Introduction to Macroeconomics Lecture 10 (Chapter 8) Parisa Shakur Long-run Aggregate Supply • Reasons for SRAS to be upward sloping do not hold anymore
• Level of Real GDP or Real output changes in the economy to
full-employment Real GDP or Natural Real GDP
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• The supply curve that identifies what economy produces in the long run is the Long-Run Aggregate Supply (LRAS) curve
• In the long run, changes in price level has no effect on the
quantity of aggregate output supplied
• Long run output level is one where there is only natural rate of unemployment and all prices are fully flexible LRAS curve
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Classical Economics • Widely regarded as the first modern school of economic thought with works dating from the 1750s to early 1900s. Their ideas are still employed by some modern-day economists. • Major developers include Adam Smith, John Staurt Mill, Jean
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Baptiste Say, Thomas Malthus, David Ricardo • Fundamental principle: The economy is self-regulating. Classical economists maintain that the economy is always capable of achieving the natural level of real GDP or output. • The classical doctrine is based on two firm beliefs 1.Say’s Law 2.Prices, wages and interest rates are flexible Say’s Law
• Named after French economist, Jean-Baptist Say (1767-1832),
this law states that SUPPLY CREATES ITS OWN DEMAND. Thus
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there can be no over-production or under-production
• All economists agree that this holds in a barter economy
• But according to Classical economists, this also holds in a
money economy through interest rate flexibility Say’s law and savings • What happens when an economy saves?
If C=3000, I=600, G=1200 and NX=200 Then, TE=5000 Let’s also assume that Aggregate supply=5000 Then, AD=AS and Say’s Law is valid
But what if the economy saves 100?
Say’s Law continued According to Classical Economists, any fall in consumption (C) will be matched by an equal increase in investment (I)
Savings have no effect on Aggregate Demand (AD) as AD is
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affected by TE and savings does no change TE
So what is true for barter economy is also true for money
economy
AND SAVINGS EQUAL INVESTMENT THROUGH INTEREST RATE
FLEXIBILITY Flexible interest rates
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Flexible wages and prices Classical economists believe that what is true for the credit market is true for all markets
In the labour market, shortage or surplus of labour is adjusted
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through flexible wage rates
In the market for goods and services, shortages and surpluses e
quickly adjusted through flexible prices
THUS ACCORDING TO THE CLASSICAL DOCTRINE ECONOMY IS
ALWAYS CAPABLE OF OPERATING AT NATURAL REAL OUTPUT LEVEL THROUGH FLEXIBLE INTEREST RATES, PRICES AND WAGES The three states of an economy 1. Real GDP is less than Natural Real GDP (Recessionary Gap)
2. Real GDP is greater than Natural Real GDP (Inflationary Gap)
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3. Real GDP is equal to Natural Real GDP (Long-run Equilibrium) Recessionary gap: Real GDP is less than the Natural Real GDP
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Inflationary Gap: Real GDP is greater than the Natural Real GDP
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Long-run equilibrium: : Real GDP is Equal to Natural Real GDP
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The three states of the labour market 1. Recessionary gap and the Labour market: The unemployment rate is higher than the natural unemployment rate, and a surplus exists in the labour market
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2. Inflationary gap and the Labour market: The unemployment rate is less than the natural unemployment rate, and a shortage exists in the labour market
3. Long-run equilibrium and the labour market: The
unemployment equals the natural unemployment rate, and equilibrium exists in the labour market Physical and Institutional PPF • Given these two PPFs, the Institutional PPF has institutional constraints: anything that prevents economic agents from
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producing the maximum Real GDP physically possible. • An economy can never operate beyond its physical PPF, but it is possible for it to operate beyond it’s institutional PPF. • The economy is operating at it’s lowest unemployment rate at the institutional PPF The Self-regulating economy and Policy implication • To believe that the economy is self-regulating is to believe that if the economy is not operating at full employment/natural unemployment or natural Real output level, it can move itself to that position without
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any interference • Flexible wages (and other resource prices) play a critical role in the story of the self-regulating economy. • Laissez-faire: A public policy of not interfering with market activities in the economy. • In the view of some economists, the government does not have an economic management role to play. Recessionary gap and the economy We know, • It is producing at a Real GDP level that is less than Natural Real GDP • The unemployment rate is greater than the natural rate of
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unemployment • A surplus exists in the labour market This implies that, • unemployment is relatively high and that as old wage contracts expire, business firms will negotiate contracts that pay workers lower wage rates • SRAS curve shifts to the right • Economy moves to long run equilibrium Recessionary gap and the economy
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Inflationary gap and the economy We know, • It is producing at a Real GDP level that is greater than Natural Real GDP • The unemployment rate is less than the natural rate of
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unemployment • A shortages exists in the labour market This implies that, • unemployment is relatively low and that as old wage contracts expire, business firms will negotiate contracts that pay workers higher wage rates • SRAS curve shifts to the left • Economy moves to long run equilibrium Inflationary gap and the economy
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Short run and long run changes in the economy: When AD increases • If the economy is self regulating, an increase in aggregate demand can raise the price level and Real GDP in the short run, but in the long run the only effect of an increase in aggregate demand is an increase in price level
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Short run and long run changes in the economy: When AD decreases • If the economy is self-regulating, a decrease in aggregate demand can lower the price level and Real GDP in the short run, but in the long run the only effect of a decrease in aggregate demand is a lower price level
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Shift of AD and the long and short run Change in AD In the Short Run In the Long run
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AD shifts to the right Price level increases Price level increases Real GDP increases Real GDP does not change
AD shifts to the left Price level decreases Price level decreases
Real GDP decreases Real GDP does not change Questions to practice • For short questions Practice questions 1-12 from page 193
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• For MCQ type questions Practice questions 1-3 from page 194