Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Case Study - Quantitative Macroeconomics
Case Study - Quantitative Macroeconomics
2017
Quantitative
Macroeconomics
Problem Set
BARDY Tess, BRODARD Lionel
Professor Andreas Tischbirek
University of Lausanne (HEC-DEEP)
QUANTITATIVE MACROECONOMICS 2016-2017 | Problem Set | BARDY Tess, BRODARD Lionel
Where:
&'(
1 𝑐1
𝑈 𝑐1 , ℎ1 = V − 𝜒𝐷1 (1 − 𝑙1 )
1 − 𝜎 𝑐1'&
So:
1 / 7
QUANTITATIVE MACROECONOMICS 2016-2017 | Problem Set | BARDY Tess, BRODARD Lionel
I &'(
1
1 𝑐1
𝐿1 = 𝐸; 𝛽 V − 𝜒𝐷1 (1 − 𝑙1 ) + 𝜆1 [𝑤1 (1 − 𝑙1 ) + 𝑅1 − 𝛿 𝑘1 − 𝑐1 − 𝑘1T& ]
1 − 𝜎 𝑐1'&
1J;
`a*
∶ 𝐸1 𝛽𝜆1T& 𝑅1T& − 𝛿 = 𝜆1 (2)
`E*F,
`a* d[*
∶ = 𝜆1 (3)
`D* e*
2 / 7
QUANTITATIVE MACROECONOMICS 2016-2017 | Problem Set | BARDY Tess, BRODARD Lionel
c. Equilibrium
From the household side:
𝑐1 + 𝑘1T& = 𝑤1 (1 − 𝑙1 ) + 𝑅1 − 𝛿 𝑘1 (c.1)
+c ,+c
, m*F, m
- - 'nVo*F, - *Fp
,+c F,
m* m* m *F,
𝐸1 𝛽 +c ,+c
𝑅1T& − 𝛿 = 1 (c.2)
, m* m
- - 'nVo* - *F,
,+c F,
m*+, m*+, m *
d[*
𝑤1 = +c ,+c (c.3)
, m* m
- - 'nVo* - *F,
,+c F,
m*+, m*+, m *
(c.3)(c.7)
3 / 7
QUANTITATIVE MACROECONOMICS 2016-2017 | Problem Set | BARDY Tess, BRODARD Lionel
'( &'(
1 𝑐1 𝑐1T&
1 − 𝛼 𝐴1 𝑘1h (1 − 𝑙1 )'h V V − 𝛽𝛾𝐸1 V &'( T&
= 𝜒𝐷1
𝑐1'& 𝑐1'& 𝑐1
(c.4)
ln 𝐷1 = 𝜌[ ln 𝐷1'& + 𝜀[,1
(c.8)
ln 𝐴1 = 𝜌i ln 𝐴1'& + 𝜀i,1
(c.1)(c.6)(c.7)
𝐴1 𝑘1h (1 − 𝑙1 )&'h = 𝑐1 + 𝑘1T& − 𝑘1 + 𝛿𝑘1
(c.5)
𝑦1 = 𝐴1 𝑘1h ℎ&'h
1
(c.6)
𝑅1 = 𝛼𝐴1 𝑘1h'& (1 − 𝑙1 )&'h + 1
(c.7)
𝑤1 = 1 − 𝛼 𝐴1 𝑘1h (1 − 𝑙1 )'h
4. Steady-state solution
Recall all the solution of the RBC model
+-F-c +c ,+c +- ,+c +,
)* )*F, 'nVo*F, )*Fp )*F,
h'&
𝐸1 𝛽 +-F-c +c ,+c +- ,+c +,
𝛼𝐴1T& 𝑘1T& (1 − 𝑙1T& )&'h + 1 − 𝛿 = 1 (A)
)*+, )* 'nVo* )*F, )*
=1
4 / 7
QUANTITATIVE MACROECONOMICS 2016-2017 | Problem Set | BARDY Tess, BRODARD Lionel
ln 𝐷 = 𝜌[ ln 𝐷 + 0 (C’)
ln 𝐴 = 𝜌i ln 𝐴 + 0 (D’)
𝐴𝑘 h (1 − 𝑙)&'h = 𝑐 + 𝑘 − 𝑘 + 𝛿𝑘 (E’)
𝑦 = 𝐴𝑘 h ℎ&'h (F’)
𝑅 = 𝛼𝐴𝑘 h'& (1 − 𝑙)&'h + 1 (G’)
𝑤 = 1 − 𝛼 𝐴𝑘 h (1 − 𝑙)'h (H’)
We can now introduce the capital-labour ratio as an auxiliary variable:
𝑘
𝑘𝑙𝑟 ≝
(1 − 𝑙)
Moreover, from equations (C’) and (D’), we get
𝐷 = 𝐴 = 1
As 0 < 𝜌[ < 1 and 0 < 𝜌i < 1
Finally, the steady state is given by:
𝐷 = 1 From C’
𝐴 = 1 From D’
,
&'n(&'u) v+,
𝑘𝑙𝑟 = From A’
hn
,
&'h &'nV EDw v +-cF-Fc
𝑐= From B’
d
)
𝑘= From E’
EDw v+, ' u
E
ℎ= From the definition
EDw
𝑦 = 𝑘 h ℎ&'h From F’
𝑅 = 𝛼𝑘𝑙𝑟 h'& + 1 From G’
𝑤 = 1 − 𝛼 𝑘𝑙𝑟 h From H’
5. For y=o, use Dynare to calculate the impulse function of Dt, yt, ct, ht, wt and Rt and to
isolate positive realisation of eDt.
See Q2.mod and Q2_1.pdf.
Intuitive explanation for the shape of IRFs:
As the work aversion grows (increase of D), agents’ utility decreases. Work becomes than less
interesting in term of utility. People are more attracted by leisure. That means that they will spend
less time working. When the shock occurs, h decreases immediately.
As h decreases, the output fall down since it directly depends on the hours worked. Therefore,
consumption declines in order to respect the budget constraint.
5 / 7
QUANTITATIVE MACROECONOMICS 2016-2017 | Problem Set | BARDY Tess, BRODARD Lionel
The increase of w can be explained by two different ways. The first is that as the total output declines,
the marginal productivity of labour increases and consequently by definition wages also (𝑤1 =
𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑔𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑑𝑢𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑜𝑓 𝑙𝑎𝑏𝑜𝑢𝑟). The second is that as people work less, the labour supply
decreases and the price (𝑤1 in the labour market) grows. As y progressively grow, the wages fall.
Finally, R decreases. As the output is lower than before the shock with the same amount of capital,
the marginal productivity of k falls down. Therefore, R falls down as it’s equal to the marginal
productivity of capital.
D y
0.015 0
0.01
-0.005
0.005
0 -0.01
5 10 15 20 25 30 5 10 15 20 25 30
#10 -3 c #10 -3 h
0 5
-1 0
-2 -5
-3 -10
5 10 15 20 25 30 5 10 15 20 25 30
#10 -3 w #10 -4 R
5 5
0
0
-5
-5 -10
5 10 15 20 25 30 5 10 15 20 25 30
gamma=0
gamma=1
6 / 7
0
5 10 15 20 25 30
Periods
QUANTITATIVE MACROECONOMICS 2016-2017 | Problem Set | BARDY Tess, BRODARD Lionel
today consumption, we consume what we need in period t and don’t care about the future
consumption. While if we care about our previous consumption, we know that it will have a negative
impact tomorrow. We are aware that our consumption has to be lower today when 𝛾 = 1 if we want
to have something tomorrow. In this last case, the steady state will be reach further
7. For 𝜸 = 𝟎, which fraction of the variance of period utility is driven by technology shocks?
The technology shock drives 69.02% of the variance of period utility.
7 / 7