Roll#: 2017-CE-155 Section: C Name: Areeba Ashraf

Department:-Computer Engineering Program: B.S- Computer Engineering

Assignment 3

CE-407 Simulation & Modeling

Announced date:19-10-2020 Due Date:22-10-2020 Total Marks =03

Teacher Name: Dr. Shakil Ahmed, Ms. Huma, Ms. Kiran & Ms. Safina

(CLO_3) (Cognitive Level C2 e.g., Understanding) (PLO_2: Engineering Knowledge)

Q1: A survey indicated that 87% of single women aged 29 years old will be marries in their

lifetime.Using the binomial distribution,find the probability that three or 4 women of twenty

will never be married.

SOLOUTION:
Q2:The number of hurricanes hitting the coast of Florida annually has a Poisson distribution

with a mean of 0.9.

(a) What is the probability that more than two hurricanes will hit the Florida Coast in a

year?

(b) What is the probability that exactly two hurricane will hit the coast of Florida in a year?

SOLOUTION:
Q3: A Computer crashes in accordance with a Poisson Process,with a mean rate of one crash

every 24 hours.Determine the probability that the next crash will occur between 24 and 48 hour

after the last crash.

SOLOUTION:
Q4:The Rail shuttle cars at the Atlanta airport have a dual electrical braking system.A rail car

switches to the standby system automatically if the first system fails.If both system fails,there

will be a crash! Assume that the life of a single electrical braking system is exponentially

distributed,with a mean of 4000 operating hours.If the systems are inspected every 5000

operating hours,what is the probability that a rail car will not crash before that time?

SOLOUTION:
Q 5:Given the following distributions:

Normal(10,4)

Normal(54,50)

Uniform(5,20)

Find the probability that 6 < X < 8 for each of the distribution

SOLOUTION:
Q 6:Patients arrive for a Physical examination according to a Poisson process at the rate 1 per

hour.The physical examination requires three stages,each one independently exponentially

distributed,with a service time of 15 minutes.A patient must go through all three stages before

the next patient admitted to the treatment facility.Compute the average number of delayed

patients, LQ for thid system.

SOLOUTION: