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by Suparna Biswas, Brant Carson, Violet Chung, Shwaitang Singh, and Renny Thomas
© Getty Images
September 2020
In 2016, AlphaGo, a machine, defeated 18-time 3. What obstacles prevent banks from deploying
world champion Lee Sedol at the game of AI capabilities at scale?
Go, a complex board game requiring intuition,
imagination, and strategic thinking—abilities 4. How can banks transform to become AI-first?
long considered distinctly human. Since then,
artificial intelligence (AI) technologies have
advanced even further,¹ and their transformative 1. Why must banks become AI-first?
impact is increasingly evident across Over several decades, banks have continually
industries. AI-powered machines are tailoring adapted the latest technology innovations to
recommendations of digital content to individual redefine how customers interact with them. Banks
tastes and preferences, designing clothing introduced ATMs in the 1960s and electronic,
lines for fashion retailers, and even beginning to card-based payments in the ’70s. The 2000s saw
surpass experienced doctors in detecting signs of broad adoption of 24/7 online banking, followed
cancer. For global banking, McKinsey estimates by the spread of mobile-based “banking on the go”
that AI technologies could potentially deliver up to in the 2010s.
$1 trillion of additional value each year.²
Few would disagree that we’re now in the
Many banks, however, have struggled to move AI-powered digital age, facilitated by falling costs
from experimentation around select use cases to for data storage and processing, increasing
scaling AI technologies across the organization. access and connectivity for all, and rapid
Reasons include the lack of a clear strategy for AI, advances in AI technologies. These technologies
an inflexible and investment-starved technology can lead to higher automation and, when deployed
core, fragmented data assets, and outmoded after controlling for risks, can often improve upon
operating models that hamper collaboration human decision making in terms of both speed
between business and technology teams. What and accuracy. The potential for value creation
is more, several trends in digital engagement is one of the largest across industries, as AI can
have accelerated during the COVID-19 pandemic, potentially unlock $1 trillion of incremental value
and big-tech companies are looking to enter for banks, annually (Exhibit 1).
financial services as the next adjacency. To
compete successfully and thrive, incumbent Across more than 25 use cases,³ AI technologies
banks must become “AI-first” institutions, can help boost revenues through increased
adopting AI technologies as the foundation for personalization of services to customers (and
new value propositions and distinctive customer employees); lower costs through efficiencies
experiences. generated by higher automation, reduced errors
rates, and better resource utilization; and uncover
In this article, we propose answers to four new and previously unrealized opportunities
questions that can help leaders articulate a clear based on an improved ability to process and
vision and develop a road map for becoming an generate insights from vast troves of data.
AI-first bank:
More broadly, disruptive AI technologies can
1. Why must banks become AI-first? dramatically improve banks’ ability to achieve
four key outcomes: higher profits, at-scale
2. What might the AI-bank of the future look like? personalization, distinctive omnichannel
1
AI can be defined as the ability of a machine to perform cognitive functions associated with human minds (e.g., perceiving, reasoning, learning, and
problem solving). It includes various capabilities, such as machine learning, facial recognition, computer vision, smart robotics, virtual agents, and
autonomous vehicles. See “Global AI Survey: AI proves its worth, but few scale impact,” November 2019, McKinsey.com.
2
“The executive’s AI playbook,” McKinsey.com.
3
For an interactive view, visit: www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/mckinsey-analytics/our-insights/the-executives-ai-
playbook?page=industries/banking/
2
Exhibit 1
Potential
Potentialannual
annualvalue
valueofof
AIAI
and analytics
and forfor
analytics global banking
global could
banking reach
could as high
reach as as
$1 trillion.
high as $1 trillion.
50
HR: 14.2
8.6 5.7
Marketing and sales: 624.8 Risk: 372.9
363.8 261.1 288.6 84.3
0
Source: "The executive's AI playbook," McKinsey.com. (See "Banking," under "Value & Assess.")
experiences, and rapid innovation cycles. Banks As consumers increase their use of digital
that fail to make AI central to their core strategy banking services, they grow to expect more,
and operations—what we refer to as becoming particularly when compared to the standards
“AI-first”—will risk being overtaken by competition they are accustomed to from leading consumer-
and deserted by their customers. This risk is internet companies. Meanwhile, these digital
further accentuated by four current trends: experience leaders continuously raise the bar
on personalization, to the point where they
— Rising customer expectations as adoption sometimes anticipate customer needs before
of digital banking increases. In the first few the customer is aware of them, and offer highly-
months of the COVID-19 pandemic, use of tailored services at the right time, through the
online and mobile banking channels across right channel.
countries has increased by an estimated 20
to 50 percent and is expected to continue at — Leading financial institutions’ use of advanced
this higher level once the pandemic subsides. AI technologies is steadily increasing. Nearly
Across diverse global markets, between 15 and 60 percent of financial-services sector
45 percent of consumers expect to cut back respondents in McKinsey’s Global AI Survey
on branch visits following the end of the crisis.⁴ report⁵ that their companies have embedded
4
John Euart, Nuno Ferreira, Jonathan Gordon, Ajay Gupta, Atakan Hilal, Olivia White, “A global view of financial life during COVID-19—an update,”
July 2020, McKinsey.com.
5
Arif Cam, Michael Chui, Bryce Hall, “Global AI Survey: AI proves its worth, but few scale impact,” November 2019, McKinsey.com.
Web <year>
<article slug>
Exhibit
Exhibit <x>2 of <y>
Banks are
Banks areexpanding
expandingtheir
theiruse
useofof
AIAI
technologies to improve
technologies customer
to improve customer
experiences and
experiences andback-office
back-officeprocesses.
processes.
Smile-to-pay facial scanning Micro-expression analysis Biometrics (voice, video, Machine learning to detect
to initiate transaction with virtual loan officers print) to authenticate and fraud patterns,
authorize cybersecurity attacks
Conversational bots for Humanoid robots in branches Machine vision and natural- Real-time transaction
basic servicing requests to serve customers language processing to scan analysis for risk monitoring
and process documents
Exhibit 3
How
How AI
AI transforms banking
transforms banking forfor a retail
a retail customer.
customer.
Name: Anya
Age: 28 years
Occupation: Working professional
Anya receives
App offers money- integrated portfolio
management and view and a set of
Anya uses smile- savings solutions, actions with the
Seamless to-pay to Analytics- prioritizes card potential to
Aggregated
integration with initiate payment backed payments overview of daily augment returns
nonbanking apps personalized offers activities
Bank app Facial recognition Anya gets 2% off Personalized Anya receives Savings and
recognizes Anya's for frictionless on health money-management investment recom-
end-of-day mendations
spending patterns payment insurance solutions overview of her
and suggests premiums based activities, with
coffee at nearby on her gym augmented reality,
cafes activity and and reminders to
sleep habits pay bills
Name: Dany
Age: 36 years
Occupation: Treasurer of a small manufacturing unit
Dany answers
short questionnaire;
app scans his facial An AI-powered
movements virtual adviser
Dany is assisted
Firm is credited in sourcing and resolves queries
with funds after selecting the Dany seeks
Customized application Seamless right vendors Beyond- professional advice
lending solutions approval inventory and receiv- and partners banking support on a lending offer
ables management services
Bank is integrated Micro-expression App suggests SME platform to Dany gets prefilled Serviced by an AI-
with client analysis to review loan items to reorder, source suppliers tax documents to powered virtual
business applications gives visual reports and buyers review and adviser
management on receivables approve; files with
systems management a single click
Dany gets loan Dany receives
offer based on customized
company projected solutions for
cash flows invoice discounting,
factoring, etc.
Internally, the AI-first institution will be optimized The AI-first bank of the future will also enjoy
for operational efficiency through extreme the speed and agility that today characterize
automation of manual tasks (a “zero-ops” mindset) digital-native companies. It will innovate
and the replacement or augmentation of human rapidly, launching new features in days or
decisions by advanced diagnostic engines in weeks instead of months. It will collaborate
diverse areas of bank operations. These gains extensively with partners to deliver new
in operational performance will flow from broad value propositions integrated seamlessly
application of traditional and leading-edge AI across journeys, technology platforms, and
technologies, such as machine learning and data sets.
facial recognition, to analyze large and complex
reserves of customer data in (near) real time.
6
Michael Chui, Sankalp Malhotra, “AI adoption advances, but foundational barriers remain,” November 2018, McKinsey.com.
7
“Closed loop” refers to the fact that the models’ intelligence is applied to incoming data in near real time, which in turn refines the content presented
to the user in near real time.
Cloud
Data API1
8
Clayton M. Christensen, Taddy Hall, Karen Dillon and David S. Duncan, “Know your customers ‘jobs to be done,” Harvard Business Review,
September 2016, hbr.org.
9
“ICICI Bank crosses 1 million users on WhatsApp platform,” Live Mint, July 7, 2020, livemint.com.
6
Retention Servicing
Advanced Customer Credit Monitoring
and cross- and
analytics acquisition decision and
selling, engagement
AI-powered making collections
upselling
decision
making
Natural- Voice-
7 Virtual Facial Behav-
language Block-
script agents, Computer recog- Robotics ioral
AI capabilities process- analysis vision chain
bots nition analytics
ing
10 Value capture
10
Jennifer Kilian, Hugo Sarrazin, and Hyo Yeon, “Building a design-driven culture,” September 2015, McKinsey.com.
11
Renny Thomas, Vinayak HV, Raphael Bick, and Shwaitang Singh, “Ten lessons for building a winning retail and small-business digital lending
franchise,” November 2019, McKinsey.com.
1
Application programming interface.
¹2 Renny Thomas, Vinayak HV, Raphael Bick, and Shwaitang Singh, “Ten lessons for building a winning retail and small-business digital lending
franchise,” November 2019, McKinsey.com.
¹3 Arul Elumalai and Roger Roberts, “Unlocking business acceleration in a hybrid cloud world,” August 2019, McKinsey.com.
Suparna Biswas is a partner, Shwaitang Singh is an associate partner, and Renny Thomas is a senior partner, all in McKinsey’s
Mumbai office. Brant Carson is a partner in the Sydney office, and Violet Chung is a partner in the Hong Kong office.
The authors would like to thank Milan Mitra, Anushi Shah, Arihant Kothari, and Yihong Wu for their contributions to this article.