Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1
Annual report analysis
Introduction
Annual report analysis provides vital information on companies’ overall performance and helps
developing outlook on them based on historical events. It highlights the true economic profit
against companies’ reported profit as well as the health of the balance sheet.
• Non-operational risks
• Capital structure
• Change in accounting policy/ estimates by the company and its impact on the
profitability.
2
Content
List of Companies
Tata Motors
Suzlon Energy
Pharmaceuticals
Strides Arcolab
FMCG
Welspun Corp
Information Technology
DLF
Infrastructure Unitech
C&C Constructions
IVRCL Infrastructure
Lanco Infratech
Reliance Infrastructure
3
Key Highlights
Key Highlights
Automobiles
Ashok Leyland
• Revenues and margins improve; new ventures to propel future revenue growth.
• Change in deprecation policy; write back of provisions and profit of sale of division
contributed 4.7% to PBT.
Bharat Forge
• Amortisation of FCCB redemption premium through P&L will result in FY10 PBT dipping
by INR 383 mn (395% of PBT before exceptional item).
Escorts
• Escorts created a business reconstruction reserve (BRR) of INR 11.1 bn (net) via
transfers, primarily from revaluation and amalgamation reserve.
• BRR has been used to write off losses/diminution in value of various assets aggregating
INR 5.1 bn.
• Doubtful debts/ advances/ deposits aggregate INR 1.6 bn, which is 20% of total debts/
advances/ deposits of INR 7.8 bn.
• Post IFRS, elimination of treasury shares will lead to 10% increase in EPS and 15%
reduction in net worth.
• Provision of certain expenses directly through reserves and routing divesture gains
through P&L increases PBT by 5%.
Tata Motors
• PBT for FY10, adjusted for write back of provisions (INR 4.4 bn), interest cost and
pension loss which has been kept off P&L (INR 7 bn), amounts to INR 8.9 bn vis-à-vis
reported PBT of INR 20.3 bn (excluding investment gains).
• INR 29.4 bn rise in acceptances triggered increase in creditor days (from 86 in FY09 to
108 in FY10); this, together with improved operations, boosted operating cash flow. Also,
discounting charges have increased to INR 6.7 bn in FY10 from INR 4.8 bn in FY09.
Capital Goods
Punj Lloyd
• Increased working capital stretches cash flows; QIP and divestment offered respite.
Operating cash flow was at INR (16.2) bn despite PBT of INR 210 mn.
4
Annual report analysis
Suzlon Energy
• Cash flows stretched; debt restructuring, Hansen stake sale and fresh issue offered some
respite.
• Suzlon paid INR 2.6 bn towards refinancing arrangement which will be amortised over
loan tenure.
• FCCB interest cost continues to skirt P&L and balance sheet; however, gain on
restructuring of FCCBs has been recognised as exceptional income.
Education
Educomp Solutions
• QIP money of INR 5 bn utilised towards stake hike by 8.8% in EISML (69% subsidiary)
EISML’s net worth (ex-retained earnings) stands at INR 5.43 bn, of which, Educomp has
invested INR 5.4 bn cumulatively for 78% stake; other stakeholders own 22%.
• Reinvestment of QIP money has resulted in further addition to net worth by INR 4.6 bn
with corresponding addition to goodwill.
• IFRS adoption will lead to elimination of inter-group profits and significant increase in
D/E.
FMCG
United Spirits
• Operating cash flow includes addition of INR 5.7 bn towards forex adjustment, of which,
INR 2.9 bn is adjusted for translation losses and INR 1.9 bn realised on repayment of
forex loans. Increase in debtors further stretches cash flow. Operating cash flow also
includes gain on treasury shares of INR 8.9 bn.
• USL has reported derivative loss of INR 1.4 bn (FY09: INR 1.4 bn).
• Pension losses for W&M continue at INR 0.6 bn (FY 09: INR 1.7 bn). Goodwill, at INR
42.4 bn, is 118% of net worth.
Information Technology
HCL Technology
• Goodwill stands at INR 35.2 bn as at FY10 end (FY09: INR 37.3 bn), 56.0% of net worth.
Infrastructure
C&C Construction
• Working capital requirement increased with 2.5x increase in debtors to 2.5 bn. Also,
cheques on hand aggregate INR 378.6 mn, ~15.2% of March 31, 2010, debtors.
5
Key highlights
• The company follows IFRS principles for accounting of service concession arrangements
(SCA); consequently, construction income in SCA is recognised upfront on POCM basis.
Margins built on construction income look aggressive.
• Operating cash flow post interest, however, remained subdued despite including
unrealised profit from construction income in SCA.
• Margins booked on in-house contracts increased from 27.0% in FY09 to 32.7% in FY10.
PBT margins on non-captive transactions have dipped from 18.6% in FY09 to 16.9% in
FY10, indicating aggressive assumptions for captive EPC contracts (IFRS accounting).
• Operating cash flow (post interest) was at INR 6.6 bn, however, this includes INR 2.7 bn
towards unrealised profits for EPC work executed for BOT SPV which gets offset by
contra investing cash outflows.
IVRCL Infrastructure
• Provision for doubtful debts, advances, and deposits and bad debt written off increased
from INR 120.2 mn in FY09 to INR 428.5 mn (11.3% of PBT) in FY10.
Lanco Infratech
• Related party transactions contribute 47% to revenue; IFRS convergence may result in
consolidation of SPVs that will result in elimination of inter-group profits and increase in
D/E ratio from 2.5x to 4.4x.
• Lanco allotted 9.2 mn ESOPs, exercisable at wt. avg. price of INR 0.24 each; ESOP cost
will be amortised over six years; charge for FY10 was INR 570.8 mn (6.1% of PBT).
Reliance Infrastructure
• Loans and advances, at INR 85.9 bn (FY09: INR 55.9 bn), include inter-corporate deposit
of INR 27.7 bn (FY09: INR 15.9 bn).
• Operating cash flow remains subdued on increased working capital requirement and
revenue recognised under the tariff adjustment account.
• Operating cash flow (supported by acceptances) and QIP facilitate capex. The company
has huge capex plans (~INR 414 bn) over the next three years.
• High court approval helped keep interest on Novelis acquisition off P&L.
• Goodwill of INR 44.3 bn and customer relationship of INR 17.8 bn constituted 28.8% of
net worth.
6
Annual report analysis
JSW Steel
• Acceptances as at FY10 end stood at INR 54.6 bn (FY09: INR 50.5 bn). During FY09,
JSW had reported that acceptances were short term and issued primarily for project
expenditure and raw material purchase.
• Despite the company raising a loan of INR 6.4 bn (net of repayment), its FY10 loan book
dipped to INR 161.7 bn (FY09: INR 165.5 bn), primarily on account of exchange gain
that stood at INR 10.2 bn. Consequently, adjusted debt/equity for FY10 improved to
2.4x (FY09: 3.0x).
Sterlite Industries
• Guarantee commission and interest income from group companies aggregates INR 3.9
bn, ~ 5.6% of reported PBT.
Tata Steel
• Working capital efficiency and depreciation has facilitated operating cash flows at INR 72
bn despite low PBT of INR 0.3 bn.
• Actuarial losses on pension liabilities of INR 35.4 bn (FY09 INR 54.9 bn) continue for the
second year; consolidated net worth down.
• Derivative losses continued despite the appreciating rupee; also, quantum of derivative
losses is same in consolidated and standalone operations despite varying derivative
positions.
Reliance Industries
• Significant increase in currency derivative book of INR 1.23 tn (FY09: INR 0.6 tn),
primarily contributed by increase in currency options to INR 449 bn from INR 25 bn in
FY09.
• RIL accounts E&P activities on the basis of full cost method. IFRS implementation
mandates successful effort method, leading to increase in recurring E&P expenses and
one-time impact on net worth.
• Average borrowing cost for FY10 was down at 4.4% (FY09: 8.3%) on account of lower
interest rates and INR appreciation. Lower borrowing cost, coupled with higher treasury
income, results in significant addition to ROE.
Pharmaceuticals
Dr Reddy’s Laboratories
7
Key highlights
Ranbaxy Laboratories
• Operating concerns loom large; recovery of derivative losses on currency options sold
and MTM gains on forex loans drive profitability.
• Ranbaxy reported negative operating cash, despite PBT of INR 10 bn, on account of
above non-cash items.
• Ranbaxy had derecognised deferred tax assets of INR 2.5 bn on the basis of virtual
certainty test in respect of future profitability, leading to high effective tax rate of 69%.
Strides Acrolab
• Gains on FCCB option component routed through P&L as per amended AS-30; however,
part of redemption premium is charged to security premium as permitted by the
Companies Act.
Pipes
Welspun Corp
• Advance from customers, at INR 15.5 bn (FY09: 2.2 bn), is 24% of order book. This, in
our view, is not sustainable and thus requires appropriate adjustment while deriving
enterprise value.
Real Estate
DLF
• Net worth includes INR 132 bn on account of unrealised profits on DLF-DAL transactions
(INR 66.4 bn till FY09; now carried at sale price of DLF) and also due to redeemable
preference shares (due on BS date) and capital reserve forming part of net worth.
Reported D/E was 0.7 versus adjusted at ~1.6.
• Promoters were issued 9% fully convertible preference shares in lieu of 40% stake in
DCCDL (instead of equity), which will entitle them additional 9% dividend as well as 40%
share in undistributed profits. This will also result in higher net worth and reported
profits to the extent of minority share in DCCDL.
• Debtors > 6 months have catapulted from INR 9.8 bn in FY09 to INR 13.0 bn in FY10.
Unitech
• Operating cash flow was at INR (13.2) bn vis-à-vis PBT of INR 9.2 bn. Debtors O/S
more than six months doubled to INR 5.7 bn due to drop in property prices.
• Disproportionate drop in interest expense charged to P&L from INR 5.5 bn to INR 2.2 bn.
Details of interest capitalised not disclosed.
• Security premium indicates direct write-off of INR 2.1 bn; goodwill on consolidation has
jumped from INR 11.7 bn to INR 15.3 bn (15% of net worth).
Telecommunications
Bharati Airtel
• Forex-driven margins: PBT margin improved from 21.1% in FY09 to 24.6% in FY10. Excl.
forex impact, the company’s PBT margin dipped from 25.8% in FY09 to 22.8%.
• Funds amounting to INR 6.5 bn raised on short-term basis have been used for long-term
investments.
8
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Revenues and margins improve; new ventures to propel future revenue growth
Ashok Leyland’s (ALL) revenues jumped 21.1%, from INR 59.8 bn in FY09 to INR 72.4
bn in FY10, due to increased sales volume of commercial vehicles (CV).
EBITDA margin also increased from 7.8% to 10.5%, primarily on the back of improved
realisation and reduction in excise duty rates.
ALL invested INR 1.5 bn in joint ventures (JVs) and associates during FY10. Of these,
investments in Nissan and John Decree JVs amount to INR 0.9 bn; these are likely to
start commercial production FY11 onwards.
ALL’s land and building assets amount to INR 21.4 bn as at FY10 end (FY09: INR 19.1
bn), of which, INR 13.3 bn is on account of revaluation of assets.
Of the revalued assets the company sold few residential flats and recognized a gain of
INR 13.3 bn (in excess of revalued carrying value) while balance in revaluation reserve
pertaining to these assets of INR 13.5 have been transferred to the general reserve.
The company is operating under MAT FY09 onwards. Consequent to the above
transaction the book profit of the company was lower by INR 13.5 mn leading to
reduced MAT outflow.
During FY10, ALL demerged its defiance technology division and integrated it with
Share Holding Pattern (%)
Defiance Technologies, an associate. Total proceeds from this demerger amounted to
Promoters : 38.6
INR 66.8 mn and profit on sale of division was INR 39.5 mn.
MFs, FIs & Banks : 17.8
In FY10, diminution in investments and provision for doubtful debts/advances written
FIIs : 15.1
back was INR 43.2 mn (FY09: provision of INR 46.6 mn), ~0.8% (FY09: 2.1%) of PBT
Others : 28.5 (before exceptional items).
* Promoters pledged shares : 17.8
(% of share in issue)
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit of
research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
Unrealised exchange loss on translation of foreign currency loans has reduced from INR 2.6
bn in FY09 to INR 0.7 bn in FY10. Of the total loan book of INR 22.0 bn as at FY10 end
(FY09 end: INR 19.6 bn), INR 13.7 bn (FY09: 15.8 bn) is foreign currency denominated.
Net unhedged foreign outstanding payable is INR 8.2 bn at FY10 end (FY09 end: INR 16.7
bn). With INR appreciating against the USD by 1.1% since FY10 end, the company will
stand further benefitted.
During FY10, ALL amortised the final tranche of expenses on voluntary retirement scheme
of INR 32.7 mn (FY09: INR 134.9 mn) as an exceptional item.
ALL has made an impairment provision of INR 112.7 mn (~2.1% of PBT) on plant and
machinery, technical know-how and building.
Research and development expenditure charged to P&L account amounts to INR 1.5 bn
(FY09: 1.3 bn), ~2.1% (FY09: 2.2%) of the turnover.
Export sales (on FOB basis) reduced from INR 8.6 bn in FY09 to INR 6.0 bn in FY10,
despite increase in sales to Sri Lankan associate company from INR 0.8 bn to INR 1.8 bn.
The company amortised debenture issue expenses/expenses on raising loans of INR 14.6
mn during FY10 (FY09: 12.4 mn) over the period of borrowings.
ROE analyser
Particulars FY09 FY10
A. Return on net operating assets (RNOA)
8.5 8.6
(OPATO x NOPAT margin) (%)
OPATO (operating asset turnover) (x) 1.6 1.4
NOPAT margin (%) 5.3 6.3
B. Return from leverage (FLEV x spread) (%) (1.6) 2.8
FLEV (financial leverage) (x) 0.3 0.4
NBC (net borrowing cost) (%) 14.6 1.9
Net financial spread (RNOA -NBC) (%) (6.1) 6.7
ROE Derived (A+B) (%) 6.8 11.4
ROE Tree
12.0
9.6
2.8
7.2
(%)
11.4
4.8
8.6
2.4
0.0
RNOA Return from leverage ROAE
2
Ashok Leyland
1) Increase in NOPAT margin, from 5.3% in FY09 to 6.3% in FY10, due to improved
realisations.
2) Decrease in net borrowing costs, from 14.6% in FY09 to 1.9% in FY10, on account of:
• increase in interest capitalised from INR 162.9 mn in FY09 to INR 361.3 mn in FY10;
• increase in investment income from INR 407.9 mn in FY09 to INJR 620.9 mn in FY10
Sources of funds
100.0
80.0
Increase in 60.0
proportion of current
(
liabilities is primarily %
)
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Application of funds
100.0
80.0
Decline in fixed
assets is owing to
60.0
(
reduction in CWIP on
%
capitalisation of
)
Uttarakhand plant
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets Investments Inventories
Sundry debtors Cash and bank Loans and advances
3
Annual report analysis
Profitability ratios
7,000 12.0
10.0
5,600
8.0
Improved
(INR mn)
4,200
realisations, coupled
(%)
with reduction in 6.0
excise duty rates, led 2,800
to increase in EBITDA 4.0
margin from 7.8% in
FY09 to 10.5% in 1,400
FY10
2.0
0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
40,000 5.6
Fixed assets turnover
(INR mn)
(%)
due to capitalisation
of Uttarakhand plant
in March 2010
20,000 2.8
10,000 1.4
0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed Assets excl. CWIP (LHS) CWIP (LHS) Fixed Assets Turnover (RHS)
Capacity utilisation
90,000
150,000
75,000
Uttarakhand plant 120,000
increased installed 60,000
capacity by 50,000
(Units)
90,000
(INR mn)
units 45,000
60,000
30,000
30,000 15,000
0 -
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
4
Ashok Leyland
* - Adjusted for interest received on bills receivables and deposits and cash discounts earned as part of ‘
5
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
During FY10, Bharat Forge’s (BF) subsidiaries on an aggregate incurred operating losses
of ~INR 0.8 bn (FY09 operating profits of INR 0.9 bn) on the back of ~45.8% dip in
subsidiaries’ revenue contribution from INR 27.1 bn in FY09 to INR 14.7 bn in FY10.
Bharat Forge America (BFA), a wholly owned subsidiary, has registered losses that have
substantially eroded its net worth. Auditors of BFA, have drawn attention to the
appropriateness of going concern assumption used for preparing their respective
financial statements. In CY09, the company had reported net loss of INR 234.5 mn
(CY08: INR 264.3 mn) on a turnover of INR 993.2 mn (CY08: INR 1.7 bn).
The impairment review carried out by the management did not indicate any impairment
loss considering the diminution in value of investment to be temporary in nature. BF has
further invested USD 3.5 mn in equity shares of BFA, taking its total equity investment
in the company to INR 0.9 bn.
BF’s standalone revenues dipped 9.8% to INR 18.6 bn in FY10 from INR 20.6 bn in FY09
on the back of weak exports (declined to INR 7.1 bn in FY10 from INR 10.0 bn in FY09).
During FY10, standalone EBIDTA rose 15.5% to INR 4.2 bn (FY09 INR 3.6 bn) as
Market Data margins expanded from 17.5% in FY09 to 22.4% in FY10, primarily on account of lower
52-week range (INR): 393 / 232 raw material cost as a percentage of sales and lower forex losses vis-a-vis previous year
(refer page 2 for details).
Share in issue (mn): 232.8
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit of
research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
Exceptional items (expenditure/ loss, net) aggregate INR 742.1 mn (FY09: INR 298.9 mn),
~7.7x (FY09: ~21.3%) reported FY10 PBT (before exceptional items). Exceptional items
include:
Consolidated cash flow for FY10 reveals unrealised forex gain on INR 0.3 bn included in
PBT (FY09: unrealised forex loss of INR 0.7 bn).
Standalone entity
• Despite a dip in sales revenue, on account of sluggish exports, operating metrics have
improved.
• Operating metrics improved, primarily on account of reduced raw material cost (as a
percentage of sales) and lower forex losses (other than on long-term loans), from INR
0.9 bn in FY09 to INR 0.2 bn in FY10.
Subsidiaries
2
Bharat Forge
60
48
(lINR bn)
36
12
0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Outside India Within India
30 4.0
24 3.2
18 2.4
(INR bn)
(x)
… impacting fixed
12 1.6
asset turnover ratios
adversely
6 0.8
0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets excl. CWIP Fixed assets turnover ratio (Ex CWIP)
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
3
Annual report analysis
86
(Days)
72
58
44
30
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Cash conversion cycle increased from 71 days in FY09 to 94 days in FY10, primarily on account
of increase in inventory days and debtor days from 71 in FY09 to 96 in FY10 and 46 in FY09 to
57 in FY10, respectively. This was partially offset by increase in creditor days from 46 in FY09
to 59 in FY10.
4
Bharat Forge
Leverage analysis
25 2.0
20 1.6
Despite net loans of INR
1.9 bn availed during
the year, the net 15 1.2
(INR bn)
(x)
was contained by
exchange gains on forex 10 0.8
loans
5 0.4
0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Debt Debt /equity
FCCB details
• Post March 2010, BF’s tranch 2 FCCBs of FV USD 1.25 mn were converted into equity
shares and the balance o/s FCCB of tranch 1 and tranch 2 were redeemed.
5
Annual report analysis
ROE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed the profitability of BF
for FY08, FY09 and FY10; results and key findings are given below:
RoE tree
1.4
0.7 1.2
0.0
(%)
(0.9)
(0.7)
(3.0)
(1.4) 0.9
(2.1)
RNOA Return from Return from other ROAE
leverage funding
• NBC cost was lower on account of non-charging of interest on FCCB. NBC, excluding FCCB,
stands at 8% (FY09 8.9%).
6
Bharat Forge
Sources of funds
100.0
80.0
(%)
60.0
FCCB redemption
premium, sundry
creditors and 40.0
acceptances
increased current
liabilities 20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Equity shareholders' funds Loan funds Minority interest
Deferred tax liability Current liabilities Provisions
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
Application of funds
100.0
80.0
60.0
(%)
Mutual fund
investments 40.0
increased
significantly
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets (incl goodwill) Investments Deferred tax asset
Inventories Sundry debtors Loans and advances
Other current assets
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
7
Annual report analysis
8
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Escorts revalued all its land and buildings by INR 6.7 bn during the year (FY09 opening
balance: INR 4.7 bn).
Pursuant to the high court approved scheme, Escorts created a business reconstruction
reserve of INR 11.1 bn (net) by transfers, primarily from revaluation and amalgamation
reserve.
This reserve is used to write off losses/ diminution in value of fixed assets, investments,
receivables, loans and advances, accumulated losses, etc aggregating INR 5.1 bn. (Refer
business reconstruction reserve table on page 2).
Consequently, PBT is higher by INR 3.5 bn, ~3.7x of reported PBT before exceptional
items. As on 30th September 2009, the business reconstruction reserve aggregates INR
6.0 bn, ~42.6% of net worth; revaluation reserves aggregates INR 750.0 mn, ~5.3% of
the net worth.
~11.2% of the issued share capital (Escorts proportionate share) is held by joint venture
partners, suggesting an element of treasury shares. These shares are excluded in
Market Data
calculating consolidated EPS.
52-week range (INR): 176 / 37
The financial statement of Farmtrac North America, a subsidiary in liquidation, has not
Share in issue (mn): 94.3
been consolidated. Investments in Farmtrac North America stands at INR nil in the
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 16.4 / 366.6
standalone financial statements.
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 2,363.9
Financial highlights
Share Holding Pattern (%)
Escorts reported PAT of INR 286.0 mn vis-à-vis net losses of INR 372.4 mn, INR 55.1 mn
Promoters : 30.1
and INR 474.1 mn in FY08, FY07 and FY06, respectively.
MFs, FIs & Banks : 15.9
Operating cash flows (inflows) increased to INR 2.5 bn vis-à-vis INR 838.5 mn in FY08
FIIs : 15.5
and outflows of INR 2.0 bn in FY07.
Others : 38.6
Borrowings decreased by INR 4.4 bn. However, as per the cash flow statement, net
* Promoters pledged shares : 18.1
(% of share in issue) repayments aggregate INR 1.7 bn only, suggesting exchange rate restatements of INR
2.7 bn.
Provisions written back aggregate INR 74.7 mn, ~8.0% of PBT before exceptional items.
Doubtful debts/ advances/ deposits aggregate INR 1.6 bn on total debts/ advances/
deposits of INR 7.8 bn, ~20.5%. Provisions aggregating INR 1.2 bn are adjusted against
business reconstruction reserve and provisions of INR 337.9 mn are treated as
exceptional items.
Escorts follow the period from 01 October to 30 September as its financial year
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit
of research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
1
Annual report analysis
Escorts exercised the put option on bonds received from Idea Cellular in connection with
the sale of telecom business in FY04 and received INR 966.9 mn vis-à-vis the book value
of INR 1.2 bn. It appears that the resulting loss of INR 211.9 mn is adjusted in reserves
(through business reconstruction reserves).
Escorts disposed a subsidiary (Cellnext Solutions) for INR 67.9 mn and recognised a gain
of INR 15.4 mn.
Older issues
The net owned fund of Escorts Automotive, a wholly owned subsidiary (an NBFC), are
below the prescribed limit under NBFC regulation since the past seven years.
Advances include INR 680 mn paid to ICICI Bank in March 2004 for buy back of shares in
Escorts Motors as per a buy back clause in a relevant agreement. The transfer of share is
awaited, pending final settlement.
Loans and advances include INR 320 mn (in the form of 3.4 mn shares @ INR 94 per
share) deposited in connection with an arrangement with fixed deposit holders.
Cash and bank balance include INR 649.9 mn placed in escrow account in connection
with some dispute related to the sale of Escorts stake in Escorts Heart Institute and
Research Center.
2
Escorts
ROE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed the profitability of
Escorts for FY08 and FY09; results and key findings are given below:
ROE tree
7.5
6.4
5.0
0.2 4.4
2.5
(%)
Better operating
0.0
margin and lesser
leverage make ROAE (0.2)
positive
(2.5)
(5.0)
RNOA Return from Return from other ROAE
leverage funding
Sources of funds
100.0
80.0
Debt continues to
recede 60.0
(%)
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09
Equity shareholders' funds Loan funds Minority interest
Deferred tax liabilities Current liabilities Provisions
3
Annual report analysis
Application of funds
100.0
80.0
60.0
(%)
Revaluation of fixed 40.0
assets, better
working capital
20.0
management and
provisions increase
fixed assets’ share 0.0
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09
Fixed assets Investments Inventories
Sundry debtors Cash and bank balance Other current assets
Deferred tax assets
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
Utilisation of income
100.0
34.0
12.0
Borrowing cost
continue to remain
above 10% 1.1 10.0
0.6 5.0
0.0 0.0
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09
Net debt/ equity ratio (x) Debt/ equity ratio (x) Cost of borrowing (%)
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
4
Escorts
100
Better working 75
(Days)
capital management
and provisioning of
doubtful debtors 50
help shorten cash
conversion cycle
25
0
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09
Inventory days Receivable days Payable days Cash conversion cycle
45.0
Better EBITDA
margin help better
profitability and 30.0
returns; returns
(%)
(15.0)
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09
EBITDA margin
PAT margin (excluding exceptional items)
PAT margin
ROCE (pre tax)
ROE (excluding exceptional items)
ROE
5
Annual report analysis
6
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) adjusted provision for diminution in investments of INR 0.7
bn against investment fluctuation reserve; otherwise, PBT would have been lower by INR
0.7 bn (~1.9%). The investment fluctuation reserve stood at INR 6.2 bn as at FY10 end.
The company has FCCBs outstanding of USD 189.5 mn convertible at INR 461.0/share
on or before March 7, 2011. M&M adjusts the redemption premium payable on bonds
against the securities premium account in the year of issue. Had the same been charged
through P&L on YTM basis, FY10 PBT would have been lower by INR 533 mn (1.3%).
ESOPs have been accounted on the intrinsic value basis. Had the company accounted
the same on fair value basis, PAT would have been lower by INR 264.4 mn (~1.1%).
Net exceptional gains for FY10 stood at INR 2.5 bn [FY09: INR (0.8) bn], of which, INR
1.8 bn pertains to the profit realised on sale of investments; and INR 0.8 bn, ~2% of
PBT, is deemed divestiture gain on account of effective dilution of its investments (refer
table on page 2 for details).
The company accounts deemed divesture gain as exceptional income instead of the
conventional practice of adjusting it against reserves.
Tech Mahindra (TML) ceased to be a subsidiary of M&M w.e.f. March 22, 2010 on
acquisition of stake by AT&T. Post acquisition, M&M’s share (including stake through
subsidiary) has reduced from 48.6% to 44.0%.
Accordingly, TML has been accounted as a joint venture as at BS date and was
proportionately consolidated based on the JV accounting principles, which impacted
M&M’s consolidated financials.
Market Data
52-week range (INR): 826 / 475 Investments have jumped from INR 33.8 bn as at FY09 end to INR 48.1 bn at FY10 end,
primarily due to investments in Satyam Computer Services (SCSL), which was not
Share in issue (mn): 580.1
consolidated as at FY10 end, since it is in the process of restating its financials.
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 429 / 9,463
Post BS date, SCSL financials have been restated and reported a net loss of INR 1.2 bn
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 2,068.9
in FY10, with M&M’s share of INR 234 mn, ~0.9% of consolidated PAT.
Share Holding Pattern (%) Automotive and farm equipment boost revenue/margins; IT and Systech dampeners
Promoters : 25.8
ROAE has jumped from 21.3% in FY09 to 25.5% in FY10, primarily on the back of
MFs, FIs & Banks : 24.9
higher NOPAT margin (up from 6.9% to 9.5%). The increase was contributed by the
FIIs : 23.1 following factors:
Others : 26.2
• Rise in automotives and farm equipment revenues from INR 150.4 bn in FY09 to
* Promoters pledged shares : 2.8 INR 202.7 bn in FY10 due to robust sales in domestic and export market. Lower
(% of share in issue)
commodity prices aided increase in EBIT margins from 6.2% to 13.2%.
• Poor sales due to global recession and margin pressure, resulting in IT services’
EBIT proportion dipping to 23.5% from 42.8%.
• Systech revenues slipping to INR 25.5 bn from INR 36.2 bn due to lower sales of
auto-components in European countries due to recessionary conditions.
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit
of research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
The company, through M&M Benefit Trust, holds ~51.8 mn treasury shares (~9.5% of
equity capital) at book value of INR 14.6 bn (14.3% of net worth). Post IFRS from FY12,
the treasury shares will be consolidated, which will increase the reported EPS of INR
42.2/share in FY10 to INR 46.2/share.
The company has received an order for payment of differential excise duty (including
penalty) of INR 3.3 bn. M&M has reflected the above amount along with interest of INR
1.7 bn as contingent liability as at FY10 end (FY09 end: Nil).
Loans and advances jumped from INR 88.6 bn in FY09 to INR 107.7 bn in FY10, of which
loans against assets increased from INR 66.2 bn to INR 79.7 bn.
M&M applies hedge accounting principles as per AS 30 for derivative transactions. Hedge
reserve balance of INR 0.8 bn as at FY10 end (FY09: INR (4.8) bn) (net of tax) is on
account of mark-to-market gains/(losses) on cash flow hedges outstanding at the year
end.
Unhedged foreign currency exposure as at FY10 end is INR 8.2 bn (FY09 end: INR 11.2
bn), primarily on account of USD exposure on zero coupon convertible bonds.
2
Mahindra & Mahindra
ROE analyser
Particulars FY08 FY09 FY10
A. Return on net operating assets (RNOA)
13.4 10.5 15.5
(OPATO x NOPAT margin) (%)
OPATO (operating asset turnover) (x) 1.6 1.5 1.6
NOPAT margin (%) 8.3 6.9 9.5
B. Return from leverage (FLEV x spread) (%) 17.9 10.9 9.8
FLEV (financial leverage) (x) 1.2 1.1 0.8
NBC (net borrowing cost) (%) (1.0) 0.9 3.8
Net financial spread (RNOA -NBC) (%) 14.4 9.6 11.8
C. Return from other funding (%) 0.2 (0.1) 0.2
ROE Derived (A+B+C) (%) 31.4 21.3 25.5
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
3
Annual report analysis
ROAE tree
30.0
ROE improved from
0.2
21.3% to 25.5% on
the back of improved 24.0
margins in
automobiles and farm 9.8
equipment segment, 18.0
(%)
resulting in higher
NOPAT margin
12.0 25.5
15.5
6.0
0.0
RNOA Return from Return from other ROAE
leverage funding
Segmental analysis
Segmental revenue
100.0
80.0
Proportion of
automobiles and farm 60.0
(%)
equipment segment
has increased from
56.2% to 64.2% on
40.0
the back of increased
sales volume 20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Automobile segment
120.0 40.0
96.0 32.0
Robust growth in
(INR bn)
domestic utility
72.0 24.0
(%)
vehicle volumes,
augmented by
decrease in 48.0 16.0
commodity prices,
result in margin
growth 24.0 8.0
0.0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
4
Mahindra & Mahindra
(INR bn)
higher sales and
(%)
margins
40.0 48.0
20.0 24.0
0.0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
IT services segment
60.0 150.0
48.0 120.0
EBITDA margins
down due to global
(INR bn)
(%)
outsourcing demand
24.0 60.0
12.0 30.0
0.0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Systech segment
40.0 27.0
32.0 20.0
13.0
(%)
due to lower sales of
auto ancillaries to
export markets 16.0 6.0
8.0 (1.0)
0.0 (8.0)
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Segmental revenue Segmental result
Segment net assets Segmental EBIT margins
Return on segment net assets
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
5
Annual report analysis
Sources of funds
100.0
Proportion of loan
funds reduced and
shareholders’ funds 80.0
increased, primarily
due to conversion of
60.0
fully convertible
(%)
debentures of INR 7
bn 40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Application of funds
100.0
80.0
Proportion of
investments is up
from 10.8% to 16.7% 60.0
(%)
due to investment in
SCSL of INR 29.7 bn 40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets (incl goodwill) Investments Deferred tax asset
Inventories Sundry debtors Cash and bank
Other current assets
6
Mahindra & Mahindra
* - FY10 balance sheet figures have been adjusted, assuming Tech Mahindra to be a subsidiary and not joint venture for the purpose of
comparability.
-Loan funds of M&M Financial Services have been deducted from M&M consolidated loan book for the purpose of D/E ratio and average
borrowing costs.
-Financial expenses of M&M Financial Services have been reduced from the financial cost of M&M consolidated financials and treated as part of
operating expenses.
7
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Tata Motors’ (TML) revenues jumped 30.6% from INR 708.3 bn in FY09, to INR 925.2 bn
in FY10. PBT* for the year stood at INR 37.8 bn (FY09 loss of INR 17.9 bn).
Other income includes profit on sale of investments of INR 17.5 bn (46.3% of PBT*), of
which, INR 6.9 bn pertains to sale of TATA Steel shares and the balance INR 10.6 bn to
20% stake sale in Telco Construction Equipment Company (former subsidiary).
The company had reversed provision of INR 4.4 bn (11.6% of PBT*) towards residual risk
on vehicles sold, made during earlier years.
Auditors have highlighted that during the year, INR 2.6 bn (FY09: INR 14.6 bn) of
actuarial losses on pension plan of one of the subsidiaries have been charged to
shareholders’ fund in accordance with IFRS (as it is not practical to convert it into
IGAAP). This led to accumulated pension reserve of INR (17.2) bn; had the company
charged the same through P&L, PBT* would have been lower by 6.9%.
During FY10, TML raised INR 45 bn through NCD, of which, INR 42 bn is 2% NCDs with
premium payable on redemption. The company has charged the entire redemption
premium of INR 17.5 bn to shareholders’ fund as permitted by the Companies Act, 1956.
Had the company charged the same on YTM basis through P&L, PBT would have been
lower by INR 2.3 bn (14.5% of PBT excl. one timers; refer page 4 for details).
TML, as per accepted general practice, has written off the entire redemption premium on
FCCBs through reserves in the year of issue. IFRS, however, requires the redemption
premium on FCCBs to be charged through P&L on YTM basis. This would lead to an
additional charge of INR 2.1 bn (13.2% of PBT excl. one timers; refer page 4 for details).
Market Data
52-week range (INR): 1,031 / 422 Acceptances boost operating cash flow
Share in issue (mn): 506.4 Operating cash flow post interest stood at INR 64.7 bn, primarily on account of improved
operations and decrease in working capital requirements (on the back of INR 29.4 bn
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 507 / 10,865
jump in acceptances).
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 5,601.3
TML’s cash conversion cycle improved from (32) days in FY09 to (38) days in FY10,
primarily on account of rise in creditor days from 86 in FY09 to 108 in FY10, partly offset
Share Holding Pattern (%)
by increase in debtor days from 18 to 24 and inventory days from 37 to 46.
Promoters* : 37.0
CWIP includes INR 3.1 bn towards an under construction building for manufacturing
automobiles. Consequent to the decision to relocate the same at another location, TML is
evaluating several options, under all of which, no adjustment to the carrying amount of
the building is considered necessary based on the information available at the BS date.
TML exercised the existing call option to acquire 79% shares in Tata Hispano Motors
Carrocera (to acquire 100% stake) for EUR 2 mn (INR 137.1 mn). The company’s net
worth as at FY10 end stood at INR (1.8) bn.
Based on consolidated financials unless specified otherwise
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit
of research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
1
Annual report analysis
The company, during FY10, issued 4% convertible notes (due in October 2014)
aggregating USD 375 mn, convertible into shares, at INR 621.49 per share. These,
unless converted earlier, will be redeemed at a premium of 8.5%. TML has adjusted the
entire redemption premium through reserves.
INCAT Holdings, INCAT KK, and Lemmerpoort BV (subsidiaries of Tata Technologies) and
Jaguar & Land Rover Asia Pacific Company (subsidiary of Jaguar Land Rover), were
liquidated.
Discounting charges has increased from INR 4.8 bn in FY09 to INR 6.7 bn in FY10.
Despite the company raising net loans of INR 41.3 bn, loan book increased by a meager
INR 2.2 bn, primarily on account of exchange gains and FCCB conversion of USD 345 mn
(~INR 15.5 bn).
TML, during the year, extended an early conversion offer to non-US note holders of
outstanding 0% JPY 11,760 mn (due in 2011) and 1% USD 300 mn (due in 2011)
convertible notes. Note holders, representing 93.62% of JPY notes (i.e. JPY 10,710 mn)
and 76.54% of USD notes (i.e. USD 229.63 mn), opted to convert their notes into
ordinary shares. The offer resulted in allotment of 26.6 mn equity shares to note holders
who exercised the option. This has resulted in issue of additional 8.3 mn equity shares.
The company has issued 29.9 mn global depository shares (GDS) each representing one
share at a price of USD 12.54 per GDS, aggregating USD 375 mn (INR 17.9 bn).
During the year, TML Holdings (holding company of Jaguar-Land Rover), Singapore, a
wholly-owned subsidiary, redeemed preference shares of face value of USD 195.1 mn at
a discount of USD 189.2 mn. Consequently, TML (standalone) recognised a loss of INR
8.5 bn as an exceptional item. This shall however have no impact on consolidated
financials.
Auditors have highlighted that, short-term funds of INR 66.9 bn have been used during
the year for long-term investments.
TML as at FY10 end had granted loans of INR 2.5 bn to companies, firms or other parties
covered in the register maintained under section 301 of the companies act. Auditors
have highlighted that some of these companies have delayed repaying the interest. This
shall however have no impact on consolidated financials.
2
Tata Motors
ROAE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed Tata Motor’s
profitability for the year ended FY08, FY09, and FY10 (refer table below). Results and key
findings of same are as follows:
The ROAE improved on account of improved operating performance, with RNOA jumping
to 8.6% in FY10 from a negative 4.9% in FY09. The company’s leverage further
propelled the ROAE.
(a) Material cost as percentage of net turnover decreased as increase in input price
during the year was offset by cost reduction programme through value engineering
and other measures.
(b) Significant reduction provision towards residual risk on vehicles sold by Jaguar Land
Rover leading to a decrease in operating and other expenses as percentage of net
turnover.
Low NBC, primarily on account of profit on sale of investment of INR 17.2 bn.
ROAE tree
40.0
(0.1)
32.0
24.0 28.7
(%)
37.2
16.0
8.0
8.6
0.0
RNOA Return from Return from ROAE
leverage other
funding
3
Annual report analysis
Redemption premium on debentures issued has been directly charged in the shareholders’
fund. The same will lead to a lower interest cost being charged in the P&L.
4
Tata Motors
90
45
(Days)
0
(45)
(90)
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Cash conversion cycle improved from (32)days in FY09 to (38) days in FY10 primarily on
account of increase in creditor days from 86 days in FY09 to 108 days in FY10, partly offset
by increase in debtor days from 18 to 24 and inventory days from 37 to 46 during the same
period.
5
Annual report analysis
80.0
Proportion of
loan funds has
reduced primarily on 60.0
(%)
account of exchange
gains and FCCB 40.0
conversion
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Shareholder's Fund Minority interest Loan Funds
Deferred Tax liability Current liabilities Provisions
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
Application of fund
100.0
80.0
60.0
(%)
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed Assets Investments Inventories Debtors Cash & bank Other current assets
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
10.4 6.4
D/E dipped on back
of exchange gains
and equity dilution 8.8 4.8
(%)
(x)
7.2 3.2
5.6 1.6
4.0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
6
Tata Motors
7
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Punj Lloyd’s (PL) FY10 revenue dipped 12.0% to INR 104.5 bn from INR 118.8 bn in
FY09. However, EBIDTA margins increased marginally from 3.4% in FY09 to 3.5% in
FY10.
FY10 loss after tax stood at INR 1.1 bn after providing for INR 1.6 bn towards liquidated
damages levied by Ensus (in FY09, it was at INR 2.3 bn after providing for SABIC’s
increase in cost estimates and encashment of bank guarantee /performance bond of INR
5.2 bn).
During the year, PL agreed to divest 19.4% of Pipavav Shipyard’s paid up share capital
for INR 6.6 bn, subject to the satisfaction of certain conditions precedent; the company
booked a gain of INR 3.1 bn as other income for this purpose.
Auditors have highlighted that the company, during the year, sold investments of INR
2.5 bn, recognising profit of INR 1.2 bn. This, it observed, is not in line with AS 9
“revenue recognition” as the sale of investment was subject to fulfillment of certain
conditions, which have been complied with post the closure of the financial year.
During FY09, PL had filed a claim for INR 5.1 bn for increase in cost estimates by INR
3.6 bn with ONGC for Heera project, which we believe were not accounted for in FY09.
Liquidated damages amounting to INR 0.7 bn deducted by one of the customers during
the year have not been provided.
Market Data
52-week range (INR): 298 / 112 Increased working capital stretch cash flows; QIP and divestment offered respite
Share in issue (mn): 332.1 Cash from operations for FY10 stood at INR (16.2) bn despite PBT of INR 209.9 mn.
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 38.7 / 830.2 This is primarily on account of increased working capital requirements (refer pg 4 for
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 4,969.7 details).
Cash conversion cycle increased from 109 days in FY09 to 174 days in FY10, as
Share Holding Pattern (%) inventory days rose from 125 to 185 during the same period. Inventory carrying value
Promoters* : 37.3 in absolute terms increased from INR 36.7 bn in FY09 to INR 46.5 bn in FY10.
MFs, FIs & Banks : 20.0 Auditors have highlighted that one of the company’s subsidiaries has breached certain
FIIs : 11.9 covenants of bank loans amounting to INR 5.0 bn as at FY10 end. The bank is
Others : 30.8
contractually entitled to request immediate repayment of the outstanding loan amount
in the event of breach of covenant.
* Promoters pledged shares : 0.2
(% of share in issue)
FCCBs worth USD 49.7 mn due in 2011 were outstanding as at FY10 end (effective
conversion price INR 343). During the year, PL had provided INR 451.4 mn out of the
securities premium towards outstanding FCCBs. However, adoption of IFRS/AS30
requires it to be charged to P&L on YTM basis, leading to dip in PAT by INR 87.3 mn.
During the year, PL issued 27.9 mn shares @ 240.2/ share via QIP, raising INR 6.7 bn.
Loan book (incl. bank overdraft) rose 19.2% from INR 37.4 bn in FY09 to INR 44.6 bn in
FY10, which has been primarily utilised for the increased working capital requirements.
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit of
research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
During the year, PL was subject to a search and seizure operation by the IT department.
During the operation, statements of the company’s officials were recorded, in which, they
were made to offer some unaccounted income of the company for FY10.
Despite 12% dip in revenue during the year, consultancy/professional charges jumped
39.3% from INR 2.3 bn in FY09 to INR 3.2 bn in FY10.
PL accounts for long-term construction revenues on POCM basis. Contract revenues earned
in excess of billing reflect under inventory.
Unexecuted order book as at FY10 end stood at INR 277.7 bn (FY09 INR 206.8 bn),
offering revenue visibility of more than 2.5 years.
ROE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed PL’s profitability for
years ended FY08, FY09, and FY10; results and key findings of the same are as follows:
ROE analyser
Particulars FY08 FY09 FY10
A. Return on net operating assets (RNOA) 14.6 (1.3) (0.3)
(OPATO x NOPAT margin) (%)
OPATO (operating asset turnover) (x) 2.7 2.5 1.6
NOPAT margin (%) 5.4 (0.5) (0.2)
B. Return from leverage (FLEV x spread) (%) 3.0 (7.5) (3.5)
FLEV (financial leverage) (x) 0.4 0.8 1.3
NBC (net borrowing cost) (%) 7.7 8.0 2.4
Net financial spread (RNOA -NBC) (%) 6.9 (9.3) (2.7)
C. Return from other funding (%) 0.1 0.2 (0.1)
ROE Derived (A+B+C) (%) 17.7 (8.6) (3.9)
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
2
Punj Lloyd
ROE tree
0.0
(0.3)
(1.0)
(3.5) (3.9)
(2.0)
(%)
(3.0)
(0.1)
(4.0)
(5.0)
RNOA Return from Return from other ROAE
leverage funding
ROAE has improved from (8.6)% in FY09 to (3.9)% in FY10, primarily on account of non-
accounting of liquidated damages and revenue booking for claims filed pending acceptance.
Adjusted for the same, ROAE for FY10 stood at ~(15.1)%.
Net borrowing cost dipped to 2.4%, primarily on account of INR 3.1 bn profit on
divestment in Pipavav Shipyard.
Standalone entity
• On a standalone basis PL during FY10 has taken a charge of INR 3.0 bn on account of
cost overrun in the Heera project during FY09. The company has also recognized a
revenue of INR 2.4 bn towards claims filed, which are pending to be accepted.
• Liquidated damages of INR 0.7 bn deducted by one of the customers has not been
provided.
Subsidiaries
• Subsidiaries continued to be an overhang on the company. After adjusting for one offs
(Ensus during FY10 and SABIC during FY09), the EBIT level profitability has dipped.
The same is primarily on account of dip in revenues.
3
Annual report analysis
240
book continued to
expand during the
year; though 120
revenues have dipped
60
0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Unexecuted order book Revenue
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
4
Punj Lloyd
Sources of funds
100.0
80.0
60.0
(%)
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Shareholder's fund Minority interest Loan funds
Deferred tax liability Current liabilities Provisions
Application of funds
100.0
80.0
invested in
inventories increased
during the year 40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed Assets Investments Inventories
Debtors Cash & bank Other current assets
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
40 12.0
10 3.0
0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Loan funds Borrowing cost
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
5
Annual report analysis
200
150
(days)
100
50
0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Inventory days Receivable days Payable days Cash conversion cycle
Cash conversion cycle has increased from 109 days in FY09 to 174 days in FY10, primarily on
account of increase in inventory days from 125 days in FY09 to 185 in FY10, and decrease in
payable days from 99 days to 88 days, partly compensated by decrease in receivable days from
82 days in FY09 to 76 in FY10.
6
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Suzlon Energy’s (Suzlon) revenues dipped 20.9% to INR 206.2 bn in FY10 from INR
260.8 bn in FY09. EBIDTA margins slipped to 5.1% in FY10 from 10.7% in FY09,
primarily owing to rise in raw material prices and high quality management expenses.
On standalone basis, revenues halved to INR 34.9 bn in FY10. The company incurred
cash losses during the year.
Restructuring, Hansen stake sale, fresh issues offer respite to stretched cash flows
During the year, Suzlon (standalone) had delayed repayment of its financial liabilities
amounting to INR 10.8 bn (refer page 3 for details). However, as at FY10 end, all delays
had been rectified.
The company, entered a debt consolidation and refinance arrangement with a consortium
of banks and FIs. Also, loan of INR 38.4 bn raised by foreign subsidiaries for Hansen and
RE Power acquisition has been refinanced by raising fresh loans of USD 465 mn and
partly through Hansen stake sale (refer page 3 for details).
Consultancy charges of INR 2.6 bn (30.6% of PBT) had been incurred on account of the
above refinancing arrangements that have been deferred to be amortised over the tenure
of the respective facilities.
Market Data FCCB due in June 2012 and October 2012 has been restructured, and a net gain of USD
52-week range (INR): 97 / 43 of INR 2.5 bn has been recognised. The company has also incurred an expense of INR 1.3
on restructuring of other loans. Net gains of INR 1.2 bn have been recognised as
Share in issue (mn): 1,556.7
exceptional income.
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 81 / 1,804
Suzlon disposed 35.2% stake in Hansen Transmission International (Hansen), reducing
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 28,712
its holding to 26.1%; Hansen is classified as an associate (against a subsidiary earlier).
Residual investment in Hansen is stated at INR 10 bn and profit on sale of part stake
Share Holding Pattern (%)
aggregating INR 2.5 bn is disclosed as an exceptional item.
Promoters* : 53.1
In FY10, Suzlon issued ZCCB of USD 90.0 mn (due in 2014). The conversion makes
MFs, FIs & Banks : 5.3
economic sense at INR 121.3.
FIIs : 10.4
In FY10, the company raised USD 108.0 mn (INR 5.2 bn) through issuance of 14.6 mn
Others : 31.2
GDRs representing 58.4 mn equity shares at a price of INR 89.6 per equity share.
* Promoters pledged shares : 34.4
(% of share in issue) Cash conversion cycle has increased to 109 days in FY10 (FY09: 79 days), primarily on
account of increase in inventory days and receivable days, partly offset by rise in payable
days.
Cash flow statement shows net debt of INR 3.8 bn, however, loan book has dipped to INR
126.7 bn from INR 148.7 bn, primarily owing to exchange gains and exclusion of debt in
the books of Hansen. Average borrowing cost increased to 8.8% in FY10 (FY09: 7.6%).
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit
of research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
1
Annual report analysis
No provision is made for redemption premium on FCCBs. Consequently, pre tax losses
reported in FY10 (before exceptional items) are lower by INR 1.5 bn, at ~17.9%.
ESOPs are accounted as per the intrinsic value method. Had they been valued as per fair
value method, FY10 reported pre-tax losses (before exceptional items) would have been
higher by INR 181.5 mn at ~2.1%.
Bank charges increased from INR 1.5 bn in FY09 to INR 2.6 bn in FY10 due to rise in
processing fees and expenses in connection with the refinancing of debt.
Standalone performance dips significantly, incurs cash losses during the year
2
Suzlon Energy
FCCB outstanding
Maturity Face value Face value Coupon Conversion Redemption Effective conversion
Particulars
date (USD mn) (INR bn) rate (%) price (INR) premium (%) price (INR)
Phase I Jun-12 211.3 9.9 - 97.3 45.2 141.3
Phase II Oct-12 121.4 5.7 - 97.3 44.9 140.9
Phase I (new) Jun-12 16.6 0.8 7.5 74.0 50.2 111.2
Phase II (new) Oct-12 20.8 1.0 7.5 74.0 57.7 116.8
Phase III Jul-14 90.0 4.2 - 90.4 34.2 121.3
Total 460.1 21.5
Source: Edelweiss research
Note: Conversion price as revised in April 2010
Conversion price has been reduced for original as well as restructured bonds. Fixed exchange
Revision in
conversion price and rate has been revised to 1 USD – INR 44.60 from INR 40.83 for Phase I bonds and INR 39.87
exchange rate will for Phase II bonds.
lead to higher
dilution
Restructured bonds carry higher fixed coupon along with redemption premium.
3
Annual report analysis
ROAE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed Suzlon’s profitability
for the year ended FY08, FY09 and FY10; results and key findings of same are as follows:
RoE tree
0.0
(1.0)
(3.2)
(6.4)
(%)
(14.1) (15.4)
(9.6)
(12.8)
(0.3)
(16.0)
RNOA Return from return from other ROAE
leverage funding
Dip in NOPAT margin on the back of higher raw material price and quality management
expenses.
4
Suzlon Energy
Sources of funds
100.0
80.0
Proportion of loan
funds continues to
rise 60.0
(%)
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Application of funds
100.0
Re-classification of 80.0
Hansen as an
associate decreases
the proportion of 60.0
(%)
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets Investments Deferred Tax Asset Inventories
Sundry debtors Cash and bank Other current assets
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
10.8 2.0
(x)
head North
5.4 1.0
2.7 0.5
0.0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
5
Annual report analysis
160
Inventories and
receivables lengthen 120
cash conversion
(Days)
cycle; partially offset
by higher payables
80
40
0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Inventory days Receivable days Payable days Cash conversion cycle
Debtor days increased from 60 days in FY09 to 75 in FY10 primarily on account of sales
towards FY09 end to a US based customer, on which Suzlon had agreed to extend deferred
credit of INR 10.4 bn, payable on achievement of performance milestone by the WTGs or at
the end of the agreed credit period, whichever is earlier.
6
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Educomp Solutions (Educomp) held 69.4% stake in Educomp Infrastructure and School
Management (EISML) for INR 500 mn. During FY10, it invested additional INR 4.9 bn in
EISML towards incremental 8.8%, hiking its stake to 78.2%. The balance 22.8% is
owned by the promoter and third party.
EISML’s valuation, which hosts K12 business, has been computed by independent
valuers. Its imputed valuation, based on consideration paid by Educomp towards
incremental stake, is INR 16.4 bn (refer page 3 for details).
Cumulatively, Educomp has infused INR 5.40 bn in EISML towards equity till FY10.
EISML’s net worth (ex-retained earnings) stands at INR 5.43 bn (refer page 3 for
details).
Goodwill has jumped from INR 1.2 bn to INR 6.0 bn (36.6% of net worth), out of which
INR 4.6 bn is towards the EISML transaction. Goodwill written off through reserves was
INR 0.8 bn.
Increase in security premium is INR 4.6 bn higher than premium received on equity
issuances by Educomp, which is on account of increase in EISML’s goodwill.
Educomp has given corporate guarantee of INR 6.3 bn against loan extended to EISML.
Loans outstanding as at FY10 end stood at INR 3.6 bn.
During the year, Educomp changed the smart class business model from BOOT to
outright sale and transferred all existing BOOT projects to EduSmart Services. This will
advance revenue booking as well as cash flows through securitisation which is backed
by corporate guarantee from Educomp.
Market Data
Corporate guarantee given to banks for secured loans obtained by third parties
52-week range (INR): 990 / 442
(primarily Edusmart) stood at INR 6.6 bn.
Share in issue (mn): 95.4
The company’s revenue jumped 63.2% from INR 6.4 bn in FY09 to INR 10.4 bn in
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 58.2 / 1,310
FY10. However, EBIDTA margins dipped from 48.1% in FY09 to 46.9% in FY10.
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 2,055.9
Debtors increased ~100% from INR 2.8 bn in FY09 to INR 5.6 bn in FY10, which, as a
percentage of sales, stood at 53.2% (FY09:43.4%). However, debtors exceeding six
months jumped from INR 0.8 bn in FY09 to INR 1.3 bn in FY10.
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit of
research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
The company’s cash conversion cycle increased from 62 days in FY09 to 106 days in FY10,
primarily on account of increase in debtor days from 112 in FY09 to 146 in FY10.
The company has FCCBs outstanding of USD 78.5 mn convertible at INR 589.9 per share
on or before July 2012 (conversion makes economic sense at INR 832.4). Educomp has
not provided for the redemption premium, but shown it as a contingent liability of INR 1.5
bn on FCCBs. Had the same been charged through P&L on YTM basis, FY10 PAT would
have been lower by 6.3% (INR 173.3 mn).
Loan book increased from INR 8.9 bn in FY09 to INR 10.5 bn in FY10. The company’s
average borrowing cost also increased to 9.8% (FY09: 9.3%).
Debt equity reduced to 0.6x (FY09: 2.3x) primarily on account of the above.
Educomp, during the year, acquired the business of Zaptive Internet Services for an
aggregate consideration of INR 60.2 mn. The consideration has been discharged partly
through cash of INR 18.5 mn and balance by issue of 52,616 equity shares.
Other income increased from INR 0.3 bn in FY09 to INR 1.3 bn in FY10 due to profit on
sale of business/ investment of INR 0.9 bn (20.6% of PBT).
Cash & bank and investments increased from INR 2.6 bn in FY09 to INR 8.2 bn in FY10.
Fixed assets (excluding goodwill) increased 31.1% due to rise in freehold land to INR 3.9
bn (FY09 INR 472.9 mn), which has been partially set off by decrease in computers to INR
377 mn (FY09: INR 2.6 bn) and furniture to INR 131 mn (FY09: INR 518 mn). Decrease in
assets is due to transfer of BOOT projects and vocational business.
Educomp has invested in non convertible redeemable preference shares of INR 200 mn in
EduSmart.
Net assets invested in K12 business increased from INR 2.3 bn in FY09 to INR 11.3 bn in
FY10.
Commulatively, Educomp has invested INR 5.4 bn in EISML towards equity till
FY10. EISML’s net worth stands at INR 5.7 bn.
2
Educomp Solutions
Difference 4,654
Source: Company Annual Report, Edelweiss research
ROE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed Educomp’s profitability
for FY08, FY09, and FY10; results and key findings are given below:
ROE analyser
Particulars FY08 FY09 FY10
A. Return on net operating assets (RNOA)
24.5 19.4 14.7
(OPATO x NOPAT margin) (%)
OPATO (operating asset turnover) (x) 1.1 0.8 0.6
NOPAT margin (%) 22.8 23.4 23.2
B. Return from leverage (FLEV x spread) (%) 8.1 18.7 10.6
FLEV (financial leverage) (x) 0.2 1.1 0.5
NBC (net borrowing cost) (%) (10.0) 3.0 (8.1)
Net financial spread (RNOA -NBC) (%) 34.5 16.5 22.8
C. Return from other funding (%) 1.8 0.8 1.4
ROE Derived (A+B+C) (%) 34.4 39.0 26.7
Source: Company Annual Report, Edelweiss research
3
Annual report analysis
RoE tree
30.0
1.4
24.0
10.6
18.0
(%)
26.7
12.0
14.7
6.0
0.0
RNOA Return from Return from other ROAE
leverage funding
Dip in financial leverage, primarily on account of fresh issue of equity under QIP / ESOP.
NBC was negative due to profit on sale of investment of INR 725.5 mn recognised during
the year and non charging FCCB redemption premium through P&L.
(INR mn)
Particulars Standalone Subsidiary (Derived) Consolidated
FY09 (%) FY10 (%) FY09 (%) FY10 (%) FY09 (%) FY10 (%)
Sales 5,012 100.0 8,322 100.0 1,359 100.0 2,073 100.0 6,371 100.0 10,395 100.0
Raw materials consumed 1,033 20.6 1,481 17.8 77 5.7 122 5.9 1,110 17.4 1,603 15.4
Operating and
121 2.4 310 3.7 62 4.6 218 10.5 183 2.9 528 5.1
manufacturing
Personnel cost 611 12.2 999 12.0 544 40.0 794 38.3 1,155 18.1 1,793 17.2
Administrative and
496 9.9 904 10.9 362 26.6 689 33.2 858 13.5 1,593 15.3
other expenses
EBITDA 2,749 54.9 4,627 55.6 391 28.8 372 17.9 3,064 48.1 4,877 46.9
Depreciation 752 15.0 907 10.9 62 4.6 235 11.3 814 12.8 1,142 11.0
EBIT 1,997 39.8 3,720 44.7 329 24.2 137 6.6 2,249 35.3 3,735 35.9
Financial Charges 140 2.8 372 4.5 162 11.9 217 10.5 302 4.7 590 5.7
EBT 1,857 37.1 3,348 40.2 167 12.3 (80) (3.9) 1,947 30.6 3,145 30.3
Source: Company Annual Report, Edelweiss research
• Despite of change in business model from BOOT to outright sale, EBIDTA margins on a
standalone basis increased marginally from 54.9% in FY09 to 55.6% in FY10.
4
Educomp Solutions
Subsidiary analysis
(INR mn)
Subsidiary company % FY09 FY10
shareholding
FY10 Networth Turnover PBT Networth Turnover PBT
Of the 43 subsidiaries:
• Only 17 are operational.
• Only six are profit making at the PBT level.
Edelweiss Securities Limited
5
Annual report analysis
Segmental analysis
Goodwill on consolidation
(INR mn)
Particulars FY09 FY10
Educomp Learning 0.7 0.7
Edumatics Corporation Inc. 26.0 26.0
Wheitstone Productions 3.4 3.4
Increasing stake in Educomp Infrastructure & School Management 152.4 4,754.6
EISML led to goodwill
jumping to INR 4.8 Educomp School Management 10.0 10.0
bn Educomp Learning Hour 5.2 85.0
Authrorgen Technologies 12.0 73.0
Educomp Asia Pacific 727.4 727.4
A Plus Education Solutions 26.6 0.0
Savvica Inc 41.7 75.9
Educomp Higher Initiative 0.0 33.7
Educomp Professional Education 0.0 21.7
Eurokids International 223 223
Total 1,228 6,034
Source: Company Annual Report, Edelweiss research
6
Educomp Solutions
Net cash flow from operating activity stood at INR 2.2 bn despite a PBT of INR 4.4 bn primarily
on account of increase in debtors by INR 1.7 bn.
7
Annual report analysis
Sources of funds
100.0
80.0
(%)
of issuance of fresh
equity
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Shareholders' funds Loan funds Minority interest
Deferred Tax Liability Current liabilities Provisions
Application of funds
100.0
80.0
Proportion of funds
invested in goodwill 60.0
increased while
(%)
proportion of fixed
assets dipped 40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Goodwill Fixed assets Investments Inventories
Sundry debtors Cash and bank Other current assets
140
Cash conversion cycle
increased from 62
days in FY09 to 106
105
days in FY10 due to
(Days)
increase in receivable
days from 112 to 146
70
during the same
period
35
0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Inventory days Receivable days Payable days Cash conversion cycle
Source: Company Annual Report, Edelweiss research
8
Educomp Solutions
Summary financials
9
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
United Spirits’ (USL) operating cash flow during FY10 remained under pressure due to
increased working capital requirement. Non-cash adjustment in respect of unrealised
forex loss however supported the strained operating cash flows.
Debtors jumped 50.9%, from INR 8.9 bn in FY09 to INR 13.4 bn in FY10, and were at
21.1% of sales (FY09: 16.2%).
Cash flow states that, during FY10, the company incurred unrealized foreign exchange
losses of INR 5.7 bn; however, net forex losses charged to the P&L stood at INR 3.1 bn.
Un-realised forex loss of INR 5.7 bn adjusted in the cash flow comprises of INR 2.9 bn
on account of amortisation of forex losses incurred on debt (of which INR 1.9 bn is for
debt repaid during the year), and INR 2.5 bn and INR 0.3 bn of account of
movement in goodwill and fixed assets, respectively.
Treasury sale/QIP trims debt; borrowing cost may rise on shift to domestic debt
During FY10, USL, through its subsidiary, sold 10.3 mn treasury shares for INR 8.9 bn.
The same has been shown as exceptional and non-recurring items under cash from
operations.
USL also raised INR 16.2 bn by issuing 17.7 mn equity shares via QIP.
During Q4FY10, ~INR 14.5 bn domestic debt was raised in the standalone entity, which
along with funds raised above, were utilised to extend interest free loans of INR 32.1
bn to its wholly owned subsidiary, USL Holdings, UK (USLH), to repay the W&M
acquisition debt.
Market Data
Consequently, the company’s D/E dipped from 4.2x in FY09 to 1.5x in FY10.
52-week range (INR): 1,683 / 1,057
Share in issue (mn): 125.6 Interest free loan extended to USLH are likely to be converted into equity share of the
subsidiary in the near future.
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 188 / 4,231
Share Holding Pattern (%) USL’s sales increased 16.4%, from INR 54.7 bn in FY09 to INR 63.6 bn in FY10.
EBIDTA margin rose from 14.1% in FY09 to 16.2%, primarily on account of lower
Promoters : 29.2
actuarial loss on pension fund. Ex-pension, EBIDTA loss was flat at 17.1% (FY09:
MFs, FIs & Banks : 4.5
17.3%).
FIIs : 48.9
During the year, W&M has provided INR 0.6 bn (FY09: INR 1.7 bn) on account of
Others : 17.4
actuarial loss on pension fund. Present value of the obligation and fair value of plan
* Promoters pledged shares : 25.8 assets as at FY10 end stood at INR 8.2 bn and INR 7.3 bn, respectively. Further details
(% of share in issue)
in respect of assumptions and investment book break up for defined pension fund are
not available.
USL has also reported derivative loss of INR 1.4 bn in FY10 (FY09 INR 1.4 bn), which,
in our view, is primarily on account of interest rate swaps. MTM charge of the same is
included in interest expenses.
Goodwill stands at INR 42.4 bn, at ~118% of net worth. Treasury shares included in
net worth stand at INR 1.2 bn (3.3% of net worth).
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit
of research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
Edelweiss Securities Limited
1
Annual report analysis
Miscellaneous expenditure (yet to be amortised) stands at INR 448 mn (FY08: INR 733
mn), which has been incurred for raising loans.
As at FY10 end, the company held 8.4 mn treasury shares (FY09: 13.8 mn), of which,
4.9 mn treasury shares had been issued during the year to its subsidiaries, pursuant to
the scheme of amalgamation with Shaw Wallace & Company.
USL has still reported a loss after tax, primarily on account of higher tax expenses.
Effective tax rate for the year stood at 113.7%.
During the year, the company acquired 100% stake in Tern Distilleries, engaged in the
business of alcoholic beverages, for a sum of INR 139.5 mn.
2
United Spirits
Subsidiaries financials
(INR mn)
Subsidiary company % shareholding FY09 FY10
as on FY10 Networth Turnover PAT Networth Turnover PAT
Whyte and Mackay Group 100.0 4,691 12,793 258 5,591 11,913 1,185
Bouvet Ladubay S.A.S. 100.0 891 1,087 18 840 1,108 46
Royal Challengers Sports 100.0 (64) 502 (56) (117) 913 (53)
United Spirits Nepal 82.5 68 432 39 55 665 56
Chapin Landais S.A.S. 100.0 12 200 1 12 178 0
Tern Distilleries 100.0 - - - (8) 176 (2)
Four Seasons Wines 51.0 (75) 23 (79) 49 127 (69)
Montrose International S.A 100.0 35 89 13 34 103 3
Liquidity 51.0 (48) 27 (67) (230) 29 (56)
United Spirits (Shanghai) 100.0 5 22 (26) (1) 14 (5)
United Vintners 100.0 (24) 6 (13) (30) 2 (6)
Shaw Wallace Breweries 100.0 5,001 - 227 5,171 - 170
USL Holdings 100.0 1,587 - 478 912 - 458
Palmer Investment Group 100.0 823 - (0) 731 - 3
RG Shaw & Company 100.0 81 - 18 79 - 3
McDowell & Co. (ScotLand) 100.0 46 - (35) 36 - (8)
Shaw Wallace Overseas 100.0 14 - 1 35 - 0
Shaw Scott & Company 100.0 14 - 5 14 - 1
Shaw Darby & Company 100.0 14 - 3 14 - 1
Thames Rice Milling Company 100.0 13 - 2 13 - 1
JIHL Nominees 100.0 9 - 2 9 - 1
Spring Valley Investments Holdings 100.0 2 - (0) 2 - 0
Herbertsons 100.0 1 - (0) 1 - (0)
United Alcobev 100.0 0 - (0) 0 - (0)
McDowell Beverages 100.0 0 - (0) 0 - (1)
McDowell and Company 100.0 0 - (0) 0 - (0)
Jasmine Flavours and Fragrances 100.0 (0) - (0) (0) - (0)
United Spirits (UK) 100.0 (0) - (0) (1) - (0)
Daffodils Flavours & Fragrances 100.0 (1) - 1 (1) - 0
Ramanretti Investments & Trading 100.0 (6) - (0) (6) - (0)
Asian Opportunities & Investments 100.0 155 - (61) (14) - (97)
United Spirits (Great Britain) 100.0 (2,216) - (1,251) (2,768) - (687)
USL Holdings (UK) 100.0 (14,423) - (6,403) (11,019) - (4,572)
Total 15,182 (6,925) 15,228 (3,629)
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
Repyament of debt will lead to improvement in profitability margin
3
Annual report analysis
ROE analyser
Particulars FY08 FY09 FY10
A. Return on net operating assets (RNOA)
11.4 3.4 5.6
(OPATO x NOPAT margin) (%)
OPATO (operating asset turnover) (x) 0.8 0.6 0.7
NOPAT margin (%) 13.8 5.6 8.2
B. Return from leverage (FLEV x spread) (%) 4.3 (25.2) (8.7)
FLEV (financial leverage) (x) 2.2 3.7 2.5
NBC (net borrowing cost) (%) 9.5 10.1 9.1
Net financial spread (RNOA -NBC) (%) 1.9 (6.7) (3.5)
C. Return from other funding (%) (0.4) 0.2 0.0
ROE Derived (A+B+C) (%) 15.3 (21.5) (3.0)
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
RoE tree
6.0
4.0
5.6
2.0
(%)
4
United Spirits
Sources of funds
100.0
80.0
(%)
led to increase in 40.0
shareholders’ fund
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Equity shareholders' funds Loan funds
Minority interest Term laibility towards frachisee rights
Deferred tax liability Current liabilities
Provisions
Application of funds
100.0
80.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets (incl goodwill) Investments Deferred tax asset
Inventories Sundry debtors Cash and bank
Other current assets Loans and advances
Debtor analysis
15 25.0
Debtors as % of 12 20.0
revenue has
increased from
(INR bn)
21.1% in FY10
6 10.0
3 5.0
0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Total Debtors (LHS) Debtors as % of revenue (RHS)
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
5
Annual report analysis
Leverage analysis
5.0 15.0
4.0 12.0
(%)
(x)
used for repayment
2.0 6.0
of debt
1.0 3.0
0.0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Debt /Equity Avg. borrowing cost (RHS)
Derivative Exposure
Category Currency Cross currency Amount (mn)
Derivative losses FY09 FY10
primarily on account Swap USD USD - INR 35 35
of interest rate swaps Interest rate swap GBP 171 171
Forward contract Euro EURO - GBP 1.0 -
MTM loss on derivatives INR 1,350 1,374
6
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
HCL Technologies (HCL Tech) uses hedge accounting principles for accounting of
derivatives. Opening balance of derivative losses was at INR 7.8 bn, of which, INR 4.8
bn has been recognised in P&L during FY10, which is 32.5% of PBT (FY09: INR 2.4 bn;
15.2% of PBT). INR appreciation has led to MTM gains of INR 2 bn during FY10, while
derivative losses of INR 1.0 bn (FY09: INR 7.8 bn) have been carried forward in
reserves.
HCL Tech has reduced its derivative exposure from INR 38.9 bn as at FY09 end to INR
20.6 bn as at FY10 end.
Net un-hedged foreign currency exposure is INR 24.4 bn as at FY10 end (FY09 end: INR
20.7 bn).
Goodwill stands at INR 35.2 bn as at FY10 end (FY09: INR 37.3 bn), at 56.0% (FY09:
75.5%) of net worth.
Goodwill and intangible assets for various acquisitions is higher than net consideration
paid for acquisition, implying negative net tangible assets of the target companies (refer
table on page 2 for details).
Healthy operating cash flow on the back of reduced working capital requirements
During FY10, HCL Tech reported strong operating cash flows of INR 17.9 bn (FY09: INR
11.2 bn) on account of reduced working capital requirements. This is despite reduction
in PBT from INR 16.0 bn in FY09 to INR 14.7 bn in FY10.
Market Data
Working capital investment has reduced from INR 5.8 bn in FY09 to INR (1.7) bn in
52-week range (INR): 455 / 318
FY10, primarily on account of increase in deferred revenue by INR 3.7 bn. Unbilled
Share in issue (mn): 680.0 revenue stands at INR 5.3 bn as at FY10 end (FY09: INR 5.5 bn).
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 307 / 6,796
Creditors stand at INR 17.9 bn as at FY10 end (FY09: INR 20.1 bn). Average payable
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 1,186.6 days at 85 days (FY09: 84 days), in our view, are high considering major operating
expenses are in the form of employee expenses (51.5% of FY10 revenue).
Share Holding Pattern (%)
Promoters : 65.2 Tax implications may affect profitability
MFs, FIs & Banks : 5.7 HCL Tech’s effective tax rate has reduced to 14.8% in FY10 (FY09: 16.4%), primarily on
FIIs : 21.0 account of reversal of income tax provision relating to SEZs of INR 0.3 bn and abolition
Others : 8.1 of fringe benefit tax. This has resulted in increase in PAT by INR 0.6 bn (~4.6% of PAT).
* Promoters pledged shares : Nil The company may incur additional tax burden from 2012 due to expiry of the tax
(% of share in issue)
holiday period.
Accounting policy highlights
The company had issued ESOPs to its employees, which have been accounted on the
intrinsic value basis. Had the company accounted the same on fair value, profit for the
year would have been lower by INR 337 mn, ~2.3% of PBT.
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit of
research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
Upfront non-recurring costs of INR 4.1 bn in FY10 (FY09: INR 3.9 bn), arising on initial
phase of outsourcing contract and contract acquisition, are amortised on straight line basis
over the term of contract.
Sluggish demand in BPO and cost pressure in software services drag margins
HCL Tech’s EBIT margins slipped from 14.2% in FY09 to 12.5% in FY10, primarily on
account of negative margins from the BPO segment and higher employee/outsourcing costs
under the software services segment.
EBIT in the BPO segment has decreased from INR 12.0 bn in FY09 to INR (6.1) bn,
primarily on account of reduced sales volume due to recession. Correspondingly, EBIT
margins have also dipped to -6.4% in FY10 (FY09: 10.7%).
Employee costs have increased from INR 51.9 bn in FY09 to INR 62.5 bn in FY10 due to
increase in head-count of employees during FY10 and increase in proportion of on-site
employees.
Outsourcing costs have almost doubled from INR 4.9 bn in FY09 to INR 8.9 in FY10. EBIT
margins for software services have reduced from 18.8% to 15.3% (refer table).
Other highlights
During FY10, profit on sale of investments is INR 55.9 mn (FY09: INR 1,177.6 mn), which
has resulted in profit realisation of 0.1% (FY09: 5.6%) on investments sold. During FY10,
total proceeds from sale of mutual funds are INR 98.7 bn (FY09: INR 21.2 bn).
HCL borrowed foreign currency bridge loan of INR 24.9 bn in December 2008 to fund the
Axon Group acquisition. During FY10, the company substituted the bridge loan by a long-
term foreign currency loan of INR 12.1 bn and redeemable debentures of INR 10 bn.
Interest expenses on the above loans have increased from INR 0.5 bn in FY09 to INR 1.6
bn in FY10 due to full year impact of borrowings in the current year.
2
HCL Technologies
Effective EBIT margins at the subsidiary level have reduced from 9.0% in FY09 to 6.2% in FY10
despite increase in subsidiary sales from INR 55.5 bn to INR 70.6 bn, vis-à-vis marginal
increase in EBIT margins at the standalone level from 20.5% to 21.3%.
ROAE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed HCL Tech’s profitability
for the year ended FY08, FY09 and FY10; results and key findings of same are as follows:
ROAE Analyser
Particulars FY08 FY09 FY10
A. Return on net operating assets (RNOA)
35.5 23.9 18.6
(OPATO x NOPAT margin) (%)
OPATO (operating asset turnover) (x) 3.0 2.0 1.7
NOPAT margin (%) 11.9 11.7 10.9
B. Return from leverage (FLEV x spread) (%) (11.1) 4.2 3.6
FLEV (financial leverage) (x) (0.4) 0.1 0.3
NBC (net borrowing cost) (%) 8.5 (35.6) 4.4
Net financial spread (RNOA -NBC ) (%) 27.0 59.4 14.2
ROE Derived (A+B) (%) 24.4 28.1 22.1
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
ROAE tree
30.0
24.0
ROAE has reduced
due to lower NOPAT
3.6
margin on the back of 18.0
higher personnel and
(%)
outsourcing costs
22.1
12.0
18.6
6.0
0.0
RNOA Return from leverage ROAE
3
Annual report analysis
4
HCL Technologies
Segment analysis
Segment revenue
900
720
540
(INR bn)
360
180
0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Segment EBIT
155.0
120.0
85.0
(INR bn)
(20.0)
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
15.4
7.7
(%)
0.0
(7.7)
(15.4)
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Software services Business process outsourcing services
Infrastructure services
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
5
Annual report analysis
Margin analysis
35 25.0
(INR bn)
decrease in EBITDA 21 15.0
(%)
margin on account of
incremental finance
14 10.0
costs
7 5.0
0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Sources of funds
100.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Application of funds
100.0
Goodwill, as a
proportion to total
funds is 27.9%, 80.0
primarily on
acquisition of Axon
60.0
Group at a significant
(%)
premium
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Goodwill Fixed assets (excl goodwill) Investments
Deferred Tax Asset Inventories Sundry debtors
Cash and bank Other current assets
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
6
HCL Technologies
7
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
During FY10, C&C Constructions (C&C) reclassified its JV operations in Afghanistan from
non-integral to integral. This led to PAT for the year being higher by INR 68.6 mn (11%
of PAT).
WIP is valued on net realisable value basis (NRV); hence, the carrying value includes
the unrealised profit. WIP increased sharply by 3.4x, from INR 2.1 bn in FY09 to INR 7.2
bn in FY10.
C&C follows percentage of completion method for recognising the contract revenues.
However, the company does not specify any threshold stage for commencement of
recognition of revenues.
Revenue and EBIDTA growth robust; operating cash flow subdued on increase in WC
C&C’s FY10 revenue jumped 56.6% to INR 11.6 bn (FY09 INR 7.4 bn) and EBIDTA
catapulted 75% to INR 2.1 bn (FY09 INR 1.2 bn).
Despite reported FY10 PBT of INR 1.0 bn (FY09: INR 0.5 bn), cash from operating
activity (post interest) remained subdued at INR (0.6) bn [FY09: INR (13.0) bn], mainly
due to higher working capital requirement.
Cash conversion cycle deteriorated from 181 days in FY09 to 215 days in FY10,
primarily owing to rise in inventory days from 177 in FY09 to 251 in FY10. It was,
however, partially compensated by decrease in receivable days from 109 in FY09 to 69
in FY10.
Capex augmented by mix of debt and equity; D/E improves on new issuances
Market Data
52-week range (INR): 286 / 192 C&C’s net block increased from INR 4.7 bn in FY09 to INR 6.3 bn in FY10. This was
Share in issue (mn): 23.4 primarily on account of pursuing BOT projects represented by CWIP that increased from
INR 1.5 bn in FY09 to INR 2.6 bn in FY10.
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 4.9 / 108.2
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 35.8 During FY10, C&C raised INR 0.8 bn through QIP and INR 0.5 bn through preferential
allotment of equity shares to promoter group on conversion of warrants.
Share Holding Pattern (%) Loan book increased from INR 6.7 bn in FY09 to INR 8.3 bn in FY10. D/E improved
Promoters : 63.4 marginally, from 1.9x in FY09 to 1.6x in FY10.
MFs, FIs & Banks : 13.9 Average borrowing cost charged to P&L (excl. interest capitalised) was 10.3% in FY10.
FIIs : 6.8 The company capitalises the interest cost to carrying cost of CWIP/inventory. Details on
Others : 15.8 interest capitalised have not been disclosed.
* Promoters pledged shares : Nil Revenue mix to undergo a rejig as company ventures into new businesses
(% of share in issue)
C&C intends to expand its presence across infrastructure segments; besides developing
roads, it is also undertaking projects for buildings, railways and water & sewerage
projects.
The company’s order book, as at FY10 end, stood at INR 26.1 bn (FY09 INR 34.2 bn); of
this, INR 13.8 bn (FY09 22.5 bn) comprises roads and the balance other new ventures.
Note: Based on consolidated financials
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit of
research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
240
180
(Days)
120
60
0
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Cash conversion cycle deteriorated from 181 days in FY09 to 215 days in FY10, primarily on
account of rise in inventory days from 177 in FY09 to 251 in FY10; this was, however, partially
compensated by decrease in receivable days from 109 in FY09 to 69 in FY10
2
C&C Constructions
Inventory analysis
10.0 5.0
Increase in inventory
levels primarily led by 8.0 4.0
WIP
(INR bn)
6.0 3.0
(x)
WIP valued at NRV; it 4.0 2.0
includes unrealised
profits
2.0 1.0
0.0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Raw materials and consumables WIP Inventory Turnover ratio (RHS)
Sources of funds
100.0
Proportion of 80.0
shareholders’ fund
improved, largely on 60.0
(%)
account of fresh
equity issuances 40.0
20.0
0.0
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Application of funds
100.0
80.0
invested in inventory
has increased 40.0
significantly during
the year 20.0
0.0
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets CWIP Investments Deferred Tax Asset
Inventories Sundry debtors Cash and bank Other current assets
Source: Company Annual Report, Edelweiss research
3
Annual report analysis
(INR bn)
plans
(%)
4.0 6.0
2.0 3.0
0.0 0.0
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Loan Book Avg. borrowing cost (excl int. capitalised)
Margin analysis
25.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
EBITDA margin PAT margin ROCE (pre tax) ROE
Roads
66%
4
C&C Constructions
FY10
Water and
sewerage Transmission
5% 1%
Railways
14%
Roads
53%
Buildings
27%
Revenue analysis
100.0
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Roads Buildings Railways Water and sewerage
Source: Company Annual Report, Edelweiss research
5
Annual report analysis
6
June
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Post migration to IFRS, from FY12, the treatment prescribed by IFRS will be applicable,
which will effectively advance revenue recognition. Refer our thematic report, IFRS: The
big switch, dated June 09, 2010, for detailed explanation of IFRS adoption accounting
treatment and consequent impact on profits and returns.
FCCB redemption premium, 3.1x adjusted FY10 PAT, adjusted against reserves
HCC adjusts redemption premium on FCCBs against the securities premium account. In
FY10, redemption premium aggregated INR 152.2 mn (net of tax), ~3.1x of adjusted
PAT.
In FY10, the company bought back FCCBs with face value of USD 3.4 mn and reversed
the redemption premium provided on them (through adjustments to the securities
premium account) aggregating INR 24.1 mn.
MFs, FIs & Banks : 12.7 The company’s adjusted debt* jumped INR 13.2 bn (32.9%) to INR 53.5 bn in FY10
(FY09: INR 40.3 bn).
FIIs : 28.7
Others : 18.7
Other financial highlights
* Promoters pledged shares : Nil
(% of share in issue) Market value of HCC’s quoted investments was INR 2,999.0 mn vis-à-vis book value of
INR 3,040.1 mn. The unrealised loss on quoted investments was INR 41.1 mn. Currently,
under the Indian GAAP regime, FY10 profits are not impacted, but post adoption of IFRS,
such unrealised losses may impact profits depending upon their classification.
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit
of research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
1
Annual report analysis
The company’s sundry debtors increased 2.5x to INR 2.5 bn (FY09: INR 1.0 bn).
Receivable days (based on year end balances) also increased 2.1x to 22.9 days sales
(FY09: 10.7 days sales). Also, cheques on hand aggregate INR 378.6 mn, ~15.2% of
March 31, 2010, debtors.
Loss on sale of assets was INR 186.7 mn, ~15.2% of adjusted PBT*.
HCC repriced the exercise price of ESOPs to INR 104.1 per share (earlier: INR 132.5).
The revised exercise price is the market price on the grant date and as per Indian GAAP,
FY10 profits will not be impacted. However, post IFRS adoption, such repricing will
impact profits.
High tax dents operating margin; low operating margin, asset turnover depress RoE
Return on average equity (RoAE) for FY10 dipped 590bps to 0.4% (FY09: 6.3%),
primarily due to lower operating margin, courtesy higher effective tax rate and operating
assets turnover, resulting in lower returns on operating assets (RNOA). Decrease in
RNOA blunted gains from higher leverage and lower borrowing costs:
• RNOA decreased 300bps to 3.3% (FY09: 6.3%) due to lower operating margin that
dipped 280bps (36.7%) to 4.7% (FY09: 7.5%) and lower operating assets turnover
that decreased 10bps (17.3%) to 0.7x (FY09: 0.8x).
• Return from leverage decreased 730bps (3.7%) (FY09: positive, 3.6%), despite
higher leverage and lower borrowing costs, due to lower RNOA (lower than
borrowing costs).
• Had the effective tax rate been constant at FY09 level, FY10 adjusted RoE* would
have been 7.9% vis-à-vis the current 0.4%.
ROE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital
allocation efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed HCC’s
profitability for FY09 and FY10; results and key findings are given below:
ROE analyser
Particulars FY09 FY10
A. Return on net operating assets (RNOA)
6.3 3.3
(OPATO x NOPAT margin) (%)
OPATO (operating asset turnover) (x) 0.8 0.7
NOPAT margin (%) 7.5 4.7
B. Return from leverage (FLEV x spread) (%) 3.6 (3.7)
FLEV (financial leverage) (x) 3.4 4.0
NBC (net borrowing cost) (%) 5.3 4.2
Net financial spread (RNOA -NBC) (%) 1.1 (0.9)
C. Return from other funding (%) (3.7) 0.8
ROE Derived (A+B+C) (%) 6.3 0.4
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
2
Hindustan Construction Company
RoE tree
9.0 FY09
FY10
4.0
6.0
2.0
3.3 6.3
3.0 6.3
Higher tax rate dents 0.0 0.8 0.4 3.6
(%)
RoE
0.0
(2.0) (3.7)
(3.7)
(3.0)
(4.0)
(6.0) (6.0)
RNOA Return Return ROAE RNOA Return Return ROAE
from from
from from
leverage other leverage other
funding funding
80.0
60.0
(%)
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Adjusted equity shareholders' funds* Adjusted loan funds*
Minority interest Deferred tax liability (net)
Current liabilities Provisions
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
Application of funds
100.0
80.0
successive year
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
3
Annual report analysis
Utilisation of income
100.0
80.0
60.0
Higher other
(%)
operating expenses
and taxes offset 40.0
savings in
construction 20.0
expenses
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Construction expenses Personnel cost
Operating and other expenses Depreciation
Adjusted finance charges* Other items
Taxes Dividend
Retained earning
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
4.0 6.4
borrowing cost
decreased
2.0 3.2
1.0 1.6
0.0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Adjusted debt/ equity ratio* (x) Adjusted net debt/ equity ratio* (x)
Adjusted cost of borrowing* (%)
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
352
264
payable days offset
better payables
management; 176
marginally lengthen
cash conversion cycle
88
0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
4
Hindustan Construction Company
(%)
(x)
6.4 4.0
3.2 2.0
0.0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
5
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
IL&FS Transportation Networks’ (ITNL) FY10 revenue jumped 96.1% to INR 24.0 bn
(FY09 INR 12.3 bn) and PBT catapulted 5.5x to INR 5.2 bn (FY09 INR 0.8 bn). PBT
margins soared from 6.6% in FY09 to 21.8% in FY10.
The company follows IFRS principles for accounting of service concession arrangements
(SCA); consequently, construction income in SCA is recognised on POCM basis upfront
during construction phase.
Construction income, the primary revenue driver, jumped ~ 7x from INR 1.7 bn in FY09
to INR 11.6 bn during the year.
Rights under SCA have increased from INR 6.9 bn in FY09 to INR 14.8 bn in FY10 and
receivables under SCA catapulted from INR 7.3 bn in FY09 to INR 12.0 bn in FY10. (with
corresponding impact on investing cash flows)
IFRS adoption, however, is limited to accounting of SCA while other transactions are
accounted as per IGAAPs.
ITNL’s FY10 cash from operating activities post interest stood at INR 0.2 bn [FY09
INR (1.6 bn)] despite a PBT of INR 5.2 bn (FY09 INR 0.8 bn).
Operating cash flow also includes unrealised profit from construction income in SCA
which gets offset by contra investing cash outflows.
Segmental analysis
Market Data During FY10, geographical revenue mix shifted from outside India to within India, with
52-week range (INR): 368 / 256 increase in the latter’s revenue share from ~34% in FY09 to ~ 59% in FY10.
Share in issue (mn): 194.3 Business segment revenues increased sharply for surface transport business from
M cap (INR bn/USD mn):57.7 / 1,299.7 INR 9.1 bn in FY09 to INR 22.2 bn in FY10, with margins in the segment soaring from
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 589.0 13.7% in FY09 to 32.8% in FY10.
FIIs : 4.9 D/E was, however, maintained at 2.0x (FY09 2.1x) on the back of INR 5.9 bn raised by
Others : 14.8 the company by issuing 22.8 mn fresh equity shares of INR 10 each at a premium of
INR 248 /share.
* Promoters pledged shares : Nil
(% of share in issue)
Accounting policy highlights
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit of
research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
2
IL&FS Transportation Networks
16.4
8.2
(INR bn)
0.0
(8.2)
(16.4)
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Cash flow from operating activities Cash flow from investing activities
Cash flow from financing activities
24.0
Construction revenue
primary growth 18.0
(INR bn)
driver
12.0
6.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fee income Operation & maintainance income
Toll revenues Construction income
Traded product
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
3
Annual report analysis
(INR bn)
jumped sharply from 15.0 36.0
(%)
32.8
13.7% in FY09 to
32.8% in FY10 10.0 24.0
13.7
5.0 12.0
10.9 9.9
0.0 - - 0.0
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Revenue - surface transportation business
Revenue - Building maintenance
Segmental margin - surface transport (RHS)
Segmental margin - building maintenance (RHS)
80.0
Revenue mix has
shifted to India in
60.0
FY10 with recognition
(%)
of surface transport
revenues… 40.0
20.0
0.0
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
In India Outside India
Sources of funds
100.0
80.0
60.0
(%)
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Equity shareholders' funds Loan funds
Minority interest Deferred Tax Liability
Current liabilities & provisions
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
4
IL&FS Transportation Networks
Applications of funds
100.0
80.0
Proportion of funds
60.0
invested in loans &
(%)
advances catapulated
in FY10 40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets (incl goodwill) Investments Inventories
Sundry debtors Cash and bank Other current assets
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
5
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
IRB Infrastructure Developers’ (IRB) FY10 revenue jumped 71.9% to INR 17.0 bn (FY09
INR 9.9 bn), and PBT catapulted 93.8% to INR 4.2 bn (FY09 INR 2.2 bn). PBT margins
increased from 21.7% in FY09 to 24.4% in FY10.
Complying with IFRS principles, IRB’s consolidated FY10 revenue and PBT include INR
8.1 bn (47.6 % of revenue) and INR 2.7 bn (64.3 % of PBT), respectively (FY09: INR
3.7 bn and INR 1.0 bn), on account of work executed by EPC arm for BOT SPVs.
This implies that margins booked on in-house contracts increased from 27.0% in
FY09 to 32.7% in FY10.
Excluding the captive work executed, FY10 revenue jumped 42.8% to INR 8.9 bn (FY09
INR 6.3 bn), while PBT increased 30.1% to INR 1.5 bn (FY09 INR 1.2 bn). PBT margins,
on the other hand, dipped from 18.6% in FY09 to 16.9% in FY10.
Operating cash flow healthy, but includes unrealised profit element for BOT SPVs
Cash from operating activities post interest remained healthy at INR 6.6 bn, despite
reported PBT of INR 4.2 bn. Operating cash flow, however, includes profit element of
INR 2.7 bn for EPC work executed for BOT SPV which gets offset by contra investing
cash outflows.
Income from BOT projects jumped 61%, from INR 4.5 bn in FY09 to INR 7.2 bn,
primarily on account of 8.4% hike in toll rates, full year operation of Surat-Dahisar
project and commencement of toll collection in Bharuch-Surat BOT project.
Market Data
52-week range (INR): 313 / 187 IRB’s cash conversion cycle improved from 50 days in FY09 to 47 days in FY10 on
account of dip in inventory days, from 91 in FY09 to 79 in FY10, partially compensated
Share in issue (mn): 332.4
by decrease in payable days from 45 in FY09 to 37 in FY10.
M cap (INR bn/USD mn):63.3 / 1,411.3
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 1,338.0 Investment gain adds to profitability
IRB sold investments of INR 976.1 mn (FY09 INR 111,2.9 mn) in FY10, realising a gain
Share Holding Pattern (%) of INR 140.3 mn (FY09 loss of INR 14.5 mn). Also, the company has written back
Promoters : 74.9 provision for diminution on value of investment of INR 5.2 mn (FY09 provided INR 24.7
MFs, FIs & Banks : 4.3 mn). Together, these form 3.5% of PBT (FY09: 1.8%).
FIIs : 12.7
Loan book rises to facilitate new projects; execution picked up on Surat-Dahisar
Others : 8.1
During FY10, IRB was granted new BOT road projects worth ~INR 55.0 bn in addition to
* Promoters pledged shares : 15.3
(% of share in issue) the Sindhudurg greenfield airport project. Also, execution on Surat–Dahisar project
gathered steam during the year.
Consequently, the company’s loan book increased from INR 24.9 bn in FY09 to INR 29.2
bn in FY10, primarily to facilitate the construction of new BOT projects. However, D/E
was maintained at 1.4x.
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit of
research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
Interest cost jumped 69.5%, from INR 1.5 bn in FY09 to INR 2.5 bn in FY10, primarily due
to low capitalisation as Surat–Bharuch BOT project became operational during the year.
IRB considers that the construction cost incurred by BOT operator is in exchanged for toll
collection rights. Thus, for BOT projects awarded to group companies, where EPC is
subcontracted to fellow subsidiaries, the profit on intra group transaction is not eliminated
and is included in toll collection rights.
Toll collection rights have increased from INR 17.2 bn in FY09 to INR 31.6 bn in FY10.
2
IRB Infrastructure Developers
Operating cash flow includes INR 2.7 bn of captive EPC profit, which is offset by higher
investing cash outflow towards toll collection rights capitalised
in inventory days,
partially compensated
by decrease in payable 0
days
(60)
(120)
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Inventory days Receivable days Payable days Cash conversion cycle
16.0
Income from BOT
projects increased,
12.0
(INR bn)
leading to healthy
operating cash flow
8.0
4.0
0.0
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
3
Annual report analysis
Sources of funds
100.0
80.0
60.0
(%)
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Shareholders' funds Loan funds Minority interest
Deferred Tax Liability Current liabilities Provisions
Application of funds
100.0
due to capitalisation
of Surat-Bharuch BOT
40.0
project
20.0
0.0
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets CWIP Investments Inventories
Sundry debtors Cash and bank Other current assets
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
4
IRB Infrastructure Developers
Summary Financials
Particulars FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Sales 3,057 7,327 9,919 17,049
Total income 3,287 7,896 10,307 17,558
EBITDA 1,654 4,119 4,388 7,990
EBITDA margin (%) 54.1 56.2 44.2 46.9
Depreciation 526 1,016 1,144 1,819
Financial costs 913 2,006 1,483 2,514
Net profit 225 1,139 1,758 3,854
Equity shareholders' funds 3,595 16,191 17,291 20,390
Loan funds 25,180 20,212 24,859 29,152
Net fixed assets 24,420 27,737 34,707 43,477
Current assets loans and advances 7,366 9,589 10,180 11,477
Current liabilities and provisions 2,313 2,600 3,065 4,816
Net current assets 5,053 6,989 7,116 6,661
Cash flow from operating activities 2,472 2,119 2,615 9,033
Cash flow from investing activities (11,680) (5,288) (6,047) (10,223)
Cash flow from financing activities 8,790 4,077 3,308 1,431
Net cash flows (418) 908 (123) 241
CAPEX (6,664) (4,288) (8,114) (10,657)
Working capital investments 1,035 (1,586) (1,401) 1,849
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
5
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
During the year, IVRCL Infrastructures (IVRCL) reported net cash flow from operation of
INR (539.9) mn [FY09: INR (934.2)] mn, despite PBT of INR 3780.9 mn (FY09: INR
3107.9 mn), primarily on account of higher working capital requirement.
Cash conversion cycle deteriorated from 159 days in FY09 to 173 days in FY10,
primarily on account of increase in debtor days (including unbilled revenue and
retention money) from 169 in FY09 to 205 in FY10. This was, however, partially offset
by increase in creditor days and advances from contractee.
Debtors more than six months remain high for FY10, at INR 5.5 bn, which is 27.8% of
the total debtors (excluding unbilled revenues and retention money; FY09: 27.3%).
IVRCL’s sales increased 15.1%, from INR 50.6 bn in FY09 to INR 58.3 bn in FY10,
primarily on account of income from transmission business, sale to sub-contractors and
sale of systems, equipment, services and spares.
Blended EBIDTA margin improved from 9.5% in FY09 to 11.3% in FY10, primarily due
to reduction in sub-contracting activities, which, in turn, lowered the construction and
manufacturing costs from 83.6% of sales in FY09 to 81.4% of sales in FY10.
PBT margin, however, increased meagerly from 6.1% in FY09 to 6.5% in FY10 as net
interest cost increased from INR 1.7 bn in FY09 to INR 2.4 bn in FY10.
Provision for doubtful debts, advances and deposits and bad debt written off increased
from INR 120.2 mn in FY09 to INR 428.5 mn (11.3% of PBT) in FY10.
Market Data Auditors have highlighted that during the year provision of INR 1.4 bn on account of
withdrawal of the tax relief u/s 80IA availed in earlier years, has directly been adjusted
52-week range (INR): 197 /110
from special reserve, which constitutes 65.5% of PAT.
Share in issue (mn): 267.0
Average borrowing cost (excluding interest capitalised) for the year stood at 8.1%
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 32.0 / 694.2
(FY09: 8.0%), details on interest capitalised have not been disclosed.
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 2,812.6
Promoters : 9.5 During the year, IVRCL A&H, a subsidiary, has capitalised interest amounting to 1.1 bn
MFs, FIs & Banks : 8.6 under expenditure incurred during construction period pending allocation (EDCPA); year
end balance of EDPCA account is INR 2.4 bn. IVRCL A&H has done capital expenditure of
FIIs : 57.7
7.0 bn during the year.
Others : 24.2
During the year, IVR Strategic Resources & Services (ISRSL) and IVRCL Water
* Promoters pledged shares : Nil
(% of share in issue) Infrastructure (IWIL), two wholly-owned subsidiaries, amalgamated with IVRCL A&H.
Accordingly, IVRCL A&H has issued 59.5 mn shares to IVRCL, raising IVRCL’s
shareholding in it from 62.4% to 80.5%.
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit of
research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
2
IVRCL Infrastructure
19
13
(INR bn)
7
Operating and
investing cash flows
continue to be
1
supported by cash
from financing (5)
activities
(11)
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Cash flow from operating activities Cash flow from investing activities
Cash flow from financing activities
Sources of funds
100.0
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Shareholder's fund Minority interest Loan funds
Deferred tax liability Current liabilities Provisions
Application of funds
100.0
20.0
0.0
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets CWIP Investments Inventories
Debtors Cash & bank Other current assets
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
3
Annual report analysis
176
132
Increase in debtor
(Days)
days stretched cash
conversion cycle 88
44
0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Debtor analysis
25 40.0
20 32.0
(INR bn)
(%)
months have
increased 29.7%, 10 16.0
from INR 4.3 bn in
FY09 to INR 5.5 bn in
5 8.0
FY10
0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Debtors exceeding six month Other debtors
Debtors as % of revenue (RHS)
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
4
IVRCL Infrastructure
5
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Related party transactions boost revenue; IFRS convergence may impact financials
Lanco Infrastructure’s (Lanco) sales jumped 33.7% from INR 60.0 bn in FY09 to INR
80.3 bn in FY10. The rise was on account of increase in construction segment’s
contribution from 52% in FY09 to 55.6% in FY10.
The company’s EPC and construction order book as at FY10 end catapulted ~ 147.4% to
INR 257.1 bn (FY09: INR 103.9 bn), imparting it ~ 3 years’ revenue visibility. However,
most of the orders are from related parties.
Lanco generates ~ 47% of its revenue from related parties, of which two associates-
Udupi Power (UPCL) and Lanco Anpara Power (LAnPL), contribute ~43.9%. The
company also holds cumulative compulsorily convertible preference shares in these
companies, which when exercised will lead to them becoming subsidiaries. Lanco’s
current holding in UPCL and LAnPL is 26.2% and 26.1%, respectively.
During the year, the company earned INR 35.3 bn as contract service revenue from these
companies, which is 43.9% of total sales. While consolidating, Lanco has eliminated INR
755.3 mn as unrealised profit to the extent of its holding in these companies.
The outstanding term loans and net assets of these entities as at FY10 end are INR 63.6
bn and INR 84.7 bn, respectively. Corporate guarantee given for UPCL is at INR 33.8
bn, which is 100.9% of the company’s net worth.
IFRS will lead to consolidation of SPVs which will lead to elimination of intergroup
revenues and profitability and also will increase debt by 76.1% to INR 147.2 bn;
correspondingly, D/E will jump from 2.5x to 4.4x.
The management has, however, guided that post IFRS, select power projects will qualify
Market Data under build-operate-transfer (BOT). Hence, revenue and profit related to EPC activity of
52-week range (INR): 74 / 40 such projects will continue to be recognised on POCM basis and will not be eliminated.
Share in issue (mn): 2,407.8 Lanco has also invested INR 6.0 bn in share application money in a few other associates
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 167 / 3,596 and companies where it or key management personnel have significant influence. If, in
the future, shares of these companies are allotted to Lanco its relationship with them
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 11,672
may change.
Others : 7.9
During the year, Lanco allotted 9.2 mn ESOPs exercisable at weighted avg. price of INR
0.24 each pursuant to which the company has taken an additional charge of INR 570.8 mn
* Promoters pledged shares : 0.2
(% of share in issue) during the year (6.1% of PBT). Total outstanding ESOPs as at FY10 end are 53.3 mn.
Since ESOP cost is amortized over vesting period (6 years for Lanco); the higher ESOP
charge will continue over next 5 years.
LAPL, one of the subsidiary, has, during FY10, changed the method of providing
depreciation from the straight line method (SLM) to the written down value method
(WDV), which led to INR 1.2 bn dip in PBT (12.9% of PBT). We believe the change in
depreciation will result in lower tax outgo under MAT.
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit of
research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
Income from the property development segment, dipped significantly from INR 1,574.5 mn
in FY09 to INR (256.7) mn in FY10, primarily on account of reversal of revenue of INR 1.1
bn towards cancellation and the price discounts offered to existing as well as prospective
customers.
Other income increased from INR 0.5 bn in FY09 to INR 1.8 bn (19.7% of PBT) in FY10
primarily on account of interest received on deposits, gain on forex fluctuation, and profit
on sale of long-term investments.
Debtors outstanding increased two folds to INR 22.3 bn (FY09: INR 11.9 bn) as debtors
exceeding six months doubled from INR 4.3 bn in FY09 to INR 8.1 bn in FY10.
Despite rise in the company’s debt from INR 55.9 bn in FY09 to INR 83.6 bn, the D/E has
reduced from 2.7x in FY09 to 2.5x in FY10, primarily on account of Lanco’s QIP issue.
During the year, the company raised INR 7.3 bn through QIP of 18 mn shares of INR 10
each at INR 394.9, which is primarily invested in mutual funds and preference shares of
associates, leading to increase in investment by 106% from INR 9.8 bn in FY09 to INR 20.2
bn in FY10.
Total borrowing cost capitalised during FY10 is at INR 5.1 bn. Average borrowing cost incl.
interest capitalised is at 12.0% (FY09: 13.9%).
(INR mn)
Closing balance recievable Closing balance payable
Particulars Relation Guarantee share appl. ICD Loans Others ICD others
given money
Lanco Anpara Power Associate 2,103 2,941
Udupi Power Corporation Associate 33,773 8,788 2,000 474
Lanco Hoskote Highway Associate 246
Lanco Devihalli Highway Associate 133 361
Belinda Properties Associate 543
Ananke Properties Associate 548
Tethys Properties Associate 538
Bianca Properties Associate 548
Lanco Babandh Power Associate 2,500 1,830 1,210 311 2,452
Portia Properties Associate 328
Lanco Group KMPSI 1,540
Others ESI 87 843
Others KMPSI 61 12
Total 36,405 6,022 1,210 311 11,747 2,000 6,485
108.8% of
networth
Allotment of shares by related parties for share application money pending allotment may
change the relationship to subsidiaries
2
Lanco Infratech
40,000
25,000
10,000
(5,000)
(20,000)
(35,000)
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Cash flow from operating activities Cash flow from investing activities
Cash flow from financing activities
Lanco has been generating positive cash from operations which together with funds from
financing activities have been deployed in capex plans.
The group has a power projects portfolio of 9,311 MW, of which about 1,349 MW is in operation
and the balance under construction.
Lanco’s power generation capacity is expected to jump to 3,957 MW over the next 12 months
with the additional capacity of 133 MW from Kondapalli II, 1,200 MW from Udupi and Anpara
each, 70 MW from Lanco Green and 5 MW from Vamshi Industrial.
3
Annual report analysis
Sources of funds
100.0
80.0
Proportion of loan
funds increased from
60.0
48.5% in FY09 to
(%)
52.2% in FY10
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Equity shareholders' funds Loan funds Minority interest Current liabilities Provisions
Applications of funds
100.0
80.0
60.0
Rise in fixed assets is
(%)
primarily on account
of capitalisation of 40.0
plant and machinery
on commencement of 20.0
power plants which
were lying as CWIP 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets CWIP
Investments Expenditure during construction
Inventories Debtors
Cash and bank Other current assets
(x)
11.0 1.2
9.5 0.6
8.0 0.0
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
4
Lanco Infratech
88 96
66 72
(Days)
(Days)
44 48
22 24
0 0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Inventory days Receivable days Payable days Cash conversion cycle
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
Cash conversion cycle deteriorated from 44.2 days in FY09 to 50 days in FY10, primarily on
account of increase in debtor days from 58.3 to 77.7 and inventory days from 77.7 to 83.0,
which is partly compensated by increase in creditor days from 91.8 to 110.8 during the same
period.
5
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
• INR 65.1 bn in Reliance Power (RePL), an associate, [cost of equity (INR 17.2 bn) +
capital reserve on dilution (INR 43.2 bn) and balance as profits for the year).
Further, current assets include INR 5.1 bn towards premium receivable on redemption
of the aforementioned preference shares.
Loans and advances jumped from INR 55.5 bn as at FY09 end to INR 85.9 bn as at FY10
end, of which, inter-corporate deposits increased from INR 15.8 bn to INR 27.7 bn.
Of the total inter-corporate deposits, INR 1.4 bn (FY09: INR 1.4 bn) constitutes deposits
given to Reliance Infrastructure and Consultants, an associate. Details of other parties
to whom inter-corporate deposits have been given are not available.
During FY10, interest income on inter-corporate deposits was INR 2.2 bn yielding an
average return of 9.9%.
Share Holding Pattern (%) • Income towards payment of wage revision arrears of INR 1.3 bn.
Promoters : 42.7 The outstanding balance of tariff adjustment account as at FY10 end is INR 16.0 bn
MFs, FIs & Banks : 25.7 (FY09: INR 10.3 bn), indicating that the company received INR 5.3 bn in FY10.
FIIs : 15.5
Operating cash flow remains subdued on increased working capital requirement
Others : 16.0
* Promoters pledged shares : Nil Cash flows from operations stood at INR 1.7 bn in FY10 (FY09: INR 9.2 bn), despite PBT
(% of share in issue) of INR 13.5 bn (FY09: INR 13.4) on the back of increased working capital requirement.
Working capital requirement increased on the back of:
• Tariff adjustment, arising due to revenue gaps, jumped by INR 5.7 bn during FY10.
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit
of research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
Rinfra recognised toll collection rights of INR 7.7 bn as at FY10 end (FY09: Nil), at actual
cost incurred on BOT projects and amortised it over the concession period.
During FY10, these warrants were forfeited and the amount of INR 7.8 bn was credited
to capital reserve as promoters did not opt to exercise the warrants.
Rinfra’s net worth jumped from INR 169.0 bn in FY09 to INR 207.0 bn in FY10, primarily
due to fresh issue of 4.3 crore warrants @ INR 929/warrant to AAAPVL, of which, 2.0
crore warrants were converted to equivalent equity shares.
On January 7, 2011, AAAPVL has exercised the balance 2.3 crore warrants which have
been converted into equivalent equity shares.
Increased average borrowing cost, despite lower D/E
Average borrowing cost (including capitalised) jumped from 6.5% in FY09 to 8.1% in
FY10, primarily due to repayment of low-cost foreign currency borrowing.
Rinfra’s D/E ratio dipped from 0.6 to 0.4, primarily due to repayment of loan funds out of
the amount received from issue of share warrants.
Of the current liabilities of INR 70.4 bn as at FY10 end (FY09: INR 59.1 bn), amount
payable to related parties for rendering services stood at INR 20.5 bn (FY09: INR 17.3
bn), ~29.1% (FY09: 29.3%) of current liabilities.
Corporate guarantees and collaterals for related parties stood at INR 3.2 bn as at FY10
end (FY09: INR 6.2 bn), ~1.5% (FY09: 3.7%) of net worth.
Other highlights
ROAE reduced from 8.1% in FY09 to 8.0% in FY10, primarily due to lower return on net
financial income.
Other current assets include retentions on contracts which have increased from INR 5.8
bn in FY09 to INR 7.6 bn in FY10, 24.4% (FY09: 45.3%) of net current assets.
Provision for disputed matters/contingencies for electricity business and other corporate
matters stood at INR 6.3 bn as at FY10 end (FY09 end: INR 5.6 bn), ~3.0% (FY09:
3.3%) of net worth.
Post BS date, the company sold investments in two wholly-owned subsidiaries (BSES
Kerela Power and Reliance Energy Generation) to RePL. The turnover of these
subsidiaries as at FY10 end was INR 4.5 bn with a net worth of INR 1.9 bn.
2
Reliance Infrastructure
During FY10, unrealised gain on fair valuation of foreign exchange derivative transactions
was INR 0.8 bn (FY09: unrealised loss, INR 1.7 bn) ~ 5.9% (FY09: - 12.7%) of PBT.
Net unhedged foreign currency exposure stood at INR 16.4 bn as at FY10 end (FY09 end:
7.9 bn).
During FY10, Rinfra bought back and extinguished 0.7 mn equity shares aggregating INR
431.5 mn through open market transactions at average price of INR 616/share.
Cash flow from operations (INR bn)
Particulars FY10
Profit before tax 13.5
Depreciation 4.7
Interest and finance charges 5.3
Non operating (profit)/Loss (7.6)
Cash flow subdued due
to increase in unbilled Non cash adjustments (Incl. tax provision) (0.5)
revenue and debtors. Direct taxes paid (0.4)
Higher interest expense Cash profit after tax 14.9
resulted in negative
Increase in trade and other receivables (25.7)
cash from operations,
post interest Decrease in inventories 1.7
Increase in trade payables 10.7
Increase in working capital (13.3)
Net cash from operating activities 1.7
Interest expenses paid (6.6)
Net cash from operations post interest (4.9)
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
3
Annual report analysis
ROE analyser
Particulars FY08 FY09 FY10
A. Return on net operating assets (RNOA)
10.2 6.8 7.2
(OPATO x NOPAT margin) (%)
OPATO (operating asset turnover) (x) 1.1 1.0 0.9
NOPAT margin (%) 9.1 7.0 8.2
B. Return from leverage (FLEV x spread) (%) (1.2) 1.2 0.8
FLEV (financial leverage) (x) (0.4) (0.2) (0.1)
NBC (net borrowing cost) (%) 7.1 13.0 16.0
Net financial spread (RNOA -NBC) (%) 3.1 (6.3) (8.9)
C. Return from other funding (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0
ROE Derived (A+B+C) (%) 9.0 8.1 8.0
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
ROAE Tree
9.0
0.8
7.2
0.0
Return on net operating Return from leverage ROAE
assets
Profitability analysis
20.0 15,000
16.0 12,000
(INR mn)
PBT margin decreased 12.0 9,000
(%)
0.0 0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
PBT (before exceptional items) EBITDA margin (%)
PBT margin (%) EBIT margin (%)
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
4
Reliance Infrastructure
7.2 100
Average borrowing
costs increased from 5.4 75
(INR bn)
6.5% to 8.1%, primarily
(%)
due to replacement of
low-cost foreign 3.6 50
currency borrowing
1.8 25
0.0 0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Debt (RHS) Debt /Equity (LHS) Avg. borrowing cost (incl capitalised) (LHS)
Note: Borrowing cost capitalised details are not available for FY06 and FY07
Sources of funds
100.0
80.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
80.0
60.0
(%)
40.0
Proportion of loans and
advances increased due
to jump in inter- 20.0
corporate deposits from
INR 15.8 bn in FY09 to
0.0
INR 27.7 bn in FY10
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets (incl goodwill) Investments Inventories
Sundry debtors Cash and bank Other current assets
Loans and advances
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
5
Annual report analysis
6
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Hindalco Industries’ (Hindalco) consolidated revenues dipped 7.9% from INR 659.6 bn in
FY09 to INR 607.2 bn in FY10 on the back of lower aluminium prices, 2% reduction in
shipment of Novelis and change in the status of Idea Cellular to associate from joint
venture w.e.f. from January 01, 2009.
The company reported EBIDTA of INR 97.5 bn (FY09 29.7 bn), of which, subsidiaries
contributed INR 68.0 bn [FY09 INR (0.7) bn].
Unrealised derivative gains for FY10 stood at INR 27.0 bn (43.7% of PBT), primarily on
account of reversal of derivative losses incurred by Novelis (INR 23.8 bn) during FY09.
Hindalco, on a standalone basis, was not providing for MTM losses on derivative contracts
till FY09. During FY10, Hindalco’s standalone entity early adopted AS 30 and adjusted the
net loss of INR 2.3 bn (net of deferred tax of INR 1.2 bn) arising from fair valuation of
outstanding derivatives as at FY09 end against general reserve. INR 1.8 bn of derivative
gains for FY10 have been routed through the P&L.
Derivatives in Novelis, which caused huge losses in FY09, were primarily taken to hedge
the customer fixed price contracts. Last of such contracts expired on CY09 end. The new
agreement does not contain such metal price ceiling. Going forward, variability in
profitability on account of derivative will not be substantial.
Market Data Inadequate provisioning for copper purchase in FY09 hits profitability
52-week range (INR): 194 / 106
Raw material consumed for copper business during FY10 includes INR 2.6 bn (4.2% PBT)
Share in issue (mn): 1,913.7 of additional liability for copper concentrate purchased during FY09 for which price and
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 371 / 8,120 quantity was not finalised in earlier years. The company has made a fresh provision of
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 11,785 INR 1.1 bn for FY10 for similar contracts.
Cash from operation post interest paid stood at INR 32.5 bn, supported by increase in
acceptances by ~INR 17 bn.
The company is pursuing aggressive capex plans. Net cash outflow for capex during FY10
stood at INR 41.7 bn (FY09 INR 25.9 bn)
Interest capitalised for FY10 stood at INR 3.4 bn (FY09 INR 3.3 bn)
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit of
research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
Improved operations, coupled with exchange fluctuation and dilution reduced D/E
During FY10, Hindalco’s loan book reduced by 43.1 bn, to INR 240 bn (FY90 INR 283.1 bn),
primarily on account of exchange fluctuation. Net loan repaid as per cash flow stands at
INR 3.2 bn.
Hindalco raised INR 27.9 bn by issuing 213.2 mn equity shares of INR 1 each at a premium
of INR 129.9/share through QIP.
Consequently, the D/E of the company reduced from 1.8x in FY09 to 1.1x in FY10.
Other highlights
The company had issued ESOPs to its employees, which have been accounted on the
intrinsic value basis. Had the company accounted the same on fair value basis, profit for
the year would have been lower by INR 18.4 mn.
Cash conversion cycle increased from 44 days in FY09 to 45 in FY10, primarily due to
increase in inventory days from 57 in FY09 to 71 in FY10; impact partly offset by rise in
creditor days from 50 in FY09 to 66 in FY10
Inventory has increased 32.4% from INR 85.2 bn in FY09 to INR 112.8 bn in FY10
primarily on account of increase in base metal prices.
Hindalco has an investment of INR 344.5 mn in trident trust which holds 16.3 mn treasury
shares in the company.
Goodwill of INR 44.3 bn and customer relationship of INR 17.8 bn constituted 28.8% of the
net worth.
Book value per share of the company on a consolidated basis stood at INR 112.5 Vis a vis
INR 145.8 on a standalone basis primarily on account of losses incurred in Novelis charged
to BRR.
2
Hindalco Industries
12,000 3,200
(USD/tonne)
(USD/tonne)
9,000 2,400
6,000 1,600
3,000 800
0 0
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Sep-04
Sep-05
Sep-06
Sep-07
Sep-08
Sep-09
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Jun-04
Jun-05
Jun-06
Jun-07
Jun-08
Jun-09
Jun-10
Copper Aluminium (RHS)
(INR bn)
FY10 FY09
Particulars Liability Asset Net fair value Liability Asset Net fair value
Commodity contracts (6.8) 7.1 0.3 (29.4) 7.5 (21.9)
Foreign currency contracts (2.8) 3.4 0.6 (5.2) 2.8 (2.5)
Interest rate contracts (0.7) 0.0 (0.7) (0.9) - (0.9)
Total (10.3) 10.5 0.2 (35.5) 10.3 (25.2)
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
(INR bn)
Particulars FY10
Profit before tax 61.8
Non operating (profit)/Loss 8.0
Depreciation 27.8
Gains on derivative transaction net (27.0)
Operating cash flows
Non cash adjustments (9.0)
improves on the back
Direct taxes paid (6.4)
of increase in current
Cash profit after tax 55.3
liabilities primarily
comprising of Increase in trade and other receivables (6.5)
acceptances Increase in inventory (31.1)
Increase in current liabilities and provisions 31.6
Increase in working capital (6.0)
Net cash from operating activities 49.3
Interest paid 16.8
Net cash from operating activities post interest 32.5
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
3
Annual report analysis
Material cost 109.6 60.2 125.4 64.2 322.9 67.6 239.3 58.1 432.5 65.6 364.7 60.1
Manufacturing expenses 19.0 10.4 19.4 9.9 17.4 3.6 14.1 3.4 36.4 5.5 33.5 5.5
Personnel cost 8.2 4.5 8.8 4.5 45.2 9.5 41.9 10.2 53.4 8.1 50.7 8.3
Other expenses 15.0 8.2 12.3 6.3 92.6 19.4 48.6 11.8 107.6 16.3 60.9 10.0
EBIDTA 30.4 16.7 29.5 15.1 (0.7) (0.1) 68.0 16.5 29.7 4.5 97.5 16.0
Depreciation 6.7 3.7 6.5 3.3 23.7 5.0 21.4 5.2 30.4 4.6 27.8 4.6
EBIT 23.7 13.0 23.0 11.8 (24.4) (5.1) 46.6 11.3 (0.7) (0.1) 69.6 11.5
Unrealised derivative gain/ (losses) - 1.8 (23.8) 25.2 (23.8) 27.0
EBIDTA excluding derivative gains 30.4 16.7 27.7 14.2 23.2 4.9 42.7 10.4 53.5 8.1 70.5 11.6
Standalone performance
EBIDTA margins dipped from 16.7% in FY09 to 15.1% in FY10, despite an unrealised
derivative gain of INR 1.8 bn, as:
• Higher coal cost led to an extra cost of INR 1.0 bn at Renusagar Power.
• Copper business, which benefitted from higher contracted TcRc (Treatment charges
and Refining charges), lost INR 7.5 bn on lower by-product credit, in terms of
sulphuric acid realisation and lower fertiliser subsidy.
Subsidiary performance
Novelis
• Despite declined sales owing to decrease in the average LME prices and 2% lower
shipments, adjusted EBITDA increased 55% Y-o-Y, to USD 754 mn, primarily due to price
increases negotiated in specific contracts across regions and cost reduction and
restructuring initiatives.
• Aditya Birla Minerals reported profit after tax of AUD 61.4 mn against a loss of AUD 76.0
mn in the previous year, on the back of sustained cost management.
• Lower production was mainly due to loss of production of copper in concentrate at Mt.
Gordon and cathode production at Nifty oxide operations, which were put under
maintenance. Drop in overall production was partly offset by 13.8% increase in Nifty’s
production of copper in concentrate.
4
Hindalco Industries
ROE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed Hindalco’s profitability
for the year ended FY08, FY09 and FY10; results and key findings of same are as follows:
ROE tree
28.0
21.0 (1.3 )
10.4
(%)
14.0
20.7
7.0
11.6
0.0
RNOA Return from Return from ROAE
leverage other
funding
ROAE improved significantly on the back of Increase in NOPAT margins from 0.8% in FY09 to
7.8% in FY09
5
Annual report analysis
Segmental revenues
600
480
(INR bn)
Aluminum revenue 360
dipped on the back of
lower avg.LME prices
240
120
0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Alluminium Copper Others
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
57
Significant
41
(INR bn)
improvement in EBIT
contribution from
aluminum 25
(7)
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Alluminium Copper Others
36.0
12.0
0.0
(12.0)
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Alluminium Copper
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
6
Hindalco Industries
Sources of funds
100.0
(%)
fluctuation
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Provisions Current liabilities Deferred tax liability
Loan funds Minority interest Shareholder's fund
Application of funds
100.0
Proportion of 80.0
investments in
inventories increased
60.0
during the year
(%)
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets Investments Inventories Debtors Cash & bank Other current assets
280 2.4
210 1.8
(INR bn)
(x)
140 1.2
70 0.6
0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets excl. CWIP (LHS) Fixed assets turnover ratio excl. CWIP (RHS)
7
Annual report analysis
(Days)
to increase in
inventory days from
57 in FY09 to 71 in 68
FY10; impact partly
offset by rise in
34
creditor days from 50
in FY09 to 66 in FY10
0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Debtor days Creditor days Inventory days Cash conversion cycle
Debt analysis
2.0 10.0
(x)
(x)
dilution
0.8 4.0
0.4 2.0
0.0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Debt /Equity Interest coverage (RHS)
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
8
Hindalco Industries
9
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Revenue for standalone entity rose 30%, from INR 140 bn in FY09 to INR 182 bn in FY10.
Also, EBIT margin improved from 14.3% to 17.3%, primarily owing to low material cost
and operational efficiencies.
Operating losses from JSW Steel’s (JSW) subsidiaries aggregated INR 2 bn in FY10 (FY09:
operating profit INR 1.5 bn) which dragged down EBIT margins from 17.3% (standalone)
to 14.6% (consolidated). Also, their revenues dipped 60.9% from INR 19.3 bn in FY09 to
INR 7.5 bn in FY10.
On consolidated basis, JSW’s revenue increased from INR 159.3 bn in FY09 to INR 189.6
bn in FY10 as volumes jumped 67% together with a 21% dip in blended sales realisation
(due to drop in steel prices).
JSW posted forex gain of INR 4.1 bn as other income (~18.5% of PBT) in FY10; however,
in FY09, it had reported forex loss of INR 7.9 bn as an exceptional item.
Despite the company raising a loan of INR 6.4 bn (net of repayment), its FY10 loan book
dipped to INR 161.7 bn (FY09: INR 165.5 bn), primarily on account of exchange gain,
which stood at INR 10.2 bn.
Net unhedged payable position as at FY10 end stood at INR 83.5 bn (FY09 INR 96.9 bn).
The company has restated borrowing cost capitalised for FY09 from INR 0.6 bn to INR 2.5
Market Data
bn. The average borrowing cost for FY09 thus increased from 8.6% (as per last annual
52-week range (INR): 1,350 / 588
report) to 9.9%; in FY10 it stood at 8.4%.
Share in issue (mn): 187.0
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 206 / 4,378 Accounting and other highlights
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 2,557.2
During FY10, drilling of second mining concession did not yield any positives. Since JSW
follows the successful effort method for E&P activities, there could be a one-time hit for
Share Holding Pattern (%) cost of unsuccessful concession.
Promoters : 45.0
As at FY10 end, the company has FCCB outstanding of USD 274.4 mn, convertible at
MFs, FIs & Banks : 6.8 INR 953.4 per share on or before June 2012 (conversion makes economic sense at INR
FIIs : 28.8 1361.5). Currently, redemption premium on FCCB is charged through security premium.
Others : 19.5 If the same is charged to P&L, PAT would have been lower INR 704.2 mn (4.4% of PAT).
During Q1FY11, the company issued 17.5 mn warrants at INR 1,210 to Sapphire
Technologies, a promoter group company. Post conversion of these warrants, the
promoter holding will increase from 45.0% to 49.7%.
The number of JSW Shoppe outlets rose to 174 (FY09: 50). Retail sales for the current
fiscal, through JSW Shoppe, accounted for 16% of domestic sales (excluding semis).
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit
of research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
1
Annual report analysis
ROAE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed JSW’s profitability
for the year ended FY08, FY09, and FY10; results and key findings of same are as follows:
ROAE tree
20.0
0.6
16.0
12.0 11.8
(%)
19.1
8.0
4.0
6.7
0.0
RNOA Return from Return from ROAE
leverage other
funding
2. Return from leverage was high primarily due to foreign exchange gain, which may not be
sustainable. Ex-forex gain, return from leverage stood at 7.4% in FY10.
2
JSW Steel
1. Revenue from subsidiaries dipped 60.9%, from INR 19.3 bn in FY09 to INR 7.5 bn in
FY10.
2. On EBIDTA basis, subsidiaries reported losses. They have not been able to recoup even
raw material costs, which in our opinion is primarily on account of inventory write downs.
Sources of funds
100.0
80.0
Proportion of loan
funds has reduced
primarily on account 60.0
of exchange gains
Debt equity improved
(%)
primarily on account
of exchange 40.0
fluctuation
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Shareholders' funds Loan funds Minority interest
Deferred tax liability Current liabilities Provisions
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
3
Annual report analysis
Application of funds
100.0
80.0
Commissioning of
crude steel capacity 60.0
expansion and hot
(%)
strip mill during
40.0
FY10, increased the
proportion of fixed
assets 20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets CWIP Goodwill Investments
Inventories Sundry debtors Current assets
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
4
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Sterlite Industries’ (Sterlite) exposure (investments and loans & advances) to group
companies (associates, fellow subsidiaries and companies under same management)
increased 2.0x to INR 115.4 bn (FY09: INR 38.5 bn), ~ 18.9% of total assets (FY09:
8.6%), in FY10.
• Loans and advances to associates (Vedanta Aluminium) jumped ~9.1x to INR 85.5
bn (FY09: INR 8.5 bn; includes overdue interest of INR 595.7 mn). Also, Sterlite
guaranteed Vedanta Aluminium’s liabilities aggregating INR 48.4 bn (FY09: INR 35.8
bn).
• Investments (long term and current) in associates dipped 5.5% to INR 22.9 bn in
FY10 (FY09: INR 24.2 bn).
Income (guarantee commission and interest) received from group companies was at INR
3.9 bn (FY09: INR 683.8 mn), ~ 5.6% of reported PBT before exceptional items (FY09:
1.2%), and share in associates’ profits stood at INR 587.7 mn (FY09: loss, INR 1.5 bn).
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 13,406.8 • Financial assets and liabilities are valued at fair values, resulting in lower FY10 PBT
by INR 32.6 mn (FY09: Lower, INR 2.7 bn; FY08: Higher, INR 2.7 bn).
Share Holding Pattern (%) • The option component embedded in convertible senior notes is valued at fair value
Promoters : 52.1 through income statement, resulting in higher PAT of INR 345.5 mn.
MFs, FIs & Banks : 8.0
Financial highlights
FIIs : 14.3
Exceptional items aggregate loss, INR 3.0 bn (FY09: Gain, INR 553.1 mn), ~ 4.3% of
Others : 25.7
reported PBT before exceptional items (FY09: 1.0%) comprising:
* Promoters pledged shares : Nil
(% of share in issue) • INR 2.7 bn provision in respect of payments to ASARCO and legal expenses.
• Voluntary retirement scheme expenses of INR 234.3 mn.
In FY10, the company posted exchange loss (including forward premium) of INR 1.4 bn
(FY09: Gain, INR 2.0 bn), 2.1% of reported PBT before exceptional items (FY09: Gain,
3.5%).
As per the companies law, share issue expenses of INR 817.2 mn have been adjusted
against the securities premium account, 1.2% of reported PBT before exceptional items.
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit
of research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
1
Annual report analysis
Derivatives exposure
Unhedged foreign currency exposure in respect of liabilities stood at INR 86.3 bn (net) in
FY10.
Sterlite has entered into forex forward contracts aggregating INR 25.5 bn to hedge
currency risk. It has also entered into commodity derivative contracts to buy (net) 425
MT of copper and sell (net) 95,892 oz of gold, 890,229 oz of silver, and 2,200 MT of zinc.
ROE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed Sterlite’s
profitability for FY09 and FY10; results and key findings are given below:
Particulars FY09 FY10
A. Return on net operating assets (RNOA)
21.1 17.7
(OPATO x NOPAT margin) (%)
Lower operating OPATO (operating asset turnover) (x) 1.2 0.9
assets turnover ratio
offset better operating
NOPAT margin (%) 17.5 18.8
margin, higher B. Return from leverage (FLEV x spread) (%) (6.9) (3.9)
financial yield, and FLEV (financial leverage) (x) (0.5) (0.4)
lower financial
NBC (net borrowing cost) (%) 7.8 8.1
leverage
Net financial spread (RNOA -NBC ) (%) 13.3 9.6
C. Return from other funding (%) 0.2 (1.2)
ROE Derived (A+B+C) (%) 14.4 12.6
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
RoE tree
24.0 FY09 24.0 FY10
18.2 18.2
(6.9)
12.4 (0.2) 12.4 (3.9 )
( 1.2 )
(%)
21.1
(%)
17.7
6.6 14.4 6.6 12.6
0.8 0.8
(5.0) (5.0)
RNOA Return Return ROAE RNOA Return Return ROAE
from from other from from other
leverage funding leverage funding
2
Sterlite Industries
Sources of funds
100.0
80.0
Shareholders’ funds
continue to dominate
60.0
(%)
sources of funds;
leverage comfortable
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Equity shareholders' funds Loan funds Minority interest
Deferred tax liability (net) Current liabilities Provisions
Application of funds
100.0
60.0
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets Investments Inventories
Sundry debtors Cash and bank balance Other current assets
Utilisation of income
100.0
25.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
(25.0)
3
Annual report analysis
72
54
(Days)
Better inventory,
receivables, and
payables management 36
contribute to shorten
cash conversion cycle
18
0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
(x)
(%)
0.0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
4
Sterlite Industries
5
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Tata Steel’s (TSL) FY10 consolidated revenue dipped 30.5% to INR 1.0 tn from INR 1.5 tn
in FY09, along with a dip in EBIDTA margin from 12.3% in FY09 to 7.9% in FY10.
Standalone operations were muted as revenues grew marginally by 2.9% from INR 243.2
bn in FY09 to INR 250.2 bn in FY10, along with a dip in EBITA margin from 37.3% in
FY09 to 36.0% in FY10.
At the EBIDTA level, subsidiaries reported loss. The company ascribed the losses
primarily to sudden and unilateral termination of a 10-year offtake agreement by four
international customers of the slab produced in Teesside. Further, being a non integrated
manufacturer, EBIDTA margin at Corus remains low vis-a-vis Indian operations.
Despite low PBT of INR 0.3 bn in FY09, TSL reported cash from operations post interest of
INR 72.0 bn primarily owing to dip in working capital due to reduced level of operation
and depreciation. This has been utilised for repayment of debt and part finance capex.
Loan book reduced from INR 599 bn in FY09 to INR 531 bn in FY10, mainly due to debt
repayment of INR 26.9 bn and exchange gains; this implies enhanced future profitability.
Jamshedpur capacity expansion 2.9 mtpa, along with new blast furnace “I”, to commence
operation from Q3FY12. This will further improve the productivity of Indian operations,
Market Data which are already one of the cheapest in terms of cost of production.
52-week range (INR): 737 / 408 TSL, during FY10, under an exchange offer swapped 1% CARs of USD 493 nm (YTM
Share in issue (mn): 887.2 5.15%) with 4.5% FCCB of USD 546.9 mn. Though the YTM charge to the company’s
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 472 / 10,076 balance sheet will reduce, the charge to P&L will increase as earlier redemption premium
on CARs was directly routed through reserves (refer page 7 for details).
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 10,349.8
MFs, FIs & Banks : 26.5 The Teesside facility has partially mothballed in February 2010 to contain losses.
FIIs : 15.5
However, disposal of assets may lead to onetime losses.
* Promoters pledged shares : 11.0 A) DSO project, Canada, is expected to commence 4 MTPA sinter fines from Q3CY11,
(% of share in issue)
for which Tata Steel has 100% offtake rights.
B) Benga coal project, Mozambique, feasibility study has revealed production of 10.6
mtpa ROM, of which, 5.3 mtpa ROM is expected to commence by Q2CY11, for which
Tata Steel has 40% offtake right.
The company, during the year, had charged actuarial losses on pension liabilities of Corus
of INR 35.4 bn (FY09 INR 54.9 bn) directly to reserves. IGAAPs, however, requires the
actuarial gains/ losses to be routed through the P&L.
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit
of research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
1
Annual report analysis
TSL had opted to account the exchange fluctuation on long-term monetary items as per
amendment in AS 11; consequently, at the end of FY10, TSL had a credit balance of INR
2.1 bn in the FCTDA (FY09: debit balance of INR 4.7 bn) pending to be amortised.
Unhedged loans payable for the standalone entity as at the end of FY10 stood at USD
1135.9 mn (FY09 USD 1160.7 mn)
ROAE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed Tata Steel’s
profitability for the year ended FY08, FY09, and FY10; results and key findings of same are as
follows:
ROAE tree
1.0
0.7
0.0
ROE dipped
significantly due to
low margins and (1.0)
capacity utilisation,
(%)
(4.0)
RNOA Return from leverage ROAE
RNOA dipped significantly on the back of weak product demand, resulting in:
Net borrowing cost dipped on account of profit on sale of investment of INR 12.9 bn
(FY09 INR 2.5 bn).Ex profit on sale of investment NBC stood at ~5.2%
2
Tata Steel
Analysis of performance
Standalone Consolidated
Key Highlights Key Highlights
Remained profitable Revenue from subsidiaries dipped 37.1% on the back of
low demand
Operating profitability resonably maintained Sudden termination of 10-year Offtake Agreement by 4
international slabs customers of Teeside facility
Modest operating revenue growth of 2.9% Proportion of material cost continued to be high on account
of non captive RM sourcing
Capaicity utilisation remained high Underutilisation of capacity dents profitability on account of
fixed costs
Subsidiaries report EBIDTA losses
Blast furnace "I" to commence in Q3FY12 Teeside facility partially mothballed in Feb' 10 to contain
cost
Decrease in RM cost as it replaces blast furnaces A , B, D, E Weathering the storm program helped bringing in cost
saving of £ 866 mn
Dharma port commencement in Q2FY11 to integrate Management hopeful of making corus partially capive with
logistic cost & consolidate supply chain RM in future
DSO Project in Canada where Tata Steel will have 100%
offtake rights of sinter fines expected to commence
production of 4 mtpa in Q3CY11
Benga coal project, Mozambique, to commence production
of of 5.3 mtpa ROM in Q2CY11 (1st phase); in this, TSL has
has 40% offtake right
3
Annual report analysis
(INR bn)
(x)
FY10
280 1.2
1.2 900
(USD)
Margins improving
0.8 600
Q2FY10 onwards
0.4 300
0.0 0
Q1FY09 Q2FY09 Q3FY09 Q4FY09 Q1FY10 Q2FY10 Q3FY10 Q4FY10
Production Delivery Revenue /Tonne Operating Cost/ Tonne
Corus
7.0 1,350
5.0 1,050
(USD)
…however EBIDTA
turns positive only in
4.0 900
Q3FY10 on the back
of improved
realisations
3.0 750
2.0 600
Q1FY09 Q2FY09 Q3FY09 Q4FY09 Q1FY10 Q2FY10 Q3FY10 Q4FY10
Production Delivery Revenue /Tonne Operating Cost/ Tonne
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
4
Tata Steel
80
(Days)
increased marginally
40
20
0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Inventory days Receivable days Payable days Cash conversion cycle
On a standalone basis, shareholders’ fund as at the end of FY10 stood at INR 371.7 bn. The
difference with the consolidated net worth is primarily on account of actuarial losses of INR
31.3 bn, foreign currency translation difference on non integral operations of INR 59.9 bn and
losses in subsidiary post acquisition.
5
Annual report analysis
Sources of fund
100.0
80.0
60.0
(%)
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Equity shareholders' funds Loan funds Minority interest
Deferred tax liability (net) Current liabilities Provisions
Other Liabilities
Application of fund
100.0
80.0
Proportion of other
current assets has
decreased primarily 60.0
(%)
on account of
reduction in advances
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets (incl goodwill) Investments Inventories
Sundry debtors Cash and bank balance Other current assets
(%)
0.0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Loan funds Avg borrowing cost
6
Tata Steel
Amount 493.0 549.9
YTM (%) 5.2 4.5
Lower conversion price and higher Under IFRS accounting the reduction in conversion
tenure to facilitate easy conversion price/increase in maturity period leads to higher
option valuation resulting in higher interest (YTM)
charge to P&L
7
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Aban Offshore’s (Aban) net loan repaid as per cash flow stood at INR 24.3 bn in FY10.
However, the reported loan book dipped by a mere INR 24.8 bn. Considering that INR
88.4 bn (~62.4%) of the loan book as at FY10 end (FY09: INR 100 bn ~ 60.1% of loan
book) is foreign currency denominated and the INR appreciated 11.4% against USD
during the year, it can be implied that forex gains on revaluation of loans have
been included in repayment of loans in the cash flow.
FY10 cash flow statement states a net sale of investment of INR 8.1 bn on which the
company has recognised a profit of INR 0.2 mn. Despite the sale, Aban reported
increase in gross investment book by INR 0.4 bn (refer page 3 for details).
Surprisingly, the company has incurred derivative loss of INR 555.5 mn in FY10 (FY09:
loss of INR 396.2 mn) despite appreciation of the INR against a depreciation in FY09.
Also, the quantum of losses in standalone and consolidated financials is same despite
varying derivative positions (refer table for derivative analysis on page 3).
During FY10, balance in foreign currency translation reserve (FCTR) dipped by INR 5.2
bn on 11.4% appreciation of the INR. However, during FY09 the balance in the FCTR
had increased by INR 4.2 bn on 27.5% depreciation of INR (refer page 3 for details).
Market Data Aban’s consolidated sales increased 10.1% from INR 30.5 bn in FY09 to INR 33.6 bn in
FY10.
52-week range (INR): 1,679 / 637
EBIDTA margin improved from 56.8% in FY09 to 59.0% in FY10. However, PBT margins
Share in issue (mn): 43.5
dipped from 22.3% in FY09 to 13.2% in FY10 primarily owing to INR 1.2 bn provision
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 37 / 830
towards diminution in value of long-term investment towards equity investment by a
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 2,262.8 foreign subsidiary and increase in finance charges.
Interest cost continued to be an overhang on the company and jumped 14.2% (from INR
Share Holding Pattern (%) 8.6 bn in FY09 to INR 9.8 bn in FY10) primarily on account of low interest capitalisation.
Promoters* : 53.1
CWIP dipped from INR 47.0 bn in FY09 to INR 0.1 bn in FY10, primarily due to
MFs, FIs & Banks : 6.0 commencement of new rigs.
FIIs : 5.0
The company’s loan book* dipped from INR 169.7 bn in FY09 to INR 144.9 bn in FY10.
Others : 35.9 Consequently, its D/E* improved 12.0x in FY09 to 7.8x of FY10.
* Promoters pledged shares : 15.7
(% of share in issue) Other financial and accounting highlights
FCCB of JPY 5.4 bn are outstanding as at FY10 end (effective conversion price of INR
3,397.4), and will mature in April 2011. Currently, the company is neither providing for
redemption premium nor showing it as contingent liability. Had the company provided
for redemption premium from P&L, PBT for the year would have been lower by INR
138.4 mn (3.1% of PBT). Since FY10 end, the JPY has appreciated ~10.7% against INR
which may lead to further increase in liability.
*including preference shares
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit of
research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
During the year, INR 25.8 bn loan extended to Aban Holding, Singapore, the company’s
wholly-owned subsidiary, has been converted into equity shares. Accordingly, the
subsidiary has issued 526.4 mn equity shares to Aban.
During the year, the company de-capitalised INR 21.8 bn from fixed assets towards the
exchange difference of non-integral operations (FY09: INR 35.7 bn capitalised) and
deducted INR 489.1 mn from depreciation (FY09: INR 700.8 mn added).
ROE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed Aban’s profitability for
years ended FY08, FY09, and FY10; results and key findings of same are as follows:
RoE analyser
Particulars FY08 FY09 FY10
A. Return on net operating assets (RNOA)
5.7 5.6 6.7
(OPATO x NOPAT margin) (%)
OPATO (operating asset turnover) (x) 0.2 0.2 0.2
NOPAT margin (%) 30.6 27.6 32.8
B. Return from leverage (FLEV x spread) (%) 53.9 24.7 22.3
FLEV (financial leverage) (x) 29.8 15.0 9.4
NBC (net borrowing cost) (%) 3.9 3.9 4.3
Net financial spread (RNOA -NBC) (%) 1.8 1.6 2.4
ROE Derived (A+B) (%) 59.6 30.3 29.0
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
Note:* excluding the impact of diminution in value of investment, forex items and derivative contracts cancellation expenses
RoE tree
30.0
24.0
The company has
high financial
18.0 22.3
leverage and hence
(%)
6.0
6.7
0.0
RNOA Return from ROAE
leverage
• NBC increased from 3.9% in FY09 to 4.3% in FY10, primarily on account of lower
interest capitalisation during the year.
• Including forex items, derivatives and diminution in value of investments, ROAE dipped
from 55.4% in FY09 to 18.8% in FY10.
2
Aban Offshore
Aban classifies all its subsidiaries as non integral, consequently all assets and liabilities have
been restated at the closing exchange rates while P&L items are translated at the exchange
rates on the date of transaction. The difference on account of the above are held in foreign
currency translation difference account till the disposal of investment in the subsidiary.
3
Annual report analysis
Sources of funds
100.0
80.0
proportion of
shareholders’ fund 40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Equity shareholders' funds Loan funds Deferred tax liability
Current liabilities Provisions
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
4
Aban Offshore
Application of funds
100.0
80.0
Rise in proportion of
fixed assets is
primarily on account 60.0
(%)
of capitalisation of
rigs which were lying 40.0
as CWIP
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets Goodwill CWIP Investments
Inventories Debtors Cash and bank Other current assets
Leverage analysis
200 25
160 20
Repayment of loans
and favourable forex
movement led to fall 120 15
(INR mn)
in D/E
(x)
80 10
40 5
0 0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Preference shares Debt Debt /Equity
Source: Company’s annual report, Edelweiss research
5
Annual report analysis
During Q1FY11, a rig owned by Aban Peal, Singapore, sunk, which will further dampen
performance of subsidiaries.
6
Aban Offshore
7
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Reliance Industries’ (RIL) loan book in FY10 dipped by INR 116.5 bn (15.3%), to INR
646.1 bn. Of this decrease, INR 58.2 bn was on account of debt repayment (net) and INR
58.3 bn owing to exchange rate fluctuation (~83% of the company’s loan book is foreign
currency denominated).
Exchange gains adjusted to fixed assets were INR 53.1 bn vis-à-vis exchange loss of INR
121.2 bn during FY09.
The company’s FY10 gross interest expense decreased from INR 52.1 bn in FY09 to INR
30.4 bn. Average gross borrowing cost was significantly lower at 4.4% vis-à-vis 8.3%
during FY09, on account of lower interest rates and INR-USD appreciation by 11.4%
during FY10. Since the balance sheet date, the INR has depreciated 3.4%, which will lead
to reversal of exchange gains as well as higher interest cost during FY11.
Interest charged to P&L jumped 13.4% from INR 18.2 bn in FY09, to INR 20.6 bn in
FY10, on account of lower capitalisation during the year.
Operating cash flow includes exchange rate adjustment of INR 18 bn, which may be on
account of non cash exchange gain included in the P&L.
The company’s ROAE and RNOA have dipped consistently over past two years despite
lower net borrowing cost, primarily due to decline in GRMs (refer ROE analyser).
RIL has a drilling success ratio of 54% and it follows the full cost method for accounting
Market Data
of oil & gas E&P activities. Shift to IFRS will require adoption of the successful effort
52-week range (INR): 1,186 / 840
method, which entails charging of expenses pertaining to unsuccessful wells. This will
Share in issue (mn): 3,270.4 lead to lower profitability and net worth.
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 3,301/69,817
The company’s cash conversion cycle increased from 18 days in FY09 to 22 days in FY10
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 7,844.5 on the back of decrease in creditor days from 51 to 47 during the same period.
Expenses paid to related parties increased significantly from INR 38.2 bn in FY09 to INR
Share Holding Pattern (%)
51.4 bn in FY10 (refer table 4), which we believe is due to doubling of refining capacity
Promoters : 44.8 post commissioning of the SEZ refinery.
MFs, FIs & Banks : 10.7
Derivative exposure, both in currency and commodity, has increased substantially over
FIIs : 17.6
the past two years.
Others : 27.0
Unhedged foreign currency exposure at FY10 end stood at INR 504.9 bn.
* Promoters pledged shares : Nil
(% of share in issue) Investments include investment of INR 20 bn in 9% preference shares of Reliance Gas
Transportation Infrastructure (classified as an associate) and INR 7 bn invested during
the year through one of the subsidiaries in 10% preference shares of Shinano Retail (not
an associate).
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit
of research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
1
Annual report analysis
RIL’s revenue increased 34.7% from INR 1,512.2 bn in FY09 to INR 2,037.4 bn in FY10
with 50% increase in volume and 13% decrease in prices.
The company, during FY10, had an average utilisation of 98.3%, significantly higher than
that of refineries globally.
The company’s EBIT margins dipped from 11.8% in FY09 to 9.8% in FY10, primarily on
account of lower GRMs in the refining segment and higher depreciation cost.
Gross block of assets jumped 42.6% from INR 1,571.8 bn in FY09 to INR 2,241.3 bn in
FY10, primarily on account of commissioning of the SEZ refinery and KG-D6 block. This
increase is despite the write down in gross block of INR 53.1 bn due to exchange gains
on forex loans.
With commencement of the SEZ refinery, the inventory of finished goods and crude
increased 101.8% to INR 95.3 bn. However, inventory for stock in process rose only
21.6% to INR 68.3 bn (refer table 2).
During FY10, RIL through the Petroleum Trust sold 88.8 mn shares (adjusted for bonus)
for INR 93.3 bn and realised an exceptional gain of INR 86.1 bn. The company, through
its subsidiaries / trust, further holds 292.3 mn equity shares which have been eliminated
on consolidation.
ROE analyser
ROE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed the profitability of
RIL for FY08, FY09 and FY10; results and key findings of which are given below:
2
Reliance Industries
0.1
12.0
3.4
9.0
(%)
6.0 12.9
9.4
3.0
0.0
RNOA Return from Return from other ROAE
leverage funding
Source: Company’s Annual Report, Edelweiss research
The company’s RNOA, during FY08 and FY09, was muted on account of high CWIP. RNOA
for FY08, FY09 and FY10 (excluding CWIP) stood at 22.2%, 16.5% and 12.5%,
respectively.
Higher yield on cash and investment @ 7.5%, lower gross interest cost @ 4.4% (due to
exchange rate gains and lower borrowing cost), and capitalisation of interest cost have
caused almost NIL effective borrowing cost charged to the P&L.
Poor GRMs during FY10 further dragged NOPAT margins, resulting in lower ROAE.
Operating cash flow includes exchange rate adjustment of ~INR 18 bn, which may be on
account of non cash exchange gain included in the P&L.
3
Annual report analysis
4
Reliance Industries
80.0
60.0
(%)
40.0
Balance sheet
strength improves
20.0
further on reduction
of loan book; D/E
0.0
stands at 0.6x
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Shareholder's fund Minority interest Loan funds
Deferred tax liability Current liabilities Provisions
Commissioning of SEZ
80.0
refinery and KG-D6
projects has increased
fixed assets 60.0
(%)
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets CWIP Investments Inventories
Debtors Cash & bank Other current assets
510 6.0
forex loans, reduced
(%)
5
Annual report analysis
(Days)
back of decrease in
creditor days from 51 20
to 47
(20)
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
0.0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Hedgining as % of production EBIDTA margin Average crude prices (RHS)
Source: Company’s Annual Report, Edelweiss research
Note: Avg crude price is wrt last 15 days of respective FY
6
Reliance Industries
Segmental analysis
80.0
60.0
(%) 40.0
20.0
0.0
FY08 FY09 FY10
Petrochemicals
contributed to 80.0
significant proportion
of EBIT 60.0
(%)
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY08 FY09 FY10
Refining Petrochemicals Oil & Gas Others
Petrochemical 60.0
margins grew from
13.3% in FY09 to 40.0
(%)
15.5% in FY10,
offering respite to
20.0
overall EBIT margin
0.0
(20.0)
FY08 FY09 FY10
Refining Petrochemicals Oil & Gas Others
7
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
On standalone basis, DRL reported operating profit margin of 25.2% in FY10 (FY09;
20.3%). However, on consolidated basis, operating margins reduced to 20.2% in FY10
(FY09: 18.9%).
Cash flow statement shows that inventory write-down for FY10 is at INR 1.0 bn (FY09:
INR 0.8 bn), (9.4% of PBT) primarily on account of Betapharm and Sumatriptan.
During the year, DRL recorded one-time charge of INR 912 mn i.e. 8.5% of PBT,
related to termination benefits payable to employees.
The company has impaired its goodwill and intangibles by INR 4.6 bn i.e. 42.6% of PBT
(FY09: INR 14.6 bn) towards the acquisition of Betapharm. However under IFRS,
company has recognised impairment loss of INR 8.5 bn, the higher write off under IFRS
is primarily on account of higher intangible recognised at the time of acquisition.
Cash from operating activities has increased from INR 6.0 bn in FY09 to INR 18.5 bn in
FY10 (working capital change in FY09 had dragged cash from operations by INR 8.2
bn). Cash generated from operations is partly used to pay off long-term debts and the
Market Data remaining amount is parked in short-term investments.
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 232 / 5,010 DRL’s return on average equity for FY10 is at 21.3% (FY09; 13.3%), while return on
net operating assets (RNOA) stood at 16.2% (ROE analyser analyses the difference).
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 538.7
Cash conversion cycle has improved slightly from 52 days in FY09 to 51 days in FY10.
Share Holding Pattern (%) Increase in creditor days from 81 in FY09 to 102 in FY10 is offset by increase in debtor
days from 55 to 67 and inventory days from 78 to 86 during the period.
Promoters* : 25.7
MFs, FIs & Banks : 16.2 Revenue share of North America and Europe in DRL’s total revenues has dipped from
60.9% in FY09 to 54.4% in FY10; it has increased in case of Russia and other CIS
FIIs : 28.5
countries, from 10.9% in FY09 to 13.2% in FY10.
Others : 29.6
During the year, the company acquired a unit of the Dow Chemical for INR 1.3 bn and
* Promoters pledged shares : 1.2
(% of share in issue) manufacturing facilities of BASF Corporation in Shreveport, Louisiana, USA and related
pharmaceutical contract manufacturing business for INR 1.6 bn; consequently, it
recognised goodwill of INR 478 mn and INR 153, respectively.
Foreign currency translation reserve for FY10 is at INR 2.5 bn (FY09: INR 2.2 bn).
Note: All numbers are as per Indian GAAP and on consolidated basis, unless stated otherwise
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit of
research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
ROAE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed DRL’s profitability for
the year ended FY08, FY09 and FY10; results and key findings of same are as follows:
ROAE Tree
25.0
20.0
5.1
15.0
(%)
10.0 21.3
16.2
5.0
0.0
RNOA Return from leverage ROAE
2
Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories
3
Annual report analysis
Sources of fund
100.0
FY10
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Shareholder's fund Minority interest Loan funds
Deferred tax liability Current liabilities Provisions
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
4
Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories
Application of funds
100.0
80.0
Excess cash
generated from
operation partly
60.0
parked under current
(%)
investments
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets Investments Inventories Debtors Cash & bank Loans and advances
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
50 92
(Days)
40 78
30 64
20 50
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
5
Annual report analysis
6
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
In CY09, Ranbaxy Laboratories (Ranbaxy) reported profit before tax of INR 10.1 bn, post
net forex gains of INR 3.4 bn. However, in our view, adjusted loss before tax will be at
INR 0.7 bn considering unrealised foreign exchange gain of INR 10.8 bn (as per cash flow
statement), representing dismal operating performance.
The exchange gain on derivatives during CY09 represents recovery of MTM loss on
currency option sold (MTM loss during CY08 was INR 26.8 bn). During the year,
outstanding derivative option has been reduced from USD 1.4 bn to USD 1.0 bn,
indicating realisation of partial exchange loss.
During CY09, Ranbaxy has recognised MTM exchange gain of INR 1.5 bn on forex loan.
Unhedged foreign currency loans for CY09 end stood at INR 31.5 bn (CY08; INR 33.3 bn).
USFDA issue continues to hover for the second consecutive year. During the year, the
company has received warning letter for its manufacturing facility in Gloversville and
Paonta Sahib and import alert issued by USFDA.
Other income includes write back of provision made earlier of INR 937.8 mn (9.3% of
PBT).
Dismal cash flow; warrant cancellation; FCCB redemption to keep liquidity stretched
During the year, cash from operating activities stood at INR (1.6) bn (CY08; INR (1.5)
bn) vis-à-vis profit before tax of INR 10.1 bn.
Market Data Cash & bank balance dipped from INR 23.9 bn in CY08 to INR 12.4 bn in CY09 primarily
on account of acquisition of fixed assets of INR 5.2 bn and repayment of loans of INR 4.5
52-week range (INR): 538 / 236
bn.
Share in issue (mn): 420.5
During Q1CY10, Daiichi Sankyo, holding company has not opted for conversion of entire
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 177 / 3,776
23.8 bn warrants to equity shares convertible at INR 737/share.
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 419.1
FCCBs are due for redemption in March 2011, total amount payable is USD 557.8 mn.
Refinancing the same will lead to additional interest cost in the P&L, currently charged to
Share Holding Pattern (%)
reserves.
Promoters : 63.9
The company has valued ESOP by using the intrinsic value method; had it followed the
fair value method, which is more logical, profit for the year would have been down INR
105.9 mn (1.1% of PAT).
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit
of research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
1
Annual report analysis
The cash conversion cycle improved from 128 days in CY08 to 120 days in CY09,
primarily on account of increase in creditor days from 70 in CY08 to 89 in CY09, partly
compensated by increase in debtor days from 70 to 76 during the same period.
Other highlights
During the year, Ranbaxy disposed its joint venture company, Nihon Pharmaceutical and
subsidiary company, Ranbaxy (Guangzhou China), for INR 847 mn and INR 646.3 mn,
respectively. Pursuant to this, it has recognised a gain of INR 413.7 mn.
During the year, Ranbaxy has exercised available call option and acquired the remaining
25% stake in Be-Tabs Pharmaceuticals and Be-Tabs Investments for INR 739.5 mn and
recognised goodwill of INR 541.3 mn.
Goodwill as at CY09 end stood at INR 20.9 bn, comprising ~48.2% of the net worth.
ROAE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed Ranbaxy’s
profitability for the year ended CY07, CY08 and CY09; results and key findings of same are as
follows:
Negative borrowing cost, which has contributed significantly to ROAE, is due to:
1. Exchange gains of forex loans and FCCBs credited to profit and loss.
2. Redemption premium on FCCBs, representing ~56.4% of the loan book, has not been
charged to profit and loss account.
2
Ranbaxy Laboratories
ROAE tree
10.0
Main drivers of
profitability are MTM 7.5 (0.2 )
gains on derivatives
and forex loans which 2.7
5.0
we believe are not
(%)
sustainable 1.8 6.9
2.5
4.6
0.0
(2.0)
(2.5)
RNOA excl. Forex Return from Forex gain Return from ROAE
forex derivative leverage on leverage other
derivative gain funding
gain
(INR mn)
Particulars CY09
Negative operating Profit before tax and exceptional item 10,098
cash flow due to MTM
forex gain of INR 10.8 Non operating (profit)/Loss (1,076)
bn Non cash adjustments 2,299
Fair valuation loss/(gain) on derivatives (8,932)
Unrealised foreign exchange loss/ (gain) (2,014)
Foreign exchange loss/(gain) on integral operations 161
Direct taxes paid (2,426)
Cash profit after tax (1,892)
Increase in trade and other receivables (4,518)
Decrease in inventory 865
Increase in current liabilities and provisions 3,924
Decrease in working capital 271
Net cash from operating activities (1,621)
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
3
Annual report analysis
Application of funds
100.0
(%)
40.0
20.0
0.0
CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09
Goodwill Fixed Assets Investments Inventories
Debtors Cash and bank Other current assets
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
148 84
(Days)
(Days)
132 76
116 68
100 60
CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09
Inventory days Cash conversion cycle
Debtor days (RHS) Creditors days (RHS)
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
Deferred tax assets (DTA) dipped by INR 7.5 bn, primarily on account of write-off of tax
losses carried forward, DTA on FCCB redemption premium and reversal of derivative
losses. This has led to high effective tax rate of 69.2%, despite the company paying MAT.
Ranbaxy had de-recognised DTA amounting INR 2.5 bn on the basis of virtual certainty
test in respect of future profitability, of which, INR 1.3 bn is towards carried forward
losses and INR 1.2 bn towards redemption premium payable on FCCB.
4
Ranbaxy Laboratories
5
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Key takeaways
Early adoption of AS-30 in CY08. Up to CY09, INR 838.2 mn income, net (CY09: expense,
INR 41.1 mn) recognised under exceptional items on the option component embedded in
FCCBs.
Business reconstruction reserve helps moderate leverage; would have increased 4.2x to
19.3x (CY08: 3.7x) otherwise.
ESOPs repriced; repricing expenses aggregating INR 10.0 mn adjusted against business
reconstruction reserve.
Exceptional items aggregate INR 575.3 mn (gains, net), ~ 70.2% of adjusted PBT*
before such items.
Sundry debtors outstanding for more than six months and considered good increased
5.2x.
Share in issue (mn): 43.2 Strides Arcolab (Strides) amalgamated three subsidiaries (Global Remedies, Grandix
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 16.5 / 351.4 Pharmaceuticals, and Grandix Laboratories) with effective from January 1, 2009.
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 106.7 As per the scheme of amalgamation approved by high courts of respective judicature,
Strides created a business reconstruction reserve of INR 7.0 bn by revaluing investment
Share Holding Pattern (%) in a 100% subsidiary (Strides Specialties), land, machinery, and transferring the capital
reserve created on amalgamation.
Promoters : 30.8
MFs, FIs & Banks : 29.1 This reserve has been used to write off losses/ diminution in value of fixed assets,
investments, intangible assets, current assets, employee compensation, restructuring,
FIIs : 8.5
and other expenses aggregating INR 4.2 bn (refer business reconstruction reserve table
Others : 31.6
on page 4).
* Promoters pledged shares : 16.1
(% of share in issue) Consequently, CY09 PBT is higher by INR 4.2 bn, ~ 5.1x of adjusted PBT* before
exceptional items and ~ 3.9x of adjusted PAT*. As on December 31, 2009, the reserve
aggregates INR 2.9 bn, ~ 36.5% of adjusted net worth*.
Note 2: * 6% redeemable preference shares are treated as debt, and preference dividend (including
dividend distribution tax) payable thereon is treated as finance cost.
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit
of research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
1
Annual report analysis
Strides adjusted debt* increased by INR 1.6 bn (11.5%) to INR 15.1 bn in CY09 (CY08:
INR 13.5 bn) comprising incremental debt (net) of INR 1.4 bn, AS-30 adjustments of INR
41.1 mn, gain of INR 292.2 mn on FCCBs repurchased, and exchange loss restatements
of INR 377.4 mn.
The company’s adjusted debt equity ratio* moderated 180bps to 1.9x (CY08: 3.7x) due
to creation of business reconstruction reserve (discussed earlier). Had the business
reconstruction reserve not been created and had the losses adjusted against the said
reserve been charged to the income statement, the debt equity ratio would have
increased 4.2x to 19.3x.
Net sales to related parties aggregated INR 1.4 bn in CY09 (CY08: INR 1.1 bn), ~ 11.2%
(CY08: 10.5%) of total revenues.
As on December 31, 2009, receivables from related parties stood at INR 440.3 mn
(December 31, 2008: INR 303.9 mn), 10.6% of receivables on that date (December 31,
2008: 9.0%).
2
Strides Arcolab
ESOPs valued at intrinsic value and costs adjusted against reserves; re-priced
ESOPs have been valued at intrinsic value and the ESOP cost adjusted against the
business reconstruction reserve as per high court approved amalgamation scheme. Had
the ESOPs been valued at fair value and expenses charged to the income statement,
CY09 PBT would have been lower by INR 10.1 mn.
In CY09, Strides revised the pricing date of options. Additional expense of INR 10.0 mn
due to repricing has been adjusted against the business reconstruction reserve.
ESOPs granted and outstanding on December 31, 2009, aggregate 1.7 mn, ~4.4% of
equity shares outstanding.
In CY08, Strides entered into a put and call option agreement with the Aspen Group to
dispose of its 49% holding in Pharmalatina Holdings, operating in Latin America, and
recognised an impairment loss of USD 38.1 mn (INR 1.7 bn). As per the agreement,
Strides will exit at a consideration based on a specified EBITDA multiple for the period
ended June 30, 2009.
Strides is currently negotiating terms of exit and as per the agreement, the company is
not entitled to dividends or profits attributable to its 49% interest and consequently
Pharmalatina Holdings have not been consolidated.
The company has also provided a guarantee of USD 75 mn to the Aspen Group, which
will, subject to approval of the appropriate authority, be further increased to USD 152.5
mn.
A subsidiary entered into a share purchase agreement with the Aspen Group for
acquisition of Co Pharma, UK. The agreement provides for a put and call option, wherein
the Aspen Group has a put option to sell its 49% holding to the subsidiary at 7x EBITDA
adjusted for net debt during July 2009 to December 2011. The minimum consideration
payable as per the agreement is GBP 8.0 mn (INR 566.1 mn).
Exceptional items aggregate INR 575.3 mn (gains, net), ~ 70.2% of adjusted PBT*
before such items.
• Profit on buyback of FCCBs of INR 291.2 mn.
• Redemption premium for CY09 provided on FCCBs bought back reversed
aggregating INR 80.0 mn.
• Profit of INR 113.7 mn on sale of a plant owned by a US-based subsidiary.
• Exchange gain of INR 131.6 mn (excluding exchange losses of INR 90.4 mn, treated
as routine item).
• Change in fair value of option component of FCCBs of INR (41.1) mn.
Sundry debtors outstanding for more than six months and considered good increased
5.2x to INR 862.8 mn in CY09 (CY08: 138.5 mn). Provision for doubtful debts charged to
income statement was nil (CY08: INR 96.9 mn).
Other income in CY09 stood at INR 235.7 mn (CY08: INR 3.1 bn), ~ 28.8% (CY08:
123.2%) of adjusted PBT* before exceptional items. The 92.4% decrease is primarily
due to profit on sale of investments/ assets of INR 2.5 bn and exchange gains of INR
407.5 mn recognised in CY08. In CY09, Strides recognised exchange loss of INR 90.4 mn
and profit on sale of investments/ assets of INR 0.1 mn.
Goodwill on consolidation stood at INR 10.1 bn, ~ 1.3x of adjusted net worth*.
3
Annual report analysis
Strides recognised licensing income of INR 290.0 mn, ~ 2.2% of total revenues, for the
Net gains on derivative contracts recognised in income statement stood at INR 117.9 mn
(CY08: Loss INR 454.3 mn, net).
Loans and advances include INR 24.4 mn representing excess managerial remuneration
for earlier years due to the managing director and whole time director pending central
government’s approval. In CY09, the company received central government’s approval
for excess managerial remuneration pertaining to CY07 aggregating INR 27.1 mn.
Financial statements of some subsidiaries and joint ventures, with total net assets of INR
1.8 bn, ~ 7% of consolidated net assets and total revenues of INR 1.3 bn, ~ 10.3% of
consolidated revenues have not been audited but certified by the management.
Net unhedged foreign currency exposure for liabilities as on December 31, 2009, stood
at INR 148.5 mn (December 31, 2008: INR 124.4 mn, liabilities, net), representing 1.9%
of adjusted net worth*. Strides also has short positions aggregating AUD 2.1 mn in
currency forward contracts and USD 10.0 mn (put, net) in currency option contracts.
Strides entered in to a licensing and supply agreement with Pfizer to address new market
and product segments. Currently, the company has collaboration with Pfizer for 45
products.
ROE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed the profitability of
Strides for CY08 and CY09; results and key findings are given below:
4
Strides Arcolab
ROE analyser
Particulars CY08 CY09
A. Return on net operating assets (RNOA)
3.2 6.0
(OPATO x NOPAT margin) (%)
OPATO (operating asset turnover) (x) 0.6 0.6
NOPAT margin (%) 4.9 10.1
B. Return from leverage (FLEV x spread) (%) (11.2) 3.6
FLEV (financial leverage) (x) @ 4.3 2.5
NBC (net borrowing cost) (%) 5.8 4.6
Net financial spread (RNOA -NBC) (%) (2.6) 1.5
C. Return from other funding (%) 2.4 0.3
ROE Derived (A+B+C) (%) (5.7) 10.0
Source: Company’s Annual Report, Edelweiss research
Note 3: @ gains on sale of investments aggregating INR nil (CY08: INR 2.5 bn) excluded.
ROE tree
6.0 CY08 12.0 CY09
3.0 9.6
3.2 0.3
2.4
0.0 3.6
Better operating 7.2
margin and lower net (3.0) (5.7)
(%)
(%)
(12.0) 0.0
RNOA Return Return ROAE
RNOA Return Return ROAE
from from from from
leverage other leverage other
funding funding
Source: Company’s Annual Report, Edelweiss research
Sources of funds
100.0
80.0
60.0
(%)
Business 40.0
reconstruction reserve
boosts equity
shareholders’ fund 20.0
0.0
CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09
Adjusted equity shareholders' funds* Adjusted loan funds*
Minority interest Deferred tax liability (net)
Current liabilities Provisions
5
Annual report analysis
Application of funds
100.0
80.0
Goodwill on
consolidation 60.0
constitutes one third
(%)
of total assets, 1.3x of
adjusted 40.0
shareholders’ fund
20.0
0.0
CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09
Fixed assets Goodwill Investments
Inventories Sundry debtors Cash and bank balance
Other current assets
Source: Company’s Annual Report, Edelweiss research
Utilisation of income
100.0
75.0
50.0
(%)
Exceptional items
propel CY09 PAT, 25.0
unlike in CY08 when
they had depressed 0.0
PAT
(25.0)
CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09
Materials consumed Personnel cost
Operating and other expenses Depreciation
Adjusted finance charges* Exceptional items
Other items Taxes
Dividend Retained earning
20.0 8.0
15.0 6.0
(%)
(x)
Business
reconstruction reserve 10.0 4.0
helps decrease
leverage. Borrowing 5.0 2.0
costs dip marginally
0.0 0.0
CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09
Adjusted debt/ equity ratio (x)*
Adjusted debt/ equity ratio (excluding credits to BRR) (x)*
Adjusted net debt/ equity ratio (x)*
Adjusted cost of borrowing (%)*
6
Strides Arcolab
112
Higher receivable
Higher receivable
days partially offset
days partially offset
(Days)
the gains from better 84
the gains from better
inventory
inventory
management; 56
management;
lengthens cash
lengthens cash
conversion cycle
conversion cycle 28
marginally
marginally
0
CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09
84.0
56.0
(%)
7
Annual report analysis
8
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Welspun Corporation’s (Welspun) cash conversion cycle decreased from (22) days in
FY09 to (32) days in FY10. It, however, looks unsustainable as was the case in FY09
when cash conversion was low primarily due to steep increase in acceptances. With
acceptances paid off in FY10, advances from customers have increased substantially
from INR 2.2 bn in FY09 to INR 15.5 bn in FY10.
Order book reduced from INR 77.4 bn in FY09 to INR 64.0 bn in FY10. However, the
company has guided that the order book, in quantitative terms, has increased to
791,000 MT FY10 (FY09: 781,000 MT) and the reduction in value is due to lower metal
prices.
Net finance cost increased from INR 1.8 bn in FY09 to INR 2.1 bn, as interest income
dipped from INR 1.0 bn in FY09 to INR 0.2 bn in FY10. This is despite the increase in
cash and investment from INR 10.6 bn in FY09 to INR 18.6 bn in FY10, which, we
believe, is on account of cash received at FY10 end.
Interest capitalised dipped from INR 571 mn in FY09 to INR 81 mn in FY10 on account
of commissioning of US spiral mill and coil mill at Anjarin FY09 end.
High cost debt was replaced by FCCBs, which reduced average borrowing cost from
14.2% in FY09 to 9.3% in FY10.
During the year, 1.1 mn equity shares were issued at a price of INR 80 each, on
exercise of ESOPs. Discount allowed, aggregating INR 30 mn in respect of shares
allotted, is adjusted in the securities premium account.
Welspun accounts ESOPs on intrinsic value basis. Had the company used the fair value
model, PAT for FY10 would have been lower by INR 10.1 mn.
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit
of research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
1
Annual report analysis
During FY09, Welspun adopted amended AS11. Accordingly, during FY10, it adjusted
forex gain of INR 348 mn (FY09 loss of INR 616 mn) to the cost of fixed assets. Also, it
transferred exchange gains of INR 94 mn (FY09 loss of INR 533 mn) to "foreign currency
monetary item translation difference account", to be amortised over the balance period
of such long term assets / liabilities, but not beyond FY11.
Of the above, gain of INR 18 mn (FY09 loss of INR 178 mn) has been adjusted in the
current year and gain of INR 75 mn (loss of INR 355 mn) has been carried over.
Welspun also raised INR 4.7 bn via QIP issue during the year.
It has early adopted AS-30 and, accordingly, loss of INR 32 mn (INR 2.0 bn) related to
foreign exchange difference on cash flow hedges for certain firm commitments and
forecasted transactions is recognised in shareholders' funds and shown as hedging
reserve account.
During FY10, the company acquired 99.97% in Welspun Trading for a consideration of
INR 50.2 mn, recognising a capital reserve on acquisition of INR 152.9 mn.
Welspun Infratech, a wholly owned subsidiary of the company has entered into share
purchase agreement with the existing promoters and other shareholders of MSK Projects
to transfer 5.3 mn equity shares (23.13% stake) at a price of INR 130.50 per share.
Further, it also entered into a share subscription agreement to subscribe to 17.1 mn
equity shares of the said company at INR 123/share (to increase the stake to 56.15%.
Moreover, it made an open offer to acquire 20% of post preferential issue equity share
capital of MSK Projects at INR 130.5/share.
ROAE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed Welpun’s
profitability for the year ended FY08, FY09 and FY10; results and key findings of same are as
follows:
2
Welspun Corp
ROAE tree
30.0
24.0
6.5
18.0
(%)
27.1
12.0
20.5
6.0
0.0
RNOA Return from leverage ROAE
• ROE improved primarily on account of increase in NOPAT margins on the back of efficient
raw material utilisation and reversal of forex provisioning of INR 1,256 mn on asset
liability mismatch booked during FY09.
3
Annual report analysis
180
(Days)
decreased from (22)
days in FY09 to (32)
60
days in FY10
(60)
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
90 30.0
(%)
FY10
36 12.0
18 2.8 6.0
2.6
0 0.2 0.0
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
4
Welspun Corp
Sources of fund
100
Proportion of current 80
liabilities has decreased
on account of
repayment of 60
(%)
acceptances
40
20
0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Equity shareholders' funds Loan funds Minority interest
Deferred Tax Liability Current liabilities Provisions
Application of fund
100
80
Proportion of
inventories have
reduced, largely on 60
(%)
20
0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets (incl goodwill) Investments Deferred Tax Asset
Inventories Sundry debtors Cash and bank
Other current assets
Borrowing cost analysis
30.0 2.5
Loan book reduced in
FY10, primarily on
account of repayment 24.0 2.0
and exchange gains
(INR bn)
18.0 1.5
(x)
12.0 1.0
Average borrowing cost
dipped during the year
as high-cost borrowing 6.0 0.5
were replaced by FCCBs
0.0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Debt (INR bn) Avg. borrowing cost (%) Debt /equity (RHS)
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
5
Annual report analysis
6
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
DLF promoters were issued 9% compulsory convertible preference shares (CCPS) of INR
16.0 bn in DLF Cyber City Developers (DCCDL), convertible into equity shares of DCCDL
at any time within five years from the date of issue at holder(s) option. Conversion will
lead to promoters’ equity stake in DCCDL to 40%.
DCCDL will be under obligation to pay dividends @ INR 1.4 bn/annum on preference
shares till the date of conversion. In FY10, the company posted PAT of INR 3.0 bn and
paid no dividend on equity shares.
Till the date of conversion, there will not be any charge in P&L for minority stake and,
hence, consolidated profits will be higher to that extent. Post conversion, 40% of
accumulated undistributed profits will get subsumed in minority interest.
DLF’s capital reserve jumped from INR 16.8 bn in FY09 to INR 28.3 bn in FY10 (up
INR 11.5 bn) on account of consolidation of DAL. (refer table 1 for details).
DAL earns rental income from leasing of properties purchased from DLF at a value
arrived at by assuming a rental and capitalising the same at a rate of 9%. Post
consolidation, the aforesaid properties are stated at sales price of DLF which includes
profit of INR 66.4 bn on transactions till FY09.
DLF has redeemable non-convertible preference shares (NCPS) of INR 19.7 bn, which
were due for redemption as on balance sheet date including redemption premium of INR
5.9 bn. The said NCPS will be redeemed in the next FY at a reduced premium of INR 3.8
Market Data bn (refer table 2 for details).
52-week range (INR): 490 / 251 If one were to consider redeemable preference shares and preference shares in DAL
Share in issue (mn): 1,697.4
held by DSIPL as debt instead of equity, as prudence would suggest, the revised D/E
would be 1.07x vis-à-vis the reported 0.71x.
M cap (INR bn/USD mn): 649 / 14,660
MFs, FIs & Banks : 0.5 DAL consolidation leads to reduction in debtors; debtors > 6 months has gone up
FIIs : 15.1
Debtors exceeding six months increased from INR 9.8 bn in FY09 to INR 13.0 bn in FY10,
Others : 5.8 though overall debtors declined due to consolidation of DAL (refer chart 5).
* Promoters pledged shares : Nil
During FY10, DLF forfeited INR 320.3 mn (FY09 INR 73.8 mn) on account of non-
(% of share in issue)
payment of dues from customers included in revenues.
Interest charged to customers increased from INR 0.9 bn in FY09 to INR 1.1 bn in FY10.
Interest accrued from customers increased to INR 1.4 bn (FY09: INR 0.7 bn).
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit of
research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
DLF’s revenues dipped 24.7% from INR 104.3 bn in FY09 to INR 78.5 bn in FY10 on
account of reduced sales to DAL.
PBT margins declined from 51.8% in FY09 to 32.5% in FY10 as EBIT margins dipped from
55.7% to 46% and finance charges increased from INR 5.5 bn to INR 11.1 bn.
The company’s loans and advances slipped 21.8% from INR 97.1 bn in FY09 to INR 75.9
bn in FY10, primarily on account of divestment of non-core assets comprising advances to
be received from the government for integrated township projects and convention centres,
advance licence fee refunds, and disposal of select land parcels held for hotel development
under the hotel business.
DLF Brands (DBL), the retail arm, ceased to be a subsidiary of DLF by preferential
allotment of a majority stake to a promoter entity. DBL had accumulated losses of INR
424.1 mn; however, pending approval no effect has been given in financial statements.
Other highlights
DLF follows PoCM DLF’s revenue recognition policy is based on the percentage completion method (PoCM)
which includes cost of and is determined as a proportion of actual project costs incurred to date (including cost of
land land) to the total estimated project cost (including cost of land). The project becomes
eligible for revenue recognition when the percentage of completion exceeds 30%.
There are certain claims of existing and previous shareholders of Silverlink (Silverlink
Holdings), a subsidiary, with regard to repurchase of shares held by shareholders in
exchange of secured convertible notes to be issued by Silverlink. These claims originated in
the years prior to the acquisition of Silverlink by DLF. The Court in Singapore has passed
an interim order that Silverlink was in breach of its contract. However, the court has not
quantified any amount. Management has assessed the liability as contingent in nature and
no provision has been made.
The book value of long-term quoted investments is INR 2.5 bn at FY10 end and the market
value is INR 1.7 bn. However, no provision for diminution on investments was made during
FY10. As on the date of this report, the market value is INR 1.8 bn.
DLF has capital commitments of INR 58.4 bn at FY10 end (3x compared to FY09) which will
result in incremental cash outflow.
2
DLF
3
Annual report analysis
80.0
The mix has remained
the same other than a
slight increase in loan 60.0
funds
(%)
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Shareholders' funds Loan funds Minority interest
Deferred Tax Liability Current liabilities Provisions
80.0
60.0
(%)
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets (incl goodwill) Investments Deferred Tax Asset
Inventories Sundry debtors Cash and bank
Other current assets
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
120 64.0
Integration of DAL
led to significant dip
in revenues. NP 90 48.0
(INR bn)
than proportionate to
EBIDTA on account of 60 32.0
incremental finance
charges
30 16.0
0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Revenue (LHS) NP margins (RHS) EBIDTA margins
4
DLF
Chart 4: Analysis of WIP, advance extended, and realisations from agreement to sell
150
120
Area under
constructed
properties has 90
(INR bn)
increased; however,
realization under
agreement to sell has 60
declined
30
0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
88 80.0
Consolidation of DAL
leads to elimination 66 60.0
(INR bn)
of debtors. However,
(%)
debtors exceeding six
months as a 44 40.0
percentage of
revenue have
increased 22 20.0
0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Debtors (incl. unbilled revenue) (LHS)
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
5
Annual report analysis
Equity shareholders’ fund excludes redeemable preference shares issued by the Company which
are treated as part of loan funds.
6
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Unitech’s debtors increased from INR 9.3 bn in FY09 to INR 12.7 bn in FY10. However,
debtors outstanding for more than six months increased to INR 5.7 bn in FY10 (FY09:
INR 2.6 bn). Management has attributed reasons for increase in debtors to drop in
property prices during 2009.
Project-in-progress rose to INR 171.7 bn in FY10 (FY09: INR 157.4 bn), more than
proportionate to the increase in advances from customers from INR 74.5 bn in FY09 to
INR 80.2 bn in FY10.
During FY10, cash flow from operations was INR (13.2) bn, though, profits before tax
were INR 9.2 bn, primarily on account of increase in receivables and projects in progress
(refer table 2 for details).
Unitech has raised INR 44.1 bn through two rounds of Qualified Institutional Placements
(QIP) issues and additional INR 2.9 bn through issue of share warrants to the promoter
group company (refer table 3 for details).
Loan book has reduced from INR 90.6 bn in FY09 to INR 60.1 bn in FY10, which led to
reduction in debt/equity from 1.8x to 0.6x.
Finance expenses have reduced significantly from INR 5.5 bn in FY09 to INR 2.0 bn in
FY10. The average borrowing cost charged through P&L (excl. interest capitalised) dipped
from 6.3% in FY09 to 2.7% in FY10. Details of interest capitalised on projects are not
available.
Market Data
Operational highlights and adjustments to reserves
52-week range (INR): 99 / 65
Share in issue (mn): 2,517.9 Revenue has marginally increased from INR 28.9 bn in FY09 to INR 29.3 bn in FY10.
M cap (INR bn/USD mn):11,261 / 5,018
However, EBIT decreased from INR 15.7 bn in FY09 to INR 10.3 bn in FY10 primarily on
account of increase in input costs for real estate projects.
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 39,401.4
Revenue includes income on sale of investments in real estate projects, which decreased
Share Holding Pattern (%) significantly from INR 14.5 bn (50% of FY09 sales) in FY09 to INR 8.7 bn (30% of FY10
sales) in FY10.
Promoters : 46.6
MFs, FIs & Banks : 2.9 Movement in shareholders’ funds includes write-off of securities premium of INR 3.1 bn
(46% of FY10 PAT) (refer table 5 for details) and increase in capital reserve of INR 2.2
FIIs : 34.6
bn. Further details in respect of these adjustments are not available.
Others : 15.9
Unitech adjusted INR 166 mn (2.5% of FY10 PAT) during FY10 from opening reserves.
* Promoters pledged shares : 27.7
(% of share in issue) The company has prior period expenses (including taxes paid for earlier years) of INR 13
mn during FY09, which has increased to INR 160 mn (2.4% of FY10 PAT) during FY10.
Goodwill on consolidation increased from INR 11.7 bn (23% of net worth) in FY09 to INR
15.3 bn (15% of net worth) in FY10.
Fixed assets include office vehicles of INR 1.2 bn towards aircraft purchased. As informed
to us, post BS date, the Company has exited the transaction.
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit
of research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
1
Annual report analysis
Segment highlights
EBIT margins for real estate segment dipped from 66.8% in FY09 to 41% in FY10 on
account of increase in input costs. Consequently, Unitech’s EBIT margins declined from
54% in FY09 to 35% in FY10.
Dip in real estate
revenues and margins Return on net assets of real estate segment decreased from 37.7% in FY09 to 12.5% in
FY10.
Revenue from overseas operations declined to INR 3.0 bn (FY09: 5.3 bn). Overseas
assets have also reduced from INR 31.9 bn in FY09 to INR 18.8 bn in FY10.
Other highlights
Unitech has delayed repayment of dues of INR 0.3 bn to certain debenture holders,
banks and financial institutions. Approval for rescheduling/restructuring of the same has
been received from lenders.
The minority interest share was INR (31.4) mn during FY10 against INR 21.5 mn during
FY09 on account of losses in subsidiaries.
Unitech has accounted revenue for liquidated damages of INR 0.5 bn during FY10.
Consolidated financial statements include revenue of INR 1.0 bn (3.4% of revenue) and
total assets of INR 23.3 bn (8.2% of assets) from unaudited financial statements of
subsidiaries/joint ventures.
Revenue recognised on Unitech recognises revenue from real estate projects undertaken on or after April 1,
PoCM including 2004, on the ‘percentage of completion method’ (PoCM) and is determined as a
proportionate land cost percentage of actual project costs incurred (including proportionate cost of land) to the
with threshold of 20% total estimated project cost under execution. Revenue is recognised when the
percentage of completion exceeds 20%. (refer table 1 for details)
‘Project in progress’ (PIP) (~ 61% of total assets) includes the profit element on real
estate projects of INR 11.5 bn in FY10 (FY09: INR 10.8 bn). However, as per the
accounting policy PIP is valued at cost.
Amount received from PIP results in boosting the balance sheet size since the amount received from customers
customers not netted off is shown separately as part of current liability. Amount received from customers
against PIP, inflating increased from INR 74.5 bn in FY09 to INR 80.2 bn in FY10.
balance sheet size
Unitech accounts for revenue from sale of land/land rights and sale proceeds of
investments held in subsidiaries, joint ventures and associates as ‘sales and other
receipts’, net of cost. Revenue on sale of land/land rights decreased to INR 52.5 mn in
FY10 (FY09: INR 646.1 mn).
Advance from customers
Debtors for real estate business are accounted with corresponding credit to advance
include non cash
adjustment from customers. Thus, advance from customers includes amount in respect of which no
money is received from the customers. Debtors also include amount outstanding on
direct sale of land/land rights and other non project business.
Note: All numbers are on consolidated basis, unless stated otherwise
2
Unitech
Summary of accounts
Debtors Debtors
Particulars Amount Particulars Amount Particulars Amount Particulars Amount
Advance from customers 30.0 C losing balance 30.0 Sales (P&L) 30.0 C losing balance 30.0
Total 30.0 30.0 Total 30.0 30.0
For real estate projects business, debtors are not recognized on sales recognition
Margin 25%
3
Annual report analysis
No major change in
160 72.0
advances from
customers
120 64.0
(INR bn)
(%)
80 56.0
40 48.0
0 40.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Project in progress
Advance from customers
Profit element
65.0
45.0
Positive cash flows from
financing activities from
(INR bn)
(15.0)
(35.0)
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Operating activities Investing activities Financing activities
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
4
Unitech
5
Annual report analysis
80.0
Proceeds from increase
in shareholders’ funds 60.0
(%)
used to repay loan funds
resulting in change in 40.0
mix
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
80.0
No major change in the
mix 60.0
(%)
Project in progress
forms almost 61% of 40.0
the balance sheet
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed Assets Investments Inventories Project in progress
Debtors Cash & bank Loans and advances
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
12,000 40.0
Debtors as a percentage
of revenue increased
(INR mn)
0 0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Total Debtors (LHS)
Debtors as % of revenue (RHS)
Debtors exceeding six months as % of revenue (RHS)
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
6
Unitech
36,000
(INR mn)
27,000
18,000
9,000
0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Construction Real Estate Consultancy Hospitality Transmission towers Others
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Construction Real Estate Consultancy Hospitality Transmission towers Others
90.0
60.0
(%)
(30.0)
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Construction Real Estate Consultancy
Hospitality Transmission towers Others
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
7
Annual report analysis
8
ANALYSIS BEYOND CONSENSUS
... the new ABC of research
Bharti Airtel’s (Bharti) subscriber base increased substantially from 97 mn in FY09 to 131
mn in FY10. This rise catapulted the company’s revenues 11.9% to INR 418.3 bn in FY10
(FY09: INR 373.5 bn) despite 20.8% dip in ARPU on back of stiff tariff war in the sector.
PBT margin improved from 21.1% in FY09 to 24.6% in FY10, primarily on account of
foreign exchange gain of INR 7.9 bn (FY09: loss INR 17.9 bn). Excluding forex impact,
the company’s PBT margin dipped from 25.8% in FY09 to 22.8% in FY10 primarily on
account of increase in network operating expenditure and new business ventures,
currently under gestation period, making losses.
Bharti’s network operation expenditure increased significantly from INR 62.5 bn in FY09
to INR 89.1 bn in FY10 (from 16.7% of sales to 21.3%) which was partially offset by
decrease in access charges from INR 52.9 bn in FY09 to INR 44.8 bn in FY10 (from
14.2% in FY09 to 10.7% in FY10).
During the year, provision for doubtful debts increased to INR 12.5 bn (28.1% of
debtors) from INR 9.8 bn in FY09 (25.3% of debtors).
Bharti provided INR 277.9 mn (FY09: INR 60.6 mn) in FY10 towards dimunition in the
value of inventory which is 36.5% of inventory (FY09: 5.9%).
Auditors have highlighted that funds amounting to INR 6.5 bn raised on short-term
basis (primarily represented by capital creditors) have been used for long-term
investments (primarily represented by fixed assets).
During FY10, the company had revised estimates for assets retirement obligations
(ARO) and consequently, reversed provision of INR 5.8 bn with corresponding reversal
from fixed assets. The change in estimate led to INR 269.6 mn increase in PBT.
Segmental analysis
Mobile services segment continued to be the highest revenue and segmental EBIT
contributor. However, EBIT margins were the highest and continued to grow in the
enterprise services segment.
Market Data
52-week range (INR): 439 / 229 Revenue share from passive infrastructure segment increased from 3.4% in FY09 to
8.4% in FY10.
Share in issue (mn): 3,797.5
Other highlights
M cap (INR bn/USD mn):1,365 / 30,760
Avg. Daily vol. BSE (’000): 9,401.9 In FY10, Bharti Infratel converted interest free unsecured convertible debentures of INR
32.0 bn into 40.3 mn equity shares at an average price of INR 793.9. Consequently,
Bharti’s stake in Bharti Infratel dipped from 92.5% to 86.1%. The imputed valuation for
Share Holding Pattern (%)
Bharti Infratel on this basis stands at INR 461.2 bn.
Promoters* : 67.9
The company acquired 55% stake in Bharti Telemedia for INR 73.8 mn from Bharti
MFs, FIs & Banks : 8.8
Enterprises. This led to its stake in Bharti Telemedia increasing to 95%. Also, the
FIIs : 16.7
company extended an INR 14.9 bn (FY09: INR 6.4 bn) interest free loan to Bharti
Others : 6.6 Telemedia.
* Promoters pledged shares : Nil As at FY10 end, accumulated losses of a few subsidiaries including Bharti Telemedia,
(% of share in issue)
Bharti Airtel Lanka, etc., exceed the networth of respective companies.
During the year, the company remitted USD 311.5 mn (INR 14.1 bn) to its subsidiary
Bharti Airtel Holdings (Singapore) for acquisition of 70% stake in Warid Telecom,
Bangladesh.
Analysis beyond Consensus (ABC) is our initiative to provide a differentiated perspective to our clients on various non-routine and intricate issues. This unit of
research works independent of the sector/stock research team and views expressed in this report may vary with that of respective sector/stock analyst.
ROAE analyser analyses profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency (detailed concept explained in Annexure A). We have analysed Bharti’s profitability
for years ended FY08, FY09, and FY10; results and key findings of same are as follows:
ROAE tree
30.0
0.6
Healthy operating 24.0
cash flow 5.3
Net borrowing cost
(NBC) negative on 18.0
(%)
account of forex
gains 26.2
12.0
20.3
6.0
0.0
RNOA Return from Return from other ROAE
leverage funding
• Dip in NOPAT margin from 26.0% in FY09 to 21.4% in FY10 primarily on account of
increase in network operating expenses.
• Bharti generated net financing income on the back of foreign exchange gain earned during
the year which pushed return from leverage North. Excluding foreign exchange gains, NBC
stood at 3.6% (FY09: 0.8%).
2
Bharti Airtel
New business ventures currently under gestation period are making losses
3
Annual report analysis
Efficiency analysis
1.3 0.0
(x)
(x)
0.5 (5.4)
0.3 (7.2)
0.0 (9.0)
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed asset turnover ratio (excl. CWIP) Working capital turnover ratio (RHS)
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
Debtor analysis
35.0 4.5
31.0 4.0
27.0 3.5
(%)
(%)
Substantial increase
in provision for 23.0 3.0
doubtful debts
19.0 2.5
15.0 2.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Provision for doubtful debts as a % of total debtors
Provision for doubtful debts as a % of sales (RHS)
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
4
Bharti Airtel
Segmental analysis
Segmental revenue
350
Mobiles services
continued to 280
dominate. However,
its revenue share 210
(INR bn)
dipped from 78.9% in
FY09 to 75.9% in
140
FY10, which was
offset by increase in
revenue share from 70
passive infrastructure
segment (from 3.4%
0
in FY09 to 8.4% in
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
FY10)
Mobile services Telemedia services Enterprise services Passive infrastructure Others
margins of all
0.0
segments, expect
enterprise services
segment, dipped (30.0)
(60.0)
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
32.5 125.0
(%)
18.5 65.0
15.0 50.0
FY08 FY09 FY10
Mobile services Telemedia services
Passive infrastructure Enterprise services -RHS
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
5
Annual report analysis
Sources of fund
100.0
80.0
Proportion of
shareholders’ fund
60.0
inches up primarily
(%)
on account of
conversion of 40.0
debentures of Bharti
Infratel and 20.0
profitability
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Application of fund
100.0
80.0
60.0
(%)
40.0
20.0
0.0
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Fixed assets (incl goodwill) Investments Inventories
Sundry debtors Cash and bank balance Other current assets
Source: Company annual report, Edelweiss research
6
Bharti Airtel
7
Annual report analysis
ANNEXURES
8
Annexure
ROE analyser analyses the profitability on the scale of operating efficiency and capital allocation
efficiency. While operating efficiency is a measure of how efficiently the company is making use
of operating assets, capital efficiency is the measure of balance sheet efficiency.
Or
Whereas:
2. Reformulation of balance sheet, wherein, we have regrouped assets and liabilities into
operating and financing categories (against traditional current and non-current
categorisation).
3. Reformulation of income statement, wherein, we have regrouped income and expenses into
operating and financing activities.
9
Notes
NOTES:
xx xxxxx
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