates in
the sample restricted to smartphone users and the full sample is on the race/ethnicity variables. In
table 4 the race coefficients all are highly significant predictors of mobile banking adoption. In
column (4), which includes further controls for both perceived security of mobile banking and a
measure of risk tolerance, we find that black non-Hispanics are 9.4 percentage points more likely
than whites to adopt mobile banking, other non-Hispanic are 6.0 percentage points more likely to
adopt mobile banking, and Hispanics are 4.8 percentage points more likely to adopt mobile
banking. When restricting the sample to smartphone users only in table 5, consumers who
identified themselves as black non-Hispanic were still more likely to adopt mobile banking
technology than whites; however the results for Hispanics, non-Hispanics, and others were not
statistically significant.
Interestingly, restricting the sample to smartphone users increases the magnitude of the
effect of perception of security risk and both measures of individual risk aversion on mobile
20
banking adoption. Here, consumers who perceive mobile banking as unsafe were 34.7
percentage points less likely to adopt mobile banking than those who believe mobile banking is
safe, as reported in column (2) of table 5. Consumers who responded that they did not know the
safety of mobile banking were 37.3 percentage points less likely to adopt mobile banking than
those who perceived it as safe. For the measure of self-reported financial risk tolerance,
consumers who were willing to take substantial financial risk to earn substantial rewards were
19.0 percentage points more likely to adopt mobile banking than consumers not willing to take
any financial risk, significant at the five percent level. Individuals who were willing to take
above average financial risk for above average returns were 8.9 percentage points more likely to
adopt the technology than those not willing to bear any risk, significant at the five percent level.
Those only willing to take average financial risks for average returns were again not statistically
Using the calculated risk tolerance value to assess individual appetite for risk, reported in
column (4) of table 5, yields a 11.1 percentage point difference in the probability of adopting
mobile banking between the most risk averse individual and the lease risk averse individual. This
value is derived by again taking the 0.159 difference in the highest and lowest risk tolerance
values and multiplying it by the coefficient of 0.696 from column (4) of table 5, yielding a
Non-Mobile Bankers
In Table 6 we present results for the sample restricted to individuals who own a mobile
phone but are non-mobile bankers. Given that mobile phone owners who do not mobile bank are
different from those that do, we analyze them separately. The model specifications in Table 6
21
mirror those presented in Tables 4 and 5. Appropriately, most of the variables that were
significant from the full mobile bankers group and the smart phone user subset remained
significant in the non-mobile banker subset, but their correlations all changed direction, as shown
in Table 6. This is exactly what should be found since the dependent variable captures those
individuals who do not mobile bank, as opposed to tables 4 and 5 which captured mobile
bankers. Since this pattern continued into the measures of self-perceived safety and individual
level of risk aversion, these results can be used to further support the suggested finding that the
riskiness of the technology affects the probability of adoption of mobile banking independent of
levels of education, particularly for individual with some college education, being negatively
correlated with being a non-mobile banker. This finding is supported by the fact that education
and age had the largest effects on whether an individual considered mobile banking safe, shown
in table 3. In table 3, education was positively correlated with the perception of safety and age
correlated with whether an individual is a non-mobile banker. This follows the theory that the
prevalence of mobile banking decreases with age and increases with education.
Along these same lines, all three of the sub-sample regressions followed the initial results
from table 3, that both education and age are demographic characteristics prevalent in predicting
mobile banking adoption. Race, while not significant is predicting whether an individual
perceived mobile banking as safe, played a statistically significant role in most of the sub-
samples with black, non-Hispanic individuals being the most likely to adopt mobile banking
(tables 4 and 5); and all races (relative to whites) being negatively correlated with non-mobile
22
banking. This indicates that being a non-white individual positively affects the likelihood of
adopting mobile banking, but not the perception of mobile banking safety. Income, marriage
status, and employment status are not statistically relevant in safety perceptions or influential in
adoption likelihoods.
DISCUSSION
Through the use of two separate measures of risk, the responses to the individual’s perception of
the safety of mobile banking, and a careful review of the demographics of the sub-groups of
mobile bankers and non-mobile bankers, our results highlight the importance of consumers’
perceptions of the security of mobile banking technology on adoption of mobile banking. The
results presented above and in tables 4, 5 and 6 strongly support our hypotheses that the both the
perceived risk of the technology itself, as well as the individual’s own general risk tolerance are
Our results indicate that more risk averse consumers, independent of their perception of
the risk of mobile banking, are significantly less likely to adopt mobile banking technology.
Given the complexities in accurately measuring individual risk aversion, we employ two distinct
metrics, both of which yield similar results. These findings imply that encouraging consumers to
adopt a new technology requires attention to both their specific risk tolerance in addition to
From tables 4 and 5 we have found that adoption of mobile banking is significantly and
positively correlated with those individuals willing to take substantial and above average risk.
This holds true for table 6 where race also became significant. Putting this together with the
perception of how safe mobile banking is, those who believe that mobile banking is secure and
23
protects their personal information are significantly more likely to adopt mobile banking
While this may not be surprising, the magnitude of the effect is quite large. Consumers
identifying mobile technology as unsafe or who don’t know how safe the technology is are 20
percentage points less likely to adopt mobile banking than those who think it is safe. In the full
sample with both adopters and non-adopters women were consistently found to be less likely to
consider mobile banking safe. However, for non-mobile bankers alone, education and age were
important factors in determining the perceived security, with education being positively
correlated and age being negatively correlated. This is consistent with the summary statistics for
the mobile banking sub-sample, as mobile bankers were slightly more educated than the full
sample, were more likely to be a minority, had higher income, were more likely to be not
married, be more likely to be employed, and were more likely to be younger than the full sample.
Looking at Roger’s (1965; 2003) diffusion of innovation theory, the more people that use
a technology, the more non-users are likely to adopt it as they become familiar with it and see
how it benefits the lives of the users. As the adoption of mobile banking increases organically,
other members of the population may perceived the technology as more safe as it becomes more
CONCLUSION
While the convenience of having access to banking information anytime and anywhere may be
empowering to some consumers, the storage of personal financial information and payment
information is an obvious risk. If such risks are an over-whelming concern for the consumer,
24
then the consumer may opt out of the technology, especially if the personal benefits are not
substantially large or understood. Moreover, our findings suggest that for this technology an
individual’s general risk aversion and their perception of the risk associated with mobile banking
Security perceptions are a very important hurdle to wider adoption of mobile banking.
However, our analysis suggests that there are individuals who currently have the ability to
mobile bank but have not yet adopted. Therefore, an equally important hurdle in increasing the
value an individual may place in the benefits associated with mobile banking. Reflecting on
Roger’s (1965; 2003) diffusion of innovation theory presented earlier, mobile banking adoption
may be greatly increased by addressing the majority of the ‘uncertainties’ individuals have
towards mobile banking. Without clear benefits, any concerns or uncertainty about security will
limit adoption of mobile banking. But if consumers understand how they can gain from the
technology, they will have greater incentive to bear any risk they perceive. Additionally, we have
seen that perception can be greatly influenced by age and education. This suggests that mobile
banking will grow organically as the population ages. Given the widespread penetration of
mobile phones and smartphones, especially among the young, mobile banking technology
presents the opportunity to extend financial services to greater parts of the population. However,
before mobile banking can serve as a means of inclusion for financially underserved populations,
their concerns about the adoption of mobile banking would need to be addressed.
25
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27
TABLE 1
Summary Statistics: Full Sample
Standard
Mean
Deviation
Mobile banking user 0.1884 0.3912
Own a smartphone 0.4237 0.4943
Less than high school (base) 0.0854 0.2795
High school degree 0.3092 0.4623
Some college 0.2676 0.4428
Bachelor's degree or higher 0.3378 0.4731
White non-Hispanic (base) 0.7434 0.4369
Black non-Hispanic 0.0927 0.2900
Other and two or more races non-Hispanic 0.0687 0.2530
Hispanic 0.0953 0.2937
Male 0.4784 0.4997
Female 0.5216 0.4997
Less than $25000 (base) 0.1478 0.3550
HH income $25000 - $39999 0.1484 0.3555
HH income $40000 - $74999 0.2743 0.4463
HH income $75000 - $99999 0.1489 0.3561
HH income greater than $100000 0.2806 0.4494
Married 0.6018 0.4897
Not married; widowed; divorced; or living with partner 0.3982 0.4897
Employed 0.5867 0.4926
Unemployed but in labor force (base) 0.0802 0.2716
Not in labor force: retired; disability; or other 0.3332 0.4715
Ages 18-29 (base) 0.1583 0.3651
Ages 30-44 0.2572 0.4372
Ages 45-60 0.3040 0.4601
Ages over 60 0.2806 0.4494
Mobile banking perceived as safe (base) 0.3222 0.4675
Mobile banking perceived of as unsafe 0.3295 0.4702
Don't know if mobile banking is safe 0.3399 0.4738
Take substantial financial risk to earn substantial rewards 0.0338 0.1809
Take above average financial risk for above average returns 0.1650 0.3713
Take average financial risks for average returns 0.4321 0.4955
Not willing to take any financial risk (base) 0.3691 0.4827
Relative risk tolerance 0.2096 0.0526
Observations 1921
TABLE 2
Summary Statistics: Mobile Bankers and Non-Mobile Bankers
Mobile Bankers Non-Mobile Bankers
Mean Standard Mean Standard
Deviation Deviation
Own a smartphone 0.8702 0.3366 0.3198 0.4666
Less than high school 0.0552 0.2288 0.0925 0.2898
High school degree 0.232 0.4227 0.3263 0.469
Some college 0.326 0.4694 0.2543 0.4356
Bachelor's degree or higher 0.3867 0.4877 0.3269 0.4692
White non-Hispanic 0.6298 0.4835 0.7694 0.4213
Black non-Hispanic 0.1519 0.3595 0.079 0.2698
Other and two or more races non-Hispanic 0.0801 0.2718 0.0662 0.2486
Hispanic 0.1381 0.3455 0.0854 0.2796
Gender 0.4807 0.5003 0.4772 0.4996
Female 0.5193 0.5003 0.5228 0.4996
Less than $25000 0.1298 0.3366 0.1509 0.3581
HH income $25000 - $39999 0.1354 0.3426 0.1516 0.3587
HH income $40000 - $74999 0.2486 0.4328 0.2807 0.4495
HH income $75000 - $99999 0.1547 0.3621 0.1477 0.3549
HH income greater than $100000 0.3315 0.4714 0.2691 0.4436
Married 0.5331 0.4996 0.6172 0.4862
Not married; widowed; divorced; or living with partner 0.4669 0.4996 0.3828 0.4862
Employed 0.7348 0.442 0.5523 0.4974
Unemployed but in labor force 0.0994 0.2997 0.0758 0.2647
Not in labor force: retired; disability; or other 0.1657 0.3724 0.3719 0.4835
Ages 18-29 0.3343 0.4724 0.1175 0.3222
Ages 30-44 0.3867 0.4877 0.2274 0.4193
Ages 45-60 0.1989 0.3997 0.3282 0.4697
Ages over 60 0.0801 0.2718 0.3269 0.4692
Mobile banking perceived as safe 0.7403 0.4391 0.2254 0.418
Mobile banking perceived of as unsafe 0.1602 0.3673 0.368 0.4824
Don't know if mobile banking is safe 0.0967 0.2959 0.3969 0.4894
Take substantial financial risk to earn substantial rewards 0.0746 0.2631 0.0244 0.1544
Take above average financial risk for above average returns 0.2541 0.436 0.1445 0.3517
Take average financial risks for average returns 0.3812 0.4864 0.4438 0.497
Not willing to take any financial risk 0.2901 0.4544 0.3873 0.4873
Relative risk tolerance 0.226 0.057 0.2058 0.0508
Observations 362 1557
29
TABLE 3
Regression Results, Does an individual consider mobile banking safe?
Mobile Bankers Non-Mobile
Mobile Bankers with Smart Phones Bankers
High school degree -0.004 0.029 0.106**
(-0.033) (0.212) (2.329)
Some college 0.001 0.005 0.093
(0.010) (0.041) (1.957)
Bachelor's degree or higher 0.044 0.041 0.139***
(0.373) (0.301) (2.936)
Black non-Hispanic 0.044 0.001 -0.049
(0.634) (0.014) (-1.184)
Other and two or more races non-Hispanic -0.118 -0.106 -0.079
(-1.505) (-1.109) (-1.730)
Hispanic 0.042 0.043 -0.007
(0.575) (0.558) (-0.193)
Female -0.096** -0.084 -0.072***
(-2.080) (-1.661) (-3.543)
HH income $25000 - $39999 0.105 0.056 -0.025
(1.094) (0.514) (-0.632)
HH income $40000 - $74999 0.001 -0.039 0.010
(0.017) (-0.393) (0.293)
HH income $75000 - $99999 0.007 -0.024 0.005
(0.071) (-0.218) (0.119)
HH income greater than $100000 -0.016 -0.052 0.027
(-0.184) (-0.509) (0.722)
Married -0.025 -0.020 0.018
(-0.480) (-0.367) (0.745)
Employed -0.065 -0.025 0.031
(-0.775) (-0.279) (0.763)
Not in labor force: retired; disability; or other -0.110 -0.044 0.024
(-1.186) (-0.416) (0.541)
Ages 30-44 0.040 0.023 -0.088**
(0.672) (0.364) (-2.572)
Ages 45-60 0.019 0.009 -0.105***
(0.278) (0.115) (-3.230)
Ages over 60 -0.193** -0.141 -0.188***
(-2.230) (-1.257) (-5.173)
t statistics in parentheses
** p<0.05 *** p<0.01"
30
TABLE 4
Regression Results, All mobile phone users (1) (2) (3) (4)
High school degree 0.037 0.015 0.011 0.017
(1.054) (0.462) (0.350) (0.509)
Some college 0.071** 0.053 0.046 0.055
(2.016) (1.632) (1.419) (1.666)
Bachelor's degree or higher 0.056 0.034 0.021 0.034
(1.542) (1.008) (0.613) (1.009)
Black non-Hispanic 0.098*** 0.096*** 0.096*** 0.094***
(3.947) (4.107) (4.113) (4.052)
Other and two or more races non-Hispanic 0.030 0.063** 0.062** 0.060**
(1.028) (2.322) (2.286) (2.215)
Hispanic 0.049** 0.048** 0.045** 0.048**
(1.963) (2.079) (1.974) (2.102)
Female 0.008 0.019 0.027 0.021
(0.507) (1.305) (1.837) (1.469)
HH income $25000 - $39999 0.009 0.002 0.005 -0.000
(0.271) (0.071) (0.174) (-0.007)
HH income $40000 - $74999 -0.007 -0.010 -0.009 -0.009
(-0.232) (-0.376) (-0.346) (-0.341)
HH income $75000 - $99999 0.001 0.000 -0.001 0.002
(0.023) (0.017) (-0.051) (0.066)
HH income greater than $100000 -0.014 -0.015 -0.018 -0.016
(-0.481) (-0.565) (-0.647) (-0.591)
Married -0.000 0.001 0.001 0.003
(-0.011) (0.063) (0.077) (0.179)
Employed 0.016 0.009 0.015 0.013
(0.587) (0.326) (0.585) (0.500)
Not in labor force: retired; disability; or other -0.022 -0.014 -0.003 -0.009
(-0.682) (-0.452) (-0.101) (-0.296)
Ages 30-44 -0.067*** -0.049** -0.050** -0.046**
(-3.188) (-2.506) (-2.572) (-2.355)
Ages 45-60 -0.143*** -0.110*** -0.110*** -0.107***
(-6.444) (-5.303) (-5.345) (-5.163)
Ages over 60 -0.188*** -0.127*** -0.125*** -0.121***
(-6.517) (-4.667) (-4.610) (-4.440)
Own a smartphone 0.265*** 0.212*** 0.210*** 0.210***
(15.420) (13.662) (13.544) (13.550)
Mobile banking perceived of as unsafe -0.180*** -0.179*** -0.177***
(-11.992) (-11.877) (-11.799)
Don't know if mobile banking is safe -0.198*** -0.191*** -0.193***
(-10.727) (-10.382) (-10.451)
Take substantial financial risk to earn substantial rewards 0.116***
(3.418)
Take above average financial risk for above average returns 0.047**
(2.209)
Take average financial risks for average returns 0.015
(0.793)
Relative risk tolerance 0.358***
(2.780)
Observations 1921 1921 1921 1921
t statistics in parentheses, **p<0.05; ***p<0.01
31
TABLE 5
Regression Results, Smartphone users only (1) (2) (3) (4)
High school degree 0.109 0.050 0.038 0.054
(1.317) (0.665) (0.506) (0.724)
Some college 0.147 0.109 0.089 0.113
(1.807) (1.476) (1.214) (1.530)
Bachelor's degree or higher 0.098 0.057 0.025 0.059
(1.173) (0.760) (0.326) (0.784)
Black non-Hispanic 0.136** 0.131*** 0.132*** 0.130**
(2.464) (2.598) (2.589) (2.574)
Other and two or more races non-Hispanic 0.022 0.101 0.102 0.094
(0.356) (1.750) (1.761) (1.618)
Hispanic 0.067 0.068 0.066 0.067
(1.257) (1.422) (1.381) (1.409)
Female 0.009 0.031 0.044 0.037
(0.258) (1.019) (1.434) (1.220)
HH income $25000 - $39999 0.085 0.062 0.067 0.055
(1.149) (0.931) (1.008) (0.823)
HH income $40000 - $74999 0.065 0.047 0.046 0.048
(0.975) (0.771) (0.753) (0.792)
HH income $75000 - $99999 0.063 0.063 0.055 0.064
(0.868) (0.956) (0.834) (0.975)
HH income greater than $100000 0.048 0.041 0.035 0.037
(0.703) (0.675) (0.555) (0.608)
Married 0.010 0.012 0.011 0.016
(0.251) (0.341) (0.331) (0.451)
Employed 0.016 -0.002 0.015 0.007
(0.263) (-0.044) (0.261) (0.133)
Not in labor force: retired; disability; or other -0.063 -0.047 -0.023 -0.037
(-0.878) (-0.723) (-0.356) (-0.576)
Ages 30-44 -0.114** -0.085** -0.087** -0.080
(-2.527) (-2.057) (-2.120) (-1.932)
Ages 45-60 -0.250*** -0.189*** -0.191*** -0.186***
(-5.220) (-4.301) (-4.350) (-4.248)
Ages over 60 -0.331*** -0.205*** -0.200*** -0.195***
(-5.257) (-3.470) (-3.380) (-3.302)
Mobile banking perceived of as unsafe -0.347*** -0.345*** -0.342***
(-12.547) (-12.409) (-12.295)
Don't know if mobile banking is safe -0.373*** -0.362*** -0.364***
(-10.306) (-9.934) (-10.011)
Take substantial financial risk to earn substantial rewards 0.190**
(2.538)
Take above average financial risk for above average returns 0.089**
(2.011)
Take average financial risks for average returns 0.032
(0.811)
Relative risk tolerance 0.696**
(2.544)
Observations 814 814 814 814
t statistics in parentheses, **p<0.05; ***p<0.01
32
TABLE 6
Regression Results, Non-Mobile Bankers
(1) (2) (3) (4)
High school degree -0.051 -0.028 -0.031 -0.028
(-1.370) (-0.812) (-0.892) (-0.791)
Some college -0.110*** -0.082** -0.081** -0.078**
(-2.966) (-2.386) (-2.304) (-2.202)
Bachelor's degree or higher -0.110*** -0.068 -0.058 -0.057
(-2.876) (-1.914) (-1.600) (-1.577)
Black non-Hispanic -0.128*** -0.123*** -0.117*** -0.115***
(-5.029) (-5.139) (-4.762) (-4.652)
Other and two or more races non-Hispanic -0.046 -0.068** -0.069** -0.071**
(-1.457) (-2.357) (-2.346) (-2.438)
Hispanic -0.088*** -0.077*** -0.074*** -0.079***
(-3.324) (-3.134) (-2.956) (-3.164)
Female -0.005 -0.020 -0.028 -0.026
(-0.306) (-1.297) (-1.804) (-1.643)
HH income $25000 - $39999 -0.006 -0.006 -0.012 -0.002
(-0.174) (-0.195) (-0.411) (-0.068)
HH income $40000 - $74999 -0.018 -0.018 -0.016 -0.010
(-0.632) (-0.692) (-0.600) (-0.353)
HH income $75000 - $99999 -0.028 -0.023 -0.028 -0.024
(-0.849) (-0.768) (-0.903) (-0.807)
HH income greater than $100000 -0.042 -0.031 -0.031 -0.034
(-1.429) (-1.127) (-1.095) (-1.228)
Married -0.014 -0.011 -0.011 -0.010
(-0.731) (-0.657) (-0.623) (-0.572)
Employed -0.040 -0.026 -0.029 -0.027
(-1.362) (-0.957) (-1.040) (-0.987)
Not in labor force: retired; disability; or other 0.026 0.018 0.006 0.014
(0.766) (0.572) (0.192) (0.449)
Ages 30-44 0.095*** 0.066*** 0.057*** 0.054***
(4.332) (3.199) (2.727) (2.594)
Ages 45-60 0.215*** 0.157*** 0.152*** 0.150***
(9.482) (7.427) (7.089) (6.985)
Ages over 60 0.294*** 0.204*** 0.197*** 0.192***
(9.609) (7.234) (6.929) (6.694)
Mobile banking perceived of as unsafe 0.206*** 0.205*** 0.204***
(12.733) (12.581) (12.478)
Don't know if mobile banking is safe 0.254*** 0.249*** 0.248***
(12.885) (12.372) (12.486)
Take substantial financial risk to earn substantial rewards -0.114***
(-3.237)
Take above average financial risk for above average returns -0.054**
(-2.409)
Take average financial risks for average returns -0.005
33
(-0.262)
Relative risk tolerance -0.448***
(-3.268)
Log-Likelihood
AIC . . . .
Observations 2002 2002 1954 1942
t statistics in parentheses
***
** p<0.05 p<0.01"
34