Bergen Community College The White Paper

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Bergen Community College The White Paper Discussion

The State Department, Department of Intelligence and Research (INR)

and Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Intelligence and
Counterintelligence had different intelligence than the CIA and the
DIA. INR/DOE used the intelligence from the September 2002
classified National Intelligence Estimate. CIA/DIA used the
intelligence from the unclassified White Paper, which Congress asked
the intelligence community to prepare on the basis of the 2002
classified NIE in an effort to stimulate a broader public debate about
WMD in Iraq.

Both documents turned out to be wrong, which led to a number of U.S.

government investigations, including one by Congress which provided
the excerpts of the intelligence obtained for this simulation.

In a 300-word post please answer the following questions:

1. The White Paper was criticized for overstating the findings of the
2002 classified NIE. Based on your reading of Appendix CAppendix
C_NEW.pdf

1. , do you agree with this criticism? How do small changes in

wording affect the meaning of individual statements?
2. Did the CIA/DIA overstate the threat from Iraq’s WMD program
compared to INR/DOE (who used the classified NIE)? Explain your
answer. You will need to listen to the recording of the briefing to
answer this if you did not attend. The recording and the two sets of
data are in the module for the simulation.

3. Place yourself in the role of policymakers in the fall of 2002.

Would the intelligence contained in the briefings and NIEs help them
decide whether or not to go to war with Iraq)? How would they
interpret the information from the briefings?

Be sure to refer to Lowenthal, pp. 183-191 and reply to a classmate.

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