The probability The probability Given engine fai of engine failure ts 0.008, of computer failure is 0.001 lure, the probability of satellite failure is 0.98, Given computer failure, the probability of satellite failure is 0.45 Given any other component failure, the Probability of satellite failure is zero (@) Determine the probability that a satelite fails (©) Determine the probability that a satelite ils and is due to engine failure. i . (©) Assume that engines in different satellites perform independently. Gi ae Satellite has failed as a result of engine failure, what is the probability that the same will happen to another satellite? W214 A box contains 20 parts, of which $ are defective. Two parts are drawn at random from the box. What is the probability that (a) Both are good? (b) Both are defective? (6) One is good and one is defective? VW 215 An automobile braking device consists of three subsystems, all of which must work 3.14. A Proficiency examination for Forty of the employees were men, Scoring above a present level for sai results among men and Women are for the device to work. These systems are an electronic system, a hydraulic system. thag mechanical activator. In braking. the reliabilities (probabilities of sneseee) of these units are 0.96, 0.95. and 0.95, respectively. Estimate the system reliability assuming that these subsystems function independently mailnt systems of this type can be graphically represented as shown in Figure 2.10. in which subsystems (electronic system) 8 (hydraulic system). and certain skill was given to 100 Sixty of the employees passed the sfactory performance.) The brea shown in the accom. Oe ee mployees of a finn. examination (by Kkdown of test anying diagramguill report that he or she does not have it with probability 0.95. Only 1% of the population has the disease in question. IF the diagnostic test reports that a person chosen at random from the population has the disease, what is the conditional probability that the person does, in fact, have the disease? Are you surprised by the size of the answer? Do you consider this diagnostic test reliable? it was estimated that |) 0. \ b- P (Dp, n =) = PUmind 2 PC O:nN- ) pl. oo tox) = (alba) | Lari) a 4226| | + Pac iithale P (Prin) 2 pb 2 is t : pin) o4@ ic La nd bot, ate, 4 4; a - me de peralenk 2venk ¢__wdepe nolerf Went 2. Aut Pa- P(A)= Cof-= bo 206 P(A |eo-4 oe Ps LE Pit/el- 0-6 Brergi- P18)-Plla)- lo-< }lediso- wi nR)+ o a rex . 2 . Poin otro! 2o-t (8ne) a ae ey | Pie) aSum ee ee Pe tn ea e os P{ Rnd). ao ay Con meee PUP Io) - P(Dne) as at =<04 ae zie) o€