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Cities with < 1.000.000 inhabitants 20 practitioner to start, >1.000.000 inhabitants 30 practitioners, > 2.500.000 in
ramp up of practioniers in cities larger then 2.500.000 inhabitants is 50% more than assumptions for Nr of practiti
worst case and realistic case assupmtions are identical
Number of Practioners 5%
City Start Date Population
City 3 1-Mar-16 2,914,608
City 1 1-Jun-16 5,322,512
City 2 1-Jul-16 3,938,659
City 9 1-Aug-16 2,635,407
City 5 1-Aug-16 1,596,039
City 7 1-Aug-16 873,991
Applied Case
Worst Case Realistic Case
25% 0.25
0
20-40 20-40
0 0
3 3
3 7
3 4
10 12
Applied Case
Worst Case Realistic Case
0
10 12
20 24
30 36
25 30
35 40
25 30
decreasing calcs
Worst Case Alternate 100% 100%
55 55 60 55
30 20 35 20
25 25 30 25
40 40 45 40
45 45 50 45
45 45 50 45
55 55 60 55
50 50 55 50
20 20 25 20.00
90%
Starting Adjusted City Code
40 36 3
40 36 1
40 36 2
20 18 9
30 27 5
20 18 7
Date 9/7/2015 Workbook P+L and CashFlow incl Assumption v08 pro
Time 11:40:12 AM Output Cell 'RC vs WC Assumptions'!$C$96
SensIt TrialPrices
Version, Only
of treatm, Face ,For
amr Evaluation
10.24 10.26 www.TreePlan.com
Prices of treatm, Hair Removal , amr 10.24 10.26
This Version Not Licensed For Commercial Or Student Use
Prices of treatm, Massage , amr 10.24 10.26
6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 20.00 22.00 24.00 26.00 28.00
Date 9/7/2015 Workbook P+L and CashFlow incl Assumption v08 protected.xlsx
Time 11:38:43 AM Output Cell 'RC vs WC Assumptions'!$C$95
NPV
Corresponding Input Value Output Value Percent
Input Variable Low Output Base Case High Output Low Base High Swing Swing^2
Nr of treatments p practitioner p month 1 12 20 -95,379 37,561,632 64,411,221 64,506,600 41.1%
Margin 5% 20% 25% 2,623,011 37,561,632 49,152,451 46,529,440 21.4%
months 5-19 1 15 40 21,417,563 37,561,632 66,028,605 44,611,042 19.7%
months 19 onwards 1 25 60 20,788,922 37,561,632 62,021,865 41,232,943 16.8%
Ramp up month 1-5 1 15 30 33,723,715 37,561,632 41,599,506 7,875,791 0.6%
Lower starting point 1 15 25 35,939,316 37,561,632 38,715,169 2,775,853 0.1%
Prices of treatm, Hair Removal , amr 15 25 30 35,785,170 37,561,632 38,449,862 2,664,692 0.1%
Prices of treatm, Massage , amr 35 40 45 36,371,249 37,561,632 38,752,014 2,380,765 0.1%
Prices of treatm, Nails , amr 15 20 25 36,380,360 37,561,632 38,742,904 2,362,544 0.1%
Prices of treatm, Hair , amr 25 40 45 35,803,398 37,561,632 38,147,709 2,344,311 0.1%
Prices of treatm, Face , amr 25 40 45 35,803,400 37,561,632 38,147,709 2,344,309 0.1%
Prices of treatm, Personal Training, amr 25 40 45 35,858,062 37,561,632 38,129,488 2,271,426 0.1%
Prices of treatm, Holistic , amr 25 40 45 36,709,849 37,561,632 37,845,559 1,135,710 0.0%
Prices of treatm, Body , amr 25 35 40 36,975,556 37,561,632 37,854,669 879,114 0.0%
Prices of treatm, Massage 35 50 65 37,125,009 37,561,632 37,998,254 873,246 0.0%
Prices of treatm, Nails 15 25 40 37,308,596 37,561,632 37,941,186 632,590 0.0%
Prices of treatm, Hair Removal 15 30 45 37,262,699 37,561,632 37,860,564 597,865 0.0%
Prices of treatm, Yoga, amr 5 10 15 37,277,704 37,561,632 37,845,559 567,855 0.0%
Prices of treatm, Face 25 50 65 37,292,894 37,561,632 37,722,874 429,980 0.0%
Prices of treatm, Hair 25 50 65 37,292,894 37,561,632 37,722,874 429,980 0.0%
Prices of treatm, Body 25 40 55 37,481,010 37,561,632 37,642,253 161,243 0.0%
Prices of treatm, Personal Training 25 50 65 37,483,126 37,561,632 37,608,735 125,609 0.0%
Prices of treatm, Holistic 25 50 65 37,522,380 37,561,632 37,585,182 62,802 0.0%
Prices of treatm, Yoga 5 10 25 37,553,781 37,561,632 37,585,182 31,401 0.0%
-20,000,000 -10,000,000 0 10,000,000 20,000,000 30,000,000 40,000,000 50,000,000 60,000,000 70,000,000 80,000,000
NPV
Month of Operation
City 3 0.00
City 1 0.00
City 2 0.00
City 9 0.00
City 5 0.00
City 7 0.00
Increase in Practioners
City 3 0.00
City 1 0.00
City 2 0.00
City 9 0.00
City 5 0.00
City 7 0.00
Number of Practioners City Code Starting 3.375
City 3 3 40 0
City 1 1 40 0
City 2 2 40 0
City 9 9 20 0
City 5 5 30 0
City 7 7 20 0
Total nr of practitioners 0
Number of Sales per Practicioner
City 3 0
City 1 0
City 2 0
City 9 0
City 5 0
City 7 0
Total nr of treatments 0
Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16
2016 2016 2016 2016 2016 2016 2016 2016 2016 2016
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00
0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00 21.00 24.00 27.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00
0 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67
0 0 0 0 43 46 49 52 55 58
0 0 0 0 0 43 46 49 52 55
0 0 0 0 0 0 23 26 29 32
0 0 0 0 0 0 33 36 39 42
0 0 0 0 0 0 23 26 29 32
0 43 46 49 95 144 232 250 268 286
0 12 12 12 24 24 24 24 36 36
0 0 0 0 12 12 12 24 24 24
0 0 0 0 0 12 12 12 24 24
0 0 0 0 0 0 12 12 12 24
0 0 0 0 0 0 12 12 12 24
0 0 0 0 0 0 12 12 12 24
0 2 2 2 6 8 14 16 20 26
Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17
2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017
12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
12 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
10.00 11.00 12.00 13.00 14.00 15.00 16.00 17.00 18.00 19.00
7.00 8.00 9.00 10.00 11.00 12.00 13.00 14.00 15.00 16.00
6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 10.00 11.00 12.00 13.00 14.00 15.00
5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 10.00 11.00 12.00 13.00 14.00
5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 10.00 11.00 12.00 13.00 14.00
5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 10.00 11.00 12.00 13.00 14.00
34.00 41.00 48.00 55.00 62.00 69.00 76.00 83.00 90.00 97.00
21.00 24.00 27.00 34.00 41.00 48.00 55.00 62.00 69.00 76.00
18.00 21.00 24.00 27.00 34.00 41.00 48.00 55.00 62.00 69.00
15.00 18.00 21.00 24.00 27.00 34.00 41.00 48.00 55.00 62.00
15.00 18.00 21.00 24.00 27.00 34.00 41.00 48.00 55.00 62.00
15.00 18.00 21.00 24.00 27.00 34.00 41.00 48.00 55.00 62.00
36 36 36 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
24 36 36 36 36 36 30 30 30 30
24 24 36 36 36 36 36 30 30 30
24 24 24 36 36 36 36 36 30 30
24 24 24 36 36 36 36 36 30 30
24 24 24 36 36 36 36 36 30 30
26 28 30 35 35 35 34 33 30 30
Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18
2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018
10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
23 24 25 27 28 29 30 31 32 33
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99 Dec-99
20.00 21.00 22.00 23.00 24.00 25.00 26.00 27.00 28.00 29.00
17.00 18.00 19.00 20.00 21.00 22.00 23.00 24.00 25.00 26.00
16.00 17.00 18.00 19.00 20.00 21.00 22.00 23.00 24.00 25.00
15.00 16.00 17.00 18.00 19.00 20.00 21.00 22.00 23.00 24.00
15.00 16.00 17.00 18.00 19.00 20.00 21.00 22.00 23.00 24.00
15.00 16.00 17.00 18.00 19.00 20.00 21.00 22.00 23.00 24.00
101.00 105.00 109.00 113.00 117.00 121.00 125.00 129.00 133.00 137.00
83.00 90.00 97.00 101.00 105.00 109.00 113.00 117.00 121.00 125.00
76.00 83.00 90.00 97.00 101.00 105.00 109.00 113.00 117.00 121.00
69.00 76.00 83.00 90.00 97.00 101.00 105.00 109.00 113.00 117.00
69.00 76.00 83.00 90.00 97.00 101.00 105.00 109.00 113.00 117.00
69.00 76.00 83.00 90.00 97.00 101.00 105.00 109.00 113.00 117.00
141 145 149 153 157 161 165 169 173 177
123 130 137 141 145 149 153 157 161 165
116 123 130 137 141 145 149 153 157 161
89 96 103 110 117 121 125 129 133 137
99 106 113 120 127 131 135 139 143 147
89 96 103 110 117 121 125 129 133 137
657 696 735 771 804 828 852 876 900 924
30 30 30 30 40 40 40 30 30 30
30 30 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40
30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 40 40
30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 40
30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 40
30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 40
30 30 30 30 32 32 32 32 33 38
Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 2016 2017 2018
2018 2018 2018 2018 2018
8 9 10 11 12 7 7 7
34 35 36 37 38 13 26 39
30 30 30 30 30
30 30 30 30 30 11.00 32.50 32.50
40 30 30 30 30 9.00 32.00 32.50
40 40 30 30 30 7.00 31.50 32.50
40 40 30 30 30 7.00 31.50 32.50
40 40 30 30 30 7.00 31.50 32.50
37 35 30 30 30
Assumptions
Period code Number
Period
Year
Month
Month of Operation
City 3
City 1
City 2
City 9
City 5
City 7
Increase in Practioners
City 3
City 1
City 2
City 9
City 5
City 7
Number of Practioners City Code Starting 3.375
City 3 3 40
City 1 1 40
City 2 2 40
City 9 9 20
City 5 5 30
City 7 7 20
Total nr of practitioners
Number of Sales per Practicioner
City 3
City 1
City 2
City 9
City 5
City 7
Total nr of treatments
13 26 39
Jul-05 Jul-05 Jul-05
2016 2017 2018
0 0 0