scroll.

in

The next figure shows a simulation whose

outputs reasonably match Indian recorded
infections to date. This is by no means a
“prediction” – simply a simulation consistent
with available data, partly to highlight that
there is no compelling reason to believe the
outbreak will be over by September.

This is quite an optimistic scenario: peak in

daily reported cases is reached a few weeks
from now and there is no subsequent
resurgence. Daily cases decline somewhat