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Gl, 12, 22) 32). o2§ od Rall « (3,9) Frist eal PCA |B) “Perbabrily of A guar B iL —_ eae) _ faas| _ [es PAIB) #= “eeR) ie) —P(A) = aa is)Woe ‘ Sfeoj20 WD Fare Die volek tute — @= yey 6 = FOU 1), (v2), (08), OY Y= ri Wy [2 stey oof — ; A sums exactly 7 $iees, 34) 43, 52 614 2 Rs doubles > Juz, 35,44) oe, 6 Cz Sim Joe MME sun 7 _ sen ty, siomto 9, sam bo I, Sot hse DE Bests Gor wort ~ Saiuay 6, Elm Sb, ble to E+ 2ndval bs 20 ks ee oe OO ‘ ¢ 6 ° . 2 . (us) wh YH “ Bs of > sum Is 7 - Acases (52) be 2 ~Samss g AS cases an TTT 13 6 cases SZ, Por saytong equally Ikely (A= ee 2 oe eo — BE 7 G _ B= 2a 7 BeSun 7 y HC 8 SETH? ASK TSU 4 HZ P(c) = > S74 HS BE = beet htsteer 36 2 2 Fir eR 36 ; aD. #Fy + FS +#F¢ e(D)= > 3 = 6+ 6 th 36 I 4 ( ~ #E 2 616 2. = f(E) “yo 36 8 C Steactgas Vv 1. CoseciorK. 2s Multprertion prinople- bh Aue mdersadtien x s emply, Pane) = *AcB) _ _O_ HS Bk “Both, sum 7 ond doubles”Pack: Become WSC, ROC? A (Ane) = aac) (Bac) = ee © S e(pn€) = # “one Fivst Go mune and Dee eas, ayy |= é TRE JeConditional pobala ies ot P(h|8) ~ eas) _ tt _ 2 4 eB 6 ) . 1st P(e lh) < as ae ra) PaRect 2. Comtss Sms « 5 y A ego 1 ips PCA fate best A doosnt bapen — O ote of wheter We. pot na lor &) TS ya Vane odd. Hovall Yubocoradton A -temp s abo lo’ ple) @- Tt was vers ot PCA B) 0 laflay echmahe B- “Troe or yok dey" 7 oF pat don eC#lB) = eR "eet LG CM Flip 3 dome ® 4000, col , O10) O11, 26, 10, NB, hl eat Gn? snort tha, wat) converte fren bose? = 52, 1 2, 3,4, 576,17 to bose 1d Az sum ® sadly 21 = Lou, 101, nof B= huadson Set se = $100, 101, No, Wh § C= lund en thes © 5 610, Oll, Ilo, us pa huds Is evn =4 000, Ol, lol, lok = Nerds a 3°A tess = 5 ool, or, iol I 6.0/00-- —> into a drermal CO, 17 i$25] 2020 mo, 8) FO) OY COs 06 PAN BIC)=9-16 PAB) = 0.2/ PCAN C) = 0.32 (@nc) =0.3! r 1 6.82 = A City euc}®) iy P(AVBUC) £0.62 ’ PAB) = RH) + MB) - pA B) b) PCR UC) = POR+PLB}RCD-POn8)- Ralze)-eBac) + pCAnBn cD = O4t05+0-6 -02|- 0-32 -0-3] + 0.16 = lo -O FULONG ~ O82 ea vwucy®) =|-o0-%2= O.[% Rayandom vacablle 4s a poyett” assoctghed (2,P). A WIM toda orbComrre » Xi SLR Cs gust a Surcllen), E.9. Dice Rells wedi] [- Die weed “ KC) <2 XD = 6 Aak’s uly St someltnas ( Pals wid ° Xi) = Wi Kalua, o die twice o>} 112, ..516, 664 (x ) P) K = Ale sum oh your dwe YAS Tey tty ele X (ob) = arb Xle)=8 KC 44) = 1a oe tumors heb oe P(X= 38) yon 0 gayput of 37% =P(w | xiw=s)- ae = Ig plhia, 21S) =mvs = [ed Tass f i 1 - - 2 / 2 +$500 Hodls Xx = ; —$eo0 Tails +$2 Hoods Y= te Tat half Arte 2 lose halS Aretine I wh Y= woos, L(soo)t J (00) = 50 Ye Zz) 6 2GQ = Fe% Disoete @.u.'s EX = Zo Pet) Feo 125 of ex pectadons E(x+e)= (EX+c E4 Xand'Y os abet D poy you $s Hye) = dhe) + bbe) = 5 = S408 E(X+Y ) = EX +eY Rota nH + EU) eor wp rreot +) = s0o~) HT y a ~ G00? + = 44.5 4 aT ~ceo~} TTE(aX) + a&(X) lo Ey SY -s Etsy7 = co) 4+ cod uv 5( ade COE 5. EY Ln hee words Ex peclstlon ear ELoxtbY J+ a eXt BEY#N@2¢ C2 #08 Pane) 2 PCC) P(c) 2 Plan B)Tad cater Kocolona Varia. Les Wales. s sz = Y val adie Ms toes | = 216 outans A = Ficst Rll IS 0 @. We dodo dhe idl! cod voroln vactakle 1 cf wer AL yb) ~ i: oduras ($f ot mB) AL,(s) = © AL, (651) = Et, = 0-0(4,-0) + | P= D - O + P(Ly= 0 = P(A)Werks 2 TMusday Ser/2are. _ Sl thwe A Ay) Lee ee. Qe- Sg dierdle { (2.16 outcomes ) A — evenk uot the frck coll isa 6 RH — Lv Hock te 2rd voll ts a 6 _ uw a ah Wu ” EL, - 2 ¢- P(a,=1) © vals, o = 0-P(4420) + 1) PCAn=1) = °C dy 21) (ok we wally vasa ) = p(w| 1,00 = 1) = P (web) P(A) 4, = rw = Pluoys tw \W- Te numbye- of Gs Ak glow ue Wloez)ed » w(b16)=2, wlité)= |Ew= 6. Pw=0)t | Rat) +2 Mi=2es4lhs) 123 Weoyams. — vie fot th Pe Obseve ! { yd . \" We 1, t 4, * Te EW = E(Aprdg tte) A) pty of EL +Ed_t Cte ie vel PCAY + PCE) + PCCD Lada tl G & [leo Zz aot 0$0 -&- \2 vod. Y= g( + eeu $5 Wht do yor win on wenge Ll $1) £0) © Ya) ecb ay «wnt otic) 4 | POceD+ 2: Pea) + § e6ee) At tereds. O- Gt [4 +2143 Yor wings 12 Ober thrrage edt once) + LRleD+ 2-Pheea) © 3. pte8/09 O.4 Cy, 0.6 PAN BIC)=2-16 PAB) = 0.21 PCAN C) = 0.32 ePCBnc) = 0.31 1~ 6.82 = A Cru Buc] v We Apt Ag? te P(w=o) = O.18 Plwe=\ 1) = oosto.l4¥boawe o.8 Plwez) * 0.16+0-05t0.15= 0.36 Plw=3) = Ole Ew = Zl 6 Plwel) = ©: P(weo) t | Plwel)+2 woes 2 Obs 1-O.3)t 2-@. 3) 43-01 Ewe t 1,4 Arte) = ” eier®)s PCC) ~ OYUL0.540.6 Ew ? SheMUH lptcadion Gemetphe (Rass , lnk of ch |) Lats Soy, S txhets , 4 pars 0? pants Gyceen Bhck Real hee, Blue Rook Roe 3(y) = (2 Mut pliaHon praciple —m-ways Stage n —woys Soe > Mev wows rnwdobl HO Picks Presidnt Al ‘ae Bdo Col Don uh ~ gp 4 pmpleWeek 8, Tuesday 4/\(2020 1) How wang Nase, pots a re a 1g . 26 -2- 0. 10 267 10% b) No vepeokeol asecutive Aigris on lettws Xx FPA OFF x AR OY 4 4 fBI07 2612 x Ox7% Y Ic) 4A BCODE (pe conv hochions of ABC DE.) Sx Yee 241, ol FS) (I).Whot abouwk Pacmutitfons m/f Copeats ® ARCD yl =H pe conulattory b) ABCC, How won per mutafions Tan ot wold be. Dy permubations . ARc, Cy aece 4 ABC C. RCC? AC, B Cz ie hC2@CD ACEC tw Sad cae ype AC, C28 #eeR S819 [anh 2 fi ads LF cle 8? Eve ay Awe ge(auctodtors ot ABCC cont srl to ove weg ue pe ( mudadfons al ZI b) in 8% H debione AR i Ow LMWH, ees won peUND ) c) logic hata > scrambled t 41 Abe) S040 Pan Xx ~ 40,00 a How Cholas do wolwe bor [st ond lo \ebtiar parehys ? * over wes (2) +O) = 4305 ty . como a (5) (@) Nat tague “ alaitalee 3 Aglitale“License Plats = Rormudo to © Uber tees Com\anatfars Group of 5 prople and your e cheosty 2 to be Ae caps. f-€ w ve «((t, vp) Ee + Ovecaunk + cvvechin| FOP PAE |x Sal La ae vy ¥ paople ve Brpirse Geus group. 3 | S people 2 7-4 ps ABE DE R NR ON V (zh oy) R R N WN QW vs!Sly) ot ¥ 2! 2sl says!) f 5! (2 21 (3!) gel \2 qr ral te n geac numbs- of Ways b pick R people from & goup ot nN 9s (7) . nl Md (nett el (nr) | R KI ¥ ptoplo, cheese 3, #& B@cDEFGH R Ne@N RNNV1) &men end Groom (30) 3m) S (%)-(4) b) Deh wan cxSus bo seve fogethe, A © Ge |, Feces Ay pr Squat Fw CDE oS Exclude 8 pick % puyle Aewn te Yernararey 1. WA cD (a O@-6)) OD wmunla aay J bad cases Bg) - (ply Coxe whe AFB seve toqulber Lock 3 spols. | spot let to Sl, 6 otter prope tyWeek S$ “Thus 9[5[ 220 st cake as * Cogework soveccard rece Ho “Complemasouy ceenPig. * Caxacngs especially goer! & Onbrecbdes eT de: conidial w/ oromiol wala ts. Concha shot ZL) How moan ways Gn You choose. ce 5p of k oppo ov geeple a) . ca) dveeck ‘adrsechly pis k people oy chaos whe P Seat mide grou Quiz 3 la 52 cds > 4 Sol+ ou at Str NS BW MEET TL gs (2) - (SN * (50) > 4 Lod 4 $2) z2\u[ (52) 4 oe Ger CE : ) ee v= 2dy ea 41 \ $2(9Gs)44 (ue! \ 4! ce)! Ab awhad ) a. (Bh 52 2 al v J Gey) who's coeSSici et of vy Panes a ise? | * * : “s ’ bas than (i) LM 4 42 a8 * 5 3 Byromal Chim. (3 ° ye gn ipl A) os Posy (23) (lie) 0 ce =f(21) Les (eta, loo \ Tn 7 ar (aa 49.8 | i (oo 9g BE BOB) RGR BRCKCAT con youcvnmlee? Ais, 2R%s ,3c45 1 io! _ lO ) Wek yislal l! 4 377! ) ¢ Soffymet5, 25 Shoms, S5talus 4 5 ¥\ / 23 5 ( &) ( 5 ) ( ) Precediteal [Gastucdlve Curh 4. Pick the separ C&) Le prclad the puntors ( ) 3. Picked. the geafors (7)Poker w/ ¢ crol had _ 0) Big Sul got ae inl “Rape 2 of te ole How many suc. loads ? AKRAAT, 8 wa ae 1) First dhe valuc ofc Y ofr kud: (‘“) 2) pice the valve of the par. (7) , 3) Pick Ae suile of ALR pre (4) Nay] £9: (Oe) AHH b) Two +lo's ct say A, pick the valw’s of 4 tes. 3) 4 2. PICK UC sults of ore VAlRe Clore ) (4) 3. PIC tee suutts of the otha uabe-Conabe) (3) C2) (DU4). | = [el / = (eed rep) /\ri 5 ay ra lo . = qwhat 1 did... a Pick tre fect Wo aloe AA DIT 2X) pick the 2A fre vale oD Aft 3) Sutts 4) sylts efhe sewekore Bee Ha Rollie, dice > PC 1 par), e(2-par) = B Gey Woe)Week 4 “Tush fe [wa Quiz \ — A g ao) ps0, RB a cna") P(C)=0-6, HAnB)~a.ll Come 7 a | P(RAC)=0.18 =e Plenc)= 6.4 (6.U-2)+ (6.18-1)t PUNBAC ak 6.24 - A 4 *(09- (624-2) x (olen) (o2t-L) = B2-% os (6.327 H Cat (0.18-2) + (0.22) = 6BU-H ©. 640.380) 5 6.2 +H AVG UC) = POH)*PLB)*PO) ~ pln B)-pLHHC) p80) 3 -o4S tRIENO 2405706 — ON- 013027 + X 0.8sr da ~ 6.15-% Bw =- 6 P(Bugucy) We dytLerteWhek ca a be? Tae Sharpest possible beard S : 0k 6c Hk S z Ex = 22 t ext) = [-Plet) +t 2-rxez) Le Nols = |+RCt ae ae plk=2 + Tee(x-l) edo: 2 . zt IPL, ) + 1 pltele Je 2(K-2) ~ A(t Je POte li) a2 alt=) u\- wh whe we Z “~ a on \ ee ae 4.) Prekencl Y= 2, some RN OD. EZ = 2% o-e2-i) << 2 (levels, a + cP = - r(21) =. “ect verre) = Heelverde [PLDBs St e(yst) ie tales OY fe e(Ys() © Cu el¥=-) ci) 2 00) (y= 0) Ly BE Med EY? - PRED) E]x- al - \t-a| P(x-é) ea of X4 Giraps of Students Ly ZL. Remo + Revtoweh once AD 2- Reo + Reviewed fF mult dead ‘| 3, Revolt shu tte bok + wette down won| ack Ay Yermumbare 4. Roogl + Concept mag. joe Hoang ttt hoy south do the woes Steociegy knoon a2 ache Recall lh ovis * Prone pedolaees .Wook 4 Thue Tho/a2 2) ne 0008 6 0, n be (4 (t)- We yl Oy. yl sm (3) 2) As (3° ) (loco choose Yoo J 4o\ _f{ looe > b= (1% ) 1 oe love loo boot Aw =e ) doit 5491 = Leo! Got be ee dort S77 lose) eee 4a (“ee yoo! G60! = woe Yor 3) whe (4) ¢ 4) ALL a Fiat — 2 a 7QY) a= (oo | b= ue! a yoo! 1006 997! 1000-999» AF + eel ez! Be = 499000 oe BS) oy lacge | az (nyGF Bae be). . ae ® . if ® - en 2 Me \% ab) Tad hak ge 'xxxyyzw" Hvngs Pick te value of Ae terple. RATT 4 - Pick thevalue oF tu duble @QQarrs4 c= (U3 )ys BR ele TT TAQ +S ag TTT Pick tevalses of thy suqles orolsradk pars. VS Un orolarark pales. wp is J2 3 Pees “a Laem wir -() QEVOW = 2etem 1S 12-111 = 142\ aes +o 4 al * 1 L leod Fisky , Y= } rem 4 4 — ¢s50 tea + fe Wost risky — $0 & +25 4 225 = $2 Aug Fluduatton diel] + 4h | ni \- Ar “lal Fluctualfon . —— tele Y A \rso] + L|-¢o| . Bw. t L | 5c0| + 4 |-s0o| > 9+ 580 = \W 4 lac] + Llarc| +4 for = zy ase ig Ne» EY ea ao W Suchyadte ~ ooo gk Pal Fuchu ms 9997 NY v ely | = | L000 | t + |429| = 199. F|y-ev| . 5 |r| t $]-a¢| = J \ z — We doth use tus as our Arbimbfen o& vacloncg, e (v-61)" |e to-(rp) = &Vor (x)= x? - kro? \Whak \< X? = ! \ Same as bofere 7 =1l > \> we. P O A> oF wp. Ip EX® = (-P) + orp = P- var(X) = R= p7 = Pep Y~ Bia (nye) Y= Xt Xy dece Xp % Berm (P)ok 5 Th vac (x)= EX?- ex” we (xey) 7 Cosette Varina Sm Py E(XtY) = EXT EY sts dS resell Nat HV SE TE XK ad Yara onlep Vow ay) > Var(X)+ vee(Y) Vor CoaX ) = E(ax )° _ (eax) = €(02X") - (EK) = gt EX? - a EX = 2 (ex 0) Vac(X+ c)? E(xcy ~(E 00) aE (x?2eK c*) - (a: 2eVCt CO BY peter fegezerty €X™-(Ex)” Vor(X) qoCovariance, con(X, Y= EK ex )IY- ey) an = cov (XX): ‘eb {(o-en)K-€X) | = EC xen) Properties of Guarion ce Aer(x,¥) = wlY,¥) 2.) cov (aX, Y)> Elan Eax )(Y-€¥) = a E(X- BX) (-er) Covr(oX, )= a Cul X)¥) Cov (XK, ny )= a Co( XY) (eae) cu ¥, Yr?) = E(y-ev)( (vee) EC ree) > ebm) (2-82 ) ( ~ eee) + &(X-€)l \2-e2) = Cv (XY) + 2).(x, ¥+2) = of X Y) rco(X,2) var(X = e(X, X)- ver(aX)= cay, ay ) =a a-av(X, x). Var (Xt) = cou( XY, xy) = co(K, x+¥) t cw (¥, xy tivogs DF = o(nx)eelyY) # el ¥,XJe orl) Var (x va 6) ~ vor(X) t 2 ev (4) + val ¥) é if X, Y ace un cocrelatodd Ass world just be var XY )= © rs evae() cml x re EX) (Y-eY) ¥ ¥ bo ab, t a2be tot Agh, age Het 12 a, bet brat mt % log a be + brane Ay b, l2e 2or Ly reas Yo Ez War X $s big 48 Y also bry?Cu 0) E(x- exY- EX) * Exy- (Ex)(eY) Y= (-X) ale’ FEY), eye be ples) 4.4 FO): ey ely) -.1 x 230 P(x-a Q Y=b) abe QE Values FY ' ' bb EVelus of Y EXY % ot most? ail Aine ef (ty rde ) [lr Ks > €(4, 7 24,4, + 4, ° = €( 4,24. ‘ 7) = EA, + 2 * El. = Pa) 20(¢) + TB)EXY = ot P( x20 Yeb) -ab a € Values FY bb €Valus of Y \ Ke lowe FZ “howe 4 \ = wep (= -x e@ 1 we 0 , 2 we a EXY = Peer Y= Died cele yet) ey Pex, Yei\Cvi) t exe L%e U0 4 L 2 z EX- bahVee F~ Air] 2.0 Tidy vee = 4) 244, 4.) Dy Ay = Troe TV - + 24 et Ly = Pt) +2 pipawe)+ RE) | PCR NB) <0. OEE o-5 p(B ac) = oe Lv) PCB\z0.5 PCRac) = 268 PCC ) We tpt4gt+4e 1 Allpe) het 4 + hing? inc ew? = F(A t te > tee “el 0C) wesc) C eee > Ie] SS he ee ne ns EY? = 300 Is % posal 2) Ex =>, - BOY)= loo 2 yay os ElXY] €(EX Yo % 306 a a SO \oc £ 30 ——a) EXP 3, BY" = 3” E_XY[ 4 30 a= wee \ (‘S.) fo ~ S Gae ‘ an = ef 6%t ve) be (2) ee, 6) ow gashins 1 dutas J ries looo Ben (2, YH) Ye (Bot Je). cre 7 CREW = a 78D. tS? 0) f s=30) p(s=®2) ~ Z p(S- 30) , — 7 p(s=500) F(g= 500) P(S7 86) ) 4 (S* 302) 4o-- |. else FMA”) + (2) f(s4 00) +--+ - Clee) gd 7Shelog)s Appestealio, Ppp coxtuato. nl ~ Ua (e) (aay)! as Pa ge wn I aw nye (4) x — mt = ew! = im ()* ee 46. Swall waa napts [orage- et lan 1 £6 mall ent | £5 pproteaately ed bet, AX a re 2! ar Ube fe ee S +X ate Lene) & pproadnate uss she has firmula. aoe Whole Ss erkeoy 4 as Go Fly faus) 8 SOZ, SO Io Sh Sh most ats aa 337, 332 33h How do yeu pony this ?Eaopye —Z0 pe lo5 (pe ) ~ £ by(4) — £14) E leg (2) + £ bog ZH ©. 643 50/50 A) ” “3 vs Qe leg lee) + AL og ( 28 x wy) (rege I"3 ) = logo} — fh hag) % © 1985 a3) £ log(8) 4 Flan} E byl) = leg) 107 Yer BY S aples af a shee taclude BY + So i] apples ot f [ bill 10. so How wc did wel « metal dh bos agi LiPesighh steps 2) Falanes yar nose steps (FYN) Sa Au50 = 10. 5? = _ Bae lo. _ a=2,Prove Cytlagoue, Thor Toa /FYN a ——___ Beta of 4 spre = Sinall sgt 4 trian geg (arb)° = c?+ 4 (4b) ares O° = CF b 206 g2tb =eTh2frac Work 6 Tes \). Zduldem 2 = § gq) § A Tusk of loutwy oF loot |b R— Evank of lig acl 2 Lin © ~ olassk Aald ys on bay. v bp La Up- eng) > F b). P06). (4y2) - 4 C). POd~ P(8)- = eed (ine) _ Ve * elein) ~ 70 me m7 2). p(a|8)= eleos) Als) | (5) FG) £) Oe 4% bbyot = bab ?O4 ay plac) = (ED ae. 1 C(c) 12 - (es ( Fick loca ish ) SJE Zbess bo b a lh) Pc 1 ®) = \rbs -2\ * Kid bb 8 (| 2%) = f( le ba 24) < e25) & SS py ar b 54h 955. He -—- -| 1G) 2 (OO - Ye) Equwalenlly ta adack wh n cecals and aadly D Spay dreatls Ane. grababellhy of thu top ond les "eda QD nvAo | cach heets R- 2h co RH - ANB Do Afa Bo > avi)” ~ fas) oR Hug\ Ane b) PCc)= Plane) = A . cr ) flip) -efanes |= 3 3) ) PUy) ~ e(a'n 8 “aaa 5) a) (Ee)? (lng)*) = 1- Pan) Preuss) ce te) \- eR 2) “@ 2 oS] 3 oyun) hae -s 4 . 2b v(6)-@) “ nw wh24) 0( GIRS) = = r(R) Pa 4 Bad the Soong obl ms 2) @ =271s2 devix wud En A) Lor many duureh digts og atlas | F 263 lo» ( ares |) = Io,( =) = Ug ye | tosoe) BUTS = artes CH)Flo laa Th Wee Big bavdout On Extepy, shelay's Formulas Hut Fin cobs Stirling! Appeseatn ener” Coax Lan) Kew rary aig rs fs 27 183! leg, ( Zales N= ley) ) 2183 ( lo3,, (12200) ) x Vez (4) <— if; ) (208 !) oes aan as ter go retele (/ ares Va) ney _ 2S Dn IO00 GIA e a [213 re < ( [se tet TTF sods AWM 215 2F2 b) (ene2ee!) oo ae2 |909,0%9 (2) La Lic 27 eee | mel1) Geka SH fe too! Ba —/n wl a an (2) love ~ [ cy! = Sarton ( 2 ° yoo x taxtwas ( 4S") a ‘e" jee erty [ooo 0° Gohan (2 se Jl) (arWe) fare) (300) j \ | ay, 7 ee loow GFEID wo (CE) (000 loo lovee se BE el LE peas (00? Ag e a“ < J10% Looo A . 4 a [= © ool, LM se ee? le a, ) oe a he ak) Comm pe OT P( vo oo liod's ) = (25) ¢0 yo. Alle) (9) "Toasty (o3) (VOT mgteo — cy Lezo £00 con 3). Zovo=y, Pe a ant ~ tg) ae ey (er cee “we a ba Verlaan ——— EF (2) J 3 ss :| 4 5 aay as [a (= 2 J — teSde) [00 GO wat eadn pesten be he a Uso pit \ Fees gustn duvide, Yor Space of pass bbws 4 toa, (We) eck we hone to de Tog, (teveoe)] 4 rep le: 4 \ tog ©) = 3. Somebin _ = y A KN R2 2 8 A /\ /\ /N aanTN Ss cL —~ < eos = )2 7 Cos TN OUT xs 7 -6 | a) as 2 = w, £ y len 7 so 4 s WWE See a = ey P 4 \ ~~ —_— = ee ’ oo)PLY= C\=ap bel te 64 PLX=E) = 4 C106, 208, 3050. Comp ucke eabroyy, : ls les 20 Ps l(t) u(elor)t 64a leg ) 56)* 4 (7) eS, s 1 Ts tt foo, 200, 300, Yar wr NX Ts te B00 we too W/ ve Ls IF 20 wy Xe wes N we @ a * Clee 280 | ay 00. yrVV Js 4 83-4 \ Ds t 4q-~ey IN Ts % St 6y / \ I bd Ws fs om bare 2 © [000 000 2 @[eccce il is Ltn base & {loo [V0 | Te. sb bl bY Be G3 Gy x i tt ey? Gs by oWNta oti) t loose 2 expansion of 63-1 bY] poloifijoooeReyes Thincuin — P (#8) who CON F sow abeut gee la)? g P(8]+) — Se er Se Pe" |) g (| ne) a Macy ee rel) Wet abet p(mIB) * > (8) = P(e) PIE) + POS) PCRIRG) POW) = PCEAB\ rca) pia) Pce) Oe) PC RIA) + pac) PBI RS) q8c) Ut kawels of Cons P(E lk )=0 PCE (B J=2.3 = 6-f tee orc P(E[¢ )=e> pec)> OT P(EID = ( PLD} °25 BE -euac lat ye 9th hiro PCIE) iD O (0) 4 Wek 0. o.9 to~. O: 0.04 20. vw: a2e Ue PCIE) 925, STaey Fr). te) Palbso | ee (CRE)= URE) ies 28 rogue P(E) PCE) tla) tel b+ PCB) PCE IB) tPCc) P(e IC) + etoleew) Or (0.1S) (0.3) +/6.5) (0S) + 2D 0.045 + 625+0.2S = 0. 54s\ Gon 95 Loxod Z wets, ENF -} um Beds Tas Tah \ | | vy REne| Als OLI 20 i PCEME |B) = OSD eM(OD = OMT <— fHtul <0.5 PCEME|C) = ( 5s) = Giz fladg=05 P(ENFID)= 1-0-0 = G25)(o RS) r(4 ear) P(Ene ) leat Aeeyf fp leak) = So 4 [Ea ) Pen ne hm f Postecte— ob ds o(lo/i/zao Thenssdors vel 7 (EF % midtwrry rary Qe QS (achol ) ea icles 144 X 4, Y= te PLA)+PCB)= PCAAB) = 0-7 S= Xx¥ + - | a) ES = EKrY) = EX+By = (HD+ p(B) oI EX = E445 = Eduq, - PlANB) =6.7 a2) 0(S=0) > Axo, Y20)- PCA 1 4teo Pa = us 7 oa raves) Lh wet = \- PCAUB) A, | o tk whe = |~(Rusees)-Paing)) p(Anled = 0) <> P(we &) . | o# = oO. <= P(#)mm) Es = - Eli ) = EX+BY = PA) > fas = Eds = EG, = PAIR) = a2) (So) 3 re) Ppa evs tee I- PAD = ‘Ll we Ap =o _ Guess) 1 welt = \- PCAUB) 4, “| © tk wee = 1~(Pa+P66)~ Page) o( Aled = 0) <> P(we F) © ls oe c=> P(A) oe (Ay tw) > cee > PAE) = (- Uh) 2. in ae Huet as) Swat, x =(Aa) = Ws wel Jo (Roth < 4, x? “dy -1, ay) ES*s #(4,+ te) = (1, rf, fer 4’) -E(4, + 2L ant Ae) = PCA) +2 PCANB)+ PCBD = 15+ 2+(0,7) = 2.9ES? =FAigtde)’ = E( 4,4 etitat 3 Serf) =€( Apt 24 t 3A pet 4.) ~€(Mt 644, + In.) ~ Fbe 6 OB) HC) = (5+6(07) = 5.7 b) The emia fe Ale expectolin ot 9 diServte Rv. XK ES EX= 22 i-e(xei) Le values ex*= 2 Ura) Le wlus Ch EX*L, EYES | EOL)? ween ample E( 20 30Y )* (2x HloY) = ate Gox Yr ooY* gt 3 5 (E (4x*e4orsy cm)= EK Ho(BXY) r (co EY” =~ 4+ let Soo = 62Yy4A) Rot woke Y Armes. D = all 4 dichack Bas. = 6 MD) ) = 1 £184) = S 1g world you be intl on Docent ry, or vot D 4 4million ie = willion - BM) Ht wsllicnQurz 5 200 1) Quoee Sthelbals Ayprox V/ »>, (122°) = = 8 ( . hod @? De een (0.050415) (woo) «-(lay*( ay”) Dye) > byl) = [ve log, (8) eas = lee0 loa. (ba) (se) ) = loco [o os log.(cie + 0-9 vlog (sk) = (020 ~ C05 log, (006) = ons log, (295) lous) = ©.23639.. - = 2% 37 _ 3) lol%™ (o.oo).Gal 2614 usolterr — 4 daildean coe ney inf A~ ot \eas\ ( bag. B- 2 beys Co oldest Awld § Esnloy ta- F (K) = : 9 [t50)t i> ss 3 PONG) = PCR) . Pelyy= PANES be ke eb Se IS 3h FC pe|) = re = ae * (. 4 - PCc) > 2 lool | [00 10 10 CCBIc) = bad, , 3/I -~ 3 > PCC) /i6 = ecenc) Se 2 rele) xB) ~ 31%4b) A — Tey cod is a kegs B- Qu cod 15 0 knw, C- Sk ed K Q Kgs. “y- ANRAC E- faeac C= ha enc) |, Quiaes 91)" (ERE) |e hills PL E)< Cs) “Fer. PCF )= (- PCD) (bla) > So PCR A) © a PC) =lo/¢ [re Tes Week & Graoreeric RVS onl Pofssom proasces Rolling, a ASQ wan, tlwuss A success 15 is WW you call a 2 (= voll aT O = deat rela & & oc abl 4 to Bm 4 0606 [6000G0| ollogoe! 2 A. Hoo moan G's do we gt | On 20 wells ) ~ Bin( 2, 4 2 How wer rells & webee be walt watil we ob “Om ~X Ke rt, si,Pigq= \ PC Grm(e) =e) = 4"! p x ts Kroon Gs a Greoonecte i RV. EX: tle «2d =» ~ EGE) a 13 2G Or: ENCE) (ENG) EVE) BNC 5 (+6) 8» BD» "C+ BG: Be) ‘ SS de he) BS (e Epeple) aurea t st ECB H Easye~ ] 4) BY 1sSsG)t~ “= * 6 et Ta georel {- oeom(p) EYe 47, — You stop ater | Sucetss. (KvaS ) BE Rls + takes bode thos. Te ~ Fok eels tetas & wll 2 SIs Tar A ok oll MH falas fe Rell 3 6/5. Wr con we Sow about Ae disbabudion oF tT! \= (Et- £2 P(Te=2) t30(he3)+-- = LIM D4) (DEG Ee { z (eraylers)( s)(4)°Te 4s te € ot Vols ual) ypugayunr ah S. K- Fok vats b takes fe Qo yar ad § atte yo cdl te Te: Tt k Wot GS Ke avg, © «hs 2000 |,00 000, ~T x k Kv, . Thy or distr 4 ielualically avg ¢ aly: Et- E(k) = ERT ET = Gto=k2 Gr #of S's inte fuck on alls. Tee = Fee of sha Sucess CT tTi+T) 441") ET: ¢ (jar4aun) RTs) = EN) i( v? 10) ~ PRs bopes ob bthe wot ed) = P (Fest lo voll are nck v) > ()) ET: (Tt Tha ee HY) o ( 1) eC 250) ANE) we 2 J noo Qe ie ee YG vdle lowe 75'S blag’ (3 ysyry (a) | (#) oe +) ual sol 2) P(Sa-s) - (2) ey" ,\i 1 "6 “ee €) Wods value ts lager! do «| eyeapJo/e wok & Poisson Processes C beeival lines.) Cprackic qe) We si a RV I Potssoa() FF R=], W5.-- ke px= k) er Xd 77 k! _ £9, (yes) = er r° 5! A. Do Mee pecbobsbittes ocbh up to | a R(x= kw) - 7 cht set ss" kue kee 4 © ‘ the tok A. lz x] oveWao ts EX % oo a EX = z & P(K=R) = 0- fee) t POG 42-00), > 27 etn. ST ReoaF kee 1 Z Ral ke! ek ~ 2! er How dss 4his help? ! ( eel UD hye dat euytay ml CRY) an do “change = ME eX of variables . FE CRY | os plod leks [Hel de OX ler jee - Az on) kar bet = \ or, cel j 3! * counsel x Bm (np) yp Fucdablen hpATM - 247 pw wot bo welo| Anat of tM tronsacHfons. . (we wad atime jatervo Cin a daw | Ary: 80 transachons yan * TE Trovcachons ya a day fois (30) > a Oe H Trorsackiog tn 2 dws? ~ Pos (60), He Temsactigg om half TAP, sachin IF oda Povs( ts ) Parsson Rrocess Ratko of the Poisson, pros 2 30 transactis 6 doy Hof tensacltons te t days S gos ( 4) \- vote of Ae pot proass. pors (At) th + doys 1 A 49919, rH [| ee] —] ° + ferval tines distabird aacedey by oxpcasd'er ditGreowatric disk = Sr % brvaadl, Achnlashlen Siy ———— 3 — 6 | 0o°p lol olool Greom(p ) -t Kroon as acral t™23 are geom(pd. P(z 7 k) = a Exp distrbabion CH coglnuons a.) Yu Exe) : P(X) =O med At Ce ¥d) ~ PCH) : y R(X > +) “ € rine) = 4 —M (Le, %) = e(Y et ) = |-@ 0Ct07) = o Plretiah Hor probal\YHES for a pessson prowessOr pe voad. Artvaltume (s 1, ~2X? 4 p(T-4) ~? al) (ok least Ue stende fer the fest oul bovene) = P(TP4)> € Calls ane of 9 surtch lord ot are of A+ Fo2)(4) =e _ OB C2) (wor at lest 4 sed ator the o* L- the [% -0.2-4 PCT rv] Tt )- b) Le Ue ke $f cok duxrdv'y wtug fist & SeadS. prs (At = Wy Piven) “pgs Gl : dt= 10 al) P(Naw=7) =< en OB we?hts 202 ¥ dz) P(Nw=s ) = ety? 2) (Wn =3| Wp =7) PWe =7J # @ 7! (Joa Corofilzre Twsloy Wert % Disccete RVs (Mam thermo) PCX= n) vn (x= 2) =0 £4\ Co,\ J Satewal Kardon Trasing a dart. xX- due Ae da b | we nye make wlarpr ond beg Ply kit o)— 9 4 = 0 RC Yr lod oy Coy 4, (o,42) = Lasteod) we dane Ake CDF (cumlalive Dishibaten Funchin ) FRG) P(x 42) ew Ra) = PiXe dye 4 F.(4)+= Plxe 4) = 4~50 on Py (-50) = P(X -50)=0 (so) = P(Xé 50) = | - a bo lin Ra) = | | vn - Mag Fr)= ?9 44) (4) Pee) «Fe O10) = F(t — Fx (t) e(xe A)! Etx] 7 Preobalality Mass Fascia ps - Fay Feta) b(xe a) = Ele)-fCa) = { FCyrdy, p(xeA) = J FeCl1. fa)? 0 Ze Sey = | L. [2 Go = (xe be, +=)| > | Lee LA) is myafine z P(xeA ) = i £0 da <0 Grotan Rack to Example — oO XC O Fa) = L Lelot] | “>I o——* oO 10 0 Lua - I rely —4>+—+"_ + > O xl ° |CHF > PDE Ray re tS p(wea)” da (4) n PDF Scere Pivea) ~Plxet=)) [SQW P (xe C0) = Ka) —Exang|e —_ Let x be the Koval Varlalbe. wf wt C(x) =e x< | ? fw | Oo otherwise. pAL as always dafinal from -w te + 0°. a) Wet «& Cc? We wud te wre te {0 propetis of ae 1. hb aneegabes fol | 2 fa Gypoly =| Ls vennapnlve .Fd cosh fo Fylde = | Ts at f £ (adhe { oft = | [cliente = | c(wa, =| G(-4)- (-t rt) | = | e( 4) =| C= 4.@) = 3. 1 Ere) rw CUY } ° ota se., b) Wed 4s the CDE Fe@= (x44) = {2 Play| Gwli ae - C ROO = f, Fecyddy = 9 Rae woe cae vi 2 EEL VY : nn ” Peon ree {ft soy [ely dy hk 46D, 7 Btw) - (4604) = $e) +4 Cue 3 >| smut be * Fa) = c fla) dy oo EME oP >Week & Jofis/ 2020 “Thw L< | = -2 +5 zé(-i)1) Ll Corban ag Fron Tie Fx (=&4 Cay 4s roughly the prcbolalit “ of hers Close to Seas = Value P(X & O55) )® fay ele (3-6 we) £4) HX velodivel 4 “speak small value a swoll volus P(x e (4, ada) > fay edt Exgaclahion ELx) = oe Cex = t) disccota. ED . I. os (y) du, Continues Ely) = ZE3@o le drent EG] = (“49 Fy Cy) dy ELx*J = Se yr Fetyrdyprockion Cue % fay = fe (2% L) & 2<4 plx4[ x rae xee) er x< 5) FS) ~F(4) FIs) :_¢)c) EX EX= 0 = I shel ase “efit ~ f a hs Cen en3) do ss a le ee oa Te (000) + 200 ~ (+ =) | F (24° at) dd lo A) n>o, EX"EX p Ax 0 cj a (rr 4 8 2 le nel 3 c J age x x lo ea veel} 2u Ce ( + a Mte Mey 2 med : mee omg C-\ [e220 4 ott | 2" 2 Mee wey wer vty se a 02) vss, the heuristic thot p [lax volt) = Fond Ly ronal 2 te ‘ella volo of aay Swall iol pies P( Kel 2.0, 2.0e000000% 3) © fea) 3) PCKE [By 3.0900 0 veoz} ) f@) é = aah @ Ye My. (atio & pers Ns 0 .0urr4005 23) andk 6. CoogayZ 33 5 4 = ap (2 2 y 1 » pe (0.00003) FQ) ~ 1 _ a (0-0002) (4) t % 5.00002 2 p(2 gca)= Se) te F pat ok 3 Pak of x” x ~z2 3 Te function WCd= 2? ss mice, ble He paces, ond Wy Sreconts wldle, vee < b po a8 hyplyng te Loot h(a) b(t) =241 arts br] h(@)=-2 (a)GD < be-v) ae vulty yo by \ hgetian | Flops “he Much iy. dscssasre,# Sacto hs rronckon cay Incesoshg it ahce) were 1! hae ae hea)> @* aDhow \ ie Povrladion of | matltn prrple PIS low samples. xX, ) Xe, snd Xie _— 1 o K- + WK 4 fet N(M, o°) X Wp) Whot 4s te distalut of tusk R= sd, (WL, wot) ~ nC, 07) L 4 WS be Clese to Ake tre Mon Tits Qs us no vovglaly spore . Wak aback Figuemg ot or? _ 09 2 Eg. zl ax) aa [I “ulm & )\o]22} 220 “Ts sd wklo Prockve Quit lo ‘) a) X bas darsity. f, Th terms of Ais goune Flat 8 Ane “dusty 9(Y) fir Y= mXab Gey. Ws % ) > ((wyab <4) = (x fade G&») = \- Pl a) Giyy= - POE) w gu) - -F(*e) E Combing latte cats 4) = Ta CE)+) X ts Sh hod ws ah ~ 5 Stow Aporett w] duasky eo ic WO, Svngh set £ loss nek 8S M ver ovnswi + Wot 15 the darcy & Y= x 2 w (ou 3 ly) = (22 Al X porto > ) € ela) us = oS 0d = sale SA)= AG FO)= 1- 07A% 5x W< ce a0 SKIL w Asasity of on ° otluwine 2aponeatiak candom varia? C) K~ UWF lot) w/ ders Fay=| fe eG) Sump iy so toot does not eon A yor answy Wood 4S gly) fe Vn 5X2 wan (-2,5) wot kuoF Rv, is?Sep € aCy) = van (42) PC aes ulon (Heo. Ay) ~ > > ye e (% 5) SEY sates - lt é oo Tn geneal “he derail of oft unit (oy) Riv.” FS 1 Saye yaa Pl 0° Ot ye\ 2) f= (ea?) YEX< 7 6 wh h Jogy) , Yex® lec ve yg ays we =o R24) = Ame xe eg) c |" gc dk Wek NOT E edo Cc - (F(G)- Fe) - Fg) 00) = €(5)- FI 2 ss) Pat) as 68) ~~ rahe - (7 fade vt = iy TRS eee = tyic e dyt cpie y) = Pgsx< vy ) 6 Al the fot that Nous we = oe f an $ ts ffeawne [i t i’ Fea = f° fea) a 4 = F(A) - Ay) Lyte (Wg) ~ 24? 5H by* (uy) — yel's,44) Nv Jb) Pky) be Yevies ye (iz) elYey) = vm 24) ~ xz 4745) wey ais) 4 (lt wy’) ye(t) Jon ss& mrt Cclotic Week Xm setae) 9 WP Sell 5 typo YY Poss (wg \ Dene Wail Lag means! 0x8) eCy3) X ~ Bu(ioo, 0.1) loo ial p(xzs) = VE ‘2 )tonyktoa) 23) >a on" Could tele \- alyeo, ler 2) (x 2 25) e(Kz,75)> pat (\ «loo (on) “ Ballo 04 Use the tacbral nt Accan and ure a Normah ype irrod ton“CUT" = Take a buada af tid Rv'c odd Aron wg > Fegeon oer dist. | a Bin (100) 0.25") What weal le cepa yov woh ogpeox! Wt wud to Know The mena ovh Vorion@ we en taleg) ~ Nine, note) ha p gov Wee te Bia(nyp) Ko Bm( (we, 0. 2s) | PRx> 50) = zi (2) oay*( (ors) ~ 0( Yes) se Y~ “uae, apeced) NV ( w) %) r( Xz 50) Conwek this fp 0 trol Favela) xy WG) = zWs) 78) P(Y7s0) & ez roche) (X25 | P/ Y-wys0-25) alloy ee) e( Y-2s pe) Vor (eX) = C7 we(X) “(Ce Ge) elo - eae) No » yo \ °/ eo os e) p22 & v=) 7 0 (2757) ZA) 0-000 1 %6, 95, 44 vale P( - kes oe LI, P( - eter) = 1% P(-3see3) > 79%a Stordortl Noveal CDF : tis stooe-ch vorwal b Abe col £ ot L Bays Pes) = | be® dy P(x oe) ° & p(z7 ms) Wel wiss some “artion (ex Rol ss 9 X2o. 7 — X ZY (uit grb, y EX (x7 49) 40 EX > EN EX 7% E( 4p r 5403 | EX % % E(14y2983) BY 7 GorP(xz 40)leks Sax quite pity, Tot, or te racer Moun 5 bus co RE See oy a aut edinake fe BH (uly) toy, glxzae) %o Maw Kou's Teagualtye TE X 95 creamy variable takiug en nonmgatne wlys Then fe a70) EX > “a? P(x 20.)