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2017

BELGIUM’S SEVENTH NATIONAL COMMUNICATION


AND THIRD BIENNIAL REPORT ON

CLIMATE CHANGE
Under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
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BELGIUM’S SEVENTH NATIONAL COMMUNICATION


AND THIRD BIENNIAL REPORT
Under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

This report was prepared in collaboration with :

Federal Public Service Health, Food Chain Belgian Federal Science Policy Office Flemish government Ministère de la Fédération Wallonie-Bruxelles
Safety and Environment Avenue Louise, 231 Agency for Maritime and Coastal Services - / AGERS
DG Environment - Climate Change Section B-1050 Brussels, Belgium Coastal Division Direction Générale de l’Enseignement Non
Place Victor Horta 40 - box 10 e-mail: Martine.Vanderstraeten@belspo.be Vrijhavenstraat 3 Obligatoire et de la Recherche Scientifique
B-1060 Brussels, Belgium URL: http://www.belspo.be B-8400 Ostend, Belgium Rue A. Lavallée, 1
e-mail: climate@environment.belgium.be e-mail: kust@vlaanderen.be B-1080 Brussels
URL: http://www.climatechange.be Flemish government URL: http://www.afdelingkust.be e-mail: infos@cfwb.be
Department of Environment and Spatial URL: http://www.recherchescientifique.cfwb.
Federal Public Service Economy, SMEs, Self- Development Environment Brussels  be and http://www.enseignement.be
employed and Energy Energy, Climate and Green Economy Division Avenue du port 86c
DG Energy Koning Albert II-laan 20 box 8 B-1000 Brussels, Belgium IRCEL-CELINE (Belgian interregional
Rue du Progrès, 50 B-1000 Brussels, Belgium e-mail: pvanderplancke@environnement. Environment Agency)
B-1210 Brussels, Belgium e-mail: EKG.omgeving@vlaanderen.be brussels Rue Gaucheret 92-94
e-mail: info.eco@economie.fgov.be URL: http://www.omgevingvlaanderen.be URL: www.environment.brussels B-1030 Brussels, Belgium
URL : http://www.economie.fgov.be e-mail: biernaux@irceline.be
Flemish government Wallonia Public Service URL : http://www.irceline.be/
Federal Public Service Mobility and Transport Flemish Department of Foreign Affairs Wallonia Agency for Air and Climate
DG Sustainable Mobility and Rail Policy Boudewijnlaan 30 - box 80 (AWAC) Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium
Rue du Progrès, 56 B-1000 Brussels, Belgium Avenue Prince de Liège, 7 box 2 Avenue Circulaire 3
B-1210 Brussels, Belgium e-mail: info@iv.vlaanderen.be B-5100 Jambes, Belgium B-1180 Brussels, Belgium
e-mail: DirMobSec@mobilit.fgov.be URL: https://overheid.vlaanderen.be/ e-mail: info-airclimat@wallonie.be e-mail: Steven.Dewitte@meteo.be
URL: http://mobilit.belgium.be/fr/mobilite departement-iv URL: www.awac.be URL: http://www.meteo.be

Federal Public Service Foreign Affairs, Flemish Environment Agency (VMM)


Foreign Trade and Development Cooperation Emission Inventory Air and Environment
DG Development Cooperation and Reporting Flanders
humanitarian aid A. Van de Maelestraat 96
Rue des Petits Carmes, 15 B-9320 Erembodegem, Belgium
B-1000 Brussels, Belgium e-mail: info@vmm.be and mira@vmm.be
e-mail: URL: http://www.vmm.be
Annemarie.VanderAvort@diplobel.fed.be and http://www.environmentflanders.be
URL: www.diplomatie.belgium.be
Flemish government Edited by the National Climate Commission – December 2017
Federal Planning Bureau Department Economy, Science en Innovation
Task Force on Sustainable Development (EWI) Published and distributed by the
Avenue des Arts, 47-49 Koning Albert II-laan 35, box 10 Federal Public Service Health, Food Chain Safety and Environment
B-1000 Brussels, Belgium B-1030 Brussels, Belgium
e-mail: tfsd@plan.be e-mail: info@ewi.vlaanderen.be Place Victor Horta 40 Box 10, B-1060 Brussels, Belgium
URL: http://www.plan.be URL: http://www.ewi-vlaanderen.be
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Table of contents 4. Policies and measures
4.1 Policy-making process........................................................46
8. Research
8.1 General policy on research funding ................................. 119
4.2 Domestic and regional programs; 8.2 International activities......................................................121
legislative arrangements, enforcement 8.3 Domestic research actions
and administrative procedure..............................................49 and relevant activities ......................................................123
4.3 Policies and measures and their effects..............................53 8.4 Sytematic observation.......................................................126
Introduction 4.4 Policies and measures that are no longer applied...............57
4.5 Minimise adverse effects of response measures ................57 9. Public awareness, education and training
1. Executive summary
9.1 Introduction......................................................................131
National circumstances relevant to greenhouse gas 5.  Projections and the total effect of policies 9.2 Raising awareness.............................................................132
emissions and removals.................................................................5
and measures, and supplementarity relating 9.3 Education and training......................................................141
Greenhouse gas inventory information..........................................6 to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 9.4 Internet information sources.............................................150
Policies and measures....................................................................7 5.1 Projections..........................................................................59
Projections and the total effect of policies and measures..............8 5.2 Assessment of aggregated effects of policies Annexes
Vulnerability assessment, climate change impacts and measures.......................................................................87
and adaptation measures................................................................9 Annex 1. Supplementary information under Article 7(2)
5.3 Supplementarity relating to mechanisms of the Kyoto Protocol – Correlation table........................154
Financial resources and technology transfer................................10 under article 6, 12 and 17, of the kyoto protocol................87
Research.......................................................................................10 Annex 2. 3rd biennial report.......................................................155
Public awareness, education and training....................................10 6. Vulnerability assessment, climate change impacts 1. Preamble...........................................................................155
and adaptation measures 2. Information on greenhouse gas emissions and trends......155
2. National circumstances relevant to greenhouse gas 6.1 Introduction........................................................................90 3. Quantified economy wide emission reduction target.......156
emissions and removals 6.2 Forecast impacts of climate change in Belgium.................91 4. Progress with achievement of quantified economy
2.1 Institutional structure..........................................................15 6.3 Vulnerability assessment wide emission reduction targets and relevant
2.2 Population profile ..............................................................16 and climate-change adaptation measures...........................98 information.......................................................................158
2.3 Geographic profile..............................................................17 6.4 Cooperation on adaptation................................................103 5. Projections........................................................................159
2.4 Climate profile....................................................................18 6. Provision of financial, technological and capacity-
2.5 Economic profile.................................................................19 7. Provision of Financial Resources building support to developing‑country Parties................159
2.6 Energy profile.....................................................................19 and technology transfer 7. Other reporting matters.....................................................163
2.7 Transport.............................................................................21 Introduction................................................................................105
7.1 Legislative and institutional framework Annex 3. Description of models used........................................164
2.8 Industrial sector..................................................................23
of climate change policies and programmes.....................106 I. Flemish energy and greenhouse gas simulation model....164
2.9 Waste..................................................................................24
7.2 Provision of international climate finance II. EPM model.......................................................................165
2.10 Housing stock.....................................................................25
through official Development Assistance III. Energy and Atmospheric Emissions projection
2.11 Agriculture and forestry......................................................26 and other official flows.....................................................106 model for Brussels Capital Region...................................167
7.3 Activities relating to transfer of and access IV. Transport Emission Projection model
3. Greenhouse gas inventory information
to technologies for the Brussels-Capital Region........................................168
3.1 Summary tables..................................................................28
and capacity building........................................................ 112 V. Description of the Hermes-model.....................................168
3.2 Analysis of trends...............................................................28
7.4 Mobilization of Private Sector support through VI. Description of the OFFREM model.................................170
3.3 National inventory system..................................................40 public intervention............................................................ 113 VII. Description of the F-gas model........................................170
3.4 National registry.................................................................42 7.5 Methodological approach for tracking the provision
of financial, technological and capacity-building Annex 4. Description of selected projects or programmes
support to non-Annex I Parties......................................... 116 that promoted practicable steps to facilitate
nd/or finance the transfer of, or access to,
environmentally-sound technologies................................171
Annex 5. Acronyms...................................................................174
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This document represents the Bel- Following provisions of decision 2/


gium’s 7th National Communication re- CP.17 developed country Parties were re-
quired under the United Nations Frame- quested to submit their first biennial report
work Convention on Climate Change, (BR1) to the secretariat by 1 January 2014
as reaffirmed by UNFCCC decision 9/ and their second and subsequent biennial
CP.16 and UNFCCC decision 2/CP.17. reports two years after the due date of a full
It provides a comprehensive overview of national communication. As endorsed in

I n t rodu c t i o n
climate change-related activity at Belgian UNFCCC decision 2/CP.17, Belgium has
level. As defined in the UNFCCC reporting opted to submit its 3rd Biennial Report as
guidelines for National Communications, an annex to this 7th National Communica-
the information is structured into: tion (Annex 2). The tables as defined in the
–– National circumstances relevant to common tabular format for the UNFCCC
greenhouse gas emissions and remov- biennial reporting guidelines for developed
als (Chapter 2), country Parties (UNFCCC decision 19/
–– Greenhouse gas inventory information CP.18) have been submitted to the UNFC-
(Chapter 3), CC through the electronic reporting facili-
–– Policies and measures (Chapter 4), ty provided by the UNFCCC secretariat as
–– Projections and the total effects of poli- required by UNFCCC decision 19/CP.18.
cies and measures (Chapter 5), In order to avoid unnecessary duplica-
–– Vulnerability assessment, climate tion of information, overlapping contents
change impacts and adaptation mea- between the 7th National Communication
sures (Chapter 6), and the 3rd Biennial Report has been lim-
–– Financial resources and transfer of ited as much as possible, sections of the
technology (Chapter 7), 3rd Biennial Report contain mainly refer-
–– Research and systemic observation ences to the corresponding sections of the
(Chapter 8), 7th National Communication’s and/or CTF
–– Education, training and public aware- tables.
ness (Chapter 9).
A summary table outlining the location
of supplementary information required
under Article 7, paragraph 2, of the Kyoto
Protocol within this National Communica-
tion is provided in Annex 1.

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National circumstances relevant to greenhouse


gas emissions and removals

1. Exe c u t i v e
Belgium is a small country (30 528 km²) of goods and services accounted for 84 %
in north-western Europe. Belgium is high- of GDP in 2015 and imports 83 %.
ly urbanised and is the third most densely
The gross domestic product has con-

summary
populated country in Europe (363 inhabi-
stantly increased since 1990 (with a small
tants/km² in 2015).
drop related to the financial crisis in 2008-
Belgium’s temperate maritime climate 2009) amounting 421.611 billion euros in
is characterised by moderate temperatures. 2016 (average GDP growth 2005-2015:
The evolution of temperatures in the past 1.2 %). At the same time, GHG emissions
century reveals an upward trend, a phe- could be stabilized (1990-2005), then fol-
nomenon that has been accentuated in re- lowed a decreasing trend up to now (-20 %
cent years. in 2015, compared to 1990). The main
Belgium is a federal state composed drivers for decoupling are: increased use
of three language-based communities and of gaseous fuels (decreased use of liquid
three regions, each with its own executive and solid fuels), higher energy efficiency,
and legislative bodies. changes in the structure of the economy
(less highly energy intensive industries
Given Belgium’s federal structure and like steel and more added value in sectors
the division of powers, several structures –services and commercial sectors- with
have been created to promote consultation lower energy intensity).
and cooperation between the different lev-
els of power and to ensure consistency in Greenhouse gas emissions per GDP
the action of the federal state and its en- unit were 287 tons per billion EUR in 2015
tities. The central coordination body with (excl. LULUCF).
regard to national climate policy is the Na-
tional Climate Commission. Energy
Belgium has a very open economy, Energy intensity follows a downward
situated at the heart of a zone of intense trend since 1990, reflecting the decoupling
economic activity. The Belgian economy is of economic growth from primary energy
dominated by the services sector. Exports consumption.

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In terms of market shares of total final In 2015, the share of renewable energy Waste Agriculture
consumption, oil products remain the dom- amounted to 7.88 % of the total final ener- Between 2004 and 2014, waste pro- Belgian agriculture is specialised in
inant energy source (52 %), followed by gy consumption. duction increased by 24 %. Significant im- market-garden and horticultural crops, ce-
natural gas (24 %) and electricity (17 %). provements in waste treatment have helped reals, potatoes, sugar beets, livestock and
The residential sector is the main con- Transport to sharply reduce the amount of waste put milk production. Although agricultural
sumer of primary energy (32.2 %), fol- into landfills. land occupies the greater part of the territo-
Belgium is crisscrossed by an import-
lowed by industry (25.8 %) and transport ry (44 %), the number of farms has contin-
ant network of waterways and a very dense
(21.5 %). ued to decrease in recent years. The share
communications network (roads and rail- Housing stock
of agriculture in the Belgian economy con-
In the industrial and residential sector, ways). Owing to Belgium’s location as a Since 1995, the number of buildings tinues its decline and is now less than 1 %
natural gas is the leading fuel (respectively transit country, transport is a growing sec- has increased by 12 %. Over the same peri- of GDP. Despite a high population density,
35 % and 38 % in 2015). tor. Road transport is the most energy-con- od, the number of residences increased by forests and other natural areas remain rela-
suming means in Belgium. The number of 20 %. Belgian housing stock is character-
Consumption in the transport sector is tively stable (23 % of the territory).
passenger cars is increasing continuously ised by a high proportion of old buildings.
dominated by petroleum products (95 %). (motorisation rate in Belgium is very high: Natural gas is the main heating source. The
Non-energy consumption is also dominat- one car for every two inhabitants). Road housing equipment rate of appliances us-
ed by petroleum products (86 %). transport still accounts for most of land ing energy continues to rise.
Belgium has limited energy resources, transport of goods. Demand for fossil fuels
its total primary energy production rep- in the sector is expected to continue to rise.
resents approximately 20 % of Belgium’s
total primary energy consumption. Bel- Industry
Greenhouse gas inventory information
gium is consequently highly dependent on
Although the weight of the industri-
other countries for supply. 63.7 % of Bel-
al sector (in particular heavy industry) in
gian energy production consists of nuclear
the economy has declined since the ‘60s, it
energy. The share of renewable fuels and
continues to be a relatively important com-
waste amounts to 26.5 %. In Belgium, emissions of all gases have LUCF). Since 1990, emissions have de-
ponent of Belgium’s economic activity (al-
The dependency on fossil fuel imports decreased by 19.7 % compared to 1990 and creased by about 20 %. Energy industries
most 15 % of GDP).
to meet domestic demand is very high. In 20.7 % using 1995 as the base year for the and manufacturing industries are both re-
Main contributors to greenhouse gas fluorinated gases (excluding LULUCF). sponsible for almost 40 % in this decrease,
2015, the ratio between net-imports and
emissions are: energy combustion (mainly The largest contribution to total emissions while transport emissions increased by
primary energy consumption was 95 %.
through the production of electricity and is CO2, which contributed 85.4 % in 2015. 22 %.
Alongside petroleum imports, the country
heat, but also to oil refining), industrial pro- Emissions of CH4 account for the next
also imports natural gas. For the last de- A switch from solid fuel to gaseous fu-
cesses (mainly from the chemical industry, largest share with 6.9 % and emissions of
cade Belgium was a net-importer of elec- els is observed in the electricity production
mineral products industry and metallurgy)
tricity, except in 2009. N2O make up a further 5.1 %.
and energy transformation (iron and steel sector and industry. This, together with the
Belgium has made progress in devel- industry, chemical industry, food and bev- In 2015 the energy sector contributed development of biomass fuels in some sec-
oping renewable energy in recent years. erage processing and cement plants). 75 % to the total emissions (excluding LU- tors, has resulted in a lower CO2 emission

1. Executive summary 6
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factor for a given level of energy consump-


tion. A more rational use of energy is also
sions have declined by 25 % since 1990.
All the sectors are concerned but the metal
Policies and measures
developing but it often goes together with industry has experienced the most severe
larger use of electricity, so its impact on ac- decrease.
tual emissions is generally harder to quan-
Agriculture represents 8.7 %. of the to- In the Belgian federal system, respon- goods…). It is responsible for ensuring
tify. Finally, the closure of certain iron and
tal emissions, mainly from CH4 and N2O. sibilities and policy-making powers are the security of the country’s energy supply
steelworks over the past few years has also
Some CO2 emissions are caused by lim- shared between the Federal State and the and for nuclear energy. It also supervises
helped to cut emissions.
ing. Since 1990, emissions from this sector three Regions (the Walloon, Flemish and territorial waters, which implies that it is
Compared to recent years, emissions have decreased by 18 %, due to a decline Brussels-Capital Regions). Therefore, also responsible for the development of
from the residential and tertiary sectors de- in emissions from enteric fermentation (re- climate change policies are designed and offshore wind farms.
creased in 2015 although a number of indi- lated to lower livestock numbers but also implemented by the federal and regional
A National Climate Plan (NCP) for the
cators are rising such as the increase in res- to the shift from dairy cattle to brood cat- governments, which set up their own pri-
period 2009-2012 was adopted in April
idences and a greater number of employees tle) and agricultural soils (reduced use of orities and objectives within the scope of
2009, built upon policies and measures
in the tertiary and institutional sectors. This synthetic fertiliser and livestock reduction their powers.
elaborated by each of the 4 decisional en-
is due to a switch of fuels, better insulation leading to less nitrogen excreted on pas-
Regions have major responsibilities in tities. This plan has already been described
and milder years. However, the trend for ture).
areas such as rational use of energy, pro- in the NC6. It remains in application until
the tertiary sector since 1990 continues to
Land Use, Land-use Change and For- motion of renewable energy sources, pub- the first National Energy and climate Plan
be a net increase in emissions, due to the
estry sector presents sinks as well as sourc- lic transport, transport infrastructure, urban (NECP2030) is adopted for the period
development of activity in this sector.
es of CO2 emissions. However LULUCF is and rural planning, agriculture and waste 2021-2030.
Emissions caused by road transport a net sink in 2015, as it is for the complete management. In the context of the 6th Bel-
The new NECP 2030 will have to be
have been increasing continually since time series. gian state reform they have also obtained
adopted at the latest by the end of 2019,
1990 on account of the rising number of new fiscal responsibilities.
In 2015, the waste sector contributed in accordance with the European regula-
cars and traffic that has become more in-
around 1.4 % to the national total. Emis- The Federal state is still responsible for tions (package “Clean energy for all Eu-
tense. Traffic growth, however, has slack-
sions originate from waste incineration, large parts of taxation policy. It is also re- ropeans”). An important prospective work
ened significantly in recent years.
solid waste disposal on land and wastewa- sponsible for product policies (norms, fuel on PAMs is underway, both at the national
Industrial processes and product use ter handling. Emissions from this sector quality, labelling and performance stan- level and within the federated entities.
make up the second largest source of have steadily declined and are 63 % below dards for household or industrial electrical
greenhouse gases in Belgium, amounting 1990 levels in 2015 mainly due to biogas
to 17 % of the national total in 2015. Emis- recovery and use in solid waste disposals.

1. Executive summary 7
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Projections and the total effect of policies the macro-economic model suggest a de-
crease in emissions from 2014 to 2030
for Belgium in the Effort Sharing Decision
(Decision No 406/2009/EC). This results
and measures from 114 Mton CO2-eq to 109 Mton CO2- in an emission reduction path for the non-
eq. ETS sectors in Belgium. An indicative
comparison of the inventory data for the
Uncertainties concerning exogenous
period 2013-2015 and the WEM projection
variables such as economic growth, cli-
The projections described in this report MES projections result in a decrease of scenario for the period 2016-2020 with
mate conditions and electricity imports
are based on the 2017 Belgian submission total emissions between 2015 and 2030 the AEAs for the entire period 2013-2020
exist and their level will influence the re-
to the European Commission in compli- amounting up to 5 Mton while the bottom shows an annual AEA surplus in the peri-
sulting greenhouse gas emissions, notably
ance with Articles 3 and 14 of Regulation up projections show a smaller reduction od 2013-2017 and annual AEA shortage in
in the sectors covered by the EU ETS.
(EU) No 525/2013. The “With Existing in this period. The resulting trends for the the period 2018-2020 at the Belgian level.
Measures” (WEM) scenario includes im- different sectors are very different between A greenhouse gas emission limit of Cumulated in the period 2013-2020 this
plemented and adopted regional and feder- the two modelling approaches. -15 % in 2020 compared to 2005 green- evaluation indicates a net surplus of about
al measures at the end of 2016, for the pro- house gas emissions levels has been fixed 8.9 million AEAs.
Sensitivity analyses have been per-
jected Belgian greenhouse gas emissions
formed for some important parameters
over the period 2015-2035. The different
such as number of degree-days and import
entities in Belgium are working on a na-
of electricity without however taking indi-
tional integrated climate and energy plan
rect effects into account.
for the period 2021-2030. In the frame-
work of this process additional measures The projection results presented in this Figure 1.1: GHG emissions excluding LULUCF
are being explored but are not yet suffi- report have been compared with the pre-
ciently elaborated to be included in a “With vious reports (NC6 and BR2). The main
Additional Measures” (WAM) scenario. differences can be explained by the differ- 160

There have been no significant changes ent sectoral assumptions. In particular, the
140
in the modelling tools and methodologies changes in the nuclear phase-out assump-

GHG emissions (Mton CO2-eq)


since the last reporting of the national com- tions lead to a significant impact on the to- 120
munication and biennial report. tal greenhouse gas projections. There are CRF total
no significant differences in the non-ETS
The reported WEM projections are the 100 WEM total
projection results.
sum of the bottom-up projections of the CRF non ETS
80
three regions (Flanders, Wallonia, Brus- There is a clear decrease between 1996 WEM non ETS
non ETS target 2013-2020
sels-Capital) which are calibrated on the and 2015 in the total greenhouse gas emis-
60 KP 1 target
regional energy balances. The aggregated sions in the inventory. However, the total
regional bottom-up projections are com- emissions in the WEM scenario remain 40
indicative non ETS target 2030

pared with national projections calculated more or less stable at 114 Mton CO2-eq in 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
by the Federal Planning Bureau based on the period 2015-2035 (Figure 1.1). These
a macro-sectoral top-down econometric projections do not include emissions nor
model (HERMES). The top-down HER- removals from LULUCF. Projections with

1. Executive summary 8
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Vulnerability assessment, climate change impacts operation and develop synergies between
the different entities on adaptation. Also
The information and awareness-rais-
ing of the Belgian population, as occurs in
and adaptation measures some provincial and local governments are the case of water or heat wave campaigns,
constitute an important aspect.
developing adaptation plans.
Cross-cutting focus groups have been New or innovative processes may be
established and research programmes very diverse. The Flemish new industrial
launched to improve the understanding of policy seeks for answers to the new chal-
Belgium is now 2.4 °C warmer than in latest Assessment Report. General climate lenges.
the effects of climate change and adapta-
the pre-industrial period. Our country also trends for Belgium over 100 years can be
tion. In this respect, the value of certain Progress also occurs in the governance
witnesses a slow but significant increase summarised as follow: a hotter climate, a
exploratory projects should not be under- with a much greater collaboration between
in the annual precipitation. This increase reinforcement of the precipitation season-
estimated. Good examples include i.a. the the regional and the local level: regional
shows in winter. The number of days of ality (decrease in summer and increase
Cordex.be project and its impact studies on governments encourage and support the
heavy precipitation is increasing, leading in winter), more extreme events (more
the impact of climate change on agricul- cities and municipalities to sign the Cove-
to higher flood risks. Heavy rainfall occurs frequent or intense heavy rains in winter,
ture, urban heat stress and urban environ- nant of Mayors and to develop local action
mostly in summer because of heavy thun- more intense or frequent heat waves and
ment, the Interreg project ‘Future cities’, plans, by providing funds and tools.
derstorms that occur in a space of a few heavy thunderstorms in summer), a fall in
the MODIRISK programme which takes
hours. Periods of drought have not become the average summer precipitation, a rise In the context of development cooper-
stock of exotic and endemic species of
more intense since the end of the 19th cen- of the sea level at the Belgian coast (most ation, the new Belgian Development Co-
mosquitoes, the CREST project aiming to
tury. The most harmful climate effects for likely between 20 and 90 cm by 2100). operation Act includes the protection of
increase the knowledge of coastal process-
Belgium are expected to come from the in- the environment and natural resources, as
Spurred on by the developments at Eu- es near the coast and on land, the FORBIO
creased frequency and intensity of extreme well as the fight against climate change,
ropean level, Belgium has made signifi- climate project analysing the adaptive ca-
events such as heat waves. as one of two important transversal prior-
cant progress in terms of adaptation policy. pacity of tree species under different cli-
The annual average sea level in 2015 is Since the adoption in 2010 of the national mate scenarios, etc. ities. In order to facilitate the integration
significantly higher than at the beginning adaptation strategy, impact, vulnerabili- of this priority, a university research plat-
Adaptation measures are already taking form has been set up (‘Klimos’) and has
of the time series (1951). Belgium is high- ty and adaptation assessments have been
place and mainstreaming is ongoing i.a. in developed an Environment Sustainability
ly vulnerable to flooding as a result of the funded and piloted at regional and feder-
spatial planning, water and flood manage- Toolkit. In addition, various initiatives for
rising sea level: in Flanders, 15 % of the al level. These preliminary studies were
ment (Plan PLUIES, SIGMA plan), coastal capacity building within Belgian develop-
surface area is less than 5 metres above the the first step to develop adaption plans by
area (coastal safety master plan), biodi- ment cooperation were organised. Belgium
average sea level. Moreover, the Belgian identifying a number of vulnerable sectors
versity (national biodiversity strategy), also supports international agricultural re-
coastline appears to be the most built-up in that need to adapt.
agriculture (climatic agri-environmental search, among other things by means of the
Europe.
The federal level and the three Regions measures), forestry (Walloon Forest Code Consultative Group on International Agri-
Since previous national communica- have now adopted their own adaptation and Brussels plan for managing the Forêt cultural Research (CGIAR).
tion, new climatic projections have been plan. In addition, the National Adaptation de Soignes/Zoniënwoud woodland area,
built for the Belgian territory, based on Plan of Belgium complements the region- monitoring programme), transport ( “Sum-
greenhouse gas concentration trajectories al and federal plans by identifying specific mer” and “winter” plans drawn up by pub-
or RCPs (Representative Concentration adaptation measures that need to be taken lic transport managers), health (heat and
Pathways) adopted by the IPCC in their at national level in order to strengthen co- ozone plans, monitoring), etc.

1. Executive summary 9
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Financial resources and technology transfer Research

Over the period 2013-2016, Belgium At the Conference of the Parties in De- The science policy within Belgium un- could fund climate related research. On
provided 334.1 million euro of public sup- cember 2015 Belgium announced that it dergoes major changes on the institutional the federal level, that will be in the future
port to developing country Parties, main- would contribute at least 50 million EUR level. BRAIN-2 (2018-2022) and FEDtWIN
ly through grants and some concessional yearly to international climate finance. Ac- (2015-2022). At the community level, the
loans. This financial, technological and cording to a negotiated internal distribu- Within Belgium there is no specific main funding through the agencies FNRS
capacity-building support to non-Annex I tion ratio the federal government accounts ‘thematic’ research programme related to and FWO is competitive and based on the
Parties mainly focused on: for half of this yearly commitment. The climate research, nor on the federal level, principle of ‘excellence’. Regional institu-
–– Predominantly adaptation and cross- regions provide the other half as follows: nor on the regional level. However there tions such as Innoviris, EWI or DGO6 also
cutting activities; 14.5 million EUR by the Flemish region, are several funding instruments which fund climate relevant research.
–– Provision of bilateral and multilateral 8.25 million EUR by the Walloon region
support under the form of grants; and 2.25 million EUR by the Brussels Cap-
–– Contributions mainly directed towards ital region.
Africa and Least Developed Countries
(LDCs);
In parallel to its long-standing provi-
sion of public climate finance to devel-
Public awareness, education and training
–– Contributions to climate-specific mul- oping countries, Belgium also supports
tilateral funds (Green Climate Fund, the efforts of developing countries to im-
Adaptation Fund, Least Developed plement low-emission, climate-resilient Effective reduction of greenhouse gas This chapter reports on the actions un-
Countries Fund, etc.) or specialized projects and programmes by (i) providing emissions requires that all levels of society dertaken in Belgium to raise public aware-
UN agencies; significant core funding to multilateral or- be well informed. Luckily, the most recent ness of climate change and to educate and
–– Mainly in the following sectors: mul- ganizations and (ii) mobilizing, through public survey, organized early 2017 by the train certain target groups during the pe-
tisectoral, agriculture and livestock, public means, private investments for cli- federal Climate Change Service, indicates riod 2014-2017. It essentially presents the
energy, water and sanitation and envi- mate-related projects in developing coun- that the Belgians are already quite well activities organised or financed by the pub-
ronment. tries. aware of the problem: 85 % of them think lic sector (the federal and regional levels),
that climate change is a problem that ur- and actions undertaken by organisations
gently needs to be tackled. Such high scores of civil society or the private sector, often
are also obtained on statements about the made possible by public funds. This ap-
global character of climate change (83 %), proach inevitably excludes all small-scale
the already visible consequences (84 %) local initiatives, being beyond the scope of
and the scientifically proven human cause this publication. Finally, a list of relevant
(80 %) (see 9.1). internet sites is provided.

1. Executive summary 10
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Nr. Activity Target groups


Lower Secondary Higher
9.2 RAISING OF AWARENESS Citizens Organisations Authorities Business Abroad
education education education
GLOBAL WARMING
9.2.1 Awareness raising by the federal and regional governments ✕ ✕ ✕ ✕ ✕
9.2.2 Earth Hour ✕ ✕
ENERGY SAVINGS
9.2.3 October, Month of Energy-Saving ✕
9.2.4 Avoid energy-guzzlers at home ✕
9.2.5 The TopTen website ✕ ✕
9.2.6 Energy-saving investments ✕ ✕
9.2.7 Assistance to disadvantaged groups of residents ✕
9.2.8 Energy consultants ✕ ✕ ✕
9.2.9 Enerpedia - Energy Knowledge Centre for Agriculture ✕
BUILDINGS
9.2.10 Guidance for consumers ✕
9.2.11 Guidance for professionals ✕
9.2.12 Knowledge platforms for passive buildings ✕ ✕
9.2.13 Energy efficiency certificates and audits ✕ ✕ ✕
9.2.14 Eco-construction ✕ ✕
MOBILITY
9.2.15 Promotion of sustainable mobility ✕ ✕ ✕ ✕ ✕ ✕ ✕
9.2.16 Eco-driving ✕ ✕ ✕ ✕
9.2.17 Raising awareness on the purchase of energy efficient vehicles ✕ ✕ ✕
9.2.18 Logistics consultants ✕
ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
9.2.19 Belgian Environmental Awards ✕ ✕ ✕ ✕ ✕ ✕ ✕
9.2.20 Eco-efficiency scan ✕
9.2.21 Corporate social responsibility ✕
9.2.22 Sustainable Neighbourhoods ✕ ✕
9.2.23 The ‘Eco-dynamic Enterprise’ label ✕
9.2.24 The Walloon Youth Parliament for Sustainable Development ✕ ✕
9.2.25 Sustainable Development Days in Wallonia ✕ ✕ ✕ ✕ ✕ ✕

1. Executive summary 11
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Nr. Activity Target groups


Lower Secondary Higher
9.3 EDUCATION AND TRAINING Citizens Organisations Authorities Business Abroad
education education education
EDUCATIONAL PROJECTS
9.3.1 Educational climate dossier ✕
9.3.2 The ‘Climate Challenge’ website ✕
9.3.3 The ‘Climate Challenge @ School' conferences ✕
9.3.4 The My2050 webtool ✕
9.3.5 Invite a Climate Coach into your (secondary) school ✕
9.3.6 Solidar'Climat ✕
9.3.7 Symbiose "climat" ✕
9.3.8 Initiatives addressing energy efficiency in schools ✕ ✕ ✕
The MOS project (Milieuzorg Op School - Respect for the
9.3.9 ✕ ✕
environment at school)
Cooperation Agreement on education concerning the
9.3.10 ✕ ✕
environment, nature and sustainable development
9.3.11 Raising environmental awareness for schools ✕ ✕
The network of Regional Centres of Initiation to the
9.3.12 ✕ ✕ ✕
Environment (CRIE)
The educational Forum on the environment and sustainable
9.3.13 ✕ ✕
development
9.3.14 Ener’jeunes ✕
9.3.15 Idea Network ✕ ✕
9.3.16 Good Planet ✕ ✕
9.3.17 Commitment to the planet and energy ambassadors ✕ ✕
9.3.18 Going to school by bike ✕
9.3.19 Thick Jumper Day ✕ ✕ ✕
9.3.20 Association for the promotion of renewable energy (APERe) ✕ ✕ ✕ ✕
9.3.21 Training for building professionals ✕
HIGHER EDUCATION
9.3.22 Awareness-raising at the university ✕
9.3.23 Education on Environment and Sustainable Development ✕
9.3.24 Teach the future teacher ✕
INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AND EDUCATION IN SOUTHERN COUNTRIES
9.3.25 Federal initiatives ✕

1. Executive summary 12
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Awareness raising In higher education too, the interest in


Relatively few actions relate solely to climate change is further increasing. In-
the global warming issue. Many more fo- stead of making a full inventory of climate
cus on other thematic issues having a clear related colleges, we mention a few suc-
effect on climate change: energy savings, cessful project examples. Finally, this sec-
energy efficient buildings, environmental- tion also describes some federal initiatives
ly friendly mobility, or – broader - envi- promoting climate change related capacity
ronment and sustainable development. The building in southern countries.
structure of the chapter follows this logic,
although in some cases this subdivision Internet sites
may seem trivial due to overlap between
The list of relevant internet sites is be-
themes (e.g. energy-saving investments
ing structured the same way as the aware-
are also made in buildings), which is not
ness raising activities (energy, buildings,
surprising as climate change is a typical
mobility, environment and sustainable de-
cross-sector phenomenon.
velopment). Some of them present the au-
thorities and organizations offering infor-
Education and training mation or projects related to one or more
Children and adolescents (increas- of the above mentioned themes, others are
ingly) form a priority target group: there specific campaign or project sites. In order
is a broad range of educational materi- to give an overview of the main players
als and activities addressing the various in the field of education, we also added a
age groups. Environmental education has category “main educational actors and net-
gained a firm foothold in the Belgian ed- works”.  ■
ucation system and is increasingly linked
to awareness-raising initiatives outside the
school environment. The education-linked
activities are carried out by a wide range of
actors, often NGOs in collaboration with
authorities, the latter offering the necessary
funding.

1. Executive summary 13
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A brief overview of Belgium

Population (on 1 January 2016) 11 267 910 inhabitants

2. N a t i o n a l
Surface area 30 528 km²
Capital Brussels
Head of State HM King Philippe

c i rcu m s t a n c e s
Prime Minister Mr Charles Michel
National languages Dutch, French and German

rel e v a n t
Currency Euro
GDP 2016 (current prices) 421.611 billion EUR
GDP growth rate 2016
1.2 %

t o  gree n h o u s e
(volume, variation from previous year)
Inactive population (2015) [1] 4 355 764
Agriculture

gas e m i s s i o n s
2 775 million EUR
(Gross added value by sector at current prices, 2016)
Industry
63 001 million EUR
(Gross added value by sector at current prices, 2016)

a n d  rem o v a l s Construction
(Gross added value by sector at current prices, 2016)
Services
20 700 million EUR

216 488 million EUR


(Gross added value by sector at current prices, 2016)
Population density (on 1 January 2016) 369 inhabitants per km2
Highest point Signal de Botrange (694 m)
Average temperature (Uccle, since 1980) [4] 11° Celsius
Precipitation (Uccle, 2016) 942 mm
Hours of sunshine (Uccle, 2016) 1 572 hours

14
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2.1. Institutional structure


Figure 2.1: Belgium, a federal state

2.1.1. Federal structure of the state 2.1.2. Division of powers


BELGIUM COMMUNITIES REGIONS
After becoming independent in 1830, The Federal State is responsible for key
Belgium gradually moved on from a uni- policies such as foreign affairs (incl. de-
FEDERAL STATE FLEMISH FLEMISH
tary to a federal structure. Today Belgium velopment cooperation), defence, justice, COMMUNITY REGION
is a federal state composed of three com- finance, social security and a considerable
munities and three regions. part of public health matters and internal
affairs. It also exercises competences in the
The three communities are the Flemish
following areas (which are ‘mixed compe-
Community, the French Community and
tences’, being exercised both at federal and
the German-speaking Community. The
regional or community level): economy,
three regions are the Flemish Region, the
transport, environment, energy, research,
Brussels-Capital Region and the Walloon
cities.
Region. The communities and regions par- FRENCH BRUSSELS-CAPITAL
tially overlap. The French Community ex- Communities powers concern matters COMMUNITY REGION
ercises its authority in the Walloon Region related to ‘individuals’: culture (theatre,
with the exception of German-speaking libraries, audio-visual, etc.), education,
municipalities, and in Brussels; the Flem- use of languages and matters that can be
ish Community exercises its authority in ‘personalised’, including some aspects
the Flemish Region and in Brussels; the of health policy (preventive and curative
German-speaking Community exercises its medicine) and assistance to individuals
authority in the german-speaking munici- (youth protection, social assistance, family
palities of the Walloon Region (Figure 2.1). assistance, reception of immigrants, etc.).
GERMAN SPEAKING WALLOON REGION
Communities are also responsible for sci- COMMUNITY
Each of the communities and regions
entific research and international relations
has its own legislative and executive bod-
in the areas under their authority.
ies. In Flanders, the community and re-
gional institutions have merged, so that Regions have powers in ‘territory-re-
there is only one Flemish council and one lated’ areas, in a broad sense. They are
Flemish government (Figure 2.1). responsible for the economy, employ-
ment, agriculture, water policy, housing,
The Federal state, Communities and
public works, energy, transport (with the
Regions are all equal under law. They in-
exception of the national railway, SNCB/
tervene on an equal footing but in different
NMBS and Infrabel), environment, town
areas. Source: FPS Chancellery of the Prime Minister
and country planning, rural revitalisation,

2. National circumstances relevant to greenhouse gas emissions and removals 15


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nature conservation, credit, foreign trade, 2.1.3. Coordination structures relating to


and provincial, municipal and intermunic- climate policy
ipal administration. They are responsible Figure 2.2: Population density by municipality on 1st January 2015
Given Belgium’s federal structure and
for scientific research and foreign relations the division of powers, several structures
in the above-mentioned areas. have been created to promote consultation
In the framework of the sixth institu- and cooperation between the different lev-
tional reform which entered into force in els of power and to ensure consistency in
July 2014, new transfers of competence the actions of the federal state and its en-
have taken place leading to increased au- tities. The central coordination body with
tonomy for the federated entities. They ac- regard to national climate policy is the Na-
quired greater competences in the context tional Climate Commission, established by
of family allowances, employment policy, the cooperation agreement of 14 Novem-
healthcare or caring for older people. With- ber 2002, and which is notably in charge
in this reform, large parts of fiscal matters of the establishment and follow-up of the
were transferred from the federal authori- National Climate Plan, and the execution
ty to the Regions, which are notably now of international and European reporting
responsible for taxes on cars and transport obligations. For more detailed informa-
and tax exemptions for rational use of en- tion about this Commission and other in-
ergy (RUE) investments. stitutional arrangements with regard to
climate policy, we refer to Chapter 2.1 of
Belgium’s 6th national communication and
Chapter 4.1.1.

2.2. Population profile [1] Source: FPS Economy – FPS Economy - Directorate-General Statistics and Economic Information [1]

On the 1st of January 2016, the popu- try in Europe. However, this density varies The declining birth rate, marked im- Belgium GHG intensity in 2015 (10.5
lation of Belgium was 11 267 910 inhab- from one part of the country to another, provement in medical care and a more se- tonnes CO2-eq/capita) is significantly low-
itants. This represents 2.2 % of the total the north of the country being much more lective immigration policy have gradually er than in 1990 (14 tonnes CO2-eq/capita
population of the European Union (Bel- densely populated than the south. Current- led to a reduction in natural growth and the in 1990). It remains higher than EU CO2
gium is the 9th most populated Member ly, the Flemish Region makes up 57.5 % of ageing of the population. intensity which has decreased from 12 to
State of the European Union). Belgium is the population, the Walloon Region 32.0 % less than 9 tonnes/capita between 1990 and
very densely populated. With an average and the Brussels-Capital Region 10.5 % 2015.
density of 363 inhabitants/km² (2015), it is
the third highest densely populated coun-

2. National circumstances relevant to greenhouse gas emissions and removals 16


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2.3. Geographic profile

This chapter provides general informa- 2.3.2. Ecosystems


tion on Belgium’s geographic profile, for Despite the small size of the country
more information we refer to Chapter 2.3 and its slight topographical gradient, the
of Belgium’s 6th national communication. climate and geological conditions, together
with long-standing human impact in land
2.3.1. Geographic situation and relief use, resulted in a diversity of habitats for
such a small territory, many of which are
Belgium is a small country (surface
of European importance (no less than 58
area of 30 528  km²) in north-western Eu-
of them are listed in the EU Habitats Di-
rope and covers 3 454 km² of the North Sea.
rective). The main vegetation types found
It has 1 482 km of borders with the Neth-
in Belgium are deciduous and conifer for-
erlands, Germany, Luxembourg, France
ests, grasslands, heathlands, peat bogs,
and the North Sea (its coastline is 73.1 km
wetlands, lakes and rivers, and marine eco-
long). The Walloon Region occupies the
systems in the North Sea. The distribution
biggest part of the territory (55.2 %), fol-
of these varies from region to region. For
lowed by the Flemish Region (44.3 %) and
example, about 80 % of the forested areas
the Brussels-Capital Region (0.5 %). Bel-
are found in the southern part of the coun- Figure 2.3: Land use in Belgium in 2014
gium has three zones of elevation, oriented
try. On the other hand, northern Belgium is
east-west and south-west: the coastal plain, 1%
noted for its semi-natural grasslands, wet-
the central plateau and the uplands. The
lands, heathlands and coastal dunes [14].
highest points of the uplands constitute a 12%
ridge peaking at 694 metres at the ‘Signal
de Botrange’. 2.3.3. Land use Total agricultural land
Agricultural land occupies the main 20% 44% Forests and other wooded areas
part of the terrestrial surface (44 %), fol- Built-up areas and related plots
lowed by forests (23 %) and built-up areas
Other
(20 %) (Figure 2.3). Built-up areas are in-
Water
creasing every year, mainly at the expense
23%
of agricultural land. Forests and other
wooded areas remain relatively stable.

Source: FPS Economy – FPS Economy - Directorate-General Statistics and Economic Information [1]

2. National circumstances relevant to greenhouse gas emissions and removals 17


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2.4. Climate profile

Its latitude and the proximity of the sea The number of heat waves and their
warmed by the Gulf Stream give Belgium length exhibits a wavy pattern with a first
a temperate maritime climate character- maximum in the 1940s and a clearly up-
ised by moderate temperatures, prevail- ward trend line since the 1970s [12].
ing southerly to westerly winds, abundant
Each decade there are 3 extra summer
cloud cover and frequent precipitation.
days (Tmax ≥ 25 °C) and every two decades
Summers are relatively cool and humid
there is an extra heat wave day (Tmax ≥
and winters relatively mild and rainy.
30 °C). With regard to the number of win-
The temperature measurements in Bel- ter days (Tmax <  0 °C) and freezing days
gium (Uccle) have indicated a significant (Tmin <  0 °C), all recorded measurements
upward trend since the end of the 19th cen- show a downward trend. [4]
Figure 2.4: Trend in average temperature (Uccle, 1833-2016) tury. The increase almost stops halfway
The amount of precipitation shows a
through the 20th century but since then the
very high variability over time. The annu-
temperature has started to increase even
al amount of precipitation in Uccle shows
quicker. In recent years, the temperature
a slow, but significant, rising trend. Be-
shows a constant increase of 0.4 °C per
tween 1833 and the beginning of the 21st
decade [4].
century, there was a significant increase
The annual average temperature in Uc- in annual accumulations (about 7 %), as
cle is almost 2.4 °C higher in 2016 than it well as winter and spring accumulations
was in the pre-industrial period. The av- (approximately 15 %) [4]. The number of
erage temperature in all four seasons has days with heavy precipitation (1951-2013)
risen, with the greatest rise being recorded and the maximum amount of precipitation
in spring (Figure 2.4) [12; 13]. in 5, 10 and 15 days (1880-2013) have also
increased significantly [12].
The year 2014 was the warmest in
Brussels (Uccle) (beating the previous re- For more information on observed past
cord of 2011) since the beginning of mete- climate trends (heat waves, precipitation,
orological measurements in 1833. The 18 evaporation, extreme events, etc.), we refer
warmest years have occurred in the last 26 to Chapter 6).
years (after 1988) [4].

Source: based on data from the Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium

2. National circumstances relevant to greenhouse gas emissions and removals 18


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2.5. Economic profile 2.6. Energy profile

The gross domestic product (GDP), the Belgium has a very open economy, 2.6.1. Demand energy consumption amounted to 8.1 % in
total production of goods and services, has situated at the heart of a zone of intense 2015 (see Table 2.1).
increased constantly since 1990 (with a economic activity. In addition, the port Primary energy consumption [9]
Energy intensity (the ratio of primary
small drop related to the financial crisis in of Antwerp ranks second in Europe (after The total primary energy consumption energy consumption to GDP expressed in
2008-2009). The Belgian GDP amounted Rotterdam) and is one of the world’s top in 2015 amounted to 53.27 Mtoe. With the volume) measures the quantity of energy
to 421.611 billion euros in 2016 (average 10. Export of goods and services repre- exception of 2014, it is the lowest level of consumed by the economy to generate one
GDP growth 2005-2015: 1.2 %1). Although sented 84.41 % of the GDP in 2015 and primary energy consumption during the production unit. It has been following a
the population of Belgium only represents imports nearly 82.74 %, meaning that the last decade. The technical problems in nu- downward trend since 1990.
about 2.2 % of the total European popula- country registered a slight profit [15]. This clear plants have caused a decrease of the
tion, its GDP at market prices represents trade occurs in large part with the Europe- consumption of nuclear energy (-22.6 % The Belgian primary energy intensity
2.8 % of the GDP of the European Union an market. Half of Belgium’s export is sold compared to 2014), which was compen- is continuously higher than the Europe-
[1]. to Germany, France and the Netherlands, sated by a higher import of electricity an average. This can be explained by the
and one fourth to other EU Member States. (+17.1 %) and an increased consumption presence of energy-intensive industries (oil
Services currently make up close
Imports follow more or less the same pro- of natural gas (+10.1 %). The share of re- refineries, cokes plants, concrete mixing
to 70 % of the added value of the differ-
portions. This situation reflects Belgium’s newable energy and waste in the primary plants).
ent branches of economic activity (trade,
role as the hub of the European Union.
transport and horeca represent the largest
share in 2015 with 25.5 % of total produc- Belgium also benefits from the pres-
tion, followed by public administration ence of the European Commission in its
and education with 19.3 % and business capital, along with a high concentration
Table 2.1: Primary energy consumption in Belgium in 2015 per energy source
services with 17.9 %) [1]. of international agencies and service com-
panies. Other international organisations,
such as NATO, are also headquartered in Energy source Mtoe TJ  %
Belgium. Oil and oil products 22.9 960 773 43
Natural gas 14.0 584 608 26
Greenhouse gas emissions per GDP
Solid fossil fuels 3.2 133 942 6
unit were 287 tonnes per billion EUR in
Nuclear energy 6.8 284 811 13
2015 (excl. LULUCF).
Renewable energy and waste 4.3 180 468 8
Other 2.0 85 707 4
Total 53.3 2 230 310

Source: FPS Economy [9]


1
Source: EUROSTAT.

2. National circumstances relevant to greenhouse gas emissions and removals 19


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Final energy consumption [9] industry (naphtha, natural gas), also ac- 2.6.2. Offer [9] The government has programmed the
count for a substantial part of consumption Belgium has limited energy resources, withdrawal from nuclear energy2.
Final energy consumption, i.e. gross
(20.4 %). its total primary energy production is 10.7
apparent energy consumption after deduc- The dependency on fossil fuel imports
tion of processing activities and energy In the industrial sector, petroleum Mtoe (representing approximately 20 % of to meet domestic demand is very high. In
loss, amounted to 43.2 Mtoe in 2015. The (17 %) is clearly overtaken by natural gas, Belgium’s total primary energy consump- 2015, the ratio between net-imports and
final energy consumption is strongly de- which maintained a market share of 35 % tion). Belgium is consequently highly de- primary energy consumption was 95 %.
pendant on weather conditions. in 2015 while electricity accounts for 30 %. pendent on other countries for supply. Alongside petroleum imports, the country
63.7 % of Belgian energy production also imports natural gas. For the last decade
In terms of market shares of total fi- In the residential (and equivalent) sec-
consists of nuclear energy. The share of Belgium was a net-importer of electricity,
nal consumption, oil products remain the tor, natural gas remained the leading fuel
renewable fuels and waste amounts to except in 2009. Belgium has imported a re-
dominant energy source, followed by natu- in 2015 with 38 % followed by petroleum
26.5 %. The primary energy production on cord amount of 21.0 TWh (or 25.7 % of the
ral gas and electricity (see Table 2.2). The (29 %) and electricity (27 %).
the basis of wind and sun has seen the big- electricity consumption) in 2015.
shares of the different energy sources in
Consumption in the transport sector is gest improvement since 2010 (+337.9 %).
the final energy consumption remain rather
dominated by petroleum products (95 %).
stable. Despite the temporary closure of three 2.6.3. Electricity and gas prices
The remaining share is provided by biofu-
In Belgium, the residential sector is els (bioethanol and biodiesel) and electric- important nuclear power plants (Doel 3, An average Belgian household paid
the top final consumer of primary energy ity (railway transport). Non-energy con- Doel 4 and Tihange 2), the share of nuclear 23.52 eurocent/kWh for its electricity in
(32.2 %), followed by industry (25.8 %) sumption is also dominated by petroleum amounts to 36.9 % in the gross electricity 2015 and 6.03 eurocent/kWh for its natural
and transport (21.5 %). Non-energy uses, products (86 %), completed by natural gas production (2.24 Mtoe), followed by natu- gas in 2015.
an activity indicator for the petrochemical (12 %). ral gas (32.3 %, 1.96 Mtoe). The remaining
The energy share in electricity price
production comes from renewable ener-
represented a bit more than one third of
gy and waste, solid fuels and gasses from
the total electricity bill in 2015 while the
steelmaking processes and pumped hydro.
network tariffs constitute almost half of
Table 2.2: Final energy consumption in Belgium in 2015 per energy source
The use of petroleum products and sol- the bill (42.9 %)3 and taxes represent 21 %
id fossil fuels has decreased strongly in fa- of the total bill (VAT-tariff for residential
Energy source Mtoe TJ  % vour of renewable energy and waste. consumers increased from 6 % to 21 % on
Oil products 22.6 903 560 51.7 1 September 2015).
The installed capacity of nuclear pow-
Natural gas 9.9 412 826 23.6
er plants (5.9  GW) represents 28.0 % of
Solid fossil fuels 1.0 43 472 2.5
2
Law on the Phase-out of nuclear energy for in-
the total installed capacity in Belgium at dustrial electricity production of 31 January 2003
Electricity 7.0 294 223 16.8 the end of 2015 (21 146  MW). There are (published in MB on 28 February 2003) and
amended by decision of the restricted ministerial
Heat 0.5 21 436 1.2 8.5 GW of classic thermal plants, which committee of 4 July 2012 on the package decisions
Renewable energy and waste 1.7 72 009 4.1 corresponds to 40.2 % of the total installed on security of electricity supply. Following the
capacity. approval of the Nuclear Safety Authority, the cur-
Total 41.7 1 747 526 rent government extended the long-term operation
of the three oldest nuclear power plant units from
2015 to 2025.
3
Network tariffs have risen annually since 2007
Source: FPS Economy [9] mainly due to the support mechanisms for photo-
voltaic installations.

2. National circumstances relevant to greenhouse gas emissions and removals 20


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The average annual maximum price for numerous wind turbine projects, particu-
oil products has dropped slightly in 2013, larly offshore, is expected to make a signif-
2014 and 2015. This is the result of the de- icant contribution to achieving this target.
crease of the oil price on the international
The production of renewable electricity
markets.
has grown strongly in the last decade.
Support programmes have helped in-
2.6.4. Renewable energy crease the share of renewable electricity
Belgium has made progress in develop- from 7.8 % in 2009 to 19 % in 2014, but
ing renewable energy in recent years. green certificates systems, together with a
In 2015, the share of renewable energy drop in deployment costs (especially for
amounted to 7.88 % of total final energy solar PV), led to overcompensation and ex-
consumption. The rising share of renew- cess demand for installations, therefore the
able energy in final energy consumption support levels were reduced several times
Figure 2.5: Contribution of different sources to gross electricity generation from by the authorities in 2012-14 [8].
has slowed down in the last two years [9].
renewable sources (2015)
Directive 2009/28 of the European The main sources of renewable elec-
Union sets a target for Belgium of 13 % re- tricity production are wind energy, solar
0,90 % 2,20 % newable sources in final gross energy con- energy and solid biomass. [9]
sumption by 2020. The implementation of
6,60 %

21,20 % 2.7. Transport


Hydraulic

24,60 % Solar photovoltaic


Wind
2.7.1. General description The consumption in the transport sec-
Municipal waste tor is dominated by petroleum products
Belgium, which is densely populated
Solid biomass
and situated at the centre of Europe, is a (95 %), it represents 59.9 % of the ener-
6,00 % Biogas major centre for transit. The country’s gy consumption of petroleum products in
38,50 % Liquid biofuels economic activity, which is strongly ex- 2015. [9]
port-oriented, requires a dense road and Road transport is the most energy-con-
rail network (one of the densest in the Eu- suming means in Belgium (9 Mtoe in 2015
ropean Union), and also relies on inland [9]), consuming the most energy per unit
waterways. The expansion of the intra-Eu- transported by km on land.
ropean area has further increased transit
Source: FPS Economy, SMEs, Self-employed and Energy [9] traffic, resulting in constant growth of
transport (particularly road and air).

2. National circumstances relevant to greenhouse gas emissions and removals 21


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2.7.2. Passenger transport ing developed fast enough at the moment The growing saturation of roads, more- According to the Federal Planning bu-
The number of passenger cars has in- to offset the rise in energy consumption over, is leading to an increase in fuel con- reau, the number of passenger kilometres
creased over time (from Figure 2.6). The linked to increased road traffic. sumption (and emissions). will grow by 11 % between 2012 and 2030
motorisation rate remains high with 5.7 (+21.8 % for cars, +9.1 % for train, -26 %
With regard to passenger kilometres As an alternative means of transport,
million cars for 11 million inhabitants in for bus, +0.2 % for trams, +16.7 % for sub-
travelled, cars are the main means of trans- the sale of two-wheeled motor vehicles
2016. way, +8.7 % for walk/bike, +4 % for mo-
port in Belgium (76.1 % of all motorised is rising and the use of bicycles is more
torcycles) [2].
Recent trends also tend to demonstrate mobility in 2014 were by car or motorcy- common in northern Belgium. While in
cle) but public modes of transport are ex- Brussels this trend is also on the rise, it is
that new technologies which serve in
stagnating in Wallonia.
boosting vehicle fuel efficiency are not be- panding [2] (Table 2.3).

Figure 2.6: Evolution of total number of passenger cars registered in Belgium Table 2.3: Evolution of motorized road mobility in 2014
by fuel type (1990-2016)

Evolution car fleet


PUBLIC TRANSPORT
7 000 000 CARs and motorbikes (underground, tram, RAILWAY
6 000 000 bus, coaches)
5 000 000
4 000 000
3 000 000
RELATIVE
2 000 000
SHARE of
1 000 000 passengers transport 76.1 % 16.3 % 7.6 %
0 (in passenger km)
( %) in 2014
1991

1993

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999

2001

2003

2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

2011

2013

2015
2016
1990

1992

1994

2000

2002

2004

2010

2012

2014

Gasoline Diesel LPG CNG Electr. Plugin-hybrid Hybrid Other


in 2000 82 % 11 % 6 %

Source: Federal Public Service mobility and transport Source: Federal planning bureau (based on European Commission (2016), European transport in figures 2016)

2. National circumstances relevant to greenhouse gas emissions and removals 22


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2.7.3. Transport of goods 2.8. Industrial sector


The road transport of goods by vehicles
registered in Belgium (ton-kms of Belgian
trucks carried out in Belgium and abroad)
has declined since 2000 (both in terms of Although Belgium’s economy has be- –– greenhouse gas emissions from energy –– greenhouse gas emissions from energy
tonnes transported and ton-kms) [1] (cf. come mainly based on service sectors, its combustion, mainly through the pro- transformation of the manufacturing
Table 2.4). industrial sector continues to be a relative- duction of electricity and heat, but also industry distributed between the iron
Road transport still accounts for most ly important component of Belgium’s eco- from oil refining; and steel industry, the chemical indus-
of land transport (31 808 million tkm in nomic activity (almost 15 % of GDP). [1] –– greenhouse gas emissions from indus- try, food and beverage processing and
2014), as it continues to be flexible, reliable Table 2.5 shows the progression of added trial processes, mainly from the chem- cement plants.
and offer a competitive price, followed by value in the main branches of economic ical industry (petrochemicals, but also
inland waterways (10 451 million tkm in activity since 2007. production of nitric acid and ammo-
2014) and rail transport (7 593 million tkm nia), mineral products industry (includ- For more information, we refer to
The sectors of industry that contribute
in 2014). ing cement and lime production) and Chapter 2 of NC6 and Chapter 3 of this
most to greenhouse gas emissions are sub-
metallurgy; report.
According to the Federal Planning bu- divided into three categories, according to
reau, the number of tonnes-kilometre/year the source of emissions:
will grow by 40 % between 2012 and 2030
(national transport) [2].
Table 2.5: GDP – Gross added value by economic activity, estimation at current prices
(in millions, gross data) [1]

Growth
2007 2013 2014 2015 2015/2007 2015/2014
Agriculture,
3 048 2 781 2 518 2 257 -26.0 % -10.4 %
forestry, fishery
Table 2.4: Evolution of goods transport by road by Belgian trucks Industry 60 811 58 521 59 048 59 819 -0.6 % 1.3 %
in Belgium and abroad Construction 16 698 19 490 20 319 20 549 23.0 % 1.1 %
Services 227 738 270 479 270 479 283 682 24.4 % 2.7 %
Other
Million tonnes km Evolution 36 774 41 405 42 243 43 101 17.3 % 2.0 %
components
(2001) (2014) 2014/2001 ( %) GDP at market
345 069 392 675 400 408 409 407 18.8 % 2.2 %
Road 53 158 31 808 -40.2 % price

Source: FPS Economy - Belgium statistics [1] Source: FPS Economy - Belgium statistics [1]

2. National circumstances relevant to greenhouse gas emissions and removals 23


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2.9. Waste The quantity of municipal waste has


increased until 2007. From 2007 to 2015,
this figure dropped by 15 % (Figure 2.8).
Significant improvements in waste
Overall, waste generated in Belgium
treatment have helped to sharply reduce
rose to 65 573 thousand tonnes (2014), a
the amount of waste put into landfills. The
24 % increase compared to 20044. The ma-
distribution between the different waste
jor waste producers are industry (41.7 %)
treatment methods remains stable these
and construction (40.2 %) (cf. Figure 2.7).
last years (Figure 2.9). The problem of re-
‘Waste’ means any substance or object which the
4 ducing waste production remains a priority
holder discards or intends or is required to discard issue for the authorities.
(art. 3 of EU directive 2008/98/EC on waste and
repealing certain Directives).
Figure 2.7: Waste production by economic activity (2004-2014)

35000
Figure 2.8: Evolution of the quantity of municipal waste generated per inhabitant
32.652 32.052 (1995-2015)
Waste production (in thousands of tonnes)

31.139
30000
27.335
26.467
25000 26.383 500
23.410 24.570
20000 490

Municipal waste generated (kg/inhabitant)


15.442 18.165
13.090 480
15000
11.051
9.959 470
10000
6.877 5.885 5.895
8.972 4.745
5.024 460
5000
5.337 5.960 6.128 5.647
1.187 362 4.459 288 231 212 450
0 313
440
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
430

Agriculture Industry Construction Services Households 420


410
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

Source: Belgium statistics on surveys and administrative sources (OVAM (Public Waste Agency of Flanders), IBGE-
BIM (Brussels Institute for the Management of the Environment), DGARNE (Directorate-General Agriculture, Natural
Resources and the Environment) and models. Additional data and information: Eurostat Source: Eurostat

2. National circumstances relevant to greenhouse gas emissions and removals 24


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2.10. Housing stock [1, 7]

Belgium counted 4 472 925 buildings


in January 2015. Since 1995, the number
of buildings has increased by 12 %. Over
the same period, the number of dwellings
increased by 20 % (5 318 905 units). The
Belgian housing stock remains old. The
age of the buildings varies from one region
to another. In Flanders, 29.6 % of the build-
ings were built after 1981, compared with
19.5 % in Wallonia and only 6.2 % in the
Brussels-Capital Region.
In 2016, 77.7 % of households lived in
a single-family house and 21.9 % in a flat
Figure 2.9: Distribution of municipal waste treatment methods (source: EUROSTAT).
More than 80 % of households have
600 central heating. The main heating source in
500 Belgium is natural gas.
400 In addition to heating, a significant
Kg/inhabitant

amount of energy is also consumed by do-


300
mestic appliances. For a detailed overview
200 of these appliances we refer to NC6 (Table
100
2.18).
Private households spent on average
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 29 % of their budget for housing in 2014,
of which 5 % is spent for gas (2 %), elec-
Collection Incineration without energy recovery tricity (2 %) and other fuels (1 %).
Landfill (including incineration slag) Recycling
Incineration with energy recovery Compost and fermentation
Almost 8 % of households have photo-
voltaic panels at home.

Source: Belgium statistics based on surveys and administrative sources

2. National circumstances relevant to greenhouse gas emissions and removals 25


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2.11. Agriculture and forestry [1, 5]

Agriculture in Belgium, favoured by ganic farms was 9.1 %) (Table 2.6). There Despite a high population density,
fertile soil and a temperate climate, is spe- is also a very high increase in the number forests and other natural areas remain rel-
cialised in market garden and horticultural of certified organic cattle. atively stable (23 % of the territory). The
crops, cereals, potatoes, sugar beets, stock distribution of forests in Belgium is shown
farming and milk production. Due to the in Table 2.7.  ■
short coastline, fishing has relatively limit-
ed importance as an economic activity. Al-
though farmland covers most of Belgium Table 2.6: Number of farms, surface area (km2) and number of cattle in organic
(44 % of the territory), its surface area is farming for the 1987-2014 period in Belgium
shrinking and giving way to buildings.
The share of agriculture in the Belgian 1987 1997 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
economy, which was already very low, Number of organic farms 109 291 1 140 1 262 1 389 1 487 1 630 1 717 1 923
continues its decline and is now less than Surface area (km2) 10 68.2 487 546.1 596.8 624.7 666.9 687.8 782.5
1 % of GDP. But if we associate the food Number of cattle 64 009 69 076 72 487 76 214 76 443 80 269 88 682
industry, the place of the agro-food sector
becomes much more important. Moreover,
the relative share of the agro-food sector is
also much higher in exports (up to 11.2 % Source: FPS Economy Belgium statistics
in 2014).
The major characteristic of the Bel-
gian agricultural sector is the structural Table 2.7: Forest cover in Belgium (2015)
reduction of the number of farms (36 910
in 2016). As the total area of all farms de- Forest area (km2)
creases less rapidly, the average surface Total area (km2) Forest cover ( %)  % total forest area
Forest Other wooded land
area per farm is growing (it has almost tri-
Wallonia 16 844 5 259 322 33.1 77.8
pled in 35 years).
Flanders 13 522 1 558 15 11.6 21.9
Organic farming is developing quick- Brussels-Capital 162 17 0 10.5 0.2
ly in terms of surface area and number of Belgium 30 528 6 830 360 23.5 100.0
farms (between 2010 and 2016, the aver-
age annual growth rate of the number of or-
Sources: FAO [11]

2. National circumstances relevant to greenhouse gas emissions and removals 26


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References [8] Energy Policies of IEA Countries, Bel-


gium review 2016, IEA
[1] Chiffres-clés 2016, Aperçu statistique de
[9] ENERGY Key data 2015, FPS Economy,
la Belgique (Key figures 2016, Statisti-
SMEs, Self-employed and Energy
cal overview of Belgium) – FPS Econo-
my - Directorate-General Statistics and [10] Evolution des immatriculations de
Economic Information) http://statbel. vehicules neufs (Evolution in the reg-
fgov.be/fr/binaries/2_WEB_FR_kernci- istration of new vehicles) – FEBIAC
jfers_2016_tcm326-280618.pdf (the Belgian automobile and cycling
association) http://www.febiac.be/statis-
[2] Indicators complementary to GDP -
tiques/2016/2.B.1.%20Evolution%20
Federal planning bureau http://www.
des%20immatriculations%20de%20
indicators.be/
v%E9hicules%20neufs.xls
[3] Long-term projections of transport de-
[11] Evaluation des ressources forestières
mand in Belgium by 2030, Federal Plan-
mondiales 2015 (Global Forest Resourc-
ning Bureau, Federal Public service mo-
es Assessment), national report, Bel-
bility and transport, 2015
gium - FAO Rome, 2014 http://www.
[4] Vigilance Climatique, RMI, 2015 fao.org/3/a-az164f.pdf
[5] Chiffres-clés 2017 de l’agriculture, [12] MIRA Climate Report 2015, Vlaamse
L’agriculture en Belgique en chiffres Milieumaatschappij (Flemish Environ-
(Key figures for agriculture, 2017 Ag- ment Agency)
riculture in Belgium in figures) – FPS
[13] MIRA Climate Change indicators on
Economy - Directorate-General Statis-
www.milieurapport.be/en/facts-figures/
tics and Economic Information
environmental-themes/climate-change/
[6] Comptes nationaux – Comptes financi-
[14] Fifth National Report of Belgium to the
ers trimestriels: 3e trimestre 2016 – Na-
Convention on Biological Diversity,
tional Accounts Institute, National Bank
2014 https://www.cbd.int/doc/world/be/
of Belgium ISSN 1780-4388 online)
be-nr-05-en.doc
https://www.nbb.be/doc/dq/f/dq3/histo/
sfb16iv.pdf [15] Exports of goods and services ( % of
GDP) in Belgium http://www.trading-
[7] Survey of household budgets 2012-2014,
economics.com/belgium/exports-of-
FPS Economy – Belgium statitics http://
goods-and-services-percent-of-gdp-wb-
statbel.fgov.be/fr/statistiques/collecte_
data.html
donnees/enquetes/budget_des_me-
nages/

2. National circumstances relevant to greenhouse gas emissions and removals 27


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3.1 Summary tables 3.2 Analysis of trends

Inventory information presented in this


chapter1 is extracted from the 20172 sub- 3.2.1 General trends
mission following the UNFCCC recom- Total greenhouse gas emissions (with-

3. Gree n h o u s e
mendations (Annotated Outline for Fifth out LULUCF) in Belgium amounted to
National Communications of Annex I Par- 117.4Mt eq. CO2 in 2015 (CTF Table 1)
ties under the UNFCCC, including Report-

ga s i n v e n t o r y
and to 115.5 Mt eq. CO2 (with LULUCF).
ing Elements under the Kyoto Protocol). This represents a decrease of -19.7 % com-
This inventory includes emissions data for pared to 1990 and -20.7 % compared to
the years 1990 to 2015.

i nfor m a t i o n
Base year emissions (with 1995 for F-gas-
Evolution of GHG emissions and re- es).
movals as well as GHG emissions and re- The major greenhouse gas in Belgium
movals in the main sectors from 1990 to is carbon dioxide (CO2), which accounted
2015 are provided in CTF Table 1. for 85.4 % of total GHG emissions in 2015.
Methane (CH4) accounts for 6.9 %, nitrous
oxide (N2O) for 5.1 %, and fluorinated
gases for 2.7 % (Figure 3.2). Emissions
of CO2 decreased by 16.6 % during 1990-
2015, while CH4, N2O and fluorinated gas
emissions have dropped with respective-
ly 33.9 %, 41.2 % and 43.2 %3 during the
same period.
An overview of the contribution of the
main sectors to Belgium greenhouse gas
emissions is given in Figure 3.3. Manufac-
1
Expressed as CO2 equivalents, i.e. taking into ac-
count the overall warming effect of each of the turing industry, energy industries, trans-
gases, which is used to evaluate the relative con- port and space heating (residential) are the
tribution to global warming of the emission in the most important sectors in the total GHG
atmosphere of a kg of specific greenhouse gas, as
opposed to the emission of a kg of CO2 and taking emissions in 2015.
into account their life spans and their respective ra-
diation powers (CO2= 1, CH4 = 25 and N2O = 298). “Others” includes “Fugitive Emissions
A kg of CH4 therefore has the same effect as 25kg from Fuels”, “Other Combustion” and
of CO2 over a 100 year period.
2
The data correspond to the submission of April
2017. 3
Compared to 1995 emissions

28
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Figure 3.2: Share of greenhouse gases in Belgium (2015)

2% 0% 0%

5%
7%
CO2
CH4
N2O
85%
HFCs
PFCs
SF6+NF3

Figure 3.1: Belgium GHG emissions 1990-2015 (excl. LULUCF). Unit: Index point
(base year emissions = 100). For the fluorinated gases, the base year is 1995

110% Figure 3.3: Share of the main sectors in 2015


105%
1.4% 0.6%
100%

Energy industries
Index (BYE = 100)

95% 10.3%
18.1% Industry
90% 4.9%
Transport
85%
Residential
80% 13.8% Commercial
75% Agriculture (+ CRF 1.A..c)
28.3%
70% Waste
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 Others (CRF : 1.B, A.A.5)
22.6%
Total GHG emissions without LULUCF

3. Greenhouse gas inventory information 29


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“Solvent and Other Product Use”. Com- slightly compared to 2014 (2014 is cur-
bustion of agriculture are included in “Ag- rently the mildest year observed in Bel-
Table 3.1: Total GHG emissions for Belgium (excluding LULUCF) in 2015 with the riculture” sector. gium). Emissions in 2014 were the lowest
respective verified emissions reported by installations and operators under Directive for all the time series.
2003/87/EC (Emission Trading Scheme) Figure 3.4 summarises the impact of
the main sectors on the national trend. It This trend is counterbalanced by the
2015 emission in Gg CO2-eq clearly shows the sharp increase in road 26.9 % decrease in emissions in the other
transport on the one hand but also the in- sectors, particularly manufacturing in-
ETS emissions (Directive 2003/87/EC) 44 714
crease of emissions from buildings in the dustry (combustions & process recorded
ESD emissions (Decision 406/2009/EC) 72 719
commercial sector on the other hand. Since a 32.9 % decrease since 1990 explaining
Other (NF3 and CRF 1A3a Domestic aviation) 10
1990, those two sectors together grew by 13.9 % of decrease in total emissions) and
Total emissions without LULUCF 117 443 29 % and have been responsible for a 6.2 % energy industries (emissions recorded a
increase in total emissions. In 2015, the 29.1 % decrease since 1990 explaining
residential sector has emisisons increased 7.4 % of decrease in total emissions).
The drivers of these trends are analysed
Figure 3.4: Impact of!"$$%&!
!"#$%& the main sectors
'#$%&!on the '$$%&
global trend!(#$%&
1990-2015!($$%&
(Gg CO2 eq.)!#$%& -20%$$%& #$%& ($$%& and commented on the following pages,
sector by sector.
Total (ex. LULCF)
-28 851 -47% “Others” includes “Fugitive Emissions
Others
(CRF: 1.B, 1.A.5)
-646 from Fuels”, “Other Combustion” and
-29% “Solvent and Other Product Use”. Com-
Waste -2 733 bustion of agriculture are included in “Ag-
-63% riculture” sector.
Agriculture
(+ CRF 1.A.4.c)
-3 157 The split between emissions report-
34%
ed under the Effort Sharing Decision
Commercial 1 458 (EC/406/2009) and emissions covered by
the Emission trading Scheme (Directive
- 4563 -22%
Residential EC/2003/87) is presented in Table 3.1.
28%
Transport 5 830
-33%
Industry -16 292
-29%
Energy industries -8 749
-35 000 -30 000 -25 000 -20 000 -15 000 -10 000 -5 000 0 5 000 10 000

Absolute change versus BYE (Gg CO2 eq.) Change in %

3. Greenhouse gas inventory information 30


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3.2.2 Energy production and planned shut-down for inspection -


The main source for this sector is pub- maintenance- and renovation works. This
lic electricity and heat generation (1A1a), was the case in 2011 for one of the biggest
which accounted for 78 % of sectoral emis- refineries.
sions in 2015. Petroleum refining (1A1b) As mentioned above, the main driver in
and manufacture of solid fuels (1A1c) ac- this sector is still public electricity and heat
counted for 22.5 % and 1 % respectively. generation although the sector is experi-
Emissions from the manufacturing of encing a sharp decline since 2010. While
solid fuels have decreased by more than electricity and heat production have risen
93 % since 1990 (-1 884 Gg CO2 equiva- by 39 % between 1990 and 2014, emis-
lent) due to the closure of six coke plants sions have decreased (-30 %) due to tech-
in 1993, 1995, 1997, 2000, 2005 and 2010. nological improvements, increase of the
In 2015, emissions from petroleum refin- number of combined heat-power installa-
ing are 7 % higher as compared to 1990. tions and the switch from solid fuels (coal)
Emissions in this sector can fluctuate de- to gaseous fuels (natural gas) and renew-
Figure 3.5: GHG emissions from public electricity and heat generation, in relation to pending on the general economic context able fuels. This is illustrated in Figure 3.5.
gross electricity generation (excluding nuclear) [1]

200%

180% GHG emissions


public electricity
160% and heat
Index (1990 = 100)

140% Gross electricity


and heat production
120%

100% Energy consumption

80%

60%

40%
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

3. Greenhouse gas inventory information 31


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3.2.3 Manufacturing industries In the chemical sector, fuel consump-


In the manufacturing industries, added tion (non-energy use of fuels are exclud-
value4 has increased by 45 % in 2015 since ed) has decreased by 10 % between 1990
1995, while greenhouse gas emissions and 2006, compared to 65 % added val-
(combustions) decreased by 40 % in the ue growth [1]. This major decoupling is
same period (only emissions from combus- linked to both rational energy use and high
tion are considered here). added-value products. In 2014, this sector
represents 24 % of energy consumption in
As illustrated in Figure 3.6, fuel energy the manufacturing industries.
consumption decreased by 21 % between
1990 and 2015 (and by 26 % if we consider Food processing and beverages repre-
2009). This strong decrease is obviously sented 11.6 % of energy consumption in
due to the impact of the economic crisis the manufacturing industries in 2006, but
Figure 3.6: Manufacturing industries: index of GHG emissions, energy consumption in the iron and steel sector. The apparent 13 to 14 % of added value [1]. The diversi-
and added value [2] decoupling of added value and energy ty of the plants in this sector does not allow
consumption can be attributed to various a detailed analysis of the trend; only cer-
drivers according to sectors. tain types of plants are commented upon
160%
here. In sugar plants, for example, some
In the iron and steel industry, many products with high added value, such as
140%
plants have switched to electric furnaces inulin and fructose, have been developed
since 1990. For example, the share of iron but the main driver is still the sugar beet
120% and steel plants using electricity increased yield (quantity and sugar content), which
from 9 % in 1990 to 35 % in 2011. This is is highly climate-dependent.
100% the main cause of the apparent decreasing
energy consumption, while stable added In cement plants, the decoupling be-
value is observed in this sector. Because of tween energy consumption and total pro-
Index (1995 = 100)

80%
the re-allocation between the energetic and duction is linked to the production process:
the process emissions in the iron & steel the dry process, which is considerably less
60%
sector since the 2015 submission, this sec- energy-demanding, is gradually replacing
tor represents now only 8 % of the energy the wet process and is now (2015) used for
40%
consumption through combustions in 2014 78 % of clinkers production compared to
by the manufacturing industries and conse- 61 % in 1990.
20%
quently its impact on the global trend has Figure 3.6 also shows a decrease in
0% decreased. greenhouse gas emissions for an equal
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 level of energy consumption. One reason
is the increasing use of gaseous fuels, cou-
GHG emissions (combustion) Energy consumption Added value
Gross added value of sector 1A2, estimates in
4 pled with a decrease in liquid and solid
chained EUR (reference year 2005) - Federal Plan-
ning Bureau

3. Greenhouse gas inventory information 32


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fuels observed across all sectors. This is fuels; therefore the CO2 emissions are not 3.2.4 Industrial processes the chemical industry (42 % of emissions
illustrated in Figure 3.7. accounted for in the national emissions. The ‘industrial processes and F-gases’ of which 57 % just for the petrochemical
sector covers emissions from industrial industry and 5 % for nitric acid and 17 %
The increasing use of ‘other fuels’ re- Half of the biomass fuels used in Bel-
activity, but not resulting from fossil fuel for ammonia production), the mineral
flects that cement plants have been using gium comes from the pulp and paper sec-
combustion. In 2015, these emissions of products (22.5 % of emissions of which
more and more substitute fuels since 1990, tor, where part of the woody raw material
greenhouse gases were mainly caused by 53 % for cement and 38 % for lime pro-
such as impregnated sawmills, animal has always been used as fuel in pulp pa-
waste, tyres, etc. Those fuels represented per plants. The consumption increased by
51 % of their energy consumption in 2015 288 % from 1990 to 2014 in this sector
compared to 8 % in 1990. The non-biomass while the increase is multiplied by almost Figure 3.8: Greenhouse gas emissions in the industrial processes sector (Gg CO2-eq)
fraction of these fuels is included in the 5 for all the manufacturing industries re-
‘other fuels’ category. The biomass frac- flecting the development of this fuel since 35 000
tion of these fuels is included in biomass the 2000s.

30 000

Figure 3.7: Type of fuels used in the manufacturing industries


25 000
200 000

180 000 20 000

160 000
15 000

140 000
Emissions in Gg CO2-eq.

120 000 10 000


Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuel
100 000 Biomass Other fossil fuels
5 000

80 000

0
60 000
90 991 992 993 994 995 996 997 998 999 000 001 002 003 004 005 006 007 008 009 010 011 012 013 014 015
19 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
40 000
A. Mineral Industry E. Electronic industry (f-gas)
20 000 B. Chemical industry F. Product uses as ODS substitutes (f-gas)
C. Metal industry G. Other product manufacture and use (f-gas)
0 D. Non-energy products from fuels and solvent use H. Other
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

3. Greenhouse gas inventory information 33


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duction), the metal production (19.5 % of 3.2.4.3 Metal production now also controlled at the EU level as well one of the key parameters used to analyse
emissions - sharply down since 2009 due as in other major industrialized countries. the sector energy consumption. This is par-
In the iron and steel sector, greenhouse
to economic crisis). Besides 14.5 % of Recently, the Montreal Protocol has been ticularly clear for 1996 and 2010 which
gas emissions decreased by 63 % in 2015
these emissions are caused by the ‘product mandated to manage this problem through were cold years with a marked peak of
compared to 1990. This is in line with the
uses as ODS substitutes’. the Kigali Amendment. Calendars of re- emissions from heating, but also for 2007,
economic crisis that has hit the iron and
duction have been agreed upon, as well as 2011 and 2014, three years with exception-
steel sector in 2009 with a decrease in ac-
financial support for the developing coun- ally mild winters, which caused a sharp
3.2.4.1 Mineral products tivity of almost 50 % in all sub-sectors.
tries. The industry starts proposing fluori- drop in consumption. Recently, rising en-
These emissions occur during the pro- nated alternative with much lower impact ergy prices and improving building insula-
duction of clinkers, lime and glass (decar- 3.2.4.4 Fluorinated gases on the environment but other solutions tion have probably also contributed to con-
bonation of calcium carbonates) and are Emissions of fluorinated gases ac- using natural refrigerants (ammonia, hy- sumption reductions. Since 1990, gaseous
closely linked to production levels, which counted for 2.7 % of total greenhouse gas drocarbons and cardon dioxide) are rapidly fuels consumption has increased in the
are stable on the whole. emissions without LULUCF in 2015. A developing and enhancing. residential sector (stationary combustion)
distinction is made between ‘production from 34 to 50 % of total energy consump-
Many SF6 uses are now banned under
emissions’, which are fugitive emissions tion (without electricity and heat), together
3.2.4.2 Chemicals the EU regulation but the major use re-
during the production process, and ‘con- with a decrease in solid fuels and liquid
maining is the insulation of high voltage
Despite the closure of two nitric acid sumption emissions’, which are those oc- fuels (this is probably explained by a com-
switchgear (electricity transport and distri-
plants (one in 1995 and another in 2000), curring during the use or dismantling of bined effect of price and policy measures
bution). However, SF6 consumption emis-
the production of nitric acid in the two re- existing equipment and products. promoting gas). Liquid fuels still account
sions are likely to increase in the coming
maining plants increased by 42 % in 2015 for 41 %, however. One explanation is that
The sharp decrease in emissions from years due to the dismantling of existing
compared to 1990 (after a sharp decline in the gas distribution network does not cover
the production of HFC between 1996 equipment outside Europe.
2009). In parallel, these plants have taken sparsely populated areas, thus hampering
measures to reduce emissions from their and 1999 is due to the installation of a the switch from liquid to gaseous fuels,
processes (use of catalysts since 2003 with gas incinerator with an HF recovery unit 3.2.5 Residential and commercial which is observed in other sectors.
a drop of the emissions in 2011 after intro- (Fluoride Recuperation Unit) in the most
In the residential sector, fuel consump- In the commercial and institutional
ducting new catalysts on two installations important source identified, which is an
tion has increased by 16 % between 1990 sector, fuel consumption has increased by
at the end of 2010, emissions were reduced electrochemical synthesis unit located in
and 2003. This is mainly linked to the 48 % since 1990. Annual fluctuations are
by 89 %). the Flemish region.
increasing number of dwellings (+26 % also climate-related but the overall trend
Due to a re-allocation of emissions of The growing consumption of HFC between 1991 and 2001) since these two is less affected than in the residential sec-
CO2 from 1A2c/other fuels to category is directly linked to the implementation years were very similar from a climatic tor. One reason is the rising number of
2B8b, emissions of CO2 become predom- of the Montreal Protocol and EU Regu- point of view. Annual fluctuations are of employees, which has risen by 29 % (be-
inant. These emissions are the recovered lation 1005/2009, which bans the use of course climate-related with degree days5, tween 1993 and 2014). In the meantime,
fuels in the steamcracking units in the pet- ozone-depleting substances such as CFCs electricity consumption has also grown
and HCFCs. The CFCs and HCFCs which
5
Degree day: the difference expressed in degrees
rochemical industry, and others recovered centigrade between the average daytime by 94 % (between 1990 and 2013), main-
in the chemical industry. were formerly used are now being replaced temperature and a base temperature (15 °C for the ly due to the development of Information
by HFCs in most sectors like refrigerating 15/15 base and 16.5  °C for the 16.5/16.5 base).
Average temperatures that are higher than the base
and air conditioning installations, foam temperature are not included. The total number of example) are added together. Degree days enable
production and aerosols. The quantities are degree days over a given period (month or year, for heating requirements to be assessed.

3. Greenhouse gas inventory information 34


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Technologies and the increased use of re-


frigerated areas and air conditioning. The
emissions from this final consumption of
electricity are included in the energy sec-
tor emissions. These increases have been
partially counterbalanced by a clear switch
from liquid fuels to gaseous fuels observed
since 1995 and natural gas represent now
Figure 3.9: Residential and commercial sector: 75 % of the sector’s energy consumption
GHG emissions index and Consumption Index (1990 = 100) (without electricity and heat).
For both sectors, other fuels and bio-
180%
mass were negligible but according a new
estimation of consumption of biomass
fuels in the residential sector, biomass
160% represents now 8 %. In the commercial
sector, a slow increase has been observed
since 1998, but biomass represents only
140% 3.5 % of the sector’s energy consumption
(stationary combustion). The switch from
Index (1990 = 100)

solid and liquid fuels is reflected in the de-


120% coupling of energy consumption and GHG
emissions (Figure 3.9).

100%

80%

60%
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Commercial - GHG emissions Residential - fuel consumption


Commercial - fuel consumption Degree-days
Residential - GHG emissions

3. Greenhouse gas inventory information 35


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3.2.6 Transport emissions as well (Figure 3.10). However


Transport emissions accounted for in 2016 the number of diesel cars has de-
14.1 % of total GHG emissions in 1990 creased by 68 000 units while the number
and 22.6 % in 2015. This increasing share of petrol cars has increased by 120 000
Figure 3.10: Road transport emissions (according to “reference approach”) is due to road transport, which represents units (source: FPS mobility and transport).
and traffic index (index: 1990 = 100 %) 97.5 % of total emissions by the sector in The average engine capacity has also
2015. increased since 1995, reflecting the switch
350% Emissions from domestic navigation to diesel on the one hand and the grow-
are fairly stable and represent almost 1.5 % ing success of Sport Utility Vehicles and
of transport total emissions in 2015. Emis- Multi-Purpose Vehicles on the other. The
300% sions from railways (0.3 % in 2015) seem average age of the cars has increased (im-
to have decreased since 1990, but in fact proved rust protection and overall resis-
this reflects the switch from diesel to elec- tance), as has the average distance trav-
250% trical engines. elled which is now being stabilized.

In the road transport sector, most indi- The number of vehicles using LPG
cators are increasing (2015): the number of has increased by 36 % between 1990 and
200%
vehicles has increased by 54 % since 1990 2002 and then decreased by 75 % and is
(48 % for passenger cars alone), together representing now in 2015 a decrease of
with traffic (vehicle km) which has risen 66 % over 1990. The progress encountered
150%
in the meantime by 54 %. During quite the during the early 2000s (thanks to subsidies
same period, the road freight traffic6 grew and best prices) have now completely dis-
by 82 % (ton-kilometer-2012) while the appeared. Private cars using LPG represent
100%
number of passengers carried by cars in- only 0.26 % of total private cars in 2015
creased by only 27 %. whereas it was 1.65 % in 1987.

50% There is a marked switch from petrol Road transport is one of the key sources
engines to diesel. The number of petrol en- of greenhouse gas emissions in Belgium,
gines (all vehicles) has dropped between in terms of level and trend analysis. With
0 1990 and 2015 (-12 %) while the number an increase of GHG emissions by 23 % be-
90 991 992 993 994 995 996 997 998 999 000 001 002 003 004 005 006 007 008 009 010 011 012 013 014 015 of diesel engines has tripled (+ 319 %) on tween 1990 and 2015, it constitutes one of
19 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
the same lapse of time. This is reflected in the main drivers of emissions trends. The
their respective traffic figures for personal absolute increase in CO2 emissions from
car (- 23 % for petrol engines and +368 % road transport between 1990 and 2015 is
Diesel (nb veh) Traffic diesel (veh.km PC) Traffic Heavy Duty Trucks for diesel engines) and in their respective the second highest among the key sources
for the trend assessment (+4 794 Gg CO2).
Gasoline (nb veh) Traffic gasoline (veh.km PC)

Road freight traffic of Belgian and foreign trucks


6

carried out in Belgium

3. Greenhouse gas inventory information 36


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International air and maritime transport This is mainly due to a general livestock
reduction, but also to the shift from dairy
In accordance with the UNFCCC
cattle to brood cattle (which is a general
guidelines, emissions from international
EU trend linked to the Common Agricul-
air and maritime transport are not included
ture Policy), the latter having smaller emis-
in national emissions. In 2015, these emis-
sions.
sions represent 19 % of national emissions,
with maritime transport representing the 20 % of the emissions are emissions
most important source (82 % of this cate- from manure management in 2015 of
Figure 3.11: Emission trends in the agricultural sector (Gg CO2-eq) gory). Emissions from international avi- which swine accounts for the biggest part
ation have increased by 68 % since 1990, (58 %). These emissions are driven by the
while emissions from maritime transport livestock: the swine livestock is rising
have risen by 35 % (135 % of increase in from 1990 until 1999 and decreasing since
6 000
2008 since 1990 en then going down since then, its impact on the emissions being
2009 due to the economic crisis). smoothed by the cattle livestock evolution
5 000
explained above.
3.2.7 Agriculture 33.7 % of the emissions in the agricul-
GHG emissions from agriculture (with- ture are originating from N2O emissions
Emissions in Gg CO2-eq

4 000
out fuels used) account in 2015 for 8.5 % from soils. Those have decreased by 24 %,
of the total emissions in Belgium. Overall due to the smaller quantities of nitrogen
(including emissions from energy sector from mineral fertiliser applied on the one
3 000
1A4c), they have decreased by 21.3 % be- hand and to the livestock reduction (nitro-
tween 1990 and 2015. gen excreted on pasture and from organic
fertiliser applied) on the other. Both re-
2 000
45.0 % of these emissions (without fuel ductions have also an impact on indirect
used) are CH4 emissions from enteric fer- emissions. Agricultural soils can also be a
mentation (category 3A) in 2013, cattle are carbon sink: this is the case for grasslands,
1 000
responsible for 93 % of these emissions. but not for cropland, as presented in Sec-
As can be seen in Figure 3.11 those (direct) tion 3.2.8 and Figure 3.12.
0
emissions decreased by 16 % since 1990.
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Enteric fermentation Liming


Manure management Urea application
Agriculture soils

3. Greenhouse gas inventory information 37


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3.2.8 Land-use, land-use change and


forestry
As illustrated in Figure 3.12, forests in
Belgium are a major sink of carbon rather
stable over time which gives the trend on
LULUCF sector. The level of this sink is
related to some methodological aspects in
carbon stock change. Grasslands are also a
sink. This is in line with the new data avail-
able for carbon stock in soils.
The area of settlements increased
Figure 3.12: Emission and removal trends in LULUCF sector steadily since 1990. Increased urbanized
areas explain this growth and the conver-
2000 sion from lands to settlements provoke
emissions from carbon stock in soils. The
1000
trends in cropland and grassland are maily
linked to land-use changes observed since
1990. “Other lands” are no longer present
0 in the trend assessment as they were reclas-
sified, in response to recommendation by
-1000 the ERT.
The result of these evolutions generates
-2000 negative net emissions fairly stable for the
whole LULUCF in Belgium, in the range
of -2 500 Gg eq. CO2.
-3000
Emissions of N2O and CH4 increase
-4000
steadily from 2-3 % in 1990 to about 14 %
of total sector sources mainly because of
Direct N2O Emissions from nitrogen min-
-5000 eralization/immobilization (except in 1996
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 with 34.5 % and 2011 with 20.3 % due to
large forest fires).
A. Forest land B. Cropland C. Grassland
D. Wetlands E. Settlements

3. Greenhouse gas inventory information 38


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3.2.9 Waste The remaining 41.3 % of GHG emis-


GHG emissions from waste (exclud- sions originates from three sources: waste
ing waste incineration with energy recov- incineration (18.4 % in 2015), wastewa-
ery) accounted for 1.39 % of total national ter treatment (18.9 %) and composting
emissions in 2015, compared to 3.01 % (4.0 %). Emissions from waste incineration
in 1990. This decrease is mainly due to (sector 5C) include mainly CO2 emissions
Figure 3.13: Emission trends (1990-2015) in the waste sector (CRF 5), CH4 emissions from solid waste disposal from flaring activities (and post-combus-
and non-biogenic GHG emissions from MSW incineration (CRF 1A1ai) on land, which represents 58.7 % of total tion activities) in the chemical industry,
emissions from the waste sector in 2015. while emissions from municipal waste in-
Emissions in solid waste disposal on land cineration without energy recuperation de-
have dropped by 69 % in 2015 since 1990. crease significantly. Emissions of munici-
4000 Biogas recovery in landfills by flaring or pal waste incineration are mainly allocated
for energy purposes –  depending on the in the energy sector (1A1a), as almost all
3500 richness of the landfill gas – has been de- municipal waste incineration plants are
veloped on a wide scale since 1990 and is also electricity producers (except for some
3000 the main driver of the trend in this sector, plants in the early nineties). Incineration of
together with a significant decrease in the hospital waste is also included following
2500 amounts of waste disposed due to the shift the IPCC Guidelines. The non-biogenic
CO2 emissions from the municipal solid
kt CO2-eq

from waste disposal to re-use, recycling,


2000
composting or incineration of waste. waste incineration with energy recovery
(sector 1A1a) are shown separately in Fig-
1500 ure 3.13 to give a complete overview of the
greenhouse gas emissions associated with
1000 waste (kton CO2 eq).

500

90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Solid waste disposal Waste incineration without


energy recovery
Municipal waste incineration
(electricity production - 1A1a)
Waste incineration without
Composting energy recovery

3. Greenhouse gas inventory information 39


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3.3. National inventory system The Interregional Environment Agen-


cy (CELINE - IRCEL) is responsible for
Overview of institutional, legal and
procedural arrangements for compiling
integrating the emission data from the in- GHG inventory and supplementary
ventories of the three regions and for com- information required under Article 7,
piling the national inventory. The National paragraph 1, of the Kyoto Protocol
No change has occurred since the 6th 1.3 and Chapter 12 of the National Inven-
inventory report is than formally submit-
National Communication and 2nd Biennial tory Report. The Inter-ministerial Conference for
ted for approval to the National Climate
report. the Environment took a series of decisions
Each region implements the necessary Commission, established by the Cooper-
that clarify the role and responsibilities of
means to establish their own emission ation agreement of 14 November 2002,
different entities, as regards the prepara-
3.3.1. Overall responsibility for the Belgian inventory in accordance with the IPCC before its submission to the secretariat of
tion of the national GHG inventory. These
national inventory guidelines. The emission inventories of the United Nations Framework Conven-
decisions are detailed in the NIS.
The agency designated as the “single the three regions are subsequently com- tion on Climate Change and to the Euro-
national entity with overall responsibil- bined to compile the national greenhouse pean Commission, under the European Entities responsible for the perfor-
ity for the national inventory” (nation- gas emission inventory. Since 1980, the Parliament and Council Regulation (EU) mance of the main functions of the Belgian
al compiler) is the Belgian Interregional three regions have been developing differ- No 525/2013 concerning a Mechanism for Inventory System, as well as main institu-
Environment Agency CELINE-IRCEL7, ent methodologies (depending on various Monitoring and reporting greenhouse gas tional bodies in relation with the decision
established by the Cooperation agreement external factors) for compiling their atmo- emissions and for reporting other informa- process as regards this system, are present-
of 18 May 1994 (modified by the decision spheric emission inventories. Important tion at national and Union level relevant to ed hereafter.
of 21 May 1995) on atmospheric emissions efforts were made to tune these different climate change and repealing Decision No
monitoring and data structuring. It includes methodologies, especially for the most 280/2004/EC.
members of the three regions. important (key) sectors. At the same time,
harmonization efforts have been done, in
order to ensure the consistency of the data
3.3.2. Legal arrangements and regional and to establis the national inventory.
agencies National Climate Commission
Coordination of the national invento-
General description ry and harmonization of the methodolo-
gies are permanent duties of the Working
In the Belgian federal context, major
Group on «Emissions» of the Coordination
responsibilities related to environment lie Working Group Emissions of the CCPIE,
Committee for International Environmen-
with the regions. Compiling greenhouse mandated by the Interministerial
tal Policy (CCIEP), where the different ac- Conference of the Environment (ICE)
gas emissions inventories is one of these
tors decide how the regional data will be
responsibilities. Detailed information re-
aggregated to a national total, taking into
garding legal arrangements and inventory
account the specific characteristics and in- Interregional
preparation can be found in Chapters 1.2, IBGE Federal Public
terests of each region as well as the avail- VMM AWAC Walloon Cell for the
Brussels Capital Service - DG
able means. This working group consists Flemish Region Region Environment
Region Environment
of representatives of the 3 regions and of IRCEL
7
CELINE/IRCEL – Rue Gaucheret 92-94, 1030 the federal public services.
Brussels +32 (0)2 227 57 02

3. Greenhouse gas inventory information 40


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As decided by the legal arrangements, The Belgian Interregional Environment during this submission. A level assessment 3.3.5. Recalculation
the 3 regions are responsible for delivering Agency (IRCEL-CELINE) is the single is performed for the years 1990, 2014 and Recalculations of the GHG emissions
their greenhouse gas inventories, which national entity with overall responsibility 2015 and trend analysis is carried out for in Belgium in accordance with the IPCC
are later compiled to produce the Belgian for the preparation of the Belgian GHG the years 1990-2014 and 1990-2015. Good Practice Guidance and relevant de-
GHG inventory. The main regional institu- inventory. IRCEL-CELINE operates as cisions of the COP and/or COP/MOP, are
The key source analysis is realised on
tions involved are: national compiler of greenhouse gas emis- carried out in the regional and national
the basis of Table 4.1, page 4.8 of Volume
–– The Department Air, Environment sions in Belgium. emission inventory. All recalculations of
1 of the IPCC GPG 2006 guidelines. Each
and Communication of the Flemish The National Climate Commission is greenhouse gas emission from one single previous submitted estimates of GHG
Environment Agency (VMM) in the in charge of the approval of the inventory source category is considered separately. emissions by sources and removals by
Flemish Region; reports. The key source analysis is performed by sinks are described yearly in the National
–– The Walloon Agency for Air and Cli- using CO2-equivalent emissions calculated Inventory Report (sections 3 to 10).
mate (AWAC) in the Walloon Region; by means of the global warming potentials
3.3.3. Process for the development of Many recalculations have been con-
–– Brussels Environment (BIM-IBGE) (GWPs) specified in the UNFCCC report-
emission estimates ducted as a result of the 2016 Compre-
in the Brussels Capital Region. ing guidelines on annual inventories. hensive review of national greenhouse gas
A general and detailed description of
Each region has its own legal and insti- The level assessment with LULUCF inventory data pursuant to Article 19(1) of
the methodologies can be found in the
tutional arrangements, which are detailed for 2015 results in the identification of 48 Regulation (EU) No 525/2013 (ESD-re-
National Inventory Report submitted each
in the NIS. key sources, covering 95 %8 of the total na- view). Details are given in Chapter 9 of the
year to the UNFCCC.
The Directorate General Environment tional aggregated emissions. These 48 key NIR 2017.
By intensively following regional, sources are to a large extent the same as
of the Federal Public Service for Health,
national and international workshops on those identified for the year 2014.
Food Chain Safety and the Environment 3.3.6. Quality assurance and quality control
estimating GHG emissions and sinks, the
(FPS - DG Environment) is involved in its 59 categories are identified as key plan
organizations responsible for establishing
capacity of UNFCCC National Focal Point source from the trend assessment with LU- Belgium did submit an updated QA/
the emission inventory in Belgium keep
of Belgium and registry administrator. LUCF 1990-2015 as those that contribute QC plan of the Belgian national system
in touch with all possible developments on
The Directorate General Energy of the that subject and try to optimise the emis- to 95 % to the trend of the inventory. There to estimate anthropogenic greenhouse gas
Federal Public Service Economy, SMEs, sion inventory as efficiently as possible. is a slight difference in amount between emissions by sources and removals by
Self-employed and Energy (FPS - DG En- the trend assessments with LULUCF for sinks under Article 5, paragraph 1, of the
ergy) is responsible for the top-down es- the years 1990-2014 (58 key sources) and Kyoto Protocol in April 2017.
timation of energy-related CO2 emissions 3.3.4. Key source identification 1990-2015 and the identified key sources
overlap to a large extent. Belgium is a federal state in which the
using the IPCC ‘reference approach’. Key source categories are identified
competences are spread between four enti-
according to the Tier 1 methodology de-
The Working group on Emissions of the ties (see Chapter 2.1).
scribed in the IPCC 2006 Guidelines, Vol
Coordination Committee for International 1, chap 4. Both a level assessment (contri- The activities of these four bodies,
Environmental Policy (CCIEP) (referred to bution of each source category to the total
This threshold (95 %) is recommended in the 2006
8
as regards the preparation of the national
IPCC Guidelines forNational Greenhouse Gas In-
below as ‘CCIEP-WG Emissions’) plays a national estimate) and a trend assessment ventories, for both the Level Assessment and the GHG inventory based on the three regional
central role in the coordination of the na- (contribution of each source category’s Trend Assessment ; it was determined to be the
emission inventories and the implementa-
tional GHG inventory. level at which 90 % of the uncertainty in a ‘typical’
trend to the total trend) are conducted inventory would be covered by key source catego- tion and development of the QA/QC plan,
ries, for the Tier 1 method.

3. Greenhouse gas inventory information 41


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are coordinated by the “Working group on 3.3.7. Procedures for the official approval of –– 01/03/20XX+2: submission of the final –– 31/03/20XX+2: submission of the fi-
Emissions of the Coordination Committee the inventory versions of the national inventory data, nal versions of the national inventory
for International Environmental Policy After the national inventory is com- the NIR and supplementary informa- data, the NIR and supplementary infor-
(CCIEP)” (referred to below as “CCIEP- piled, under the CRF format, the Belgian tion to the National Climate Commis- mation to the National Climate Com-
WG Emissions”). CRF-submission is first approved by the sion (submission to the European Com- mission (submission to the UNFCCC:
CCIEP-WG Emissions. Then it is transmit- mission: 15/03); 15/04).
This group plays a central role in the
coordination of the national GHG in- ted to the National Climate Commission.
ventory. It is a permanent platform for All the mandatory reports in the frame-
the exchange of information between the
National Climate Commission, the En-
work of the UNFCCC, the Kyoto protocol
and the European regulation 525/2013/
3.4. National registry
ergy Observatory, the Belgian UNFCCC EC concerning a mechanism for monitor-
National Focal Point, the Interregional ing Community greenhouse gas emissions
Environment Agency (IRCEL/CELINE) and for implementing the Kyoto Protocol 3.4.1 The Belgian registry –– Each Party retains its organization des-
and the three regions. All methodological are subject to approval by the National ignated as its registry administrator to
Directive 2009/29/EC adopted in 2009,
aspects of the GHG inventory as well as Climate Commission. The final drafts of maintain the national registry of that
provides for the centralization of the EU
the implementation and improvement of these mandatory reports are communicated Party and remains responsible for all
ETS operations into a single European
the national system, including the QA/QC for approval to the National Climate Com- the obligations of Parties that are to be
Union registry operated by the European
plan, are coordinated via this CCIEP-WG mission two weeks before the due date fulfilled through registries;
Commission as well as for the inclusion of
Emissions. This working group meets on for submissions. These draft reports may –– Each Kyoto unit issued by the Parties
the aviation sector. At the same time, and
a regular basis and is responsible for co- be amended at the request of the Nation- in such a consolidated system is issued
with a view to increasing efficiency in the
ordinating all emission inventory tasks in al Climate Commission. At least 1 week by one of the constituent Parties and
operations of their respective national reg-
Belgium. This group proposes a national before the due date for the submission, continues to carry the Party of origin
istries, the EU Member States who are also
inventory to the National Climate Com- the National Climate Commission gives identifier in its unique serial number;
Parties to the Kyoto Protocol (26) plus Ice-
mission (e.g. the Belgian political level) its approval on the documents, which are –– Each Party retains its own set of nation-
land, Liechtenstein and Norway decided
that submits the inventory and related doc- then submitted to the UNFCCC Secretar- al accounts as required by paragraph
to operate their registries in a consolidated
uments to the UNFCCC-secretariat. iat through the UNFCCC National Focal 21 of the Annex to Decision 15/CMP.1.
manner in accordance with all relevant de-
Point or to the EU Commission. Each account within a national registry
More information on the various ac- cisions applicable to the establishment of
tors can be found in the Belgian Nation- Timeline for the approval and submis- Party registries - in particular Decision 13/ keeps a unique account number com-
al Inventory System that was updated on sion of inventory data (year 20XX as last CMP.1 and Decision 24/CP.8. prising the identifier of the Party and a
the occasion of the 2017 submission to the year available) and other information relat- unique number within the Party where
The consolidated platform which im- the account is maintained;
UNFCCC-secretariat. ed to GHG inventories:
plements the national registries in a con- –– Kyoto transactions continue to be for-
–– 01/01/20XX+2: submission of invento- solidated manner (including the registry warded to and checked by the UNF-
ry data and supplementary information of the EU) is called the Union registry and CCC Independent Transaction Log
to the NCC for approval (submission to was developed together with the new EU (ITL), which remains responsible for
the European Commission: 15/01) registry on the basis the following modal- verifying the accuracy and validity of
ities: those transactions;

3. Greenhouse gas inventory information 42


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–– The transaction log and registries con- c) With regards to the data storage, the
tinue to reconcile their data with each consolidated platform continues to
other in order to ensure data consis- guarantee that data is kept confiden-
tency and to facilitate the automated tial and protected against unautho-
checks of the ITL; rized manipulation;
–– The requirements of paragraphs 44 d) The data storage architecture also
to 48 of the Annex to Decision 13/ ensures that the data pertaining to a
CMP.1 on making non-confidential national registry are distinguishable
information accessible to the public is and uniquely identifiable from the
fulfilled by each Party through a publi- data pertaining to other consolidat-
cally available web page hosted by the ed national registries;
Union registry; e) In addition, each consolidated na-
–– All registries reside on a consolidat- tional registry keeps a distinct user
ed IT platform sharing the same in- access entry point (URL) and a dis-
frastructure technologies. The chosen tinct set of authorisation and config-
architecture implements modalities to uration rules.
ensure that the consolidated national
Following the successful implementa-
registries are uniquely identifiable, pro-
tion of the Union registry, the 28 national
tected and distinguishable from each
registries concerned were re-certified in
other, notably:
June 2012 and switched over to their new
a) With regards to the data exchange,
national registry on June 20th, 2012. Cro-
each national registry connects to
atia was migrated and consolidated as of
the ITL directly and establishes a
March 1st, 2013. During the go-live pro-
secure communication link through
cess, all relevant transaction and holdings
a consolidated communication
data were migrated to the Union registry
channel (VPN tunnel);
platform and the individual connections to
b) The ITL remains responsible for au-
and from the ITL were re-established for
thenticating the national registries
each Party.
and takes the full and final record
of all transactions involving Kyo- The following changes to the national
to units and other administrative registry have occurred since the last Na-
processes in such a way that those tional Communication report:
actions cannot be disputed or repu-
diated;

3. Greenhouse gas inventory information 43


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Reporting Item Description Reporting Item Description


15/CMP.1 Annex II.E paragraph 15/CMP.1 Annex II.E paragraph
32.(a) None 32.(e) No change of discrepancies procedures occurred during the
Change of name or contact Change to discrepancies reported period.
15/CMP.1 Annex II.E paragraph procedures
32.(b) No change of cooperation arrangement occurred during the 15/CMP.1 Annex II.E paragraph
The mandatory use of hardware tokens for authentication
Change regarding cooperation reported period. 32.(f)
and signature was introduced for registry administrators.
arrangement Change regarding security
In 2016, new tables were added to the database for the 15/CMP.1 Annex II.E paragraph
Publicly available information is provided via the Union
implementation of the CP2 functionality. 32.(g)
registry homepage for each registry e.g. https://ets-registry.
Versions of the Union registry released after 6.1.6 (the Change to list of publicly available
webgate.ec.europa.eu/euregistry/BE/index.xhtml
production version at the time of the last NC submission) information
15/CMP.1 Annex II.E paragraph
introduced other minor changes in the structure of the 15/CMP.1 Annex II.E paragraph
32.(c) No change of the registry internet address occurred during
database. 32.(h)
Change to database structure or the the reporting period.
These changes were limited and only affected EU ETS Change of Internet address
capacity of national registry
functionality. No change was required to the database and
15/CMP.1 Annex II.E paragraph
application backup plan or to the disaster recovery plan.
32.(i) No change of data integrity measures occurred during the
No change to the capacity of the national registry occurred
Change regarding data integrity reporting period.
during the reported period.
measures
Each release of the registry is subject to both regression
Both regression testing and tests on the new functionality
testing and tests related to new functionality. These tests
are carried out prior to release of the new versions in
15/CMP.1 Annex II.E paragraph also include thorough testing against the DES and were 15/CMP.1 Annex II.E paragraph
Production. The site acceptance tests are carried out by
32.(d) successfully carried out prior to each release of a new 32.(j)
quality assurance consultants on behalf of and assisted by
Change regarding conformance to version in Production. Annex H testing is carried out every Change regarding test results
the European Commission.
technical standards year.
Annex H testing is carried out on a yearly basis.
No other change in the registry's conformance to the
technical standards occurred for the reported period.

3. Greenhouse gas inventory information 44


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The website address of the Belgian reg- Four persons have been designated as
istry is: authorized representative of the registry References
administrator:
https://ets-registry.webgate.ec.europa.eu/ [1] Federal Public Service Economy,
euregistry/BE/index.xhtml –– Mark Looman S.M.E.s, Self-employed and Energy
tel: +32 2 524 95 32 - (Direction générale de l’Energie -
Several public reports regarding the email: mark.looman@environment. Observatoire de l’énergie) - http://
registry (accounting/SEF reports, project belgium.be economie.fgov.be/
information…) are made available on the –– Pieter Baeten [2] Banque nationale de Belgique [Na-
registry’s general public website: https:// tel: +32 2 524 96 99 tional Bank of Belgium] (Comptes
www.climateregistry.be/en/links-reports/ nationaux / régionaux) - and VITO
email: pieter.baeten@environment.
links-reports.htm#KYOTO (Vlaamse Instelling voor Technolo-
belgium.be gisch Onderzoek) [Flemish Institute
–– Henri Kevers for Technological Research] - http://
3.4.2 The registry administrator tel: +32 2 524 95 21 www.emis.vito.be/
email: henri.kevers@environment. [3] Federal Planning Bureau - http://
The Belgian Federal Public Service of
belgium.be www.plan.be/
Public Health, Food Chain Safety and En-
–– Peter Wittoeck [4] Federal Public Service Economy,
vironment has been designated as registry
tel: +32 2 524 95 28 S.M.E.s, Self-employed and Energy
administrator by Belgium to maintain its
email: peter.wittoeck@environment. - Statistics Belgium
national registry:
belgium.be [5] SPF Mobilité et transport [FPS Mo-
Federal Public Service of Public bility and Transport]
Health, Food Chain Safety and Envi- The registry administrator performs a
[6] https://www.climateregistry.be/en/
ronment wide range of tasks, the details of which registry/legal-framework.htm
DG Environment - Climate Change are defined in the EU Emissions Trading
Section Directive, the EU Registry Regulation, the
The Registry Administrator Belgian Royal Decree on the registry and
Eurostation Building, Victor Horta- specific cooperation agreements between
plein 40 - bus 17, 1060 Brussels the Belgian Federal Government and the
tel: +32 (0)2 524 95 32 three Belgian regions in this regards [6].  ■
e-mail: helpdesk@climateregistry.be
website: http://www.climateregistry.be

3. Greenhouse gas inventory information 45


< BACK

4.1. Policy-making process

4.1.1 Overall policy context National Climate Plan to the Interministe-


Belgium is a federal state where the de- rial Conference for the Environment.
cisional power is shared between a federal

4.   P ol i c i e s
In this context, a National Climate Plan
authority, three Regions (Wallonia, Flan- (NCP) for the period 2009-2012 was ad-
ders and the Brussels-Capital Region) and opted in April 2009, built upon policies

an d  m ea s u re s
three communities (Flemish Community, and measures elaborated by each of the 4
French Community and the German-speak- decisional entities. It remains in applica-
ing Community) (cf. Chapter 2.1). tion until the first National Energy and cli-
Primary responsibility regarding cli- mate Plan (NECP2030) is adopted for the
mate policy lies with the Federal State and period 2021-2030. The new NECP 2030
the three Regions. The general context for will have to be adopted at the latest by the
the preparation of climate change policies end of 2019, in accordance with the Euro-
and measures is determined by the plans pean regulations (package “Clean energy
established by the federal and regional au- for all Europeans”). The formal absence of
thorities, setting out their respective policy a national plan for 2013-2020 is neverthe-
objectives and strategies. less partially offset by the existence of re-
gional plans and the domestic cooperation
Cooperation bodies have been set up to agreement.
coordinate and create synergies between
the policies implemented by the various
authorities, among which, the National 4.1.2 National targets
Climate Commission is directly concerned
4.1.2.1 Belgium and the Kyoto Protocol
by the matters covered here (cf. Chapter
2.1.3). This Commission, established by Belgium ratified the United Nations
the Cooperation agreement of 14 Novem- Framework Convention on Climate
ber 2002, is primarily responsible for the Change and the Kyoto Protocol respective-
establishement, evaluation and update of a ly in 1996 and in 2002.
National Climate Plan and for establihing
the mandatory reports under the UNFCCC 1st Kyoto commitment period:
and KP and under EU legislation. The Na- 2008-2012
tional Climate Commission reports annu- Belgium’s target for the first commit-
aly on its activities and on its evaluation of ment period of the Kyoto protocol was
the policies and measures contained in the established under the joint commitment of

46
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the European Union and its Member States outside the ETS. Reduction target for ETS ‘burden sharing’ agreement. The political binding national targets for the
to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 8 % was established for the EU as a whole, agreement on the burden sharing for the Member States.
compared to base-year levels in the period while national targets were set up for non- period 2013-2020 was reached in Decem- –– minimum 27 % renewable energy share
2008-2012. This joint commitment was ful- ETS sectors (see further details in section ber 2015. by 2030.
filled. Belgium’s contribution to this com- below). –– reducing Europe’s energy use by at
This agreement covers:
mitment consisted in a reduction target of least 27 % by 2030.
7.5 % of its greenhouse gas emissions over 1. Greenhouse gas emissions reduction
4.1.2.2 Belgium targets under the objectives, for sectors that are not cov- On 20 July 2016, the European Com-
that period1. This commitment implied a
European legislation ered by the EU ETS (“non-ETS” sec- mission presented a legislative proposal,
reduction of greenhouse gas emissions
tors) the ‘Effort Sharing Regulation’, which
from 145.729 Mt CO2 eq in base-year level i. 2020 Climate and Energy package
2. Renewable energy objectives sets out binding annual GHG emission
(BYE) to an annual average of 134.799 Mt
As a Member State of the European 3. Share of the auctioning revenues of targets for Member States for the peri-
for the period 2008-2012. Belgium over-
Union, Belgium is committed to provide ETS emissions allowances od 2021‑2030 (EC, 2016a). The proposal
achieved its commitments for the first
its contribution to the objectives of the 4. Contribution to international climate is the follow-up to the ESD. Under this
commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol
2020 Climate & Energy Package, by: financing proposal, national objective for Belgium
from 2008 to 2012, reducing its emissions
–– covering 13 % of its gross final energy would be -35 % in the non ETS sector.
(expressed on an annual basis) by 14 % The agreement was enforced by a legal-
compared to BYE (cf. Chapter 5.3.2). demand with renewable energy sources Once national targets decided, they will
ly binding cooperation agreement between
by 20202 be shared between the 4 authorities (Fed-
the regions and the federal state which con-
2nd Kyoto commitment period: –– reducing greenhouse gas emissions eral state and Regions) in a new ‘burden
tains not only the commitments of the po-
2013‑2020 of non ETS (ESD) sectors by 15 % in sharing’ agreement (2021-2030).
litical agreement, but alos identifies imple-
For the second commitment period 2020 (from 2005 level)3
mentation modalities and responsibilities.
of the KP (2013-2020), EU countries (to- –– using energy more efficiently (for the i.i.i ETS
gether with Iceland) have agreed to jointly transposition and implementation of ii. 2030 Climate and Energy framework An essential element of Belgium’s cli-
meet a 20 % reduction target compared to the Energy Efficiency Directive4, Bel- In 2014, the European Council agreed mate policy relies upon the European Emis-
1990 (in line with the EU’s domestic tar- gium communicated in June 2013 an on the 2030 climate and energy policy sions Trading System (Directives 2003/87/
get of 20 % by 2020). The 20 % emission indicative energy efficiency target of framework for the EU and endorsed new EC and 2009/29/EC). It constitutes a key
reduction target by 2020 is unconditional 18 % reduction of primary energy com- EU targets on greenhouse gas emissions, instrument to help energy-intensive sectors
and supported by legislation in place in pared to the projected gross inland en- renewable energy and energy efficiency to improve their energy efficiency while
the context of the EU Climate and Energy ergy consumption – excluding non en- for 2030: optimising costs.
package 2020. This joint target has been ergy uses – for 2020).
–– at least 40 % reduction (compared to During the period covered by the first
shared between two sub-targets, for emis- National objectives for GHG emissions 1990) of greenhouse gas emissions. commitment period under the Kyoto Pro-
sions in sectors covered by the EU Emis- and renewable energy sources have been This target is divided between: tocol, Belgium established and managed
sion trading system (ETS), and for sectors shared between the 4 authorities (Federal • a target of -43  % (compared to its National Allocation Plans (2005-2007
state and Regions), in the context of the 2005) for the ETS sector and 2008-2012). However, as a single
1
Council Decision 2002/358/EC of 25 April 2002
concerning the approval, on behalf of the Europe- • a target of -30 % (compared to EU-wide cap on emissions now applies
an Community, of the Kyoto Protocol to the Unit- 2005) for the non ETS sector. This instead of the previous system of national
ed Nations Framework Convention on Climate
2
Renewable energy Directive 2009/28/EC
Change and the joint fulfilment of commitments 3
Effort Sharing Decision EC/406/2009 objective must be translated into caps, Belgium only manages and monitors
thereunder. 4
Energy Efficiency Directive 2012/27/EU

4. Policies and measures 47
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the implementation of the 3rd phase (2013- 4.1.3 System for monitoring and evaluation In accordance with the cooperation Federal
2020) on its territory. of policies and measures agreement of 14 November 2002, the Re-
Successive studies have been commis-
The National system for policies and gions and the Federal state are committed
sioned in order to realise a quantitative
measures and projections represents the to yearly evaluate the progress and imple-
4.1.2.3 Sustainable development evaluation of the impact of federal mea-
institutional, legal and procedural arrange- mentation of their policies and measures,
sures in terms of greenhouse gas emission
Different strategies in relation to sus- ments established for reporting on policies in a harmonized way, including by estimat-
reductions. These studies evaluated the
tainable development have been adopted and measures and projections of anthropo- ing their impact in terms of GHG emission
effect of the federal measures on expect-
by the respective levels of power: genic emissions by sources and removals reductions.
ed emission reductions up to 2020 and es-
–– Federal level: the federal sustainable by sinks of greenhouse gases not con- Methodologies vary depending on timated the remaining impact up to 2035
development plans and the Long-term trolled by the Montreal Protocol, in accor- the domain targeted and the availability assuming the measure being withheld af-
Vision for Sustainable Development dance with the EU Monitoring Mechanism of data, but should at best be harmonized ter 2020.5 Socioeconomic impact of some
adopted in 2013 which identifies 55 Regulation (525/2013). It seeks to ensure among the different entities, in order to en- federal PAM has also been evaluated. The
long term objectives (i.a. objective 31 the timeliness, transparency, accuracy, sure comparability and the ability to iden- most recent study (“Development of im-
‘Belgian greenhouse gas emissions consistency, comparability and complete- tify the most efficient measures. pact assessment methods for policies and
will be reduced domestically by at ness of the information on policies and measures carried out within the framework
measures and projections reported by Bel- To this end, the National Climate Com-
least 80 % to 95 % in 2050 compared to of the federal climate policy - Evaluation
gium pursuant to Article 13 and Article 14 mission has created an ad-hoc working
1990’ and objective 32 ‘Belgium will of emission reductions Report”, ICEDD
of the Monitoring Mechanism Regulation group, gathering representatives of each
be adapted to the direct and indirect im- - Aether - TML – TNO) was finalised in
(MMR). A full and detailed description of entity and various administrations con-
pacts of the climate change’); June 2017.
the National system is given in the report cerned by elements of the NCP. In partic-
–– Flanders: Vision 2050 - A long-term
of March 2017 “Reporting on policies and ular, the group integrates representatives A key methodological difficulty in such
strategy for Flanders, which constitutes
measures– BELGIUM under article 13 of of the energy administrations in charge an evaluation is to disentangle the impact
the third Flemish strategy for sustain-
Regulation (EU) N° 525/2013 of the Eu- of monitoring and reporting the energy of a given federal measure from a regional
able development;
ropean Parliament and of the Council of efficiency action plan established in the one when both types of measures do tar-
–– Wallonia: the second Walloon strategy
21 May 2013 on a mechanism for moni- framework of Directives 2006/32/EC and get the same sector and the same action.
for sustainable development;
toring and reporting greenhouse gas emis- 2012/27/EU relative to energy efficiency The way federal and regional measures are
–– Brussels-Capital Region: the regional
sions and for reporting other information and services, to ensure a necessary har- linked to and complement each other is
sustainable development plan;
at national and Union level relevant to monisation of methodologies, hypotheses therefore a central issue. In any case, glob-
–– German-speaking Community: the sec-
climate change and repealing Decision N° and parameters between climate and ener- al effects of PAMs developed by different
ond regional development plan.
280/2004/EC” This also includes in annex gy policies quantifications. entities and targeting a given sector apply
For more information we refer to Bel- the description of the “National system for to the whole country, so the difficulty to
gium’s first evaluation report on the Sus- policies and measures and projections and calculate the shares of the different enti-
tainable Development Goals (July 2017). the quality assurance and control (qa/qc) ties should not hamper their analysis in the
programme as required under regulation context of this report.
(eu) no 525/2013”.
See the different reports on http://www.climat.be/
5

evaluation-PAMs (FR) or http://www.klimaat.be/


evaluatie-PAMs (NL), reports are in EN.

4. Policies and measures 48
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A new federal MRV law6 was recently


adopted (October 2016). It puts in place
This simulation model works as a “bot-
tom-up” type model, i.e. explaining energy
4.2 Domestic and regional programs; legislative
the framework for the reporting, monitor- consumptions and emissions from activity
variables expressed as far as possible in
arrangements, enforcement and administrative
ing and evaluation of federal policies and
measures in the field of climate change physical units, and the main determining procedure
and ozone layer protection. According to factors of the evolution of energy demand
the law all entities and departments of the and emissions. Every year the model is cal-
federal authority in possession of relevant ibrated with the most recent regional ener-
data and information shall communicate gy balance, and the main data is updated
4.2.1 Description of domestic legislative This Agreement also originates from
them annually in order to guarantee the (population, employment, climate, house-
arrangements to meet the Kyoto the obligation to apply European Decision
timeliness, transparency, accuracy, consis- hold size, among other information).
Protocol commitments 280/2004/EC (now replaced by Regulation
tency, comparability and completeness of The model, which includes a database According to the Kyoto Protocol re- (EU) No 525/2013 or MMR) establishing
the information reported. on the energy consumption, emission fac- porting guidelines (paragraph 37), Bel- the mechanism for monitoring and report-
tors, activity data and reduction effects of gium must draw up a report describing ing greenhouse gas emissions in the Euro-
Regional
climate & energy and air quality policy all the domestic and regional legislative pean Community and for implementing the
The three regions have developed thier measures, can be used in particular for: arrangements and all the enforcement Kyoto Protocol.
own projection model for energy demand and administrative procedures to be put
–– the construction of a reference scenar- And precisely, as requested by art. 12
and atmospheric emissions from stationary in place, how they are implemented, and
io (business as usual), representing the of the MMR, Belgium has set up a national
sources (residential, tertiary, industry and which procedures apply for addressing
expected future evolution in the ab- system for policies and measures and pro-
heat and electricity sector). cases of non-compliance under the Belgian
sence of any new emission reduction jections.
The simulation model is a projection policy based on expected economic and legal framework.
model for energy demand, greenhouse gas demographic evolutions: With Existing
4.2.1.2. Cooperation agreement ‘Burden
emissions and emissions of air pollutants Measures (WEM) Scenario; 4.2.1.1 Cooperation Agreement of 14 Sharing’
(SO2, NOx, PM and VOC) that covers –– constructing emission reduction sce- November 2002
most of the relevant emission sectors (en- narios, based on the implementation of The cooperation agreement on the Bur-
ergy sector, industry, waste, agriculture, a combination of reduction measures The legal basis for the obligation to den Sharing (2013-2020) will provide the
residential and commercial buildings). With Additional Measures (WAM) evaluate the federal policies and measures legal basis for the decisions to be taken to
Scenarios; (PAMs) is the Cooperation Agreement of honor the commitments entered into by
–– assessing the impact of existing or draft 14 November 2002 between the Federal Belgium under the European Energy &
6
« Loi portant sur les modalités d’application du State, the Flemish Region, the Walloon
Règlement (UE) n° 517/2014 du Parlement eu- legislations on energy consumption Climate Package.
ropéen et du Conseil du 16 avril 2014 relatif aux and emission levels. Region and the Brussels Capital Region,
gaz à effet de serre fluorés et abrogeant le règle- which provides that a National Climate
ment (CE) n° 842/2006 et du Règlement (UE) n°
525/2013 du Parlement européen et du Conseil du Plan must be drawn up, executed, evaluat-
21 mai 2013 relatif à un mécanisme pour la surveil- ed and reported to the UNFCCC under the
lance et la déclaration des émissions de gaz à effet
de serre et pour la déclaration, au niveau national et
Kyoto protocol.
au niveau de l’Union, d’autres informations ayant
trait au changement climatique et abrogeant la dé-
cision n° 280/2004/CE ».

4. Policies and measures 49
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4.2.1.3. Mechanism for increasing 4.2.1.4 Substitition right for international 4.2.1.5. Plans ing 2013-2020, the federal government is
awareness of climate responsibility among obligations under the UNFCCC and its committed to pursue existing policies and
the Regions for the building sector Protocols National Climate Plan measures allowing a total emission reduc-
The National Climate Plan 2009-2012 tion of 15 250 kt CO2 eq for 2013-2020
Under the Law of 6 January 2014, The ‘substitution right’ is a mechanism
(extended until the new NECP2030 is ad- and to implement new policies and mea-
this mechanism consists of establishing a introduced into Belgium law, with the aim
opted) was approved by the National Cli- sures resulting in an additional reduction
multiannual trajectory for the reduction of of ensuring Belgium’s compliance with its
mate Commission. For more information of at least 7 000 kt CO2 eq for the period
greenhouse gas emissions in the residen- international obligations. Under Belgian
on the National Climate Plan, we refer to 2016-2020. A set of new federal PAMs was
tial and tertiary building sectors (exclud- domestic law, competences that are at-
Chapter 4.3.1 of the 6th National Commun- recently identified, which includes follow-
ing industrial buildings), for each Region. tributed exclusively to an entity mean that
ciation. ing PAMs: positive mobility allocations,
A financial bonus is awarded to a region it is competent for compliance with the ob-
incentives for electric bicycles, energy
when it exceeds its assigned objective. ligations in the same field of competence NCEP 2021-2030 saving in railways as well as implementa-
The bonus is calculated on the basis of the at national, European and international At the end of 2016, the European Com- tion of new EU legislative instruments in
reference trajectory, and is to be invested level, to the exclusion of other entities. mission published a set of legislative pro- the field of product policy and fluorinated
in emission reduction policies. If a region However, international public law does posals under the package “Clean energy for gases.
fails to meet its assigned objective, a finan- not allow federal states to withdraw from all Europeans”. These proposals are cur-
cial penalty is to be inflicted. The penalty their international obligations on the basis rently being analyzed and are the subject Flemish Region
will be calculated on the basis of the dif- of domestic law arrangements, as specified of negotiations between the Member States
ference between the reference trajectory in Article 27 of the Vienna Convention on In June 2013, the Flemish Government
and the Commission. Nevertheless, the Eu-
and the actual emissions, to be invested in the Federal State vouches for international formally adopted its “Flemish Climate Pol-
ropean objective of reducing greenhouse
emission reduction policies by the Federal law violations on the part of federal enti- icy Plan 2013-2020”, or “Vlaams Klimaat-
gas emissions is -40 % in 2030 compared
State. This mechanism will be fuelled by ties. The substitution right was introduced beleidsplan/VKP 2013-2020”. The plan
to 1990. This corresponds to the prerequi-
the revenues from the auctioning of emis- in order to remedy the contradiction be- consists of an overall framework and two
sites of the European commitment within
sion quotas assigned to Belgium that are tween Belgium domestic law and interna- separate but closely related sections:
the framework of the Paris Agreement.
yet to be distributed between the Regions tional and European law. This right is now This European objective is the subject of a –– The Flemish Mitigation Plan (VMP):
and the Federal State through the domestic extended more specifically to Belgium’s proposal of burden sharing between mem- the purpose of the VMP is to reduce
burden-sharing arrangement. The amounts international obligations under the UNFC- bers states. During the year 2017, the work emissions of greenhouse gases in Flan-
are calculated by multiplying the distance CC and its Protocols (Article 16(4) of the of the Belgian authorities (administrative ders between 2013 and 2020 as a means
to target in tonnes of CO2 eq. with the emis- Special Institutional Reform Law of 8 Au- and political) is intense and focuses on the of combatting climate change. A basis
sion quotas average price auctioned during gust 1980). In principle, this right enables implementation of new PAMs to achieve will also be laid for the further emis-
the same year. In order to ensure that a the Federal State, under strict conditions, the ambitious objectives of 2030. This sion reductions required towards 2050.
sufficient proportion of the auctioning rev- to substitute its action for the non-action should be translated into the adoption of –– The Flemish Adaptation Plan (VAP):
enues is preserved, a bonus ceiling is set of a federal entity when it is the subject of the NECP2030 by the end of 2019. the purpose of the VAP is to apprehend
at a level equal to the Federal State’s share a non-compliance assessment reported by the Flemish vulnerability to climate
of auctioning revenues, while the penalties a relevant body under the UNFCCC or its Federal change and subsequently improve its
ceiling is set at 50 % of the regional share Protocols. This mechanism also applies to ability to defend against its effects.
of the auctioning revenues. This mecha- European law obligations aiming at imple- In accordance with the Cooperation
nism has not yet been put in place. menting the UNFCCC and its Protocols. Agreement on the national burden-shar- An English summary of the VKP 2013-
2020 is available.

4. Policies and measures 50
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The VMP is a strategic policy plan with In early 2014, the Parliament of the To meet all the challenges related to 4.2.2 Access to information
measures for the non-ETS sectors in the Walloon Region adopted the “Walloon energy consumption, renewable energy, Public access to environmental infor-
Flemish Region from all relevant Flemish Climate Decree” . It provides an overall climate change and air quality, the Brus- mation in Belgium, including legislative
policy fields, and is linked to the Flemish framework for the Walloon climate policy sels-Capital Region has developed an instruments, policies and measures devel-
government’s broader policy. The plan for the next few decades. The decree fixes integrated approach which has already oped under the Kyoto Protocol, is regulat-
contains actions from all the relevant areas reduction objectives for total GHG emis- been expressed in a regulatory document ed at federal level and in the Regions by
of competence. It provides to Flanders the sions (i.e. ETS + non-ETS), namely -30 % (Brussels Air, Climate and Energy control the legislation transposing European Di-
strategic support of the climate policy to- between 1990 and 2020, -80 % to -95 % Code - COBRACE) and a planning docu- rective 2003/4/EC on public access to en-
wards its contribution to the European and between 1990 and 2050. It establishes a ment (Air, Climate, Energy Plan). The CO- vironmental information (based on the first
international commitments for the period procedure to define emission budgets for BRACE has come into force in May 2013 pillar of the Aarhus Convention on Ac-
2013-2020. successive periods of 5 years, thus pro- and the plan has been adopted on June 2nd, cess to Information, Public Participation
gressively outlining a trajectory to reach 2016. in Decision-making and Access to Justice
To allow efficient follow up by the
the objectives. As the above objectives in Environmental Matters). This has been
Flemish Government, the VMP provides The COBRACE defines new require-
are not binding, the decree provides only reflected in various legislative and regula-
for yearly progress reports that give an ac- ments such as EPB standards, environmen-
guiding values. The successive 5 years Cli- tory initiatives at both federal and regional
count of the state of affairs of the Flemish tal performance standards for vehicles of
mate-Energy Action Plans will foster the levels.
climate policy on mitigation. These reports public authorities, restriction on car parks
efforts to reach these targets.
allow the Flemish Government to respond at company buildings, and mandatory im- The website of the National Climate
timely when adjustments or new measures This decree will be instrumented plementation of a local energy manage- Committee offers most of the relevant
become necessary. through the new the Air-Climate Plan to ment plan for owners of large real estate information on Belgian climate policy.
2020. portfolios; it also creates a climate fund to (http://www.cnc-nkc.be/en).
Walloon Region implement GHG emission-reducing mea-
The text of the forthcoming Air, Cli-
sures, etc.
In Wallonia, air protection and cli- mate and Energy Plan was presented to 4.2.3 Participation in the Kyoto mechanisms
mate change policies are the object of a the Government and submitted to a public The Air-Climate-Energy Plan is the
Walloon Air-Climate Plan notably aiming inquiry during the summer of 2014. It was planning document linked to the Brussels The repartition of competence concern-
(for climate related matters) at respecting adopted on April, 21st, 2016. integrated approach to air, climate and en- ing approval of project activities is stipu-
Wallonia’s obligations in the framework ergy topics. It recalls the Brussels-Capital lated in a Cooperation Agreement between
for the Kyoto Protocol. Measures are im- Brussels Capital Region Region objectives for 2025 and is intended the Federal Government and the 3 Regions
plemented and monitored by the respective to set up the measures to be implemented of the country concerning the implemen-
In 2009, Brussels committed itself to tation of certain provisions of the Kyoto
administrations in charge of those plans. in 2020 regarding energy (including re-
reducing its CO2 emissions by 30 % by Protocol (19 February 2007).
The Walloon Agency for Air and Climate newable energy), climate change mitiga-
2025 compared with 1990. This pledge has
is in charge of the coordination, covering tion and adaptation, and air quality. The
been confirmed through the Convenant of
all aspects of those plans in relation with plan defines 144 actions into 64 measures Designation of DNA/DFP
Mayors in 2010 and more specifically in
air protection and climate change. Region- which are declined into 10 axes: building,
the Air-Climate-Energy Plan. On 8 March 2007, Belgium notified the
al Ministers are regularly informed of im- transportation, renewable energy, econo-
plementations and progress through an in- my, global city planning, consumption, so- UNFCCC that its National Climate Com-
formal forum called the CLimate – Energy cial dimension, climate change adaptation, mission (NCC) has been legally designated
– Air group (CLEA). air surveillance and international mecha- as national Focal Point (FP) and Designat-
nisms.
4. Policies and measures 51
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ed National Authority (DNA) for JI and 4.2.4 Information on Articles 3(3) and 3(4) of tion of inheritance duties on the stumpage Additionnal information on forest man-
CDM project activity approval. the Kyoto Protocol value, which encourages more ecological agement can be found in section 10.5.3 of
forestry choices, restriction of clear-cut- the National Inventory Report.
The approval procedures have been
Trends ting; obligation to plant species suited to
published on the website of the National
the site, creation of integral reserves; drain-
Climate Commission. The LULUCF sector as a whole 4.2.5 International transport
ing limitation. The designation of 1 500
In this role, the NCC is authorised to (CRF category 4) was a net removal of km² of forests in Natura 2000 under special International aviation
approve the project activities submitted to 2 086.93 kt CO2 eq in Belgium in 2015. fixed rules of management also contributes
it. However, it must obligatorily respect to the various objectives of the Forest Code On 13 January 2009 Directive
Regarding Art. 3.3, Afforestation, Re- 2008/101/EC to include aviation in the Eu-
the administrative and technical decisions forestation and Deforestation, there is an in Wallonia. Many areas are also certified
by which the regional and federal author- under PEFC management standards. ropean Union Emissions Trading Scheme
overall balance between afforested and (ETS) was published in the Official Jour-
ities approve project activities in cases deforested areas (see National inventory In the Brussels Capital Region, the nal of the European Union.
where this comes within their competence. Report, section 10.2.4), as confirmed by Forêt de Soignes/Zoniënwoud is protected
the stable forest area observed in forest (no deforestation allowed) and FSC certi- The Directive introduces an emission
Distribution of authority for the approval inventories. However, due to accounting fied. Its management aims to ensure eco- trading system for airlines. It requires
of project activities rules (instantaneous oxidation in the case logical stability and a long-term balance in the surrender of emission allowances for
of deforestation), this results in net emis- the distribution of forest age, taking into all CO2 emitted during the calendar year
According to Article 1, Section 27, of sions of 929.03 kt CO2-eq. under Art 3.3. (starting from 2012) by flights covered
account biodiversity, ecological and social
the ‘Flex Mex’ Cooperation Agreement by the Directive. The emissions must be
Regarding Art 3.4, Belgium did not aspects.
(and in accordance with the Marrakech determined using a monitoring system,
Agreements), project approval constitutes elected any activity, so Forest Management The Flemish Region has an active forest which is developed in accordance with
written authorisation enabling one or more is the only relevant category. In 2015, For- expansion policy. The Flemish authorities the monitoring and reporting guidelines
persons to participate in a project activity. est management resulted in a net sink of have drawn up a strict regulation for op- (MRG). Emissions must be reported af-
3 371.68 kt CO2-eq., compared to a cur- timum conservation and protection of the ter each calendar year (before April 1st
Article 5 of this Agreement specifies rent forest management refence level of Flemish forest (Forest Decree of 13 June of the following year) and the number of
the cases in which the federal or regional 2 499 kt CO2-eq. However, Belgium will 1990 and Decree of 18 May 1999 concern- emission allowances corresponding to the
authorities are authorised to grant approv- only account at the end of the commit- ing the organization of spatial planning and reported emitted quantity of CO2 must be
al. According to Article 7, the activities not ment period and technical correction of the Decision of the Flemish Government on 16 surrendered before May 1st.
covered by any of these categories are ap- FMRL may occur in the meantime. February 2001 to clarify the rules concern-
proved by the National Climate Commis- Due to progress made under the Interna-
ing compensation and deforestation and
sion. tional Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO)
Forest management exemption from the ban on deforestation).
As a general rule, deforestation is prohib- in developing a Global Market-based Mea-
Approval procedures In Wallonia, the Forest Code (Decree ited. In addition, the Flemish authorities sure, the EU decided to limit the scope of
of 15 July 2008) has introduced a certain have created instruments to ensure the the EU ETS to flights within the EEA for
The Regions, the Federal Government number of constraints in favour of forest the period 2013-2016.
biodiversity and sustainable use of natural
and the National Climate Commission conservation and the maintenance of ligne- resources.
have adopted their procedure and approval ous materials and carbon, including: aboli-
criteria.

4. Policies and measures 52
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During its General Assembly in Octo-


ber 2016, the ICAO agreed on a resolution
International shipping
4.3 Policies and measures and their effects
In 2013, the European Commission put
that establishes the Carbon Offsetting and
forward a legislative proposal for setting
Reduction Scheme for International Avi-
up a Monitoring, Reporting and Verifica-
ation (CORSIA), which aims to stabilize
tion (MRV) system. This proposal eventu- 4.3.1 Update on policies and measures 4.3.1.2 Towards 2020
emissions from international aviation at
ally resulted in the adoption of the MRV
2020 levels by requiring airlines to offset 4.3.1.1 PAMs from the National Climate The set of policies and measures to
for shipping regulation in 2015, which en-
any growth in emissions above the 2020 Plan achieve the 2020 target are reflected in
ters into force as of January 1st 2018 and
level through the purchase of eligible the federal and regional plans described in
introduces MRV obligations for ships over Measures from the National Climate
emission units. Chapter 4.2.1.5. These PAMs have already
5000 gross tons that call at ports in the Eu- Plan (2009-2012) have been implemented been described in the NC.
The abovementioned ICAO resolution ropean Economic Area. and continue to deliver emissions reduc-
foresees three phases in the design of the tions. A few measures have expired either
In the mean time, a first internationally
CORSIA: during the Pilot phase (2021- because the source of emissions does not 4.3.1.3. Recent developments of PAMs
agreed binding measure entered into force
2023) and the first phase (2024-2026), par- occur anymore or because the policy ap- (up to 2020)
to address emissions from international
ticipation of states is on a voluntary basis. plied did not deliver the expected effects7.
shipping: as of January 1st 2013, all ships
All EU member states, including Belgium, Federal level
over 400 gross tons are required to develop In 2011, an important package of tax
have indicated they will participate in the
a Ship Energy Efficiency Plan (SEEMP) measures was abandoned in view of the In January 2017, the Federal Minis-
scheme from the start (2021). During the
and new ships have to comply with stan- upcoming transfer of tax decisional pow- ter in charge of Energy and Environmen-
second phase (2027-2035), participation is
dards set out in the Energy Efficiency De- ers from the federal level towards the Re- tal matters launched a national debate on
mandatory for all states that reach a cer-
sign Index (EEDI). gions that occurs with the 6th State Reform. carbon pricing in the non-ETS sector. The
tain level of aviation activity (expressed in
Consequently, a major support to RUE debate aims at exploring the options for
Revenue Ton Kilometer), except for Least In 2016, the IMO adopted a Data Col-
investments (40 % tax deductibility) in the implementing a carbon price in the sectors
Developed Countries (LDCs), Small Is- lection System similar to the European
residential sector disappeared. Depending that are not part of the EU emissions trad-
land Developing States (SIDs) and Land- MRV. It is more inclusive but less ambi-
on their climate policy priorities, Region- ing system. The process, which involves
locked Developing Countries (LLDCs), tious for certain aspects.
al authorities could however consider up- all stakeholders, runs over the year 2017.
which are exempted, but are encouraged to
Furthermore, in October 2016, an grading support to RUE investments. For
participate on a voluntary basis. Furthermore, three major develop-
agreement was found on the development instance, Wallonia announced recently its ments of the “Low carbon Belgium by
As a consequence of the adoption of the of a Roadmap for a comprehensive IMO decision to merge and rationalize financial 2050” project were undertaken since 2015:
CORSIA, the European Commission pub- strategy on reduction of GHG emissions supports for the improvement of energy
lished a legislative proposal to continue from ships. An initial strategy must be –– The analysis of the macroeconomic
efficiency of dwellings and for the renova- impact of the low carbon scenarios for
the current approach (i.e. a scope whereby adopted in 2018, and a revised strategy tion of housing.
the EU ETS only applies to flights within will be adopted in 2023. These strategies Belgium ;
the EEA) from 2017 on, which could be should, inter alia, include short-, mid-, and –– The development of an educative
reviewed after the publication of the im- long-term further measure. Work on these For example, subsidies to the purchase of low
7
webtool for the analysis of low carbon
energy consuming domestic appliances were scenarios towards 2050, accompanied
plementation rules of the CORSIA. Con- strategies is currently ongoing. abandoned in Wallonia, when it was observed for
sultations on this proposal are currently instance that people used the opportunity of the by an educative package targeting 15-
subsidy to purchase a second refrigerator, instead
ongoing. of replacing the existing one.

4. Policies and measures 53
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18 year students and involving “cli- stakeholder consultations and involving lation tool that was developed to support as of 2016, environmental characteris-
mate coaches” ; every single minister) to work towards low-carbon scenarios for Brussels 2050. 6 tics of the vehicle fleet, support of al-
–– The analysis of the low carbon finance an integrated climate and energy plan for scenarios were developed and analysed in ternative fuels (i.a. minimum biofuel
flows in Belgium. the period 2021-2030 and towards a long- order to reach 80 to 95 % emission reduc- blending levels in transport fuels), re-
term climate strategy (2050). The process tion in 2050. form of vehicle registration tax (BIV)
Flemish Region in 2016 was concluded with the signing of –– Buildings: energy performance of new
In addition, 3 strategic plans were ad-
the Flemish Climate and Energy Pact on buildings and full renovations, subsi-
The Flemish Mitigation Plan 2013- opted in the Brussels Capital Region with
the Flemish Climate and Energy Summit dies and/or tax reduction for RUE and
2020 (VMP) recognized the need to devel- a timeframe at 2025:
of December 1st, 2016. This pact consists RES investments in existing houses,
op a coherent long term strategy. The aim –– The Air-climate energy plan
of a declaration of commitment by the audits, local Action Plans for Energy
of the VMP is to achieve maximum inte- –– The good food strategy
Flemish Government, an overview of new Management (PLAGE) (Brussels),
gration of the long-term climate targets in –– The Regional Circular Economy Pro-
policy commitments by all the members of projects to identify the potential for
the Flemish sector policy plans. An outlook gram
the Flemish Government, and a list of the energy savings and priorities for action
to 2050 for each sector containing an initial
commitments handed in by the stakehold- The Brussels-Capital Region is also in hospitals, socials housing but also in
evaluation of the European Commission’s
ers. The process will continue in 2017 and working on the National Energy and Cli- some municipalities.
emission reduction paths for 2050 has been
2018. mate Plan for 2030. –– Industry: Emission trading system for
integrated in the VMP. A number of paths
large and medium energy consum-
and strategic choices designed to enable Work to integrate the long-term climate
ing enterprises, energy/CO2 voluntary
this transition are subsequently discussed. targets in the Flemish sector policy plans 4.3.2 Overview of the main PAMs agreements
is underway. For example: climate was in-
Since the approval of the plan, an ex- The National Climate Plan contains –– Other: Catalytic reduction of N2O emis-
tegrated into the Renovation Pact for the
ploratory study was completed concerning around 100 measures but only the main sions in the manufacturing of nitric
residential sector and into the White Paper
medium-long term (2030) and long-term ones are reviewed here (see CTF Table 3). acid (HNO3), implementation of EU
towards a Flemish Spatial Policy Plan.
(2050) energy and greenhouse gas scenari- Research, training/education and develop- F-gas regulations (recently enhanced
os for Flanders. ment aid measures are covered in the other by adopting a new F-gas regulation in
Walloon Region
The 2015 Progress Report of the VMP chapters of this 7th National Communica- 2014)8, ban on landfilling of organic
The Climate decree establishes a pro- tion.
contained a summary of this study, accom-
cedure to allocate emission budgets per PAMS that have the most significant
8
Implementation measures relate to, among oth-
panied by more concrete policy recom- er things, the adjustment of national regulatory
periods of 5 years, describing trajectories effects on reduction of greenhouse gas
mendations that can be implemented in the framework, the introduction of quotas (limiting the
towards emission reductions of 80 to 95 % emissions: total amount of the most important F-gases that can
short term with a view to achieving these be sold in the EU from 2015 onwards and phas-
between 1990 and 2050. Since the previ-
long term scenarios. –– Power and renewable: green certif- ing them down in steps to one-fifth of 2014 sales
ous NC, the Walloon Government adopted in 2030, this will be the main driver of the move
Based upon the conclusions of the icates, EC emission trading system
a new Air Climat Energy Plan 2016-2022 towards more climate-friendly technologies); new
study, the 2015 progress report, the EU ob- (ETS) and extended bans (banning the use of F-gases in
on April 21st, 2016.
jectives towards 2030 and the aim to move –– Transports: Promotion and investments many new types of equipment where less harmful
alternatives are widely available, such as fridges
towards a low-carbon economy in 2050, Brussels Capital Region in public transport and increase of the in homes or supermarkets, air conditioning and
and the momentum created by the Paris number of passengers transported via foams, firefighting and aerosols); prevention of
The long term strategy is prepared F-gases emissions from existing equipments by
Agreement, Flanders organised multisec- public service contracts; differentiated requiring checks, proper servicing and recovery of
through a full energy and emission simu- kilometer tax for heavy duty vehicles the gases at the end of the equipment's life (extend-
toral climate summits in 2016 (including ed scope including trucks and trailers, maintenance

4. Policies and measures 54
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waste (CH4), good manure manage- Consequently, it is not possible to have acquired it without applying for a that enable an overall evaluation of the
ment, small-scale anaerobic fermenta- identify the individual impact of each of subsidy. impact of their implementation.
tion of manure (CH4 and N2O). the plan’s measures. This may be due to a –– In some cases, a series of comple-
Several factors influence our analysis,
For more information, please refer di- number of circumstances: mentary measures are implemented
in particular:
rectly to the National Climate Plan 2009- –– Some measures cut across all sectors that share the same objective. For ex-
2012 (FR or NL and the report on policies ample, to achieve a reduction in com- –– There are various uncertainties affect-
and their impact is almost impossible to
and measures by Belgium under art.  13 muting journeys by car by promoting ing the impact estimates, mainly re-
evaluate, such as awareness campaigns
of Regulation (EU) No 525/2013 dated a modal shift towards public transport garding the baseline used to estimate
addressing the general public.
30 March 2017 for the European Commis- or alternative modes of transport such the energy savings achieved as a re-
–– Although the effectiveness of certain
sion. as walking or cycling, there needs to sult of the measure and the emissions
measures can be evaluated, this does
be an improvement in the provision of consequently avoided. For example, it
not enable us to directly deduce their
public transport (frequency, regularity, is estimated that insulating the roof of
4.3.3 Evaluation of the measures’ impact on impact on emissions: a measure aimed
comfort, tariffs, zones served, connec- a residential home can reduce the fuel
GHG emissions at limiting parking supply in a city cen-
tions etc.) and in access to and avail- consumption used to heat the property
tre should eliminate a certain number
ability of parking around major public by between 20 and 30 %, but we only
Preamble of cars from the traffic, but it is im-
transport stations and hubs, while at the have a very rough estimate of an indi-
possible to evaluate the distances these
Each of the National Climate Plan same time regulating or even limiting vidual home’s average consumption.
cars had travelled beforehand. Drivers
measures aims to reduce our greenhouse parking facilities in congested urban By way of further example, we can
who no longer use their car, use another
gas emissions. They are government mea- areas. Although it is possible to eval- observe and quantify the rise in rail-
means of transport, but we don’t know
sures aimed at changing the behaviour of uate the impact of all these measures way use, but cannot guarantee that this
which one. It could be that they simply
socio-economic actors. In the long term, on the basis of the statistical trends in increase can be attributed to the plan’s
stopped using this type of transport.
their overall impact should be shown in public transport use, the impact of each measures.
–– Implementing certain measures results
the year-to-year evolution of emissions per of these measures cannot be separat- –– Duplications and double counting must
in the adoption of traceable economic
sector as stated in the emissions invento- ed from the cluster as a whole, which be avoided: at one time, the acquisition
actions, such as purchasing equipment
ries. However, although surveying the in- shares the same objective. of energy-saving equipment benefit-
or applying for subsidies for investment
ventories will determine whether Belgium –– Finally, certain measures or certain ed from investment subsidies, but this
in energy-saving equipment. In this in-
or its regions are close to meeting their clusters of measures actually constitute was also eligible for tax relief, i.e. two
stance, if sales or subsidy statistics are
reductions targets, this will not isolate the development policies. This is true of the mechanisms with the same objective.
available, as well as an estimate of the
individual impact of each measure or sepa- green certificate (and/or CHP) systems The two mechanisms complemented
energy savings and the resultant re-
rate the effect of the plan’s measures from aimed at developing electricity gener- each other but the investment in reduc-
duction in emissions, the impact of the
that of the “natural” evolution of the coun- ation using renewable energy sources ing emissions was only made once. For
measure can be estimated. This would
try’s socio-economic activities for reasons or high-efficiency cogeneration. It is example, when evaluating the impact
nonetheless be approximate, given the
other than having implemented the plan’s also true of emissions reductions pol- of a policy of voluntary agreements
uncertainties generally associated with
measures. icies that originate from the industrial in industry, care is taken not to add
estimating unit savings. Furthermore,
sector (ETS and voluntary agreements to this the impact of tax relief for en-
of cars...); control of placing on the market and it does not take into account all the re-
such as sectoral and benchmark agree- ergy-saving investments, given that a
registration of sales of substances and equipment ductions achieved by using such equip-
(database in development), record keeping, respon- ments). In this instance, policy-makers large number of tax relief applications
sibility of producers; awareness raising and educa- ment, since some economic actors will
have established monitoring indicators come from companies engaged in such
tion measures.
agreements.
4. Policies and measures 55
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Other phenomena can affect the impact the insulated wall, a thickness of 20 cm Directives 2006/32/EC and 2012/27/ of measures, all aiming at a common tar-
of the measures, but their effect on estimat- is automatically installed. EU on energy efficiency and services. get, can be evaluated9.
ing this impact cannot be taken into con- –– The rebound effect, where a device that As recommended, measures that are
sideration here: consumes little energy tends to be used adopted or implemented and taken into
Methodologies used
–– The “windfall” effect: the measures more often or in a more lax fashion. A consideration to establish a scenario “with
implemented apply to all actors, even well-known example is that of low-en- The impact of measures, when possi- existing measures” (WEM scenario) are
those who had already adopted the ac- ergy lamps that nobody takes the trou- ble, has been evaluated for projection years categorised as ‘WEM’.
tions sought by the measure. For ex- ble to turn off. 2020, 2025, 2030 and 2035. Estimates ben-
Regions have approved their climate
ample, paying for the public transport efit from existing statistics and indicators
The following conclusions can be plans. In Flanders, the Climate Policy Plan
commuting costs of public sector staff related to specific energy conservation or
drawn from these considerations: 2013-2020 aims at emission reductions in
certainly encourages a modal shift from climate change policies. Among others:
–– Impact estimates cannot be made for the ESD sectors, some additional measures
the car to these means of transport, but –– Benchmark and energy efficiency are being explored by the Government. In
every measure of the plan.
it also benefits the people already using agreements in industry, monitored Wallonia, an Air and Climate Policy Plan
–– Where estimates are feasible, they will
this mode of transport before the mea- through energy efficiency improvement has been approved, which provides an op-
often be made for a series of measures
sure was implemented. If a distinction indicators (and their CO2 counterparts); portunity for the Government to reconsider
(a cluster, for example) that share the
between these two categories of user –– Statistics on green electricity produc- priorities and objectives. In Brussels too,
same objective. Particular care must
cannot be drawn, an evaluation based tion, generated green and CHP certifi- the Air, Climate and Energy Plan has come
be taken to avoid double counting, and
on the number of season tickets paid cates ; into force in June 2016.
where this is unavoidable it should be
for risks overestimating the desired im- –– Statistics on subsidies delivered to
identified.  All PAMs considered are categorized
pact. support energy saving investments in
–– Estimates are marred by considerable as “existing measures” (and taken into
–– The multiplier effect: When people households;
uncertainties associated with the lim- consideration in the “WEM” scenario).
achieve energy savings the example –– Statistics for public transports (train
ited availability of data and the many The different entities in Belgium are work-
they set can generate other initiatives and buses): attendance and fuel con-
assumptions that generally need to be ing on a national integrated climate and
among these other people, even if they sumptions.
considered to identify the baseline. energy plan for the period 2021-2030. In
do not decide to apply for investment
–– It will be very difficult, if not impos- Not all measures yield emission re- the framework of this process, additional
grants or tax relief. Given that our es-
sible, to establish a link between the ductions that can be evaluated. Awareness measures are being explored but are not yet
timates are based on financial incentive
emissions reductions estimated here campaigns, the establishment of facilita- sufficiently elaborated to be included in a
application statistics, we will not cov-
and the trends observed in the evolu- tors or counselling offices, the accredita- WAM scenario.
er these initiatives. In the same vein, it
tion of emissions inventories over time. tion of energy auditors… are examples of
should be noted that the technical re- For instance, promoting public transports includes
9
–– In view of the large number of assump- measures reputed beneficial, but whose
quirements for approving a grant can a series of measures aiming at improving the offer
tions to consider participants must har- quantitative impact is difficult to evaluate. of public transports (comfort, speed, connectivi-
dictate how the technical measures are
monise their work, together with the ty,...), others improving parking conditions around
implemented. Thus, previously, a roof In some cases, information is just lack- train stations, for cars and for bicycles, installing
CONCERE Working Group, which is walkways and sidewalks in industrial areas, but
insulation installer invariably installed ing. In many circumstances, the impact of
responsible for evaluating the impact of also restricting and taxing parking conditions in
a thickness of 8 cm. Now that eligibil- individual measures cannot be estimated downtown areas. The impact of each individu-
the plan’s measures on improving en-
ity for an insulation grant requires a alone, while the global impact of clusters al measure considered cannot be seized, but the
ergy efficiency, as required by the EU whole cluster of measures contributes to a rise in
maximum coefficient of heat transfer to attendance of public transports that can be mea-
sured.

4. Policies and measures 56
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4.3.4 Inventory table The CTF Table 3 contains one row for


each measure of the National Climate Plan
4.5 Minimise adverse effects of
Belgium’s National Climate Plan con-
sists of various measures, some of which (a more detailed version of CTF Table 3 is response measures
reinforce each other and cannot therefore available on EIONET website. Some mea-
be evaluated individually. The effects of sures have been added, including those that
awareness and training measures are in- can already be regarded as planned by the
cluded in the measures they support and regional authorities, even if they have not
Under Article 3.14 of the Kyoto Proto- its policies in the framework of EU direc-
are not therefore listed in a separate eval- yet published their final climate plan for
col and UNFCCC Decision 31/CMP.1, An- tives, regulations, decisions and recom-
uation. 2020. mendations. For instance, Belgium has im-
nex I Parties are invited to report on how
they are striving to implement their com- plemented the European liberalisation of
mitment while minimizing adverse social, electricity and natural gas markets and is
4.4 Policies and measures that are environmental and economic impacts on involved in the European Emissions Trad-
developing country parties. ing Scheme, all actions aiming to address
no longer applied market imperfections and to better reflect
Actions taken are intended to contrib- externalities in energy/CO2 prices.
ute to preventing dangerous anthropogenic
interference with the climate system. Ad- Various international bodies have iden-
Compared to the previous report, the –– Positive Mobility allocation (propos- verse impacts of climate change are thus tified areas where progress could be made
following PAMS were deleted from the al10) ; globally reduced when Annex I countries to decrease fossil fuel subsidies in Bel-
summary table: –– Fiscal incentives for the use of speed (and Belgium among them) take mea- gium.
–– EC-C05: Financial support for sustain- pedelecs for home-work transfer (to be sures aiming to reduce GHG emissions Belgium has abolished subsidies sup-
able energy policies in sheltered and implemented in 2018); through energy savings and the promotion porting the use of coal and other fossil fu-
social workshops; –– Reduction of railways energy use (trac- of renewable energy sources. Furthermore, els for energy production and expects these
–– EP-B01: ETS: specific policy for quo- tion & non traction) (implementation most of those actions contribute to reduce measures to have a positive health impact
tas allocation to electricity producers; ongoing); air pollution related to fossil fuel uses for on the long term. The Belgian agricultural
–– EC-B04: Improvement of consumers –– Modifying the fiscal regime for compa- the benefit of all countries. policies and the promotion of biofuels are
information on the environmental im- ny cars (implemented since 2012); developed within the European common
–– Low emission zone ; Belgian policies and measures address
pact of products; Flexibility mecha- policies. The new EU common agriculture
–– BatEx project. not only fossil-fuel combustion but also
nisms; policy now tends to support quality prod-
emissions of all gases covered by the Kyo-
–– EC-A02: Mobilizing the resources of ucts and environmental respect instead of
to Protocol, such as methane and nitrogen
the natural gas fund. large volumes of production, and should
protoxide from agriculture and waste man-
On the other hand, new PAMS have make market conditions more accessible to
agement or F-gases in refrigeration sys-
been introduced/proposed: products from developing countries.
tems, thus ensuring a balanced distribution
10
Measure aiming to establish a permanent system
–– Reduction of the emissions of fluori- where workers whose wage package contains a of efforts and limiting the potential impact Concerning biofuels, acknowledging
nated greenhouse gases (implementa- company car can choose between a company car, of single measures that are too specific. As that their development could create pres-
a mobility budget, or a net salary increase. The net
tion ongoing); salary increase will be subject to similar fiscal rules a Member State of the European Union, sures on food prices and on land and for-
as the actual company car. Belgium designs and implements most of est management, especially in developing

4. Policies and measures 57
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countries, the EU has established strict Belgium is in various ways actively in-
sustainability criteria which in particular volved in the promotion and protection of
include not supporting biofuels from land human rights, e.g.:
with high biodiversity value (primary for- –– Establishment of a solid legal and
est and wooded land, protected areas or policy framework for combating gen-
highly bio-diverse grasslands), or from der-based discrimination ;
land converted from wetlands, peatlands or –– Support of the Office of the High Com-
continuously forested areas. It will also be missionner for Human Rights as a part-
very cautious about any broader environ- ner organisation of multilateral cooper-
mental and social aspects such as air, water ation.
and soil quality and labour conditions. –– Focus on the rights of women in the
Belgium also uses flexibility mecha- programming cycles of cooperation ac-
nisms, particularly in its participation in tivities.
clean development mechanisms (CDM) –– Recent decision to work out a nation-
projects. Actions in that domain include al action plan on business and human
direct funding of projects or participation rights which will ensure the implemen-
in carbon credit funds. The selection of tation of social responsibility and the
CDM projects applies sustainability crite- anchorage of human rights within the
ria based on the internationally recognized business sector;
so-called “Gold Standards” checklist, ad- –– Commitment to develop a 2nd national
dressing environmental aspects (including plan to combat child poverty;
bio-diversity), social sustainability and –– etc.
development, quality of life and labour, For more info, we refer to the 1st Bel-
and techno-economic aspects including gian National Voluntary Review on the Im-
employment and technological autonomy. plementation of the 2030 Agenda (“Path-
Finally, the respect and the promotion ways to sustainable development”).  ■
of human rights is and remains a priority
for Belgium, both at the national level and
in the relations with other countries.

4. Policies and measures 58
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5.1 Projections

5.1.1 Introduction The reported WEM projections are the


The projections described below are sum of the bottom-up projections of the
based on the 2017 Belgian submission to three regions (Flanders, Wallonia, Brus-

5. Projections
the European Commission in compliance sels-Capital) which are calibrated on the
with Articles 3 and 14 of Regulation (EU) regional energy balances. The bottom-up
No 525/2013. A detailed description of as- approach starts from the demand side of

and the total


sumptions, parameters, sensitivity analy- the different sectors (industry, domestic,
ses and results is publicly available. tertiary, transport…) and results in sectoral
energy projections. Within this approach,

effect of policies
These projections were prepared in relations between energy consumption, ac-
2016 and 2017 using the most recent avail- tivity levels and energy prices are assessed
able emission data for the reference year at a sectoral level.

and measures,
2014 as included in the inventory submis-
sion in 2016. In order to enhance transpar- The aggregated regional bottom-up
ency, the latest updated actual inventory projections are compared with national pro-

and supplementarity
data for the year 2015, as included in the jections calculated by the Federal Planning
inventory submission in 2017, have been Bureau (FPB) based on a macro-sectoral
used as starting point for this report. top-down econometric model (HERMES).

relating to
These national top-down modelled projec-
The “With Existing Measures” (WEM) tions are directly linked to macro-econom-
scenario includes implemented and adopt- ic assumptions. A full description of the

Kyoto protocol
ed regional and federal measures at the end macro-sectoral top-down projections can
of 2016, for the projected Belgian green- be found in the projection report submitted
house gas emissions over the period 2015- to the European Commission

mechanisms
2035.
The greenhouse gas emission pro-
As described in Chapter 4, the different jections were elaborated in the course of
entities in Belgium are working on a na- 2016-2017 based on the most recent infor-
tional integrated climate and energy plan mation available on the macro-economic
for the period 2021-2030. In the frame- context and policy implementation (see
work of this process, additional measures Chapter 4).
are being explored but have not yet suffi-
ciently been elaborated to be included in a For more information, see also the Bel-
WAM scenario. gian national system on projections report
under article 12 of Regulation (EU) No
525/2013 (MMR).

59
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5.1.2 Description of models of the macro-sectoral approach in Chap- The section below summarises the gen- Global Warming Potential
Descriptions of the models used in the ter 5.1.8). In order to avoid inconsisten- eral assumptions of the WEM scenario.
CO2 equivalent emissions and project-
calculation of the regional and national cies between the regions, the same general The national WEM projections are the sum
ed emissions for 2015-2035 are calculat-
projections are included in Annex 3 of this assumptions are used by the three regions of the Flemish, Walloon and Brussels pro-
ed using the Global Warming Potential
report. for key parameters (climate assumptions, jections. The electricity production and the
(GWP) values specified in the 2006 IPCC
demographic evolution, …). bunker fuel consumption are modelled at
The models used by the different enti- Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas
national level.
ties are: The strengths of these simulation mod- Inventories
els can be found in the ease of use, ease of The regional energy related projections
–– EPM: used by the Walloon Region;
understanding the results for decision mak- are based on regional energy statistics.
–– Flemish energy and greenhouse gas Climate assumptions
ers, transparency, possibility to evaluate Contrary to the federal energy statistics
simulation model: used by the Flemish
impact of single measures, … However, (EUROSTAT) which consist of sales data, The regional bottom-up projections for
Region;
some weaknesses can be mentioned such the regional energy statistics are based on the period 2015-2035 for the residential
–– Energy and Atmospheric Emissions
as no guarantee of global optimum, diffi- consumption data. and tertiary sector are calculated assum-
projection model for the stationary
culty to model complex (economic) inter- ing a number of degree-days equivalent
sources and Transport Emission Pro- This is particularly important for the
actions, involvement of expert judgement to the average number of degree-days of
jection model: used by the Brussels transport sector: the regional CO2 emission
to define input variables, … the period 2006-2015: 1 807 degree-days
Capital Region; projections for road transport are based on
(reference 15/15). The reported emissions
–– OFFREM model: used by all regions regional mobility data (transport volumes)
of these sectors for the reference year 2014
for off-road sectors; 5.1.3 General projection assumptions while the national top-down CO2 emission
correspond to the observed emissions (with
–– HERMES model: used by the Belgian Since Belgium’s last biennial report projections for road transport are based
1 441 degree-days).
Federal Planning Bureau (i.e. mac- and national communication, the method- on fuel sales (see section “The Transport
ro-economic top-down approach). ology has remained unchanged, while the Sector (CRF category 1A3)”). To ensure
input data has been updated. coherence between national emission in- Demographic evolution
All models used by the three regions
ventory data and projected regional emis-
are simulation models, of the “bottom-up” The following general assumptions are The demographic projections (CTF Ta-
sion data, the sum of the regional transport
type, i.e. explaining energy consump- used in the calculations of both the national ble 5) are based on prospects presented in
emission data is recalibrated to coincide
tions and GHG emissions from activity top-down and regional bottom-up emission 2016 (DGSIE-ADSEI Bureau Fédéral du
with the 2015 national inventory. This re-
variables expressed, as far as possible, in projections (unless otherwise indicated). Plan-Federaal Planbureau, 2016) and take
calibration has been integrated in the pro-
physical units, and containing a detailed into account the observations of January 1st
All currently implemented and adopted jected emission figures.
representation of emission sources and the 2015.
main determining factors of the evolution (EU, federal, regional) policies and mea-
of energy demand and the various types of sures are taken into account in the ‘with Emission factors
existing measures’ (WEM) scenario and CO2 prices
emissions. There are some minor differ-
are presented in more detail in the PAMs Emission factors reported in the ‘Bel-
ences with regard to the level of detail, the CO2 prices are especially relevant for
EU reporting template, an extended ver- gium’s Greenhouse Gas Inventory (1990-
activity variables and parameters in these the fuel choice in the electricity sector and
sion of the CTF Table 3 and Chapter 4 of 2015) National Inventory Report have been
regional models. The projection results industrial installations covered by the EU-
the present report. used for the calculation of the projections.
consist of the sum of the bottom-up pro- ETS. A CO2 price of EUR201315 for the year
jections (with the exception of the results 2020 with a gradual increase to EUR2013

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 60
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42 for 2035 in the WEM scenario was model at national level. Projections for the
suggested by the EC (Table 5.1). For the electricity production consider:
national top-down modelled projections of –– the evolution of the electricity demand
the Federal Planning Bureau this evolution (in some sectors);
of CO2 price has been used. –– the evolution of the electricity produc-
tion park and production efficiencies;
Table 5.1: CO2 prices 5.1.4 Sector specific assumptions (regional –– the import of electricity;
bottom-up projections) –– fuel cost;
2020 2025 2030 2035 –– time slices (electricity demand is not
The following sector specific assump-
equal in winter and in summer, nor
EU ETS carbon price (EUR2013/t CO2) 15.0 22.5 33.5 42.0 tions are used for the regional bottom-up
during night and day).
2017 projections.
Table 5.2 shows the demand and supply
data of the electricity sector for Belgium
Source: Recommended parameters for reporting on GHG projections in 2017, Final, 14/06/2016
The Power Sector (electricity production) (TWh). Own use is considered indirectly
(CRF category 1A1a and autoproducers through reduced net efficiencies of elec-
in other CRF categories) tricity plants in model calculations.
The projections for the electricity pro- The demand and supply data show a
duction sector are modelled with the Flem- slight increase of the final electricity con-
ish energy and greenhouse gas simulation
Table 5.2: Electricity demand and supply for Belgium (TWh)

Historical Projected Table 5.3: Nuclear phase out (according to the law of 18th June 2015)
[TWh] 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Nuclear unit Capacity (MW) Closing date
Final consumption 58.0 68.4 77.5 80.2 83.3 81.7 84.6 84.2 84.0 84.1
Doel 1 433 15th February 2025
Pumped storage power
stations balance 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Doel 2 433 1st December 2025
(Pumping stations) Doel 3 1 006 1st October 2022
Distribution losses 3.6 3.7 3.8 4.2 4.3 3.8 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 Doel 4 1 039 1st July 2025
Net import (balance Tihange 1 962 1 October 2025
st

-3.7 4.1 4.3 6.3 0.6 21.0 1.0 19.5 30.0 30.0
import-export) Tihange 2 1 008 1st February 2023
Net production 65.5 68.3 77.4 78.5 87.5 64.9 87.4 68.5 57.8 57.9 Tihange 3 1 046 1st September 2025

Source historical data: Eurostat database

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 61
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sumption between 2014 and 2035 with The net import levels in the Belgian on new trans-boundary transport capaci- for the WEM-scenario is based upon the
2 % (i.e. 0.1 % per year on average). The projections up to 2035 are based on exist- ties, commercial opportunities and the lo- “Elia-base scenario” (Table 5.4).
trans-boundary electricity trading is con- ing scenario reports of the Belgian power cation of new production plants.
Table 5.5 shows the shares of nuclear,
sidered exogenous in the modelling of the system (CTF Table 5). The actual evolu-
The WEM scenario integrates the fossil fuel and renewables in total gross
electricity production. tion of the net-import will depend mainly
phase-out of nuclear energy in Belgium. electricity production in the WEM sce-
On the 18th of June 2015, another extension nario. Until 2025 a large part of the base
was approved (for the Doel 1 and Doel 2 load demand is projected to be met by nu-
units) through an amendment of the law clear power plants, CHP installations and
of the 31st of January 2003. The timetable renewable energy (biomass). After 2025,
for the nuclear power phase-out between nuclear power plants will be phased-out
2015 and 2025 mentioned in Table 5.3 (as and are projected to be mainly replaced
Table 5.4: Offshore wind capacity WEM scenario (MW)
inscribed in article 4 of this law) has been by natural gas and increased imports. The
taken into account. share of renewables in total gross electric-
2020 2025 2030 2035 ity production amounted to 19 % in 2014
The offshore wind capacity is based
WEM scenario 2 188 2 312 2 312 2 312 and increases to 49 % in 2035. The policy
upon a study by the Belgian transmission
and measures to support and promote re-
system operator (ELIA, 2016). The data
newable energy in the three regions and at
the federal level are described in the PAMs
reporting template.
For the CO2 emission projections origi-
Table 5.5: Share of nuclear, fossil fuel and renewable in total gross electricity
nating from waste incineration each region
production
applies its own methodology as specified
in the National Inventory Report. The
Historical Projected CO2 emissions from waste incineration
WEM scenario 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 with energy recuperation are reported in
the energy sector as ‘other fuels’ for the
Coal 28 % 26 % 19 % 12 % 6 % 6 % 0 % 0 % 0 % 0 %
non-organic part and as ‘biomass’ for the
Oil 2 % 2 % 1 % 2 % 0 % 0 % 1 % 0 % 0 % 0 % organic part. The emissions from 1 indus-
Natural gas 8 % 14 % 19 % 26 % 33 % 32 % 22 % 27 % 45 % 44 % trial waste incinerator in the Flemish re-
Renewables 1 % 2 % 2 % 4 % 8 % 21 % 26 % 41 % 49 % 49 % gion (auto-generator) are allocated to CRF
category 1A4a.
Nuclear 60 % 56 % 57 % 55 % 50 % 37 % 47 % 27 % 0 % 0 %
Other (including waste) 1 % 1 % 1 % 1 % 3 % 4 % 4 % 5 % 7 % 7 %

Source historical data: Eurostat database

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 62
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The (Energy) Conversion Sector Coke production (CRF category 1A1c) Wallonia constant since the network will not be ex-
Calculation of CH4 emissions from the tended.
Refineries (CRF categories 1A1a, 1A1b, Flanders
distribution of natural gas in Wallonia is
1B2c, 1B2a4) The scenario assumes one coke produc-
based on the assumption that the network The Industrial Sector
Flanders tion plant in the steel industry operating
does not experience further expansion. Pig
at maximum capacity in the period 2014- iron pipes and asbestos cement pipes will Projections for the industry use as-
Refining is an activity that only takes sumptions of activities and sometimes also
2035 and equipped with a desulphurisation continue to be replaced, all new distribu-
place in the Flemish region. The emission energy intensity.
unit. tion pipes being made of steel or PE/PVC.
projections assume that the capacity of the
refineries in Belgium will not increase af- Table 5.6 and and 5.7 present the as-
Wallonia Brussels-Capital Region
ter 2014. The energy consumption of the sumptions used for the industrial CO2 emis-
The last coke factory was closed in Fugitive emissions considered in Brus- sions projections for each region. For each
refineries decreases between 2014 and
2014 and it is not expected that a new plant sels-Capital Region are due to the distribu- major industrial sector, the assumed activ-
2035 taking into account the expected en-
will be built. tion of natural gas; the emissions remain ity growth rates are mentioned until 2035.
ergy efficiency improvement. As described
in the Belgian National Inventory Report
CO2 emissions of the refineries are allocat- Oil transport (CRF category 1B2a3)
Table 5.6: Activity assumptions for the industrial sector in Flanders (relative to 2014)
ed to the sectors:
Flanders
–– 1A1a for the involved combined
Fugitive emissions of CO2 and CH4 Sector 2014 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
heat-power installations of the refiner-
ies; from oil transport are assumed to remain 1A1b. Petroleum Refining 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
–– 1B2c for the flaring emissions; constant at the 2014 level.
–– 1A1b for the total emissions exclud- 1A1c. Manufacture of Solid Fuels and
1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
Other Energy Industries
ing the emissions of the combined Gas transmission and distribution
heat-power installations and excluding (CRF category 1B2b) 1A2a. Iron and Steel 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.02
the emissions from flaring activities.
Flanders 1A2b. Non-Ferrous Metals 1.00 1.01 1.04 1.08 1.13 1.17
All CH4 emissions of this sector (except
the emissions of the combined heat-pow- Projections of fugitive CH4 emissions
er installations which are allocated to the from the distribution of natural gas are cal- 1A2c. Chemicals 1.00 1.01 1.06 1.11 1.17 1.26
sector 1A1a) are allocated in category culated based on assumptions on the evo-
1B2a4 and all N2O emissions (except the lution of the natural gas network and the 1A2d. Pulp, Paper and Print 1.00 1.02 1.10 1.20 1.30 1.44
emissions of the combined heat-power in- gradual replacement of pig iron pipes by
1A2e. Food Processing, Beverages
stallations which are allocated to the sector PE, PVC or steel. The expansion of the gas 1.00 1.01 1.07 1.15 1.23 1.36
and Tobacco
1A1a) are allocated in category 1A1b. The network is estimated taking into account
emissions of CH4 reported in the category the increase of the number of households 1A2f. Other 1.00 1.01 1.09 1.16 1.25 1.38
1B2a4 also contain the flaring activities of and houses in areas with the possibility to
refineries. connect to the distribution grid.

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 63
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Table 5.7: Activity assumptions for the industrial sector in Wallonia ( %/year)

Sector Sub-sector Activity variable Sector Sub-sector Activity variable

    2014-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035     2014-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035
Organic and
Electric steel -3.15 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % -2.6 % 1.8 % 1.5 % 1.5 % 1.5 %
inorganic chemicals
Steel Other steel
-6.9 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % Nitric acid 1.3 % 1.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
  enterprises
  Chemical
Cogeneration -100.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %   Parachemicals -0.6 % 2.3 % 2.3 % 2.3 % 2.3 %
 
 
Coke ovens -100.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %   Ammonia 3.3 % 2.2 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
 
Grey clinker dry   Other fertilisers
-1.7 % 4.03 % 6.4 % 0.0 % 0.0 % -3.6 % 2.2 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
process   (phosphates)
Cement Grey clinker wet
-7.2 % 8.5 % -100.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % Oxygen -1.4 % 1.8 % 1.5 % 1.5 % 1.5 %
  process
  White cement clinker
-100.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % Cogeneration -1.1 % 1.8 % 1.5 % 1.5 % 1.5 %
  wet process
Cement production 1.1 % 2.3 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % Chemical pulp 5.7 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
Integrated graphic
Lime production 3.7 % 3.3 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % Paper 5.7 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
paper
Lime  
  Dolomite production 1.6 % 1.5 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %   Other graphic paper 5.2 % -0.5 % -0.5 % -0.5 % -0.5 %
   
Other lime activities 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %   Household paper -1.4 % 0.5 % 0.5 % 0.5 % 0.5 %

Flat glass -11.1 % 1.5 % 1.6 % 1.6 % 1.6 % Cogeneration 5.5 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
Glass
  Hollow glass 3.3 % 2.3 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % Food industry 0.6 % 1.9 % 1.5 % 1.5 % 1.5 %
 
Glass fiber and glass Metal products -8.3 % -4.8 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
1.7 % 2.6 % 1.4 % 1.4 % 1.4 %
wool
Non ferrous metals 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.9 % 0.9 % 0.9 %

Other industries 6.7 % 1.2 % 1.2 % 1.3 % 1.8 %

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 64
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Energetic CO2 emission in the All major industries are involved in the WEM scenario. The objective of this Process emissions of CO2 and non-
industrial sector (CRF category 1A2) ‘second generation’ branch agreements in decree is to diminish about 5 % of total en- energy use of fuels (CRF category 2A,
which they have committed to improve ergy consumption of the biggest industri- 2B, 2C)
Flanders
their energy/CO2 efficiency by 2020. For al companies located in the region. These
Energy consumption and CO2 emis- Flanders
the period 2014-2020, it was assumed that companies account for approximately
sions were modelled using expected en- for each sector the improvement of ener- 50 % of total industry energy consumption. Main non-energetic uses of fuels in
ergy efficiency improvement and activity gy efficiency and the reduction of specific Flanders:
projections for the different sub-sectors CO2 emissions up to 2020 will be those of –– natural gas for ammonia production
(Table 5.6). Both sets of assumptions are the commitments contained in the sectoral (carbon converted to CO2 emissions);
mainly based on the EU Reference Scenar- agreement. For the period 2020-2035, an –– natural gas for processes where the car-
io 2016 (European Commission, 2016) for improvement in energy efficiency of 0.3 % bon is fixed in the end-products;
Belgium. per annum has been taken into account.
The industrial off-road emissions are The assumptions on energy efficiency
calculated by using the OFFREM-model improvements are shown in Table 5.8.
with emission factors of the IPCC 2006
guidelines (CO2 and CH4) and EMEP/EEA For cogeneration, an improvement of
guidebook (N2O). Off-road emissions of specific consumption of fuel per MWhe
the industrial sectors are allocated (incl. of 0.5 % per annum for the period 2014-
construction industry) in category 1A2gvii. 2020 and of 0.3 % per annum for the period
2021-2030 has been taken into account. Table 5.8: Assumptions on energy efficiency improvements for the industrial sector
Wallonia in Wallonia
Brussels Capital Region
Table 5.7 presents the assumptions
made concerning the evolution of activity The projections are based upon energy 2014-2020 2021-2035
intensity. The perspectives of future expan- Sector
variables. ( %/year) ( %/year)
sion are very low. The projections assume
Between 2014 and 2016, rates of Steel -0.75 % -0.30 %
that the gross added value will progress
change of activities are based on statis- according to the middle term projections Chemicals -0.81 % -0.30 %
tics, estimates of market growths or per- 2016-2021 (FPB; IBSA; SVR; IWEPS, Cement -0.15 % -0.30 %
spectives of industrial sectors, investment 2016); from 2022 until 2035 this value re- Lime -0.55 % -0.30 %
projects and equipment closures that have mains constant.
occurred or have been announced. Glass -0.34 % -0.30 %
The 8th December 2016 a new decree Food -1.18 % -0.30 %
Resulting rates are listed in the Table has been approved concerning energy au-
5.7. After 2016, large installations are as- Pulp & paper -0.69 % -0.30 %
dits obligations1. This decree is included in
sumed to be maintained in activity. Ex- Textile, wood & furniture -0.16 % -0.30 %
pected structural changes are taken into 1
Arrêté du Gouvernement de la Région de Brux- Other industry -0.50 % -0.30 %
account when known. elles-Capitale relatif à l’audit énergétique des
grandes entreprises et à l’audit énergétique du per-
mis d’environnement approuvé en troisième lec-
ture le 8 décembre 2016.

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 65
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–– natural gas for the production of hydro- CO2 emitted by the actual combustion F-gas emissions in the industrial sector Flanders
gen and ethylene oxide of methane) (CRF category 2) Heating and equipment
–– naphtha and LPG in crackers and F-gas emission projections come from
Projections of CO2 process emissions –– New dwellings:
in other processes (carbon fixed in the model developed by ECONOTEC and
are linked to growth rates of activity (Table As of 2014 it is assumed that the heat
end-products); VITO commissioned by the Federal Public
5.7). demand of all new single-family dwell-
–– heavy fuel oil for production of carbon Service of Public Health, Food Chain Safe-
black; use of coal-tar in one company CH4 and N2O emissions in the industrial ty and Environment (Econotec & VITO, ings and apartments respect an E-level of
sector (CRF category 2) 2015). 60 following the implementation of the
It is assumed that climate policy will
EC directive 2010/31/EU on energy per-
not have an effect on the non-energetic use The CH4 and N2O emission projections NF3 emissions are only included in the formance of buildings (EPB). This E-level
of the fuels mentioned above. for the industrial sector are made using the total greenhouse gas projections. NF3 is tightens gradually to 30 as of 2021 (Ta-
emission inventory methodology reported included neither as ETS nor as non ETS
There are also several chemical pro- ble 5.9).
in the National Inventory Report. emissions since NF3 is not covered by the
cesses in which carbonaceous products,
European targets. –– Existing dwellings:
generally not considered as fuels, are ox- CH4 emissions in the industrial sector
For existing dwellings, projected fuel
idised to CO2. Projections of CO2 process originate mainly from the iron and steel
consumption is determined by the:
emissions are linked to activity assump- sector in Flanders (sinter production). The The Residential Sector (CRF category
tions which mainly come from the EU Ref- same activity growth trend as mentioned in • average fuel consumption in exist-
1A4b)
erence Scenario 2016 for Belgium. Tables 5.6 and 5.7 are assumed. The emis- ing dwellings in 2014 and evolution
sion levels are directly linked with this The climate regulations and measures of dwelling numbers;
Wallonia same growth trend. considered for the 2015 ‘with existing mea- • impact of renewable energy poli-
Main non-energetic uses of fuels in sures’ projections are presented in more cies (solar boilers and heat pumps),
The N2O emission originates from
Wallonia: detail in CTF Table 3 (and in the PAMs autonomous boiler efficiency im-
caprolactam (Flanders) and nitric acid
–– coal in the iron and steel industry and reporting template). The assumed evolu- provements and also thermal insu-
(Flanders, Wallonia) production. N2O
selected applications of engineering tion of the population and the number of lation measures.
emission projections of caprolactam pro-
(metallic works); households is discussed in section ‘Demo-
duction are based on information from Fuel mix
–– petroleum products in several sectors, graphic evolution’. Estimates are made on
the concerned company regarding activity
notably in the chemical industry; the number of new dwellings. Distinction The projected fuel mix of existing
data and implementation of reduction mea-
–– natural gas for ammonia production is made between new and existing houses. dwellings starts from the current distri-
sures. N2O emission projections of nitric
(carbon converted to CO2 emissions) acid production in Flanders is assumed to
Emissions from processes considered remain constant at the 2015 level.
in Wallonia are the following: In Wallonia, N2O emission projections Table 5.9: E-level pathway for the residential sector (2014-2021)
–– CO2 produced by the decomposition of of nitric acid projections are based on in-
limestone in cement and lime produc- formation from the concerned company 2014 2016 2018 2020 2021
tions; regarding activity data and implementation
E-level 60 50 40 35 30
–– CO2 produced by the decomposition of reduction measures. Reduction mea-
of methane for the production of am- sures were implemented in 2011, resulting
monia (and considered separately from in a large decrease of N2O emissions.

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 66
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bution of energy carriers and takes into Wallonia The number of renovations combined dwellings) while the share of fuel oil de-
account the expected yearly fuel switch Heating together with the energy savings per type creases slightly (51 % in 2014 and 48 % in
(from fuel oil to natural gas) and the num- of renovation lead to a decrease of the 2035 for existing homes) to be compensat-
ber of heat pump installations. The fuel In the residential sector, the heat de- average specific consumption of existing ed by wood (12 % in 2014 to 15 % in 2035).
mix for new dwellings depends on the mand of all new dwellings takes into ac- housing of:
E-level pathway. count the current EPB regulation in Wallo- Brussels-Capital Region
–– 0.3 % per year for houses and 0.1 % per
nia, in force since 2012 with the different The residential emission projections
Equipment year for apartments between 2014 and
following requirements: consider the historic trends between 2001
2020,
It is considered that 80 % of the historic –– 01/09/2011: Ew = 80; Espec = 130 kWh/ –– 0.3 % and 0.1 % between 2021 and and 2014 on energy consumption, house-
electricity was used for electrical applianc- m2; 2035. hold size, and population. The projections
es and lighting. The remaining 20 % was –– 01/01/2017: Ew = 65; Espec = 115 kWh/ also reflect the application of the Brussels
for heating and sanitary hot water. The The hot water consumption per dwell- Capital Region Government’s Decree2 re-
m²;
evolution of the consumption of electrical ing is considered stable trough the period garding Energy Performance of Buildings.
–– 01/01/2021: Ew = 45; Espec = 85  kWh/
appliances and lighting was simulated us- 2014-2035 which means that the hot water This decree will start having an impact in
m².
ing the results of the EU Reference scenar- consumption per person increases slightly 2018; it considers that all new buildings
where Ew is the “primary energy con-
io 2016. during the same period. will be nearly passive (15 kWh/m2.yr) and
sumption level” and Espec is the “specific
primary energy consumption level”. The performance of electric boilers and heavy renovated buildings will consume
Off-road
gas water heaters is considered to remain 30 kWh/m2.yr.
Off-road emissions of the residen- For existing dwellings, the decrease of
stable throughout the period. However, in The WEM scenario also includes the
tial sector are calculated using the OF- specific energy consumption has been cal-
the case of centralized production by the measures adopted in the Brussels Code
FREM-model with emission factors of the culated based on energy savings per type of
boiler, improved boiler performance is on Air, Climate and Energy Control (CO-
IPCC 2006 guidelines (CO2 and CH4) and renovation and the number of annual reno-
considered for hot water production (spe- BRACE, French acronym) and the Air,
EMEP/EEA guidebook (N2O). Off-road vations. Due to a less favourable subsidies
cific fuel consumption assumed to decrease Climate and Energy plan (PACE). The
emissions of the residential sectors are scheme in the Walloon region, the number
by 9 % between 2012 and 2035). The share COBRACE reorganises the Brussels legis-
allocated to category 1.A.4.b.ii (Off-road of annual renovations taken into account
of electricity and fossil fuels to produce hot lation in the areas with a cross-cutting ap-
vehicles and other machinery). for the period 2015-2030 is significantly
water is considered to remain stable over proach. It includes measures towards im-
lower compared to the period 2010-2014.
the projection period. proved air quality, energy performance of
Electrical equipment buildings, mobility and citizens awareness.

Table 5.10: Evolution of the number of annual renovations by type For equipment, it has been estimated Measures included in the WEM sce-
that, in 2035, all of them will have specific nario concern energy management and
consumption corresponding to the current technical installations. The replacement of
Roofs Walls Floor Windows
best available technologies. boilers is one of these measures. When a
2010-2014 15 000 4 000 2 000 10 000
2015 4 000 2 000 1 000 3 000 Fuel mix
2
21 décembre 2007.- Arrêté du Gouvernement de
2016-2030 5 000 2 500 1 250 3 750 The share of natural gas in fuel con- la Région de Bruxelles – Capitale déterminant des
sumption is relatively constant over the exigences en matière de performance énergétique
des bâtiments et du climat intérieur des bâtiments
period 2014-2035 (about 35 % for existing tel que modifié par l’arrêté du 5 mai 2011.

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 67
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new boiler is installed, the entire heating sure considers various actions realised –– the implementation of energy saving of 20 % of the fuel consumption between
system must be controlled by a certified by households thanks to the advice of the measures as described in the PAMs re- 2014 and 2020 and 10 % between 2021 and
technician; which allows a 20 % reduc- household’s support. Actions like the re- porting template 2035, and a saving of 10 % of the electrici-
tion in consumption. Boiler replacement placement of shower heads towards an –– the impact of renewable energy poli- ty consumption over the whole period.
rates were based upon data provided by eco-shower, the insulation of pipes and hot cies and autonomous boiler efficiency
During the period 2014-2035, the
the Thermal Technique Belgian Associ- water tanks, and the installation of ther- improvements.
shares of heating oil and natural gas are
ation (ATTB, French acronym) and was mostat or regulator clocks, among others
In the subsector office buildings and supposed to decrease slightly, from 31 %
deduced from the boilers replaced with en- are considered. For each action an average
education buildings, a tightening of the to 27 % for heating oil and from 64 % to
ergy grants. gain is estimated. The final energy gain is
E-level is taken into account for new build- 63 % for natural gas. Conversely, the share
estimated using the number of interven-
The second measure is also related to ings (Table 5.9). of wood is growing: to 6 % in 2035.
tions (advices). The WEM scenario con-
the heating installations. The mandatory
siders 1750 interventions per year during The projected fuel mix starts from the Brussels-Capital Region
control is applied for boilers that are part
the entire period (2015-2035). The gains current situation and takes into account
of a heating system with a nominal power The main consideration for establish-
are assumed to last 14 years (the average the expected annual fuel switch. A further
higher than 20  kW that uses non-renew- ing projections is the expansion of building
lifetime of the considered actions). increase of CHP is assumed in the tertiary
able fuel, and whose heat transfer fluid is surface due to the increase of employment
sector.
water. An annual control is established for Finally, Brussels Capital Region pro- as well as the information available in the
oil boilers and every three years for natural moted the “Exemplary Buildings Project” Wallonia regional energy balance.
gas boilers. This control generates energy (BatEx) from 2007 to 2013. The objective The implementation of the Brussels En-
The building stock having remained
gains around 2 % for gas boilers and 4 % of the project was to promote ecological ergy Performance of Buildings Decree3 is
stable for the last three years, its growth
for oil ones. This measure lasts the whole construction and passive buildings. The until 2015 is assumed to be very moderate. reflected in the projections. This measure is
projected period. project allowed the construction and reno- For the whole projection period, its growth applied for office and education buildings;
vation of approximately 214 000 m2 in the is 10.7 %, slightly higher than the popula-
Another measure considered in the it starts in 2018. All new buildings are con-
residential sector. The energy gain is esti-
WEM scenario is the energy grant system. tion growth (+9.9 %). sidered nearly passive (15 kWh m2.yr) and
mated to last 20 years.
The energy gains are estimated consider- It is assumed that during the period 3
21 décembre 2007.- Arrêté du Gouvernement de
ing the average gain of 2009 to 2014 for The shift towards natural gas has been la Région de Bruxelles – Capitale déterminant des
2014-2035, 3 % of existing buildings will
building’s isolation, double glazing im- obvious during the years 2001-2014; this exigences en matière de performance énergétique
be renovated annually, resulting in a saving des bâtiments et du climat intérieur des bâtiments
plementation, heating regulation systems trend is maintained, representing 64 % of tel que modifié par l’arrêté du 5 mai 2011.
and boilers replacement. The energy gain heating consumption in 2030.
is considered to last 20 years. This gain is
multiplied by the annual budget; the WEM
The Tertiary Sector (CRF category 1A4a)
scenario considers a constant budget from
2016 to 2020 of 22 M EUR. After that, the Flanders Table 5.11: E-level pathway tertiary sector (2014-2021)
scenario considers the end of the grant sys-
Energy projections are based on:
tem. 2014 2016 2018 2020 2021
–– the autonomous evolution of activity
Energy gains due to the household’s E-level 60 55 50 45 40
(based on added value) of the different
support are also estimated. This mea- subsectors;

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 68
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all the heavily renovated buildings must sector. The first one is the technical con- tors...) (14 %) and the heating of stables & organic fertilizer use. For some param-
reach a very low energy level (30  kWh/ trol of heating systems which has the same (46 %). eters, the mean values of the last years are
m2.yr). hypothesis than the residential sector. The maintained up to 2035, in absence of any
Off-road emission projections are cal-
second one is the implementation of the other information (e.g. milk yield, crop
As for the residential sector, the mea- culated using the OFFREM-model with
energy grant system; the only difference residues...).
sures included in the COBRACE and the emission factors of the IPCC 2006 guide-
is the proportion of the budget assigned to
PACE are part of the WEM scenario. The lines (CO2 and CH4) and EMEP/EEA Brussels-Capital Region
this sector; according to the grant system
first measure focuses on the big energy guidebook (N2O). Emission projections
report concerning the year 2013, the tertia- Greenhouse gas emissions in agricul-
consumers. It contemplates the require- of sea-fishery come from the EMMOSS
ry sector used 30 % of total budget and will ture mainly consist of CH4 and N2O emis-
ment of an energy audit in order to obtain model. Both models are also used for the
be constant between 2016 to 2020. Final- sions originated from animal husbandry
the renewal of the environmental permit greenhouse gas inventory.
ly, the BatEx project that (among others) (enteric fermentation and manure man-
for establishments exceeding 3 500  m2  4.
promoted energy and environmental per- The projections for greenhouse hor- agement) and direct and indirect emis-
The energy audit allows a reduction of
formance, profitability and reproducibili- ticulture take into account the following sions from managed soils. The agricultural
12.5 % of final energy consumption.
ty of the technologies was also applied in technical measures, for which subsidies emissions are very low in Brussels. The
The new decree concerning energet- the tertiary sector. About 396 000 m2 were exist: fences, heat buffers, flue gas con- stabilisation of the sector is assumed since
ic audits has been approved on the 8th of constructed and renovated under this proj- densers, replacement of old boilers. further expansion is not possible; thus the
December 20165. According to this frame- ect between 2007 and 2013. The energy values remain constant.
work, the big companies, defined by the reduction obtained thanks this initiative is The CH4 and N2O emission projections
number of employees and its energy con- assumed to remain for 20 years. take all policy measures, listed in the CTF
sumption, must do an energy audit starting Table 3, into account and new assumptions The Transport Sector (CRF category 1A3)
in 2018, this means in average 9 additional on the evolution of the animal herd: a gen-
The Agricultural Sector (CRF category eral decrease of the cattle herd except for General remarks regarding road
audits per year. In addition, the target is
1A4c and 3) the number of dairy cattle (increase until transport projections
enlarged for commercial establishments,
starting from 2018; commercial establish- Greenhouse gas emissions in the agri- 2015 due to abolition of the milk quota), Projections for the road transport are
ments with a surface over 1 500 m2 must do cultural sector mainly consist of CH4 and stabilisation of the number of poultry and performed combining 3 regional bot-
an energy audit. N2O emissions originating from animal slight decrease of swine due to new reg- tom-up calculations (“fuel used” basis).
husbandry and emissions from agricultural ulation on investment support subject to The sum of the three regional values for the
Three measures already described in manure management.
soils. reference year (2014) is then compared to
the residential sector scenario (see section
the top-down data (or the “fuel sold” basis
‘The Residential Sector (CRF category The livestock numbers mentioned in Wallonia
as reported in the Belgian CRF inventory
1A4b)’) are also applied to the tertiary CTF Table 5 were used in the projections. Energy related emissions, including the data). Subsequently, the aggregated growth
emissions from the gasoil of tractors and in the bottom-up models is applied to the
30 janvier 2012.- Arrêté du Gouvernement de la Flanders
other mobile equipment, in the agricultur-
4

Région de Bruxelles-Capitale rélatif à un audit In 2014 energy consumption in the difference between the bottom-up and top-
énergétique pour les établissements gros consom- al sector in the Walloon region are limited down calculations (the so-called surplus),
mateurs d’énergie. agricultural sector mainly originates (< 3.5 PJ).
5
Arrêté du Gouvernement de la Région de Brux- from greenhouse heating systems (40 %), which is then allocated to the regions pro-
elles-Capitale relatif à l’audit énergétique des non-stationary sources (fisheries, trac- CH4 and N2O emission projections con- portionally to their modelled emissions.
grandes entreprises et à l’audit énergétique du per-
mis d’environnement approuvé en troisième lec- sider evolutions of livestock (all animal Ultimately, the regional projections (in-
ture le 8 décembre 2016. categories), agricultural area and mineral cluding their respective shares of the sur-

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 69
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plus) are added to each other to obtain the (EU Reference Scenario 2016) are applied are described in more detail in the remain- ish multimodal traffic model was used to
overall Belgian projection. to aviation bunker fuels, while the trends der of this chapter. calculate the transport flows.
from the Federal Planning Bureau trans-
Biofuels Apart from the harmonized shares of Road transport
port projection study (Federal Planning
biofuels in road transport and internation-
The share of biofuels in transport fuels Bureau, 2015) are applied to the maritime The calculation of atmospheric pollut-
al bunkers, the rest of the transport sector
is one of the important factors determining bunker fuels. The international bunker ants emissions and energy consumption
modelling occurs through specific regional
the emission levels. The shares of biofuels emissions are reported as a memo item and for road transport is based on projection
models. These are described below.
used in the regional road transport models hence are not included in the total green- studies performed by VITO for the Flem-
are harmonized on the basis of this federal house gas emissions. Flanders ish government in 2016. The European
PAM. Table 5.12 provides an overview of COPERT IV6 approach was used in these
Road transport activity Different models were used for the
the assumed blends of biodiesel in diesel studies. Only motorized traffic is included
various transport modes (road transport,
and bioethanol in gasoline in the WEM The road transport activity for Belgium in the projections.
railway transport, inland shipping, mar-
scenarios. (CTF Table 5) is the sum of the regional
itime shipping and aviation). The models The WEM scenario includes the na-
activity numbers which are explained in
Memo item international bunkers calculate the use of energy and the emis- tionally and regionally planned improve-
more detail further on.
(aviation and navigation) sions starting from the transport flows ments of the public transport network, the
Vehicle fleet composition (volumes). For road traffic, railway traffic
The emissions from international bun-
and inland shipping the specialised Flem-
ker fuels are based upon the latest avail- The shares of the different technologies 6
Version 11.2
able greenhouse gas inventory data at the in the Belgian vehicle fleet are provided in
time of performing the calculations (2014 Table 5.13. They are based upon the fleet
emission data reported in April 2016). The compositions of the three regions, which Table 5.13: Passenger car fleet composition by technology (1990-2035)
trends from the Reference Scenario 2016
Historical Projected
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Diesel 40.5 % 50.1 % 61.2 % 61.5 % 59.8 % 56.6 % 54.7 % 54.2 %
Table 5.12: Overview of the assumed energetic shares of biofuels in transport fuels in
CNG 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.5 % 1.4 % 2.3 % 2.9 %
the WEM scenario* ( % Net Calorific Value)
Petrol 58.1 % 48.7 % 38.1 % 37.5 % 35.6 % 33.0 % 29.8 % 26.7 %
Historical Projected Petrol hybrid 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.1 % 0.6 % 2.9 % 6.6 % 9.5 % 11.3 %
2007** 2010 2015 2016 2017-2019 2020-2035 LPG 1.4 % 1.2 % 0.7 % 0.3 % 0.2 % 0.2 % 0.2 % 0.2 %
bioethanol 0.0 4.3 2.7 2.7 5.7 5.7 Diesel Hybrid 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.1 % 0.5 % 1.0 % 1.5 % 1.8 %
WEM
biodiesel 1.3 4.1 3.0 5.5 5.5 5.5 Electric 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.1 % 0.4 % 1.1 % 1.9 % 2.6 %
Fuel Cell H2 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.1 % 0.1 % 0.1 %
* Since the realisation of the current projections, new studies have taken place, and hypotheses made in
the PAM evaluation documents are slightly different.
** Biofuel blending started in 2007.
Source historical data: Transport database Federal Planning Bureau

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 70
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redesign of some urban areas to promote of charge-sustaining and plug-in hybrid Pipeline transport 8 % of the sales by 2020 (1.6 % in 2014)
soft transport modes (walking, cycling), vehicles diesel and petrol vehicles repre- and 13 % by 2035. CNG cars represent also
Emissions originating from the com-
and the implementation of trucks freight sent 54.6 % and 41.3 % of the car fleet re- 5 % of the sales by 2035.
pression activities in the sector ‘storage
transport pricing. No new Flemish mea- spectively.
and transport of natural gas’ are reported Heavy duty diesel vehicles remain
sures are assumed in the WEM scenario af-
Rail transport in CRF category 1A3e. The emissions are dominant (98-99 % of the sales throughout
ter 2018. Starting from the base year 2014,
Emissions of rail transport only in- assumed to remain constant at 2014 levels. the projections).
the expected evolution of mobility and
transport demand in Flanders in the WEM clude the emissions originating from diesel Wallonia Rail transport
scenario was used to calculate the number trains, while energy figures include energy
Road transport GHG emissions from rail transport are
of vehicle kilometres per vehicle type and use by electric trains as well. The applied
fuel type for the period 2015-2035. The fu- growth in transported volumes determines The Walloon projections for road trans- essentially due to the transport of goods,
ture vehicle fleet for new cars (with a shift train-kilometers, which in turn determine port are established on the principle of: representing some 70 % of the fuel con-
to mainly charge-sustaining hybrids and the evolution of the emissions. The shares sumption. They have decreased from some
“emission = 70 kt CO2 in 2006 down to 29 kt CO2 in
to a lesser extent to plug-in hybrids and of diesel and electric traction are consid-
mobility (vkm) x emission factor (t/vkm)” 2014. We assumed they would stabilize at
electric vehicles) and light duty vehicles ered constant over the projected period.
(with a slight shift to alternative fuels and The evolution of the transported volumes where: that level until 2035.
drivetrains), and further energy-efficiency is based on one of the most plausible sce- Inland vessels
–– The projections of the overall mobili-
improvements in the period 2020-2030 narios of the Flemish mobility plan, which
ty are calculated using the principle of GHG emissions from inland vessels
were taken into account to comply with the is currently under development.
mobility demand (projections of the have been relatively constant for the last
European Regulations on CO2 from pas-
Inland Waterways and Short-sea Federal Plan Bureau (FPB)
senger cars and light duty vehicles (EC No 8 to 10 years, around 50-55 kt CO2/year.
Shipping –– The projections of the vehicle fleet are
443/2009 and EC No 510/2011). The total They are assumed to remain around that
Emissions of inland waterways and calculated using survival curves based level until 2035.
Flemish fleet composition was modelled
short-sea shipping are based on the evolu- on the historic inventory data.
for the period 2015-2035 starting from the
tion of the transported volumes under the –– The emission factors are calculated Brussels-Capital Region
fleet in 2014 and considering the composi-
tion of new vehicles and survival rates of same scenario as rail transport. from the historic inventory data (year Projections of transport emissions
the vehicles over the same period. 2014) consider road and off-road transport, rail-
Off-road emissions –– Emission factors for new technologies ways, inland navigation, and natural gas
Energy mix Emission of off-road activities in har- are established assuming improve- transport. Road transport emissions repre-
For passenger cars there is a small but bours, airports and transhipment compa- ments expressed in % with regards to
sent 98.5 % of the total GHG emissions of
significant shift from fossil fuels to biofu- nies are allocated to CRF category 1A3e. existing technologies.
transport (in 2014). The main hypotheses
els and electric/plug-in hybrid vehicles. By The emissions projections are calculated Conventional vehicles remain the main are described in the following paragraphs.
2035, approximately 17.6 % of the passen- with the country-specific OFFREM-mod- technologies operating up to 2035. By
ger car fleet is projected to be composed el with emission factors of the IPCC 2006 Road transport
2035, diesel conventional vehicles still
of electric, plug-in hybrid or charge-sus- guidelines (CO2 and CH4) and EMEP/EEA represent 51.5 % of the total sales of cars The calculation of atmospheric pollut-
taining hybrid vehicles. In the projection, guidebook (N2O). (65.1 % in 2014). Petrol cars represent ants emissions and fuels consumption for
the share of hydrogen-powered vehicles 23.7 % (32.5 % in 2014). Hybrid models road transport is based on the European
remains very limited. Including the shares (diesel and petrol) penetrate the fleet, with COPERT IV approach. The main input

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 71
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data required for COPERT simulations sharing, as alternative to personal car own- The ‘Other product manufacture and use’ ble for 10 years. Those emissions are kept
(vehicles fleet and mobility) comes from ership. There are various systems of car Sector (CRF category 2G) constant for the entire projection period.
a regional transport model, developed on sharing: round trip, one way or free float-
Only the use of N2O as anaesthetic and Brussels-Capital Region
the basis of literature data (TML, 2006) ing. The PACE established an objective of
aerosol cans is included in this category.
(INRETS, 2004), and recalibrated to the 20 000 clients in BCR at the 2020 horizon The use of lubricants is kept constant
actual situation in the Brussels Region us- which implies the availability of 800 cars. Flanders for the entire period.
ing emission inventories and outputs from Rail transport N2O emissions from this use are kept
a detailed traffic model (MUSTI). constant at 2014 emission levels. The last The Waste Sector (CRF category 5)
For railways, the evolution of gasoil
The policies and measures taken historic value has been considered constant
consumption is derived from the evolu- Flanders
into account for the simulations refer to for the entire projection period.
tion of freight transport demand (FPB,
WEM scenario. The measures include the Projections of CH4 emissions from the
2014). Passengers transport (trains, metro Brussels-Capital region
planned improvements of the public trans- solid waste disposal on land (CRF catego-
and tramways) is driven by electricity; the The use of N2O as anaesthetic and aero-
port network, the redesign of some city ar- ry 5A) are calculated taking into account a
transport supply (and the corresponding sol cans are included in this category. The
eas to promote walking and cycling, and ban on organic waste dumping since 2000.
electricity consumption) increases by 70 % information on anaesthetic use is based on
the implementation of trucks freight trans- CO2 emissions from the solid waste dis-
between 2012 and 2025, together with the the regional sales of anaesthetic. The last
port pricing. posal on land sites originate when recov-
expected finalization of the express region- historic value has been considered constant ered emissions are used or flared via in-
For road transport, the WEM scenar- al network (RER, French acronym). for the entire projection period. Emissions stallations with energy recuperation. These
io also considers the implementation of a Navigation due to the use of aerosol cans are also es- emissions are reported in the energy sector
Low Emission Zone (LEZ), at the regional timated in the BCR inventory considering (CRF category 1A1a and 1A4a).
level, which implies that the vehicles that For inland navigation, the evolution of
a constant consumption per inhabitant. The
do not respect the established thresholds liquid fuel (gasoil) consumption is derived CH4 and N2O emissions from waste
emission projections of aerosol cans are
(based on EURO standards) are banned. from a reference scenario of transport de- water handling in Flanders (CRF category
based on population data from the FPB
This measure has a significant influence on mand for Belgium (FPB, 2014). 5D) are based on projections with respect
(see section ‘Demographic evolution’).
some pollutants affecting local air quality, to the evolution of population and of the
Natural gas transport
but a rather limited impact on GHGs emis- Non-energy products from fuels and number of people connected to waste wa-
sions and climate change. The emissions of natural gas transport solvent use (CRF category 2D) ter handling systems until 2035.
are kept constant and equal to the emis-
Companies with more than 100 em- Flanders CO2 emissions from municipal waste
sions of year 2014 for the entire projection
ployees in the same site must elaborate a The emissions of non-energy products water treatment are set to zero in the pro-
period since there are no projections avail-
from fuels and solvent use are considered jections because these emissions derive
mobility plan which must be updated ev- able for this sector.
constant at the 2014 level for the entire from biomass raw materials.
ery 3 years. The objective is to promote
Off-road emissions projection period.
the shift to more sustainable transportation As mentioned in section ‘The Power
modes and to reduce traffic and conges- Projected off-road emissions for all Sector (electricity production) (CRF cate-
tion. Finally, the last measure considered in sectors and vehicle categories come from Wallonia gory 1A1a and autoproducers in other CRF
the WEM scenario is the promotion of car the OFFREM model. The emissions of non-energy products categories)’ the projections of the waste in-
from fuels and solvent have remained sta- cineration plants with energy recuperation
are allocated to the energy sector.

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 72
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CO2 emissions from flaring in the The waste incineration category in- Transport (EU Reference Scenario 2016)
chemical industry are allocated to the cludes incineration of municipal solid for CO2 emissions and sinks. For N2O
waste sector (CRF category 5C) and are as- waste, incineration of hospital waste and emissions, the 2014 levels were applied for
sumed to remain constant at the 2014 level. flaring in the chemical industry. The CO2 the entire projection period.
emission projections originating from hos-
CH4 emissions from composting (CRF
pital waste incineration are integrated in
category 5B) are kept constant at current
the waste incineration sector. The emission
emission levels.
projections of the municipal waste inciner-
Wallonia ation plants (with energy recuperation) are Table 5.14: Differences in demographic projections (NC7/BR3 versus NC6/BR2)
Projections of CH4 emissions from solid allocated to the energy sector.
waste disposal on land consider the Order CH4 and N2O emissions from compost- Demographic projections
of the Walloon Government of 18/3/2004 ing in Wallonia are kept constant at current 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
banning the dumping of municipal waste emission levels.
NC7/BR3 (2018)
into landfills since 1/1/2008, yielding a de-
cline of degradable organic carbon content Brussels-Capital Region Population
11 519 11 756 11 989 12 208 11 519
Belgium (thousands)
(municipal waste being mainly organic). For the waste water handling emissions,
only the N2O emissions are considered in Number of households
Nevertheless, the amount of total waste 5 019 5 155 5 296 5 436 5 019
Belgium (thousands)
the projections since the biogas produced
disposed is considered constant and equal Average household size
is used in a CHP installation. Projections 2.30 2.28 2.26 2.25 2.30
to the average of the 2010-2015 period Belgium
are based on the population evolution (see
(conservative hypotheses). The method- BR2 (2016)
section ‘Demographic evolution’). The
ology used for calculation is the one de-
compost centre started in 2002 and emis- Population
11 221 11 489 11 716 11 895 12 038
scribed in the last 2006 IPCC guidelines. Belgium (thousands)
sions from composting are kept constant
The recovery rate of landfill gas is assumed
for the projected period. The waste incin- Number of households
to remain constant at its level of the aver- 4 848 5 038 5 166 5 274 5 372
erator of Neder-Over-Heembeek is not Belgium (thousands)
age of the period 2010-2016. CO2 emis-
included in the waste sector as due to the Average household size
sions from the solid waste disposal on land 2.31 2.28 2.27 2.26 2.24
energy recovery process. It is included in Belgium
sites originate when recovered emissions
the energy sector. NC6 (2014)
are used or flared via installations with
energy recuperation. These emissions are Population
11 419 11 888
Belgium (thousands)
reported in the energy sector. The Land-Use and Land-Use Change and
Number of households
CH4 and N2O emissions of waste wa- Forestry Sector (CRF category 4) 5 065 5 365
Belgium (thousands)
ter handling in Wallonia are kept constant The projections for the LULUCF sec- Average household size
2.26 2.22
at current emission levels. CO2 emissions tor are based upon the 2016 version of the Belgium
from municipal waste water treatment are EU Reference scenario prepared for the
not included in the projections because the Directorate-General for Energy, the Di-
carbon derives from biomass raw materi- rectorate-General for Climate Action and
als. the Directorate-General for Mobility and
5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 73
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5.1.5 Differences in methodology and power plants to 40 years and pro- Doel 1 and Doel 2 (by 10 years) as of January 2003. This amendment
assumptions hibited the construction of new nu- well. However, at the time of the has been taken into account in the
There have been no significant changes clear power plants. The WEM pro- BR2 reporting this decision was WEM scenario in NC7/BR3.
in the modelling tools and methodologies jections in NC6 were based on this still subject to the agreement of the
–– activity assumptions for industrial sec-
since the last reporting of the national com- phase-out scenario. owner of these two power plants
tors were adapted to more recent eco-
munication and biennial report. • In July 2012, the Federal Govern- and to the approval of the Fed-
nomic projections;
ment confirmed this timetable ex- eral Agency for Nuclear Control
The main differences in assumptions –– assumptions for the buildings now in-
cept for one nuclear unit, Tihange (FANC). This extension has been clude the new policy initiatives up to
are: 1, whose operation lifetime was ex- considered as a sensitivity analysis and including 2016;
–– a different time horizon (2020-2035 in tended by 10 more years. This deci- in BR2. –– livestock numbers have been adjusted
NC7/BR3 versus 2015-2035 in BR2 sion was confirmed in a law (18th of • On the 18th of June 2015, another based on more recent information (Ta-
and 2015-2020 in NC6); December 2013). extension was approved (for the ble 5.16).
–– a new base year (2014 in NC7/BR3 • In 2013 the Government decided Doel 1 and Doel 2 units) through
versus 2012 in BR2 and 2010 in NC6); to extend the operation lifetime of an amendment of the law of the 31st

–– 2006 IPCC inventory guidelines were


used in NC7/BR3/BR2 whereas 1996
IPCC guidelines were used in NC6;

–– different climate assumptions (1 807


degree-days in NC7/BR3 versus
1 819 degree-days in NC6 and 1 864
degree-days in BR2 using reference Table 5.15: Differences in nuclear phase-out assumptions
15/15);
–– more recent demographic projections NC7/BR3 BR2 BR2 NC6
Capacity (WEM) (WEM) (sensitivity analysis) (WEM)
based on prospects presented in 2016 Nuclear unit
(MW)
by the Federal Planning Bureau (Table Closing date Closing date Closing date Closing date
5.14). Doel 1 433 15th February 2025 15th February 2015 15th February 2025 15th February 2015
–– the timetable for the nuclear power Doel 2 433 1st December 2025 1st December 2015 1st December 2025 1st December 2015
phase-out has undergone some changes Doel 3 1 006 1st October 2022 1st October 2022 1st October 2022 1st October 2022
during the last few years (Table 5.15): Doel 4 1 039 1st July 2025 1st July 2025 1st July 2025 1st July 2025
• On the 31st of January 2003, the Tihange 1 962 1 October 2025
st
1 October 2025
st
1 October 2025
st
1 October 2015
st

Federal Government decided the Tihange 2 1 008 1st February 2023 1st February 2023 1st February 2023 1st February 2023
progressive phase-out of the pro- Tihange 3 1 046 1st September 2025 1st September 2025 1st September 2025 1st September 2025
duction of electricity using nucle-
ar fission energy by limiting the
operating lives of existing nuclear

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 74
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Table 5.16: Differences in livestock numbers (NC7/BR3 versus NC6/BR2)

Animal numbers
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
(thousands)
NC7/BR3 (2018)
Dairy cattle 439 426 414 398 398
Non-dairy cattle 2 093 2 023 1 918 1 822 1 822
Sheep 116 113 101 138 138
Swine 6 514 6 488 6 245 6 085 6 085
Poultry  38 628 39 414 39 618 40 506 40 506
BR2 (2016)
Dairy cattle 549 597 586 594 596
Non-dairy cattle 2 006 2 025 2 055 2 067 2 067
Sheep 120 148 188 210 218
Swine 6 591 6 439 6 256 5 977 5 854
Poultry  35 422 36 662 36 238 36 421 36 268
NC6 (2014)
Dairy cattle 581 549 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Non-dairy cattle 1 989 2 043 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Sheep 100 96 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Swine 6 806 6 786 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Poultry  33 592 33 363 n.a. n.a. n.a.

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 75
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5.1.6 The ‘with existing measures’


greenhouse gas emission projections

Overall results
Table 5.17 summarises the compiled
‘with existing measures’ projections for
the period 2020-2035 and the inventories
for the period 1990-2015. More detailed
information on these projections can be
found in the projections template report-
ed under article 14 of Regulation (EU)
N° 525/2013. More aggregated projection
results are included in CTF Table 6. Table 5.17: Total WEM GHG emissions projections

CRF format
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
(Mton CO2-eq)
1 Energy 103.5 107.4 105.8 105.3 98.3 86.3 83.8 82.5 85.5 85.9
1A Fuel combustion 102.3 106.6 105.0 104.6 97.6 85.7 83.2 81.9 84.9 85.2
1A1 Energy industries 30.1 29.6 28.7 29.4 26.5 21.3 18.4 17.2 19.9 19.8
1A2 Manufacturing industries and construction 23.2 22.9 21.5 18.7 15.7 13.6 13.8 13.4 13.2 13.1
1A3 Transport 20.7 22.7 24.6 26.4 26.2 26.5 27.2 28.1 29.2 30.4
1A4 Commercial / residential / agriculture 28.1 31.2 29.9 30.0 28.9 24.1 23.7 23.1 22.5 21.9
1A5 Other 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1B Fugitive emissions from fuels 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
1C CO2 transport
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
and storage
2 Industrial processes 26.2 30.2 28.4 26.4 21.4 19.5 19.9 19.1 18.6 18.3
3 Agriculture 12.2 12.3 11.4 10.3 10.2 10.0 9.6 9.2 9.1 9.1
4 Land-Use Change and Forestry -2.8 -2.6 -2.2 -3.5 -1.9 -1.9 -3.7 -3.7 -3.8 -3.9
5 Waste 4.3 4.5 3.9 3.1 2.5 1.6 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.9
Total excluding
146.3 154.3 149.5 145.1 132.4 117.4 114.7 111.9 114.1 114.1
LULUCF
Memo item international bunkers - aviation 2.5 2.9 4.7 3.6 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.5 4.9
Memo item international bunkers - navigation 13.3 13.0 16.2 25.2 24.9 18.1 20.7 22.5 23.7 24.9

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 76
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Non-ETS results
Table 5.18 provides the non-ETS emis-
sions projections starting from 2015. There
are no comparable time series of the non-
ETS emissions available since the ETS
system has only been set up in 2005 and
scope extensions have been introduced in
2008 and 2013.

Table 5.18: WEM total non-ETS GHG emissions projections

CRF format (Mton CO2-eq) 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035


1 Energy 56.6 56.7 56.8 57.1 57.7
1A Fuel combustion 56.0 56.2 56.3 56.6 57.2
1A1 Energy industries 2.5 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9
1A2 Manufacturing industries and construction 3.0 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.2
1A3 Transport 26.4 27.1 28.1 29.1 30.3
1A4 Commercial / residential / agriculture 24.1 23.6 22.9 22.3 21.7
1A5 Other 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1B Fugitive emissions from fuels 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
1C CO2 transport and storage 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Industrial processes 4.8 3.6 2.8 2.2 1.7
3 Agriculture 10.0 9.6 9.2 9.1 9.1
4 Land-Use Change and Forestry -1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
5 Waste 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.7
Total excluding LULUCF 72.7 71.0 69.7 69.2 69.2

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 77
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5.1.7 Comparison with the macro-sectoral


top-down approach7 Table 5.19: Evolution of total GHG emissions (in Mt CO2-equivalents)

Evolution of total GHG emissions 2005a 2010a 2014a 2015b 2020b 2025b 2030b
The national modelled GHG emission Total of the CO2 emissions 125.1 114.2 96.3 99.1 90.2 95.2 92.2
projections calculated by using the top- Total of the CH4 emissions 9.1 8.6 8.0 8.1 8.0 8.1 8.3
down econometric model HERMES are Total of the N2O
8.6 7.8 6.3 6.2 5.8 5.6 5.3
presented in Tables 5.19 and 5.20. emssions
Total of the fluorinated gases 2.0 2.7 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1
Differences between bottom-up and
top-down results are due to different ex- Total GHG emissions 144.8 133.3 113.9 116.6 107.2 112.0 108.9
pectations when building the models and
to different ways these models respond
to assumptions. For instance, macro-eco- Table 5.20: Evolution of total GHG emissions per sector (in Mt CO2-equivalents)
nomic models such as HERMES are more
sensitive to price variations than techni-
2005a 2010a 2015b 2020b 2025b 2030b
cal-economic models.
1. Energy 105.0 99.0 84.6 76.4 81.8 79.1
1A. Fuel Combustion 104.4 98.4 84.0 75.7 81.1 78.4
1A1. Energy Industries 29.6 23.3 18.0 12.5 21.2 20.4
1A2. Industry 19.3 18.3 13.5 12.7 11.1 10.1
1A3. Transport 26.2 26.9 25.9 24.7 24.5 24.6
1A4. Other sectors 29.2 29.9 26.5 25.7 24.2 23.3
1A5. Other 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1B. Fugitive emissions 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7
2. Industrial processes 26.4 21.4 20.2 19.2 18.5 18.0
3. Agriculture 10.2 10.2 10.0 10.3 10.5 10.8
5. Waste 3.2 2.7 1.7 1.4 1.1 1.0
Total GHG emissions 144.8 133.3 116.6 107.2 112.0 108.9
Non-ETS 78.6 78.9 72.3 69.4 68.5 67.5
ETS (scope 2013-2020) 66.2 54.4 44.3 37.8 43.5 41.4
International bunkers 28.8 29.1 22.2 24.6 27.0 29.2

7
Projections of GHG Emissions by 2030 for Bel-
gium – October 2016 – Federal Planning Bureau,
Bracke & Vanhorebeek. (full description included a: National GHG Emission Inventory of April 2016, CO2 emissions from fuel combustion are calculated endogenously by HERMES
in chapter 6 of the 2017 projections report). b: HERMES calculations

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 78
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The top-down HERMES projections er reduction in this period. The resulting


result in a decrease of total emissions be- trends for the different sectors are very
tween 2015 and 2030 with 5 Mton while different between the two modelling ap-
the bottom up projections show a small- proaches (Figure 5.1).

Figure 5.1: Evolution of total GHG emissions excluding LULUCF


(regional bottom-up projections versus macro-sectoral top down projections)

180

160

140

120
GHG emissions (Mton CO2-eq)

100 5 Waste
3 Agriculture
80 2 Industrial processes
1B Fugitive emissions from fuels
60 1A5 Other
1A4 Commercial / residential / agriculture
40 1A3 Transport
1A2 Manufacturing industries and construction
20 1A1 Energy industries

0
CRF CRF CRF CRF CRF CRF WEM HERMES WEM HERMES WEM HERMES WEM
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 79
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The non-ETS emissions resulting from


both models show similar trends in the pe-
riod 2015-2030 (Figure 5.2).

Figure 5.2: Evolution of non ETS GHG emissions excluding LULUCF (regional bottom-up
projections versus macro-sectoral top down projections)

80

70

60
GHG emissions (Mton CO2-eq)

50
Total non ETS
5 Waste
40 3 Agriculture
2 Industrial processes
30 1B Fugitive emissions from fuels
1A5 Other

20 1A4 Commercial / residential / agriculture


1A3 Transport
1A2 Manufacturing industries and construction
10
1A1 Energy industries

0
CRF WEM HERMES WEM HERMES WEM HERMES WEM
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 80
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5.1.8 Sensitivity analysis of the ‘with In case the future climate would be


measures’ greenhouse gas emission milder (1 441 degree days), CO2 emissions
projections from buildings would be 2 109 kton CO2
Sensitivity analyses are performed for lower in 2020 and 1 935 kton CO2 lower
some important parameters such as num- in 2030. In case of much colder climate
ber of degree-days and import of electrici- (2 145 degree-days) emissions would
ty. Indirect effects, however, are not taken be 1 760 kton CO2 higher in 2020 and
into account. 1 650 kton CO2 higher in 2030. For 2020,
the emission impact of a warm year and the
colder climate (compared with the average
Number of degree-days of 1 807 degree days) represent respective-
The weather (mainly temperature) has ly 2.6 % and 3.1 % of the Annual Emission
an important role in energy consumption Allocation for 2020. Hence, climate could
for the residential and tertiary sector. The have a significant impact on the future
WEM scenario is based on a mild climate commitments for the non ETS sector.
that has been established considering the
number of degree-days equivalent to the
average values for the period 2006-2015
(i.e. 1 807 degree-days). To identify the im-
pact on the energy consumption of colder
Table 5.21: Sensitivity analysis of CO2 emissions (kton) for degree-days in 2020
or warmer weather, the sensitivity analysis
is made for three scenarios:
1 807 degree-days 1 441 degree-days 2 145 degree-days 1 946 degree-days
–– Average of 25 years (1985-2009) as in
Tertiary sector 5 330 4 993 5 600 5 446
the energy efficiency action plan: 1 946
degree-days. Residential sector 15 764 13 992 17 254 16 387
–– Warm year: 1 441 degree-days (2014) Total 21 094 18 985 22 854 21 833
–– Cold year: 2 145 degree-days (2013)

Table 5.22: Sensitivity analysis of CO2 emissions (kton) for degree-days in 2030

1 807 degree-days 1 441 degree-days 2 145 degree-days 1 946 degree-days


Tertiary sector 5 158 4 842 5 417 5 271
Residential sector 14 726 13 107 16 118 15 309
Total 19 884 17 949 21 534 20 580

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 81
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Import of electricity An import level of 30 TWh was taken 5.1.9 Comparison with previous projection
into account in the base scenario in 2030. results
The trans-boundary electricity trading
The impact of lower import levels on CO2 The projection results presented in this
is considered exogenous in the modelling
emissions is summarized in Table 5.23. report are compared with the previous re-
of the electricity supply. The import levels
The reduction of the import of electricity is ports (NC6 and BR2) in figure 5.3 and 5.4.
in the Belgian projections up to 2035 have
assumed to result in additional consump- The main differences can be explained by
been based on existing scenario reports on
tion of natural gas in CCGT power plants the different sectoral assumptions as de-
the Belgian power system. The evolution
and consequently additional CO2 emissions scribed in Chapter 5.1.5. In particular, the
of the net-import will mainly depend on
compared with an import level of 30 TWh. changes in the nuclear phase-out assump-
interconnection capacities, commercial
opportunities, the availability of power tions lead to a significant impact on the to-
production in neighbouring countries, and tal greenhouse gas projections. There are
the investments in new power production no main differences in the non-ETS pro-
plants in Belgium. In order to analyse the jection results.
impact of these uncertainties, a sensitivity
analysis to the net import level of electrici-
ty has been made.

Table 5.23: Sensitivity analysis for import of electricity in 2030

Import Additional consumption Additional CO2 emissions


(TWh) of natural gas (PJ) (kton CO2)
20 74 4 160
10 152 8 533
5 191 10 728

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 82
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Figure 5.3: Comparison of total GHG emissions excluding LULUCF (CRF inventory/WEM
projections in this report versus WEM and WAM projections in NC6 and BR2)

140

120

100
GHG emissions (Mton CO2-eq)

5 Waste
80 3 Agriculture
2 Industrial processes
1B Fugitive emissions from fuels
60 1A5 Other
1A4 Commercial / residential / agriculture
1A3 Transport
40 1A2 Manufacturing industries and construction
1A1 Energy industries

20

0
CRF

WEM NC6

WAM NC6

CRF

WEM NC6

WAM NC6

WEM BR2

WEM

WEM NC6

WAM NC6

WEM BR2

WEM

WEM BR2

WEM

WEM BR2

WEM

WEM BR2
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 83
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Figure 5.4: Comparison of non-ETS GHG emissions excluding LULUCF (CRF inventory/
WEM projections in this report versus WEM projections in BR2)

80

70

60
GHG emissions (Mton CO2-eq)

50 5 Waste
3 Agriculture
40 2 Industrial processes
1B Fugitive emissions from fuels
30 1A5 Other
1A4 Commercial / residential / agriculture

20
1A3 Transport
1A2 Manufacturing industries and construction
1A1 Energy industries
10

0
CRF WEM WEM WEM WEM WEM WEM WEM WEM WEM
BR2 BR2 BR2 BR2 BR2
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 84
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5.1.10 Conclusion

Overall emission levels


There is a clear decrease between
1996 and 2015 in the total greenhouse gas
emissions in the inventory (Figure 5.5).
However, the total emissions in the WEM
scenario remain more or less stable at 114
Mton CO2-eq in the period 2015-2035.
These projections do not include emissions Figure 5.5: GHG emissions excluding LULUCF
nor removals from LULUCF.
Projections with the macro-econom-
ic model suggest a decrease in emissions
from 2014 to 2030 from 114 Mton CO2-eq 160
to 109 Mton CO2-eq.
Uncertainties concerning exogenous 140
variables such as economic growth, cli-
mate conditions and electricity imports
120
GHG emissions (Mton CO2-eq)

exist and their level will influence the re-


sulting greenhouse gas emissions, notably CRF total
in the sectors covered by the EU ETS.
100 WEM total
The EU Commission proposal8 for the
CRF non ETS
Effort Sharing Regulation, establishing
binding annual greenhouse gas emission 80 WEM non ETS
reductions by EU Member States from non ETS target 2013-2020
2021 to 2030, mentions a target of -35 % in
60 KP 1 target
2030 compared to 2005 for Belgium.
indicative non ETS target 2030
8
COM (2016) 482 final – Proposal for a Regulation 40
of the European Parliament and of the Council on 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
binding annual greenhouse gas emission reduc-
tions by Member States from 2021 to 2030 for a
resilient Energy Union and to meet commitments
under the Paris Agreement and amending Regula-
tion No 525/2013 of the European Parliament and
the Council on a mechanism for monitoring and
reporting greenhouse gas emissions and other in-
formation relevant to climate change.

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 85
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Comparison with the Effort Sharing


Decision Target (2020)
A greenhouse gas emission limit of
-15 % in 2020 compared to 2005 green-
house gas emission levels has been fixed
for Belgium in the Effort Sharing Deci-
sion (Decision No 406/2009/EC). This re-
sults in an emission reduction path for the
non-ETS sectors in Belgium. The annual
Emission Allocations as laid down in the Figure 5.6: Comparison of the WEM projection scenario with the AEAs for the period
decision adopted in the Climate Change 2013-2020 (in Mtons of CO2-equivalents). The blue bars are to be read on the right axis
Committee on October 17th, 2012, have and provide information on the cumulated non-ETS balance
been corrected to take into account the ef-
fect of the adjustments pursuant to Article
10 of the Effort Sharing Decision as laid 80
down in the implementing decision of Oc-
tober 31st, 2013. The European Commis- 78
sion has recently proposed an amending
Decision to revise Member States’ annual 76
emission allocations for the period from
2017 to 2020 in order to take into account 74 Cumulated non-ETS balance
(difference between AEA and non-ETS emissions)
the impact of the IPCC 2006 guidelines.
72
This decision will have a limited impact (Cumulated non-ETS balance WEM projection)

on the annual emission allocations for Bel-


70 Annual Emission Allocation (millions)
gium.
An indicative comparison of the inven- 68 WEM
tory data for the period 2013-2015 and the
WEM projection scenario for the period 66

2016-2020 with the AEAs for the entire


64
period 2013-2020 shows an annual AEA
surplus in the period 2013-2017 and annu-
62
al AEA shortage in the period 2018-2020 at
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2010
the Belgian level (Figure 5.6). Cumulated
in the period 2013-2020 this evaluation in-
dicates a net surplus of about 8.9 million Inventory data Projected data

AEAs.

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 86
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5.2 Assessment of aggregated effects of policies 5.3 Supplementarity relating to mechanisms


and measures under article 6, 12 and 17, of the kyoto protocol

According to the UNFCCC reporting Moreover, potential emission reduc- In general, in the EU, the use of flexible mechanisms can take place on the one hand
guidelines the total effect of policies and tions represented by these measures, are
by operators in the EU ETS, on the other 5.3.1 Regarding the ETS
measures can be calculated as the differ- estimated with respect to a reference situ-
hand by governments for the achievement Since 2013, it is no longer possible to
ence between the “with measures” and the ation which is not evaluated (the so called
of ESD targets. track the use of flexible mechanisms in the
“without measures” scenarios, or as an ag- “scenario without measures”). The aggre-
gregation of the individual effect of each gated reduction effect should therefore be A limited number of international cred- EU ETS directly via information on EUTL
significant policy and measure. interpreted with care. In Chapter 4, it is its may be used to achieve the targets: public website because CERs and ERUs
estimated around 36.70 Mtonnes CO2-eq –– In the ETS, the use of international are no longer surrendered directly but are
Belgium did not establish a “without exchanged into EUAs. These exchanges
in 2020, 43.76 CO2-eq in 2025 and 46.75 credits is capped (up to 50 % of the re-
measures” scenario since its climate policy will become public on installation level
Mtonnes CO2-eq in 2030. duction required from EU ETS sectors
is in place for many years now and it has after three years, with the first informa-
become difficult to assess the way energy Those emission reduction potentials by 2020). Quality standards also apply
to the use of international credits in the tion reflecting the use in 2013 available in
use and greenhouse gas emissions would are mostly due to the implementation of 2016. For information on the use of flexi-
have evolved without this policy. existing measures. EU ETS, including a ban on credits
from LULUCF projects and certain in- ble mechanisms in the ETS, please refer to
Chapter 5 of this communication indi- Indeed, as already mentioned in Chap- dustrial gas projects. the 2nd and 3rd BR of the European Union.
cates the reduction effect of (a combination ter 4, Belgium is currently in a transitional –– In the ESD sectors, the annual use of
of) some existing policies and measures, position as several authorities are still in international credits is limited to up to 5.3.2 Regarding the ESD
for which such an effect could be estimat- the process of establishing their climate 3 % of each Member State’s ESD emis-
ed. Those impacts were calculated using a policy towards 2030. Many new ideas are There is an annual limit of 3 % for the
sions in 2005, with a limited number use of project-based credits for each MS.
bottom-up approach. Although this analy- under discussion, but cannot yet be consid- of Member States (including Belgium)
sis paid attention to the possible interlink- ered as “planned” as long as they have not This amounts to approximately 750 Mt
being permitted to use an additional of international credits that can be used
ages between the different measures, dou- been submitted to the respective Govern- 1 % from projects in Least Developed
ble counting and overlap are still possible ments. Therefore, Belgium is not yet able during the period from 2013 to 2020 in the
Countries (LDCs) or Small Island De- ESD.
while the effect of several other measures to report projections with additional mea- veloping States (SIDS), subject to con-
could not be estimated. sures in the NC7. ditions. For Belgium, the amount of credits that
can be used between 2013 and 2020 is 2.51
Million CERs and ERUs per year. If these
are not used in any specific year, the un-
used part for that year can be transferred to
other Member States or be banked for own
use until 2020.

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 87
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In addition to this limit of 3 %, some of the flexible mechanisms under Article 6, –– For 2014: our emissions amounted to
MS fulfil additional criteria as laid down 12 and 17 of the KP only to ‘supplement’ 70 054 910 tCO2eq, and we will retire a
in ESD9 Article 5(5)MS. Belgium (togeth- its domestic effort. similar amount of AEA and no interna-
er with Austria, Cyprus, Denmark, Fin- tional credits. However, this is not yet
land, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Portugal, officially confirmed, as the compliance
Regarding the post 2012 period:
Slovenia, Spain and Sweden) fulfils these cycle has not started yet.
criteria and therefore, an additional use of For the ETS: please refer to the 2nd and
For the coming years, Belgium does
credits is possible from projects in Least 3 BR of the European Union.
rd
not foresee to use international credits.
Developed Countries (LDCs) and Small For the ESD: However, if needed, some credits were
Island Developing States (SIDS) up to an
–– For 2013: 74 264 633  AEAs were re- already carried over from CP1 to CP2 or
additional 1 % of Belgium’s verified emis-
tired, and zero international credits. are available for carry-over, as showed in
sions in 2005. For Belgium, the yearly ad-
Table 5.24.  ■
ditional amount of credits that can be used
is 0.84 Million CERs and ERUs from LDC
and SIDS. These credits are not bankable
nor transferable. Table 5.24: Supplementarity during CP1 (2008 – 2012): use of flexible mechanisms
At the moment, the use of flexible
mechanisms under the ESD can be quan- Base year GHG emissions
t CO2e 145 728 763
tified for 2013 and estimated for 2014 (see
Table 5.24), as the compliance assessment Quantified emission reduction commitment for CP1 ( % of base year level)  % 92.5
for 2013 (the first year under the ESD) Assigned Amount established in accordance with Article 3.7 and 3.8 of the KP t CO2e 673 995 528
took place in May 2017, and for 2014, it Total GHG emissions in CP1 (2008 – 2012) t CO2e 626 308 776
will take place by the end of 2017. Quantity of KP units in the retirement account
AAUs 590 701 837
Of which: AAUs acquired from other Parties 3 934 828
Regarding the first commitment period
CERs 26 162 846
(CP1) of the Kyoto Protocol (2008-2012): ERUs
units
9 451 546
The final compilation and accounting RMUs 0
report for Belgium during CP1 are com- tCERs 0
lCERs 0
piled in document FCCC/KP/CMP/2016/
CAR/BEL. We have used those numbers Total use of flexible mechanisms under Article 6, 12 and 17 units 39 553 154
in Table 5.24, in order to show that Bel- Total quantity of units already carried-over to CP2
gium reduced its emissions by 14 % during ERUs
3 267 881
CERs units
CP1, while its objective was -7.5 %. Bel- 16 822 907
Total quantity of units still available for carry-over to CP2
gium has achieved this reduction primarily AAUs
1 706 252
through domestic effort, and has made use
9
Decision No 406/2009/EC.

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 88
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References [7] ELIA. (2016). Adequacy study and assess- [17] TML. (2006). Emissions of road traffic in
ment of the need for flexibility in the Bel- Belgium - TREMOVE 3.3.2. http://www.
[1] FPB. (2014). Le paysage énergétique Bel- gian electricity system. tmleuven.be/methode/tremove/home.htm
ge: perspectives et défis à l’horizon 2050 Transport & Mobility Leuven (TML)
[8] EU Reference Scenario 2016. (s.d.). EU
- Description d’un scénario de référence
Reference Scenario.
pour la Belgique. Récupéré sur Bureau
fédéral du Plan: http://www.plan.be/admin/ [9] European Commission. (2016). EU Refer-
uploaded/201410171035340.For_Ener- ence Scenario 2016 - Energy, Transport and
gy_2014_10736_F.pdf GHG emissions - Trends to 2050. Récupéré
sur https://ec.europa.eu/energy/sites/ener/
[2] FPB; IBSA; SVR; IWEPS. (2016, Juillet 8).
files/documents/ref2016_report_final-web.
Bureau fédéral du plan. Consulté le Juillet
pdf
12, 2016, sur http://www.plan.be/press/com-
munique-1608-fr-perspectives+economi- [10] Federal Planning Bureau. (2015). Vooruit-
ques+regionales+2016+2021 zichten van de transportvraag in België
tegen 2030. Brussels: Federaal Planbureau
[3] Bruxelles-Mobilité. (2001). IRIS 2: Plan
- Bureau Fédéral du Plan.
de mobilité Région de Bruxelles-Capital.
Bruxelles. [11] Hermkens, R., Wolters , M., Weller, J., &
Visser, R. (2008, September). PVC pipes in
[4] CNC-NKC - GT Projections. (2016). Hy-
gas distribution: Stilll going strong! Plastic
pothèses pour les projections 2017 approu-
Pipes, XIV, pp. 22 -24.
vées le 7/12/2016.
[12] ICEDD. (2001). Bilan Energétique de la Ré-
[5] DGSIE-ADSEI Bureau Fédéral du
gion Bruxelles Capital 2009. Rapport final.
Plan-Federaal Planbureau, F. B. (2016).
Réalisé à la demande de l’IBGE.
Perspectives de population 2015-2060 -
Bevolkingsvooruitzichten 2015-2060. Con- [13] IIASA. (2011). Analysis of potential and
sulté le 2015, sur Bureau Fédéral du Plan costs of LULUCF. http://webarchive.iiasa.
- Federaal Planbureau: http://www.plan.be/ ac.at/Research/FOR/LULUCF/LULUCF_
databases/data-35-nl-bevolkingsvooruit- Final_Report_Sep21_2011_UNFCCC_re-
zichten+2015+2060 view_update.pdf.
[6] Econotec & VITO. (2015). Update of the [14] INRETS. (2004). Transport routier - Parc,
national emission inventory of ozone de- usage et émissions des véhicules en France
pleting substances and fluorinated green- de 1970 à 2025. Institut National de Re-
house gases (1995-2013) and projections cherche sur les Transports et leur Sécurité
for the years 2015, 2020, 2025 and 2030 (INRETS).
- Draft final report Part B: Projections, Feb- [15] Moniteur Belge. (2012). Ministère de la
ruary 2015. Study for the Federal Public Région Bruxelles-Capitale - Publication.
Service of Public Health, Food Chain Safe- Moniteur Belge du 5 juin 2012(192). Brux-
ty and Environment – DG Environment, on elles.
behalf of the National Climate Commission. [16] SIBELGA. (2010). Le réseau bruxellois de
gaz naturel. Le magazine de votre gestion-
naire de réseau de distribution, Mai 2010.

5. Projections and the total effect of policies and measures, and supplementarity relating to Kyoto protocol mechanisms 89
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6.1. Introduction

6.1.1. European context Since its 6th National Communication,


The EU strategy on adaptation to cli- Belgium has made significant progress in
mate change was adopted by the European the field of adaptation.

6. Vu l n e r a b i l i t y Commission on 16 April 2013. The over-


all aim of the EU Adaptation Strategy is to
The regional and the federal govern-
ments have all adopted adaptation plans,

assessment,
contribute to a more climate resilient Eu- each in their own area of competence:
rope.
–– On 28 June 2013, Flanders adopted
To achieve this, the strategy focuses on the Flemish Climate Policy Plan 2013-

climate change 3 key aspects:


–– promoting initiatives at Member State
2020 [1], including a section on adapta-
tion known as the Flemish Adaptation
Plan (VAP). The primary goals are

i m pac t s a n d
level;
–– better-informed decision-making; understanding the Flemish vulnerabil-
–– taking better account of adaptation in ity to climate change and improving

a dapt at i o n
the most vulnerable sectors (‘climate Flanders’ ability to defend against the
proofing’). effects of climate change. The concur-
rent pursuit of these goals can be de-

m e a s u re s
The EU strategy on adaptation foresees scribed as the “climate reflex”. The 11
that, in 2017, the European Commission involved Flemish governmental depart-
will report to the European Parliament and ments maintain responsibility for the
the Council on the state of implementation actions in their policy domain and they
of the EU Adaptation Strategy, and pro- will bear the cost of these actions using
pose its review, if needed. This evaluation their usual financial resources. In 2015
is ongoing. Flanders developed a first progress re-
port 2013 – 2015 on climate change,
6.1.2. National context including a section on adaptation.
–– On 2 June 2016, the Brussels-Capital
In 2010, Belgium adopted its National
Region adopted its Integrated Air-Cli-
Adaptation Strategy [6]. The strategy de-
mate-Energy Plan which includes a
scribes the main climate change impacts,
section on adaptation. Its legal basis is
the existing adaptation responses, a road-
the Brussels Air-Climate-Energy Code
map to a future National Adaptation Plan
(known as COBRACE) of 2 May 2013.
(NAP) [7] and some policy guidelines for
Other thematic plans with adaptation
an adapted future.

90
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measures are the regional water man-


agement plan (adopted on 26 January
tainable Development and regional advi-
sory bodies (CERBC, CESRBC, CWEDD,
6.2. Forecast impacts of climate change
2017 for the period 2016-2021) which
completely integrates the theme flood,
CESW, Minaraad and SERV) in December
2016. Their joint opinion on the draft plan
in Belgium
the “forêt de Soignes” management was published in 13 February 2017. The
plan (2003) and its Nature Plan (2016). National Adaptation plan (2017-2020) was
–– In January 2014 the Walloon govern- adopted by the National Climate Commis- 6.2.1. Observed past trends (Tmax ≥ 30 °C). For the measuring point in
ment adopted its “Climate Decree” giv- sion in April 2017. It identifies specific ad- In 2015 the VMM published the ‘MIRA Uccle we count, per 14 years, one extra
ing a legal framework to climate policy aptation measures that need to be taken at Climate Report 2015: About observed and tropical day in a year. The equally increas-
in Wallonia. The main implementation national level in order to strengthen coop- future climate changes in Flanders and ing trend for the number of summer days
instrument is the “Air-Climate-Energy eration and develop synergies between the Belgium’ [2]. The indicators from the re- (Tmax ≥ 25 °C) in a year is not statistically
Plan” which contains a section on adap- different entities on adaptation. The Plan port are regularly updated on their website significant. The figures for the number of
tation. This section summarises the im- addresses 6 sectors and transversal issues: [3]. An overview of the main conclusions frost days (Tmin < 0 °C) and ice days (Tmax
pacts & vulnerability assessments and biodiversity, crisis management, energy, is provided below, supported by a few fig- < 0 °C) indicate a downward trend, but this
detailed adaptation actions in several health, research and international cooper- ures [2; 3]. trend too does not appear to be significant.
sectors. Water management, forestry ation. The most harmful climate effects in
guidelines and agricultural advice are Europe are expected to come from the in-
Adaptation Plans were developed tak- 6.2.1.1. Temperature
some examples of these actions. After creased frequency and intensity of extreme
ing into account the EU guidelines on de-
a public consultation, the final version Belgium (Uccle) is now 2.4 °C warm- events such as heat waves. In Belgium the
veloping adaptation strategies, which are a
was adopted in April 2016. er than in the pre-industrial period. ‘For number of heat waves shows great vari-
component of the EU strategy on adapta-
–– On 28 October 2016, the federal gov- more information on observed temperature ability between years (Figure 6.1). A trend
tion to climate change. The EU guidelines
ernment adopted the Federal Contri- trend, we refer to Chapter 2.4 ‘climate pro- analysis produces a wavy pattern with an
refers to, inter alia, the UNEP Handbook
bution to the National Adaptation Plan file’ (‘national circumstances’). increase that has been sustained since the
on Methods for Climate Change Impacts
(available in Fr and Nl [11] which iden- 1970s. In 2016, the number of heat waves
Assessment and Adaptation Strategies and Heat waves and other temperature
tifies federal adaptation actions in crisis was significantly higher than in the begin-
the IPCC Technical Guidelines for Assess- extremes
management and transport. The contri- ning of the 20th century. The frequency of
ing Climate Change Impacts and Adapta-
bution was submitted previously to a The vulnerability of people and nature heat waves has increased from on average
tion. The adaptation studies and plans were
public survey in 2014. to climate change is determined not only one every three years to one per year.
written in the spirit of the IPCC Technical
by changing annual and seasonal averages,
The draft National Adaptation Plan was Guidelines even if they do not explicitly In addition to the number of heat
but also, and even more so, by changing
submitted to the Federal Council for Sus- refer to it. waves, it is important to consider the
extremes. Moreover, extreme temperatures
also increase exposure to various harmful length (number of days during heat waves
substances such as tropospheric ozone and in a year), the weight (the extent to which
particulate matter. When we look at the the temperature exceeds 25 °C) and the in-
occurrence of the number of days with tensity (ratio between weight and length)
(extremely) high or low temperatures, a of the heat waves. An analysis for the pe-
significant, linearly increasing trend is riod 1901-2016 also reveals a wavy pat-
found only for the number of tropical days tern for these three parameters, with an

6. Vulnerability assessment, climate change impacts and adaptation measures 91


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ascending trend line since the 1970s. In been caused by the so-called heat island
2016, all three trendlines are significantly effect. Thus, a quarter of the annual aver-
above the values. For instance the length age temperature increase in summer, re-
of heatwaves evolved from an average of corded in Uccle between 1960 and 1999,
5 days in a year between 1901-1930 to an is attributed to the intensification of the
average of 11 days in a year for the period urban effect in the Brussels Capital Region
of 1988-2016. (RMI, 2015) [19].
Impact of urbanisation The urban heat island effect can be
Urbanisation of the landscape causes translated into figures by means of the in-
a change in the local wind climate and in- dicator ‘heat wave degree days’ (for more
volves the use of materials that better cap- details, we refer to the MIRA report). This
Figure 6.1: Number of heat waves per year (Uccle, 1901-2016)
ture the heat, such as concrete and asphalt. indicator provides a composite picture of
This leads, especially at night, to the cre- the total duration and the weight of heat
5
ation of heat islands, characterized by the waves in a year. The indicator is calculated
fact that the city cools off more slowly than for both an urban and a nearby rural loca-
the surrounding countryside. On average, tion to highlight the urban effect.
4
this difference amounts to a few degrees, The indicator can as yet only be used
but also days with peaks of up to 7 to 8 °C for Antwerp. No permanent datasets are
Number of heat waves in a year

3
and more are recorded. This so-called ur- yet available for other central-urban and
ban heat island (UHI) effect is further ac- surrounding rural locations. Moreover, the
centuated during heat waves under the in- dataset for Antwerp only begins in 2012
2
fluence of atmospheric conditions such as and it is therefore too early to draw any
a cloudless sky and low wind speeds that conclusions about the evolution in time of
often accompany heat waves. This leads to the urban heat island. Using a regional cli-
1
additional mortality, especially among the mate model (with a resolution of 2.8 km)
elderly and children. Furthermore, the ur- with a specific urban module, it was pos-
ban heat island phenomenon also influenc- sible to retroactively reconstruct the indi-
0
es energy use (increase due, among other cator rather accurately for longer periods
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 things, to the use of air conditioning), and (and several cities in Flanders). Apparently
+,-./0&" 95% confidence interval of points on the trend line measurement trend line promotes algae growth in surface water. there is a great variability in time for the
In the winter, by contrast, the mortality in number of heat wave degree days in the ur-
cities is lower due to reduced exposure to ban areas, with peaks in the years 2003 and
A ‘heat wave’ is defined as a period of minimum five consecutive days with a maximum temperature of at least cold temperatures.
2006. Furthermore, extrapolation of histor-
25°C, where the maximum temperature is greater than or equal to 30°C for at least three days. This indicator has
been built up on the basis of measurements in an open thermometer shelter. The closed shelter (which is currently Analyses by the RMI, KU Leuven and ical years with a regional climate model
the RMI reference) has only been used in Uccle since 1968. Source: MIRA based on RMI (www.milieurapport.be) VITO show that the temperature increase shows that the number of heat wave days is
[3] in Uccle may, to some extent, also have strongly influenced by the size of the city.

6. Vulnerability assessment, climate change impacts and adaptation measures 92


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6.2.1.2. Precipitation and evaporation higher than at the beginning of the mea-


surements.
Annual precipitation is increasing
The patterns in annual average precip-
Since the beginning of the observations
itation within Belgium for the reference
in Uccle, 2001 and 2002 have been the
period of the present climate (1981-2010)
absolute record years with amounts of pre-
show that hardly any differences are re-
cipitation of 1 088.5  mm and 1 077.8  mm
corded within Flanders. More towards the
respectively. There are clearly increasing-
south of the country, however, the differ-
ly more wet than dry years in our country.
ences can increase significantly: the values
Figure 6.2 maps the deviation of the annual
evolve from 740  mm/year in the north of
amount of precipitation from the average
Haspengouw (the Sint-Truiden region)
of 758  mm/year in the reference period
to more than 1 400  mm/year on the High
1850-1899. The trend towards wetter years
Fens, or a doubling between the driest and
is particularly apparent from the line repre-
wettest locations. The monthly amounts
senting the cumulated deviation. In the 19th
of precipitation in the coastal region are
century this line constantly hovered around
generally among the lowest in the country.
zero. Since the beginning of the 20th centu-
Only during autumn, the amount of precip-
ry, however, a clear increase is seen, which
itation at the coast is higher than in Low
Figure 6.2: Precipitation per year and per decade (Uccle, 1833-2015) becomes even more pronounced from the
and Middle Belgium due to the higher sea-
1970s on. For the first time since the be-
water temperature.
ginning of the measurements, we also see
six consecutive decades with an annual Wetter winters
precipitation that exceeds that of the ref-
Changes in precipitation not only man-
erence period.
ifest themselves by changing annual totals.
The amount of precipitation shows Even more important for the potential im-
very high variability from year to year. pact are the shifts per season. When we
Moreover, there have been longer periods look at the complete dataset 1833-2016, a
with more precipitation, e.g. around 1920, significant increase in the amount of pre-
1960 and 2000. But statistical analysis of cipitation in Belgium (Uccle) is only no-
the whole time series can assist in detect- ticeable during the winter. The amount of
ing a long-term trend. The analysis shows precipitation in the other seasons does not
that our country (measuring point Uccle) change or changes very little.
witnesses a slow but significant increase
Belgium (Uccle) has on average 201
in the annual precipitation. This increase
days with measurable precipitation per
continues by 0.5 mm/year or half a cm per
year (at least 0.1 mm/day). Extreme years
decade. The trend line shows that the annu-
were 1974 and 1977 with 266 and 265 pre-
Source: MIRA based on RMI (www.milieurapport.be) [3] al precipitation is currently around 91 mm
cipitation days respectively. The analysis

6. Vulnerability assessment, climate change impacts and adaptation measures 93


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of the precipitation data over the complete one day or over a consecutive period of
period 1833-2016 shows that the number five, ten or fifteen days. The analysis for
of days with measurable precipitation in the dataset 1880-2016 shows that the trend
a year increased significantly. Moreover lines are slowly going up. Due to the great-
this increase only occurs in winter. A spe- er variance over a short period, this in-
cific analysis for precipitation in the form crease is not significant for a one-day peri-
of snow revealed that snow has clearly od, but for consecutive periods of five, ten
become less frequent in Belgium. This is and fifteen days the maximum amount of
closely related to the rise in temperatures. precipitation within those periods appears
to be significantly higher in 2016 than in
Extreme precipitation and droughts 1880, respectively amounting to +10 mm,
In addition to the shift or change in +18 mm and +25 mm.
Figure 6.3: Number of days of heavy precipitation (≥ 20.0 mm per day) annual and seasonal averages, it is import- Daily data for Potential Evapotrans-
(Uccle, 1951-2016) ant to gain insight into changes in the oc- piration have been recorded for Uccle
currence and the nature of periods of ex- since 1901. Between the beginning of the
12,5 treme precipitation. Periods with extreme measurements and the end of the 1970s,
amounts of precipitation may in fact lead the dataset of the annual totals does not
to floods, whereas long dry periods may show a clear trend. Since the beginning
10
lead to desiccation of ecosystems and de- of the 1980s, however, the trend line for
pletion of water reserves. For Belgium the annual PET has significantly increased.
(Uccle), the time series of the number of In 2015, the trend line was 144 mm high-
7,5
days of heavy precipitation (at least 20 er than in 1901, which corresponds to an
number of days

mm/day) shows a clear trend: especially increase of one quarter. As temperature is


between the middle of the 1980s and the a determining factor for evaporation, it is
beginning of the 2000s the number of days no coincidence that the trend line strongly
5
of heavy precipitation increased signifi- resembles that of the annual average tem-
cantly. In the meantime, a year has already perature. The PET in the growth season
5 days of heavy precipitation, compared to (from April to September) shows an analo-
2,5
only 3 days in the beginning of the 1950s. gous trend line with a significant increase.
The record year was 2004 with twelve days
The precipitation deficit is the differ-
of heavy precipitation (Figure 6.3). Heavy
ence between precipitation and potential
0
rainfall occurs mostly in summer because
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
evapotranspiration. The precipitation defi-
of heavy thunderstorms that occur in a
+,-./0'" 95% confidence interval of points on the trend line trend line observation cit can therefore be used as an approx-
space of a few hours.
imation of drought stress in plants. For
Changes in extreme precipitation can Belgium the trend line for the maximum
Source: MIRA based on RMI (www.milieurapport.be) [3] also be detected by measuring, per year, increase in the cumulative precipitation
the maximum precipitation measured on deficit over 30 days increases slowly, espe-

6. Vulnerability assessment, climate change impacts and adaptation measures 94


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cially after 1980, but the current increase is 6.2.1.3. Wind 2015, Zeebrugge +54  mm between 1979 level rises thus appears to be subject to
not statistically significant. The results for and 2015 (Figure 6.4). multiannual fluctuations, but the sea level
In Uccle, the average wind speed re-
the analysis of the maximum cumulative has risen undoubtedly. In addition to the
mained relatively stable until around 1960, Further analysis for Ostend shows an
precipitation deficit over 90 days, the an- influence of climate change, the sea level
after which it decreased continuously. initial rise of mean sea level of 1 mm/year.
nual cumulative precipitation deficit at the (both the average sea level and the high
Today, the annual average wind speed is
end of the growth season (at the end of the Since the mid-1960s, this rise has tide) is also subject to a natural fluctuation
approximately 15 % lower. The impact of
growing season on September 30th) and the steadily increased to 2.7  mm/year in the with an interval of 18.61 years. As a result
changing vegetation around Uccle is not
annual maximum of the cumulative pre- mid 90s. In recent years, the increase of variation of the angle between the earth,
known, but also at the measuring points
cipitation deficit are comparable: the trend has continued, but the rate has fallen to the sun and the moon, the sea level rises far
in Zaventem and Saint-Hubert – where
lines increase slightly but they are not 1.3  mm/year. The speed at which the sea more in some periods than in others.
no significant changes in the surroundings
statistically significant. This is explained
have occurred since the 1960s – the aver-
by the fact that the significant increase in
age wind speed appears to have fallen by
potential evapotranspiration is partly off-
10 %. This decrease in wind speed is re-
set by a slight (not significant) increase in
corded in all seasons, except in winter, the
precipitation during the growing season. Figure 6.4: Rising sea level at the Belgian coast
season in which the highest wind speeds
In addition, the large variation in the indi- (Nieuwpoort, Ostend, Zeebrugge 1951-2015)
generally occur (RMI, 2015) [19].
cators for precipitation deficit complicates
the detection of trends. No clear trend is apparent for the oc-
currence of storm days - with maximum
Periods of drought also come under the
wind gusts over 70 km/h - nor for the high-
heading of ‘extreme precipitation’. The
est measured wind speeds. The intensity
maximum number of consecutive dry days
of storms has therefore not increased in
(≤ 0.5 mm precipitation) (during the grow-
Belgium over the last decades (RMI, 2015)
ing season) in a year shows no significant
[19].
trend for the measuring point in Uccle over
the period 1880-2016. This indicates that
periods of drought have not become more 6.2.1.4. Sea Level
intense since the end of the 19th century.
The statistical analysis of the values
The record years are 1893 and 2007, hav-
measured at the Belgian coast shows that
ing periods of drought of 44 and 37 days
the annual average sea level in 2015 is
respectively.
significantly higher than at the beginning
of the time series. The longest time series
available for the Belgian Coast (in Ostend)
shows a trend line that lies 112 mm higher
in 2015 than in 1951. Also the 2 other mea-
surement points show a significant trend:
Nieuwpoort + 84  mm between 1967 and
Source: MIRA based on PSMSL and Agency for Agentschap Maritieme Dienstverlening [3] (www.milieurapport.be)

6. Vulnerability assessment, climate change impacts and adaptation measures 95


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A study examined the extreme high No datasets are currently available that 6.2.2. Climate projections 1. to contribute to the international COR-
tides in Ostend and the contribution of in- allow a long-term analysis of a climate in- Since the previous national communi- DEX project (“COordinated Regional
dividual astronomical and storm-building fluence on the salinity of our sea water. cation, new climatic projections have been Climate Downscaling Experiment”)
components, trends and long-term fluctua- built for the Belgian territory in the frame- by performing regional climate simula-
Regarding the wave height, the histor-
tions in it. This showed that, in addition to work of the Belgian CORDEX.be project tions over Europe
ical dataset in and near the Belgian part of
the increase in the annual average sea lev- which aims to combine regional downscal- 2. to provide a set of high-resolution
the North Sea only suggests a natural vari-
el, the storm plan did not show a separate ing expertise in Belgium [12]. This proj- (H-Res) climate simulations over Bel-
ability with a period of approximately sev-
or additional rising trend [20]. ect, funded by BELSPO (Belgian Science gium (H-Res models run at resolutions
en years. There is also a seasonal cycle: on
policy), started in 2015 (and ended in Sep- of 4 km)
A study by the European Environment average, there are higher waves in winter
tember 2017) brought together the differ- 3. to present an overview of the ongoing
Agency indicates that within Europe, Bel- and lower waves in the summer months.
ent Belgian climate modelling groups. The climate modelling activities in Belgium
gium, after the Netherlands, is the most A clear climate trend could not be demon-
main objectives of the CORDEX.be proj- 4. to provide coherent climate informa-
vulnerable to flooding as a result of the strated in the historical wave height and
ect are: tion for Belgium targeted to end-users,
rising sea level: in Flanders, 15 % of the wind speed datasets.
surface area is less than 5 metres above the
average sea level. Moreover, the Belgian
6.2.1.6. Natural disasters
coastline appears to be the most built-up in Figure 6.5: Evolution of the number of victims (death and affected persons) due to
Europe: in 2000, over 30 % of the 10  km Since 1992 the EM-DAT database has natural disasters in Belgium (number of victims by 100 000 persons)
coastal strip was built up and as much as recorded the following disasters with vic-
nearly 50 % of the strip up to 1  km from tims in Belgium: seven episodes of ex- 25

the coastline [18]. In the Province of West treme temperature, twelve floods and thir-
20
Flanders, 33 % of the population live in teen storms. The 2002 storms and floods
low-lying polder areas which are sensitive were the most devastating, with 23.3 vic- 15
to flooding by the sea. tims per 100 000 inhabitants. In compari-
son with the EU 28, Belgium has far fewer 10

victims of natural disasters per 100 000 in-


6.2.1.5. Seawater temperature, salinity, 5
habitants.
wave height and wind speed at sea
The evolution of the number of victims 0
In all the sub-areas of the North Sea 19
92 993 994 995 996 997 998 999 000 001 002 003 004 005 006 007 008 009 010 011 012 013 014 015
(deaths and affected persons) of natural di- 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
(not only the Belgian part), the seawater
sasters in Belgium shows a highly variable Deaths per 100.000 persons
temperature is rising. Moreover, a natural
trend, mainly due to the erratic nature of Affected (Injured + Affected + Homeless) per 100.000 persons
variability appears to occur with a period
natural disasters [16, 17] (cf. Figure 6.5). average Deaths 2005_2015 = Sendai Target (a) for 2030 = 0.23
of seven to eight years. In the area clos- average affected ( Injured + Affected + Homeless) 2005_2015 = Sendai Target (b) for 2030 = 54.63
est to the Belgian coast, the increase is
approximately 0.034 °C per year or 3.4 °C
per century. Source: Federal Planning Bureau, calculations based on Guha-SapirD., Below R., HoyoisPh. (2017), EM-DAT:
The CRED/OFDA International Disaster Database, http://www.emdat.be/ (consulted on 09/05/2017) Université
Catholique de Louvain, Brussels, Belgium and Eurostat (2017) Average population (consulted on 09/05/2017)
[16, 17]

6. Vulnerability assessment, climate change impacts and adaptation measures 96


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backed by: (i) an unified framework for jectories or RCPs (Representative Concen- riod 2070-2100 are shown for temperature crease for the mid-21st century is twice as
the high resolution climate runs and (ii) tration Pathways) adopted by the IPCC in and precipitation. large in cities compared to their surround-
uncertainty estimations on the climate their latest Assessment Report. The status ing rural areas. The exacerbation is driven
change signal; of the CORDEX.be model simulations on by the urban heat island itself, its tempo-
6.2.3. Extremes
5. to present a climate-impact report for March 2017 is given in Figure 6.6. ral coincidence with heatwaves and urban
stakeholders and the general public that Detailed heat-stress projections for Bel- expansion. Cities experience a heat-stress
Results are shown for greenhouse gas gium are constructed combining the COR-
highlights the most important project multiplication by a factor 1.4 and 15 de-
scenario RCP8.5, also called the busi- DEX.be convection-permitting climate
results. pending on the scenario. Remarkably, the
ness-as-usual scenario as it assumes little model simulations with statistical analysis future heat-stress surpasses everywhere
Climate simulations performed in the or no mitigation measures are taken. High of a set of general circulation models, both the urban hot spots of today [13, 14].
context of the CORDEX.be project are resolution climate change maps for the pe- developed in the CORDEX.be project. The
based on greenhouse gas concentration tra- assessment shows that the heat-stress in-

Figure 6.6: Status of the climate simulations that were performed (✓) or ongoing (O) Figure 6.7: Climate-change maps obtained using H-Res ALARO-0 with spatial
by the three regional climate models on March 2017 resolution of 4 km. Figure (a) shows the projected temperature change while Figure
(b) shows the relative change in winter precipitation. Climate change is considered
ALARO-0 over Europe (12.5 & 50 km resolution) ALARO-0 over Europe (4 km resolution) here as the (relative) difference between the period 2070-2100 (following the scenario
Evaluation Historical RCP 2.6 RCP 4.5 RCP 8.5 Evaluation Historical RCP 2.6 RCP 4.5 RCP 8.5 RCP 8.5) and the historical reference period 1976-2005
1950-1976 ✓ (1957-1979) ✓ — — — 1950-1976 O (1958-1979) O — — —

1976-2005 ✓ ✓ — — — 1979-2010 ✓ — — — —

2005-2040 — ✓ (2005-2015) ✓ ✓ ✓ 1976-2005 — ✓ — — —


a) Temperature change (RCP85) b) Relative precipitation change (RCP85)
2040-2070 — — ✓ ✓ ✓ 2005-204 — O (2005-2015) O ✓ ✓

2070-2100 — — ✓ ✓ ✓ 2040-2070 — — ✓ O O

2070-2100 — — O O ✓
3,6°C
COSMO-CLM (KU Leuven) over Europe (12.5 km) COSMO-CLM (KU Leuven) over Europe (2.8 km)
40 %
Evaluation Historical RCP 8.6 Evaluation Evaluation Evaluation Historical RCP 8.5
1979-2014 ✓ — — using a
urbanization = urbanization =
vegetation land-
1976-2005 — ✓ — year 2000
use scenario
year 2000 3,4°C
2070-2100 — — ✓
1979-2014 ✓ ✓ ✓ — —

30 %
MAR over Belgium (5 km) 1976-2005 — — — ✓ —

Evaluation Evaluation Historical RCP 8.5 3,2°C


2071-2100 — — — — ✓
ECMWF- ERA40-
NCEP/ NorESM1/ NorESM1/
ERA-Interim-
NCAR-v1 CanESM2 CanESM2
ERA20C

1958-2014 ✓ ✓ — — 3,0°C 20 %


1948-2015 — ✓ — —

1980-1999 — — ✓ —

2080-2099 — — — ✓

6. Vulnerability assessment, climate change impacts and adaptation measures 97


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General climate trends for Belgium of hot days will increase more in the
based on different climate scenarios for central area of Belgium. The number
Belgium over 100 years (CMIP5): of extreme cold days will have the 6.3. Vulnerability assessment
strongest decrease in the Ardennes.
–– A hotter climate: all the projections
show an increase of temperature in For precipitation, the winter precipi- and climate-change adaptation measures
all seasons (from +1 °C to +4.6 °C by tation amounts will increase stronger
2100 for the mean monthly tempera- for the Belgian coast. There is more-
ture in winter; from 1.1 °C to 7 °C in over a slight north-south pattern:
summer). slightly stronger increase in winter
precipitation in the northern areas Impact, vulnerability and adaptation water management & infrastructures, and
–– A reinforcement of the precipita-
of the country, slightly stronger de- assessments have been funded and piloted forestry. As quite some part of the costs
tion seasonality: precipitations are
crease in summer precipitation in the at regional and federal level. These pre- are not yet known, it is difficult to have an
expected to decrease in summer (up
southern areas. liminary studies were the first step before overall view.
to -53 % for mean monthly precipita-
–– A fall in the average summer pre- starting the development of regional and
tion by 2100) and increase in winter Most of the Belgian studies can be
cipitation, in combination with federal adaptation plans.
(up to 36 % by 2100). The decrease consulted on the Circle 2 ERA-net in-
in summer is mainly due to the de- greater evaporation, will cause the Besides these trans-sectoral studies, fobase and on the different Belgian web-
creasing number of wet days. lowest river flows to fall during several specific impact assessments have sites (LNE, Brussels Environment, AwAC,
–– More extreme events: heavy rains dry summers between 20 and 70 % been also funded by Belgium in different BELSPO -SSD and BRAIN-, Climat-
in winter and heavy thunderstorms in (mean of about 50 %) by the end sectors (coastal zones, forestry, agricul- echange.be). A brief description of the ma-
summer are projected to be more fre- of the 21st century. As a result, the ture...). jor impacts and vulnerabilities is given in
quent or more intense, just as the heat risks of a serious water shortage with Table 6.1 for various sectors impacted by
The economic impact of climate change
waves that are expected to be more implications for domestic, industrial climate change in Belgium (adapted from
is not yet fully known. Global models can
frequent in summer. and agricultural water supply, navi- the different regional vulnerability studies
be used to assess the costs of adaptation
–– The changes in temperature and gation, and water quality / ecology mentioned above [4], [5], [9]).
but cannot easily be translated to the lo-
precipitation show minor regional also increase.
cal scale. Two first studies have tried to In depth description of impacts and
differences within Belgium. For the –– The sea level at the Belgian coast will
get more grasp on this issue: The first one vulnerabilities and adaptation measures in
densely populated cities, the absolute further rise, most likely between 20
(“AdaGLOBALE Kptatie aan klimaat- water management, coastal management,
temperature values will be higher and 90 cm by 2100. Higher changes
verandering: Globale kosten en praktische biodiversity, agriculture, forestry, fishery,
than on the country side due to the may occur as well, but with a lower voorbeelden” [21]) tried to assess the costs infrastructure, transport, industry and ser-
urban heat island effect. The number likelihood. on local scale through an evaluation of 4 vices, energy, tourism, health is available
typical quarters. The second one aimed to in the 6th National Communication. Updat-
answer the question “What would be the ed information on implementation is pro-
additional costs if today we had the 2050 vided in Table 6.2.
climate?” (in other words, without any ad-
aptation measures). The most considerable
costs are met in the sectors of biodiversity,

6. Vulnerability assessment, climate change impacts and adaptation measures 98


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Table 6.1: Summary of the main impacts and their severity expected in Belgium (adapted from regional impact assessments studies).
The top of the table gives an idea of the uncertainties by using different projections: according to the projections, the change
in temperature will be more or less quick and extensive

Wet Projections 2030 2050 2085 Added pressure on already vulnerable areas (peatlands, etc.)
Mean Projections Biodiversity changes in distribution areas
2030 2050 2085 Increase in invasions
Dry Projections 2030 2050 2085 Phenological changes
0,5 1 1,5 2 2,5 3 3,5 4  in energy consumption (cold chain/ air conditioning in summer)
Temperature rising (°C)
Integrity and capacity of production and transport installations
 in erosion risk due to heavy rain Problem of cooling of nuclear plants 1
 in loss of soils due to heavy rain Energy Management of the network and electricity consumption 2
Variability of crop production and breeding ( in the frequency of extreme events)  in heating-related energy consumption
Agriculture  pressure from diseases, parasites, weeds and invasions Seasonal modifications of photovoltaic, wind and hydraulic production and biomass productivity
 in water needs and risk of water stress
 in mortality due to heatwaves and diseases linked to food contamination
 in yields or production of certain crops Limiting factors (photoperiod, water, fertility) and  of respiratory diseases and allergies (pollens..)
reversal of the trend  mortality in winter
Coastal Areas  risks of breaking of natural (mostly sand and dunes) coastal defences
Health Sanitary risks due to air quality (summer)
 risks of breaking of man-made (dykes, wave-breakers, ... ) coastal defences
 risks of higher storm-related flooding sanitary risks due to air quality (winter)
 in diseases linked to water contamination
damage caused by changes to wind patterns anw wave height
reduction of upper layer of fresh water in polders (salt intrusion) affecting natural systems and  in vector-borne diseases
infrastructures Pollution of ground water by leaching
Fisheries changes in the quantity and distribution of marine species, inclusive commercial fish stocks Decrease in surface water quality (floods, streaming, low-flows)
Water Resources and Variation in river flows can lead to pollution
Appearance of new commercial species (migration from south to north)
Management
appearance of new harmful species increased rainfall in winter recharges grondwater
 vulnerability of highly specialised fishery sector Reduction of ground water in summer
 in flood risk
Longer periods of favourable conditions for low-season tourism
Risk of disruption to transport by waterways (more low-water periods)
Favourable conditions for summer tourism but risks for nautical activities during dry summers
Impact of heatwaves and amplification by heat islands Tourism
damage to infrastructure due to high temperatures (buckling of rails, etc.) Energy consumption for heating
Land planning / Infrastructures Energy consumption for cooling
Risk of disruption of road and rail transport and damage to infrastructure due to snow and frost
Shrinkage and swelling of clay Impact on production processes (e.g. water shortages, cooling of power plant, etc.), direct (flooding, high
Karstic Risk Industry & services winds, etc.) and indirect (supply problems) damages
Damage due to the possible increase in storm frequency More frequent and/or intensive weather-related disasters will challenge insurance systems
Modification of the range of forest species (harmful to wood production)
More frequent invasions very serious impact difficult to assess
 in damage due to climatic variations (fire, storms, droughts) 1. Changes to the facilities (complete closure of Tihange site
Forests frost damage serious expected in 2025) should significantly decrease the pressure on
Legend surface water. Note: there is also a risk in inter-connected facilities
 frequency of outbreaks
not very serious and a direct risk in Wallonia.
 growth followed by limited increase due to soil fertility and drought
2. The changes to the facilities will lead to changes in electricity
Changes to phenology
opportunities management methods (very high costs)

6. Vulnerability assessment, climate change impacts and adaptation measures 99


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Table 6.2: Adaptation measures implemented by sector

Sector Adaptation measures Sector Adaptation measures


Widespread information campaign to encourage water savings. New Climatic Agri-environmental measures: actions on a voluntary
Flood Risks prevention and management framework (regional plans). base which take into account climate change challenges (e.g. part of
Update flood part of the national emergency plan ‘natural disasters’ grassland reserved to flood plain).
(on-going) which foresees prevention measures such as closure of the Inventory of opportunities for adaptation in agriculture (and
riverside walls of the river Scheldt; defence mechanisms to protect horticulture) and information campaign (brochure entitled “Goed
from high water and tide levels at the coast, etc. geboerd? Ook het klimaat is u dankbaar! [Done your bit? And the
Water management
Inclusion of cover for floods (and other natural disasters) in household Agriculture climate is in your debt too!], seminars, articles, etc.) in the Flemish
fire insurance policies. Region.
Technical specifications for construction linked to water courses that Creation of a research and technical information centre for soil erosion
allow for an increase in temperature of 2 °C. in the Walloon Region (more than 100 realisations between 2011 and
Valuing water as biodiversity vector and temperance element of the 2015 in 80 municipalities, publication of a good practices guidance...).
urban microclimate Impact studies on the impact of climate change on agricultural crop
Coastal safety master plan. performance and yields performed in the context of CORDEX.be [12]
Coastal defence allowing for the coast’s natural dynamic. Allowance made for climate change in the Walloon Forest Code
CREST project (2015-2019) aiming to increase the knowledge of and Brussels plan for managing the Forêt de Soignes/Zoniënwoud
Coastal areas
coastal processes near the coast and on land. The project will i.a. woodland area. Diversification of species and conservation of
determine the resilience of the natural coastal system (dunes and ecosystems that are relatively unaffected by human activities.
beaches) in relation to storms and wind. Update on-going of two main documents (the recommendations for
Network of protected areas (Natura 2000). Bioclimatic classification policy makers [8] and the good practice guide for forest managers) by a
of species. Monitoring of the effects of climate change on biodiversity: group of experts responsible for studying the impact of climate change
exploratory study about the impact of climate change on birds; follow- on forest ecosystems.
up of the flowering dates of fruit trees; follow-up of phenological Monitoring of the forest health by the Walloon forest health
Biodiversity Forests observatory and permanent inventory of the health of the Forêt de
indicators.
Mainstreaming of adaptation in the National Biodiversity strategy. Soignes/ Zoniënwoud woodland area (monitoring changes in oak and
Mainstreaming of climate change in the program of measures (2015) to beech trees).
achieve good environmental status of marine waters (deadline: 2020). Partnerships in place with the Brussels Region and France to facilitate
real time exchange of information on diseases for the purposes of
concerted management at interregional level.
FORBIO climate project (on-going project funded by BELSPO)
scrutinizes the adaptive capacity of tree species (with a focus on oak
and beech) and aims to predict the future performance of tree species
under different climate scenarios.
Research and monitoring of the effects of climate change on the fish
Fishing
populations (ILVO, Flemish region).

6. Vulnerability assessment, climate change impacts and adaptation measures 100


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Sector Adaptation measures Sector Adaptation measures


Adoption of climate change adaptation measures for infrastructures Involvement of “Toerisme Vlaanderen” in the Sigma plan to control
and the urban environment (combating the consequences of soil seal, flooding zones. Cooperation agreement between that tourism body and
Tourism
increased revegetation in the urban environment, etc.). the Maritime Services and Coast Agency (MDK), responsible, inter
IVB interregional project, “Future Cities – urban networks to face alia, for managing coastal defences.
climate change”, aiming at adapting urban structures to the likely New versions of federal and regional heat and ozone plans (2016 and
Infrastructures and
effects of climate change. 2017), taking into account one decade of experience in Belgium. The
urban environment
Impact studies on the impact of climate change on urban heat stress revised plans make explicit reference to climate change as one of the
and urban environment performed in the context of CORDEX.be [12] main risk factors.
Mapping of the freshness islands in the Brussels area (on-going). New National Medical Intervention Plan (2017) taking into account all
Mapping of urban heat islands in the Flemish region (VMM-MIRA, natural or man-caused disasters.
on-going). Large surveillance system of air allergens and pollutants (pollen,
The North Sea Disaster Prevention and Management plan (to combat particulate matter, CO2, NOx, etc.)
exceptionally high tides). In follow-up of the MODIRISK programme (leading to eradication
“Summer” and “winter” plans drawn up by public transport managers measures of the Aedes japonicus mosquito), work is on-going to
(SNCB/NMBS and Infrabel, TEC, de Lijn, STIB) in order to anticipate establish a Belgian monitoring plan of exotic mosquitoes.
and mitigate the disruption of services caused by extreme weather Systems of identification and surveillance of infectious and vector
conditions. Health borne diseases which can be linked to climate change. These systems
Development and update of specific models for predicting the rail include list with notifiable diseases (including new or unusual diseases
Transport
adhesion index, the freezing of catenaries and the icing of overhead such as Lyme disease, malaria, zika, etc).
lines to be able to respond to specific transport needs. Establishment of a national platform for information exchange
Mapping of the vulnerable parts of the Belgian railway system and cooperation regarding foodborne diseases due to division of
based on the meteorological data and climate forecasting (on-going). competences (incl. food safety and health authorities).
Implementation of corrective measures: new design of the draining On-going work on short term effects of atmospheric pollution and of
systems of the railway lines, preventive actions to reduce the number the climate on all-cause mortality in Belgium and on modelling the
of trees falling on railway lines… impact of temperature on the epidemiological evolution of infectious
Through the “new industrial policy”, research into a new approach/ diseases (WIV-ISP).
other procedures for Flemish industry. Launch of a call for the development of e-training modules for medical
Coverage against flooding and other natural hazards is included in doctors and specialists on environment and health issues, taking
Industry & services (voluntary) household fire insurance policies since 2007 (if a new climate change impacts on health into account.
construction is located in a “high risk area”, the insurer is not required
to provide coverage against flood damage, flood maps are available for
Wallonia and Flanders).
Promotion of sustainable energy generation methods independent of
the availability of water resources.
Energy
Promotion of building insulation.
Study on needs in adequation and flexibility of electric system (2016)

6. Vulnerability assessment, climate change impacts and adaptation measures 101


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Sector Adaptation measures Sector Adaptation measures


Emergency/action plans established for forest fires or floods. Development of guidance documents in order to promote integration
BE-Alert: channels for notification of the population in the event of a of biodiversity and climate change issues into Environmental Impact
crisis. Assessment and Strategic Impact Assessments in Belgium.
Systematic collection of data on natural disasters (e.g.: EM-DAT, Integration of adaptation in the analysis procedure for federal
disaster database developed by the Center for Research on the regulation (AIR – analyse d’impact de legislation) as well as in the
Disaster risk
Epidemiology of Disasters). manual for impact analysis for regulation.
management
Collection of information / experiences after interventions / incidents. Establishment of a Climate Citizens Parliament in the province of
Belgian risk analysis conducted in 2016 identifying 10 risks (including Luxembourg. The parliament has made recommendations to the
floods and heat waves). Province Council.
Establishment of a national platform for disaster risk reduction (Sendaï Allowance for the effects of future climate change in environmental
platform) in 2016. impact surveys.
Several research projects have been launched to increase knowledge Support of the Walloon government to cities and municipalities who
of climate change impacts and adaptation (for more information, see signed the Covenant of Mayors: Wallonia gives funds and provides
Transversal issues and
Chapter 8) i.a. MACCBETH - Modelling atmospheric composition tools to help municipalities develop local energy & climate plans
collaborations
and climate for the Belgian territory (2010-2015), STOCHCLIM (on- (mitigation and adaptation tools).
going project aiming to improve the understanding and description of Launch of a platform dedicated to the ecosystems services (map,
key physical processes in climate models of increasing complexity, identifications, evaluations ...) in Wallonia
with emphasis on the improvement of the variability of dynamical Support of the Flemish government to local authorities in
Research phenomena acting on monthly, seasonal and decadal time scales), their adaptation processes. Development of a platform www.
cordex.be (see Chapter 6.2.2), FORBIO climate (cf section ‘forests), burgemeestersconvenant.be (Covenant of Mayors) providing
PAMAXEA (aiming to improve understanding of climate trends information on CO2 emissions in Flanders, renewable energy atlas and
and extremes in East Africa as basis for appropriate water-resource 30 relevant adaptation measures, 15 good practices on adaptation and a
management, etc.), PLURISK (Forecasting and management of guide through different funding channels.
extreme rainfall induced risks in the urban environment, 2012-2016), Establishment of a “Think Tank on Climate Change Adaptation” in
MASC (Modelling and Assessing Surface Change impacts on Belgian Flanders (2015 – 2017) involving different stakeholders (industry,
and Western European climate), etc. civil society, scientists and authorities). A closing-event presenting the
outcome of the thinktank will take place on December 14th.

6. Vulnerability assessment, climate change impacts and adaptation measures 102


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6.4. Cooperation on adaptation

6.4.1. Development cooperation In order to facilitate the integration of 6.4.2. International scientific research ent partners at European level. Especially
Belgian development cooperation has this priority, the KLIMOS research plat- Belgium supports international agricul- on the impacts, vulnerability and adapta-
explicitly included the fight against cli- form [10], a consortium of several Belgian tural research, inter alia by means of the tion assessment, Belgian institutions are
mate change as a priority in its policy since universities with a network of universities Consultative Group on International Ag- represented in different European research
2008. This is because the consequences of in the South, developed an Environment ricultural Research (CGIAR). This group networks (e.g. CIRCLE and CIRCLE-2,
climate change on countries in the South is Sustainability Toolkit. Various initiatives supports 15 research centres aiming to JPI). Belgian universities participate in
a significant source of instability in terms for capacity building within Belgian devel- ensure improved food safety, improved hu- European research projects (e.g. EU Cities
of food safety, degradation of biodiversi- opment cooperation were organised. The man nutrition and health, a higher income Adapt, SIC-ADAPT!, AMICE, Future Cit-
ty, migration, public health and tensions Belgian development cooperation is sup- for the poor and improved management ies, TIDE, SUDEMCLL, BLAST, SAFE-
that sometimes even culminate into con- porting sustainable development in least of natural resources, on the basis of scien- COAST, Ourcoast, ClimateCost, Espace,
flicts. These countries are the first victims developed countries. For climate actions tific findings. New crop varieties, knowl- Climate proof Areas).
of climate change because they bear less Belgium focuses its international finance edge and other research products are made
responsibility for its consequences and on adaptation, through funds such as the available to individuals and organisations 6.4.3. Benelux collaboration
have fewer resources in their fight against least developed countries fund. Further dealing with sustainable agricultural de-
details on financial resources are discussed In 2014 the collaboration between Bel-
it. The new Belgian Development Coop- velopment throughout the world. Around
further in this national communication. gium, the Netherlands and Luxemburg
eration Act, published on 19 March 2013, one-third of the research programmes fall
started through a working group piloted by
includes the protection of the environment Belgian development cooperation con- under the scope of the fight against cli-
the Benelux General Secretariat.
and natural resources, as well as the fight tributes towards greater public awareness mate change and its impact. Centres such
against climate change, as one of two im- of climate-related problems by means of as IITA, CIAT, ICRISAT, ICARDA and This working group organized a con-
portant transversal priorities. Failing to publications and other awareness activi- WARDA carry out research into modified ference in November 2014 to identify po-
take the possible impact of climate change ties. agricultural crops. The World Agroforestry tential transboundary issues. Four priority
into consideration could further partially Centre, ICRISAT, ICARDA and IITA re- topics have been identified and during 2015
or fully cancel out all the efforts to combat search adapted agricultural techniques and and 2016 four workshops were organized
poverty and the achievement of the Millen- identify innovations at institutional and to discuss how to collaborate on energy,
nium Development Goals. policy level for better agricultural manage- public health, transport and disaster risk re-
ment in response to climate change. The duction. The report ‘Climate change adap-
aspect of capacity building is obviously an tation in Benelux 2015-2016’ summarises
important motivation for Belgian support the content and results of these workshops
to a research environment such as CGIAR. and provides information on adaptation
Belgium is also collaborating with differ- policies in the Benelux countries.  ■

6. Vulnerability assessment, climate change impacts and adaptation measures 103


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References [7] National Climate Commission, 2017, Na- as large for cities as for rural areas. Sub- de Vlaamse overheid - Waterbouwkundig
tional adaptation plan 2017-2020 mitted to Geophysical Research Letters. Laboratorium, oktober 2014, 29 p.
[1] Flemish Climate Police Plan 2013-2020:
[8] Laurent C., Perrin D., Bemelmans D., [14] MIRA Indicator Report 2012 (2013) [21] Technum (2012) Adaptatie aan klimaat-
http://www.lne.be/themas/klimaat- Carnol M., Claessens H., De Cannière C., Marleen Van Steertegem (final editing), verandering: Globale kosten en praktische
verandering/vlaams-klimaatbel- et al., 2009. Le changement climatique Flanders Environment Report, Flem- voorbeelden
eidsplan-2013-2020/eerste-ont- et ses impacts sur les forêts wallonnes. ish Environment Agency: http://www. [22] Brussels-Capital Region: Integrated
werp/2013-02-01_Eerste_ontwerp_VAP. Recommandations aux décideurs et aux milieurapport.be/Upload/main/0_ENG_ Air-Climate-Energy Plan of 2 june 2016,
pdf propriétaires et gestionnaires. Indicatorrapport%202012/323351_ water management of 26 january 2017,
[2] Brouwers J., Peeters B., Van Steertegem [9] Flemish governement, 2010: Bouwstenen mira2012E_compleet_accessible.pdf the “forêt de Soignes” management plan
M., van Lipzig N., Wouters H., Beullens om te komen tot een coherent en efficiënt [15] Acosta-Michlik, L., H. B. de Frahan, (2003) , Nature Plan (2016): www.envi-
J., Demuzere M., Willems P., De Ridder adaptatieplan voor Vlaanderen. H. Brunke, K. Hansen, G. Engelen, I. Ul- ronnement.brussels/guichet/plans-et-pro-
K., Maiheu B., De Troch R., Termonia P., jee, A. Van Herzele, M. Rounsevell, and grammes
[10] http://www.biw.kuleuven.be/lbh/lbnl/
Vansteenkiste Th., Craninx M., Maetens R. White (2011), Multiscalar and Multi-
forecoman/klimos/engels/KLIMOSfront-
W., Defloor W., Cauwenberghs K. (2015) agent Modelling Framework for Assess-
pageEng.html
MIRA Climate Report 2015, about ob- ing Sustainable Futures in a Globalised
served and future climate changes in Flan- [11] 2016, Federal contribution to the nation-
Environment (MULTI-MODE), Final Re-
ders and Belgium. Flanders Environment al adaptation plan http://www.climat.be/
port, Tech. rep., Belgian Science Policy,
Agency (VMM) in collaboration with KU files/6614/7915/5203/contribution_feder-
Research Programme Science for a Sus-
Leuven, VITO and RMI. Aalst, Belgium, ale_plan_adaptation.pdf
tainable Development, Brussels.
147 pages. Download available: www.en- [12] Termonia, P. B. Van Schaeybroeck,
[16] Guha-Sapir D., Below R., Hoyois Ph.
vironmentflanders.be L. De Cruz, R. De Troch, S. Caluwaerts,
(2016), EM-DAT: The CRED/OFDA
[3] Description of the environmental theme of O. Giot, R. Hamdi, S. Vannitsem, P. Wil-
International Disaster Database, http://
Climate Change and the associated indica- lems, H.  Tabari, E. Van Uytven, P. Hos-
www.emdat.be/, Université Catholique de
tor sheets on the website of Environment seinzadehtalaei, N. Van Lipzig, H. Wout-
Louvain, Bruxelles, Belgique et Eurostat
Report Flanders: http://www.milieurap- ers, S. Vanden Broucke, J.-P. van Ypersele,
(2016).
port.be/nl/feitencijfers/milieuthemas/kli- P. Marbaix, C. Villanueva-Birriel, X. Fet-
tweis, C. Wyard, C. Scholzen, S. Doutre- [17] Federal Planning Bureau, http://www.in-
maatverandering/
loup, K. De Ridder, A. Gobin, D. Lauwaet, dicators.be
[4] ECORES, TEC, 2011. L’adaptation au
T. Stavrakou, M. Bauwens, J.-F. Müller, [18] EEA (2006) The changing faces of Europe’s
changement climatique en Région wal-
P.  Luyten, S. Ponsar, D. Van den Eynde, coastal areas. EEA Report No. 6/2006,
lonne. Rapport final
E. Pottiaux, “The CORDEX.be initiative Copenhagen. Willems P. (2014) Actual-
[5] FACTOR X, ECORES, TEC, 2012. as a foundation for climate services in Bel- isatie van de extreme-waarden-statistiek
L’adaptation au changement climatique gium”, submitted to Climate Services. van stormvloeden aan de Belgische kust.
en Région de Bruxelles-Capitale : Éla- KU Leuven - Hydraulics section, Oct-
[13] Wouters, H., K. De Ridder, Lien Poel-
boration d’une étude préalable à la ré- 2014.
mans, Patrick Willems, Parisa Hossein-
daction d’un plan régional d’adaptation.
zadehtalaei, Hossein Tabari, Johan Brou- [19] RMI (2015) Oog voor het klimaat 2015.
Rapport final
wers, Sam Vanden Broucke, N.P.M. van [20] Willems P. (2014) Actualisatie van de
[6] National Climate Commission, 2010, Na- Lipzig, and M. Demuzere. Heat stress in- extreme-waarden-statistiek van stormv-
tional adaptation strategy crease towards the mid-21st century twice loeden aan de Belgische kust. KU Leuven
- Department of Hydraulics, Rapport voor

6. Vulnerability assessment, climate change impacts and adaptation measures 104


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Introduction

Over the period 2013-2016, Belgium At the Conference of the Parties in De-
provided 334.1 million EUR of public sup- cember 2015 Belgium announced that it
port to developing country Parties, main- would contribute at least 50 million EUR

7. P rov i s i o n
ly through grants and some concessional yearly to international climate finance. Ac-
loans. This financial, technological and cording to a negotiated internal distribu-
capacity-building support to non-Annex I tion ratio the federal government accounts

of F i n a n c i a l Parties mainly focused on:


–– Predominantly adaptation and cross-
for half of this yearly commitment. The
regions provide the other half as follows:
14.5 million EUR by the Flemish region,

Res ourc e s a n d
cutting activities;
–– Provision of bilateral and multilateral 8.25 million EUR by the Walloon region
support under the form of grants; and 2.25 million EUR by the Brussels Cap-

t e c h n olo g y
–– Contributions mainly directed towards ital region1.
Africa and Least Developed Countries In parallel to its long-standing provi-
(LDCs); sion of public climate finance to devel-

t r a n s fer
–– Contributions to climate-specific mul- oping countries, Belgium also supports
tilateral funds (Green Climate Fund, the efforts of developing countries to im-
Adaptation Fund, Least Developed plement low-emission, climate-resilient
Countries Fund, etc.) or specialized projects and programmes by (i) providing
UN agencies; significant core funding to multilateral or-
–– Mainly in the following sectors: mul- ganizations and (ii) mobilizing, through
tisectoral, agriculture and livestock, public means, private investments for cli-
energy, water and sanitation and envi- mate-related projects in developing coun-
ronment. tries.

More information on the Belgian burden-sharing


1

agreement are available on the website of the Na-


tional Climate Commission

105
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7.1 Legislative and institutional framework 7.2 Provision of international climate finance
of climate change policies and programmes through official Development Assistance
and other official flows

Belgium is a federal state and due to tio is agreed to meet Belgium’s announce- Belgian climate finance focuses on ad- lateral financial instruments. An overview
this institutional context several federal ment to contribute annually EUR 50 mil- aptation and crosscutting activities, with can be seen in the Figures 7.2, 7.3 and 7.4.
and regional level government depart- lion in 2016-2020: 45 % and 34 % respectively, as presented
Belgium continues to enhance its re-
ments are involved in the development and –– Federal government: EUR 25 million in the Figure 7.1.
porting on climate finance in order to re-
implementation of climate change policies. –– Government of Flanders: Programmes and projects are mainly port as complete, transparant and correct as
As the regional governments have EUR 14.5 million developed in the following sectors: agri- possible. In this context some minor errors
competencies in fields that are connected –– Government of Wallonia: culture and livestock, energy and water and omissions were corrected in CTF Ta-
with their region or territory (water policy, EUR 8.25 million and sanitation. The large share of funds bles 7a and 7b for 2013 and 2014 (update
the environment, nature conservation, etc.) –– Government of Brussels-Capital labeled as multisectoral is mainly due to a figures for 2013 and 2014 are available on
and have powers relating to international Region: EUR 2.25 million large part of finance contributed to multi- the website of the NCC).
relations in those fields, they are also play- The federal part of the Belgian climate
ing an active role in the international as- finance is mainly delivered through the
pects of climate change, such as providing budget for development cooperation. The
and mobilizing climate finance. law on development cooperation of 19th
A cooperation agreement on the inter- March 2013 sets out the goals and priori-
ties of Belgium’s international cooperation. Figure 7.1: Belgian climate finance-type of support 2013-2016 in EUR
nal burden sharing of Belgium’s climate
and energy objectives for the 2013-2020 This law stipulates that in its programmes
4%
period was reached in October 2016. and activities of development cooperation
This agreement should enable Belgium Belgium strives towards sustainable and
to respect its European and international inclusive economic development and pov- 17%
erty alleviation. Furthermore, in this law Adaptation
commitments in climate and energy poli-
cy by 2020. It focuses on greenhouse gas the protection of the environment and nat- Crosscutting
45%
emissions reduction targets for non-ETS ural resources, including the fight against Mitigation
sectors, the share of renewable energies climate change, desertification and global Technology transfer
in final energy consumption, and the con- deforestation is set out as a priority. Over-
tribution to international climate finance. all policy coherence for development is an 34%
Regarding the contribution to international important priority of Belgium’s develop-
climate finance, an internal distribution ra- ment cooperation.

7. Provision of Financial Resources and technology transfer 106


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Figure 7.2: Belgian Climate Finance 2013-2016 per sector – category other includes:
climate policy, support to civil society, rural development, public sector, education,
agriculture and food security, health, transport, forestry, fisheries and others

3% 10%
Multisectoral
Energy
8%
Agriculture and Livestock
43%
Water and sanitation
10%
Environment

12% Humanitarian Aid


Other
14%

Figure 7.4: Belgian contribution to International Climate Finance- per year


120 000 000

Figure 7.3: Contribution to international climate finance - federal and regional 100 000 000
governments
2% 80 000 000
5%
10% 60 000 000

Brussels Capital Government


40 000 000
83% Federal Government
Government of Flanders 20 000 000
Walloon Government
0
2013 2014 2015 2016

Climate Finance 2015 COP Paris Pledge Average

7. Provision of Financial Resources and technology transfer 107


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7.2.1 Financial contributions to multilateral Federal Government research in the areas of mitigation, resil-
institutions and programmes ience to climate shocks and adaptation.
The majority of multilateral funds
As a long-standing donor in terms of come from Belgium’s development coop- Other multilateral partners of Belgium
climate finance, Belgium’s federal and eration budget, which has sustainable de- such as the World Bank Group play an
regional governments contribute to the velopment and poverty alleviation as the important role in mobilizing international
Green Climate Fund (GCF), the Global most important goals. climate finance. Of course Belgium also
Environment Facility (GEF), the Least contributes to the different funding in-
Developed Countries Fund (LDCF) and In 2009 Belgium adopted a strategic
struments of the European international
the Adaptation Fund, and they provide core policy towards its multilateral partner
cooperation (through the EU budget, the
non-earmarked contributions to multilater- organizations. This means that most con-
European Development Fund and Europe-
al institutions and specialized UN agencies. tributions are un-earmarked and preferably
an Investment Bank), which fund several
In total Belgium provided climate finance multiannual to allow for stable, secure and
programmes and activities to mitigate cli-
of 150.5 million EUR to several funds and predictable funding and to increase trans-
mate change and support countries in their
organizations in 2013-2016 (see Figure 7.5 parency and efficiency.
adaptation efforts. For example, 27 % of
overview of contributions to multilateral In 2016 new Framework Arrangements the Global Public Goods Programme of
funds in 2013-2016). were signed between the federal govern- the EU Development Cooperation Instru-
ment and its 15 multilateral partner orga- ment is dedicated to climate change and
nizations. These FA’s are used to underline other environmental issues.
the commitment to work jointly to im-
An overview of core contributions to
plement the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable
these organizations is included in CTF Ta-
Figure 7.5: Multilateral Climate Finance 2013-2016 Development and as a basis for long term
ble 7(a), but these are not reported as spe-
per organization/fund cooperation.
cific climate finance.
Organizations such as the Food and Ag-
During 2014-2016, Belgium provid-
3% 1% riculture Organization (FAO), United Na-
ed yearly 18.6 million EUR to the Global
tions Development Programme (UNDP)
5%
Environment Facility, an operating entity
Green climate fund and United Nations Environment Pro-
of the financial mechanism under the UN-
8% LDCF gramme (UNEP) contribute significantly
FCCC. This contribution is also un-ear-
Adaptation fund to the fight against climate change through
marked.
9% the programmes and projects in their port-
48% SCCF
folios. Belgium also supports the Con- In addition to the provision of these
IFAD ASAP core resources, within the available re-
sultative Group on Agricultural Research
UN with core resources. Agricultural research sources for development cooperation, a
26% significant part of the multilateral finance
ADB is indispensable to help secure food and
nutrition security in vulnerable countries was specifically targeting multilateral cli-
and improve farmers livelihoods. In imple- mate change funds. These include con-
menting their new strategy CGIAR plans tributions to the Green Climate Fund,
to devote 60 % of their resources towards the Least Developed Countries Fund, the

7. Provision of Financial Resources and technology transfer 108


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Special Climate Change Fund and IFAD’s Government of Flanders 2 million EUR are disbursed in the Af- The Government of the Brussels-Cap-
Adaptation for Smallholders Agricultur- rican Climate Change Fund (ACCF). The ital Region has disbursed financial contri-
The Government of Flanders has
al Programme. Considering the needs of ACCF, managed by the African Devel- butions to the Adaptation Fund (500 000
contributed to the Green Climate Fund
the most vulnerable countries, Belgium opment Bank (AfDB), provides technical EUR in 2013), supporting adaptation proj-
(3.5 million EUR in 2015 and 6.25 million
therefore focused its support on financing assistance to African countries to access ects to the most vulnerable countries. The
EUR in 2016). The GCF, created by the
adaptation activities and on strengthening international climate finance. Government of the Brussels-Capital Re-
UNFCCC, aims to support a paradigm shift
the resilience of least developed countries. gion has also been contributing to provide
in the global response to climate change Government of Wallonia
Together with the Green Climate Fund, climate finance to the Green Climate Fund
and to mobilize funding at scale to invest
which received a contribution of 50 mil- (600 000 EUR in 2014 and 500 000 EUR
in low-emission and climate-resilient de- The Government of Wallonia has pro-
lion EUR from the federal government, the in 2015). Those disbursements aimed to
velopment in developing countries. The vided financial contributions to Green Cli-
LDCF was a significant channel through finance adaptation and mitigation projects
Fund pays particular attention to the needs mate Fund (1.374 million EUR in 2015 and
which the federal government provided and to support the ‘pipeline project’ of the
of societies that are highly vulnerable to 7 million EUR in 2016) in order to finance
large parts of its international climate fi- Green Climate Fund.
the effects of climate change, in particular adaptation and mitigation projects.
nance. In 2016 a multi-annual contribution
Least Developed Countries (LDCs), Small As of 2016, an internal burden sharing
of 24 million EUR was committed to the The government of Wallonia has also
Island Developing States (SIDS), and Af- distribution of the Belgian climate finance
fund for the period 2016-2018, which was made contributions to the Adaptation Fund
rican States. international commitments has required
complemented with additional resources (250 000 EUR in 2015 and 1 million EUR
the Government of the Brussels-Capital
of 8 million EUR in 2016. In total in the re- The Government of Flanders also pro- in 2016) to support its projects and pro-
Region to provide 11 250 000 EUR to cli-
porting period 2013-2016 39 million EUR vided support through the Adaptation Fund grammes, which play an important role in
mate finance for the years 2016-2020. The
was contributed to the LDCF. This makes (1 million EUR in 2014 and 6.25 million achieving the Paris Agreement objectives.
Government of the Brussels-Capital Re-
Belgium the fourth top contributor to the EUR in 2016), which finances projects and
Government of the Brussels-Capital Region gion has disbursed by now new and addi-
LDCF, constituting more than 15 % of the programmes that help vulnerable commu-
tional financial contributions to the Adap-
total funds available there. nities in developing countries adapt to cli- In order to provide a fair understand- tation Fund (2 500 000 EUR in 2016) and
mate change. ing of the multilateral support financed by to the Green Climate Fund (2 500 000 EUR
the Brussels-Capital Region, the period in 2016) for this period.
of 2013, 2014 and 2015 is first described
then followed by the year 2016. The Brus-
sels-Capital Region only reports climate 7.2.2 Bilateral and Regional Financial
Table 7.1: Contributions to the Global Environment Facility finance that is disbursed and directed to Contributions
Non-Annex I Parties or to multilater- Climate finance through bilateral chan-
Contributions to the Global
2013 2014 2015 2016 al funds and that is new and additional; nels includes disbursements in the context
Environment Facility (in EUR) meaning funded through new and addi- of an agreed partnership programme with
GEF Trust Fund 17 000 000 18 600 000 18 600 000 18 600 000 tional revenue as required by the regional a partner country. Programmes and proj-
Least Developed Countries legislation2. ects in this framework are implemented by
12 000 000 12 000 000 0 15 000 000
Fund different organizations such as the Belgian
Special Cimate Change Fund 12 000 000 0 0 0 Technical Cooperation multilateral organi-
zations, other donor (delegated coopera-
Brussels code on Air, Climate and Energy
2

7. Provision of Financial Resources and technology transfer 109


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tion), civil society organizations or directly poverty, aspects of good governance and the federal government reflects this poli- to gain access to growth and sustainable
by national or local partners in the South. Belgium’s potential for providing mean- cy towards Least Developed Countries in development within the framework of the
ingful support. Africa. 47 % of bilateral climate finance is Sustainable Development Goals. Their
A top 20 of recipient countries can be
directed towards activities in LDC’s. The climate portfolio mainly consists of proj-
seen in Figure 7.6. In parallel to the bilateral support pro-
focus of most climate related programmes ects in the renewable energy sector, most-
vided to these 14 countries, Belgium also
and projects is on adaptation. Again, most ly by providing loans and equity. During
Federal Government supports civil society organizations that
programmes and activities are implement- the reporting period BIO significantly up-
operate in a wider range of developing
In 2015, Belgium renewed its list of ed in agriculture and livestock, water and scaled its investments in climate related
countries.
partner countries and decided to focus sanitation, energy and environment. activities. Its overall portfolio represented
most of its support on 14 countries: Benin, In the reporting period, bilateral fi- commitments of 400.1 million EUR, of
The Belgian Investment Company for
Burkina Faso, Burundi, DR Congo, Guin- nance provided by the federal government which 20 % can be considered climate fi-
Development Cooperation (BIO) is anoth-
ea, Mali, Morocco, Mozambique, Niger, amounted to 155 million EUR. nance. Loans provided by BIO in the pe-
er important actor in providing funds for
Palestinian territories, Rwanda, Senegal, riod 2015-2016 are included in CTF Table
The federal government aims to direct climate investments. Its mission is to sup-
Tanzania and Uganda. These partner coun- 7b. The OECD methodology was used to
50 % of its ODA towards Least Developed port a strong private sector in developing
tries of governmental cooperation were calculate the grant equivalent for these
Countries. Bilateral climate finance by and emerging countries, to enable them
selected on the basis of their degree of loans. For equity or mezzanine type invest-

Figure 7.6: Top 20 of recipient countries of Belgian bilateral climate finance Figure 7.7: Bilateral Climate Finance: distribution per region (2013-2016)
in 2015-2016 (in EUR)

16 000 000 5%
5%
14 000 000
12 000 000 16%
8%
10 000 000 Africa
8 000 000
9% America
6 000 000 48%
64%
4 000 000 15% Asia
2 000 000 Global
0
26%
Ta o
e

ia

da

da

ia

da

ia

n
nd

as

al

ga
qu

ni
r
D

an
en

iv
a

Pe

Fa
In
an

an

M
Co

ne
tn

Be
ru
bi

l
o

nz
K

Bo
eg

Rw
e

Bu

na
ng

Se
m

Vi

y
O
a

or

ki
Co
oz

Iv

r
Bu
M

7. Provision of Financial Resources and technology transfer 110


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ments there is no agreed methodology to Next to these funds, the Government mitigation and adaptation) in developing finance that is disbursed and directed to
calculate the grant equivalent. Therefore of Flanders supported the World Food Pro- countries. This support has been adminis- Non-Annex 1 Parties or to multilater-
this type of investment was not included gramme and World Agroforestry Centre, tered by the Walloon Agency for Air and al funds and that is new and additional;
in the reporting tables, but an overview of in implementing climate projects on, re- Climate (AWAC). A special budget line meaning funded through new and addi-
all climate related investments by BIO is spectively, food security and agroforestry has been created on top of the annual bud- tional revenue as required by the region’s
included in Table 7.2. in Malawi. The Government of Flanders get for bilateral development cooperation. legislation3.
also invests in the Flemish Partnership Wa- Between 2013 and 2016, 23 projects have
The financial support provided by the
Government of Flanders ter for Development and Flemish Fund for been funded. The funds disbursed in bilat-
Brussels-Capital Region was concentrated
Tropical Forests, two initiatives on water eral projects amounted 1 652 243 EUR in
Each year, the Government of Flanders in multilateral funds (namely the Adapta-
and forestry management in developing 2013, 640 883 EUR in 2014 and 1 202 935
reserves 2 million EUR of development tion Fund and the Green Climate Fund)
countries. EUR in 2015.
cooperation for climate finance projects. during the period 2013-2014. In 2015,
This budget comes on top of the annual Projects and programmes with a signif- Historically, the Walloon Region has the Government of the Brussels-Capital
budget for bilateral development coopera- icant or principle focus on climate change supported development cooperation proj- Region supported additional funding to
tion (of 5 million EUR per partner coun- are also reported to UNFCCC, to ensure ects in areas of its competencies such as climate specific projects. In this regard,
try (South Africa, Malawi, Mozambique). full transparency and to reflect the level of education, agriculture, water management, climate specific projects have been funded
This funding is focused on specific climate mainstreaming climate change within de- job creation, environment, etc. This coop- throughout additional disbursements, such
policy measures, in line with mutually velopment cooperation. eration has been administered by Wallo- as 250 000 EUR disbursed to the Organi-
agreed sectoral focus areas, which are job nie-Bruxelles International (WBI). WBI’s sation de la Francophonie in 2015 fund-
creation, health and agriculture & food se- Government of Wallonia project portfolio has evolved over the ing two initiatives; one about sustainable
curity. The alignment to the focus areas en- years. Since 2013, it includes projects and development in the cities, one targeting
As of 2011, the Government of Wal-
hances the effectiveness and predictability programmes with a significant or principle women and climate change projects.
lonia has provided additional and specific
of this funding. focus on climate change. Those initiatives
support to climate change projects (both As of 2016, an internal burden sharing
are also reported to UNFCCC, to ensure
distribution of the Belgian climate finance
full transparency and to reflect the level
international commitments has required
of mainstreaming climate change with-
the Government of the Brussels-Capi-
in development cooperation. The funds
tal Region to provide 11 250 000 EUR to
Table 7.2: Climate Finance investments by BIO 2013-2016 disbursed by WBI in bilateral projects
climate finance for the years 2016-2020.
(net commitments excluding exits) amounted 642 034 EUR in 2013, 446 134
In this prospect, The Government of the
EUR in 2014 and 246 066 EUR in 2015.
Brussels-Capital Region has disbursed
year Total net commitments (EUR) Climate Finance (EUR)  % new and additional financial contributions
Government of the Brussels-Capital Region
2013 91 538 365 0 0 to three projects: one project taking place
2014 85 490 970 31 179 773 36.5 In order to provide a fair understand- in the Republic Democratic of the Congo
2015 84 236 622 1 000 000 1.2 ing of the bilateral support financed by to raise awareness to the changing envi-
2016 138 862 133 49 984 500 36
the Brussels-Capital Region, the period ronment where women are helped to bet-
of 2013, 2014 and 2015 is first described, ter handle their immediate environment
Total 400 128 090 82 164 273 20.5
then followed by the year 2016. The Brus-
sels-Capital Region only reports climate Brussels code on Air, Climate and Energy.
3

7. Provision of Financial Resources and technology transfer 111


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(112 747 EUR) and a second also taking


place in the Republic Democratic of the
7.3 Activities relating to transfer of and access to technologies
Congo, aiming to mobilize the local com-
munity to better manage the impact of cli-
and capacity building
mate change (119 904 EUR).
Thirdly, the Government of the Brus-
sels-Capital Region has supported the An overview of activities related to Support (ACROPOLIS) which provide companies, private firms over local author-
process of building a new eco-center in technology transfer and capacity building policy support for development coopera- ities and regional administrations to aca-
Morocco to better deal with waste man- can be found in CTF Table 8 and 9. tion, based on quality academic research. demic and research institutions active in
agement and reduce the emission of CO2 One of these platforms – KLIMOS- fo- the water sector – implements sustainable
Capacity building and to some extent
(38 821 EUR).  cuses on environmental sustainability and water and sanitation projects in the glob-
technology transfer are always an essential
climate change. Its main goal is to build al South. The climate support through this
Finally, in addition to its climate fi- component of all bilateral programmes and
capacity for the sustainability transition. Partnership is reflected in CTF Tables 7(b),
nance international commitments, the projects. In the tables some of the more
Through this research platform, the gov- but these projects also foster the transfer
Government of the Brussels-Capital Re- concrete examples related to mitigation
ernment provides seed money that is used of expertise to southern partners. To date,
gion has also financed two projects with and adaptation are listed.
to (i) conduct case studies in the South, these projects benefited over one million
relevant4 climate impacts in Morocco
The Belgian Development Cooper- (ii) establish collaborations with research southern citizens in terms of access to wa-
(54 000 EUR) and in the Republic Demo-
ation supports both the VLIR (Flemish institutions in the South and (iii) build ca- ter.
cratic of the Congo (37 105 EUR) as part of
inter-university council) and CIUF (Con- pacity both in Belgium and in its partner
Official Development Assistance projects. In accordance with UNFCCC guide-
seil Interuniversitaire de la Communauté countries. The four research streams in-
lines, Belgium reported activities related
française de Belgique) to establish part- clude: sustainable management of natural
to technology transfer, including success
nerships between Belgian universities and resources, sustainable energy and infra-
and failure stories. Description of select-
university colleges and their counterparts structure, good governance for environ-
ed projects or programmes that promoted
in the South. These partnerships generate ment and sustainability, sustainable mon-
practicable steps to facilitate and/or fi-
– among other projects – initiatives related itoring and evaluation.
nance the transfer of, or access to, environ-
to climate change.
The Flemish Water for Development mentally-sound technologies is provided in
In 2014, Belgium also established the Partnership – involving over 90 project Annex 4.
Academic Research Platforms for Policy partners, ranging from NGOs, public water

4
Applying the Rio Marker methodology, only 40 %
of the disbursed finance is reported as the climate
impacts are significant but not principal to the ob-
jective. 

7. Provision of Financial Resources and technology transfer 112


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7.4 Mobilization of Private Sector support of coastal erosion in developing coun-


tries (Ghana, Benin, Sri Lanka) and was
Other actors and channels used by
Belgium to mobilize private climate
through public intervention involved in wind farm projects and solar finance
power stations (Kenya, Chili, South Africa Even if the above-mentioned bodies are
and Madagascar). It is currently not possi- currently the main actors in Belgium, other
ble to provide a quantified estimate of the institutions also contribute to the scaling-up
amount of private finance mobilized via of private finance supporting low-carbon
In addition to playing its part in pro- vestors. In the context of these 4 invest- these various projects due to the current
viding public climate finance, Belgium ments, for which BIO contributed USD climate-resilient activities in developing
lack of definitions, methodology and data countries. Further efforts to collect and re-
is directing its efforts towards mobilizing 37.8 million, BIO estimates it mobilized a related to the tracking of private climate
flows of private finance for climate-related total amount of USD 13.488 million pri- port more granular information about the
finance. undertakings of these actors will be made,
projects in developing countries, as this is vate investment. The share of private sec-
pivotal to achieving long-term transforma- tor investment in the total amount financed FINEXPO but this proves to be challenging from an
tion of developing countries into low-car- amounts to 33 %. BIO has taken an active individual Party perspective.
Through its various instruments com-
bon and climate-resilient economies. role in mobilizing private investors for re- bining public financing with commercial Over the period 2013-2016, Belgium
newable energy projects by, for example, financing, FINEXPO, a Belgian federal also contributed to mobilize private climate
inviting the private bank Triodos on board committee on financial support for expor- finance through its 642 million core fund-
7.4.1 Actors and channels to mobilize
for an investment deal. tation, is also an important player involved ing to World Bank Group, African Devel-
private sector support
in mobilizing private climate finance in de- opment Bank, European Investment Bank,
During the period considered in this To calculate the above-mentioned
veloping countries. Asian Development Bank, Inter-American
report, the following actors undertook the amount of private climate finance it mo-
Development Bank and European Bank for
most significant actions to directly mobi- bilized, BIO used the methodology de- Over the past reporting period, FIN-
Reconstruction and Development. While it
lize private flows in developing countries. veloped by the OECD. This methodology EXPO was for example involved (of-
is currently impossible to provide a quan-
attributes the mobilization of private in- ten in co-ordination with Credendo) in a
BIO-invest tified estimate of the impact that this finan-
vestors to the different public investor par- wind farm project in Kenya and in various
cial support has had, the work and projects
During the period 2014-2017, BIO ap- ticipants according to the instrument used dredging projects aimed to combat coastal
that it made possible undoubtedly contrib-
proved 14 investments in renewable ener- (syndicated loan, guarantee or collective and river erosion (Ghana, Vietnam, Phil-
uted to mobilize private climate finance in
gy projects for a total amount of EUR 139 investment vehicle) and their role in ar- ippines…). During the reporting period
developing countries during the considered
million, both direct investments and indi- ranging the investment. considered, FINEXPO also developed an
reporting period.
rect investments made through renewable instrument aiming to support SME invest-
Credendo ments in developing countries that could Supporting effective enabling environ-
energy funds. Of these projects, 12 are
signed or finalizing legal documentation By providing a range of products cov- be of great use e.g. in the sector of renew- ments in developing countries is also key
(EUR 118 million)5. ering trade and investments risks in devel- able energy. Similarly as with Credendo, it to indirectly leverage significant amounts
oping countries, Credendo, the Belgian is currently impossible to provide a quan- of private climate finance on the short-
Of the 12 portfolio projects mentioned credit insurance group, also contributed to tified estimate of the amount of private fi- and long-term. In this regard, the efforts
above, 4 projects (2 investment funds and mobilizing private climate finance. Over nance mobilized via these various projects undertaken by Belgium to support the
2 syndicated loans) mobilized private in- the past reporting period, Delcredere cov- due to the current lack of definitions, meth- development of stable investment frame-
5
More information on these projects can be found ered several dredging projects aimed at odology and data related to the MRV of works in developing countries should be
on BIO’s website. mitigating the ecological and social impact private climate finance. highlighted. Such support took place both

7. Provision of Financial Resources and technology transfer 113


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bilaterally (through, for example, Bel- Important considerations 7.4.2 Efforts to improve the tracking and In addition to that, in 2015, the Feder-
gium’s numerous climate-related capacity Significant data gaps and method- reporting of mobilized private climate al Ministry of Environment published the
building activities, undertaken especially ological uncertainties remain on the issue finance results of an important twofold pilot study
in LDCs) and multilaterally (through, for of mobilized private climate finance. It is Tracking private flows of climate fi- aiming at (i) better understanding the Bel-
example, Belgium’s active participation important to note that, while Belgium tried nance is key to monitor progress in the in- gian landscape of actors involved in the
and financial support in the work of the In- to provide as much transparency as pos- ternational effort to tackle climate change mobilization of private climate finance in
ternational Partnership for Mitigation and sible over the activities it undertakes, the (see Figure 7.8). However, to date, there developing countries (see Figure 7.8) de-
MRV). While it is currently impossible to following activities should by no means are significant challenges to accurately veloping a Belgian methodology to track
assess the impact of such activities, this be considered as a complete and accurate track publicly mobilized private climate private climate finance mobilized in devel-
represents a significant Belgian contribu- picture of what Belgium mobilized during finance in developing countries. oping countries by Belgium during a deter-
tion to the mobilization of private climate the years 2014-2017. mined time period. This study, as well as
finance in developing countries. Belgium is engaged in an ongoing a discussion paper on the lessons learned
In the context of this exercise, Bel- process to improve the transparency of its during this exercise, are available on the
Finally, Belgium undertook efforts at gium chose to adopt a very conservative efforts to mobilize private climate finance website of the Federal Climate Change
the national level to scale-up the amounts approach on the issue of mobilized pri- in developing countries and to accurate- Service.
of private finance it mobilizes. For exam- vate finance by providing a general and ly track its private finance contributions
ple, in 2016 a federal working group was qualitative overview of the efforts of most and progress towards the 100 billion US$ Even though the results of this study
established with the aim to increase infor- of its main actors working on the mobili- commitment. In this regards, Belgium is can only be considered as incomplete and
mation and experience-sharing between zation of private climate finance flows in actively participating in the work of the preliminary, this exercise proved to be
relevant Belgian institutions in view of developing countries and – where possible OECD Research Collaborative on Track- useful and it provided insights in all of the
contributing to the achievement of Bel- – quantitative estimates of some of its ac- ing Private Climate Finance since its cre- (practical) complexities and efforts needed
gium’s climate finance commitments under tions, based on the current best available ation, in February 2013. to come to an accurate, accountable and
the UNFCCC in the most efficient manner. data. This approach was decided with the transparent methodology to track private
This working group already addressed sev- objective to provide as much transparen- climate finance by public sector interven-
eral times the issue of leveraging private cy as is currently possible, while avoiding tions. The results were used in the context
finance with public funds and will keep double-counting and over-reporting at the of the OECD Research Collaborative on
working on this issue in the future. Com- maximum. Tracking Private Climate Finance and are
plementary to these efforts, the Belgian now publicly available.
Development Cooperation also financed a
research group (ACROPOLIS) dedicated
to studying all sources of financial flows
for development cooperation, including
the various instruments and modalities to
attract private finance (blending, public/
private partnerships, debt, equity capital,
etc) in view of providing policy-relevant
recommendations.

7. Provision of Financial Resources and technology transfer 114


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Figure 7.8: Landscape of the Belgian actors possibly mobilizing private climate finance in developing countries, identified in the study
“Promoting private sector actions in the fight against climate change in Belgium and abroad” (2015)

7. Provision of Financial Resources and technology transfer 115


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7.5 Methodological approach for tracking the provision of financial, Climate-specific


Climate-specific support through bi-
technological and capacity-building support to non-Annex I Parties lateral channels relates to support with a
score of 2 for the Rio Marker for mitigation
or adaptation, of which the full amount is
reflected in CTF Table 7(b) and to support
with a score of 1 for these Rio Markers, of
7.5.1 The use of Rio markers to quantify ers 1, the coefficients (in %) are determined gium reports in the most transparent man- which only part of the budget is account-
climate-relevance of projects/ on the basis of their subsector code, also ner (e.g. publicly available databases) on ed as climate finance and reflected in CTF
programmes avoiding double counting. To avoid double its climate finance, so future adjustments Table 7(b). With regards to multilateral
Belgium uses the Rio markers to report counting the sum of coefficients for each can be made. support (CTF Table 7(a)), climate specific
to the Development Assistance Committee project never exceeds 100 %. finance is aimed towards funds or organi-
In this regard, all efforts of the Govern-
of the Organization for Economic Coop- zations with a specific mandate and goals
The Governments of Flanders and Wal- ments of Flanders and Wallonia towards
eration and Development (OECD-DAC) related to the fight against climate change.
lonia also use the Rio markers. Account- international climate finance are made
about the official development assistance ing for “Rio marker 2” actions is simply publicly available on the following web- Status (committed/disbursed)
that has been spent on activities to sup- 100 % of the action budget. For account- sites, respectively:
Belgium only makes commitments on
port the goals of the United Nations Con- ing the contributions of actions under Rio –– The Department of Foreign Affairs of the basis of a firm obligation such as a de-
ventions on biodiversity, climate change marker 1 a coefficient of 40 % is used. To Flanders cree, and an agreement, expressed in writ-
and desertification (respectively UNCBD, prevent double counting, a “Rio Marker –– The Walloon Agency for Air and Cli- ing and backed by the necessary funds, to
UNFCCC and UNCCD). These are policy 2” on both mitigation and adaptation does mate (AWAC) provide specified assistance to a recipient
markers that indicate donors’ policy objec- not result in climate reporting of 200 % of country or a multilateral organization.
tives in relation to each aid activity. In its the project budget, but counts as 100 % of
reporting to the UNFCCC Belgium uses the project budget. The same principle is 7.5.2 Key concepts of the methodological Belgium aims to report only funds that
these markers to identify the relevant pro- applied to a “Rio Marker 1” on both mit- approach are disbursed (amounts spent). This means
grammes and projects in its portfolio. igation and adaptation, which results in a Core/general that amounts are reported only when pay-
climate reporting of 40 % of the project ments have been carried out, on the basis of
The Directorate General for Develop- Core/general contributions are un-ear-
budget. an invoice or a payment request by a mul-
ment Cooperation and Humanitarian Aid marked contributions to multilateral or- tilateral partner organization or a non-gov-
(DGD), takes all Rio markers (climate, Belgium recognizes the shortcomings ganisations. The Belgian development ernmental partner. Reporting of disburse-
biodiversity and desertification) into con- of using the Rio Markers for quantification, cooperation has a strict core policy since ments related to projects and programmes
sideration to be able to determine the co- as the purpose of the Rio Markers is to in- 2009. This means that contributions to Bel- of the Belgian Technical Cooperation is
efficients used to estimate the amount of dicate donors’ policy objectives in relation gian multilateral partners are mainly une- based on actual expenses in the field.
the project budget that can be considered to each aid activity, and not to lead to a armarked. This choice for unrestricted aid
climate finance. For instance if a project is quantification of support delivered. Unfor- has been made to allow for more efficien-
marked 2 for climate adaptation, as well tunately, there is no better system available cy, quality, predictability and flexibility.
as for biodiversity, only 50 % of the bud- that will lead to more precise estimations,
get would be considered climate finance. without posing an undue burden on Parties
For projects that have one or more mark- reporting. To overcome this hurdle, Bel-

7. Provision of Financial Resources and technology transfer 116


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Funding source the borrower compared to a loan at market health, energy, agriculture) or other pur- by paragraph 1 of Article 4, and that are
Official Development Assistance: see rate. pose category “non-sector allocable aid” agreed between a developing country Par-
definition of the OECD-DAC: (e.g. general budget support, humanitarian ty and an operating entity of the Financial
Loan: Transfers for which repayment is
aid) in total aid. The sector of destination is Mechanism, referred to in Article 11 of the
The DAC defines ODA as “those flows required.
assigned by answering the question “which Convention.
to countries and territories on the DAC List specific area of the recipient’s economic
Type of support So, these are the new and additional
of ODA Recipients and to multilateral in- and social structure is the transfer intended
stitutions which are: Adaptation: The support intends to re- financial resources that have been provid-
to foster”.
duce the vulnerability of human or natural ed by Belgium pursuant to Article 4, para-
i. provided by official agencies, includ- systems to the impacts of climate change Use of exchange ratio graph 3, of the Convention.
ing state and local governments, or by and climate-related risks, by maintaining
their executive agencies; and Belgium decided to use the currency The new concept of “new and
or increasing adaptive capacity and resil- exchange of the OECD DAC statistical
ii. each transaction of which: ience. This includes a range of activities additional”
table: Annual Exchange Rates for DAC
a) is administered with the promotion from information and knowledge gener- Both the financial architecture as well
Countries from 1960 to 2016 to comply
of the economic development and ation, to capacity development, planning the commitments by Parties have changed
with this recommendation in the most
welfare of developing countries as and implementation of climate change ad- significantly since the Convention. Finan-
transparent way.
its main objective; and aptation actions. cial support to climate action in developing
b) is concessional in character and countries does not only flow through the
conveys a grant element of at least Mitigation: The support contributes 7.5.3 New and additional financial resources operating entities of the Financial Mecha-
25 per cent (calculated at a rate of to the objective of stabilisation of green- nism.
house gas (GHG) concentrations in the “New and additional” in accordance
discount of 10 per cent).”
with article 4, paragraph 3, of the Belgium does not agree with a clear
atmosphere at a level that would prevent
Other official flows Convention separation of climate finance from devel-
dangerous anthropogenic interference with
Transactions by the official sector the climate system by promoting efforts to Belgium provided support to the Glob- opment finance as climate and develop-
with countries on the List of Aid Recipi- reduce or limit GHG emissions or to en- al Environment Facility and the Green ment assistance are strongly interdepen-
ents which do not meet the conditions for hance GHG sequestration. Climate Fund, the operating entities of the dent and, as climate is mainstreamed in
eligibility as Official Development Assis- Financial Mechanism, during the reporting development finance.
Cross-cutting: both types of support period. The contribution to the GEF is in
tance or Official Aid, either because they (adaptation & mitigation). Belgium strives towards full transpar-
accordance with the commitment to pro-
are not primarily aimed at development, or ency of its use of reporting methodologies,
vide new and additional financial resources
because they have a grant element of less Sector to ensure that the origin of the support is
to meet the agreed full costs incurred by
than 25 per cent. Belgium uses the OECD DAC sector clear. Given the absence of an internation-
developing country Parties in complying
classification in its reporting and reports with their obligations under Article 12, ally agreed definition, its financial support
Financial instrument
on the level of “main” sectors, such as paragraph 1, of the Convention. The sup- is described as new and additional as it
Grant: Transfers made in cash, goods contains:
agriculture, health, education…and not port to the GCF, as well as the support
or services for which no repayment is re-
on the subsector level. The OECD DAC’s to the GEF are also in line with the com- –– Provisions in line with Article 4, para-
quired.
sector classification which is specifically mitment to provide financial resources to graph 3, of the Convention (123.8 mil-
Concessional loan: A loan with a mea- developed to track aid flows and to allow meet the agreed full incremental costs of lion EUR to GEF and its climate funds;
sure of “softness”, which is a benefit to measuring the share of each sector (e.g. implementing measures that are covered 71.7 million EUR to GCF);

7. Provision of Financial Resources and technology transfer 117


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–– Contributions which would not have


Figure 7.9: Federal methodology for finance reporting existed without the financial commit-
ments resulting from the Copenhagen
Accord (150.5 million EUR during the
reporting period);
–– Budget lines on top of the annual bud-
get for bilateral development coopera-
tion;
–– Only the climate-specific or climate-rel-
evant part of projects and programmes.
Based on our methodology (see Figure
7.9), Belgium does not report the full
amount of the projects/programmes if
these are only partly relevant to climate
action (170.3 million EUR in reporting
period);
–– Only climate-related projects in devel-
oping countries, additional to the pre-
vious reporting period (332.2 million
EUR in reporting period);
–– Contributions coming from the auc-
tioning proceeds of greenhouse gas
emission allowances.  ■

7. Provision of Financial Resources and technology transfer 118


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8.1 General policy on research funding

8.1.1. Changes since 2013 was launched in 2014 (see Federal govern-
As explained in more detail in the ment policy agreement, 2014). The align-
previous national communication, insti- ment between the various policy levels will

8. Res e a rc h tutionally speaking, Belgium is a type of be refined and strengthened and coopera-
‘mini-Europe’, where each of the federal tion between federal scientific institutions
and federated state authorities (Regions and universities will also be strengthened
and Communities) is singularly competent and if possible structurally expanded.
for the areas of science, technology and Federal governmental departments,
innovation (STI) granted to it by law. The including the PPS Science Policy and the
long decentralisation process which began federal scientific institutions are involved
in the 1970s, has led to a fascinating differ- in an on-going restructuring aiming to op-
entiation of institutions and policies adapt- timise the use of available resources. The
ed to the specific STI potential and the federal scientific institutions (FSI), so far
social and economic needs of each part of dependent on the PPS science policy, in-
Belgium and its different entities (BRISTI, clude the Royal Meteorological Institute
2010)1. The RIO Country Report (2016)2 (RMI), the Belgian Institute of Space Aer-
offers a recent analysis of the R&I system onomy (BISA), the Royal Museum of Cen-
in Belgium with particular focus on topics tral Africa (RMCA) and the Royal Belgian
critical for EU policies. Institute for Natural Sciences (RISNB),
Compared to the latest national com- which have to a greater or lesser extent
munication (2013) some major changes climate-related research in their portfolio,
occurred in the Belgian science policy are becoming more autonomous. They will
landscape. participate in a process of upscaling and
networking, without losing sight of their
In view of improving the efficiency of own specificities. The main objective of
the science policy at federal level and an the attribution of a higher degree of auton-
optimal utilization of federal budgets, an omy to these institutions is to make them
ambitious reform of federal science policy more effective.
A new inter-federal space agency is
1
Belgian Report on Science, Technology and Inno- being created allowing intra-Belgian coor-
vation (BRISTI).
2
Kelchtermans, S, Robledo Böttcher, N; RIO dination, especially in the context of ESA
Country Report 2016: Belgium; 28498 EN; doi: (the federal level is competent for space re-
10.2760/273083.

119
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search in the framework of international or Over the last 25 years, the overall fund- and the smart city strategy aiming at im- The CIS has different thematic sub-
supranational institutions and agreements ing for R&D&I in Belgium has shifted proving the quality of life of citizens in an groups. The CIS-climate for example iden-
or acts; the Regions have competences on from the federal level to the regional level; urban environment. The main fields of in- tifies the Belgian positions and prepares
innovation in the context of their economic the Flanders Region alone is now responsi- novation are: energy efficiency, sustainable input to H2020 SC5. The CIS-IPCC, an
policies). ble for about half of this funding (see Table chemistry, circular economy and mobility, ad-hoc group of CIS-climate, prepares the
8.1). which all have an impact on CO2 emis- Belgian positions and contributions for the
There are two major innovations for the
sions. IPCC.
federal research programmes. Through the The research and innovation policy
FED-tWIN program, 125 research func- of the Brussels Capital Region (BCR) is
tions will be awarded in the next seven governed by the latest Regional Innova- 8.1.2  Coordination between the Regions, 8.1.3  The open data policy
years (2015-2022) with a view to foster tion Plan (PRI), which was adopted by Communities and the federal level The federal government agreement
sustainable cooperation between univer- the Government of the BCR in July 2016 Cooperation, coordination and consul- (October, 2014) promotes an open data
sities and FSIs. In addition, the BRAIN and runs until 2020. It describes the three tation, which form the basis for the formu- policy, with an enhanced access to public
program will also be renewed, with an eye smart specialisation priorities of the BCR, lation of decisions and positions related to data. Public services make available to cit-
for both continuity and substantive renew- among which ‘the environment’ and ‘the research policy, are organised by the Inter- izens, researchers, companies and govern-
al. The members of the Government will green economy’: the choice of priorities national Cooperation Commission (ICC) ments the information that they have in the
select research themes related to federal was made on the basis of an entrepreneur- and the Federal Cooperation Commission context of their assignments for reuse. This
policy needs. The budget (94,3 MEUR ial discovery process through consultations (FCC), two permanent committees of the is not only about providing government
for the period 2018-2028) for the BRAIN with all relevant stakeholders. The ‘green inter-ministerial Conference for Science data, but also about building a community
programme will decrease by 20 % due to economy’ strategic priority connects to the Policy (IMCSP). around the use of these data. Companies
budget cuts. Regional Circular Economy Plan (PREC)
In Flanders, the policy domain of Econ-
omy, Science and Innovation of the Flem-
ish Government was simplified in 2016. It
now consists of the Department of Econo- Table 8.1: Investment in R&D in KEUR at current prices (without R&D fiscality) adapted from the Overview of the government budget
my, Science and Innovation (Dept. EWI), appropriations or outlays for R&D (GBAORD) in Belgium in the period 1989-2016. For the years 1989 to 2015, the overview is based on
the Agency Flanders Innovation & Entre- the final budget figures, and for 2016, on the initial budget figures (i)
preneurship (VLAIO) - a one-stop shop for
all R&D funding for companies- and the
Public authorities 1990 2000 2010 2013 2014 2015 2016 (i)
Research Foundation – Flanders (FWO)
Federal 370 537 476 225 563 458 601 232 601 447 560 635 557 799
funding research in universities and other
regional research institutions. The general Flanders 255 357 595 684 1 224 024 1 243 501 1 397 775 128 426 1 398 235
R&D&I system of Flanders is described in French community 166 059 210 819 290 091 309 345 314 843 319 489 329 638
‘STI in Flanders’: Science, Technology & Wallonia 39 443 132 597 263 577 338 569 379 636 324 536 226 302
Innovation. Policy & Key Figures – 2016. Brussels 14 588 7 903 33 896 29 812 34 441 34 248 43 688
Total 845 985 1 423 228 2 375 046 2 522 459 2 728142 255 661 2 555 661

8. Research 120
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and institutions can process and further en-


rich with their own information to market
8.2 International activities face of climate change (eg SIGNAL, CLI-
MARCTIC).
new products and services. This initiative
The ERA-NET CIRCLE2 on Climate
can be important in the development of cli-
Impact Research & Response Coordina-
mate services.
Climate-related research is a typical In the framework of H2020, BELSPO tion for a Larger Europe ended on 30 April
Opportunities for free and open ex- field for international cooperation. Our na- has set up a Coordination and support ac- 2014 and an overview of climate adapta-
change of data and information consist of tional climate research fits seamlessly with tion (CSA) on ‘Widening international co- tion research at national level was pub-
three distinctive fields: the European and international strategies. operation activities on climate adaptation lished afterwards.
–– all the data and information generated BELSPO and the FSI participate in Coper- and mitigation’’ (SINCERE). This CSA As concerns cooperation on a global
by public institutions, such as meteoro- nicus. With this programme, the European will a.o. develop two Flagship Actions, level, the JPI Climate cooperates closely
logical measurements, which can feed Union wants to set up operational services focused on the design of research and in- with the Belmont forum in view of launch-
scientific analysis; in Europe to create useful services to en- novation collaborations in Africa and Lat- ing joint calls.
–– data which accompany and underpin hance access to environmental data and in America, for expanding and deepening
specific scientific publications and information. In addition, Belgian science knowledge to support climate change ad- On the International level, BELSPO
which should be documented in a way policy institutions and funding agencies are aptation and mitigation. has tools for multilateral and bilateral co-
that allows for experimental replica- also involved in European joint program- operation.
BELSPO, as a funding agency, and
tion; ming initiatives (JPIs). JPIs (JPI Climate, In the framework of a bilateral agree-
RMI as a research performing agency,
–– scientific publications themselves. Water JPI, JPI Oceans…) that constitute an ment with China, a call was launched in
participated at the ERAC4CS (ERA for
efficient strategy for transnational collab- 2016 focusing on the role of oceans in the
Three types of data and information climate Services). In total 5 projects are
oration and multi-annual programming at climate system and resulted in one project:
are subject to different dissemination rules funded (2 cash via BELSPO and 3 in kind
variable geometry and with newly devel- OCEANIC.
and communication channels. The Europe- via RMI).
oped and tested portfolio of actions and
an Directive 2013/37/EU on the re-use of tools for transnational collaboration. Chal- The Belgian Biodiversity platform, In the framework of a bilateral agree-
public sector information, which was sub- lenges relevant to more than one JPI, such an initiative of BELSPO, is a key player ment with Vietnam, BELSPO plans a call
sequently converted into Belgian law, en- as climate change, form a basis for specific in promoting research in support to the for 2019 focussing on Climate and Disas-
ables open access to information distilled consultation between these JPIs so that the Nature Based Solution concept at the lo- ter resilience.
by public institutions, such as meteorolog- impact of research funding is maximised at cal, national, European and international
ical measurements. Belgium is currently A call for Joint Research Network-
the EU scale. level. Nature based solutions refer to the ing Proposals with South-Africa is being
considering to act upon the EC’s July 17, sustainable management and use of nature
2012 Recommendation. Open Access to Belgium takes an active part in devel- launched in June 2017, with as thematic
for tackling societal challenges such as foci ‘marine sciences’ and ‘space’. Cli-
research publications is officially required oping climate-relevant distributed research
climate change. e.g.: EKLIPSE MECHA- mate related topics are (among others) of
in all universities which also all harbour infrastructures, such as ICOS (Flanders,
NISM. common interest. Project execution will be
Open Access compatible digital reposito- BELSPO, WAlloon Region), ANAEE
ries. A central repository of this kind has (Flanders, BELSPO), and LifeWatch By its contribution to sequential calls from 2018-2020.
been created at the Federal level, serving (Flanders, BELSPO). launched by BiodivERsA (ERA-net on BELSPO participated in the Network
11 research institutions so far. biodiversity and ecosystem services), of the European Union, Latin America and
BELSPO was able to fund several projects the Caribbean Countries on Joint Innova-
dealing with biodiversity dynamics in the tion and Research Activities (ERANet-

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LAC). One selected project with a Belgian bility of Professor Jean-Pascal van Yper- increase water use efficiency and reduce Flanders is significantly enrolled in the
participation, covering various European sele (Université catholique de Louvain, soil and water pollution”. There is a con- Strategic Energy Technology Plan (SET
and Latin American ecozones and relat- Louvain-la-Neuve). The activities of the tinuous roll-over of collaborative funding Plan), which is a pioneer in terms of an
ing to Collective Response from Individ- Platform include: scientific monitoring mechanisms relating to EU water research. efficiently coordinated approach for all
ual Behaviour in Groups and Ecosystems (analysis of new scientific publications Previous Water-related ERA-NETs: CRUE European countries in the field of energy
‘CRIB’ is ongoing (2017-2019). related to climate change); information to (completed in 2009), IWRM NET (com- technology.
The IPCC provides policymakers with decision-makers (publication of a regular pleted as an ERA-NET in 2010, with Since 2015, Brussels Environ-
sound climate science. Some Belgian ex- Letter, briefings, response to requests for the network continuing operations), and ment is leading the EU funded project
perts are selected to contribute to the 6th information, participation in conferences); SPLASH (completed in 2011), Water- (H2020) “Buildings as Material Banks”
Assessment which allows them to integrate coordination of the work of reviewing Works2014 (ongoing, to be completed in (BAMB2020). This project brings togeth-
and assess their expertise in a broader con- IPCC reports by francophone experts; par- 2019). er 15 partners from 7 European countries
text. ticipation in outreach and representation Related on-going ERA-NETs: Biodi- for one mission – enabling a systemic shift
abroad in relation with scientific activities vERsA (related through the area of green in the building sector by creating circular
The participation of Belgian scientists related to the work of the platform; and
in the activities of the Intergovernmental infrastructure, and possibly future collab- solutions. The project is developing and
support to the committee of experts of the oration); CIRCLE2 (related through floods integrating tools that will enable this shift:
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the Walloon climate decree. The Platform col-
dissemination of its assessments are key and droughts). Materials Passports and Reversible Build-
laborates with the Walloon Air and Climate ing Design – supported by new business
elements in contributing to the understand- Agency (AWAC) and works in a comple- European Technology Platforms
ing of challenges and the implementation (ETPs): The most directly related ETP is models, policy propositions and manage-
mentary way with the Belgian IPCC focal ment and decision-making models. These
of solutions to climate change. BELSPO point. One of the specific tasks of the Plat- the Water Supply and Sanitation Technol-
supports the IPCC in particular by acting ogy Platform (WssTP). tools support the building sector to take
form is to create and maintain a register action for the climate. Reversible building
as IPCC Focal Point, by paying an annual of francophone experts in Belgium on all European Innovation Partnership on
contribution to the trust fund, by funding design makes buildings adaptable and re-
dimensions of climate change3. Water (EIP on Water): An initiative within silient. Embedded energy in building prod-
the scientific and technical support team the EU 2020 Innovation Union. Eight pri-
of the IPCC Vice chair during its mandate Flanders participates in a number of ucts, from harvesting of raw materials,
coordination and funding mechanisms in ority areas have been chosen for the EIP production, transport etc., is a big part of a
in the fifth assessment cycle as well as by Water, six of which are particularly relevant
the funding of authors and reviewers in the the context of the European Research Area buildings’ energy consumption.
(ERA). The specific list of participations is to the scope of WaterWorks2015: water re-
previous assessments and probably also for use and recycling, water and wastewater
the next assessment, and by coordinating currently (2017) under review by VLAIO
but current relevant participations are e.g. treatment including recovery of resources,
the CIS-IPCC, a concertation group that water-energy nexus, flood and drought risk
prepares the Belgian view points for IPCC those in the sphere of renewable energy:
‘ERA-net Smart Grids Plus’ and ‘ERA-net management, water governance and deci-
activities. sion support systems and monitoring.
Demo Wind’ (offshore wind energy).
More specifically, in order to facilitate Flanders together with its Strategic Re-
the interactions between Walloon and oth- The subject of optimal use of water
(in an adaptation context) is covered e.g. search Centre VITO (Flemish Institute for
er francophone scientists, stakeholders, Technological Research), is a member of
citizens and decision makers, the Walloon by the ERA-Net WaterWorks2015 on
“sustainable water use in agriculture, to the BERA (Belgian Energy Research Al-
Government created the “Walloon Plat- liance) and is involved in various EERA
form for the IPCC”, under the responsi- Contact: register@plateforme-wallonne-giec.be
3
Joint Programmes. In addition to this,

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8.3 Domestic research actions European research projects and initiatives


or infrastructure projects (FP7 - 7th Frame-
provision and dissemination of climate-re-
lated information have been initiated and
and relevant activities work Programme), Horizon 2020 projects are supported by the regional governments.
and COST (European Cooperation in Sci- An example is provided in Wallonia by the
ence and Technology) actions). Activities Agence Wallonne de l’Air et du Climat
related to observation and monitoring in- (AWAC) that provides climate information
Within Belgium there is no single cli- Belgian universities on physical aspects cludes participation of some universities to users and has led the development of a
mate research programme, nor on the fed- include climate modelling, atmospheric in networks such as GCOS, ICOS, ESA climate adaptation plan for the region. In
eral level, nor on the regional level. How- chemistry, biogeochemical cycles and eco- and EUMETSAT. On the national level, Flanders, VITO is conducting applied re-
ever there are several funding instruments systems, cryosphere (polar, mountainous, networking with regional public services, search on environmental issues and is in
which could fund climate related research. glaciers), hydrosphere and oceans, and local authorities as well as with the private the process of developing a regional cli-
paleoclimate. This includes the operation sector has been developed. The Flemish mate service center. The products devel-
The Belgian universities are engaged
of, e.g., vegetation models, ecosystem government is attributing additional fund- oped by these regional institutions are of
in many areas of climate science. Although
models, hydrological models etc. Besides ing for research to underpin improved high quality and of high relevance.
only a few of them have developed a cli-
these physical aspects of climate and cli- coastal flooding defence taking account
mate science department, most of them The regional climate services are ideal-
mate change impacts, the social science of medium-term projections of storminess
have world-class research in related ar- ly placed to provide regionalized data and
dimension contributes with climate gover- and sea-level rise (project ‘Vlaamse Baa-
eas. A limited number of universities are information in support of regional and lo-
nance studies and economic impact studies ien’.
engaged in observation and monitoring cal policy-making (e.g. adaptation or spa-
(which also includes modelling). In spite tial planning), to monitor climate policies
activities in the context of research in- Some universities have bundled their
of the great potential, the activities around
frastructure. The Université de Liège for climate related activities from different and to measure the performance of impact
socio-economic sciences are less devel-
example is engaged in long-term monitor- faculties or departments in specific ‘topic and vulnerability studies. Regional gov-
oped and less supported than the more tra-
ing of the atmospheric composition (CO2, centres’. Among them are the Leuven Sus- ernment agencies like AWAC, technolog-
ditional climate-related research activities
Methane etc.) at the Jungfraujoch scientific tainable Earth Research Center (LSUE) ical research centres like VITO, as well as
based on natural sciences.
station in Switzerland. Observation facili- at KU Leuven, which covers a portfolio some private or international research or-
ties within the GCOS or ICOS frameworks Besides these research fields, there is even broader than climate, and the George ganizations like the Von Karman Institute
respectively are also operated by academ- additional expertise available at Belgian Lemaître Center for Earth and Climate Re- (VKI), involved in applied geophysical
ic institutions, for example, at Université universities that is related to climate and search (TECLIM) at UCL, which is part of fluid dynamics and climate research, have
de Liège, the Royal Military Academy climate change. These include topics such the overarching and broader Earth and Life entrepreneurial expertise in “selling” ser-
and Universiteit Hasselt (see Section 8.4). as energy efficiency and renewable ener- Institute. A few areas related for example vices tailored to specific users. (Brasseur et
However, most of the Belgian universi- gies, technological aspects focusing on to health issues, to the agricultural sector al, 2015).
ties are using observational data provided solutions to the climate problem (low car- and to the critical sectors of infrastructures,
Five of the FSI which fall under Bel-
by RMI or global data sources based on bon materials, urban issues, local environ- urban or spatial planning is still not fully
gian Science Policy are engaged in climate
observations from other large institutions mental management). Communication on covered, and deserves attention in the de-
related research activities: the Royal Bel-
abroad. climate and climate change issues is also velopment of future activities.
gian Institute of Natural Sciences (RBINS),
covered.
The main activities in support of cli- While fundamental research is primar- the Royal Meteorological Institute (RMI),
mate research are modelling and model Most of the universities have been or ily conducted at the FSI and the univer- the Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy
development. The strengths identified in are currently engaged in international and sities, several initiatives focusing on the (BISA), the Royal Museum for Central

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Africa (RMCA) and the Royal Observa- The ongoing BRAIN programme, In 2015, the BELSPO magazine ‘Sci- The expertise platform on climate sce-
tory of Belgium (ROB). None of these through the funding of research projects ence connection’ highlighted ongoing cli- narios, set up in 2013, directs the devel-
institutions have climate research as their based on scientific excellence and Europe- mate related research in Belgium. A brand opment of coherent climate scenarios and
primary mission. However, their fields of an and international anchorage, allows to new instrument called FED-tWIN is under a forwardlooking approach as regards the
activity are often related to climate and cli- meet the needs for scientific knowledge of development. The FED-tWIN programme scenario and model development needs in
mate change. This is particularly the case the federal departments and to support the was approved by the Council of Ministers the future. The platform is funded through
of the RMI, in which climate research is scientific potential of the Federal Scien- on November 2016. It is aiming at “sus- BRAIN (CORDEX-BE). This important
mentioned as an assignment and although tific Institutions. The selection of projects tainable cooperation in research between development paves the way for the devel-
the RMI focuses on short-term weather is based on calls and evaluations. The re- federal scientific institutions and univer- opment of climate services.
analysis and forecasting, the institution sulting projects can be consulted. A second sities”. Postdoctoral researchers will be
has an extensive experience in the field of phase of BRAIN will be launched in 2018. re-recruited for a long term (10 years) and Other federal FPSs
climatological data analysis. The BISA is It is proposed that the climate related re- will respond to job profiles and research
In the context of development cooper-
involved in space observations of the Earth search will focus on the scientific support needs defined by a Belgian university and
ation, a university research platform has
and as such provides important informa- to the implementation of the Paris agree- a FSI. The FED-tWIN programme is com-
been set up (‘Klimos’) to provide policy
tion on the climate system. The other FSI ments (including negative emissions and plementary to the BRAIN-BE program
support on climate change. This includes
(ROB, RMCA and RBINS) provide addi- the support to climate services). that finances research projects of 1, 2 or
the development of an ‘Environmental
tional information of great relevance to cli- 4 years. This new program allows various
BELSPO launched its first Belgian re- Sustainability Tool Kit’. In addition to
mate science (e.g. solar variability, biodi- research themes (long-term basic research
search program for earth observation in various bilateral programmes and multi-
versity, biological evolution, etc.). Finally, rather than ‘policy-supporting’ research) to
1985. It continues at present as STEREO lateral organisations devoted to climate
the already existing cooperation between become part of FED-tWIN in the future.
III. One of the objectives of STEREO III is adaptation, Belgium supports international
the FSI and different universities offers op- With this instrument it is possible to fund
to study the interaction between changes in scientific research into climate adaptation
portunities for future activities (Brasseur et long term climate related research.
land use and climate change. Satellites are and agriculture, notably via the ‘Consul-
al., 2015).
the most appropriate tools to monitor glob- The 6th national communication men- tative Group on International Agricultural
al interactions between oceans, continents tioned a feasibility study for a Belgian Research’ (CGIAR).
8.3.1 Federal level - BELSPO and the atmosphere. Other thematic proj- Center of Excellence on Climate. The na-
The majority of climate research con- ects focus on the impact of climate change tional adaptation plan (April 2017) propos-
8.3.2 Regions and Communities
ducted by the Federal Government is inte- on a wide range of domains: food safety, es to develop a roadmap for a Belgian ex-
marine environment, risk management, cellence Centre for Climate. A feasibility At the regional & community level,
grated within the framework of the Belgian
health problems, biodiversity, cultural her- study has been performed to this effect by there are no specific ‘thematic’ research
Research Action through Interdisciplinary
itage, etc. foreign experts. The study was finalised in programmes, the main funding through
Networks (BRAIN-BE (2011-2018) and to
2015 but has not yet been published. Re- the agencies FNRS and FWO is compet-
a lesser extent in STEREO III (Earth ob- The final results of climate related ac-
search necessary to develop climate ser- itive and based on the principle of ‘ex-
servation by satellite research programme, tivities in the former research programme
vices, such as the development of regional cellence’. Information on projects funded
2014-2020). ‘Science for a Sustainable development
models (CORDEX-BE) and impact studies through these funding organisations can be
(SSD), including the climate related proj- searched:
(ERA4CS), is further pursued.
ects, are published in a brochure.

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–– in Flanders through the FRIS portal. Brussels-Capital Region (BCR) plan valorisation in the short and mid- gas-fuelled vehicles, models to reduce the
Although this portal allows metadata term. Topics are selected in accordance gaps between anticipated and actual ener-
Among the different research pro-
searches, it was not possible to do a with Brussels’ innovation trends, the real gy consumption in buildings or optimised
grammes managed by INNOVIRIS, the
meta-analysis or synthesis of the most needs of the socio-economic stakeholders local energy production and storage.
main contributions to climate research are
climate-relevant on-going research in the BCR and the availability of research
found under the thematic ANTICIPATE, Brussels Wallonia Federation
projects. groups. The BRIDGE scheme strongly en-
BRIDGE and CO-CREATE schemes, as
–– in Brussels through several research & courages maximal collaboration in a con-
well as under the bottom-up industrial Strictly speaking, the Brussels Wal-
innovation programmes managed by sortium comprising more than one research
research schemes and the European P2P lonia Federation doesn’t fund thematic
Innoviris. group as well as industry, the non-profit or
schemes in which INNOVIRIS partici- research programmes. Using the funds is
institutional sector, in order to foster the
pates. entirely up to the institutions (FRS-FNRS
Flanders transfer of technology and knowledge. The
and universities). Within the FRS-FNRS,
Most climate research in Flanders The ANTICIPATE scheme funds proj- 2015 call topic was energy autonomy and,
research topics are differentiated by dis-
takes place in universities and research ects by academic researchers at research specifically, energy harvesting, storage and
cipline and not by theme. Research about
institutes. In addition to this, various institutions in the BCR with a future-ori- management at the device and micro-grid
climatology and climate changes is main-
Flemish research centres conduct climate ented vision, in areas that are of political levels.
ly categorised under the headings “Earth
research: the Flemish Information Centre importance to the BCR. The projects con- Sciences” and “Natural sciences”. In the
The new CO-CREATE scheme, which
for Agriculture and Horticulture (VILT) tribute to the development of knowledge field of climatology and climate changes,
was launched in 2016, aims to bring togeth-
for agriculture, the Institute for Nature and about the complex urban environment of the FRS-FNRS funded 11 research proj-
er the citizens of the BCR and the research
Forest Research (INBO) for forestry, and Brussels. Projects in social sciences as ects in 2016: 4 offices of postdoctoral re-
and innovation and business sectors. The
the Institute for Agricultural and Fisheries well as natural sciences can be funded: all searchers, 5 grants for 4-year-long doctoral
scheme funds projects in applied research
Research (ILVO) for fisheries and agricul- projects need to take the valorisation of programmes, 2 research credits (funds pro-
and innovation that work within an inter-
ture. The study by VITO (Flemish Institute research into account. Over the past years, vided to standing researchers to cover the
active co-creation dynamic. Projects take
for Technological Research) concentrates climate-related call topics have been: ur- operating expenses or equipment costs). In
place within “living labs” co-founded by
on innovative technology that supports the ban and industrial ecology in the BCR, addition, currently 8 FRS-FNRS  standing
researchers, economic actors and associa-
transition to a more sustainable industry. mobility in Brussels (2013 call), urban agents (out of 400) are active in the field of
tions, where they work together with the
development and public cleanliness (2015 climatology. More widely, the FRS-FNRS
Although the Flemish science and in- end-users of the projects’ results. The 2016
call), the residential function of Brussels has a scientific commission on sustainable
novation policy is based on a bottom-up call topic was sustainable food systems;
and its dynamics (2016 call), health and development, namely the scientific FORE-
approach, there are also thematic priorities the 2017 call topic is urban resilience.
environment and circular economy (2017 SIGHT Commission. In 2016, the FRS-
identified by the Government. In its Vision call). Beyond these thematic schemes, the
FNRS also organised the “FRFS-WISD”
2050, the Flanders government selected open, bottom-up calls for industrial re-
The BRIDGE scheme funds strategic call to finance research projects in the field
seven transition priorities: circular econ- search and development projects run by
platforms, projects that emphasise results of sustainable development.
omy, smart living, Industry 4.0, Lifelong INNOVIRIS also frequently fund cli-
learning and a dynamic professional ca- under the form of applications for the rel-
mate-related projects, often in the areas of
evant economic sectors in Brussels. These Walloon Region
reer, healthcare and welfare, transport and logistics or energy efficiency. Examples of
mobility and energy. projects should be collaborative and mul- In Wallonia, science, technology and
project topics funded in this way are cir-
tidisciplinary and treat areas which are innovation (STI) are managed by several
cular economy ecosystems in large indus-
identified as priorities for the BCR. They directorates general of the Walloon Public
trial estates and business clusters, natural

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Service (SPW). The Walloon Region pri- Other SPW operational directorates All maps are derived from observa- observations of the BElgian Lightning Lo-
marily finances research, development and general manage smaller budgets and ac- tions and result from a spatial interpolation cation System (BELLS) which detects and
innovation activities with a view to devel- tions to support STI activities in their method adapted to each meteorological pa- locates all lightning activities in Belgium.
oping economic and industrial activities, particular areas of competence: natural rameter. Precipitation and air temperature Finally, climate maps related to the annual
as well as research aimed at developing resources and the environment, social and climate maps rely on time series of daily number of snow days rely on 1985–2014
specific expertise within its areas of com- health programmes, town and country observations from 1981 to 2010 made in time series of visual observations of the
petence. The Operational Directorate-Gen- planning, equipment and transport, energy climatological stations equipped with a rain precipitation types made in manned synop-
eral for the Economy, Employment and efficiency, sustainable energy and build- gauge and a temperature shelter. In the case tic stations.
Research (DGO6) has primary responsibil- ings, etc. of solar radiation, high resolution maps are
The climate atlas is supplemented
ity for drafting and implementing policy, obtained thanks to the combination of ob-
Research participants are mainly com- with climate sheets for each Belgian mu-
through its Competitiveness and Innova- servations from about 10 ground stations
panies, universities, higher education insti- nicipality summarizing the local climate
tion, Technological Development and Re- with data acquired by Meteosat satellites
tutes, research centres and public research by means of usual climate statistics (e.g.,
search Programmes departments. since 1984. Lightning climate maps are
bodies. climate mean values, climatograms, wind
derived for the period 2004–2013 from the
Other ministries also have responsi- roses, etc.).
For more information:
bilities for financing research activities in
their respective areas of competence. They –– Research in Wallonia;
are completely independent in developing –– The environment in Wallonia;
such activities. –– Energy in Wallonia.
Figure 8.1: Weather radars in Belgium

8.4 Sytematic observation

New developments concerning system- precipitation, solar radiation, lightning and


atic climate observation in Belgium or by the annual number of snow days. These
Belgian actors in the period 2013-2017. maps represent the spatial distribution over
Belgium of climate mean values that are
related, when possible, to the reference
8.4.1 Climate atlas
period 1981–2010 in accordance with the
The Royal Meteorological Institute of recommendations of the World Meteoro-
Belgium (RMIB) has developed a climate logical Organization (WMO). This atlas
atlas of Belgium which integrates climate has been published online in May 2015
maps of Belgium for various meteorolog- (www.meteo.be/climatlas, www.meteo.be/
ical parameters including air temperature, klimaatlas).

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8.4.2 Ground based remote sensing for ical status of the water system, flood- and gium. This network is composed of 4 ALCs observations of aerosols in the lowest few
climate studies drought events (www.waterinfo.be). (of the type CL51 VAISALA) located in its kilometres of the atmosphere to the nation-
Climate studies are generally based on synoptic stations in Uccle, Zeebrugge, Hu- al meteorological service in near real time.
In 2016 the weather radar installation
long records of ground station measure- main and Diepenbeek. Each ALC operates
of Helchteren (BEHEL) in the eastern
ments. However, a wealth of information up to 15 km with a vertical resolution of
side of Flanders became operational and it 8.4.5 Ground-based Global Navigation
can be additionally extracted from remote 10 m and a temporal resolution of 6 s. The
provides data with a spatial resolution of Satellite System network
sensing observation systems even if the ALC data are sampled every five minutes.
500x500m every 5 minutes. Data of the Water vapour is the most important
available time series are shorter. This is par- VMM precipitation (OTT) network of 43 This new high sensitivity ALC network greenhouse gas as it contributes for about
ticularly true for local phenomena like in- rain gauges distributed over Flanders is offers the opportunity to monitor the cloud 60 % of the natural greenhouse effect. It
tense precipitation, thunderstorms or hail, processed per 5 minutes and used for the base height, the early stage of radiation fog also provides the largest known feedback
which are poorly captured by conventional real time calibration of the radar imag- formation, the vertical profile of aerosols mechanism for amplifying climate change
ground station networks. For several years, es. (For further information: neerslagra- and the mixing layer height on a continu- (e.g. doubling the warming due to increas-
RMI has been investigating how archived dar-in-cijfers; hoe-werkt-een-neerslagra- ous temporal scale. It benefits for the avi- ing CO2 concentrations alone). Measuring
observations from the weather radars and dar). ation, for the forecaster’s work (especially this essential climate variable (ECV) is
the Belgian lightning detection system for the prediction of fog), for the monitor-
Radar data of the RMI radar in the hence important, but not straightforward,
(BELLS) can be used to derive statistics ing of air pollution dispersion and for the
western part of Flanders is mutually ex- as it has a very high temporal and spatial
on rainfall amounts, convective storms monitoring of aerosol clouds such as vol-
changed between the RMI (Royal Meteo- variability. In recent years, the use of Glob-
and hail falls. This research has shown the canic ash clouds.
rological Institute Belgium) and the VMM. al Navigation Satellite System (GNSS)
benefit of remote sensing observations for
Recently this mutual exchange has started In the framework of the development networks to sense water vapour in the tro-
better characterizing the frequency, the se-
also with the KNMI in the Netherlands of a coordinated system for ALC obser- posphere has increased. In addition to its
verity and the diurnal and seasonal cycles
and the Helchteren radar will be integrated vation in Europe, RMIB is involved in application for geodetic positioning, it also
of these high impact weather phenomena.
within the EUMETNET OPERA network. two major European projects in view of allows the estimation of the total column
A very careful data processing and quality
making available the measurements of its amount of water vapour from the prop-
control is required to obtain robust statis- The generated radar composite image
future ALC network to the European me- agation delay of electromagnetic waves
tics that can be further used for risk analy- covering Flanders provides detailed in-
teorological community in near real time. it causes in the atmosphere. Recently, a
sis and the verification of climate models. formation for the hydrological data man-
Within EUMETNET, RMIB participates reprocessing of the historical archive of
agement system and also feeds the hydro- about 280 European permanent reference
to the E-PROFILE program to develop an
logical forecasting models. The local flood GNSS stations (see right plot, more info on
8.4.3 A new weather radar in Helchteren operational ALC network by the exchange
situation in Flanders can be monitored in http://www.epncb.oma.be/) has been un-
The Flemish Environment Agency of ALC data in a standard format and the
near real time and the analyses for the pre- dertaken, so that homogeneity in the data
(VMM) is the operational water manager maintenance of an archive of communi-
cipitation natural hazards can be further processing for the time period 1996-2014
for the larger non-navigable water courses cated data and metadata for all systems
optimized. is guaranteed, and the time series of total
in Flanders. It operates a dense hydrologi- connected to the network. RMIB also
cal measurement network (+400 field sites: participates in a COST Action: TOPROF. column water vapour can be used for cli-
flow, stage, precipitation, evapotranspi- 8.4.4 Lidar/ceilometer network The aim of this action is to coordinate the mate applications. In the Belgian territory
ration, soil moisture), a hydrological data operation of many ALC installed across (see left plot), six GNSS stations belonging
During the period 2013-2017, RMI
management system, hydrological (fore- Europe, so that they can be networked and to this reprocessed network are available.
completed the installation of its automatic
cast) models and reports on the hydrolog- LIDAR-ceilometer (ALC) network in Bel- provide quality controlled and calibrated

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The time series of these stations will 8.4.6 Proba V satellite ESA is currently launching the Senti- In order to preserve this observation-
be further homogenized by using statisti- The Vegetation-1 and Vegetation-2 in- nel-3 satellites, of which the first one (Sen- al continuity, Belgium decided to build a
cal tools for breakpoint identification, in struments on board the SPOT 4 and SPOT tinel-3A) was launched on February 16, small satellite mission based on the suc-
combination with the existing metadata 5 satellites have been operational between 2016. The Sentinel missions are developed cessful ESA PROBA expertise using state-
information for those sites. Furthermore, April 1998 and 31 May 2014. These instru- for the operational needs in land, ocean, of-the-art-technology. PROBA-V (with
the total column water vapour data will be ments have provided daily monitoring of climate change and atmospheric monitor- “V” standing for Vegetation) was designed
compared with data retrieved from other the worldwide vegetation for more than 16 ing within the European Copernicus pro- by a full Belgian consortium, fulfils all of
techniques (e.g. radiosondes, UV/VIS and years, thus providing essential information gramme. However, between the end-of-life the vegetation user’s specifications and is
IR sensing by satellites) and from total col- on crop yields, droughts, desertification, of SPOT-VGT and the launch of the Sen- complementary to the Sentinel-3 and Sen-
umn water vapour output from Numerical climate change, changes in the type of veg- tinel-3 satellites, a rather large time gap of tinel-2 satellites. The PROBA-V satellite
Weather Prediction model climate runs. etation, deforestation, etc. to a broad user about 3 years would occur, which would was successfully launched in May 2013.
community. The entire archive is being imply a discontinuation of the vegetation
PROBA-V has a constellation of 3
hosted by VITO and is freely available to monitoring time series.
cameras that observe the land surface and
the research community and other end-us- vegetation daily at similar spectral wave-
ers. lengths (BLUE, RED, NIR, and SWIR) as
SPOT-VGT, but with an improved spatial
resolution (300 m and 100 m for the centre
camera). These observations are processed
Figure 8.2: Locations of GNSS stations in Belgium (left) and Europe (right), belonging to a network with homogeneous into daily and 10-daily syntheses products,
reprocessed data available for the time period 1996-2014 available at 100 m, 300 m, and 1 km. The
products can be downloaded from www.
vito-eodata.be.
In the meantime the PROBA-V user
base has been growing steadily since its
launch in May 2013, with up to more than
1000 active users on a daily basis. This
user base is mainly situated in Europe
but reaches nearly 110 different national-
ities and 900+ institutions and companies
worldwide.
More information can be found using
the following links:
http://proba-v.vgt.vito.be/
http://www.vito-eodata.be/
https://proba-v-mep.esa.int/

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8.4.7 Climate SAF satellite products: Earth –– The ecosystem stations measure flux- The ecosystem stations of Brasschaat The global distribution and strengths of
Radiation Budget & Aerosols es of CO2, CH4, N2O, H2O and ener- (Scots pine forest stand) and Vielsalm the sources and sinks of GHGs are current-
The goal of the Eumetsat Climate Sat- gy using eddy covariance, and fluxes (mixed forest) are two of the longest run- ly inferred from in-situ and remote sensing
ellite Application Facility (SAF) is to de- of CO2 from the soil with automated ning and most complete flux monitoring measurements made from ground based,
rive long term homogeneous Climate Data chambers. Soil properties and mete- stations in the world. airborne and spaceborne experiments in
Records (CDRs) from satellite observa- orological data are recorded at high combination with modelling. The current
Relevant websites: www.icos-belgium.be;
tions. The Royal Meteorological Institute frequency and complemented with ad- reference ground based network providing
www.icos-ri.eu.
of Belgium is a partner within the Climate ditional vegetation information. There total column GHG data is the Total Carbon
SAF. In the period extending from 2012 are six ecosystem stations in Belgium.
to 2017, the RMIB derived two new CDR - Three ecosystem stations (i.e.
products from the European geostationary Brasschaat, Lochristi, Maasmechel-
en) in Flanders, hosted by the Uni- Figure 8.3: Time series of climate relevant gases measured by the Belgian TCCON
weather satellite Meteosat:
versity of Antwerp. experiment at Ile de La Réunion
1) the estimate of the radiative energy
- Three ecosystem stations (i.e. Viel-
fluxes leaving the top of the earth’s
salm, La Robinette, Lonzée) in
atmosphere for the time period
Wallonia, hosted by the University
from to 2017.
of Liège (ULG)-Gembloux.
2) an estimate of the Aerosol Optical
Depth. –– The ocean stations monitor the carbon
exchange between the sea surface and
the atmosphere as well as surface tem-
8.4.8 CO2 monitoring perature, salinity, dissolved CO2 and
The Integrated Carbon Observation chlorophyll. Belgium is hosting three
System (ICOS) is a monitoring network of ocean stations.
the European Strategy Forum on Research - Two ocean stations (i.e. RV Simon
Infrastructure (ESFRI) and was developed Stevin and Thornton data buoy)
between 2009 and 2015. ICOS monitors hosted by the Flanders Marine In-
the global cycle of both carbon and green- stitute (VLIZ).
house gases across the European continent. - One ocean station (i.e. RV Belgica)
ICOS integrates long-term and continuous hosted by the Royal Belgian Insti-
greenhouse gas observations in three in tute of Natural Sciences (KBIN).
situ networks (atmosphere, ecosystem and
ocean). –– The atmospheric stations measure the
concentrations of CO2, CH4, CO and
ICOS Belgium is involved in these radiocarbon-CO2 in the atmosphere due
three observation networks. to regional and global fluxes. One atmo-
spheric station (i.e. Ile de La Réunion)
is hosted by the Royal Belgian Institute
for Space Aeronomy (BIRA).

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Column Observing Network (TCCON). influence the atmospheric abundance of


TCCON was established in 2004 with only CH4. Satellite remote sensing with thermal References [8] Policy Statement Demir,2017: Be-
a few stations, currently it is a network of infrared sounders provides a great opportu- leidsverklaring van de Staatssecretaris
[1] Jardine et al. (2009), Methane UK. Envi- voor wetenschapsbeleid Zuhal Demir,
about 23 globally distributed stations mea- nity for studying the atmospheric composi- ronmental Change Institute, University Kamer, 4e zitting van de 54ste zittings-
suring precise and accurate total column tion on a fine spatio-temporal scale, during of Oxford, 64–71. periode / Exposé d’orientation politique
abundances of CO2, CH4, nitrous oxide day and night, over land and oceans. [2] Myhre et al. (2013), Anthropogenic and de la secrétaire d’Etat à la Politique sci-
(N2O), hydrogen fluoride (HF), carbon Natural Radiative Forcing. In: Climate entifique Zuhal Demir, Chambre, 4e ses-
At the Royal Belgian Institute for Space
monoxide (CO), water vapour (H2O) and Change 2013: The Physical Science sion de la 54e législature. 12-04-2017,
Aeronomy (BIRA-IASB), a high-quality
heavy water (HDO) using Fourier-trans- Basis. Contribution of Working Group DOC 54 0020/068
dataset of global CH4 concentrations has I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the
form infrared solar absorption spectrome- [9] Federaal Regeerakkoord, 2014.
been derived from measurements from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
ters. The TCCON data enable the detection [10] Science, Technology & Innovation. Pol-
the thermal infrared IASI (Infrared Atmo- Change. Cambridge University Press,
of temporal drifts and spatial biases in the icy & Key Figures – 2016.
spheric Sounding Interferometer) instru- Cambridge, United Kingdom and New
satellite data. They are also used for atmo- York, NY, USA. [11] Towards the Establishment of a Belgian
ment on board the METOP satellite. The
spheric model evaluation and in inverse Center of Excellence on Climate, Prof.
METOP/IASI satellite sounder, launched [3] Shindell et al. (2012), Simultaneously
modelling studies to better understand and Guy Brasseur (Max-Planck-Institute
in October 2006, is the first in a series of Mitigating Near-Term Climate Change
predict changes in the current carbon cy- for Meteorology), Dr. Daniela Jacob
subsequent satellites which will guarantee and Improving Human Health and
cle. The long-term goal is to improve our (Climate Service Center 2.0), Dr. Jörg
Food Security, Science, 335, 183–189,
a continuous stream of high-quality data Cortekar (Climate Service Center 2.0),
fundamental understanding of the impact doi:10.1126/science.1210026, 2012
for climate monitoring until at least 2024. Dr. Irene-Fischer-Bruns (Climate Ser-
of changes in both our climate and the en- [4] Nisbet et al. (2014), Methane on the vice Center 2.0), Commissioned by the
vironment in order to predict future condi- One of our next objectives is to ex- rise-again., Science, 343(6170), 493–5, Belgian Federal Science Policy Office
tions and to design mitigation and adapta- plore this dataset to help improve our un- doi:10.1126/science.1247828, 2014 (BELSPO)-Agreement Nr BR/CL/800,
tion policies. derstanding of the CH4 budget. This task [5] Saunois et al. (2016), The growing role December 2014; revised March - Sep-
will be performed by a BELSPO financed of methane in anthropogenic climate tember 2015 (NOT PUBLISHED).
pioneer project lead by BIRA-IASB in col- change, Environ. Res. Lett. , 2016, 11, [12] Science connection nr 50 Maart-April
8.4.9 Global monitoring of atmospheric laboration with the University of Liège. In
120207. 2016 -Het klimaatonderzoek in België.
methane this project, we will study the CH4 source [6] van Weele et al. (2011), Methane varia-
CH4 is a challenging atmospheric com- bility in the upper troposphere and low-
allocation with the GEOS-Chem chemical
er stratosphere and their relevance for
ponent to study as its non-monotonous transport model, in combination with the emission inversions constrained by sat-
changes in the last decades and its inter-an- IASI CH4 data and ground-based measure- ellite observations, Conference Proceed-
nual variability remain not fully under- ments of CH4 and its isotopologues. Better ings Non CO2 Greenhouse Gases, Am-
stood [4]. Methane concentrations have understanding of the CH4 budget will help sterdam, Volume: 6, November 2011.
more than doubled since the pre-industrial to target the pertinent sources for reducing [7] Kelchtermans,S, Robledo Böttcher,
period and are now approaching the most CH4 emissions and the associated climate N;RIO Country Report 2016: Belgium;
greenhouse gas-intensive scenarios [5]. impact of this greenhouse gas.  ■ 28498 EN; doi:10.2760/273083 (https://
Global monitoring of CH4 is therefore es- rio.jrc.ec.europa.eu/en/country-analysis/
sential to study the evolution of atmospher- Belgium/country-report)
ic CH4 and to help increase our knowledge
on how the different sources and sinks

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9.1 Introduction

This Chapter reports on the actions bution, etc.) and the personal attitude (the
taken in Belgium to raise public aware- willingness of each person to do something
ness of climate change, and on education about it).

9. P u bl ic
and training relating to this issue. It pres-
The 2017 survey indicated that the Bel-
ents essentially the activities organised or
gians are very well aware of the problem:
financed by the public sector, but also ac-

a w aren e s s ,
85 % of them think that climate change is
tions undertaken by certain organisations
a problem that urgently needs to be tack-
of civil society or the private sector made
led, 7 % denies the problem. High scores
possible by public funds, and therefor the

e duca t i o n
are also obtained on statements about the
list is not exhaustive. Finally, a list with
global character of climate change (83 %),
relevant internet sites is provided.
the already visible consequences (84 %)

a n d  t r ai n i n g Is the Belgian public aware of the


problem of global warming?
and the scientifically proven human cause
(80 %). But unfortunately, only 34 % ac-
knowledges that families are part of the
In 2017, the Federal Climate Change
problem: Belgians tend to point the finger
Service launched its fourth public sur-
mainly at the industry and the transport
vey to gain a better understanding of the
sector.
(evolution between 2005 and 2017) of the
knowledge of the general public about the The results of this and previous sur-
climate change problem (causes and con- veys are available via the climate website
sequences, information channels, etc.), the (www.climat.be/enquete-publique and
subjective interpretation (urgency, govern- www.klimaat.be/publieksenquete).
ment efforts, possibility of personal contri-

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9.2 Raising awareness the macro-economic impact of these


transition scenarios on growth, compet-
detailed report about what climate change
means (and will mean) for Flanders and
itiveness, employment and co-benefits Belgium specifically in the “MIRA Climate
–– an educational “My2050” web tool Report 2015: about observed and future
was launched in October 2016, aiming climate changes in Flanders and Belgium”
In order to raise public awareness, voted to federal campaigns, private actions
to encourage a debate with all citizens (with accompanying video summary and
activities addressing the global warming to be taken, education etc. In addition,
(and pupils of the 3rd degree secondary infographic). The English version of the
issue directly or indirectly - via specific there are also a news heading which calls
in particular) on how we can make our report is available on www.environment-
themes such as energy savings, energy ef- attention at regular intervals to new devel-
ficient buildings, environmentally friendly society evolve towards a low carbon flanders.be.
opments (results of international meetings,
mobility, or via broader themes such as society by 2050 (see 9.3.4)
reports published, actions taken) and a
the environment and sustainable develop- –– “climate coaches” were selected,
multimedia library.
ment - are organised every year across the trained and sent out in 2017 in order to
At the end of 2013, the Federal Cli- promote this My2050 tool and to en-
country. These large-scale initiatives are
mate Change Service also launched a courage teachers to use it in class (see
supplemented by more specific efforts at
project on the transition to a low-carbon 9.3.5)
awareness-raising or by easily applicable
Belgian society by 2050 (‘2050 Low Car-
practical solutions intended for certain tar- On the final approval of the Flemish
bon Belgium’). The core of this project is
get groups such as the young, energy man- Climate Policy Plan 2013-2020, the site
the study ‘Scenarios for a Low Carbon Bel-
agers in companies or other professional www.klimaattips.be was launched. This
groups (architects, heating technicians, gium by 2050’, in which various scenarios
have been developed to reduce Belgian site focuses on suggestions for a wide
mobility managers, etc.). range of themes on what each Flemish
emissions by 80 % to 95 % by 2050, based
upon an online calculator visualising all citizen can do to contribute towards a
RAISING AWARENESS OF GLOBAL healthier climate. References are made
possible scenarios and their implications in
WARMING here for each (sub)theme to relevant sites
the form of graphics (www.climatechange.
be/2050 - www.climat.be/2050 - www.kli- and internet-consultable brochures with
9.2.1 Awareness raising by the federal and more detailed information. The actions of
maat.be/2050).
regional governments the Flemish authorities themselves are also
The federal authorities’ communica- Since that launch, additional commu- described.
tion to the public is undertaken by the Cli- nication activities (all available in English,
French and Dutch) have been undertaken: The regions take initiatives too, bring-
mate Change Service of the Federal Public ing into focus the situation of the living
Service Health, Food Chain Safety and En- –– the graphical mapping of all local,
environment in general and the data con- In the Brussels Capital Region the en-
vironment. Corner stone for its communi- provincial and regional low carbon
cerning climate change in particular. vironmental administration ‘Bruxelles-En-
cation is the climate website www.climat. transition initiatives on this 2050 site
be / www.klimaat.be, offering headings on has been updated regularly, encourag- Flanders publishes these data in the vironnement’ (Brussels Environment) con-
the causes and effects of climate change, ing e.g. local communities to adhere to MIRA/VMM annual indicator reports, as tinues the publication and dissemination of
the policy at the international, European the Covenant of Mayors initiative well as in the online catalogue of indica- environmental information via its website,
and Belgian level, the Belgian emissions, –– a fact sheet has been developed explain- tors which are updated annually on www. magazines, brochures and leaflets, the or-
financial support, etc., but also sections de- ing the main results of an analysis of milieurapport.be. MIRA also published a ganisation of the annual Environment Fes-

9. Public awareness, education and training 132


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tival (to raise public awareness to environ- ads were issued from May on, with the
mental issues in a festive atmosphere) and moto “Pour le climat, dessinons un autre
the organisation of communication cam- avenir” / “We tekenen een andere toekomst
paigns (television ads, posters, announce- uit voor het klimaat”. The visual supports
ments in the press) on rational energy use, were based on drawings made by children
promotion of energy-saving investments, from Brussels schools; a Facebook page
as well as on ecomobility. (www.facebook.com/Climate.brussels) has
In 2017, an important communication been created for the campaign. See also the
campaign was launched towards the Brus- thematic webpage www.environnement.
sels citizens to raise awareness about how brussels/content/climat or www.leefmi-
different actions supported by the Region lieu.brussels/content/klimaat.
are contributing to the effort against cli- In June 2016, after the adoption of
mate change. Posters, radio and television the Air-Climate-Energy Plan of the Brus-
sels-Capital Region, a folder was created
to raise awareness about the plan’s content.
In Wallonia, the Walloon Agency for
Air and Climate (l’Agence wallone de
l’Air et du Climat - AwAC) makes avail-
able to individuals, businesses, municipal-
ities and event organizers carbon footprint
calculators which enable to assess carbon
emissions in order to raise awareness of the
carbon emission impact and to help priori- greenhouse gas emissions and other air A climate change awareness campaign
tise climate actions. In 2017 the AwAC has pollutants, to improve air quality and to is being prepared and will start in Octo-
launched an online adaptation platform for adapt to climate change impacts. A website ber 2017. It will run mainly on-line, using
municipalities. A vulnerability evaluation was created to that purpose, containing a social medias. The campaign will target
tool and several action sheets have been list of actions to be implemented by indi- mainly individuals at home, at work and in
designed to assist municipalities in devel- viduals, businesses, schools and munic- society.
oping their local adaptation plans as part ipalities. Visitors to the website are also
of their commitment to the Covenant of invited to post their own initiatives. About
Mayors. 9.2.2 Earth Hour
400 initiatives have been posted since
the website went live in October 2016. For some years, WWF has been calling
In April 2016, the Walloon Government
An Air-Climate-Energy summit also took on all public authorities, cities, business-
adopted the Walloon Air-Climate-Energy
place during the campaign and brought es and citizens to turn off the lights at the
Plan. A public awareness campaign called
together various Walloon stakeholders to same time for 1 hour in the early evening
“Les Wallons ne manquent pas d’air” high-
participate in thematic workshops. on a weekend day in March to show their
lighted 142 measures aiming to reduce
support for combating climate change. This

9. Public awareness, education and training 133


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awareness-raising action, known as ‘Earth sively energy-efficient equipment or insu- vzw with the cooperation of the Brussels climate and energy goals). (www.ener-
Hour’, is part of an international campaign lation materials. Capital Region, the non-profit association giesparen.be/ikBENOveer)
launched by WWF against climate change. Ecoconso and the European Commission. –– A rapid online calculation tool for the
It deals with several household ap-
The participants, through this symbolic most worthwhile energy-saving invest-
pliances (washing machine, tumble dri-
action, call on governments to take more ments. The calculators take account of
er, dishwasher, refrigerator, freezer, TV), 9.2.6 Energy saving investments
action, but also to roll up their own sleeves. the usual investment costs, energy pric-
lighting and cars, as well as windows, roof A whole range of premiums are es and energy premiums. (www.ener-
In 2014, the Brussels-Capital Region insulation and wall insulation. The site of- available to the public or to firms for en- giesparen.be/energiewinst)
itself was the Belgian laureate of the in- fers the possibility of making a personal ergy-saving investments (insulation, –– In 2021 all new dwellings have to be
ternational contest “Earth Hour City Chal- choice amongst all models or insulation windows, energy-efficient household ap- nearly zero energy buildings. The cam-
lenge”. materials available on the Belgian market, pliances, boilers, etc.) and for the instal- paign “BEN je mee” aims at convinc-
calculates their energy consumption or lation of photovoltaic or thermal panels or
In 2017, 187 countries and territories ing citizens who plan to build a new
heat losses, the corresponding CO2 emis- heat pumps at regional level or even pro-
took part,  over  3 000 landmarks switched dwelling before 2021 to go beyond the
sions and cost, pay-back time, subsidies, vincial and municipal levels. The systems
off their lights and millions of individuals, current obligations and build a zero en-
etc. vary depending on regional policy. The
businesses and organizations across seven ergy building.
continents stepped forward to modify cli- The website, with databases updated Regions make ‘facilitators’, information –– The ‘sun map’: the government of
mate change.  monthly, has been promoted at regular in- desks and websites available to the public Flanders conducted a thorough analy-
tervals via direct contacts with the public to promote these premiums. sis of 2.5 million roofs in Flanders to
RAISING AWARENESS OF ENERGY at fairs and via appealing pubs showing Flanders uses several tools and cam- determine if they are suitable for so-
SAVINGS over-consuming, big fat appliances. More paigns to raise awareness about energy lar panels and/or boilers. The results
information on the website and the cam- savings and to convince citizens to take are available via an online tool that
9.2.3 October, Month of Energy-Saving paign is to be found at www.climat.be/en- action: gives detailed interactive results for
ergivores / www.klimaat.be/energievreters. each roof, along with cost calculations.
The Flemish Region proclaims the –– The campaign “ik BENOveer” (beno-
(www.energiesparen.be/zonnekaart)
month of October as ‘Month of Ener- veren = better renovation), aiming at
gy-Saving’. The focus is therefore placed 9.2.5 The TopTen website stimulating thorough energy renova-
on the theme of energy-saving during that TopTen is a website (http://www. tion of existing dwellings (with a view 9.2.7 Assistance to disadvantaged groups of
month through a variety of initiatives and topten.be) which allows the most ener- to achieving the long term renovation residents
press articles. gy-efficient products to be found quickly goal necessary to achieve the 2050 In the Flemish Region, more than 30
and easily for the house and the office. It organisations in the social economy are
9.2.4 Avoid energy-guzzlers at home offers an overview for a whole series of taking part in the Energiesnoeiersproject
products (domestic appliances, lighting, (Energy Savers project). KOMOSIE vzw
The federal Climate Change and Prod-
cars, circulation pumps, printers, PC and is the umbrella organisation for environ-
uct Policy Services continued to invest in
TV screens) of the most economical mod- mental entrepreneurs in the social econo-
the website www.energivores.be / www.
els on the Belgian market. It also provides my. Energy Savers are low-skilled workers
energievreters.be. This website carries a
an overview of the suppliers of green elec- in the social economy who are trained to
calculator for detecting energy-guzzlers
tricity. The website is an initiative run by carry out energy-saving measures, prefera-
in one’s home and above all for not letting
the Bond Beter Leefmilieu Vlaanderen bly for socially and financially vulnerable
new ones enter there by purchasing exclu-

9. Public awareness, education and training 134


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target groups. To guarantee the necessary –– Low rate loans for renovation, transfor- The Brussels Capital Region will pro- 9.2.9 Enerpedia - Energy Knowledge Centre
quality and professionalism in implemen- mation, acquisition or building by the vide specific training for “PLAGE respon- for Agriculture
tation, the Energy Savers are employed and Walloon Social Credit Company (So- sible” as provided by the PLAGE legisla- Enerpedia is the agricultural energy
guided by a social economy organisation: ciété Wallonne du Crédit Social) tion (see 9.2.11). encyclopedia in Flanders. It gives answers
the Energiesnoeiersbedrijf (Energy-saving –– Subsidies and loans are granted in spe- to questions about energy saving and re-
As of 2009, Wallonia has introduced
firm). The main activities carried out are: cific Ecopack and Renopack formats newable energy relevant to agriculture.
facilitators for project holders, schools,
free energy scans, insulation of roofs, walls (respectively for construction and ren- In short, Enerpedia sensitizes and advises
companies etc., in the field of rational
and floors and the performance of a pack- ovation). farmers to handle energy efficiently. They
energy use and production technologies.
age of ‘small energy-saving measures’. give tailor-made advice and organize demo
Between 2017 and 2019, the Public So- Their basic mission is to provide a first line
Important partners in the project include sessions, workshops, info and study days.
cial Action Centres (centres publics d’ac- support by phone and mail, and to facilitate
municipalities, public social assistance Enerpedia is a collaboration of 15 agricul-
tion sociale - CPAS) can submit projects the information flow between project hold-
centres, building firms, provinces, distri- tural research centres in Flanders, compil-
in order to develop municipal Prevention ers and administrations. They also support
bution network managers, social rental ing all their knowledge, events, news on
Action Plans in the field of Energy (plans the administrations with balances, projec-
agencies and social housing corporations. energy in agriculture and horticulture in
d’action préventive en matière d’énergie tions, studies, surveys, lists of premium
In the Brussels Capital Region, a ver- - PAPE). The PAPEs inform the public admissible materials etc. They train future one single website.
satile social guidance project in the energy on rational energy use, consumption man- auditors, support companies in their “pre-
sector, known as ‘Centre d’appui social agement and existing energy aids and pre- checks”, offer guidance, organise sectorial RAISING AWARENESS OF ENERGY
Energie’, is run by the Federation of Social miums. The PAPE actions also encourage practice sharing etc. EFFICIENT BUILDINGS
Service Centres. It is a reference structure individual support in three steps: the ener-
Subsequently, according to their role,
for questions of social workers of the as- gy balance of the household, identification 9.2.10 Guidance for consumers
their missions become more specific:
sociative sector regarding energy, with a of possible solutions and supporting the In Flanders, energy advice is given by
view to enabling them to deal with these household in the implementation thereof. –– The facilitators specialised in rational
energy use address the industry, the the provincial and urban support centers
problems and to respond adequatly to the for sustainable living and building. These
various needs of their users regarding ener- tertiary sector, the non-profit sector and
9.2.8 Energy consultants the self-employed. They stimulate the centers are local network organizations that
gy (internet site, newsletters, publications, help to translate the principles of sustain-
trainings, phone and mail permanence, In the Flemish Region, energy consul- reflection on energy consumption re-
duction. able living and building into practice. They
tailored support…). The actions of these tants are made available with government
–– The technological facilitators (renew- disseminate good examples, exchange ex-
centers focus on vulnerable households support to various sector federations and
able energy only) are subdivided in periences and provide information tailored
and add a social aspect to household guid- non-commercial organisations to raise
three groups: electrical technologies/ to different target groups. Citizens receive
ance in relation to the guidance offered by awareness of their target groups, to in-
cogeneration, hot technologies and bio- information and customized building ad-
Homegrade, which is intended for the gen- form them and guide them in the field of
mass. Their task is, among others, to vice. Local governments receive support
eral public (see 9.2.10). energy-saving and renewable energy pro-
perform feasibility pre-studies and to and advice in major construction and reno-
duction. There are energy consultants who
In Wallonia, social energy politics are compute their sectors’ statistics. vation projects within their own patrimony.
focus on building professionals, families,
conducted in different ways: –– The educational sector consultants al- Training and information sessions are also
SMEs, farmers, immovable property, the
low to integrate energy notions in the organized for construction professionals
–– Social rates for the most disadvantaged tourist sector, etc.
primary and secondary school courses. (architects, contractors).
groups.

9. Public awareness, education and training 135


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Additionally, local authorities also op- is a new help desk to meet the need for is possible to achieve very high environ- support through an Energy Manager for a
erate energy houses in a large number of proactive, full guidance to be given to all mental efficiency with new or renovated period of four years. The methodology is
municipalities. Brussels’ households to provide concrete constructions (for further details, see the described in the previous National Com-
Introduced in the early 2000s, the main assistance in undertaking sustainable ac- previous National Communication). munication.
aim of the Energy info points of Wallonia tion regarding their homes, whether in Since 2016, this call for projects was Since 2013, the number of collective
is to provide all citizens interested with terms of behaviour, installation manage- extended to new themes (valorisation of housing corporations and schools in Brus-
neutral, objective information and personal ment or investment and finance. Home- circular economy, of architectural quali- sels which have implemented PLAGE
advice, free of charge, on energy efficiency grade offers the same services for Brussels ty…) and was renamed “Be.exemplary” or have increased (now 11 collective housing
and renewable energy sources. Their num- households as the old Energy House (see “Brussels exemplary Buildings”. corporations and more than 100 schools
ber increased in 2010 from 12 to 16 and their descriptions in 9.4.9 in the previous are concerned). The PLAGE methodology
in this way they are optimally distributed National Communication). (www.home- Call for ‘PLAGE’ projects
gives good results, without loss of comfort
throughout Wallonia. grade.brussels) The programme ‘Plan Local d’Actions and without need of significant invest-
Apart from Homegrade, Brussels En- pour la Gestion Energétique’ (PLAGE ments, as illustrated by the following key
In the Brussels Capital Region, a re-
vironment continues to support local and - Local Action Plan for Energy Manage- figures:
organisation of the Maison de l’énergie –
Energie Huis (Energy House), established regional initiatives for the information and –– 2.5 million of m² concerned by
in 2011 by Brussels Environment, gave guidance of households, via subsidies (see PLAGE ;
rise in 2017 to Homegrade. Homegrade the previous National Communication). –– an average annual reduction of 17 % of
The Brussels Capital Region also prepared fuel consumption ;
a programme aiming to encourage rational –– a stabilisation of annual electricity con-
energy use behaviour which does not re- sumption, or even sometimes a slight
quire major financial investments among decrease, rather than the expected in-
Brussels households, both tenants and crease of 2 % ;
owners, with a specific attention to vulner- –– savings amounting to about EUR 4.25
able target groups. The participants engage million per year ;
themselves, on a voluntary basis, to make –– savings amounting to about 10 000
simple practical gestures to reduce their tonnes of CO2.
energy consumption.
The success is such that the Brussels
Regional Parliament decided to make
9.2.11 Guidance for professionals
ment’) is a support programme for those PLAGE compulsory from 2018 for certain
Call for projects ‘Be.Exemplary’ responsible for large building stocks (es- building stocks. Its success as an energy ef-
The Brussels Capital Region contin- sentially public authorities so far), aim- ficiency methodology has been recognised
ues each year to launch a call for projects ing to improve the energy efficiency of by Europe under its EUSEW 2013 Awards,
to design and construct exemplary build- the building stock for the benefit of the in which the project has been classified
ings in terms of energy and environment, environment and the finances of the insti- among the top five finalists in two catego-
which is receiving increasing internation- tution housed. Several calls for projects ries.
al acclaim. The purpose of the Exemplary have been launched. The projects select-
Buildings competition is to show that it ed receive methodological and technical

9. Public awareness, education and training 136


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Facilitators programme aims to support certain bodies sonpassive.be, www.ponts-thermiques.be, 9.2.14 Eco-construction


The Sustainable Building Facilitator willing to reduce the energy consumption www.pmp-hygrothermie.be The Belgian Regions and the construc-
Service, introduced by Brussels Environ- of their buildings. The UREBA calls gen- tion sector have undertaken to draw up a
ment and the Brussels Capital Region, erally concern thermic isolation works to benchmark for the labelling and certifica-
9.2.13 Energy efficiency certificates and
consists of a network of energy specialists walls and the replacement and improve- tion of sustainable buildings which will
audits
recognised for their expertise resulting ment of heating and lighting systems. quantify the sustainability of buildings in
As of 2009, it has become compulso-
from the implementation of a large num- the form of thematic scores, which will
ry for an energy efficiency certificate to
ber of projects both in Brussels and abroad. 9.2.12 Knowledge platforms for passive allow an overall score to be calculated for
be drawn up on the sale or renting out of
Their task is to guide developers and build- buildings the building. The purpose of this label-
housing. This certificate contains a great
ing managers independently, impartially ling and certification is to put an end to
Pixii - Knowledge platform for ener- deal of information concerning the main
and for free with regard to control of en- ‘green-washing’ and to assist the general
gy neutral construction (‘Kennisplatform energy-saving measures that are possible
ergy consumption, rational energy use and public in differentiating between buildings
Energieneutraal Bouwen’) & PMP asbl in the dwelling.
promotion of renewable energy sources, with genuine sustainable achievements
(‘Plateforme Maison Passive’/pmp) are
at all stages of progress of a project (more In the Flemish Region, everyone can from those where the sustainability is con-
two independent, neutral organizations en-
details in the previous National Communi- enter their certificate score on the website fined to sales arguments.
couraging authorities, professionals and the
cation). www.energiesparen.be/testuwepc, which
general public to construct buildings with As a reminder, the Brussels Capital
explains how well or how badly their
As outlined under point 9.2.8, thematic very low energy requirements, based on Region also offers a dynamic support of
dwelling scores compared to other dwell-
facilitators are made available in Wallonia the concept of the passive building. They exchange and information in the sector
ings.
for project holders or professionals of the distribute information (website, newsletter, of eco-construction (see the previous Na-
sectors concerned. Thus, Wallonia offers brochures, calculating tools, etc.) and pro- tional Communication). Special tools have
complete services to support industrial de- vide training, expert evaluations and guid- been developed to keep professionals from
signers etc. ance to professionals and private individu- the building sector informed about sustain-
Wallonia also grants accreditations to als as well as governmental organisations. able construction, such as:
people fulfilling certain conditions: this Pixii and pmp are certification bodies for www.guidebatimentdurable.brussels
passive buildings in Belgium. Pixii also or- As described above, Wallonia also www.gidsduurzamegebouwen.brussels
concerns AMURE and UREBA accredi-
ganizes the annual NZEB Symposium and guarantees audit and certification process- www.portailconstructiondurable.be
tations. These allow the public concerned
multiple Expert days to professionals, pmp es thanks to different certification systems www.portaalduurzaambouwen.be.
to validate the competencies of the techni-
develops tools to help designers (the ther- aiming at energy savings and restriction of
cians they turn to. The UREBA accredita- In September 2015, Brussels Environ-
mal bridge service and the hygrothermal shortcomings, in order to contribute to the
tion concerns energy audits or pre-feasibil- ment took the lead of a EU funded project
service). Pixii and pmp contribute actively achievement of the objectives. More infor-
ity studies in the public sector, the AMURE (Horizon 2020), “Buildings as Material
to establishing standards related to energy mation is available (in French and in Ger-
accreditation concerns these activities in Banks” (BAMB). This project brings 15
in buildings and carry out cutting-edge re- man) on https://energie.wallonie.be. They
the industrial sector. partners from 7 European countries togeth-
search (procedures and tools for high-qual- concern the legislation as well as technical
Wallonia also carried out several suc- er for one mission – enabling a systemic
ity energy renovations, thermal bridges, actions related to the energy performance
cessive tender calls for the renovation of shift in the building sector by creating cir-
tertiary sector, life-cycle analyses, etc.). of buildings, the AMURE and UREBA au-
public buildings, the so-called UREBA (or cular solutions. The project is developing
www.pixii.be, www.nzeb.be, www.mai- dits (see 9.2.11), heating equipment diag-
exceptional UREBA) calls. The UREBA and integrating tools that will enable the
noses etc.
shift: Materials Passports and Reversible

9. Public awareness, education and training 137


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Building Design – supported by new busi- RAISING AWARENESS FOR AN forced for public authorities, forcing –– The organisation of sensitivity actions
ness models, policy propositions and man- ENVIRONMENTALLY FRIENDLY them to analyse to implement a sustain- for sustainable mobility, among which
agement and decision-making models. MOBILITY able fleet management and quota on the Mobility Week and spreading mo-
procurement of electric vehicles. To bility information on the portal site
In the Flemish Region, a transition
9.2.15 Promotion of sustainable mobility support the company mobilitymanag- “mobilite.wallonie.be”. the portal site.
forum is active with regard to sustain-
In the Flemish Region, active efforts ers to implement their sustainable mo-
able living and building, better known as
are being made in awareness-raising and bility plan, the region offers them train- 9.2.16 Eco-driving
DUWOBO. DUWOBO consists of stake-
communication to achieve a change in ing and tools e.g. to organise awareness
holders such as banks and other financiers, Training is proposed to promote a driv-
behaviour concerning the choice of trans- raising campaigns.
housing producers, the authorities, NGOs, ing style which is respectful of the envi-
knowledge centres and research institutes, port. In many cases with assistance from Wallonia strives for more sustainable ronment.
federations and producer organisations. the public authorities, all kinds of cam- mobility through numerous actions, among
paigns have been developed, such as the Eco-driving is part of both the practical
This very interactive platform has the task which:
annual Mobility Week, car-free Sundays, and theoretical driving exam in Flanders.
of tracing out an innovation course in the –– Support to companies, schools and ad-
the sustainably to school project, Sam de Specific courses are available for profes-
field of sustainable living and building for ministrations in organising their mo-
Verkeersslang (Sam the Traffic Snake), sional drivers. All professional drivers
the next 20 years. www.duwobo.be bility, including (among other things)
projects involving car and bike sharing, working for the Flemish public authorities
In the French-speaking community, the elaboration of mobility diagnoses or the Flemish public transport company
the Flemish Bicycle Week, campaigns “home to school” and “home to work”.
the non-profit association Ecoconso has, concerning public transport (bus, train and De Lijn followed an eco-driving training
over the past 25 years, encouraged envi- –– The implementation of a regional mo- and receive periodic follow-up trainings.
tram), etc. In addition, the Pendelfonds bility centre in collaboration with local
ronmental and health-friendly consumer (Commuting Fund) subsidises projects Public transport buses are equipped with
choices and behavior. Being sufficient- mobility centres in order to meet the driving style meters.
promoting sustainable home-to-work trips. citizens’ needs in any situation.
ly informed and critical to consciously In the Brussels Capital Region, infor-
choose what you buy, and taking environ- The Brussels Capital Region con- –– Promoting carpooling in Wallonia.
mation stands on eco-driving are organ-
ment and health into account, is complex. tinues to organise the following actions –– Dressing and implementing the “Cy-
ised during events and training sessions on
How to balance things between real qual- of raising awareness on mobility, already clable Wallonia Plan” (Plan Wallonie
eco-behaviour are part of the training of
ities and advertising discourse ? Ecoconso described in the previous National Com- cyclable) aiming to promote the use of
bus drivers of the Brussels transport com-
has therefore decided to create a shopping munication, in order to reduce pollution bikes, among others in the educational
pany STIB.
guide serving as an effective and objective generated by road transport, encourage al- context, by projects such as “vélo ed-
“shortcut” for consumers: www.suive- ternatives to cars and to improve environ- ucation” and “brevet du cycliste” and
zleguide.be which concerns eco-building mental performances of the vehicle: by promoting the electrically assisted 9.2.17 Raising awareness on the purchase
materials and ultimately aims for a wide –– guidance for schools in drawing up a bike, by means of a project making of energy efficient vehicles
range of products in various sectors. The school mobility plan; these bikes available to citizens for a The federal Climate Change Service
Employment Environment Alliance in –– the Bike Experience campaign; 15 days period. updates monthly the database of its online
Wallonia, whose objective was to promote –– the Mobility Week; –– Training mobility consultants, mobility CO2 Guide to Cars, enabling citizens who
the construction sector’s transition to sus- –– the ‘active modes’ map; and road safety referents in the school wish to purchase a new vehicle to com-
tainable development, was the opportunity –– the ‘Villo’ bike hire scheme; environment, and company mobility pare the various models available on the
to make this guide a reality, starting with –– the Company Mobility Plan. In 2014, managers. Belgian market. The guide allows quick
the theme of eco-building materials. the compulsory measures were en- –– The mobility documentation centre. searching and lists for each model the cat-

9. Public awareness, education and training 138


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egory of CO2 emissions (from A to G), CO2 overall environmental score, independent- to firms. The adviser examines, together
emissions, fuel type and fuel consumption. ly of the technology, taking into account with the firm, the possibilities concerning
The guide is available via the energy-guz- the emissions released in the fuel or elec- co-modality, green logistics, combined
zlers website (www.energievreters.be/auto tricity production as well as greenhouse goods flows, bulk consignment, optimisa-
and www.energivores.be/voiture). gas emissions, air-polluting emissions and tion of transport movements over time, etc.
engine noise. www.ecoscore.be
In the Flemish Region, information on
energy consumption and vehicle emissions Specific campaigns also promote envi- RAISING AWARENESS ON
is disseminated via vast information and ronmentaly friendly technologies such as THE ENVIRONMENT AND ON
awareness-raising campaigns, as well as electric, plug-in hybrid, fuel cell (hydro- SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
via training for car sellers. The Ecoscore of gen) and compressed natural gas vehicles.
a vehicle (a scale from 0 to 100) gives the www.milieuvriendelijkevoertuigen.be 9.2.19 Belgian Environmental Awards
Since 2006, the yearly Belgian Ener-
gy and Environment Awards acknowledge
those who, either as individuals or via their
organisations, contribute in an exception-
al way to building a sustainable future at
the local, regional and national levels. The
Award is supported by industrial and insti-
tutional partners, as well as by the Interna-
A Low Emission Zone (LEZ) covering tional Polar Foundation.
the entire territory of the Brussels-Capital Several awards are granted: e.g. in
Region will be in force from 01/01/2018. 2017 a sustainable  education, sustainable
It will be applicable every day of the week, mobility, sustainable energy, sustainable
24 hours a day. Only the oldest diesel ve- building and circular economy award, as
hicles will be affected in the first year: well as some special prizes, were awarded
the criteria will change over time so that to a project in each target group: citizens,
gradually more vehicles will be involved. private sector, non profit sector, public sec-
A special webpage provides information tor, educational centres and NGOs, and
about the LEZ and its expected impacts on communities and cities.
climate, and promotes alternative mobility
options available in the Brussels Region. In 2015, Brussels Environment itself
www.lez.brussels obtained the EEAward in the category Pub-
lic Sustainable Development Award, for its
new passive office building and new work-
9.2.18 Logistics consultants ing organisation (flex desk and open space,
In the Flemish Region, logistics con- paperless office, mobility policy).
sultants are made available free of charge

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The Federation of Enterprises in Bel- In Flanders, companies can take an place over several months and usually end sidered in an holistic way and seen as a true
gium (FEB) also organizes every two (odd) online eco-efficiency scan that provides with an evaluation leading to a certificate. objective when developing a new area in
years the Belgian Business Awards for the information regarding various aspects The training is intended for a specialised the city and creating a better quality of life.
Environment (BBAE), which reward every of eco-efficiency: introducing more en- public wishing to acquire specific knowl-
In the French-speaking Commu-
company contributing to sustainable de- vironmentally-friendly processes, de- edge in the technical field.
signing (converting to) more environ- nity, “Streets in transition” (“Rues en
velopment. They highlight those that have transition”) are groups of 6 to 10 people/
succeeded in combining outstanding eco- mentally-friendly products, using waste, 9.2.22 Sustainable Neighbourhoods
re-examining the markets, adapting de- families, living in the same street. Partici-
nomic and environmental performances In  2007, Brussels Environment set pants choose low-cost, easy-to-implement
mand and making economic and ecologi-
in an innovative and intelligent way. Four up an operational strategy with a view to
cal benefits discernible.
categories of awards have been foreseen: promoting the emergence of particularly
management, product & services, process, exemplary neighbourhoods with regard to
international business cooperation, each 9.2.21 Corporate social responsibility sustainability in the Brussels Capital Re-
of them containing two sub-categories: Corporate social responsibility is an gion, as mentionned in the previous Na-
‘young talent’ and ‘enterprise and biodi- improvement process in which businesses, tional Communication.
versity’. on a voluntary basis, systematically and Thanks to the hard work of the Sustain-
consistently include social, environmen- able Neighbourhoods’ facilitator (for its
A panel of independent experts desig- actions in order to reduce their bills (en-
tal and economic considerations in their missions, see the previous National Com-
nates the TOP 3 winners among the best ergy, water, fuel…) and their ecological
business management, in consultation with munication), the transition towards sus-
projects. They have access, together with their stakeholders (customers, staff, suppli- footprint. The support of the group creates
tainable planning and building practices in
up to 9 runners up, to the competition at ers). an enthusiastic and effective dynamic. The
the Brussels Region has now, anno 2017,
the European level, the European Busi- passed from the niche-level at micro-scale street scale is an accessible level to bring
ness Awards for the Environment, orga- The Flemish government has set
to the take-off-level so as to really influence about change. Recreating social ties with
nized by the European Commission every up the Corporate Social Responsibility
the existing socio-technical regime. More our neighbours enables to get out of soli-
Knowledge Centre to inform and inspire
two (even) years. They will also have the specifically, Brussels Environment reached tude and individualism: a first step towards
businesses.
chance to get in touch with the different out to the different regional planning and better living in our neighbourhoods.
stakeholders. Brussels Environment is organising a operating institutions in the Brussels Re-
large number of information and training gion to co-produce a regional neighbour- Wallonia co-funds dozens of projects
sessions on environmental themes (energy, hood sustainability assessment tool serving in collaboration with other countries/re-
9.2.20 Eco-efficiency scan
eco-construction, mobility, etc.). The sem- as a reference framework for the concept gions and with Europe (structural funds).
Eco-efficient companies use less ener- Projects such as CAN (Climate Active
inars, colloquiums and guided visits are “Brussels sustainable neighbourhood”.
gy, less water and less raw materials to cre- intended to inform professionals about the Several public and private neighbourhood Neighbourhoods) aim to allow the ren-
ate and distribute their products and take current legislation and the latest techno- developers have been approached so as to ovation in deprived neighbourhoods, or
the eco-efficiency of their product through- logical developments, to pass on technical test this new tool and to be guided by the ACE-retrofitting (Accelerating Condo-
out the entire life cycle. This constitutes a advice from specialists and feedback from Sustainable Neighbourhoods’  facilitator. minium Energy Retrofitting) aiming at
win-win for both the environment and the other bodies and to allow them to become More and more actors are involved in the lowering the normative barriers in order
company (lower expenses, better competi- familiar with exemplary installations. The process and are interested in the tool which to increase energy renovation in co-owned
tiveness). training is organised in cycles which take makes sustainability now increasingly con- buildings.

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9.2.23 The ‘Eco-dynamic Entreprise’ label 9.2.24 The Walloon Youth Parliament event by organizing animations and hold- took place in April 2017 in the same place,
The ‘Eco-dynamic Enterprise’ label for Sustainable Development ing information stands. Launched by the in the form of a 3-day program: the first
(Entreprise éco-dynamique / Ecodyna- The Walloon Youth Parliament for Walloon Minister in charge of sustainable day for associations and local authorities,
mische onderneming - coordinated by Sustainable Development is an action of development, the first edition was held in the second day for families and the third
Brussels Environment) is a regional pub- the 2nd Walloon Sustainable Development October 2016 in Mons. The second edition day for schools.
lic certificate conferred upon organisations Strategy (2016-2019). Its objective is to
(companies, associations, administrations) promote participation of young people in
that voluntarily undertake to implement an
environmental management system based
the reflexion on sustainable development.
More specifically, this initiative aims to
9.3 Education and training
on the principle of ongoing improvement enrich participants’ knowledge about sus-
in all environmental fields, including ener- tainable development, to give them the op-
gy and mobility (for more details, see the portunity to meet experts in the field and EDUCATIONAL PROJECTS pletely the educational dossier Le climat,
previous National Communication-9.4.16). to encourage collective reflection during c’est nous (French) / In de weer voor het
plenary and parallel working sessions. The In Belgium, education comes under
In relation with the Regional Pro- klimaat (Dutch), addressed to teachers and
recommendations resulting from this work the jurisdiction of the Communities: the
gramme in Circular Economy in Brus- pupils of the final years of primary school
are submitted to the Walloon Minister in French, Flemish and German-speaking
sels, adopted on March the 10th, 2016, the and the first two years of secondary school
charge of sustainable development. Communities.
‘Eco-dynamic Enterprise’ label guides or- (10-14 year-olds). The binder file, con-
ganisations to implement circular solutions The first edition of the Youth Parlia- In the official primary and secondary taining theme sheets (composed of infor-
in their daily and/or strategic management: ment took place on May 2nd, 2015 at the education, the theme of climate change is mation sheets for the teacher and prepared
rethink waste and procurement manage- Parliament of Wallonia to conclude the generally treated in a transversal manner, work sheets for pupils) and emphasizing
ment, look for synergies, etc. consultation phase on the 2nd Walloon incorporated in the broader programmes a.o. the interrelationship between our life-
Sustainable Development Strategy. The relating to nature and environment or sus- style, climate change and biodiversity, will
second edition was held in February and tainable development. Nature and environ- be converted - early 2018 - into an attrac-
March 2017, in the form of a 3-day pro- mental education is today firmly anchored tive and interactive website with lesson
gram devoted to sustainable food, the first in the Belgian educational system. Its ped- materials, quizzes, multimedia, practical
theme of the action plan of the Walloon agogical objectives rest on four stages: assignments… (www.wwf.be/school and
sustainable development strategy. Around discovery, understanding, assessment and www.wwf.be/ecole)
40 (non-)university students participated to action.
these programs. Some activities of education in sustain- 9.3.2 The ‘Climate Challenge’ website
able development, both inside and outside In 2012, WWF, the Free University of
9.2.25 Sustainable Development Days the school, are conducted by a growing Brussels (VUB), the Erasmus University
in Wallonia number of actors in society. College of Brussels and the North-South
The Sustainable Development Days is NGO Studio Globo, in cooperation with the
an event dedicated to discover many sus- 9.3.1 Educational climate dossier federal Climate Change Service, launched
tainable development initiatives in Wallo- the website www.climatechallenge.be for
Early 2017, the Federal Climate Change
nia. A lot of associations participate to this the top four years of secondary schools
Service and WWF decided to review com-

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(15-18 year-olds). This is an attractive vir- –– enables the user to develop his own –– provides clear information through
tual, multidisciplinary learning environ- transition scenario by selecting an am- 7 video animations and an info sheet
ment, geared to both the Dutch-speaking bition level for the various “levers” in for each lever.
and the French-speaking educational con- these sectors. Each choice is immedi- –– provides the teacher with a manual for
text, in which teachers and pupils find the ately visible in the virtual interactive optimal use in class.
necessary lesson sheets, video clips on cli- landscape. –– provides the possibility to save, com-
mate issues or on practical solutions, vid- –– immediately calculates the emission pare and share your scenario.
eo interviews with scientists and climate reduction of this scenario for Belgium
‘My2050.be’ is available in English,
watchers, background information, etc. in 2050.
French and Dutch and is an initiative of the
This website especially draws attention to –– analyses this scenario with regard to
Federal Climate Change Service in collab-
the impact of climate change on the popu- A fascinating experience in a realistic set- emission reductions, energy demand
oration with Climact (calculation model),
lation in the south. During the school year ting which achieves its objective: to make and net import and export of electricity,
Climate Media Factory (web tool develop-
2015-2016, 153 000 people visited the site. young people reflect on climate issues. and also calculates its costs.
ment), Cronos/Legioen (animations) and
During the school year 2015-2016, WWF (manual for teachers).
9.3.3 The ‘Climate Challenge @ School’ conferences were organised in 20 schools
conferences (11 in Dutch and 9 in French). A closing
The same project partners (see previous event was organized in April 2016, with
item) launched the idea of organizing cli- more than 300 participating teachers and
mate conferences at the school compound. students. During the next school year
During these days, pupils simulate the in- (2016-2017), the number of participating
ternational climate negotiations. They are schools raised to 29 (19 in Dutch, 10 in
assigned a country in advance which they French). These activities will be continued.
have to represent during the meeting. The
preparatory work in class allows them to
9.3.4 The My2050 web tool
discover the economic, ecological and geo-
graphical situation of ‘their’ country and to This interactive educational web tool
obtain good insight into the challenges for (www.my2050.be), launched in October
the negotiations they are going to conduct. 2016, aims to encourage a debate with all
citizens - and pupils of the 3rd degree sec-
After this preparation period, the rep- ondary (aged 16 to 18 years) in particular
resentatives from the different (types of) - on how we can make our society evolve
countries meet around the table to reach an towards a low carbon society by 2050.
agreement on 3 concrete resolutions in the
field of aviation, food and a general climate My2050...
agreement. In the course of the discussions, –– provides insight into the changes that
views are put forward, amendments drawn are possible in transport, buildings, in-
up and alliances formed between countries. dustry, energy supply and agriculture.

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9.3.5 Invite a Climate coach into your As from March 2017, teachers from Between March 2017 and June 2018, ber 2015, the Idea Network (Réseau Idée
(secondary) school secondary schools (3rd grade) had the op- 450 sessions will be organized free of asbl) conducted a series of activities relat-
In order to promote the My2050 web portunity to invite these climate coaches in charge. After a thorough evaluation a de- ed to climate education:
tool (see previous item) and to help teach- their class. The coaches guide the teacher cision will be taken about the follow-up
1. A meeting day with stakeholders’ or-
ers use it in class, the Federal Climate and the pupils throughout the web tool and of this project in 2018 (www.climat.be/
ganizations about climate education,
Change Service planned to send out “cli- encourage them to get an understanding of coachs-climat and www.klimaat.be/kli-
held by the Walloon authorities on the
mate coaches” in 2017. In collaboration the challenges in different sectors, to dis- maatcoaches).
4th of September 2015 as part of the
with the project partner GoodPlanet Bel- cuss possible ambition levels for behav-
Cooperation Agreement between the
gium, a dozen young university graduates ioral or technological solutions in different
9.3.6 Solidar’Climat French-speaking entities of Belgium
or young professionals, disposing of a mul- sectors, and to evaluate the results of their
Solidar’climat is an initiative by on Environment Education.
tidisciplinary knowledge and experience preferred transition scenario. This personal
COREN asbl, in cooperation with the 2. On the eve of the CoP in Paris, the
on education and the environment, and coaching also aims at “teaching the teach-
Walloon Agency for Air and Climate, and Réseau IDées asbl published a the-
with good communication skills have been ers”, allowing them to use the web tool in-
aims to make young people aware of the matic edition on climate education of
selected. They followed an intense training dependently afterwards.
impacts caused by our consumption pat- “Symbioses”, an environment educa-
programme set up by the project partners. tion magazine, as a complement to the
terns, our activities and our greenhouse gas
emissions. publication on Energy Education early
2015.
Through this initiative, pupils
–– measure the carbon footprint of their
schools to assess the impact of school
activities on climate,
–– take up challenges to reduce their car-
bon footprint, and
–– share ideas and solutions with other
schools in Belgium and abroad.
Fifteen schools took part in this initia-
tive from October 2016 to May 2017. Fig-
ures collected show that the mean carbon
footprint per pupil amounts to 890 kg CO2-
eq. The tools developed through this initia-
tive will be made availabe to other schools
in order to further raise awareness.

9.3.7 Symbiose “climat”
In the run-up to the International Cli-
mate Conference (CoP) in Paris in Decem-

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3. A communication to the Belgian media energy use, but also for the importance of Region and the ‘Fédération Wallonie Brux-
prior to and during the Paris Climate insulation and system efficiency. elles’, a cooperation agreement was signed
Conference, in order to emphasize cli- in 2011 to establish a partnership structure
As of 2003, Wallonia co-funded sensi-
mate education and related resources, between the concerned administrations. It
tising workshops about the environment,
best practices and challenges. also defines a series of priority objectives
nature and energy organised by “Vent
4. An event bringing together the Energy among which the multiplication of infor-
d’Houyet académie”, in order to make the
and Climate Ministers in French-speak- mation channels, better incorporation of
public aware of the importance of envi-
ing Belgium and the Education Min- nature and environmental education in the
ronmental preservation thanks to rational
ister, and emphasizing in particular school syllabus, support for schools wish-
energy use, based on a real-life field expe-
their coordination activities in schools ing to include Sustainable Development in
rience.
through the Cooperation Agreement re- their project and the setting-up of recipro-
lating to Environment and Sustainable Wallonia supported projects on wind- cal exchanges for the purpose of improving
Development Education (ErE DD). mill and watermill building in technical pedagogical practices. www.coopere.be
schools. These projects were conducted
between 2013 and 2015 in the “Institut
9.3.8 Initiatives addressing energy Don Bosco” of Verviers. These handmade 9.3.11 Raising environmental awareness for
efficiency in schools machines, to the pride of the students who schools
In Wallonia, the project ‘Génération built them, really work and produce renew- Brussels Environment continues the
Zéro-Watt’, coordinated as of 2010 by able energy. actions of raising environmental awareness
the educational energy facilitator, strives in Brussels’ schools which are described in
to sensitise pupils by involving them in In 2015, “Espace-Environnement”, a the previous National Communication.
receive tailored guidance, information and
participative audits. This is a true contest, non-profit association formalising good
inspiration, networking opportunities… From 2013 tot 2017, 732 classes re-
allowing an average electricity consump- practices with local authorities (municipal
MOS belongs to a worldwide network of ceived an animation cycle offered by
tion reduction of 15 % per educational in- administrations) was financed by Wallonia
schools that pursue care for the environ- Brussels Environment and organised by
stitution. The pupils are directly involved in order to model good practice charts in
ment and sustainability (www.ecoschools. specialised animators with a view to an ac-
in actions promoting both behaviour and order to implement the Energy and Climate
global). tivity which combines knowledge acquisi-
consumption changes. Furthermore this al- Action Plans in Walloon municipalities.
MOS has always worked on topics with tion to environment-friendly actions.
lows schools to make low-cost changes in
links to climate change such as energy, Each year Brussels Environment
order to improve the energy efficiency of 9.3.9 The MOS project (Milieuzorg Op mobility… Additionally, MOS started with launches a call for projects on the various
the heating systems in their buildings. This School - Respect for the environment specific climate projects for both primary environmental themes in which method-
way, fine-tuning the heating has allowed to at school) and secondary schools in 2016. ological support is offered, including sev-
save 10 to 20 % of energy per school site
MOS is a project of the Flemish au-
over the period concerned. eral visits by an expert facilitator, activities
thorities on care for the environment from
9.3.10 Cooperation Agreement on education for students and training for the education-
Furthermore, “Hypothèse asbl” de- nursery to secondary school. MOS helps
concerning the environment, nature al team or school staff, as well as financial
veloped several pedagogic tools that are schools to create an environmentally
and sustainable development support for the implementation of the proj-
spread and used in schools today. They are friendly and sustainable learning and liv-
In order to facilitate the cooperation ect. Between 2013 and 2017, 119 projects
meant to sensitise the pupils for rational ing environment, together with students,
between the Walloon Region, the Brussels were carried out, reaching 47 474 students.
staff and network. Participating schools

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The Brussels Capital Region, with its In the Walloon Region, within the 9.3.12 The network of Regional Centres of 9.3.14 Ener’jeunes
non-profit partner COREN, participates in framework of the campaign “Schools for Initiation to the Environment (CRIE) Ener’jeunes is an operation intended
the Eco-Schools programme and its inter- Tomorrow” (“Ecoles pour demain”), the Alongside their normal tasks as a public for 10 to 12 year-olds who are members
national label which rewards the ongoing non-profit organization COREN accompa- service for information, awareness-raising of a Children’s Town Council. Objectives:
work of schools in environmental educa- nies schools that carry out environmental and nature and environmental education, to make young people aware of sustain-
tion and environmental management. The actions for sustainable development. This the 11 regional environmental initiation able development and invite them to set up
international network of Eco-Schools in- campaign proposes schools to develop centres (Centres Régionaux d’Initiation à projects on the subject within their munic-
cludes almost 49 000 schools in 64 coun- and to carry out environmental actions l’Environnement – CRIE) of the Walloon ipality.
tries. and projects on themes such as living en- Region provide an animation methodolo-
vironment, eco-consumption and waste gy and didactic scientific material for the
Finally, a network of Brussels’ schools 9.3.15 Idea Network
management, climate change and energy general public. Their main activities in-
in action for the environment, denominated
saving, mobility, food waste and water clude school animations, training courses, The Idea Network (Réseau IDée, for
Bubble, was created in May 2013 to enable
management. activities for families and holiday courses. “Information and Diffusion about Environ-
active teachers to share and exchange their
practice and experience. Meetings are reg- COREN is also supported by the Wal- www.crie.be mental Education”) is the main centre of
ularly organized (thematic meetings deep- loon Region for the “Agenda 21” school information for nature and environmental
ening the subject including the discovery initiative, the objective of which is to sup- education (EE) in the french-speaking part
9.3.13 The Educational Forum on the of Belgium (Wallonia and Brussels). The
of educational tools, pedagogical and port schools in developing a sustainable environment and sustainable
methodological trainings, visits to school development education strategy combin- network has currently more than 120 mem-
development ber associations and its main objective is to
projects, events) and a website allows to ing sustainable resource management, par-
promote the schools’ projects. (www.bub- ticipatory dynamics and young people’s The Educational Forum on the environ- inform and to strengthen ties between all
ble.brussels). formation to sustainable development. The ment and sustainable development project actors concerned: teachers and educators at
“Agenda 21” approach is based on a series was set up on the initiative of the Ministers all levels, community education workers,
Apart from the directly offered ser- for the Environment of the Walloon and parents, environmental advisers, etc.
of clear and precise steps, of which the
vices, the Directorate for Raising Environ- Brussels Capital Regions (for more details
touchstones are the constitution of a steer- All parties concerned are offered a
mental Awareness of the Walloon Region on its objectives, see the previous National
ing committee, the realization of a diagno- wide range of pedagogical tools, a doc-
is continuing its collaboration with a range Communication – 9.6.6).
sis, the elaboration of an action plan and umentation centre, a database, internet
of associated partners performing specific
the planned evaluation of the approach’s sites and personalized support. Réseau
assignments, providing information and
implementation. If the school meets all the IDée also organizes exchange meetings
developing activities in the area of nature
requirements stipulated in the specifica- and reflection days. It promotes the EE’s
and environmental education.
tions, a label is awarded. It recognizes the strategic positions through dialogue with
The Walloon Region orders the writing dynamics put in place and promotes the ap- public authorities. It prioritises people
of pedagogical materials by associations proach as well as all the actions carried out. who regularly offer activities and tools to
specialised in nature and environmental raise awareness of the interdependence
education. The majority of the documents between environment, social progress and
are also downloadable on the site envi- economy. Its magazine “Symbioses” is
ronnement.wallonie.be. also sent to all French-speaking schools in
Wallonia and Brussels.  In 2015, a special

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edition of this magazine entirely dedicated tion, under a campaign entitled GoodPlan- Proposed since 2013 in Wallonia with the Ever since, the Thick Jumper Day has
to climate change education has been edit- et Actions (formely called ‘Effet de jeunes support of the Walloon region, the chal- been organised every year in February.
ed (see 9.3.7). (www.reseau-idee.be) contre effet de serre’ (the young turn the lenge has been extended since 2016 to the It calls on everyone to pay attention to
climate): Brussels Region and thousands of chil- the major challenges of climate change.
9.3.16 GoodPlanet –– Warm Pullover action; today, this ac- dren have already taken up the challenge. The campaign mainly aims at simple en-
tion is called ‘Baisse les Watts’ and it Children register on the website with their ergy-saving measures which can also be
In the Brussels Region and in the Wal-
was broadened to include the electricity family, their class or school. Once enrolled, maintained subsequently in a structural
loon region, the non-profit organization
consumption in its fight against energy they ride their bike as often as possible and way. MOS uses this Day as the starting and
GoodPlanet Belgium has been assigned
waste. Thus this action is no longer then encode their trips and challenges di- final point for more comprehensive climate
the task of developing and promoting an
limited to heat consumption ; rectly on the website. A counter adds up projects.
information structure for education about
nature and environment for Dutch- and –– a local and seasonal fruit day, with re- all the kilometers traveled and moves the This day corresponds to the Good-
French-speaking primary and secondary flections on the transport of food and characters forward. The more kilometers Planet Action ‘Baisse les Watts’, in the
school networks. implicit energy consumption; they accumulate, the more characters leave French-speaking part of Belgium (see
–– a ‘Zero Waste’ action day. a polluted Earth to join a green and airy 9.3.16).
GoodPlanet continues to organise the world! www.bike2school.be
following actions, described in more de- Each year, over 500 Belgian schools
tails in the previous National Communica- sign up to this campaign (www.goodplanet. In Wallonia, 20 % of the fifth prima-
be/goodplanetactions).  ry year pupils were granted the “biker’s
certificate” (Brevet du cycliste), aiming at
9.3.17 Commitment to the planet and making the children independent on their
energy ambassadors bike over a known trajectory. Besides, the
project “bike objective” (objectif vélo)
For the school years 2012-2016, 16
intends to stimulate a modal shift toward
schools took part in this project, which is
biking for the home-school transfer, which
described in the previous National Com-
may total up to 30 % of the modal share.
munication (9.6.16).
9.3.19 Thick Jumper Day
9.3.18 Going to school by bike
The initiative Dikke truiendag (Thick
In the Flemish Region too, efforts are
Jumper Day) was launched on 16 February
made in this respect with the project ‘duur-
2005 – the day on which the Kyoto Proto-
zaam naar school’ (Sustainably to school)
col entered into force – under the aegis of
and the campaign ‘Sam de Verkeersslang’
MOS (see 9.3.9) and the Flemish Govern-
(Sam the traffic snake).
ment. On this day the heating was lowered
Bike2school is a great common chal- by 1°C to remind us of Belgium’s commit-
lenge launched by Pro Velo for elementa- ments in terms of reducing greenhouse gas
ry and junior high school students, their emissions and symbolically, pupils or em-
teachers, school directorates and parents to ployees of participating companies wear
maximize the use of bike during 2 weeks. warm pullovers.

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9.3.20 Association for the promotion of gy towards the citizens. Among others, the HIGHER EDUCATION ings, animates and develops synergies with
renewable energy (APERe) association brought renewable energy indi- different partners working on citizens and
The mission of the ‘Association pour cators in the weather forecast, helped more 9.3.22 Awareness-raising at the university environmental themes.
la Promotion des Energies Renouvelables’ than 200 Walloon municipalities to join the In Brussels, the Science Spring, organ-
(APERe) is to support citizens and com- Covenant of Mayors and created a one- ised by various universities since 2000, An audit on the Education for
munities in their appropriation of energy stop website to invest in renewable energy each year presents workshops and student Environment and Sustainable
towards a 100 % renewable, sustainable cooperatives (www.coopalacarte.be). projects for schools and general public: the Development in schools
and solidary system. APERe is also the statistics reference theme of climate is included (http://www.
printempsdessciences.be/bruxelles). In 2014, an audit of the General Inspec-
Recognised as a “permanent education” on renewable energy in Belgium. With its
members and partners, APERe is also a tion Service investigated various issues
organisation by the Wallonia-Brussels Fed- In Flanders, colleges and universities concerning the impact of the Education
eration, APERe conducts education and network that brings together academic and
organise regular awareness-raising actions, for Environment and Sustainable Develop-
counseling on the basis of projects (cam- associative skills in Wallonia and Brussels.
including via the Ecocampus project. With ment in schools, the effects on pupils, on
paigns, information, training, facilitators, this project, the Flemish Region urges teachers and on the school’s educational
studies of collective interest) and field ac- 9.3.21 Training for building professionals colleges and universities to include envi- project, on the possible improvements, etc.
tivities (stands, conferences, animations), ronmental care and sustainability in their This audit confirms the interest in this type
Brussels Environment is coordinating
in four areas: Prosumers, Cooperatives, organisation. They receive the necessary of education in schools, while highlight-
the training policy ‘city and sustainable
Territories and Observatory. support for this in terms of methodolo- ing the need to professionalize practices
buildings’ of the Brussels Capital Re-
APERe brings innovation in its field of gion. The aim of this policy is to develop gy and content. Students are encouraged and remove barriers, particularly in terms
expertise by communicating in a positive professionals’ skills in the field of sustain- during their education to treat the envi- of environmental management. On Feb-
and engaging way about renewable ener- able city and buildings, to enable them to ronment with respect and subsequently to ruary 11, 2015, a multi-stakeholder morn-
achieve progress in moving the Brussels maintain this attitude in their profession- ing (teachers and administrators, trainers,
building stock and the city in general to- al careers. They receive help in including university researchers, administrative staff
wards the policy objectives of Brussels in environmental care in their student life. and political representatives) was orga-
this field. Its main priorities are described www.lne.be/ecocampus-english nized to present the results of this audit and
in the previous National Communication to examine some recommendations.
(see 9.6.20).
9.3.23 Education on Environment and
In Flanders, training for building Sustainable Development Survey on the place of the Education
professionals and other trades in the con- In the field of Education for Envi- for Environment and Sustainable
struction sector is also being undertaken, ronment and Sustainable Development Development in the Teacher’s College
from pupils still in secondary schools, over (named hereafter EESD / Éducation rela- From March to August 2015, a survey
higher education and professionals already tive à l’Environnement et au Développe- was carried out by the IDea Network (ré-
in the field.
ment durable, ErE DD), the Citizenship seau IDée) on the place of the Education
Unit of the Wallonia-Brussels Federa- for Environment and Sustainable Devel-
tion, among other things, strives to en- opment in the basic teachers’ training. The
hance, strengthen and coordinate existing objective was to explore what is being
initiatives. This is why it organizes meet- done within the French-speaking tacher’s

9. Public awareness, education and training 147


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colleges, what are the levers and obstacles, 9.3.24 Teach the future teachers Policy Development and Implementation
and to subsequently draw reflections to The partnership between the federal & Accessing Climate Finance. The ini-
reinforce the EESD in the initial teachers’ Climate Change Service and the North- tiative targets francophone countries and
training. Following this survey, a meeting South NGO Studio Globo (see 9.3.2 and partner countries of the Belgian interna-
and reflection morning was organized, on 9.3.3) also led to a project of teaching fu- tional cooperation. In total, 47 submissions
January 6th, 2016, between teachers and di- ture teachers. A half day training pack is were received from 21 countries.
rectorates of the teachers’ colleges and the being proposed to high schools and univer- Rwanda and Cameroon will benefit
leaders/trainers of the EESD associations. sities, addressing future secondary school from support in the field of GHG invento-
The aim was to create an exchange fo- teachers. During such a half day training ries while Burundi and Ivory Coast will be
rum for EESD experiences and practices course, the global warming issue is being supported in their efforts to integrate cli-
in initial training, to enable teachers and dealt with using the sustainable develop- mate change in sectoral and/or local plan-
directorates to become acquainted with ment education concept, giving particular ning. (www.climat.be/NDCsupport).
EESD associations and their services, and attention to action perspectives at the per-
sonal and societal level. In total, 16 train- The Belgian federal government fi-
to feed the reflection to reinforce the EESD
ing sessions have been organized between nances the translation into French of the
in the initial teachers’ training.
September 2014 and June 2017. e-learning course of the Greenhouse Gas
Management Institute (GHGMI) on 2006
Education for Environment and IPCC guidelines for GHG Inventories
INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION
Sustainable Development assignments (http://ghginstitute.org/ipcc/). The translat-
AND TRAINING IN SOUTHERN
(“Assises de l’ErE DD”) ed modules should be available by the end
COUNTRIES
of 2017.
In the wake of the EESD assignments
(“Assises de l’ErE DD”) at school, de- 9.3.25 Federal initiatives Besides its bilateral actions, the Bel-
scribed more in detail in the previous Na- Table 9.1 provides an overview of ca- gian federal Climate Change Service also
tional Communication (see 9.6.6), an ini- pacity building events organized by the financially contributes to and actively par-
tiative has been launched to document the Belgian federal Climate Change Service in ticipates in multilateral initiatives and part-
practices and needs of the Walloon Higher close cooperation with the respective na- nerships (Table 9.2).
Schools on EESD and to develop reflec- tional entities in charge.
tion dynamics in order to promote EESD
in initial teachers’ training. Following the The Belgian federal NDC Support Ini-
survey, a common will emerged to con- tiative, launched late 2016, aims to support
tinue the exchanges and to create meeting eligible countries in taking forward the
and reflection places between teachers’ implementation of their Nationally Deter-
colleges (both teachers and directorates) mined Contributions (NDCs) through the
and trainers of EESD associations. www. implementation of specific and concrete
assises-ere.be actions in the fields of GHG Inventories,

9. Public awareness, education and training 148


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Table 9.1: Capacity building events organized by the Belgian federal Climate Change Service

Theme Country / national entity Year Objectives


Climate Finance in Mozambique - Identifying and prioritizing appropriate mitigation actions and interventions in the
Mozambique /
municipal waste and charcoal production sectors: workshop with stakeholders and representatives from national and
Climate Finance Ministério para a Coordenação da 2014
municipal governments, NGO’s, private sector and the donor community to climate finance opportunities.
Acção Ambiental (MICOA)
(http://www.climat.be/climate-finance-mozambique)
Sustainable Charcoal Production and the Potential Role of Climate Financing – Identifying and Prioritizing Appropriate
Actions and Interventions: workshop with stakeholders (tree growers, charcoal producers, transporters and wholesalers/
Rwanda /
Climate Finance 2014 retailers) and representatives from national and local governments, NGOs, the private sector and the donor community to
Rwanda Natural Resources Authority
climate finance opportunities.
(http://www.climat.be/climate-finance-rwanda)
A three day in-country training for 15 Mozambican experts working on programmes eligible for international climate
Mozambique / Mozambican Ministry
financing in the municipal waste and charcoal production sector on the formulation of Nationally Appropriate Mitigation
NAMA formulation of Land, Environment and Rural 2015
Actions (NAMA).
Development (MITADER)
(http://www.climat.be/nama-training-mozambique)

Table 9.2: Federal participation in multilateral initiatives and partnerships

Initiative / Partnership Contribution / period Activities


Francophone cluster of the International
Financial and organisational contribution, in cooperation with Germany Peer-to-peer learning workshops focusing on MRV related issues, 2
Partnership on Mitigation and MRV
(GIZ), France (Ministry of Environment and CITEPA) and Switzerland. workshops per year.
(now renamed as the Partnership on
Since 2013. (https://www.transparency-partnership.net/activity/partnership-francophone)
Transparency in the Paris Agreement)
Financial and organisational contribution, in cooperation with Germany
(GIZ), Portugal (Ministry of Environment) and Brazil (Ministries of Foreign Peer-to-peer learning workshops focussing on MRV related issues, 1 or 2
Lusophone cluster
Affairs and Environment). workshops per year.
Since 2017.
(I)NDC (regional) technical dialogues, Financial contribution.
http://www.undp.org/content/ndc-support-programme/en/home/events.html
organised by UNFCCC and UNDP In 2015, 2016 and 2017.

9. Public awareness, education and training 149


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9.4. Internet information sources environmental administration with regard


to climate and other issues.
http://leswallonssadaptent.be
“Les wallons s’adaptent” is a platform
proposing adaptation actions and examples
www.milieurapport.be /
of actions for the Walloon municipalities.
www.environmentflanders.be
Several references have been made to www.my2050.be
websites in this chapter. A list of these and The Flemish Environmental Reporting www.educapoles.org
This educational web tool of the federal Service (MIRA) provides a state of the
other sites is given for more information on Climate Change Service aims to encourage EducaPoles is the educational site of
climate change, energy savings, buildings, environment and an evaluation of the en-
a debate with all citizens (and pupils of the the International Polar Foundation (IPF).
mobility, the environment and sustainable vironmental policy carried out so far, pro-
3rd degree secondary in particular) on how It aims at raising awareness among young
development, and on the main environ- vides projections and regularly publishes
we can make our society evolve towards a people and the educational world of the
mental actors and networks (non-exhaus- indicator reports, research reports, news
low carbon society by 2050. importance of the Polar Regions and to
tive list). items, etc. It also published the “MIRA
climate change by offering adapted educa-
Climate Report 2015: about observed and
www.climatechallenge.be tional tools and projects.
future climate changes in Flanders and
GLOBAL WARMING This virtual, multidisciplinary learn- Belgium”.
ing environment for the top four years of ENERGY
www.climat.be / www.klimaat.be secondary schools offers teachers and pu- www.environnement.brussels/content/
This federal site provides informa- pils lesson sheets, video clips on climate climat / www.leefmilieu.brussels/content/ www.economie.fgov.be
tion on the causes and impacts of climate issues or practical solutions, video inter- klimaat / www.facebook.com/Climate. The website of the Federal Public Ser-
change, the policy at different levels, the views with scientists and climate watchers, brussels vice Economy, SMEs, Self-employed and
situation in Belgium, recent data on GHG background information, etc. It especially Energy provides information about its ar-
Special webpage designed to support
emissions, daily actions, campaigns, edu- draws attention to the impact of climate eas of competence related to energy, in-
the climate campaign of Brussels Environ-
cation,... There is also a news heading as change on the population in the South. cluding renewable energy (technologies,
ment, launched in 2017.
well as a multimedia library. actors, financial regulations, legislation,
www.klimaattips.be http://awac.be statistics, links, etc.).
www.climatechange.be/2050 / This website focuses on suggestions
www.climat.be/2050 / This is the official site for climate and
for a wide range of themes on what each www.energivores.be /
www.klimaat.be/2050 air quality policies in Walloon Region.
Flemish citizen can do to contribute to- www.energievreters.be
A separate trilingual section highlights wards a healthier climate. References are www.leswallonsnemanquentpasdair.be This website carries a calculator mod-
Belgium’s transition to a low carbon soci- made here for each (sub)theme to relevant ule for detecting energy-guzzlers at home
ety by 2050, giving access to the results of This website highlights 142 measures
sites and brochures with more detailed in- and above all for not letting new ones enter
the studies of transition scenarios and their aiming to reduce greenhouse gas emis-
formation. there by purchasing exclusively energy-ef-
macro-economic impacts, the calculator sions and other air pollutants, to improve
ficient equipment or insulation materials.
for experts and the educational My2050 www.omgevingvlaanderen.be air quality and to adapt to climate change
The module calculates their energy con-
web tool, a mapping of low carbon initia- impacts. It contains a list of actions to be
This official website of the Environ- sumption or heat losses, the associated CO2
tives, etc. implemented by individuals, businesses,
ment Department of the Flemish Govern- emissions and financial costs, pay-back
schools and municipalities. Visitors to the
ment presents the policy of the Flemish time, subsidies etc. It also hosts an elec-
website are also invited to post their own
tronic CO2 guide for cars.
initiatives.
9. Public awareness, education and training 150
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www.energiesparen.be advising the public authorities on the or- nouvelables) provides information about www.beexemplary.brussels
This website of the Flemish Energy ganisation and operation of the regional the different renewable sources and their Call for projects to design and construct
Agency (VEA) provides information – un- energy market, verification of application production in Belgium, as well as its proj- exemplary buildings in terms of energy
der different headings for specific target of legislation and providing general infor- ects, campaigns and educational activities and the environment, which is receiving
groups - about all matters linked to energy: mation to the public. promoting renewable energy, clustered in increasing international acclaim.
policy, rational energy use, statistics, sub- four fields: Prosumers, Cooperatives, Ter-
sidies, environmentally-friendly energy www.ecolezerowatt.be / ritories and Observatory. www.bbri.be / www.wtcb.be /
production, etc. Brochures on rational en- www.generationzerowatt.be www.cstc.be
ergy use (insulation, ventilation, heating, Website of the project “Génération www.ode.be
This website of the Belgian Building
low-energy construction, practical advice, Zéro-Watt”, pioneering energy challeng- The Organisation for Sustainable En- Research Institute provides information on
etc.) and sustainable energy (biomass, es in primary schools following a proven ergy (Organisatie voor Duurzame Energie legislation, regulations, subsidies and the
combined heat and power, solar energy, pedagogic methodology (in French and in - ODE) is the central vector of informa- procedures to be followed in the matter of
heat pumps, etc.) can be downloaded. German). tion on renewable energy in Flanders to thermic insulation and ventilation of build-
both households and companies. It has a ings.
www.emis.vito.be http://energie.wallonie.be/ permanent secretariat open to the public,
EMIS, the Information System on En- This website of the Walloon adminis- publishes brochures and monitors the share MOBILITY
ergy and the Environment, is a project of tration in charge of energy provides ex- of renewable energy in overall energy con-
the Flemish Region. This system collects tensive information about energy: policy, sumption in Flanders. www.mobilit.fgov.be
and processes a wide range of information energy offices, energy saving and building
The site of the Federal Public Service
about energy and the environment which renovation methods and subsidies, bro- BUILDINGS
Mobility and Transport explains how the
it divides into 4 major categories: energy chures, specialised manuals, etc.
issue of mobility fits into the federal policy
numbers, guide to enterprises, environ- www.portailconstructiondurable.be /
on sustainable development. It also allows
mental technology and legislation. www.topten.be www.portaalduurzaambouwen.be
the level of CO2 emissions of various mod-
This website allows the most ener- Website centralizing information about els of vehicles to be checked.
www.homegrade.brussels gy-efficient products to be found quickly sustainable building, intended for con-
In the Brussels Capital Region, Home- and easily for homes and offices. It offers struction professionals. http://statbel.fgov.be
grade manages an information desk which an overview for a whole series of products
The portal of the National Institute of
provides advice to the general public on (domestic appliances, lighting, cars, circu- www.guidebatimentdurable.brussels /
Statistics offers all studies, numbers and
possibilities for saving energy and recourse lation pumps, printers, PC and TV screens) www.gidsduurzamegebouwen.brussels
statistics linked to traffic and mobility.
to renewable energy. It also offers residen- of the most economical models on the Bel- Practical support developed by Brus- See in particular the sections on ‘mobility
tial energy audits free of charge. gian market. It also provides an overview sels Environment with assistance of spe- and the environment’ and ‘climate and the
of the suppliers of green electricity. cialised offices, intended to professionnals greenhouse effect’.
www.brugel.be willing to design a sustainable building or
BRUGEL (standing for BRUxelles Gaz www.apere.org to perform a sustainable renovation of an www.mobielvlaanderen.be
ELectricité/ Brussels Gas and Electricity) This website of the ‘Association for the existing building.
This Flemish Region site informs the
is the regulator of the energy market in the promotion of renewable energy’ (Associ-
population about various aspects of the
Brussels Capital Region. Its tasks include ation pour la Promotion des Energies Re-
mobility issue: a lot of information about

9. Public awareness, education and training 151


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the possibilities of public transport, freight the overall environmental performance of www.environnement.brussels / Service in collaboration with different
traffic, home-workplace trips, the mobility your vehicle or of the vehicle you want to www.leefmilieu.brussels project partners.
policy at the various levels of government, buy. This is the website of Brussels Envi-
statistics, etc. ronment, the administration for the envi- www.mosvlaanderen.be
www.lez.brussels ronment and energy of the Brussels Cap- Milieuzorg Op School (Environmental
www.mobielbrussel.irisnet.be / This website provides information ital Region. It provides information on all care at school) is a network of the Flemish
www.bruxellesmobilite.irisnet.be about the Low Emission Zone in Brussels. environmental topics and on the actions of authorities, assisting schools to create an
Brussels Mobility (AED - Administra- the Brussels Region in this field. environmentally friendly and sustainable
www.mobilite-entreprise.be
tion for Equipment and Travel of the Brus- environment.
sels Capital Region) is in charge of the road This website of the Mobility Unit of the www.reseauquartiersdurables.be /
network and public transport infrastructure UWE, the Walloon Union of Enterprises, www.participatieveduurzamewijken.be www.bubble.brussels
in the Brussels Region. Its objectives in- provides information on company mobility A participative internet platform facil- Bubble is a network of schools in ac-
clude a.o. improving mobility, promoting plans, the various means of transport, the itating exchanges of experience and con- tion for the environment in the Brussels
public transport and integrating all users role of ‘mobility’ coordinators within en- tacts between the sustainable neighbour- Region, enabling active teachers to share
into the travel policy. terprises, tele-working, etc. hoods of the Brussels Capital Region. and exchange their practice and experi-
ence.
www.bikeexperience.be ENVIRONMENT AND http://environnement.wallonie.be
www.reseau-idee.be
The Bike Experience campaign rais- SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT This is the portal of the Walloon Region
es awareness and encourages the staff of for environmental questions. The ‘Analyti- The ‘Idea Network’ (NGO) has 120
Brussels businesses to come to work by www.vmm.be cal Report on the State of the Walloon En- member associations and is the main infor-
bike, by borrowing bikes and by offering The VMM (Flemish Environment vironment’ and the ‘Walloon Environment mation centre for nature and environmen-
the possibility to those who are not yet ac- Agency) is one of the public administra- Scoreboard’ published each year include a tal education within the Brussels Region
quainted with cycling in town, to receive tions in charge of designing and adapting specific chapter relating to climate change. and the Walloon region.
assistance from a coach who accompanies environmental policy in the Flemish Re-
them and gives them good advice for a few gion. It also reports on the quality of the www.coren.be
MAIN EDUCATIONAL ACTORS
days. environment in general and on air and wa- COREN  (Coordination Environne-
AND NETWORKS
ter in particular. ment) is an NGO developing environmen-
http://mobilite.wallonie.be tal projects and programmes in the schools
www.klimaat.be/educatie /
Site used by the Walloon Region to www.irceline.be www.climat.be/education of the Brussels Region and the Walloon
publicise its policy on mobility and to in- The website of the Belgian Interregion- region.
Webpage describing the education-
form the public about all mobility-related al Environment Agency (IRCEL-CELINE) al climate related activities and materials
topics. provides information about the quality of developed by the federal Climate Change
ambient air in the country’s regions and a
www.ecoscore.be daily ozone bulletin based on information
The method of Ecoscore allows you to gathered in various measuring stations, as
measure the environmental score of vehi- well as on data archives.
cles of all brands. It gives an indication of

9. Public awareness, education and training 152


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www.crie.be The authors of the participative audits


Network of 11 regional environmental and of sensitisation actions to renewable
initiation centres in the Walloon Region, energy:
providing school animations, training –– Emprunte asbl
courses, activities for families and holiday http://www.empreintes.be
courses.
–– Science Infuse
https://uclouvain.be/fr/decouvrir/scinfuse
www.wwf.be/school / www.wwf.be/ecole
The NGO WWF developed several cli- –– Hypothèse
mate related educational activities and ma- http://www.hypothese.be
terials for schools. –– La Besace
http://www.besace.be
www.goodplanet.be/goodplanetactions
The NGO GoodPlanet organizes sev-
eral climate related actions in schools and
acts as a network for schools in the Brus-
sels Region and in the Walloon Region.

9. Public awareness, education and training 153


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Annex 1. Supplementary
information under Article 7(2)
of the Kyoto Protocol –
Annex e s Correlation table

Chapter of the 7th National


Information reported under Article 7(2)
Communication
National systems pursuant to Article 5(1) 3.3

National registry 3.4

Supplementarity relating to mechanisms under articles 6, 12 and 17 5.3

Policies and measures pursuant to Article 2 4.3


Domestic and regional program; legislative arrangements,
4.2
enforcement and administrative procedures
Information under Article 10
Article 10a 3.3
Article 10b 4.3 & 6.3
Article 10c 7.3
Article 10d 8
Article 10e 9.2 & 9.3
Financial resources 7.2

154
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Annex 2. 3rd biennial report


1. Preamble 2. Information on greenhouse gas emissions and
trends

This Annex 2 to the Belgium’s 7th Na- –– provision of financial, technological 2.1. Summary information on GHG emission 2.2. National inventory arrangements
tional Communication under the UNFCCC and capacity building support to devel- trends National inventory system is detailed
is the 3rd Biennial Report of Belgium under oping-country Parties (Section 6); Belgium reduced its total GHG emis- under Chapter 3.3. No change has occurred
decision 2/CP.17 of the Conference of the –– other reporting matters (Section 7). sions between 1990 and 2015 by 19.7 %. since the 6th Belgian National Communica-
Parties under the UNFCCC. In line with These emissions amounted 117.4 Mt eq. tion and 2nd Biennial Report.
As requested (Decision 19/CP.18 -
UNFCCC biennial reporting guidelines for CO2 in 2015 (excluding LULUCF) and
Document: FCCC/CP/2012/8/Add.3), the
developed-country Parties, the information 115.2 Mt eq. CO2 (including LULUCF).
Common Tabular Format (CTF) has also
is structured as follows:
been input into the BR-CTF electronic re- For further information on emissions
–– information on greenhouse gases porting application. trends, please refer to Chapter 3.2 and CTF
(GHG) emissions and trends (Section
Tabular information as defined in the Table 1.
2);
–– quantified economy-wide emission re- common tabular format (CTF) for the UN-
duction target (Section 3); FCCC biennial reporting guidelines for
–– progress towards the achievement of developed country Parties (UNFCCC deci-
quantified economy-wide emission re- sion 19/CP.18) have been submitted to the
duction targets (Section 4); UNFCCC through the electronic reporting
–– projections (Section 5); facility provided by the UNFCCC Secre-
tariat as required by UNFCCC decision 19/
CP.18.

Annex 2. 3rd biennial report 155


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3. Quantified economy wide emission reduction tified economy wide emission reduction
target in a submission as part of the process
it is included in the EU ETS are in-
cluded in the target2.
target of clarifying the developed country Parties’
targets in 2012 (FCCC/AWGLCA/2012/
–– A limited number of CERs, ERUs and
units from new market-based mech-
MISC.1). anisms may be used to achieve the
The EU clarified that accounting rules target: in the ETS, the use of interna-
Under the Kyoto Protocol, a single with this objective for the 3 first years of for its target under the UNFCC are more tional credits is capped (up to 50 % of
European Union Kyoto Protocol reduc- the period. ambitious than the current rules under the the reduction required from EU ETS
tion target for greenhouse gas emissions Kyoto Protocol, for example, including sectors by 2020). Quality standards
In 2010, the EU submitted a pledge
of -8 % compared to base-year levels was international aviation, and adding an an- also apply to the use of international
to reduce its GHG emissions by 20 % by
negotiated for the first commitment period, nual compliance cycle for emissions un- credits in the EU ETS, including a ban
2020, compared with 1990 levels in order
and a Burden Sharing Agreement allocated der the Effort Sharing Decision or higher on credits from LULUCF projects and
to limit the global temperature increase to
the target between Member States of the Clean Development Mechanism quality certain industrial gas projects. In the
less than 2°C above pre industrial period
European Union. Under this agreement, standards under the EU Emissions Trad- ESD sectors, the annual use of interna-
(FCCC/CP/2010/7/Add.1). The EU had
the Belgian quantified emission limitation ing System). Accordingly, the following tional credits is limited to up to 3 % of
also committed to raising this target to a
was 92.5 % on base-year levels. Belgium assumptions and conditions apply to the each Member State’s ESD emissions in
30 % emission reduction by 2020 com-
overachieved its commitments for the first EU’s 20 % target under the UNFCCC: 2005, with a limited number of Mem-
pared with 1990 levels, provided that other
commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol ber States being permitted to use an
developed countries also commit to achiev- –– The EU Convention pledge does not
from 2008 to 2012, reducing its emissions additional 1 % from projects in Least
ing comparable emission reductions, and include emissions/removals from Land
(expressed on an annual basis) by 13.9 % Developed Countries or Small Island
that developing countries contribute ade- Use, Land Use Change and Forestry,
compared to the base year. Developing States, subject to condi-
quately, according to their responsibilities but it is estimated to be a net sink over
tions.
For the second commitment period of and respective capabilities. This offer was the relevant period. EU inventories also
–– The Global Warming Potentials used to
the Kyoto Protocol (2013 to 2020), the EU reiterated in the submission to the UNFC- include information on emissions and
aggregate GHG emissions up to 2020
and its member States (together with Ice- CC by the EU-28 and Iceland on 30 April removals from LULUCF in accordance
under EU legislation were those based
land) agreed to jointly meet a 20 % reduc- 20141. with relevant reporting commitments
on the Second Assessment Report of
tion target compared to 1990 1990 levels under the UNFCCC. Accounting for
The definition of the Convention target the IPCC when the target was submit-
(base year). The target for the European LULUCF activities only takes place
for 2020 is documented in the revised note ted. In accordance with the CMP Deci-
Union and its Member States is based on under the Kyoto Protocol.
provided by the UNFCCC Secretariat on sion to revise the GWPs to those from
the understanding that it will be fulfilled –– The target covers the gases CO2,
the ‘Compilation of economy-wide emis- the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report
jointly with the European Union and its CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs and SF6.
sion reduction targets to be implemented revised GWPs from AR4 were adopt-
Member States. The 20 % emission reduc- –– The target refers to 1990 as a single
by Parties included in Annex I to the Con-
tion target by 2020 is unconditional and
vention’ (FCCC/SB/2011/INF.1/Rev.1 of 7 base year for all covered gases and In the EU, the sum of emissions covered by catego-
2
supported by legislation in place since 2009
(Effort Sharing Decision EC/406/2009).
June 2011). In addition, the EU provided all Member States. Emissions from ries 1.A.3.a 'domestic aviation' and memo item 'in-
ternational bunkers - aviation' go beyond the scope
additional information relating to its quan- international aviation to the extent of the EU target, as emissions from international
Under this decision, Belgium has a com-
aviation are included in the EU Climate and Ener-
mitment of -15 % compared to 2005 for the gy Package and the EU target under the UNFCCC
non-ETS sector. Belgium is in compliance European Union, its Member States and Iceland
1
to the extent to which aviation is part of the EU
submission pursuant to par 9 of decision 1/CMP.8'. ETS.

Annex 2. 3rd biennial report 156


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ed for the EU ETS. The revised GWPs


were taken into account for the revision
of the ESD target. For the implementa-
tion until 2020, GWPs from AR4 will
be used consistently with the UNFCCC
reporting guidelines for GHG invento-
ries.
Description of national targets is pro-
vided in Chapter 4.1.2.
Description of the quantified economy
wide emission reduction target is provided
Table A: Key facts of the Convention target of the EU-28 in CTF Table 2.
For more information on the imple-
Parameters Target mentation architecture, we refer to chapter
Base Year 1990 3.1.2 of the 2nd Belgian Biennial report.
Target Year 2020 Detailed information on the EU tar-
Emissions Reduction target -20 % in 2020 compared to 1990 get compliance architecture as well as an
Gases covered CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs, SF6 overview table of EU targets (international
Global Warming Potential AR4 commitments and EU domestic legisla-
All IPCC sources and sectors, as measured by the full tion) can be found in section 3 of the 3rd
Sectors Covered annual inventory, international aviation to the extent it is Biennial report of the EU.
included in the EU ETS
Land Use, Land-Use Change,
and Forestry Excluded
(LULUCF)
Possible to a certain extent under the EU ETS and the
Use of Flexible Mechanisms
ESD

Conditional offer to move to a 30 % reduction by


2020 compared to 1990 levels as part of a global
and comprehensive agreement for the period beyond
Other 2012, provided that other developed countries commit
themselves to comparable emission reductions and that
developing countries contribute adequately according to
their responsibilities and respective capabilities.

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4. Progress with achievement of quantified economy wide emission


reduction targets and relevant information

4.1. Mitigation actions and their effects


Description of policy making process Table B: Impact of the measures per cluster
is provided in Chapter 4.1.
Description of domestic and regional Estimate of
mitigation impact
programs, legislative arrangements, en- Field of action Clusters of measures (2020)
forcement and administrative procedure is
provided in Chapter 4.2. kt eq CO2
EP-A Environmentally friendly energy production 7775.63
Description of mitigation policies and EP
Energy production
measures and their effects is provided in and conversion EP-B Energy efficient electricity production 4526.01
Chapter 4.3.
EC-A Cross-cutting issues 7017.69
Information on mitigation actions and Energy conservation
their effects on the achievement of the EC EC-B Residential sector 572.03
in buildings
quantified economy wide emissions reduc- EC-C(*) Tertiary sector 391.69
tion target is provided in CTF table 3.
IP-A Energy efficiency in industry 3267.22
Table B gives these estimates of the
Reduce industrial
impact of the 4 main areas of action: elec- IP IP-B Reduce F-gases emissions 1647.00
emissions
tricity generation, buildings, industry and
IP-C Reduce N2O emissions in industrial processes 3362.21
transport.
TR-A Promote the intermodality of transport means 495.15

4.2. Estimates of emission reductions and TR-B Improve transport efficiency 178.08


removals and the use of units from the TR Sustainable transport
TR-C Promoting environmentally friendly vehicles 11.56
market-based mechanisms and land-
use change and forestry activities TR-D Promoting biofuels 3264.00
The development of GHG emissions is Varia 4189.54
reported in CTF Table 4 for Belgium. As
a KP Party, Belgium supplemented Table Total 36697.81
4(a)II in its 2018 submission, but not Table
4(a)I.

Annex 2. 3rd biennial report 158


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Figures on the use of market mecha-


nisms in CTF Table 4 relate exclusively to
od (CP1) of the Kyoto Protocol, have been
withdrawn in the year 2015 during the ad-
6. Provision of financial, technological
the Belgian part of the EU target. ditional period for fulfilling commitments
(true-up period). For further information
and capacity-building support to
In general, in the EU, the use of flexible
mechanisms can take place on the one hand
on those numbers, please see Chapter 5.3 developing‑country Parties
of NC7.
by operators in the EU ETS, on the other
hand by governments for the achievement At present, the use of flexible mech-
of ESD targets. For information on the lim- anisms under the ESD can only be quan-
its and the types of international credits that tified for the year 2013. Indeed, the com- Over the period 2015-2016, Belgium tion ratio the federal government accounts
can be used under the ETS and under the pliance assessment for the first year under provided 148 million euro of public sup- for half of this yearly commitment. The
ESD, please see Chapter 5.3 of NC7. For the ESD (2013) only took place in 2016- port to developing country Parties (see regions provide the other half as follows:
information on the use in the ETS please 2017, and the 2014 cycle still is ongoing. CTF Tables 7, 8 and 9), mainly through 14.5 million EUR by the Flemish region,
see the 3rd BR of the European Union. During 2013, under the ESD, no flexible grants and some concessional loans. 8.25 million EUR by the Walloon region
mechanisms were used by Belgium. For This financial, technological and capaci- and 2.25 million EUR by the Brussels Cap-
CTF Tables 4 and 4(b) show that the re- ty-building support to non-Annex I Parties ital region3.
further information, please see Chapter 5.3
maining units needed to fulfill the BE com- mainly focused on:
of NC7.
mitments under the first commitment peri- Legislative and institutional framework
–– Predominantly adaptation and
of climate change policies and
cross-cutting activities;
programmes
–– Provision of bilateral and multilateral
5. Projections support under the form of grants; See also Chapter 7.1.
–– Contributions mainly directed towards Regarding the contribution to interna-
Africa and Least Developed Countries tional climate finance, an internal distri-
(LDCs); bution ratio is agreed to meet Belgium’s
Information on projections are provid- Information on updated greenhouse gas –– Contributions to climate-specific mul- announcement to contribute annually EUR
ed in Chapter 5. projections is provided in CTF Table 6a. tilateral funds (Green Climate Fund, 50 million in 2016-2020:
Belgium did not provide Table 6b and 6c Adaptation Fund, Least Developed
Summary of key variables and assump- –– Federal government: EUR 25 million
as no ‘without measures’ scenario and no Countries Fund, etc.) or specialized
tions used in the projections is provided in –– Government of Flanders: EUR 14.5
‘WAM’ scenarios are available. UN agencies;
CTF Table 5. million
–– Mainly in the following sectors: mul-
–– Government of Wallonia: EUR 8.25
tisectoral, agriculture and livestock,
million
energy, water and sanitation and envi-
–– Government of Brussels-Capital Re-
ronment
gion: EUR 2.25 million
At the Conference of the Parties in De-
cember 2015, Belgium announced that it
would contribute at least 50 million EUR
yearly to international climate finance. Ac- More information on the Belgian burden-sharing
3

agreement are available on the website of the Na-


cording to a negotiated internal distribu- tional Climate Commission.

Annex 2. 3rd biennial report 159


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Provision of international climate Programmes and projects are mainly


finance through official Development developed in the following sectors: agri-
Assistance and Other Official Flows culture and livestock, environment energy
Belgian climate finance in 2015-2016 and water and sanitation. The large share
focuses on adaptation and crosscutting ac- of funds labeled as multisectoral is mainly
tivities, with 53 % and 33 % respectively, due to a large part of finance contributed to Figure C: Contribution to international climate finance - federal and regional
as presented in the Figures A, B, C and D. multilateral financial instruments. An over- governments (2015-2016)
view can be seen in the figures below.
4%

9%
Figure A: Belgian climate finance-type of support (2015-2016)
17% Brussels Capital Government
Federal Government
14%
Government of Flanders
Adaptation 70%
Walloon Government
53% Crosscutting
33% Mitigation

Figure B: Belgian Climate Finance per sector – category other includes: climate policy, Figure D: Belgian contribution to International Climate Finance- per year
support to civil society, rural development, public sector, education, agriculture and 12 000 000
food security, health, transport, forestry, fisheries and others Climate Finance
10 000 000

3% 11% 8 000 000


Average
Multisectoral Energy 6 000 000
9%
Water and sanitation Humanitarian aid
43% 4 000 000
2015 COP Paris Pledge
Agriculture and
10% Other
livestock
Environment 2 000 000
13%
13% 0
2015 2016

Annex 2. 3rd biennial report 160


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Financial contributions to multilateral Federal Government 2 million EUR are disbursed in the Af-
institutions and programmes rican Climate Change Fund (ACCF). The
In 2016 new Framework Arrangements
See also Chapter 7.2.1. ACCF, managed by the African Devel-
were signed between the federal govern-
opment Bank (AfDB), provides technical
In total Belgium provided climate fi- ment and its 15 multilateral partner orga-
assistance to African countries to access
nance of 60.8 million EUR to several funds nizations. These FA’s are used to underline
international climate finance.
and organization in 2015-2016. (see Fig- the commitment to work jointly to im-
ure E). Overview of contributions to multi- plement the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Government of Wallonia
lateral funds in 2015-2016). Development and as a basis for long term
The Government of Wallonia has pro-
cooperation.
vided financial contributions to Green Cli-
During 2015-2016, Belgium provid- mate Fund (1.374 million EUR in 2015
ed 18.6 million EUR yearly to the Global and 7 million EUR in 2016) in order to
Figure E: Main Belgium: Multilateral Climate Finance per organization/fund
Environment Facility, an operating entity finance adaptation and mitigation projects.
(2015-2016)
of the financial mechanism under the UN-
0% The government of Wallonia has also
FCCC. This contribution is also un-ear-
Adaptation fund made contributions to the Adaptation Fund
marked.
19% ADB
(250 000 EUR in 2015 and 1 million EUR
25% In addition to the provision of these in 2016) to support its projects and pro-
3% Green climate fund
core resources, within the available re- grammes, which play an important role in
IFAD ASAP sources for development cooperation, a achieving the Paris Agreement objectives.
2%
LDCF significant part of the multilateral finance
Other was specifically targeting multilateral cli- Government of the Brussels-Capital Region
51% mate change funds. See also Chapter 7. The Government of the Brussels-Cap-
ital Region has contributed to provide cli-
Government of Flanders mate finance to the Green Climate Fund
See also Chapter 7. (500 000 EUR in 2015).
The Government of Flanders has con- As from 2016, an internal burden shar-
tributed to the Green Climate Fund (3.5 ing distribution of the Belgian climate
Table C: Contributions to the Global Environment Facility million EUR in 2015 and 6.25 million finance international commitments has
EUR in 2016). required the Government of the Brus-
Contributions to the Global Environment sels-Capital Region to provide 11 250 000
2015 2016 The Government of Flanders also pro- EUR to climate finance for the years
Facility (in EUR)
vided support through the Adaptation Fund 2016-2020. The Government of the Brus-
GEF Trust Fund 18 600 000 18 600 000 (6.25 million EUR in 2016), which financ- sels-Capital Region has disbursed by now
Least Developed Countries Fund 0 15 000 000 es projects and programmes that help vul- new and additional financial contributions
Special Cimate Change Fund 0 0 nerable communities in developing coun- to the Adaptation Fund (2 500 000 EUR
tries adapt to climate change. in 2016) and to the Green Climate Fund
(2 500 000 EUR in 2016) for this period.

Annex 2. 3rd biennial report 161


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Bilateral and Regional Financial the federal government reflects this poli-
Contributions cy towards Least Developed Countries in
See also Chapter 7. Africa. 52 % of bilateral climate finance
is directed towards activities in LDC’s in
A top 20 of recipient countries can be the period 2015-2016, which reflects an in-
Figure F: Top 20 of recipient countries of Belgian bilateral climate finance seen in Figure F. creasing trend.
in 2015‑2016 (in EUR)
Federal Government The Belgian Investment Company for
Development Cooperation (BIO) is anoth-
In 2015, Belgium renewed its list of er important actor in providing funds for
10 000 000 partner countries and decided to focus climate investments. Their climate port-
8 000 000 most of its support on 14 countries: Benin, folio mainly consists of projects in the re-
6 000 000 Burkina Faso, Burundi, DR Congo, Guin- newable energy sector, mostly by provid-
4 000 000 ea, Mali, Morocco, Mozambique, Niger, ing loans and equity. Its overall portfolio
2 000 000 Palestinian territories, Rwanda, Senegal, for 2015-2016 represented commitments
0 Tanzania and Uganda. of 223 million EUR, of which 23 % can be
In parallel to the bilateral support pro- considered climate finance.
Vi ue
m
ng via
R)

ru
ya

Rw da

Bu da

M di
Se i

l
Ta ali

ia

in n

ni Ec so
er dor

s
M an
e, cco

A ia
ia
aw

ga

ie
rk eni
an

b
er
na

n
Pe

a
q

en

n
an

d
(D

or
Co oli

ne

m
ru

aF

an ua

qu oro
bi

ga

al

Su

lg
nz
et

Bu B
K

rit

Za
am

vided to these 14 countries, Belgium also


B

See also Chapter 7.2.


o

U
oz

T
M

supports civil society organizations that

bi
am
sti

oz
le
Pa operate in a wider range of developing Government of Flanders

M
i,
countries.

aw
See Chapter 7.2.
al
M
In the reporting period bilateral fi-
nance provided by the federal government Government of Wallonia
amounted to 76.5 million EUR. See Chapter 7.2.
The federal government aims to direct
50 % of its ODA towards Least Developed Government of the Brussels-Capital Region
Figure G: Bilateral Climate Finance: distribution per region (2015-2016)
Countries. Bilateral climate finance by See Chapter 7.2.
4%

14%
Africa Table D: Climate Finance investments by BIO 2013-2016 (net commitments excluding exits)
America
20% Asia year Total net commitments (EUR) Climate Finance (EUR)  %
62% Global
2015 84 236 622 1 000 000 1.2
2016 138 862 133 49 984 500 3.6
Total 223 098 755 50 984 500 23 %

Annex 2. 3rd biennial report 162


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Activities relating to transfer of and


access to technologies and capacity
7. Other reporting matters
building
An overview of activities related to
technology transfer and capacity building Belgium’s domestic arrangements re- –– The cooperation agreement between
can be found in the CTF Tables 8 and 9. lated to self-assessment of compliance the Federal state and the three regions
See also Chapter 7.3. with emission reduction commitments on the burden sharing for 2013-2020
at European and international levels, as climate and energy goals (non-ETS
Mobilization of Private Sector support well as the establishment of national rules targets as well as the share of renew-
through public intervention for taking local action against domestic able energies). As soon as it has been
In addition to playing its part in provid- non-compliance with emission reduction approved by the four parliaments, this
ing public climate finance, Belgium is di- targets, including: cooperation agreement will provide the
recting its efforts towards mobilizing flows legal basis for the decisions to be tak-
–– The mechanism for increasing aware-
of private finance for climate-related proj- en to respect the commitments entered
ness of climate responsibility among
ects in developing countries, as this it is into by Belgium under the European
the Regions for the building sector (see
pivotal to achieving long-term transforma- Energy & Climate Package. Section
Chapter 4.2.1.3).
tion of developing countries into low-car- 6 of this cooperation agreement ad-
–– A substitution right for international
bon and climate-resilient economies. dresses regional and federal compli-
obligations under the UNFCCC and its
ance rules, a.o. the possibility for the
Actors and Channels to mobilize Protocols (see Chapter 4.2.1.4).
Regions to use credits, the provision of
private sector support financial compensation by the Federal
See Chapter 7.4.1. level to the Regions.

Efforts to improve the tracking and


reporting of mobilized private climate
finance
See Chapter 7.4.2.

Methodological Approach for


tracking of the provision of financial,
technological and capacity-building
support to non-Annex I Parties
See Chapter 7.5.

Annex 2. 3rd biennial report 163


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Annex 3. Description of models used

I. Flemish energy and greenhouse gas simulation –– a representation of the structure of res-
idential heating (type and age) and of
searches for the most cost optimal mix of
electricity generating installations (includ-
model residences (idem for the heating of ter-
tiary buildings).
ing import) to produce the necessary elec-
tricity, taking into account different time
–– Share of the emissions, per sector, issu- slices (electricity demand is not equal in
ing from processes (and therefore not winter and in summer, neither during night
A new Flemish simulation model has –– the construction of a reference scenar- related to fuel consumption). or day), based on production efficiencies
been developed in 2014 (and is contin- io (business as usual), representing the –– For the agricultural emissions (dust, and fuel cost. The model offers the possi-
uously updated since) to construct short expected future evolution in the ab- greenhouse gasses and ammonia emis- bility to install additional production ca-
term projections for Flanders. sence of any new emission reduction sions from stables and manure), the pacity (CCGT or gas turbine).
policy based on expected economic and starting point is the number of animals
The simulation model is a projection For all energy consuming sectors, ener-
demographic evolutions; (detailed per animal category and per
model for energy demand, greenhouse gas gy consumption is translated into emission
–– constructing emission reduction sce- type of stable) and the amount of ma-
emissions and emissions of air pollutants projections through emission factors (per
narios, based on the implementation of nure that is spread out.
(SO2, NOx, PM and VOC) that covers most fuel) that reflect policy (either current pol-
a combination of reduction measures; For the residential sector, projections icy or additional measures). For industry
of the relevant emission sectors (energy
–– assessing the impact of existing or draft are driven by assumptions on degree days and electricity production, current emis-
sector, industry, waste, agriculture, resi-
legislations on energy consumption in the future, the share of new residences sion factors are compared to the emission
dential and commercial buildings).
and emission levels. and the lifetime of existing installations. factors based on policy and the lowest of
This simulation model works as a Policies on energy efficiency and ecode- both is used (installations that already com-
The model starts from reference year
“bottom-up” type, i.e. explaining energy sign are taken into account. ply with future emission standards don’t
data:
consumptions and emissions from activi- need to achieve additional reductions). For
ty variables expressed as far as possible in –– energy demand per industrial sector; For industry, major assumptions are the
the residential sector, the emission factors
physical units, and the main determining –– emissions per industrial sector; evolution of industrial activity and energy
take into account the use of different types
factors of the evolution of energy demand –– large combustion plants and all elec- efficiency (yearly growth rate per sector),
of boilers and stoves.
and emissions. tricity producing plants are included at the share of CHP per sector and the life-
installation level (energy consumption, time of installations (as new installations For the agricultural sector, the predict-
The model, which includes a database electricity production and emissions); can mostly respect lower emission levels ed number of animals is multiplied with
on the energy consumption, emission fac- –– detailed information on the evolution than existing ones). This leads to a projec- animal specific emission factors (for both
tors, activity data and reduction effects of of the installed power for electricity tion on energy consumption and electricity. greenhouse gases and for ammonia and
climate & energy and air quality policy generation (including electricity im- dust). These emission factors are lower
measures, can be used in particular for: Electricity demand from all sectors (in-
port); for the new low emission stables. Also the
cluding transport) is the main driver for the
amount of manure that is spread out is mul-
electricity part of the model. The model
tiplied with specific emission factors.

Annex 3. Description of models used 164


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II. EPM model Sectoral disaggregation tion. For road transportation, the modelling
is carried out in a separate module allowing
Industry is represented by about a hun-
dred activity variables (pig iron produc- to calculate emission levels as a function of
tion, oxygen steel production, ethylene the average specific energy consumptions
production, clinker production, flat glass of vehicles at the time of their first use and
EPM (Energy/Emissions Projection in monetary value and actual energy con-
production…). The large energy consump- taking into account (European) regulations
Model) is a projection model for ener- sumption.
tion branches are modelled more in detail on polluting emissions applicable at that
gy demand and atmospheric emissions
The model, which includes a tech- than the others. For example, iron & steel time.
that covers all relevant emission sectors
no-economic data based on the energy production is taken into account according
(energy sector, industry, residential, com- For each sector, the energy consump-
consumption and emission reduction mea- to the given process (agglomeration, blast
mercial, transport). It has been developed tions are subdivided according to the en-
sures, is used in particular for: furnace, oxygen steel production…); for
progressively by ECONOTEC since 1993 ergy use (heating, fans, compressors, cool-
within the framework of a number of stud- –– the construction of a reference scenario the chemical industry about twenty basic ing, lighting…). For each emission source,
ies performed for public authorities at (business as usual), representing the ex- products are distinguished. the reduction measures are identified, as a
boththe regional and the national level. pected future evolution in the absence In the residential sector we consider function of the use of energy, and costs and
of any new emission reduction policy; existing and new houses, existing and new performances are evaluated, as well as the
Given the heterogeneity of sectors such
–– evaluating economic emission reduc- apartments (electric and non-electric heat- technical potential of these measures. By
as the iron & steel industry, the chemical
tion potentials; ed), domestic water heating and 10 specific measure, by sector, by energy use and by
sector or the residential sector, it is neces-
–– constructing emission reduction sce- uses of electricity (cooking, refrigerators, year, the model calculates the cost per ton
sary to take into account internal structural
narios, based on the reduction mea- washing machines, dryers…). The heat of CO2 as the sum of the annualised invest-
effects, i.e. dinstinct evolutions according
sures with a load is estimated using a separate mod- ment cost and the operating costs, minus
to sub-sectors if these sub-sectors have dif-
–– marginal cost below a given ceiling; ule, from a typology of the building stock the value of the energy saving achieved.
ferent levels of specific consumptions or
–– constructing cost curves, providing ei- composed of 14 type-dwellings, of which The latter is a function of the energy car-
emissions.
ther the marginal or the total cost as a the size and the thermal characteristics are rier, the sector, the year and a possible tax.
EPM is a simulation model of the “bot- function comprehensively defined. In this module,
tom-up” type, i.e. explaining energy con- –– of the level of emission or energy con- the energy consumptions are calculated Reference scenario
sumptions and GHG emissions from activ- sumption reduction; using the performances of 15 heat pro-
ity variables expressed as far as possible in –– assessing the impact of existing or draft In a first step, energy consumptions and
duction, distribution or emission systems.
physical units, and containing a detailed legislations on energy consumptions, emissions are calculated for a reference
In the tertiary sector, about 30 sub-sectors
representation of emission sources and the –– emission levels and costs. year, recent past year serving as a basis for
are grouped into 8 categories, and 5 ener-
main determining factors of the evolution the projections. These consumptions and
The present model description is fo- gy uses are distinguished (heating, venti-
of energy demand and the various types of emissions are then projected into the future
cused on energy consumptions and CO2 lation, cooling, lighting and other electric
emissions. on the basis of assumptions on evolutions
emissions, but the situation is similar for uses). The activity variable is the floor sur-
of various factors (activity variables, spe-
This methodological option is based on other atmospheric pollutants CH4, N2O, face area of buildings.
cific consumptions, emission factors).
the observation that there is no simple and SO2, NOx and VOCs. The case of fluorinat- In the transportation sector, the distinc-
homogeneous relationship between aggre- ed gases, which has been handled for the Two emission categories are consid-
tion is made between road transportation of
gated macroeconomic variables expressed Federal Department of the Environment, ered: emissions linked to energy consump-
persons, road transportation of goods, rail
requires a more specific approach. tion and “process” emissions.
transportation and inland water transporta-

Annex 3. Description of models used 165


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Emissions of the reference year For each sub-sector, the consumption of electricity (atomization, electronic of- made, divided by the yearly energy saving
The basic data used for the reference by type of fuel is obtained by multiply- fice equipment…). Exogenous evolutions or emission reduction level.
year are the energy consumptions of the ing the total consumption for fuels by the of (fuel or process) emission factors are
This set of data allows to calculate two
statistical energy balances (by sector and “market share” of each fuel. The latter is also allowed, so as to take into account any
types of reduction potentials:
by energy carrier). Some corrections are based on the fuel market shares for the sec- emission reductions due to any decisions
tor as a whole and any additional relevant already made. –– a technical reduction potential;
applied to these consumptions, e.g. a cli-
data for the sub-sector. –– an “economic” reduction potential.
matic correction on energy consumptions
for space heating, so as to obtain an aver- Emissions linked to fuel consump- Reduction potential The technical potential corresponds
age climate, and hence to project an aver- tions are obtained by multiplying the fuel to the maximum implementation of all
Energy saving measures are often reduction measures, while the economic
age climate. consumptions with an emission factor ex- linked to a particular type of energy use potential corresponds to the fraction of the
However, these energy balances are pressed by unit of energy consumption. (heating, pumps, fans, refrigeration, light-
Process emissions are calculated by multi- technical potential for which the unit cost
generally quite aggregated. Typically, there ing…). Therefore, before calculating the
plying the activity variable of the sub-sec- is below a given ceiling.
are less than ten branches for industry, the reduction potential, energy consumptions
residential and commercial sectors might tor by a process emission factor. are distributed by type of energy use, on
be completely aggregated, and the internal the basis of percentage distributions by Cost dispersion
transport is only split between road, rail, Projection sub-sector. In practice this is especially In practice, the unit cost of a reduction
water and air transport. useful for electrical energy consumption measure generally appears to differ from
The energy consumption of each
In EPM, the sector disaggregation level in industry and the residential and com- one site to another, for a variety of reasons:
sub-sector is first aggregated by category
is much higher. Therefore, the energy con- mercial sectors. For CO2, about a hundred the price of equipment, the capacity utiliza-
of energy carrier. The evolutions of the ac-
sumption of the main sectors is disaggre- measures are taken into account in the tion factor, the installation costs, the O&M
tivity variables and of the specific energy
gated by sub-sector. For each of the main model, which may be specific to one or costs, the efficiency of the equipment may
consumptions which are then applied are
sub-sectors, the consumption is calculated more sectors, to one or more energy uses or all vary from one case to another.
exogenous. They are specified as an av-
by multiplying an activity variable by a generic. These measures can be classified
erage annual rate of increase by periods It is therefore little realistic to assume
specific consumption. This is done sepa- in the following categories: energy saving,
of any number of years. Future fuel mar- that each reduction measure has a unique
rately for two categories of energy carriers cogeneration, renewable energy and fuel
ket shares are also exogenous. For each cost per unit of energy or pollutant, and
(fuels, electricity). The balance, calculated substitution. Each measure is characterized
sub-sector, the default fuel market shares to consider that this measure would be
by difference, corresponds to a “balance” by several techno-economic parameters
are those of the reference year. applied either 0 % or 100 % according to
sub-sector. (energy saving rate, existing penetration
The evolution of the specific consump- rate, technical maximum penetration rate, whether this cost falls above or below a
In this way, the total energy consump- tions allows taking into account both the economic lifetime, specific investment given unit cost ceiling.
tion by sector remains consistent with the technical progress and the renewal of ex- cost, specific operation & maintenance For this reason, in EPM a dispersion
energy statistics. It should be noted that isting equipment, which naturally lead to cost). For each measure, the model calcu- around the mean value is introduced on
in the projections, the impact of any inac- a decrease of the specific consumptions, lates a specific energy saving or emission the unit cost of each reduction measure,
curacy on the activity variable or specific even in the absence of any particular pol- reduction cost, as the sum of the annual- following a given probability law. This
consumption of a sub-sector is only of the icy. It is also used for taking into account ized investment cost and the annual O&M dispersion is characterised by the ratio of
second order. the increased electricity consumption cost, minus the value of the energy saving standard deviation/mean (σ /m). For each
linked to the extension of new applications measure, this distribution allows to calcu-

Annex 3. Description of models used 166


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late the fraction of the maximum potential


which is economic, i.e. below the appropri-
III. Energy and Atmospheric Emissions projection
ate. The model also allows to draw “cost
curves”. They are a simplified way of rep-
model for Brussels Capital Region
resenting the economic reduction potential
(they don’t take into account the cost dis-
persion just mentioned).
Such curves are obtained by ranking
the reduction measures by increasing unit
cost and plotting either the unit cost or the Brussels Environment has developed For example, the residential sector is The model has been calibrated for each
cumulated total cost as a function of the its own projection model for energy de- defined by the following main parameters: sector with the regional annual energy bal-
cumulated emission reduction. This pro- mand and atmospheric emissions from ances from 2000 to 2013. The modelled
–– population and average household size
duces either a “marginal cost curve” or a stationary sources (residential, tertiary, in- energy consumptions have then been con-
(those 2 parameters define the net re-
“total cost curve”. dustry and heat and electricity sector). The verted into atmospheric emissions through
quirement for new dwellings)
horizon of the projections is 2030, after –– climate (expressed in degree-days, this emission factors, the ones used to establish
this year extrapolation for each sector has parameter is of great importance for the the emission inventories.
been done in order to estimate emissions Brussels-Capital Region, as it reflects The model also takes into account the
for 2035. the need for heating of buildings which GHG direct emissions that are not related
As a bottom-up type model, changes in represents about 70 % of regional GHG to energy consumption: i.e. the fugitive
consumption of the several energy carriers direct emissions) methane emissions of natural gas delivery,
used in the Brussels-Capital Region (nat- –– renovation rate, improvement of ener- the use of N2O for aenesthesia and aero-
ural gas, light oil, propane/butane, coal, gy efficiency expected in case of ren- sols, the emissions from the decomposition
electricity, wood, solar and heat pump) and ovation and new constructions. This of organic matter (composting plant, water
their associated emissions (CO2, CH4, N2O, improvement depends on the typolo- purification plant).
NOx, CO, NMVOC, SOx, NH3, PM) are gy of building stock composed of 140
type-dwellings: apartment or house, 5 This is a dynamic model. It allows new
determined by the evolution of parameters
age range of the building concerned, future available data to be integrated (for
that define the consumption of each sector.
the 7 energy carriers used for heating, instance future energy balances) as well
and the heating system installed (cen- as new assumptions reflecting new stud-
tral or decentralized). ies and new phenomena (in the fields of
regulation, technological change, through
awareness campaigns, incentives, or the
evolution of energy costs…).

Annex 3. Description of models used 167


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IV. Transport Emission Projection model V. Description of the Hermes-model


for the Brussels-Capital Region
HERMES6 is the macrosectoral mod- nomic growth, employment, public financ-
el used by the FPB for its national medi- es, sectoral indicators, energy demand and
The model distinguishes between road, the evolution of freight transport demand um-term outlook7. It fits in the tradition of greenhouse gas emissions.
railways and waterways transport. The (FPB, 2014). Pollutant emissions are cal- annual econometric models based on time The current version of HERMES con-
projections horizon is 2030. culated by combining fuel consumptions series analysis. The first year of an outlook tains about 8 000 equations (of which 600
with emission factors from IPCC 2006 is generally based on a short-term forecast behavioural equations) and more than
The calculation of atmospheric pollut-
Guidelines for national emission inven- made by means of MODTRIM, the FPB’s 1 200 exogenous variables (see Table E).
ants emissions and fuels consumption for
tories4. Passenger transport (trains, metro quarterly model, whereas the subsequent The model’s size is mainly a consequence
road transport is based on the European
and tramways) is driven by electricity; the years ought to be considered as a projection of breaking down the economy in 15 in-
COPERT IV approach. The main input
transport supply (and the corresponding that outlines a possible future under the dustries. HERMES also distinguishes five
data required for COPERT simulations
electricity consumption) increases by 70 % assumption of unchanged policies for the different institutional sectors: households,
(vehicles fleet and mobility) comes from
between 2012 and 2025, together with the Belgian economy and highlights the eco- non-profit institutions serving house-
a regional transport model, developed on
expected finalization of the express region- nomic imbalances that are likely to occur holds, corporate enterprises (regrouping
the basis of literature data (TREMOVE
al network (RER, French acronym). over a period of five to six years8. The me- non-financial and financial corporate en-
projections (9) and INRETS study (10)),
and recalibrated to the actual situation in For inland navigation, the evolution of dium-term outlook also analyses in detail terprises), public administrations (split
the Brussels Region using emission inven- liquid fuel (gasoil) consumption is derived the expected development of public financ- themselves into four entities: federal gov-
tories and outputs from a detailed traffic from a reference scenario of transport de- es, of the labour market as well as energy ernment, regions and communities, local
model (MUSTI). mand for Belgium (FPB, 2014). The 2014 demand and greenhouse gas emissions. authorities and social security) and the
value (starting point of the projections) HERMES is also used for scenario rest of the world. Developments within
Pollutant emission calculations with – as well as interactions between – the dif-
comes from the regional energy balance. analyses in order to determine the impact
COPERT have been performed using the ferent institutional sectors and industries
Pollutants emissions are calculated by of some shocks (e.g. on oil prices or on ex-
same software version and hypotheses as have been extensively modelled, using
combining fuel consumptions with emis- port markets’ growth) or policy measures
for the UNFCCC 2015 GHG inventory input-output data. The model’s size is also
sion factors from IPCC 2006 Guidelines (at an economic and social level) on eco-
preparation. Fuel consumptions are de- a consequence of the high level of disag-
for national emission inventories5.
tailed for gasoline, diesel, LPG and CNG. 6
More information about the HERMES model can gregation of the consumption module. The
In Belgium, biofuels are mixed with gaso- For off-road transport, the OFFREM be found in “A new version of the HERMES mod-
total consumption budget is allocated to 15
el – HERMES III”, Working Paper 13-13, Federal
line and diesel in public fuel tank stations model is used at regional scale by the 3 Re- Planning Bureau, November 2013. main categories of consumption, some of
(blends). The CO2 emissions from the bio- gions in Belgium. 7
Once a year, usually in May or June, the FPB pub- these categories being themselves disag-
genic part of fuels (bioethanol or biodies- lishes a medium-term macrosectoral outlook. Since
2014, the FPB also produces a brief provisional gregated. The energy module is also very
el) are calculated in post-treatment, on the version of this outlook in March as a contribution detailed. Aggregate energy demand of
basis of the composition of blends, which to the preparation of the Stability Programme and
each economic agent (firms, government,
the National Reform Programme that have to be
may vary from year to year. submitted to the European Commission in April. households) is computed and allocated be-
For railways, the evolution of liquid
8
See e.g. “Perspectives économiques 2016-2021– tween 6 main energy products; energy pro-
4
http://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/ Economische vooruitzichten 2016-2021”, Federal
fuel (gasoil) consumption is derived from 5
http://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/ Planning Bureau, June 2016. duction is also modelled.

Annex 3. Description of models used 168


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Table E: Main characteristics of HERMES

Industries Energy and environment Consumption categories Institutional sectors


Agriculture Coal Food, beverages and tobacco Households
Energy Coke - Food NPISH
Intermediary goods Crude oil - Non alcoholic beverages Corporate enterprises
Equipment goods Petroleum products - Alcoholic beverages - Non financial corporate enterprises
Consumption goods - Gas/diesel oil - Tobacco - Credit institutions and insurance enterprises
Construction - Residual fuel oil Clothing and footwear General Government
Transports and communications - Motor spirit Gross rent - Federal government
- Rail and road transportation - Diesel for transportation Fuel for heating - Regions and Communities
- Air, maritime and fluvial transportation -Jet fuels - Solid fuels Brussels Region
- Other transport services and Gasses - Liquid fuels Walloon Region
communication - Natural gas - Natural gas Flemish Region and Flemish Community
Trade, lodging and catering services - Derived gasses Power French Community
Services of credit and insurance institutions - Coke oven gas Domestic services - Local authorities
Health care - Blast-furnace gas Furniture and household equipment - Social security fund
Other services to households and firms Electricity Personal transport equipment Rest of the world
Public administrations and education Other fuels Fuels for personal transport
Other non-market services Renewables (biomass, wind energy, hydro - Motor spirit – 8.000 equations (of which about 600
energy, solar heat, etc.) - Diesel behavioural equations econometrically
estimated)
- Others
– 1.200 exogenous variables (world
Greenhouse gasses Purchased transport trade, external prices, external interest
- CO2 energetic - Passenger transport by train, tram and rates, demography and labour supply,
- CO2 non-energetic underground fiscal policy, etc.)
- CH4 - Passenger transport by road – 2.600 scalars (econometrically
- Other transport services estimated parameters)
- N2O
– 15 industries; 15 main consumption
- HFC, PFC, SF6 and NF3 Communication services
categories (total of 24); 6 main energy
Medical care and health service types (total of 14); 6 greenhouse
Recreation, education, culture gasses.
Other goods and services – 5 main institutional sectors (total of
Tourism abroad 12)
– Public administrations divided into 4
main entities (for a total of 7)

Annex 3. Description of models used 169


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VI. Description of the OFFREM model VII. Description of the F-gas model

The off-road sector in the OFFREM Projected off-road emissions are calcu- The projections are based on the emis- The calculation method is specific to
model consists of ten categories: off-road lated separately and are included in the cat- sion inventory for 2013, taken as reference each particular sector. All sectors of the
machinery and off-road vehicles in agri- egories 1A2g (vii) manufacturing industry year, and on the same methodology as the emission inventory have been taken into
culture, forestry, households, green area and construction, 1A3e (ii) other trans- emission inventory. They also use assump- account, even the smallest ones, which
maintenance, industry, building, harbours, portation (ports, airports and terminals), tions consistent with those of this invento- ensures complete consistency with the
airports, multimodal transhipment and de- 1A4b (ii) residential, 1A4c (ii) agriculture, ry. All calculations have been performed inventory. The future expected impact of
fence. The emission factors in OFFREM forestry & fishing and 1A5b other/mobile by extrapolating the calculation models of EC-regulation 517/2014 is taken into ac-
are based on the TREMOD model and the (defence). This is the same calculation and the emission inventory, year by year, from count.
EMEP/CORINAIR Emission Inventory allocation method as used in the Belgian 2013 up to 2030, which allows to take into
For the largest F-gas emission source
Guidebook. The emission factors take into inventory (CRF Tables). For more detailed account changes in parameters occurring
for instance, the stationary refrigeration
account the legislation in the year of con- information we can also refer to the Na- between the 5 yearly projection years, as
sector, assumptions have been made for
struction. The basic input consists of fleet tional Inventory Report. well as the dynamic aspects of yearly stock
the shares of refrigerants in new systems.
information and activity numbers. The changes.
These assumptions are based on studies
fleet information includes vehicle/machine
carried out in France by Ademe and allow
type, fuel type, engine type, year of con-
the emissions of installations to develop
struction, technology and engine capacity.
roughly in line with the phase-down of EC
The fleet and activity information can be
Regulation 517/2014.
organised in different ways in different
sectors. The output of the model calcula-
tions consists of emissions and energy use.

Annex 3. Description of models used 170


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Annex 4. Description of selected projects or programmes that


promoted practicable steps to facilitate and/or finance the
transfer of, or access to, environmentally-sound technologies
1. Name of project or programme Recipient Country 4. A carbon project has been registered with the different stages of the project: prelimi-
an approved methodology and potential cli- nary analysis, search for adapted improved
Improved cookstoves Benin ents for the carbon credits have been iden- cookstoves, experimentation, dissemination
Sector tified. Carbon credits will continue to be of techniques and good practices, monitor-
Purpose: generated and the revenues from the sale of
Energy efficiency, ing and evaluation. This has led to a high
The overall objective of the project was to CO2 reduction, these carbon credits will be reinvested for degree of adoption of the proposed im-
reduce deforestation and land degradation by Carbon project the maintenance of the existing cook stoves proved technology by the households in the
improving energy efficiency in households and and the replacement of cook stoves after project area as the cook stoves are adapted
Total Funding
promoting sustainable agricultural activities re- their life time. to the local needs and made of locally avail-
silient to climate change around the protected 346 721 EUR 5. The capacities of the local team and local able materials that are also accessible for
reserves of northern Benin. (273 533 EUR funded by Wallonia) authorities on climate change and on carbon the poorest households.
Years in operation finance have been reinforced. –– Strong awareness-raising campaigns were
The specific objectives were: 2013-2016 conducted among the beneficiary popula-
=> As this project has been a success story, the
1. Promoting an improved technology (FAE: tion, especially about the causes and risks
Achieved results: Walloon region of Belgium decided in 2016
Foyers Améliorés Erythréens – Improved of deforestation and the health problems re-
to approve a similar project, performed by the
Eritrean Cook stoves) to reduce the use of 1. 8.000 improved cook stoves are used by at lated to the traditional cook stoves (smoke
same project promoter, but in another area in
wood energy and consequently decrease least 3 500 households in 5 municipalities inhalation). The advantages of the proposed
northern Benin.
CO2 emissions; around the Pendjari National Park. The im- solution by improved cook stoves have been
2. Reduce the vulnerability of households proved cook stoves needs 50 % less wood Indicate factors which led to project’s explained, all adapted to the local context.
living from the trade of wood by promot- than the traditional 3 stones-cook stoves. success: –– The local population very quickly noticed
ing family-friendly agricultural activities 2. 387 additional improved cook stoves have the direct impacts of the improved cook
adapted to climate change; been constructed outside the project area –– The project proposal has been designed
stoves, especially on the health of their
3. Develop a carbon project to be brought with the revenues from voluntary CO2 com- bottom-up. There was a real need for these
family. This has also led to a high adoption
to the carbon market while enhancing the pensations from tourism activities in the cook stoves in the project area. The project
degree of the proposed cook stoves.
capacities of local authorities on climate Pendjari National Park. perfectly fits in the priority needs for the
–– The design of the cook stoves has been
change and of the local team and local au- 3. 267 households living from the trade of country, defined in the PANA 1.
studied in collaboration with a competent
thorities on climate change and carbon fi- wood are investing in complementary de- –– The project area was well known by the
laboratory and has been corrected in order
nance. monstrative agricultural activities resilient project promotor.
to achieve optimum energy efficiency.
to climate change. –– Since the very beginning, the local benefi-
–– A very well organized, enthusiastic project
ciary population was very much involved in
field team was set up, was in very close con-

Annex 4. Description of selected projects or programmes that promoted practicable steps to facilitate and/or finance the transfer 171
of, or access to, environmentally-sound technologies
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tact with the beneficiary population and as- Impact on greenhouse gas emissions/ 3. Project/programme title: Construction and nessing geothermic and solar energy to make
sured a continuous follow-up ‘on the field’. sinks (optional) rehabilitation of schools in the Palestinian them cooler in summer and warmer in winter,
–– The implementation of the project has in- –– Estimated reduction of 10 000  t  CO2/year. Territory    this project improves the resilience of Palestin-
creased awareness and improved knowl- Monitoring and verification is ongoing. ian schools and allows them to remain open all
edge of stakeholders on the challenges of Purpose: year long.
natural resource degradation in the Pendjari The Government of the Kingdom of Bel-
2. Project/programme title: Renewable energy in gium has been involved in the sector of school As part of the extension of the administra-
National Park and adaptation of communi-
rural areas construction in the occupied Palestinian territo- tive buildings of the Ministry of Education and
ties to the effects of climate change.
ry (oPt) since 2003, with 4 consecutive phases – High Education (MoEHE), School III provided
–– The local and national authorities were very
Recipient Country the first phase (School I - 5mi. EUR) was com- a PV installation of 7kW on the roof of the main
enthusiastic about the project.
pleted in 2010, the second (School II - 10 mi. Ministry building. A monitoring system was
–– For Benin, this project was the very first RWANDA
EUR) ended in 2012, the third was finalized in added to the installation, to measure and com-
carbon project and so a pioneer project for Sector
2014 (School III - 7mi. EUR), while the present municate the output of the system. Apart from
the country. This has increased its visibility
Energy bringing useful data to the MoEHE, this system
at regional and international level. phase, School IV, is under way, with a budget of
Total Funding 17.5 million EUR and a duration of five years. displays energy consumption and production
–– The participation of the project promoter to
279 665 EUR AWAC/8 500 EUR private The objective of the program is to improve in realtime on a screen at the main entrance of
different local events, the diffusion of a doc-
the access to education with the construction the building, thereby raising awareness of the
umentary film on the project activities and Years in operation
of new schools in the oPt. Since Phase III, the MoEHE employees and passers-by on the issue
results and the share of experiences, have
2014-2017 and the potential of this source of energy.
lead to an interest in the project from stake- focus was on the construction quality and the
holders at national level (in other towns) Description: experimentation of innovative techniques, es-
Indicate factors which led to project’s
and regional levels (Togo and Nigeria). pecially on passive buildings.
Capacity building of local entrepreneurs success:
–– The local project promoter was assisted by with minimum experience in pico-hydro devel- –– Presence of design companies able to in-
a Belgian partner to elaborate the carbon opment who lacked expertise to conceive, im- Recipient Country tegrate green building concepts into their
project and search for potential clients in- plement and manage off grid projects efficient- Palestinian Territory design thanks to the input of international
terested in the purchase of the carbon cred- ly, reliably and sustainably. Gathering these Sector consultancy;
its. The knowledge of the Belgian partner entrepreneurs under an umbrella group for off
Education/Infrastructure –– Availability of construction companies able
was very useful as the set-up of a carbon grid projects’ development. to integrate appropriate technologies;
project is quite complex, both on the proce- Total Funding
–– Availability of companies able to install and
dural and the administrative level. Indicate factors which led to project’s School III: 7. Mi EUR maintain PV panel systems;
–– The strict procedures of the carbon proj- success: School IV: 17.5 mi EUR –– MoEHE was keen to integrate innovative
ect-process, requested by Gold Standard, –– Previous experience of the trainees Years in operation technologies into the design of the Palestin-
has led to a very good monitoring of the in- –– Quality of the trainers (JLA Hydro, Bel-
School III: 2010-2014 ian schools and to maintain them.
stalled cook stoves and resulted in an orga- gium)
nizational improvement of the project team School IV: 2014-2019
Technology transferred:
and an improvement of the follow-up of the Technology transferred: Description: –– Green building concepts (orientation, sun
construction and the use of the improved –– Analysis and design of pico hydro power
cook stoves, in a professional database. This adaptation program builds on innova- protection, insulation…)
sites tive practices to improve the learning condition –– Geothermal ducts, solar chimneys, solar
Technology transferred: –– Manufacturing of equipment walls,
of Palestinian children in West Bank. By im-
–– Improved cookstoves Impact on greenhouse gas emissions/ proving the eco-design of the schools through –– Photovoltaic panel systems connected to
–– Carbon project (voluntary market) sinks (optional) the incorporation of environmental, cost effec- the grid
–– Hydropower prevents the use of energy to tiveness and users’ comfort concepts, and har-
produce electricity

Annex 4. Description of selected projects or programmes that promoted practicable steps to facilitate and/or finance the transfer 172
of, or access to, environmentally-sound technologies
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Impact on greenhouse gas emissions/sinks –– Clear goal of the AfDB to triple its annu- 5. Project/programme title: Flemish Water
Recipient Country
(optional) al climate financing to reach $5 billion for Development Partnership/ Vlaams
Africa a year by 2020 $5  billion a year by 2020
–– Thermic users’ comfort was improved with- Partnerschap Water voor Ontwikkeling
out energy production Sector (the Bank’s Climate Change Action Plan + (VPWvO)   
–– Energy produced without using fossile en- multisector 2013-2022 strategy)
–– Country ownership: projects are designed Purpose:
ergy Total Funding
to respond to demonstrated needs of Afri- The Flemish Water for Development Part-
2 million EUR can countries and are executed by national nership aims to contribute to SDG 6 (before:
4. Project/programme title: African Climate Years in operation government or non-government actors MDG 7c) by implementing sustainable water
Change Fund    2018-2019 –– Leverage effect: investing in technical as- and sanitation projects in the global South, also
sistance helps African countries to attract fostering the transfer of expertise and technol-
Purpose: Description: ogy.
climate finance
The ACCF specifically aims to: The African Climate Change Fund (ACCF) –– Clear monitoring and evaluation framework Involving over 90 partners, ranging from
–– Assist African countries to access larger was created by the African Development Bank of the fund, cooperation with the Environ- NGOs, public water companies, private firms
amounts of climate finance and use provid- in April 2014 with an initial contribution of 4 ment & Climate Finance division within the over local authorities and regional administra-
ed funds more effectively; 725 million EUR from the government of Ger- African Development Bank tions to academic and research institutions ac-
–– Help African countries to account for cli- many to support African countries developing –– The African Development Bank is an ac- tive in the water sector, the Flemish Water for
mate change in their growth strategies and resilience to the negative impacts of climate credited implementing partner of the Green Development Partnership creates leverages and
policies, by means of upstream diagnostics change and in transitioning to sustainable Climate Fund. synergies between local actors in the South and
and providing technical assistance; low-carbon growth. –– The ACCF is a member of the Readiness actors in Flanders.
–– Facilitate African countries' development of Coordination Mechanism of Green Climate
The ACCF secured an additional fund-
investment plans and climate-resilient and Fund and coordinates closely with the GCF
ing commitment of 4.7 million EUR from the Recipient Country
low-carbon projects; Secretariat and other partners to ensure co-
government of Italy at the end of 2015 and a
–– Co-finance climate-resilient and low-car- ordination and complementarity of support- Global
commitment of 2 million EUR from the gov-
bon projects; ed activities Sector
ernment of Flanders, Belgium in 2016, bringing
–– Collect, consolidate, analyse and dissem- –– The new multi-donor structure allows for Water and sanitation
the total contributions to the ACCF since its in-
inate information and learnings related to other donors to step in
ception to over 11.4 million EUR. These com- Years in operation
climate-resilient and low-carbon develop-
mitments have allowed the ACCF to scale-up to Technology transferred: Since 2004
ment;
a multi-donor trust fund. On March 15, 2017,
–– Provide capacity-building in climate change –– preparation for accessing climate funding;
the Board of Directors of the African Develop- Description:
and green growth for African countries and integration of climate change and green
ment Bank (AfDB) approved the conversion of For a Flemish Partnership project to be ap-
stakeholders at national and regional levels; growth into strategic documents and/or
the Africa Climate Change Fund (ACCF) to a proved for co-financing by the government of
–– Help African countries to prepare for projects; preparation and funding of adap-
multi-donor trust fund. Flanders, at least two Flemish partners and at
conferences of parties to the United Na- tation and mitigation projects; piloting of
tions Framework Convention on Climate innovative adaptation approaches and tech- least one local partner must cooperate and con-
Indicate factors which led to project’s
Change. nologies; climate change-related knowl- tribute to the project. Flemish actors can either
success:
edge management and information sharing; contribute financially, or in the form of techni-
–– A clear need to scale up access to interna- cal expertise, or in a combination of both. These
capacity building; preparation of climate
tional climate finance for African countries, partnerships create synergies and a healthy ex-
change-resilient and low-carbon strategies
which are heavily underrepresented as re- change of knowledge and expertise, for the ben-
and policies; green growth analysis work;
cipient efit of all involved (North and South). Appro-
advocacy and awareness-raising.
priate tools and technology are chosen, taking

Annex 4. Description of selected projects or programmes that promoted practicable steps to facilitate and/or finance the transfer 173
of, or access to, environmentally-sound technologies
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Annex 5. Acronyms
into account the capacity of the beneficiaries.
Examples can be given in the field of sanitary
infrastructure, drinking water installations, so-
lar energy, drinking water quality, water source
protection, etc. Every project also includes a ca-
pacity building component to guide and coach
the stakeholders to use the tools and technology, AAU Assigned Amount Unit
to maintain the installations and to transfer the AEA Annual Emission Allowances
infrastructure and good practices to the stake- AED Administration for Equipment and Travel of the Brussels Capital Region
holders.
ALARO Atmospheric numerical model are used for making weather forecasts
To date, these projects benefited over one AMICE Adaptation of the Meuse to the Impacts of Climate Evolutions
million southern citizens in terms of access to
ANAEE Infrastructure for Analysis and Experimentation on Ecosystems
water, and over 800 000 in terms of meeting
their sanitation needs. APERe Association for the promotion of renewable energy
AR5 5th Assessment Report of IPCC
This Partnership is one of the channels for
AWAC Walloon Agency for Air and Climate
providing international climate finance by the
Government of Flanders, but its main focus is BatEx Exemplary Buildings Project
on water and sanitation. Only climate-related BBRI Belgian Building Research Institute
support is reflected in the field “total funding”. BCR Brussels Capital region
BELLS Belgian Lightning Location System
Indicate factors which led to project’s
success: BELSPO BELgian Science POlicy
–– A broad range of partners are involved BERA Belgian Energy Research Alliance
–– Local ownership BIO Belgian Investment Company for Developing Countries
–– Leverage effect in terms of finance and ca- BISA Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy
pacity building BLAST Bringing Land and Sea Together
–– N-N, N-S and S-S Co-operation and ex-
BRAIN-2 Belgian Research Action through Interdisciplanary Network -2
change of expertise
BRAIN-BE Belgian Research Action through Interdisciplanary Network
Technology transferred: BRISTI Belgian report on science, technology and innovation 2010
–– Mainly related to drinking water and sanita- BRUGEL Society distributing gaz and electricity in the Brussels-Capital region
tion infrastructure, tools on integrated water BYE Base-year level
management, solar energy installations.
CAP Common Agricultural Policy
CC Climate Change
CCGT Combined-cycle gas power plant
CCIEP Coordination Committee for International Environmental Policy
CDM Clean Development Mechanism
CELINE Belgian Interregional Cell for the Environment
CER Certified Emission Reduction

Annex 5. Acronyms 174


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CFC chlorofluorocarbon EEDI Energy Efficiency Design Index


CGIAR Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research EERA European Energy Research Alliance
CH4  Methane EESD Education for Environment and Sustainable Development
CHP combined heat and power EPB Energy performance of buildings
CIAT International Center for tropical Agriculture EPM Energy/Emissions Projection Model
CIUF Interuniversity Council of the French Community ERA-NET European Research Area Network
CMIP5 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 Network of the European Union, Latin America and the Caribbean Countries on
ERANet-LAC
CNG Compressed Natural Gaz Joint Innovation and Research Activities
CO Carbon monoxide ErE Environmental education
CO2  Carbon dioxide ErE DD Education for Environment and Sustainable Development assignments
COBRACE Brussels Air, Climate and Energy control Code ERU Emission Reduction Unit
CONCERE Concertation between the federal state and the regions about energy ESA European Space Agency
COP Conference Of the Parties ESD Effort Sharing Decision
CORSIA Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation ESFRI European Strategic Forum on Research Infrastructures
COST European Cooperation in Science and Technology ESNII European Sustainable Nuclear Industrial Initiative
CP1 1st commitment period under the Kyoto Protocol ETS Emission Trading Scheme
CP2 2nd commitment period under the Kyoto Protocol EU European Union
CPAS Public center of social welfare EUA European Union Allowances
CRF Common reporting format EWI Economy, Science and Innovation Department
CRIE Regional center for ecology initiation FAO Food and Agriculture Organization (of the United Nations)
CSA Coordinatian and support action FCC Federal Cooperation Commission
DD Degree-days FCH Fuel Cell and Hydrogen
DG Directorate-general FEBIAC Belgian federation of the Cycle and Motor-car industry
DGARNE Directorate-general of the Agriculture, Natural Resources and Environment FED Federal Government
DGD Directorate General Development Cooperation and Humanitarian Aid FEDESCO Federal Energy Services Company
DGSIE Statistics Belgium Programme of sustainable research cooperation between the federal scientific
FED-tWIN
institutes (FSI) and the universities
DNA Designated National Authority
FP Focal Point
DRC Democratic Republic of the Congo
FPB Federal Planning Bureau
DUWOBO Transition Arena for Sustainable Living and Building
FPS Federal public service
EC European Commission
FRIS Flanders Research Information Space
ECONOTEC Energy and environmental consultants
FRS-FNRS (National) Fund for Scientific Research
EE Environmental Education
FWO Fund for Scientific Research Flanders
EEA European Economic Area
GBAORD government budget appropriations or outlays for R&D
EEA European Environment Agency
GCF Green Climate Fund

Annex 5. Acronyms 175


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GCOS Global climate observation system KLIMOS Research Platform Climate Change and Development Cooperation
GDP Gross domestic product KOMOSIE dome of environmental entrepreneurs in the social economy
GEF Global Environment Facility KP Kyoto Protocol
GHG Greenhouse gas KULeuven Catholic university of Leuven
GIZ Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit kWh kiloWatthour
GWP Global Warming Potential LDCs Least Developed Countries
HF Hydrogen fluoride LDCF Least Developed Countries Fund
HFC hydrofluorocarbon LLDCs Landlocked Developing Countries
HICP harmonised indices of consumer prices LNE Environment, Nature and energy
IBGE-BIM Brussels Environment LPG liquefied petroleum gas
ICAO International Civil Aviation Organization LSUE Leuven Sustainable Earth Research Centre
ICARDA International Center for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areas LUCF Land Use Change and Forestry
ICC International Cooperation Commission LULUCF Land Use, Land-Use Change end Forestry
ICE Interministerial Conference for the Environment MACCBET Modelling atmospheric composition and climate for the Belgian territory
ICOS Integrated Carbon Observatory System Modelling and Assessing Surface Change impacts on Belgian and Western
MASC
ICRISAT International Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics European climate
IEA International Energy Agency MDG Millennium Development Goals
IFAD International Fund for Agricultural Development MIRA Environmental report Flanders
IITA International Institute of Tropical Agriculture MODIRISK Mosquito vectors of disease: spatial biodiversity, drivers of change, and risk
ILVO Institute for Agricultural and Fisheries Research MOP Meeting Of the Parties
IMCSP Interministerial Conference on Science Policy MOS Environmental protection at school
IMO International Maritime Organization MRG Monitoring and Reporting Guidelines
INBO Research Institute for Nature and Forest MRV Monitoring, Reporting, Verification
INNOVIRIS Brussels Institute for Research and Innovation. N2O Nitrous oxide
IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change NAMA Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Action
IPF International Polar Foundation NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organization
IRCEL Belgian Interregional Cell for the Environment NCC National Climate Commission
ISABU Institute of Agricultural Sciences of Burundi NCEP National climate and energy plan
ITL International transaction log NCP National climate plan
JI Joint Implementation NGO Non-governmental organization
JP Joint Program NIR National inventory report
JPI Joint programming initiative NIS National Inventory System
Joint Programming Initiative Connecting Climate Change Knowledge for NMBS National Railway Company of Belgium
JPI-CLIK-EU
Europe NOx Nitrogen Oxides

Annex 5. Acronyms 176


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O&M Operating and maintenance RUE rational utilization of energy


ODA Official Development Assistance SAFECOAST Sustainable Coastal Risk Management in 2050
ODE Organization for sustainable energy SDG Sustainable Devlopment Goals
OECD Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development SEEMP Ship Energy Efficiency Management Plan
Development Assistance Committee of the Organization for Economic SF6  sulphur hexafluoride
OECD-DAC
Cooperation and Development SIC-Adapt Strategic Initiative Cluster - Adaptation to Spatial Impacts of Climate Change
OVAM Flemish Public Waste Agency SIDS Small Island Developing States
PAMAXEA PAtterns and Mechanisms of climate Extremes in East Africa Widening international cooperation activities on climate adaptation and
SINCERE
PAMs Policies and measures mitigation
PFC Perfluorocarbon SME Small and medium-sized enterprises
PLAGE Local Programme of Action for Energy Management SNCB National Railway Company of Belgium
PLUIES Prevention and Fight against Floods and their effects on victims SSD Science for a Sustainable Development
Forecasting and management of extreme rainfall induced risks in the urban STEREO Earth observation by satellite research programme
PLURISK
environment STI Science, Technology and Innovation
PM Particule matter STIB Brussels transport society
PMP Passive house platform Impact of Climate Change on River Hydrology and Ecology: A Case Study for
SUDEMCLL
PMV Flemish Participation Company Interdisciplinary Policy Oriented Research
ppm  parts per million TCCON Total Carbon Column Observing Network
PPS Federal Public Planning Service tCER Temporary certified emission reduction
PRDD Regional Sustainable Development Plan TECLIM Georges Lemaître Centre for Earth and Climate Research
PRI Regional Innovation Plan TIDE Tidal River Development
PV Photovoltaic Toe Ton of oil equivalent
QA/QC Quality Assurance / Quality Control TT Technology transfert
R&D Research & Development UCL Catholic university of Louvain-la-Neuve
RBINS Royal Belgian Institute of Natural Sciences UHI urban heat island
RCEP Regional Circular Economy Program UN United Nations
RCPs Representative Concentration Pathways UNCBD United Nations Convention on Biological Diversity
RD Royal decree UNCCD United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification
RER Suburban network UNDP United Nations Development Programme
RIB Research in Brussels UNEP United Nations’ Environment Programme
RIO Research and Innovation Observatory UNFCCC United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
RMCA Royal Museum for Central Africa UREBA Rational Use of Energy in Buildings
RMI Royal Meteorological Institute US United States
RMU Removal unit UV Ultraviolet
ROB Royal Observatory of Belgium UWE Walloon union of companies

Annex 5. Acronyms 177


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VAP Flemish Adaptation Plan


VAT Value added tax
VEA Flemish Energy Agency
VILT Flemish information center for agriculture and horticulture
VITO Flemish Institute for Technological Research
VLAIO Agency Flanders Innovation & Entrepreneurship
VLAKWA Flanders Knowledge Center Water
VLIR Flemish Interuniversity Council
VLIZ Flanders Marine Institute
VMM Flemish Environment agency
VMP Flemish Mitigation plan
VOC Volatile Organic compound
VOCs Volatile Organic compounds
VPWvO Flemish Partnership Water for Development
VSV Flemish foundation for road safety
VUB Free University Brussels
WAM With additional measures
WARDA West Africa Rice Development Association
WB Wallonia-Brussels
WBI Wallonia-Brussels International
WEM With Existing Measures
WG Working group
WMO World Meteorological Organisation
WWF World Wide Fund for Nature

Annex 5. Acronyms 178


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