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Environ Monit Assess (2012) 184:893–902

DOI 10.1007/s10661-011-2007-9

Spatio-temporal prediction of atmospheric


benzene (Part I)
Tânia Fontes · Nelson Barros

Received: 20 September 2010 / Accepted: 14 March 2011 / Published online: 12 April 2011
© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Abstract Benzene is a carcinogenic and genotoxic centration of these two pollutants range between
pollutant which mainly affects the people health 199 and 305. The methodology validation shows
through the inhalation. Nevertheless, this pollu- good results (rs = 0.81) which allow, assuming the
tant is not frequently measured by air-quality net- availability of carbon monoxide data, the use of
works. To solve this problem, some models have this tool for areas with low benzene recorded data.
been published to estimate benzene concentra- The application of this methodology in the study
tions in the atmosphere. However, the lack of area shows an annual average trend decrease of
measures makes difficult the application of com- benzene concentrations during the study period,
plex models in order to get a detailed spatio- which may be linked to a general trend decrease
temporal analysis, namely in urban areas. In of benzene emissions in European urban areas,
this work was developed a simple semi-empirical including the study domain.
model to predict benzene concentrations based
on the ratio of benzene and carbon monoxide Keywords Benzene · Carbon monoxide ·
concentrations in order to predict the concentra- Spatio-temporal · Measure · Prediction
tions of this pollutant in large areas and peri-
ods with lack of benzene measurements but with
higher impact in the human health. The model Introduction
was applied to an urban area, the Metropolitan
Area of Oporto, for a period of 12 years (1995– To develop a successful policy in urban air-quality
2006). Monthly correlations between benzene and management, the emissions sources identification
carbon monoxide concentrations at Custóias air- and monitoring atmospheric pollutant levels are
quality station are significant ( p = 0.01) and essential in order to evaluate the pressures, not
higher in winter (rs > 0.7) than in summer (0.3 > only in health but also on ecosystems and heritage.
rs > 0.7). Estimate of the monthly ratio of the con- Benzene (C6 H6 ), as a carcinogenic and a geno-
toxic pollutant, has a potential impact on human
heath. However, this pollutant still does not have
T. Fontes (B) · N. Barros enough spatial representativity on the Portuguese
Global Change, Energy, Environment air-quality network.
and Bioengineering Center (CIAGEB),
Several studies have been tried to estimate the
University Fernando Pessoa, Praça 9 de Abril,
349, 4249-004 Porto, Portugal benzene atmospheric concentration. Some authors
e-mail: trfontes@yahoo.com explore the possibility to replace the “complicated”
894 Environ Monit Assess (2012) 184:893–902

measurement of benzene concentrations by a about 817 km2 ), the [CO]/[C6H6] ratio was used
known, easier and cheaper relationship with car- to rebuild 12 years of benzene hourly time series
bon monoxide (CO) (Guerra et al. 1995; Palmgren (1995 to 2006). The results were evaluated using
et al. 2000; Pfeffer et al. 1995). The studies carried the limits of human health protection, published
out in Germany (Pfeffer et al. 1995) and Denmark by European Union legislation, to be achieved in
(Palmgren et al. 2000) show a linear correlation 2010 (Directive 2008/50/EC).
between daily averages of carbon monoxide and
benzene, and Guerra et al. (1995) show the coin-
cidence of peaks between carbon monoxide and Overview of benzene atmospheric measured
benzene in Italy. Several studies also analysed in the study domain
the [CO]/[C6 H6 ] ratio emissions. De Petris et al.
(1992) assessed carbon monoxide and benzene Between 1995 and 2006, the number of stations of
emission factor on gasoline composition from the air-quality network in MAO has gradually grown,
fleet of medium-aged motor vehicles showing a from two stations in 1995 up to 22 stations in
[CO]/[C6 H6 ] ratio in the range of 80–200. It is 2006. Most of them are traffic stations (64%), and
expected that this relationship was very similar to the remaining stations are background (27%) and
road traffic variation, considering the atmosphere industrial (9%; Fig. 1).
stability and physical–chemical removal processes Nevertheless, in MAO, only one station was
of these pollutants on air. Guerra et al. (1995) classified as industrial suburban (1021—Custóias),
found a value of 160 for the [CO]/[C6 H6 ] ratio. record the benzene levels and only on the last
Moreover, according to Carr et al. (2002), the 4 years (2003 to 2006), which represents an im-
annual benzene concentrations can be provided portant limitation to develop a spatio-temporal
by just two traffic characteristics: volume and per- analysis in this region. Furthermore, to com-
centage of congestion. Using this idea, Karakitsios pare these benzene levels with the annual limit
et al. (2006) developed two models to simulate value for the human health protection, Directive
benzene concentrations in a canyon. The first 2008/50/EC define a minimum rate of data col-
model is based on artificial neural network train lection of 90%, indicated as desirable for this
that uses benzene concentrations, traffic density pollutant, and a uniform distribution over time
and vehicle type. The second is a semi-empirical (Directive 2008/50/EC). In MAO, this requisite
deterministic model that was based on road trans- is not fulfilled due to the low efficiency of data
port emission rate, track geometrical characteris- recorded by the air-quality network (57% in 2003,
tics and wind speed and direction. According to 74% in 2004, 53% in 2005 and 15% in 2006),
this study, although the neural network techniques which do not allow an accurate analysis. Nev-
are less capable of reproducing the changing traf- ertheless, assuming these values as hypothetical
fic characteristics, they represent a promising tech- representatives during the monitored periods, the
nique to model urban emissions. annual averages vary from 1.3–2.5 μg m−3 , which
The main objective of this paper is to pre- do not exceed the limit value of benzene (5 μg m−3
dict the benzene atmospheric concentrations in in 2010). However, an hourly maximum benzene
areas and/or periods with lack of benzene mea- value of 76 μg m−3 was recorded (Table 1).
surements but with higher impact in the human To study the concentrations of benzene in the
health. Despite the simplicity of the methodology surrounding highways in the MAO, the benzene
presented, the innovation of this work consists concentrations were also used, recorded under
of the application scenario, one area and one a research project—the ImpactAir project (Ref.
period of large dimension with lack of benzene POCTI/ESP/47806/2002)—in one of the most im-
concentrations data. These results are particularly portant urban highway that cross the city of
important in future applications as epidemiolog- Oporto, the VCI (Barros et al. 2005). In the
ical studies and/or risk assessment. Thus, for the absence of data on the air-quality network, sev-
present study, because of the domain dimension eral passive diffusion monitoring campaigns of
(the Metropolitan Area of Oporto (MAO) have benzene in different periods of representative
Environ Monit Assess (2012) 184:893–902 895

Fig. 1 Map of air-quality stations located in the Metropolitan Area of Oporto between 1995 and 2006

sub-domains at the VCI were made (Fig. 2). tion imposed by the presence of buildings by the
Background concentrations were evaluated in two road, the concentrations in Boavista and Amial
points far away from direct atmospheric benzene sub-domains are higher than Prelada sub-domain
emissions placed on top of two different buildings (Table 2). Values measured at points located
with a height of about 40–50 m. nearby the VCI can reach levels up to twice the
Results show that although Prelada has a higher measured points 100 m away or compared to the
number of vehicles than the other sub-domains, background concentrations in the points located
due to its open configuration without any nearby on top of the Antas Tower and on the Burgos
obstacles or buildings, the dispersion and trans- Building. Furthermore, concentrations are higher
port condition are promoted, and consequently, on streets across VCI, such as Amial Street in
the observed values of benzene concentration Amial sub-domain and the Boavista Avenue in
are relatively low. On the other hand, because Boavista sub-domain. In these points, the mea-
of the traffic pressure and the dispersion limita- sured concentrations are 50% higher to other
896 Environ Monit Assess (2012) 184:893–902

Table 1 Average monthly benzene concentration (μg m−3 ) and efficiency of data collection in Custóias station (Ref. 1021)
between 2003 and 2006
Months Concentration (µ g,m −3 ) Minimum / A verage / Maximum Efficiency (%)
2003 2004 2005 2006 Average 2003 2004 2005 2006
Jan. − 0 / 6.0 / 49 0 / 1.0 / 12 − 3.5 ± 3.5 − 83.9 75.0 −
Fev. − 0 / 8.2 / 26 0 / 2.2 / 15 1 / 2.8 / 32 5.2 ± 4.2 − 30.0 71.9 29.5
Mar. 0 / 2.9 / 13 0 / 1.6 / 9 0 / 0.3 / 4 1 / 2.5 / 16 1.6 ± 1.3 77.6 63.0 35.8 37.5
Apr. 0 / 1.0 / 9 0 / 1.1 / 14 0 / 0.7 / 7 1 / 2.1 / 12 0.9 ± 0.2 94.2 76.7 44.7 26.9
May. 0 / 1.0 / 13 0 / 0.5 / 4 0 / 0.5 / 5 1 / 2.3 / 16 0.7 ± 0.3 94.5 10.9 72.4 23.5
Jun. 0 / 0.8 / 19 0 / 0.8 / 15 0 / 0.7 / 7 1 / 2.6 / 12 0.8 ± 0.1 100.0 100.0 74.2 17.1
Jul. 0 / 1.3 / 17 0 / 1.1 / 50 − 1 / 2.3 / 13 1.2 ± 0.1 90.9 99.9 − 20.3
A ug. 0 / 1.1 / 10 0 / 1.1 / 76 0 / 2.3 / 13 1 / 2.5 / 8 1.5 ± 0.7 29.6 100.0 26.7 21.2
Sep. 0 / 1.8 / 41 0 / 1.6 / 12 0 / 2.1 / 21 1 / 1.7 / 4 1.8 ± 0.3 95.8 95.6 67.4 3.9
O ct. 0 / 2.1 / 9 0 / 1.0 / 12 0 / 1.5 / 27 1 / 5.3 / 9 1.5 ± 0.6 79.8 99.7 99.5 0.5
Nov. 0 / 2.1 / 10 0 / 2.1 / 14 0 / 1.5 /10 − 1.9 ± 0.3 26.9 69.7 70.0 −
D ec. − 0 / 1.7 / 14 − 1/1/1 1.7 ± 0 − 52.4 − 0.1
A verage 0 / 1.5 / 41 0 / 1.6 / 76 0 / 1.3 / 27 1 / 2.5 / 32 1.5 ± 0.2 57.7 73.6 52.8 15.1
Efficiency: > 90%, < 90%

points located along VCI. Furthermore, in Amial The temporal analysis shows that there was
sub-domain, the presence of a refuelling station a higher concentration in winter (2.6 μg m−3 in
contributes to increase the benzene concentration 2006), when compared with the summer average
in the area (Barros et al. 2005). of 1.6 μg m−3 (a decrease of about 84%). This can

Fig. 2 Measurement of benzene by passive diffusion at VCI


Environ Monit Assess (2012) 184:893–902 897

Table 2 Benzene concentrations in VCI (μg m−3 ), by sub-domain and period


Height Period Limit value Benzene concentrations (μg.m−3 ) to
(m) (μg m−3 )a All domains Boavista Prelada Amial Antas
Min/Avg/Max Min/Avg/Max n Min/Avg/Max n Min/Avg/Max n Min/Avg/Max n
3 Apr/2005 5 1.2/2.0/3.3 1.7/2.4/3.3 14 1.5/2.0/3.1 8 1.5/2.3/2.9 19 1.7/1.8/1.9 3
Jan/2006 1.4/2.6/5.5 1.7/2.8/5.5 13 1.8/2.3/2.9 8 1.9/3.0/3.8 20 2.4/2.6/2.8 3
Set/2006 0.9/1.6/3.5 1.3/2.2/3.5 13 0.9/1.3/1.9 8 1.1/1.7/2.7 20 1.4/1.6/1.9 4
50 Apr/2005 1.2/1.6/1.8 1.8/1.8/1.8 2 – – – – 1.2/1.3/1.4 2
Jan/2006 1.4/1.6/1.9 1.4/1.7/1.9 2 – – – – 1.5/1.5/1.5 2
Set/2006 0.9/1.0/1.2 1.2/1.2/1.2 2 – – – – 0.9/1.0/1.0 2
Min/Avg/Max minimum value/average value/maximum value, n total number of samples
a Annual limit value to human health protection to be achieve in 2010 (Directive 2008/50/EC)

be explained by the increase of solar radiation in application and is based on a simple relation
summer, causing an improvement of the rate of between the concentrations of carbon monox-
benzene oxidation with OH with the consequent ide and benzene. Nevertheless, the simultaneous
reduction of benzene concentration. Moreover, in recording of concentrations of those two pollu-
the study domain, the transport conditions and at- tants on the MAO air-quality network just oc-
mospheric dispersion are more limited during the curred in Custóias station between 2003 and 2006
winter, when compared with summer season and with only an annual efficiency lower than
(Barros et al. 2005). 50% which invalidates the direct application of
The comparison of benzene concentrations to this proposed methodology.
the different campaigns (period of 20 days) with Thus, a previous analysis of monthly corre-
the annual limit value for the human protection lations between observed carbon monoxide and
health (Directive 2008/50/EC) is not absolutely benzene for this air-quality station was done. Af-
correct due the low temporal representation. ter words, [CO]/[C6 H6 ] ratio has been carried out
However, for this brief analysis, it was assumed from Custóias air-quality station in order to get
hypothetically that concentrations are approach- a benzene estimation tool from carbon monoxide
ing an annual average. Thus, a generic analysis observed data to the remaining stations of MAO.
shows that this limit value is not exceeded in VCI Despite of the lack of data, the methodology
(Table 2). validation was possible by using data from pas-
sive diffusion campaigns done before nearby an
urban highway in Oporto City (VCI). Statistical
Methodology correlations and a paired sample t test were used
in order to validate the model to the study do-
An important limitation for a spatial–temporal main. To do this, the carbon monoxide concen-
analysis of atmospheric benzene concentration in tration recorded on three air-quality stations of
the study domain is the lack of data recorded in MAO, Boavista (Ref. 1027), Antas (Ref. 1028)
the local air-quality network. In fact, only one sta- and Vila Nova da Telha (Ref. 1031), was used.
tion has the capability to record the atmospheric These estimates were compared with benzene ob-
benzene concentration. Thus, a new approach was served by passive diffusion during the seasonal
developed in order to solve this limitation and campaigns done in Boavista, Antas and in two
rebuild the benzene data series. points placed in “Antas tower” and in “Burgos
The bibliography presents some methodologies Building” located nearby these VCI sub-domains
to estimate these benzene data series; however, (Table 2). Although the places used for com-
most of them are specific for road traffic surround- parison are not the same, the surrounding and
ings. One of the purposed methods has a generic the type of influences are identical. So, for this
898 Environ Monit Assess (2012) 184:893–902

evaluation process, it was expected that the ob- a temporal screen analysis of these pollutants
served and estimated values are similar, mean- was done. This analysis shows, in the winter, a
ing with the same order of magnitude. To assess high correlation between the two pollutants, with
the model quality, the correlation between ob- a 99% confidence interval and a coincidence of
served and estimated benzene concentration was maximum and minimum values. However, in sum-
determined. mer, the correlation is moderate although with the
same level of confidence (Fig. 3).
Thus, based on the screen analysis and to as-
Results and discussion sess the relationship between benzene and carbon
monoxide concentrations with high confidence
In order to verify the correlation between car- level, the monthly correlation coefficient between
bon monoxide and benzene in Custóias station, these two pollutants was calculated. In order to

a 1200 14
b
60
CO

( g m-3)
ntrations

r = 0,907**
C6H6 12
1000

centrations (µg

Benzene concentrrations (µg.m-3)


50
10
cen

800
onc

8 40
((µg.m-3)
de co

600 6
oxid

onc

30
n mono

4
ne co

400
2
zen

20
bon

200
Benz
Carb

0 2
-2 10
04 0:00

04 6:00

4 12:00

4 18:00

04 0:00

04 6:00

2:00

4 18:00

04 0:00

04 6:00

4 12:00

4 18:00

04 0:00
4 12

0
200

200

004

004

200

200

004

004

200

200

004

004

200

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000


1//6/2

1//6/2

6/20

6/20

1//7/2

1//7/2

7/20

7/20

1//8/2

1//8/2

8/20

8/20

1//9/2

`
Carbon monoxide concentration (µg.m -3)
1/6

1/6

1/7

1/7

1/8

1/8

Time (hour variation)


Tim
c 1000 10 d 16
CO
ons

m-3)
µg.m
ntratio

14
C6H6 8
entration (µg.m-3)

800
ncenttrattions (µ
cen

12
6
onc

r = 0,585**
600
de co
(µg.m-3)

10
4
oxid

8
400
Benzene conce
con
m no

2
ec
n mo

6
ene
Carbon

200
nze

0 4
Ben

0 2
-2 2
2:00

8:00

2:00

8:00

2:00

8:00

2:00

8:00
0:00

6:00

0:00

6:00

0:00

6:00

0:00

6:00

0:00
0

0
04 0

04 6

4 12

4 18

04 0

04 6

4 12

4 18

04 0

04 6

4 12

4 18

04 0

04 6

4 12

4 18

04 0
200

200

004

004

200

200

004

004

200

200

004

004

200

200

004

004

200

0 400 800 1200 1600


6//3/2

6//3/2

6/3/20

6/3/20

6//4/2

6//4/2

6/4/20

6/4/20

6//5/2

6//5/2

5/20

5/20

6//6/2

6//6/2

6/6/20

6/6/20

6//7/2

Carbon monoxide concentration (µg.m -3)


6/5

6/5

Time (hour variation)

Fig. 3 Temporal data series and spearman correlation between C6 H6 and CO (μg m−3 ) in the air-quality station of Custóias:
(a, b) winter (6–8/01/2004); (c, d) summer (3–5/06/2004)
Environ Monit Assess (2012) 184:893–902 899

Table 3 Spearman correlation and ratio concentrations among carbon monoxide and benzene,between 2003 and 2006, in
Custóias station
Month Spearman correlation (rs ) Ratio [CO]/[C 6 H 6 ]
2003 2004 2005 2006 Average 2003 2004 2005 2006 Average
Jan. − 0.91** 0.74** − 0.83 − 113 442 − 278
Fev. − 0.89** 0.71** 0.71** 0.77 − 96 280 223 200
Mar. 0.71** 0.78** 0.51** 0.59** 0.65 226 236 339 245 261
Apr. 0.63** 0.72** 0.76** 0.26** 0.59 234 240 348 241 266
May. 0.63** 0.50** 0.54** 0.33** 0.50 238 206 235 221 225
Jun. 0.57** 0.59** 0.43** 0.25** 0.46 247 224 263 184 230
Jul. 0.47** 0.51** − 0.19** 0.39 183 195 − 223 200
Aug. 0.64** 0.47** 0.82** 0.48** 0.60 249 191 239 340 255
Sep. 0.75** 0.75** 0.69** 0.57** 0.69 242 236 202 264 236
Oct. 0.74** 0.57** 0.73** − 0.87** 0.73 196 239 251 110 199
Nov. 0.61** 0.87** 0.80** − 0.76 218 228 290 − 245
Dec. − 0.80** − − 0.80 − 305 − − 305
* p = 5% confidence level, ** p = 1% confidence level
< 0.3 0.3 - 0.7 > 0.7
Correlation: Low, Moderate, Strong

analyse the correlation coefficient between these than those found by Guerra et al. (1995). In the
two pollutants, a Kolmogorov–Smirnov test (N ≥ last few years, the benzene emissions to the at-
30) was applied. The result shows no evidence mosphere was reduced, in particular, with regard
that the data series follow a normal distribu- to road traffic activity, due to the new standards,
tion; therefore, a Spearman correlation was used use of catalytic converters, fuels changes and more
(Table 3). The average correlation found over all efficient engines introduced in the new cars. This
the study period (annual) was 0.64. During the benzene emissions decrease may take to an in-
winter months, the correlation is stronger and pos- crease of the [CO]/[C6 H6 ] ratio over the years.
itive (rs > 0.70), and in summer, the correlation is For the present work, the benzene concentration
moderate (0.3 > rs > 0.7), due to the increase of estimation of previous years should take into ac-
OH radicals concentrations in this season. For all count this variability factor, although the lack of
monthly analysis, the correlation is significant to a data prevents a more thorough analysis.
99% confidence interval (Fig. 3). As done before for the screen [CO]/[C6 H6 ]
Using the available data of Custóias station, ratio evaluation, to the validation model, the
a monthly average of the [CO]/[C6 H6 ] ratio was Kolmogorov–Smirnov test (N ≥ 30) was applied
found, ranging from 199 and 305. It was assumed to the observed and estimated benzene series. The
that this ratio will remain constant for the study result shows that there is no evidence that data
domain (Table 3). Although Guerra et al. (1995) series follow a normal distribution; therefore, a
use an annual average of the [CO]/[C6 H6 ] ratio, Spearman correlation was used (Table 4). The
in the present work, a monthly average given the correlation is strong and positive (rs = 0.81). In ad-
pollutant seasonal variability was used (Guerra dition, it was used a paired samples t test (N = 37).
et al. 1995). Nevertheless, an hourly approach It was not possible to detect significant differences
could not be used because of the low efficiency of to a 5% significance level ( p = 0.252) between
benzene records. the mean observed and predicted values (Fig. 4).
The obtained values for the monthly average The estimates are closer to the observed values
of the [CO]/[C6 H6 ] ratio are somewhat higher in winter than in summer. This behaviour may be
900 Environ Monit Assess (2012) 184:893–902

Table 4 Seasonal average benzene concentration (μg m−3 ), observed and estimated, in January and September of 2006, to
Boavista and Antas sub-domain and background concentration in Oporto City
Period Type Average benzene concentration (μg m−3 )
Boavista Antas Background
10-31/01/2006 Observeda 2.1 ± 0.8 2.5 ± 0.9 1.6 ± 0.6
Estimatedb 2.2 1.8 1.4
12-29/09/2006 Observeda 1.5 ± 0.5 1.7 ± 0.6 1.0 ± 0.4
Estimatedb 2.0 2.3 0.7
a Average concentration, measured with passive diffusion at 150 m distance of VCI, to Boavista and Antas sub-domain and

to background concentrations (50 m height)


b Average estimated concentration to air quality monitoring stations of Boavista (Ref. 1027), Antas (Ref. 1028) and Vila

Nova da Telha (Ref. 1031)

explained by the increase of OH radical and other the data exceed the annual benzene limit value to
oxidants in atmosphere during this season which human health protection to be achieved in 2010
promotes the decrease of benzene concentrations. (5 μg m−3 ). The estimated benzene concentra-
With the application of the validated methodol- tions in the traffic stations ranges between 1.7 and
ogy defined previously, the study of 19 air-quality 8.9 μg m−3 with an average value of 2.5 μg m−3 .
stations on the MAO domain throughout the pe- To background and industrial stations, the av-
riod considered was possible (1995 to 2006) which erage is 1.8 (1.4–2.2) and 1.5 (1.2–1.7) μg m−3 ,
represents an estimation of 108 benzene time se- respectively (Table 5). Another important finding
ries. However, only 54% was considered of these is that the annual average has been decreasing.
annual series due to carbon monoxide limitations The reasons for this trend can be linked to the
on data collection related with lack of efficiency variability of weather conditions, which have an
(less than 90% hourly records) and not uniform important influence on the atmospheric disper-
data distributions over time according to Directive sion capability or in changes on benzene emissions
2008/50/EC. In the selected time series, only 2% of patterns in urban areas, like the variations of the

Fig. 4 Spearman Estimated concentration


correlation between
4.00
observed and estimated
benzene concentrations
(μg m−3 ) to 95%
confidence level

3.00

2.00

R Sq Linear = 0.691

1.00

1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00


Observed concentration
Environ Monit Assess (2012) 184:893–902 901

Stations number
vehicles number and/or their characteristics (age,
fuel type, engine technical specifications and pres-
by year ence/absence of catalyst).
Table 5 Monitoring efficiency and annual average estimative of benzene concentration (μg m−3 ) in the air-quality stations of MAO between 1995 and 2006

15
15
2
2
2
3
6
10
11
14
14
14

19
1034 1040 1043

2.3
2.1
2.3

2.2
Conclusions

1.7
1.6
0.7
1.9

1.5
The air-quality network of the MAO has a strong
limitation for benzene observation. In fact, only

2.8
2.0
2.3
1.7
1.9
1.2
2.2

2.0
one station has the capability to record the at-
mospheric benzene concentration. In order to
1029 1030 1031 1032 1033

2.6
2.2
3.7
2.4
2.6

2.7
solve this limitation, a methodology based on the
[CO]/[C6 H6 ] ratio have been implemented.
2.2
2.0
2.5
2.7
2.2
2.1
2.2

2.3
The results also shows that the monthly corre-
lations between observed carbon monoxide and
1.8
1.6
8.8
1.6
1.6
1.4
1.4
2.0

2.5

benzene at Custóias air-quality station are always


significant ( p = 0.01) thought higher in the win-
2.2
1.9
2.6
1.9
1.8
2.3

2.1

ter (rs > 0.7) than in summer (0.3 > rs > 0.7).
After words, a ratio between carbon monoxide
2.4
2.2
2.3

and benzene has been carried out, in order to get


a benzene estimation tool from carbon monox-
1026 1027 1028

1.7
2.8
4.2
2.8

2.9
2.4
2.6
3.0

2.8

ide observed data to the other stations of MAO.


These estimations were carried out monthly using
2.7

4.1
2.9
2.6

2.1
2.2
2.2

2.7

a [CO]/[C6 H6 ] ratio from Custóias air-quality sta-


tion. These monthly average ranges between 199
2.4

2.6
2.2
2.6
2.9

2.5

and 305.
Despite the lack of data, the validation of this
1017 1018 1019 1020 1021 1022 1024 1025

1.3

1.5
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.3
1.3

methodology is possible by using data from pas-


sive diffusion campaigns done before nearby an
2.0
2.8
2.3
1.9
2.0
2.0
1.7
2.1

urban highway in Oporto City (VCI). The ap-


Background

plication of Spearman test to this series shows a


strong and positive correlation (rs = 0.81) and
2.5
4.4
2.1
2.0
2.4
2.6
2.0
2.6

the paired samples t test (N = 37) shows that a


2.0
1.7
1.5
1.6
2.4
1.8
1.6
1.8

5% significance level was not possible to detect


significant differences between observed and pre-
Industrial,

dicted values ( p = 0.252).


4.6
3.8

4.2

The temporal analysis shows that the higher


< 90%

concentration was in winter (2.6 μg m−3 in 2006),


8.9
3.9

6.4
Station reference

when compared with the summer average of


1.6 μg m−3 due to variations with rate of ben-
4.8
1.9
2.0
2.7

2.3
1.6
1.7

2.4

Traffic,

zene oxidation with the OH. Between 1995 and


> 90%,
6.5
6.7
3.6
3.2

4.1
3.2
2.3
1.1

3.8

2003, the annual average estimation of benzene


concentrations shows a consistent decrease. This
Station year type

reduction may be linked, either to the variability


Station type:

of meteorological conditions, which force the dis-


Efficiency:

persal and transport capacity of the atmosphere


Average

and/or changes of benzene emissions patterns.


1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006

Nevertheless, the annual limit value to human


902 Environ Monit Assess (2012) 184:893–902

health protection of benzene was not exceeded in Carr, D., von Ehrenstein, O., Weiland, S., Wagner, C.,
none estimated series (5 μg m−3 in 2010). Wellie, O., Nicolai, T., et al. (2002). Modeling annual
benzene, toluene, NO2 , and soot concentrations on
The methodology presented allowed a spatio- the basis of road traffic characteristics. Environment
temporal analysis of benzene concentrations in Research, 90(2), 111–18.
the study domain. However, the limitations im- De Petris, G., Giglio, V., Police, G., & Prati, M. V. (1992).
posed by the representativeness of the data of The inf luence of gasoline formulation on combustion
emissions in spark-ignition engines (pp. 343–53) Mod-
observation network may limit the application of
elling and Measurements for S.I. Combustion and
the methodology developed. Thus, other methods Emissions.
of diagnostic analysis, as air quality modelling, can Directive 2008/50/EC. Ambient air quality and cleaner air
be used. for Europe.
Guerra, G., Lemma, A., Lerda, D., Martines, C., Salvi, G.,
& Tamponi, M. (1995). Benzene emissions from motor
vehicle traffic in the urban area of Milan: hypothesis of
Acknowledgements Thanks to Fundação para a Ciên- health impact assessment. Atm Environmental, 29(23),
cia e Tecnologia (FCT) for supporting the Ph.D grant 3559–69.
(Ref.◦ SFRH/BD/19027/2004) conceded to Tânia Fontes Karakitsios, S. P., Papaloukas, C. L., Kassomenos, P. A.,
and the financial support of ImpactAir Project (Ref.◦ & Pilidis, G. A. (2006). Assessment and prediction of
POCTI/ESP/47806/2002). benzene concentrations in a street canyon using ar-
tificial neural networks and deterministic models: their
response to “what if” scenarios. Ecological Modelling,
193(3–4), 253–70.
Palmgren, F., Berkowicz, R., & Skov, H. (2000). National
References Environmental Research Institute. Ministry of Envi-
ronment and Energy, NERI Techical report n◦ 309.
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