THU 08 OCT 2020

Cebu Air Inc.

To raise funds of up to US$500Mil

To raise funds of up to US$500Mil

HOLD
In a disclosure to the PSE, CEB announced that it is looking to raise funds amounting to TICKER: CEB
approximately US$500Mil involving 1) a convertible preferred shares rights issue for an
PHP42.00
aggregate proceeds of about US$250Mil and 2) a private placement of convertible bonds
with aggregate subscription price of up to US$250Mil. The proceeds from these shall be
used to strengthen the balance sheet of the company and for general corporate purposes. In
line with this, the Board of Directors of CEB is seeking to increase the company’s authorized
capital stock from Php1.34Bil to 1.74Bil and create a new class of convertible preferred
shares with a par value of Php1.00 per share.

The final terms and conditions of the convertible preferred shares rights issue and the
convertible bonds private placement are yet to be finalized but are expected to be set
within Php38-45 range, representing 2- 21% conversion premium over CEB’s 30-day
volume weighted-average price from August 26 to October 7, 2020.

To improve capital structure and provide cash for operations

The additional capital from the offering would improve the company’s capital structure and
provide much needed additional cash to maintain operations. Note that the CEB’s current
fixed cost cash burn is at US$40Mil / month while cash position as of 1H20 is at Php9.7Bil.
Moreover, CEB currently has Php76.6Bil in total debt (net debt to equity ratio of 1.9X). The
additional proceeds of US$500Mil should allow the company to end the year at a net debt
to equity ratio of ~1.5X, significantly lower than our original assumption of ~2.4X. Frances Rolfa Nicolas
Research Analyst
We currently have a HOLD rating and FV estimate of Php42/sh on CEB. rolfa.nicolas@colfinancial.com

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 ALERT I CEB: TO RAISE FUNDS OF UP TO US$500MIL

THU 08 OCT 2020

IMPORTANT RATING DEFINITIONS

BUY
Stocks that have a BUY rating have attractive fundamentals and valuations based on our analysis. We expect the share price to outperform the market in the next six to
12 months.

HOLD
Stocks that have a HOLD rating have either 1) attractive fundamentals but expensive valuations 2) attractive valuations but near-term earnings outlook might be poor
or vulnerable to numerous risks. Given the said factors, the share price of the stock may perform merely in line or underperform in the market in the next six to twelve
months.

SELL
We dislike both the valuations and fundamentals of stocks with a SELL rating. We expect the share price to underperform in the next six to12 months.

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Securities recommended, offered or sold by COL Financial Group, Inc. are subject to investment risks, including the possible loss of the principal amount invested.
Although information has been obtained from and is based upon sources we believe to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and said information may be
incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute the judgment of COL’s Equity Research Department as of the date of the report and are subject to change
without prior notice. This report is for informational purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of a security. COL Financial and/
or its employees not involved in the preparation of this report may have investments in securities of derivatives of the companies mentioned in this report and may trade
them in ways different from those discussed in this report.

COL RESEARCH TEAM

APRIL LYNN TAN, CFA

VP & HEAD OF RESEARCH
april.tan@colfinancial.com

CHARLES WILLIAM ANG, CFA GEORGE CHING RICHARD LAÑEDA, CFA

DEPUTY HEAD OF RESEARCH SENIOR RESEARCH MANAGER SENIOR RESEARCH MANAGER
charles.ang@colfinancial.com george.ching@colfinancial.com richard.laneda@colfinancial.com

JOHN MARTIN LUCIANO, CFA FRANCES ROLFA NICOLAS JUSTIN RICHMOND CHENG
SENIOR RESEARCH ANALYST RESEARCH ANALYST RESEARCH ANALYST
john.luciano@colfinancial.com rolfa.nicolas@colfinancial.com justin.cheng@colfinancial.com

ADRIAN ALEXANDER YU KERWIN MALCOLM CHAN

RESEARCH ANALYST RESEARCH ANALYST
adrian.yu@colfinancial.com kerwin.chan@colfinancial.com

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