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Madhu - PGSF1953 - Johnson Control
Madhu - PGSF1953 - Johnson Control
Mar-19 Mar-20
12 mths 12 mths
2,223.07 2,197.37
0 0 2016 2017 2018
2,223.07 2,197.37 cogs 994.91 981.74 1130.45
18.23 0
2,241.30 2,197.37
15.42 8.15
2,256.72 2,205.52
1,042.27 1,186.59
504.07 377.79
-102.45 -167.02
49.15 34.78
-2.72 0
46.43 34.78
85.94 83.53
85.94 83.53
85.94 83.53
Mar-19 Mar-20
12 mths 12 mths
31.6 30.7
31.6 30.7
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
4.92 0 0
0 0 0
15 0 0
Mar-19 Mar-20
2,223.07 2,197.37
165.15 174.54
176.53 175.35
132.37 119.06
132.37 118.31
85.94 83.53
AVERAGE
-3.99% -1.16% 3.17%
17.14% 5.69% 12.08%
-13.58% -0.67% 13.64%
-12.55% -10.06% 19.30%
-12.55% -10.62% 19.16%
-14.19% -2.80% 17.22%
0.99 1.00
0.07 0.08
0.08 0.08
0.06 0.05
0.06 0.05
0.04 0.04
491.77 432.05
2019 2020
1338.59 1467.08
Johnson Controls -Hitachi Air
Conditioning India
NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES
Long Term Borrowings 0 0 0 0 0
Deferred Tax Liabilities [Net] 0 0 0 0 0
Other Long Term Liabilities 0.03 9.44 11.32 12.41 37.82
Long Term Provisions 33.28 34.03 37.63 49.93 59.2
Total Non-Current Liabilities 33.3 43.47 48.95 62.34 97.02
CURRENT LIABILITIES
Short Term Borrowings 132.79 59.52 12.66 189.62 158.72
Trade Payables 452.57 443.79 495.81 540.82 549.96
Other Current Liabilities 121.95 119 148.7 146.97 72.55
Short Term Provisions 10.93 14.51 14.78 15.03 17.3
Total Current Liabilities 718.25 636.82 671.95 892.44 798.53
Total Capital And Liabilities 1,109.50 1,120.52 1,256.10 1,567.77 1,584.07
ASSETS
NON-CURRENT ASSETS
Tangible Assets 237.59 234.3 222.18 215.66 407.24
Intangible Assets 27.81 21.86 20.82 15.33 0
Capital Work-In-Progress 0.76 1.49 1.58 94.13 0
Intangible Assets Under Development 0 2.64 0 0 0
Other Assets 0 1.2 1.27 1.24 0
Fixed Assets 266.15 261.49 245.85 326.36 407.24
Deferred Tax Assets [Net] 4.46 8.12 13.88 16.6 14.22
Long Term Loans And Advances 28.38 3.56 4.4 4.68 0
Other Non-Current Assets 0 32.78 27.6 35.75 52.15
Total Non-Current Assets 298.99 305.95 291.73 383.39 473.61
CURRENT ASSETS
Inventories 494.35 459.96 442.1 555.47 727.45
Trade Receivables 279.95 281.99 414.27 477.12 254.56
Cash And Cash Equivalents 4.16 23.62 35.81 29.85 17.93
Short Term Loans And Advances 27.8 2.08 1.45 1.02 1.3
OtherCurrentAssets 4.26 46.92 70.74 120.92 109.22
Total Current Assets 810.51 814.57 964.37 1,184.38 1,110.46
Total Assets 1,109.50 1,120.52 1,256.10 1,567.77 1,584.07
RATIOS
Mar-16 Mar-17
12 mths 12 mths
Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio = Current Asset/Current Liabilities 1.13 1.28
Quick Ratio = Liquid Assets/Current Liabilities 0.44 0.56
Liquid Assets = (Current Assets-(Inventory + Prepaid Expenses))
Solvency Ratios
Debt to Equity = Long Term Debt/Shareolder's Equity 0.00 0.02
Total Debt to Equity = Total Debt/Shareolder's Equity 0.37 0.14
Interest Coverage = EBIT/Interest 6.80 26.95
Leverage Ratios
Debt to Asset = Total Debt/Total Asset 0.12 0.05
Debt to Capital =Total Debt/(Total Debt + Total Equity) 0.37 0.14
Debt to EBIDTA == Total Debt/EBIDTA
Cost of Material Consumed + Purchases 1.16 0.35
Asset to Equity =Total
of StockAsset/Total
in Trade + Equity
20% of Changes in 3.10 2.55
Inventories
Efficiency of Fininshed Goods, work-in-
Ratios
progress and Stock-in-trade + 50% of
Inventory Turnover =Employees
COGS/Average
BenefitInventory
Cost + 50% of Other 1342.92
COGS (With Assumptions)
Average Period Inventory Expenses
Held = 365/ITR 0.27
Profitability Ratios
Gross Profit Ratio = Gross Profit/Net Sales 38.19 35.95
Net Profit Ratio = Net Profit/Net Sales 3.04 4.27
Operating Profit Ratio = EBIT/Net Sales 4.19 6.21
Interest Effiency =PBT/EBIT 100.00 100.00
Return on Equity =PAT/Total Shareholder's Equit 13.96 18.47
Return on
Return on Capital
Assets = PAT/Total Assets 4.50 7.26
Employeed = EBIT/Total Capital Employeed 17.59 24.46
Valuation Ratios
Earnings Per Share = Net Income/Total Shares Outstanding 18.38 29.9
Leverage Ratio
Profitability Ratio
%
Gross Margin 25.22 23.85 23.54 21.89 20.29
Net Margin 4.63 5.40 5.59 4.81 5.14
Return on Assets 12.10 10.74 10.34 8.84 8.80
Return on Equity 15.64 15.09 13.53 12.15 13.57
Return on Capital Employed 19.10 19.93 18.81 16.18 16.28
Turnover Ratio
Valuation Ratio
Mar '19 Jun '19 Sep '19 Dec '19 Mar '20
-25.00
10.00
-11.00
-23.00
269.58
44.01
-11.92
-25.00
-35.00
-24.00
Average
-37.73% -8.01%
-7.95% -0.02%
-112.45% 0.30%
-131.65% 11.09%
-150.00% 69.26%
-138.10% 9.11%
100.00% 100.00%
6.61% 6.64%
-1.79% 9.43%
-3.76% 7.41%
-5.26% 6.01%
-3.61% 5.08%
0.00% 0.00%
-4.08% 0.28% <== not considering Mar-20 value as this is the outlier
AVERAGE
47.31% -3.82%
4.86% 48.97%
16.33% 9.87%
26.98% 22.14%
P&L Assumptions
Actual Forecasted
Particulars 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Sep-20
Revenue 1,802.070 2,085.780 2,242.590 2,223.070 2,197.370 2,314.024
Revenue Growth % 15.74% 8% -1% -1% 5%
28.8
88%
1363.013
56%
-58.056
-2.4%
164.134
7%
502.189
21%
5.896
0.24%
58.10201
2%
-9.987361
17%
PROJECTED P & L STATEMENT
Actual Forecasted
Particulars 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Sep-20
Tangible Assets
237.59 234.3 222.18 215.66 407.24 203.0751
% of Sales 8% 8% 7% 7% 14% 9%
Forecasted
Mar-21
435.8494
65.28
0.900563
0.24
213.856
9%
Capex
Actual Forecasted
Particulars
Begining Plant, Property and 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Sep-20
Equipment and amortisation
Depreciation 237.59 234.3 222.18 215.66 407.24
expenses 45.55 51.85 52.92 44.16 56.29 55.173
Capex -55.14 -65.04 -50.68 135.29 -259.3379
Ending Plant, Property and
Equipment 237.59 234.3 222.18 215.66 407.24 203.0751
213.856
Mar-21
435.8494
0.900563
436.7499
22.01726
CASH FLOW
Actual
Particulars 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
NOPAT 285.6 431.2 428.946 278.155 186.599
Add: Depreciation 45.55 51.85 52.92 44.16 56.29
Gross Cash Flow 331.15 483.05 481.866 322.315 242.889
Less: CAPEX -55.14 -65.04 -50.68 135.29
Less: Change in WC -32.35 114.42 176.22 -50.58
Free Cash Flow 395.56 531.246 447.855 327.599
Forecasted
Sep-20 Mar-21
412.22298 446.23693
55.172995 58.10201
467.39598 504.33894
-259.3379 -47.32119
-567.2773 22.017256
-359.2192 479.035
Calculation of DCF and Value per Share
WACC 12.33%
Terminal Growth 3.90%
1 2
Actual Forecasted
Particulars 2017 2018 2019 2020 Sep-20 Mar-21
Free Cash Flow 395.56 531.246 447.855 327.599 -359.2192 479.035
Terminal Value -4427.388 5904.121
Total Free Cash Flows -4786.607 6383.156
Discounting Factor 0.89 0.89
DCF -4260.08 5681.008