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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
When the returns to an innovation is more for a firm that first develops the
idea, the greater is the incentive for the firm to engage in R&D activity.
In competitive market: each firm is small having little resources, and there is
threat of imitation from the rival firms.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Arrow’s view:
a firm operating under perfect competition would have the highest
possible incentive to strive for an innovation. This is because, if
successful, the firm can throw its rival out of the market and acquire
monopoly position.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Monopoly and the presence of entry barriers may then lead to inefficiencies
in innovation.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
A formal analysis:
Price
Demand
c0 b
c1 d
Social optimum:
Assume that the innovation is available for use under perfect competition
and the public pays for the R&D cost with no dead weight cost to the society.
Suppose a homogeneous good is sold at a price p and produced at a constant
marginal cost, c.
Assume a linear demand function: q (p).
Social welfare = consumer surplus + producer surplus
Market price in equilibrium : p = c.
Suppose from an R&D investment the marginal cost goes down to c1< c0.
As a result, the change in social welfare is the area c1c0bd in figure.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Monopoly production:
A process innovation is drastic if the monopoly price with the innovation is
lower than the marginal cost before the innovation: pm(c1) < c0. The new
technology makes the old technology obsolete.
If the opposite happens (pm(c1) ≥ c0) then the process innovation is known to
be non-drastic.
Price
Pm(c0) Demand
c0
pm(c1)
πm(c1)
c1
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Price
Pm(c0) Demand
pm(c0)
pm(c1) πm(c0)
c0
πm(c1)
c1
The change in monopoly profits from the cost reduction is ∆πm = πm(c1) –
πm(c0).
By comparing the social and monopoly incentive for cost reduction we find
∆W > ∆πm
The monopoly value of a process innovation is less than the social value.
Innovation replaces the monopolist’s old profit stream πm(c0) with a new profit
stream πm(c1). This is known as replacement effect.
This effect reduces the incentive of the monopolist to invest in R&D.
There is a replacement effect for the society as well.
The difference in the value of R&D stems from the differences in the output
levels between socially optimal and monopoly outputs.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Competition:
Assume that the innovator has an exclusive intellectual property rights.
There is perfect competition with the old technology. All firms are earning
zero profits.
The successful innovator’s profit from innovation is the monopoly profit
πm(c1) under drastic innovation.
Hence,
∆πC = πm (c1) > ∆πm
Thus, the incentive to invest in R&D is higher under perfect competition than
monopoly as there is no “replacement effect”.
Note that ∆πC = πm (c1) < ∆W for drastic innovation
For non-drastic innovation
The innovator would charge the price marginally less than c0 >p and earn a
profit.
So, ∆πC = (c1 – c0)q(c0) < ∆W
Thus,
Social incentive > competitive incentive > monopoly incentive for R&D.
In the theoretical models, excessive innovation may arise when the innovator
profits mainly by stealing business from its rivals, rather than by expanding
the market.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Third: firms that expect to face more product market competition after
innovation have less incentive to invest in R&D.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
In reality, many innovations are made by firms with dominant market share
such as Microsoft Corporation.
If the barriers to entry are high, the incumbent will have no immediate
need to invest in new technologies as its existing monopoly is less likely to
be challenged. However, with the possibility of leapfrogging, small potential
entrants are capable of “leapfrogging” the incumbents to gain a larger
proportion of the market.
Patent Race:
First, the incumbent earns profits while working on the innovation, while the
entrant does not. It can be shown that in the case of drastic innovations, this
replacement or ‘Arrow’ effect prevents the incumbent from winning the
race.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Sometimes the current laggard wins the next race if there is leapfrogging.
The innovative success of the current laggard does not catapult into the
technological lead, but merely closes the gap between the firms. This allows
for firms competing neck-and-neck.
As such, no easy and clearcut answer can be given to the question whether
a technological monopoly will persist.
Inverted U curve:
Imperfect market structure with strategic rivalry is the right market
structure for innovation.
An early and influential study by F. M. Scherer (1967) found that the
relationship between market structure and innovation to follow an
inverted-U pattern.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
An example
Suppose two firms searching for a new technology. The discovery is
uncertain. Suppose the discovery translates into a prize.
The required R&D investment of a firm is I (fixed).
There is a probability α of discovering the technology.
If the firm is a sole discoverer then the value is V and if both firms discover
V
then the value is each.
2
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Private
Both do R&D One does
Both One I
(2 )V
Social α(1 – α)V αV
2
(2 )V
When α(1 – α)V<I< , it is a case of market failure.
2
R&D cooperation can solve this problem.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
α(1 – α)V
I
0 α1 non-cooperative α2 1 α
Intuition:
Spillover : When some discoveries are made public during the innovation
process (i.e., secrets not kept) or the labs investing in infrastructures or
research institutes that benefit all other firms.
A duopoly example with spillover:
Suppose the inverse demand function is p = 100 – Q.
Consider a two stage game:
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
First Stage: R&D stage: firms decide how much to invest in cost reducing
R&D.
Second Stage: Cournot competition.
Assume that xi is the amount of cost reduction for i th firm and the cost of
2
xi
such R&D is: TCi = .
2
The unit production cost is
ci = 50 – xi – βxj i≠j and i = 1, 2; β≥0.
β measures the spillover effect.
Noncooperative R&D:
Choose R&D level first and then choose level of outputs in the second stage.
Second Stage :
(100 2ci c j ) 2
Profit πi =
9
(100 2ci c j ) 2 2
xi
First stage: Max – .
9 2
50(2 )
FOC yields x NC
4.5 (2 )(1 )
Cooperative R&D :
First stage they jointly choose R&D levels to maximize their joint profit.
Second stage: They compete in the market place.
Assuming symmetric equilibrium: the firms R&D levels would be
50( 1)
x iC = x jC =
4.5 ( 1) 2
Results:
1. Cooperation in R&D increases firms’ profits.
2. If β> ½ , then xC > xNC and QC>QNC.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
More number of firms in the industry the larger is the total amount of R&D
but this duplication of costs reduces the overall producer surplus and as a
result a welfare loss.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Cross licensing occurs when two firms reciprocally allow each other to use
technology protected by patents.
Competition effect: This may reduce the competition in the market place
when technologies are substitutable and licensing is done through royalty.
Complementary effect: However, when firms have essential (blocking)
patents that are needed for further technological progress or final production.
Cross licensing may allow the use of complementary technology leading
to technological advance.
Patent pool: suppose a firm or organization that holds the patent rights of two
or more firms and licenses them to third parties as package. If the patents are
complementary then it is highly desirable.
Studies also show that the social return to investment in R&D is higher
than the private return.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
3. Patenting
Patent is the legal right granted by the government to an innovator to exploit
a particular invention for a given number of years. It gives temporary
monopoly right to the firm.
Thus, the patent gives its owner the right to exclude others from making,
using, or selling any product embodying the patent. This right also allows
the patentee to license the patent.
The prominent approach to the economic analysis of patent draws from the
classic work of Nordhaus (1969) and assumes that unpatented innovations
are easily imitated and thus focuses on “non-exclusive” nature of
technological knowledge.
By this theory, in the absence of Patent system there would be too little
investment in R&D.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Different kinds of patents: Product patent, process patent, design patent etc.
The empirical evidence shows that the incentive effect of patent is very
small or negligible and that the firms would have a substantial incentive to
innovate even in the absence of intellectual property rights.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Also secrecy or lead time provide a reward to innovators when they are a
source of market power.
Both lead time and secrecy mean that the mere fact the innovator practices
the innovation may not disclose enough information to allow instant and
costless replication by others.
Empirical findings in a survey of US firms suggest that both lead time and
trade secrecy are considered more effective mechanism than the patent
(Cohen et al.(2000)).
When the innovators have the option of secrecy, Boldrin and Levine (2004)
argued that those innovations will be patented where secrecy cannot keep
it for that long. Thus, patent system means protecting too long.
However, secrecy does not preclude either the inadvertent disclosure or the
independent creation by others. Under trade secrecy duplicative R&D for
independent rediscovery is largely wasteful and the evolution of market
structure is also different under trade secrecy.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Suppose an investment in R&D reduces the unit cost of production from c>0
x2
to c – x . The cost of undertaking the R&D level x is . Assume a minor
2
innovation.
Demand p = a – Q
Price
Cs0 Demand
c b
M DL
c-x d
Innovator enjoys the monopoly profit M for T periods and 0 profits from
T+1 onwards.
DL : the deadweight loss for the society.
After T periods all firms have access to the new technology and the
market becomes competitive again.
δ: discount factor.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
1 T
M +δM + δ2M + … + δT-1M = M
1
The innovator maximizes profit by choosing x
1 T x2 1 T x2
Max M - = Max (a – c)x - .
1 2 1 2
1 T
Hence the optimal choice x = (a – c)
1
Results:
1. The R&D level increases with the duration of the patent.
2. The R&D level increases with an increase in demand and decreases
with an increase in the unit cost.
3. The R&D level increases with an increase in the discount factor δ.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
The Game:
First period: The Northern firm may either set up a subsidiary on its own or
make an offer to license out technology 1 to a Southern firm.
Second period:
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Northern firm
Renew licence
Southern firm
Accept Reject
Northern firm
Enter Not
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Licensing:
Assume that the patent enforcement in the host country is imperfect.
Imitation is costless.
There is a positive probability, , that the local court in the South, in the
beginning of the second period, will be able to detect the imitation and
debar the Southern firm from using it in the second period (where 0 1 ).
On the other hand, if the imitation is not detected by the Southern court, the
Southern firm will be able to use the first period technology in the second
period. This happens with probability ( 1 ).
Under the licensing contract in the first period, the Northern firm expects to
get by investing in R&D under the partial patent enforcement
1
p(2) + (1-p) { 1 +( 1 )(1 - 1d)} – Kp 2 .
2
K
The Northern firm receives the total payoff under the licensing contract,
1
RL( )=1 + pL(2) + (1-pL) (1 ) –
2
Kp L .
2
Result:
The innovation rate is higher under the licensing contract with imperfect
patent enforcement (i.e., 0<<1) than under the subsidiary operation. Also,
the lower is the degree of patent enforcement in the South, the higher is the
innovation rate in the North under licensing contract.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
RL(), RS
RS at small F
RS at large F
0 * 1
Result:
For large F, the optimal degree of patent enforcement for the South is zero.
However, for smaller F, the optimal degree of patent enforcement is positive
and given by *.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Parallel Trade
Parallel imports are legitimate goods brought into a country without the
authorization of the patent, copyright or trademark owner, once the goods
have been sold in another country.
Article 6 of agreement on Trade Related Aspects of Intellectual property
rights (TRIPS) in the Uruguay round allows countries to decide on their
parallel imports policies.
The policy regarding parallel imports depend on the specification of territorial
exhaustion of intellectual property rights (IPRs).
Under national exhaustion, rights are exhausted upon first sale within a
country but IPR owners may prevent parallel imports from abroad (e.g., the
United States follow this policy).
Under the doctrine of international exhaustion, rights are exhausted
internationally upon sales and as a result parallel imports cannot be prohibited
(followed by Australia, India New Zealand, the United Kingdom and Japan).
There exists an intermediate exhaustion pursued by EU, in which the rights
are exhausted within a group of countries and thus permitting parallel
importing among them but not from outside the region.
Patents provide inventors of new products and technologies the legal right to
exclude rivals from making, selling, and distributing those inventions.
Trademarks provide their owners the right to prevent rivals from using
identical or confusingly similar identifying marks and trade names on their
goods.
There are many instances of parallel imports, for example, imports of Levi’s
Jeans to the UK by Tesco, a British supermarket chain. Tesco deliberately
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
buys Levi’s jeans from outside the EU without getting permission from the
manufacturer and sells them in the UK at lower prices than the prevailing
prices.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
TABLE 1
Summary of IPR Exhaustion Regimes
Sources: National Economic Research Associates (1999) and International Intellectual Property Alliance (1998).
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
4. Licensing of technology
Innovator may be an Outsider or an insider.
For outsider this is the only way to exploit the innovation.
For insider patentee this provides additional source of revenue.
Licensing takes place in different forms: auction, fixed fee, royalty fee and
a two part tariff.
Royalty is distortionary as it increases the effective marginal cost of the
licensee or user.
In an R&D race, licensing increases both the reward for acquiring the
innovation and reward for loosing the patent race.
The exact incentive to undertake the R&D depends on how much of the
common surplus the licensor can appropriate in the licensing arrangement.
Licensing of technology may discourage future R&D by the licensee.
Sen and Tauman (2007) considered optimal licensing for Cournot oligopoly
for both insider and outsider patentee. They found that optimal combination
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
of upfront payment and royalty can lead to licensing to almost all firms in case
of non drastic technology. For drastic technology only one firm would be
licensed or a set of firms so that monopoly profit is obtained by the innovator.
For n firms oligopoly
The willingness to pay for the license is higher under auction than fixed fee.
Innovator announces to sell k licenses under auction then willingness to pay
would be πL (k) – πN(k).
For fixed fee the innovator announces the fee at which any firm willing to
buy can do so. A deviant firm reduces the number of licenses sold by simply
not buying. Thus for any k any firm’s willingness to pay is πL (k) – πN(k-1),
which is lower compared to auction.
Sen and Tauman (2007) proposed auction plus royalty (AR) policy.
The innovator first announces the royalty then auction off one or more licenses
possibly with a minimum bid.
Payment to the innovator : b+ rq = b + (ε-δ)q where δ = ε-r = the effective
marginal cost savi9ng from the innovation.
b = πL(k, δ) – πN(k, δ) when at most n-1 license is offered.
For n firm licensee
b = πL(n, δ) – πN(n-1, δ) ( the minimum bid is stipulated in the auction)
Result: Drastic innovation is licensed to only one firm.
k-drastic innovation: k is the minimum no. of firms such that if k firms have
the licenses then all other firms drop out of the market and a k firm natural
oligopoly is created.
Result: For non drastic innovation (with two firms + innovator) at least
n-1 firms are licensed.
Stamatopoulos and Tauman (2009): Fixed fee is better than auction with
asymmetric firms. The idea of patent shelving is used for this result.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Sen and Stamatopoulos (2009): There exists multiple optima for drastic
innovation.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
We assume:
(i) c1 c 2 .
(ii) Both firms are active and producing positive quantities.
This implies ( a 2c1 c 2 0 ).
(iii) Firm 1 comes up with a cost reducing innovation.
After innovation its marginal cost becomes c1 , where
( 0) is the amount of cost reduction.
Depending on size of the innovation can be drastic or non-
drastic.
No Licensing
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Licensing Game
Non-Drastic Innovation ( 0 a 2c 2 c1 )
Consider the general licensing scheme ( f , r ) . Both
f , r 0 and r .
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
f * 0 , r* . f *, r* 0 f * 0, r* 0
C1
a 4c2 a 4c 2 a c2
c2
5 5 2
Figure 1
Result
Under non-drastic innovation, the optimal licensing policy is
as given below.
a 4c 2
(i) for c1 , only fixed fee is charged.
5
a 4c 2 a 4c 2
(ii) for c1 , two part tariff is
5 5
charged.
a 4c 2
(iii) for c1 , only royalty is charged.
5
Result:
Under drastic innovation, the optimal licensing policy is
always a two-part tariff licensing scheme.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Wang 1998
and 2 0
NL
𝜋 (1)
Profits of firms under non-drastic innovation are:
𝑎 2𝑐 2𝜀 𝑐
𝜋
9
𝑎 2𝑐 𝑐 𝜀
𝜋
9
(2)
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Licensing Game
Non-Drastic Innovation ( 0 𝜀 𝑎 𝑐)
Drastic Technology (𝜀 𝑎 𝑐)
Fixed fee licensing
F=𝜋 𝜋 =
Firm 1’s total payoff 𝜋 𝐹
if 𝜋 𝐹 𝜋
This implies 𝜀 .
So license if 𝜀 ,
No license if 𝜀 .
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
𝑟
The unconstrained maximization with respect to r of the
above payoff function yields
𝑟 . (4)
𝜀 >𝜋
𝜀 >
If 0.
This holds.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
𝑎 𝑐 𝜀
4
Suppose it licenses the technology to two firms under (f, r) contract.
Monopoly price is
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
Thus, .
This implies 𝑟
. =
In fact by suitable choice of (f, r) any number of firms can be licensed and still
monopoly profit can be obtained by the innovator.
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Uday Bhanu Sinha Delhi School of Economics
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