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INDIA DAILY
May 20, 2010
Turnover
1,600 1,366
1,400 1,141
1,200
1,000
(Rsbn)
Debt
% 19-May-10 1mth 3mth 6mth
RBI Repo 5.3 5.3 4.8 4.8
10 yr G-Sec yld 7.7 8.0 7.9 7.6
Spread 1 & 10 yr G-Sec 2.9 2.9 2.9 4.3
US 10 yr treasury 3.4 3.7 3.8 3.4
Surplus liquidity (Rs bn) (430) (288) (589) (850)
Karvy Institutional Equities • 2nd Floor, Regent Chambers, Nariman Point - Mumbai 400 021 • +91-22-2289 5000.
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Sector: Banking
Rakesh Kumar
STOCK BROKING LIMITED rakesh.kumar@karvy.com
2
STOCK BROKING LIMITED
Valuation much ahead the peers; but the transaction cheaper on value per branch parameter: On
relative valuation parameter, the swap ratio reflects much higher price to book and price to adjusted
book value; the proposed transaction would take place at 4.94x BVPS and 5.2x adjusted book
value FY10 compared to 3.1x and 3.5x of Axis Bank's FY10 book value and adjusted book value. We
estimate BoR's intrinsic worth at Rs70-75 per share but the swap ratio reflects valuation of Rs189
per share, therefore premium valuation of Rs18.5-19.2 bn.
Incremental impact on ICICI Bank's balance sheet would be insignificant: Since Bank of Rajasthan's
size is quite small (almost 4.54%) compared to ICICI Bank's therefore on balance sheet side there
would not be any significant impact, but ICICI Bank's profitability could be impacted due to BoR's
asset quality. If there is any sharp deterioration in BoR's asset quality post amalgamation, it could
impact ICICI Bank's profitability marginally.
Overall, ICICI Bank's total asset and bottomline would not be impacted much post BoR's acquisition,
though it could improve ICICI Bank's branch franchise and deposit base going forward.
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Sector: Banking
Harit Shah
STOCK BROKING LIMITED harit.shah@karvy.com
6
STOCK BROKING LIMITED
Source: NSE
7
STOCK BROKING LIMITED
8
STOCK BROKING LIMITED
Source: BSE
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Research Desk (Tel: 91-22-22895000)
Hemindra Hazari Head of Research hemindra.hazari@karvy.com
Disclaimer
The information and views presented in this report are prepared by Karvy Stock Broking Limited. The information contained herein is based on our analysis and up on sources that we
consider reliable. We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof.This material is for personal information and we are not responsible for any loss incurred
based upon it.
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note that neither Karvy nor any person connected with any associated companies of Karvy accepts any liability arising from the use of this information and views mentioned in this document.
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