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A circular economy for smart devices

Opportunities in the US, UK and India


Contents

Summary2

1. Introduction: good devices, bad systems 3

2. Six circular economy models 6

3. Market opportunities in the US, UK and India 21

4. The benefits of a circular economy for smart devices 26

5. Annex: methodology 33

1
Summary

Smartphones, tablets and laptops have analysis reveals that a two year old flagship of consumers without a smartphone, who
moved from the fringe of computing to the smartphone can be more attractive than tend to be older and less well off.
mainstream in just five years. Sales of these today’s mid to low tier best sellers. It shows
smart devices exploded as consumers saw that repair makes economic and The saturated market for laptops, by
the benefits of seamless connectivity, and environmental sense for at least four years, contrast, would be better suited to circular
were drawn to the simplicity of new user and up to seven in some cases. And it economy models which keep laptops with
interfaces. In many cases, the environment demonstrates that keeping a mobile phone a single user for longer.
benefited too, as energy efficient devices in use for just one extra year cuts its
displaced older computers, and new lifetime CO2 impact by a third. In India, low labour costs and more
mobile-enabled cloud systems became standardised hardware in cheaper devices
platforms for efficiency across the economy. Just as there isn’t a single business model make harvesting parts a viable strategy.
for smart devices, there isn’t a single route Similarly, India’s existing network of small
Unfortunately, this isn’t the whole story. to a circular economy. Instead, this report electronics repairers would favour a
Smart devices are smart, but the physical sets out six circular economy business decentralised, DIY repair approach.
systems they end up in are not: 89 per models that companies in different parts of
cent of mobile devices in the US were the supply chain can experiment with. There are huge circular economy
thrown into landfill in 2010, even These range from software only changes to opportunities for the makers of
though the resources they contain mean hardware redesign to enable existing parts smartphones, tablets and laptops. With
it is economically sensible to recycle to be used again. Even small design five billion potential customers seeking
them. Many millions of usable devices adjustments can make a huge difference: access to smart devices, companies that
are left forgotten in drawers once their replacing a screen on the iPhone 3GS takes reduce their costs and environmental
owners upgrade, despite a robust 15 minutes; on the less modular HTC One, impact through circular strategies will
second-hand market. This wastes perfectly it takes 90 minutes. prosper. The good news is that the tools
good devices, frustrates consumers and to do so, as we outline in this report, are
harms the environment. This report analyses US, UK, and Indian already at hand.
markets, identifying the most receptive
But technologists don’t have to let their consumers for the different circular
hard work end up as waste after a few short economy models. In developed markets like
years. A circular economy for smart devices the US and UK, second-hand phones could
would keep them in use for longer. This prove attractive to the roughly 40 per cent
2
1
Introduction: good devices, bad systems
The technologists that created mobile customers around the world, increase Valuable resources are being lost1
computing started with a gloriously blank brand loyalty, and cut manufacturing costs
canvas. They used their creativity to design and risks. Doing so would also help to cut
elegant, useful, and universally desirable electronic waste, carbon emissions and
new devices and systems. Their products are resource use.
carried in billions of back pockets and bags 89%
across the wealthy world, and they are The circular economy is already
aiming to sell to the next five billion making money
people, all of whom are eager to benefit A circular economy for consumer
from the information and communication electronics is already here. It has developed
that the internet provides. from the bottom up: the value of Apple
devices sold on eBay in the US in 2013 was
But these ingenious people have sent their nearly $2 billion.2 NextWorth estimates the
devices out into a world whose physical potential value of the US smartphone trade
systems are designed with none of the in market in 2014 to be over $3 billion.3
elegance of their digital counterparts. The
result is that old but usable laptops, tablets And it’s not just smartphones. WRAP
and smartphones are ending up in landfill estimated in 2013 that the value of two to
or languishing in drawers, where they sit three year old laptops in the UK was £720 89 per cent end up in landfill ...while millions are discarded
until they reach technological obsolescence. million and two to three year old tablets
The US threw away 141million mobile devices 28-125 million phones languish unused
But clever devices deserve better than to were worth £90 million after any collection in 2010, 89 per cent of them went to landfill in the UK alone. This means for every phone
become waste after just a couple of years of and repair costs were taken into account.4 in use, up to four sit in drawers unused
use: electronics and the cloud services that Even when devices are no longer usable
they connect to can be the source of the they have value: the market for IT spares
solution. and components is estimated to be greater
than £10 million a year in the UK alone.5
This report shows how companies across
the mobile electronics supply chain can
adopt a circular economy model to make
money out of old devices, attract new
4
The used device market is growing fast, consumers to recover more of the devices Market predictions for traded-in and used smartphones to 2018
with estimates of global used smartphone that would otherwise end up scrapped or
sales expected to rise from 53 million to stored away.
257 million between 2013 and 2018,
Trade-in Used
driven by a doubling of trade-ins in the But it is not just about gaining more value.
US.6 But these big numbers hide far greater Manufacturers, software providers, retailers
potential: globally, only 12 per cent of and carriers would benefit from building
Upgraded  53 million  257 million 
smartphone upgrades involved the old circular economy thinking into their smart phones used used
device being sold or traded. business plans because it is popular with either traded in smartphone smartphone
customers, helps to mitigate business risks, or sold sales sales
This is changing the market. Credible and dramatically cuts the environmental
projections suggest that eight per cent of impact of devices: just keeping a
new sales will be cannibalised by reuse in smartphone in use for an additional year
2018.7 Rather than seeing these trends as a cuts its CO2 impact by 31 per cent. 50%
25%
threat, forward thinking companies could
see them as a new opportunity. In this report we set out these benefits in
detail, but if they are to be realised,
They wouldn’t be alone: a growing number companies will have to experiment with
2013 2018 2013 2018
of independent trade-in businesses like new, circular economy models.
Gazelle in the US and Mazuma in the UK
are competing for old mobile devices on We outline six models in chapter two (see In chapter three we provide a more
the ease, trust, and reliability of their page six), demonstrating how companies detailed analysis of the US, UK and
service. Manufacturers are also beginning can adapt software, hardware and business Indian markets, to show how circular
to enter the market, with Apple offering a models for a circular economy. They show models for smart devices meet the
trade-in service for iPhones and iPads in the the changes companies could make, which demands of their consumers.
UK, US and India, and Samsung running parts of the supply chain might benefit
one for smartphones in India. But carriers, most and which consumers are likely to be
retailers and software providers also have an most receptive.
opportunity to grow the total size of the
market by using their relationship with
5
2
Six circular economy models
Three types of intervention
Hardware Software Business model There is no single model for a circular the supply chain than others. They are
economy in consumer electronics. The developed with information about why
supply chain for mobile devices is complex, different supply chain actors might benefit
No redesign No redesign No redesign highly varied and still evolving. from a particular model, and also which
consumers might find them attractive.
Battery and screen Leasing, eg device Companies like Apple and Microsoft are
replacement Simplified second life OS upgrades on schedule
vertically integrated across hardware and The overall aim is to provide an interested
Cosmetic modularity (eg software; Samsung is even more tightly company with enough information to
Nokia’s swappable shells) Hardware diagnosis Buy back
integrated across hardware, but largely experiment with different ways of
Full modularity Servitisation, eg reliant on others for software; Google is becoming more circular.
(eg Phonebloks) Performance diagnosis Chrome OS mostly a software company but is
increasingly influencing hardware design; The six models are:
Durability Collection prompting
and carriers, like O2 in the UK or AT&T in
the US, provide services but also 1. Software led longevity
Part compatibility Driver standardisation
occasionally produce hardware. There is 2. Better reuse
similar diversity across the whole supply
3. Minor modularity
chain.
4. Cloud offloading
Rather than imposing a single model, this 5. Parts harvesting and remanufacturing
analysis builds on three types of
intervention: hardware, software and 6. DIY repair
business model changes. Each has a
number of options, outlined in the tables
on the left.

Using this framework, six combinations of


hardware, software and business model
options are set out in this chapter. All will
increase the lifetime of older devices, but
some will work better for different parts of
7
Model 1
Software led longevity

Hardware Software Business model Out of date software means usable cent less than the almost identical Google
hardware provides a second rate Nexus, which does.9
experience, with reduced features, limited
No redesign No redesign No redesign app compatibility and security vulnerabilities. Research firm Bernstein notes that
This reduces reuse opportunities: twenty smartphones with unsupported operating
Battery and screen Leasing, eg device per cent of consumers say that they replace systems have “limited to no resale value.”10
replacement Simplified second life OS upgrades on schedule
a device when there are no more software This is a major barrier to reuse: 63 per cent
Cosmetic modularity (eg updates for the old one.8 Updates are a of Android and 54 per cent of Windows
Nokia’s swappable shells) Hardware diagnosis Buy back
significant factor in a device’s resale value: Phone devices are running two year old
Full modularity Servitisation, eg The LG G2, which has no guarantee of versions; 19 per cent and 17 per cent,
(eg Phonebloks) Performance diagnosis Chrome OS timely software updates, is worth 15 per respectively, are running three year old
versions.11
Durability Collection prompting

Part compatibility Driver standardisation Name Manufactured Support ended Months supported
Nexus One January 2010 September 2011 20
Nexus S December 2010 October 2012 22
Galaxy Nexus November 2011 July 2013 20
iPhone June 2007 February 2010 32
iPhone 3G July 2008 November 2010 28
iPhone 3Gs June 2009 February 2014 56
iPhone 4 June 2010 March 2014 45
iPad April 2010 May 2012 25
Nokia Lumia 800 November 2011 November 2012 12
Nokia Lumia 900 April 2012 November 2012 7
HTC HD7 October 2010 November 2012 25
HTC Titan October 2011 November 2012 13
8
Eighteen month old iPhones on average have cost $44 million to code and LXDE outdated software are less likely to buy In India, extended software support is
retain 53 per cent of their value, versus 42 $1.6 million.13 their next device from the same becoming a defining feature of lower
per cent for Android flagships.12 iPhone manufacturer. HTC has recognised this specification phones which can’t compete
software support lasts on average 16 Which parts of the supply chain benefit? and promised to support software for on hardware with premium models. For
months longer. two years after release.14 instance, Chinese manufacturer Xiaomi is
Software producers focusing explicitly on providing the latest
The circular economy strategy to solve Companies that make money through the User experience: this is a differentiating
•  Android OS to all device users, rather than
these problems has two potential routes: use of a device (eg Google via Android, factor among brands as prices drop, competing solely on specifications.21
the first would be simply to extend and Apple via iTunes, and other digital services markets become saturated and hardware Google’s Android One programme will
guarantee software support for longer. The and app developers) already have incentives innovation slows.15 Software support for guarantee regular updates by providing
second is to develop a lighter weight to give customers up to date software: previous generations of iPhones has been hardware standards for companies, such as
second life firmware for older devices. This showcasing the best features of the OS, part of Apple’s strategy of leading the budget Indian manufacturers Micromax
could possibly involve turning off certain enabling wider choice of apps and better market in customer experience.16 and Karbonn.22
features like visual transitions, skins, data analytics, and avoiding reputational
gesture controls, widgets and cloud risks from security breaches. The challenge Maintaining value: consumers prefer
•  A used device with second life firmware
syncing, for example, and then either for them lies in diverting funding to a products with higher resale values.17 Some would be most attractive for those in the US
selling second-hand devices with more second life operating system, and securing users buy devices with a plan to sell them or UK who don’t already own a smartphone
limited functionality to market segments agreement from hardware providers either afterwards; others use resale value as the or tablet. This includes low income
that would buy lower tier devices, or to open source hardware drivers or to provide best indication of the quality of the consumers, or those who would prefer a
providing this as an additional ‘keep your continued support for these over time. product.18 simpler device;23 for example, the over 65s
device fast’ service for existing users for market, which makes up around a sixth of
free or for a small upgrade fee. Manufacturers Where’s the market? the population of the UK.24
Manufacturers have less direct incentive to In the US and UK, simply extending
A version of this model exists already, with support second life operating systems, as software updates would be popular with Similarly, in India, older devices with
tech savvy users switching to Cyanogenmod they make money based on device sales, not consumers who buy new hardware second life firmware would suit those who
or other custom firmware for mobiles and device lifetime. However, indirect reasons infrequently, such as lower socioeconomic are looking to enter the market for the first
tablets, or less resource intensive PC to provide software support include: groups or those using prepaid plans with time and would like a working device at
operating systems like Lubuntu for laptops. unsubsidised devices.19 Also, it would be minimal cost. Older devices could easily
And developing software shouldn’t be Customer frustration: customers who
•  popular with the increasing number of compete with the $35 Cloud FX mobile
expensive: Cyanogenmod is estimated to replace a device due to frustration with people who sell devices on after first use.20 phone, for example.25
9
Model 2
Better reuse

Hardware Software Business model the condition of the device, or be used as a Profit from reuse
proxy for likely damage. For example, a
tablet which receives above a certain iPhone
Sale price
500
No redesign No redesign No redesign number of impact Gs is likely to be 400
damaged. This would reduce the cost of $ 300 Profit
Battery and screen Leasing, eg device assessing second-hand devices and increase 200

replacement Simplified second life OS upgrades on schedule 100


confidence in their quality.
Cost of acquiring
Cosmetic modularity (eg iPad
Nokia’s swappable shells) Hardware diagnosis Buy back
The second tool would address the lack of 500
400
Full modularity Servitisation, eg awareness and hassle factor preventing
(eg Phonebloks) Performance diagnosis Chrome OS
$ 300

greater reuse. It would do so by prompting 200

consumers to sell their old device, 100


Durability Collection prompting
displaying its value on a range of different
MacBook
buyback services, like eBay, Mazuma, or
Part compatibility Driver standardisation 2,000
Gazelle. It would need to offer very simple 1,600
collection options, building on recent $ 1,200

800
improvements in delivery systems for 400
online shopping, including Collect+,
Globally, there is no shortage of demand for in many devices for over five years from the Amazon lockers, the post office network, Android phone
second-hand devices, yet millions of original sale date. or home delivery. 500
400
phones sit in drawers in the US and the UK, $ 300

while the same models fetch high prices on This model would use two software tools Ideally, selling would be a simple, one click 200

eBay. Between 27 per cent and 36 per cent to supply more used devices to the people action, using geolocation to offer the 100

of US consumers said they keep an old who want to buy them. nearest drop off point, automatically
Android tablet
phone because they “don’t know what to deducting postage charges and providing 250
do with it.” Seventeen per cent were just The first would be a hardware diagnosis packaging, securely wiping data and 200

“too lazy” to get rid of them.26 The key to app which would measure water damage, immediately crediting the user’s bank $ 150
100
maximising the value and environmental memory errors, charge cycles and battery account.27 The trigger for such a prompt 50
benefits of reuse is to retrieve used devices lifetime, impact Gs, number of reboots, etc. could be set based on contract length, as 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
as early as possible, although there is value These data could either directly determine with existing upgrades, or could be based Years

10
on sim card swapping, Google or iCloud Carriers and retailers and recycling is mostly very effective in the third of US and UK customers who
• 
registration of a new device, or could even Benefits are likely to be higher for carriers: India.31 Of the smartphones collected cite value for money as most important
prompt a user when a device hasn’t been retailers like mobiles.co.uk already offer six through trade-in programs in the when choosing a mobile device, plus
used for a period of time. month old refurbished devices on contracts developed world, 30 per cent are sold in those who don’t own one at all due to
that cost 15 per cent less than normal developed markets and 70 per cent are sold cost: in the US, 59 per cent of 18 to 29
This model would be most likely to work contracts, addressing a more price sensitive in emerging markets, as export costs are year olds without a smartphone don’t
for smartphones and tablets, where market segment. cheap and brand name devices are in high own one because it’s too expensive;38
information about device usage is routinely demand.32, 33, 34 A similar pattern holds for
collected already and upgrade cycles have The biggest challenge for this model is that laptops and tablets.35 prepaid customers who don’t have access
• 
not yet matched the technical obsolescence the software provider is probably best to a subsidised device on contract;
of the underlying product. placed to develop and deliver both It is likely that Apple already sells factory
hardware diagnosis and software refurbished phones from developed the 30 per cent of the UK population
• 
Which parts of the supply chain benefit? prompting services. This is because it sees markets to India.36 It is able to do this easily who are ‘gadget lovers’ and want to
Manufacturers, carriers or retailers could when users change their devices, is a as it controls hardware, software and has experience a more premium model or
capitalise on the high value of unused neutral party when presenting different substantial power over carriers. A similar upgrade more often than they could
devices: up to $58 billion of unused US and end of life buyback options and already model could be used for mid-range devices afford to with new devices; and39
UK smartphones alone.28 However, as the collects user data, which may be relevant to from other manufacturers, which could
market develops it is likely to become hardware diagnosis. However, it has the compete with low cost Indian and Chinese corporate customers, who are
• 
highly competitive, with schemes being least to gain from doing so at present. But, products to attract first time buyers. “increasingly willing to give employees
subject to a significant network effect. as e-waste collection requirements expand, like-new refurbished phones that are
it is possible to imagine that software In the US and UK, there is an opportunity cheaper than new phones.”40
Manufacturers providers could offer collection prompting for manufacturers to sell used devices to
Relatively new second-hand devices can be as a core feature of an operating system, in compete directly with budget devices. For
used internally by manufacturers, as a exchange for a service fee or as part of the example, the Samsung Galaxy SIII, released
replacement for insurance claims or attractiveness of a software ecosystem. in May 2012, has similar specifications to
warranty returns.29 Older devices can be the Moto E, released in May 2014, and
sold to consumers in the developing world Where’s the market? commands a similar price.37 Potential
to attract new users to the ecosystem who The problem of unused devices not getting market segments to target include:
could buy new devices in the future.30 into second-hand markets is currently a
first world problem. Informal reuse, repair
11
Model 3
Minor modularity

Hardware Software Business model Second-hand devices requiring minor Profit from minor modularity
repair are worth repairing for three to five
iPhone
years after sale, even after logistical and 500
Sale price

No redesign No redesign No redesign refurbishment costs are taken into account. 400
Profit

But there is huge variation in the cost of $ 300

Battery and screen Leasing, eg device repair: many devices don’t have easily 200

replacement Simplified second life OS upgrades on schedule 100


removable batteries or replaceable screens, Cost of acquiring
Cosmetic modularity (eg as designers favour slimness over iPad
Nokia’s swappable shells) Hardware diagnosis Buy back
repairability. 500
400
Full modularity Servitisation, eg
(eg Phonebloks) Performance diagnosis Chrome OS
$ 300
Screen and battery replacements are the 200
100
most frequently needed repairs for a range
Durability Collection prompting
of devices: 85 per cent of iPhone repairs are
MacBook
for cracked screens according to iCracked.41
Part compatibility Driver standardisation 2,000
According to WRAP, 73 per cent of tablets 1,600

requiring repairs only need battery or $ 1,200


800
screen replacements.42 400

Lack of battery life limits the attractiveness Android phone


600
of phones, with 71 per cent of consumers 500
putting a long lasting battery as the most $ 400
300
important feature desired in a new phone, 200
100
compared to internet access (57 per cent)
and a high specification camera (41 per Android tablet
cent).43 Laptops are much less likely to need 250

screen replacement but would benefit from 200


$ 150
an easily replaceable battery.44, 45 100
50

0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Years

12
In this model, minor modularity means • 
Higher resale value: as mentioned in the 70 per cent frustrated with battery life,
that batteries and screens are designed to be model one, higher resale value will add who might benefit from changing the
easily replaceable. More modular devices brand value. battery as their device gets older.52, 53 The
would have substantially cheaper repair large amount of repair activity in India
costs. According to iFixit, replacing a screen • 
Low cost style differentiation: the suggests that Indian consumers would find
on the iPhone 3GS takes 15 minutes versus worldwide popularity of the Nokia 520, minor modularity attractive (see model six
90 minutes on the HTC One.46 This sixfold which comes in bright colours with for more details.)
difference has a huge impact given the swappable shells to ‘match your outfit’
frequency of these repairs and the fact that indicates there could be an appetite for The second group is those who are
labour cost is the main constraint on repair. devices that include modular covers, in upgrading for reasons of style
The trade off in thickness, at least addition to screens and batteries.50, 51 differentiation: for example, 45 per cent of
comparing the iPad and Google Nexus 7, Swappable covers for second-hand German consumers replace devices because
appears to be just one millimetre.47 devices could refresh the style of an older “there is a new model on the market”54. For
core, boosting the attractiveness of some, a superficial change could be enough.
Which parts of the supply chain refurbished devices.
benefit? Similarly, the 16 per cent of UK consumers
Where’s the market? that prioritise stylish design when choosing
Manufacturers A manufacturer that adopts minor a device may be interested in only changing
There are three main benefits for modularity could attract two types of the exterior look of the device.
manufacturers: customers, in addition to those consumers
identified as potential purchasers of The enduring popularity of Nokia models
• 
Brand loyalty: 95 per cent of iFixit users second-hand devices in the ‘better reuse’ in India suggests that changeable cases may
say successful repair makes them more model. be of interest to Indian consumers, more of
likely to buy another product from the whom choose devices based on style than
same manufacturer.48 Customers have The first group could be attracted on the on price, according to one survey.55
high expectations of reliability for basis of longer lived devices. This could
electronics products and are frustrated if encompass the 70 per cent of people in the
they break, so easy repair may go some UK who don’t prioritise owning the latest
way to reducing this frustration.49 gadgets, the third who buy accessories to
prevent their screen from scratching and
13
Model 4
Cloud offloading

Hardware Software Business model This model accelerates the trend of cloud offloading already apply to all device
offloading functionality to the cloud, seen types: Opera Mini can speed up browsing
in software like Dropbox, Evernote, Google on smartphones; Kindle Fire tablets offload
No redesign No redesign No redesign Docs, Opera Mini and others. This is done web browsing tasks to Amazon’s EC2 cloud;
by shifting away from selling a device and and ChromeOS and Citrix demonstrate that
Battery and screen Leasing, eg device access to the cloud (the traditional lower power laptops can meet the needs of
replacement Simplified second life OS upgrades on schedule
smartphone model) or device only some consumers.
Cosmetic modularity (eg (common for tablets and laptops). Instead,
Nokia’s swappable shells) Hardware diagnosis Buy back
it promotes servitisation: selling a service Even the most latency sensitive
Full modularity Servitisation, eg that bundles access, device and applications, like video gaming, are
(eg Phonebloks) Performance diagnosis Chrome OS performance together. offloading tasks to the cloud: the Xbox One
offloads processing to Microsoft’s Azure
Durability Collection prompting
In practice, this might mean paying for a cloud.57 This suggests the network has
service package that provides access to a caught up. The challenge is to extend this
Part compatibility Driver standardisation
device; guaranteed application load times; trend and to target second-hand hardware
compatibility with MS Office; access to more explicitly.
specialist software; 3G and WiFi
connectivity and minimum battery life.56 Which parts of the supply chain
benefit?
Offloading tasks to the cloud means older
hardware can be used, including Service providers
second-hand devices. More durable Cloud offloading offers an opportunity to
hardware could be helpful, and grow based on providing an integrated
performance diagnosis software would service, rather than simply competing on
need to be integrated to ensure that the data bandwidth, while reducing total
agreed service commitments (eg speed to service cost by using cheaper second-hand
load webpages) were met. devices. However, software developers are
the early movers in providing the cloud
Network coverage and latency are the main based services that any servitised model
challenges for this model, but elements of would require.
14
Manufacturers cent of over 65s without a smartphone
The main benefit of cloud offloading may perceive no need or relevance for new
be to lower cost, less established devices while a further 13 per cent say
manufacturers, who could focus on they are too complicated;61a targeted
durable, lower specification new and device with the right features could
remanufactured devices rather than going attract these customers; and
into direct competition with manufacturers
who are competing on high cost, high • business customers who have a high
specification new devices. turnover of different users on the same
devices, or who require the strong data
Where’s the market? security enabled by not processing data
Cloud computing and servitisation locally.
exist already, but they don’t often use
second-hand devices. However, the Cloud offloading could also apply to
majority of consumers (70 per cent in the facilities where data control is important
UK) don’t “love buying gadgets”,58 and and tasks are limited. One example might
many others want only a limited set of be using second-hand tablets for medical
features. Examples include: records management in hospitals or for
warehouse stock management. Existing
• lower socioeconomic groups or those successful cloud models for laptops are in
looking to spend as little as possible on a education and large businesses with a
device, as this model could work out limited range of use cases. Unfortunately,
much cheaper, eg currently Chromebooks relatively patchy 3G networks in India limit
are available for $200-400, while regular cloud offloading at present.62
notebook prices start around $400;59

• consumers confused by the range of new


devices who would rather only choose
the service, especially if they only plan to
use basic features.60 For example, 57 per
15
Model 5
Parts harvesting and remanufacturing

Hardware Software Business model This model would extend the minor This model could be most useful for slowly
modularity envisaged in model three to evolving technologies, such as mid-range
include improved disassemblability and cameras and power supplies, as well as
No redesign No redesign No redesign compatibility of additional components. components that break easily, such as micro
USB connectors, laptop power connectors
Battery and screen Leasing, eg device This would enable the reuse of and radio modules for WiFi and Bluetooth.
replacement Simplified second life OS upgrades on schedule
components when the device is otherwise
Cosmetic modularity (eg not able to be repaired. It would keep high Used components could be used in new or
Nokia’s swappable shells) Hardware diagnosis Buy back
embodied carbon components, such as remanufactured devices, or in secondary
Full modularity
Performance diagnosis
Servitisation, eg integrated circuits, which contribute 35 markets.64 For a detailed breakdown of the
(eg Phonebloks) Chrome OS per cent of a smartphone’s carbon carbon impacts of repair, see chapter four.
footprint, in use for longer.63
Durability Collection prompting

Part compatibility Driver standardisation Embodied carbon in laptop components


High carbon Low carbon
Camera
370 kgCO2e/kg

Display
360 kgCO2e/kg

Plastic
5 kgCO2e/kg

16
Currently, disassembly is common for hardware side, components’ size, shape and Reuse and parts harvesting are much more valuable than recycling
expensive servers but uneconomic for most connectivity need to be standardised. On the
mobile devices in the US and UK, due to a software side, a lack of available drivers is the New phone Second-hand phone

combination of high labour costs and main challenge: although Windows and
design choices that favour slimness over Linux are able to dynamically load drivers,
Product price £599
disassemblability.65 Even in China, which tablets and smartphones have architectures
has wages only somewhat higher than which require device specific kernels.There
India, complete disassembly may become is no technical reason why this couldn’t
uneconomic by 2015, with limited change, as Google’s Project Ara, which uses
disassembly ceasing to be economic by dynamically loading drivers, shows.67
2026.66 However, the more fundamental challenge is
to extend the availability of drivers, most of
This suggests there is a window of which are developed by component Price if reused £290
opportunity for manufacturers to manufacturers and are only provided under Parts £188
remanufacture devices over the next licence to original equipment manufacturers Parts £170
decade in India, starting with existing (OEMs).68
devices, while they redesign devices to
ensure that partial disassembly is Which parts of the supply chain
economic in the longer term, for benefit?
example to extract the camera. Materials £1.50 Materials £0.72
Manufacturers, remanufacturers and
Pressure to produce low cost devices is refurbishers
already leading to component The majority of the value of broken devices
Finished products are worth much more Parts in a broken phone are worth nearly
standardisation in Android One devices. lies in the highly engineered components, than the raw materials inside them one third of the original value of the device
The limited range and high popularity of rather than raw materials, meaning
Apple products also makes component component reuse is the best way of
reuse possible. retaining value.

However, there are a number of barriers to Manufacturers that redesign devices to be


expanding remanufacturing. On the able to reuse components avoid the costs of
17
producing new parts. The same is true for Where’s the market? mortar retailers for distribution and
remanufacturers and refurbishers. An apt The UK’s Centre for Remanufacturing and reverse logistics.
metaphor is the car industry: cars are readily Reuse notes that remanufacturing is at its
disassemblable; and many parts are most successful when it is most hidden, Opportunities for parts use in secondary
compatible across generations and model due to consumer perceptions about the markets include redeploying screens and
types. The result is a robust market for spare reliability of remanufactured goods.69 cameras for low cost devices, and using
parts and substantial profits for Certainly, in the US and UK markets, laptop batteries to power off-grid LED
remanufacturers. remanufacturing would work best if it were lighting, a secondary use which has already
invisible to the consumer, with full new been trialled in Bangalore.72
At the same time, raw material prices have warranties applying to devices that contain
risen dramatically as well, particularly for remanufactured parts.
specialty metals. Reuse of components is an
opportunity to hedge against material risks In India, device and component reuse is
(see chapter four.) higher than in developed markets, and
some generic components are already used.
Carriers and retailers For example, Micromax buys Mediatek or
Because of high labour costs in the US and Snapdragon processors for budget devices
UK, dramatic design changes would be rather than custom building them.70, 71
required to increase parts harvesting and
remanufacturing significantly. This suggests that a more explicit strategy
of leasing phones to consumers could be
The most obvious way to justify such a successful. Such a leasing model could
redesign would be for a manufacturer and a promise that the recovered components
carrier or retailer to form a partnership for from a traded-in phone will be used to
leased devices. This would enable devices to reduce the cost of a new phone, provided
come back to the manufacturer and savings consumers stick with the same
to be shared between the manufacturer and manufacturer. This could be done via
the retailer or carrier. online channels, but as these account for
only ten per cent of sales, manufacturers
may wish to partner with brick and
18
Model 6
DIY repair

Hardware Software Business model In addition to screen and battery some benefits. Consumers find it
replacements, for which there is robust frustrating to throw devices away because
UK data, interviews with the Restart of minor breakages that can’t easily be
No redesign No redesign No redesign Project and iFixit suggest that some repaired.
consumers replace their tablets and
Battery and screen Leasing, eg device laptops early due to maintenance issues Ninety five per cent of iFixit users say
replacement Simplified second life OS upgrades on schedule
like dust blocking fans, laptop hinge successful repair makes them more likely to
Cosmetic modularity (eg failures, crumbs stopping keys from buy another product from the same
Nokia’s swappable shells) Hardware diagnosis Buy back
working or damaged power ports, which manufacturer.75, 76
Full modularity Servitisation, eg they find difficult or impossible to fix.
(eg Phonebloks) Performance diagnosis Chrome OS Dell makes repairability a unique selling
Redesigning devices for repairability, and point, providing extensive support
Durability Collection prompting
providing information on how to repair including interactive video teardowns.77, 78
them, would enable customers to address
Part compatibility Driver standardisation
these problems themselves. However, many And DIY repair can help to cut the cost of
IT manufacturers have resisted such an servicing warranty repairs. Dyson, for
approach: Toshiba has refused to release its example, designs for repair, sells spare parts
repair manuals, citing intellectual property and provides guidance on how to repair its
rights and Apple has developed proprietary appliances via a call centre.79 The benefits of
screws to prevent customers from opening this to refurbishers or repairers are obvious.
their devices.73, 74
Carriers
Which parts of the supply chain Carriers should be largely unaffected except
benefit? in so far as they make money on mobile
phone insurance, as greater repairability
Manufacturers, refurbishers and repairers may decrease sales of insurance.
This model is the most challenging for
manufacturers: DIY repair provides very
limited opportunities to make money from
longer lived devices. Nevertheless, there are
19
Where’s the market? more widely repairable in a decentralised
In the US and UK, greater repairability or DIY capacity, then maximum
would appeal to those who are prepared to repairability, user satisfaction and brand
repair their devices, which is currently loyalty could be ensured.84
around ten per cent of customers.80 As this
increases the resale value of devices, it
would benefit all customers, especially for
those devices subject to slower upgrade
cycles, like laptops and tablets.

In India, there is a stronger culture of repair


and an expectation that devices should be
reliable and easily serviceable.81 For
consumer electronics this is done mainly
through a large network of small traders
across the country, though increasingly it is
also offered by branded service centres.82

For example, Micromax has started to


compete on repair speed, aiming to
reduce the turnaround time to less than
seven days from the current 15 by tripling
the number of its centrally run service
centres and piloting a home pick-up and
drop off service.83

India’s geography, consumers’ preferences


for quick turnaround times on repair and
the prevalence of informal face to face
interactions, mean that, if devices were
20
3
Market opportunities in the US, UK and India
Which circular electronics models suit the characteristics of US, UK, and Indian markets? This chapter outlines the most salient
characteristics of US, UK and Indian
markets for the circular economy models
US UK India
outlined in the previous chapter. It provides
1 Enables growth in a saturated Enables growth in a saturated Enables redistribution of US and more detail on devices and market
Software led longevity market market UK devices in India
opportunities to inform companies
exploring how to expand their circular
2 Accesses a large pool of reusable Accesses a large pool of reusable Enables cascaded use of US and economy activity in both mature and
Better reuse premium devices premium devices UK devices in India emerging markets.

3 Addresses common hardware Addresses common hardware Addresses common hardware US and UK markets
Minor modularity failures and uses existing logistics failures and uses existing logistics failures; may require new logistics
Smartphones
Market saturation, slowing technology
4 Dependent on the availability of High population density and good Niche use only
Cloud offloading fast data networks network infrastructure change and a slowing upgrade cycle are an
opportunity for longer lived devices and
greater reuse.
5 Requires device exports for Requires device exports for Enabled by hardware
Parts harvesting and remanufacturing remanufacturing standardisation in budget devices
US and UK markets have high smartphone
remanufacturing and low labour costs
penetration levels which are predicted to
reach saturation within the next five years.
6 Attractive to some consumers Attractive to some consumers Builds on existing infrastructure In the UK, 61 per cent of adults own a
DIY repair and practice
smartphone.85 Ownership levels are similar
in the US at 58 per cent.86 In the UK,
forecasts suggest 90 per cent sometime
between mid-2016 and the end of 2017.87

Evidence from saturated markets like Japan,


where 97 per cent of mobile subscribers
have smartphones, suggests price
22
competition will sharpen: “[Retailers] get will disappear: two thirds of UK prepaid consumers tend to have longer two types: “the branded side, which is
aggressive on pricing, and then when the smartphone users own Apple and Samsung upgrade cycles, and the US has seen a rise slowing, and the low cost which is
excitement fades, they move on to the next devices. But even premium devices may in prepaid plans, which may slow the continuing to grow… The branded side is
hit.” Budget models are already seeing struggle to maintain premium prices.97 pace of upgrades.102, 103 struggling because it’s already taken the low
strong sales in the US and UK.88 hanging fruit of people who had netbooks,
Taken together, market saturation and the Tablets who moved swiftly to tablets.”107 Tablet
Ownership patterns show significant slowing pace of technology change for The slowdown in demand for premium refresh cycles are roughly two and a half
differences in take-up across age groups. high end models suggest that the next tablets, alongside strong demand for low years but are predicted to lengthen, in the
For example, 88 per cent of 16-24 year round of smartphone sales could be served cost tablets suggests reused premium same way as PCs and laptops.108, 109
olds owned smartphones in 2014 in the by lower cost, lower specification, tablets could displace new low cost ones.
UK, compared to 14 per cent of those over second-hand devices. Laptops
65.89 The pattern is similar for US The sale of tablets in both markets is A saturated market suggests enabling
consumers.90 This suggests that older and The structure of the carrier market is sharply on the rise. 44 per cent of laptop longevity is the best strategy.
less well off consumers are the next reinforcing this opportunity. Smartphone households in the UK had a tablet in 2014,
potential markets for smartphones.91 replacement rates are influenced by the up from 24 per cent in 2013.104 In the US, Laptops are still the most popular device in
However, the majority of these consumers carrier refresh cycle, which are slowing in ownership grew from three per cent in the US and UK, with penetration rates of 63
identify a lack of need or relevance for the US and UK. Most customers in the US 2010 to 42 per cent in 2014.105 per cent in the UK and 81 per cent in the
new smartphone features, saying “they (75 per cent) and UK (58 per cent) are on US.110, 111 Although growth has flatlined, and
don’t think they’ll make use of the postpaid contracts and, in the US, contract As with smartphones, there is a marked sales are declining.112 Samsung has
advanced features, or think they’ll find it periods have moved from 18 to 22 months, difference between age groups, with the announced it will stop selling laptops in
too complicated.”92, 93, 94 to match the UK’s 24 months.98, 99 over 65s being an untapped market, and Europe.113
variation amongst socioeconomic groups,
As hardware innovation slows, competition At the same time, US and UK carriers are with 26 per cent of US households earning There is more limited variation between
among manufacturers based on now offering early upgrade options, after under $30,000 owning a tablet compared ownership across age groups, and more
technological features decreases in 12 or even six months, which rely on the to 65 per cent of households with income limited socioeconomic differences, with 74
importance.95 Price is an important driver: device being traded-in, creating a pool of above $75,000, suggesting price is an per cent of ABC1s in the UK owning
the top selection criterion for buying lightly used devices available for reuse.100, 101 important restraint on ownership.106 laptops compared to 50 per cent of
mobile devices in both markets is “value for C2DEs.114 Laptop upgrade cycles are just
money” (UK 28 per cent and US 30 per On the prepaid side of the market, Global research from Strategy Analytics over three years.115
cent).96 This doesn’t mean premium devices countries with higher numbers of suggests the tablet market is separating into
23
The Indian market centralised repair network operated by Smartphones specification devices, with increased
major manufacturers.117 The premium market is saturated, but penetration being caused by prices falling
Reuse in India low smartphone penetration suggests even further, eg smartphones costing less
Growing demand for low specification, As there is huge demand for cheap and low second-hand premium devices from the than $100 or even less than $50.124
cheap and used models of consumer specification devices, the second-hand developed world could compete with Budget Indian manufacturers, like
electronics is mediated through a market is likely to continue to grow and, mid-tier and budget devices. Micromax and Karbonn, have also
heterogeneous, mostly decentralised without other interventions, will remain enjoyed rapid success and Micromax now
distribution system. informal and decentralised. India has millions of potential first time closely rivals market leader Samsung.
buyers of mobile devices. Smartphone Cheap devices achieve low costs through
Reuse happens efficiently in India, mostly There is some indication, however, that a growth rates have been the highest in the generic components and larger scale
in small shops through informal, centralised resale market may develop. In Asia Pacific region, with a year-on-year production, which may contribute to
decentralised networks, but increasingly India, carriers don’t tend to offer subsidies smartphone shipment growth of over 186 greater potential for circular use.125
also online, again mostly through peer to for purchasing phones with plans, though per cent in the first quarter of 2014.119
peer markets like quikr.com rather than Reliance mobile has just introduced a Tablets
central vendors like Gazelle in the US. subsidised iPhone deal, creating a structure There is still only ten per cent smartphone Very cheap devices with limited internet
more like the US market. penetration of the mobile market, and connectivity are the norm, meaning
Devices are more efficiently recovered than projections indicate rapid growth rates will second-hand premium devices may have
in the developed world. Many fewer devices India’s legislation already places continue, especially in urban areas.120, 121 a niche in the market.
are left stuck in drawers. Used high end responsibility on producers to make
devices are in highest demand, but there is options available for consumers to return Due to low levels of overall wealth and high Tablets are less popular in India but are
a large market for used, budget devices in devices, and some are offering buyback inequality, the premium market is already seeing rapid growth; again this is most
working condition, even though these schemes, led by a desire to increase saturated. Apple has less than five per cent pronounced in the cheapest segments of
depreciate faster than premium products upgrade cycles rather than to recover any market share, and Android dominates 90 the market. Few people have access to
like the iPhone.116 value from old devices.118 This could tie in per cent of sales.122 Cheap models have been broadband and 90 per cent of those
well to centralised repair systems being driving growth, with the sub-$200 accessing the internet do so on
A decentralised repair market works in introduced by OEMs like Micromax (see category contributing about 78 per cent of smartphones and tablets.126 Rural areas still
conjunction with the informal resale model six on page 19), to provide market growth in early 2014.123 have very limited access to 3G networks
market. Broken devices are repaired and opportunities for a company to reuse and have seen much slower uptake rates. As
refurbished, while defunct devices are components. The majority of future growth will of August 2013, Vodafone had only
stripped and sold for parts. There is also a continue to be in low end, low upgraded 15 per cent of its 9,000 cell sites
24
in Uttar Pradesh to support 3G services.127 markets and sending them for reuse in
The government is promoting internet emerging markets.
access by subsidising the development of a
very cheap tablet, which will be available This poses a challenge: increasing
for INR 1,500 (£14).128 second-hand exports to India could
exacerbate India’s e-waste problem for
Laptops genuinely end of life devices. Indian fears
Limited penetration, as smartphones and of becoming a dumping ground for
tablets are the preferred devices. e-waste have led to a partial block on
imports of used computers and proposals
Laptops are less widespread, with users to limit imports of other used electronics.130, 131
who can only afford one device more often
opting for a smartphone or a tablet. Budget Adopting the reuse and remanufacturing
laptops have been available for some time focused circular models suggested in this
but, with prices starting at £150 for the report will reduce the total number of
cheapest devices, they are nowhere near as devices reaching the end of their useful
affordable for most consumers.129 Lack of life, as second-hand devices displace new
reliable internet access other than by devices. The logistics networks developed
mobile data may also limit uptake. As such, for the six circular business models we
these devices are much less relevant for the have described could help to ensure that
Indian market. end of life devices are collected for
recycling. However, this alone will not
The problem with e-waste solve the major environmental and health
Existing reuse markets for electronics hazards associated with inadequate
are global, with a substantial fraction of recycling facilities in emerging markets.
lower specification devices being sent to Companies making and marketing mobile
the developing world. A number of the devices, new or used, have a responsibility
circular economy models outlined in this to develop recycling infrastructure in
report could involve capturing older emerging markets.
premium devices from developed
25
4
The benefits of a circular economy
for smart devices
There are many good reasons to adopt a Attracting new customers Upgrades are slowing in mature markets, and are slow
circular economy model for consumer in emerging markets132,133,134
electronics. Three of the most important “We have more people that are able to join
are: the party when we have a trade-in,
because in essence it winds up being used 2007
1 Consumer demand and technology by...somebody else in that country that is 2008
USA phones 2009
change have created a new market very price-sensitive, or somebody in a
2010
opportunity. different country” 2012
Tim Cook, Apple CEO136 2013
2 Circular economy models reduce US & UK
Laptops
business risks. In India Apple sells older generation
iPhones, including the four year old iPhone 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
3 Keeping devices in use for longer 4 and 4s models. Katyayan Gupta, an analyst Years
significantly reduces environmental at Forrester Research in New Delhi explains
impacts. that “Indians want to show their status, so
people want Apple. It doesn’t matter if it’s a
New market opportunities two year old phone. It’s an Apple at the end
2010
of the day.”137 India phones
Across developed markets, the pace of
upgrades for smartphones and laptops is UK phones
slowing. Businesses increasingly have to As the research firm Bernstein points out, it USA phones
compete on price and user experience is in Apple’s interest to support trade-in
programs as a source of second-hand 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
rather than impressive hardware to attract
and retain customers. devices from a software ecosystem Years
perspective, “as… the vast majority
Value for money is the most commonly [emerging market] consumers cannot
cited factor for customers purchasing new afford iPhones and are adopting
devices in the US and UK, and circular Android.”138 Offering used devices enables
economy business models provide two carriers and manufacturers to engage
major opportunities to demonstrate value customers with their brand who could not
for money.135 afford a new device.
27
Our interviews with the IT asset disposal and refurbishment to ensure a good Yesterday’s flagship can out compete today’s best seller
industry suggest that emerging market customer experience.
consumers have a preference for developed Samsung Galaxy SIII, available May 2012 Motorola Moto E, available May 2014
market brands, provided they compete on The other lesson from the car market is that
price. Moreover, it’s not just emerging resale value influences purchasing
market customers. Laptop and tablet decisions. Actions to increase resale value,
ownership amongst the lowest for example making devices more
socioeconomic groups in the UK is just repairable, can work in a manufacturer’s
over half that of the highest (two thirds in favour even if they don’t remanufacture: Display Display
the case of smartphones), so there are large “competition from an independent Resolution Resolution
720 x 1280 pixels 540 x 960 pixels
sections of developed markets that could be refurbisher has both a positive (resale value
Pixel density Pixel density
targeted with lower cost devices.139 effect) and a negative (cannibalisation of 306 ppi 256 ppi
new product sales) impact on the OEM’s Camera Camera
Second-hand flagship devices are already profit. [However] the resale value effect can 8 megapixels 5 megapixels
competitive with mid to low tier dominate and the OEM can benefit from Hardware Hardware
smartphones: the Moto E has been a the existence of an entrant.”141 IBM and HP Processor Processor
Quad core 1400 Quad core 1200
runaway success, in part because it retails already facilitate server resale and secondary MHz ARM, Cortex-A9 MHz ARM, Cortex-A7
for £90 ($130). But the two year old use, and benefit from doing so.142 System Memory System Memory
Galaxy S3 has slightly superior 1024 MB RAM 1024 MB RAM
specifications, and sells on eBay for Data Data
£70-£140. HSDPA+(4G) 21.1Mbit/s HSDPA+(4G) 21.1Mbit/s
HSUPA 5.76 Mbit/s, HSUPA 5.76 Mbit/s,
UMTS, EDGE, GPRS UMTS, EDGE, GPRS
Lessons from the car industry Price Price
As selling on old devices becomes the £70 to £140 £90
norm, a trade-in service will increase the
likelihood of customers remaining with
their current brand or service provider.140
Technology companies could learn from
the car market, where trade-in is routine,
and consider providing in-house repair
28
Reducing business risks Demand for neodymium will outstrip These factors have made self supply through Most CO2 emissions come from
The circular economy helps to reduce three supply recycling common in industry. manufacturing149
core business risks: market risk, regulatory For example, Honda recovers rare earths
250,000 Average smartphone
risk and the cost of goods sold. Used from the battery packs in its hybrid vehicles
devices are already being sent to customers for reuse in new Honda cars, in part due to End of life
2%
for insurance returns and warranty claims, 200,000 supply concerns.146 Similarly, Dell recovers
Forecast demand 147 Use
lowering warranty costs. But developing for neodymium plastics from the old electronics it collects. 19%
supply chains to recover unwanted devices 150,000 Although platinum group metals, copper Distribution
6%
and designing devices that last longer and and bulk metals can be recovered through
Tonnes

Manufacturing
are more easily repaired helps to mitigate 100,000 shredding, yields are low. For many materials 75%
other risks. Most immediately, expanding that are used in smart devices, disassembly
reuse will reduce the market risk of 50,000
focused recovery is likely to make the most
cannibalisation, given predictions that used Forecast production sense. More exotic materials, like neodymium Average tablet
smartphones sales will rise from 53 million of neodymium which faces supply issues (see left), need to End of life
0
to 257 million between 2013 and 2018. be separated prior to recycling; these could 2%

2050
2030
2012

be more readily recovered if hardware was Use


20%
It also helps to address regulatory risk. adapted to make disassembly easier. Distribution
E-waste is the fastest growing waste stream 6%
Manufacturing
globally and policy makers are increasingly and materials for new devices. This new Lowering environmental impact 73%
passing on the costs of the associated social supply is insulated from: Unlike many other electronics, mobile
and environmental impacts to retailers and devices are optimised to run on battery
• environmental risks, like those arising
manufacturers through producer power. Their low energy use means the
from unsustainable tin mining in Average laptop
responsibility legislation.143 majority of mobile devices’ environmental
Indonesia;144
impact, between 60 and 85 per cent, arises End of life
More circular models will help defray • conflict risks, including those regulated from the manufacturing process.148 This 0.37%
producer responsibility costs and can under the US Dodd Frank Act; makes product lifetime the key Use
27%
contribute to reducing e-waste impacts. determinant of overall environmental Distribution
• commodity price volatility; and
impact, because a device that lasts longer 6%
145 Manufacturing
Used devices can also provide a low risk, • short term supply disruptions. spreads its manufacturing impacts over a 67%
and potentially lower cost, source of parts longer time period.
29
Keeping devices in use cuts emissions The circular economy models in this report When is repair no longer economic150
assume that longer lasting devices displace
% CO2 the purchase of new devices. Where this
reduction happens, even extending the lifetime of a
device by one year can cut the overall
Smart Tablets Laptops carbon footprint of device usage by
phones iPhone
between 19 and 31 per cent. Android phone
0% Broken
iPad
1 year life Extending the life of devices to four and a
10% extension half years for smartphones and tablets, or Android tablet
seven years for laptops cuts their impacts by
iPhone
20% up to half. Resale values suggest that there is
Android phone
a market for these devices for at least this Cosmetic
30% amount of time, as outlined in chapter two. damage iPad
Android tablet
40% Even for cosmetically damaged devices,
Maximum economic
repair makes economic sense for over 0 1 2 3 4
50% life extension three years, rising to as much as six years Years after sale
for iPhones. It also makes environmental
sense: replacing a screen and battery on a
longer lived device only slightly reduces
the overall carbon savings from life
extension for smartphones (from 53 per
cent to 46 per cent), although the carbon
cost of replacement is higher for tablets
(33 per cent to 20 per cent) and laptops
(44 per cent to 31 per cent) due to their
larger screens.

30
The industry’s environmental impact Second, smaller devices have higher carbon Our analysis suggests that the industry had
A circular economy approach to mobile intensity, meaning the shift from desktops, emissions substantially greater than the
devices can help to mitigate the rising to laptops, or even to smartphones, will not whole of the UK’s transport sector in 2013
environmental impacts of mobile devices. automatically reduce the environmental (131 Mt CO2e).152 Similarly, the amount of
These impacts are being driven up by two footprint of IT equipment overall.151 water used by the industry could meet the
factors. First, embodied emissions appear to domestic needs of 38 million people each
be rising as specifications for new The global footprint of the industry is year (1,929 billion litres).153, 154
generations of the same product increase, already significant, and will rise as the
as data from Apple’s lifecycle assessments market grows and the carbon intensity of
shows (see below). each device rises.

Embodied carbon of Apple devices rises as specifications increase Smaller Apple devices have higher carbon intensity
180 700 12
iPad retina display iPad air
160 600
10

140 iPad air 2 500

Carbon intensity (kgCO2e/kg)


8
120 400

iPad 3 6

Mass (kg)
100 300
kgCO2e

iPhone 6 4
80 200

60 iPad 1 iPhone 5 100 2


iPad 2 iPhone 5s
40 0 0
iPhone 3GS
iPhone 6 plus

21.5 inch iMac

Retina 5K display
iPhone 6

iPad mini 3

iPad air 2

MacBook Air 11"

MacBook Air 13"

MacBook Pro 13"

MacBook Pro 15"

27-inch iMac with


20 iPhone 4s
iPhone 4
0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015


31
Beyond reuse: which components Screens are somewhere in the middle. Embodied carbon vs mass of components
matter most? Although the proportion of embodied in three mobile devices158
Companies choosing to redesign their carbon in screens is small for a smartphone
products for repair or remanufacturing can (11 per cent), it is larger for tablets (39 per 100 100
minimise the carbon footprint of their cent)and laptops (30 per cent).155, 156, 157
80 80
activities by keeping highly carbon Given the high frequency of damaged

kgCO2e %

kgCO2e %
intensive components in use. screens, manufacturers should consider

Mass %

Mass %
60 60
making the LCD and glass separately
Chips (ICs) are the biggest source of replaceable, as the glass has lower 40 40
embodied carbon (around 35 per cent in embodied carbon than an LCD or AMOLED
all devices), so these should be kept in display. Even so, screen replacement still 20 20
use the longest to maximise makes sense in environmental terms.
environmental benefit. 0 0
Overall, that companies can significantly Apple iPod Touch 8gb third generation HP 530 laptop, 16”(2009)
The power supply has the second largest cut the environmental impacts of mobile (2009) –proxy for iPhone
proportion of embodied carbon, especially devices by enabling longer lived devices,
in smartphones (30 per cent). Some through reuse, repair, remanufacturing, 100 Circuit boards
(excluding ICs)
operators, like O2, have already moved or even selective parts harvesting of high
80 Integrated
towards not shipping a new power supply carbon components. circuits

kgCO2e %
as the default, while EU regulations Power supply
Mass % 60
encourage charger standardisation. Battery
Display
40 Casing
In contrast, batteries (two to three per cent
embodied carbon) and casings (five to Other
20
seven per cent embodied carbon) have
lower carbon impact so could easily be 0
swapped to give the rest of the device a Apple iPad 8gb Wi-Fi first generation (2009)
longer lifetime.

32
Annex: methodology
Environmental impact We determined the baseline environmental We also calculated the carbon savings
Estimates vary widely on the total impact of a year of device use by dividing incurred when screens and batteries were
embodied carbon, water and energy in the total impact in the baseline use scenario replaced, as these are the most common
electronics devices, which analysts attribute by the baseline lifetime. Alternative repairs and would probably be needed in a
to different accounting methodology and scenarios were generated by extending the four and half or seven year device lifetime.
the absence of regulatory standards, as lifetime: first through a one year extension,
much as differences between devices. and then longer, to reach four and half While data at a component level was not
years for smartphones and tablets, and available for water or energy use,
Data about product lifecycle impact for seven years for laptops. proportions of embodied carbon for
water and energy for smartphones, components were provided by Teehan and
tablets and laptops were provided by Although our analysis showed the multiplied by average embodied
Google. Our embodied carbon estimates economic lifetime of most devices to be manufacturing emissions to determine the
are averages of data from various five or more years for tablets and embodied carbon in screens and batteries.160
published sources: smartphone data smartphones and longer for laptops, we
comes from Nokia, Apple, Sony, Samsung used a conservative estimate, rather than The disused components then incurred
and Fairphone; tablet data comes from the maximum possible lifetime, when end of life emissions, by assuming the
Apple and independent analysis using the modelling the environmental benefits of component contribution to end of life
ecoinvent lifecycle analysis database; lifetime extension. emissions was proportionate to their
laptop data comes from Google, Apple, contribution to total emissions.
Dell and a study from the EU’s Joint Although the impacts from the use phase
Research Centre. increased with a longer lifetime, the much
greater manufacturing impacts were spread
Environmental benefits from life over a longer period and so reduced the
extensions overall impact per year.
Our baselines were 1.81 years of use for
smartphones, 2.55 years for tablets and The percentage savings were calculated by
3.11 years for laptops, based on averaging dividing the yearly impacts of a device used
the data of available estimates of current for the longer period by the yearly impacts
device lifetimes.159 of a device used for the baseline period and
subtracting the result from one.
34
Calculation of per device savings Environmental burden of 2013 sales for
arising from lifetime extension manufacturing only

Years of use Embodied carbon Primary energy Water consumption Sales 2013 Global CO2e burden Global water
per cent saved per cent saved per cent saved (millions) of 2013 sales burden of 2013
(manufacturing sales
only) (MtCO2e) (manufacturing
Smartphones
only) (billion litres)
Baseline 1.81 0% 0% 0% Smartphones 990 31.91 93.11
1 year life extension 2.81 31% 27% 29% Tablets 186 12.94 79.24
Longer economic lifetime 4.50 53% 45% 49% Laptops 316 86.54 1,757.37
Longer life with screen & battery 4.50 46% n/a n/a Total 131.39 1,929.72
replacement
Tablets
Baseline 2.55 0% 0% 0%
1 year life extension 3.55 21% 21% 23%
Longer economic lifetime 4.50 33% 32% 35%
Longer life with screen & battery 4.50 20% n/a n/a
replacement
Laptops
Baseline 3.11 0% 0% 0%
1 year life extension 4.11 19% n/a 18%
Longer economic lifetime 7.00 44% n/a 41%
Longer life with screen & battery 7.00 31% n/a n/a
replacement
35
Deriving the economic lifetime Cost of repair The price repaired devices sold for was
If a device is no longer wanted by its first This varies by device (see below). Average assumed to be equal to devices requiring
owner, a resale company can only exploit repair costs were from WRAP.163 no repair.
its value if it can acquire the device,
perform any necessary repairs, repackage Resale price The economic lifetime of broken devices
and then resell it for a profit. The point at This was determined by the price While broken devices are cheaper to
which the costs incurred surpass the refurbished devices sold for on eBay. Data acquire, on average they require more
resale value is deemed the ‘maximum was collected via Terapeak over a three repairs and some may not be repairable at
economic lifetime’. month period. all. Using data provided by WRAP, we
estimated the percentage of broken devices
Cost of acquisition (all devices) Net price after discounting for fallout able to be repaired to be around 64 per
This was estimated as the average price that Broken devices only (see below). cent, though this varied with the age and
a recycler or reseller would pay a customer type of the device. Devices not able to be
for a used device. This varies between nearly The economic lifetime of ‘good’ devices repaired incurred recycling rather than
nothing for old, broken or low end devices, All devices in this category were assumed to repair costs.
to over $400 for barely used recent models be in good working order and needing no
in excellent condition. Data was collected repairs. The only costs incurred were Broken but repairable devices were
from sellcell.com and Gazelle.com for a acquisition, checking, cleaning, storage, assumed to need several superficial repairs
range of different devices of different ages. repackaging and dispatch. and additionally several major repairs
(replacement of screen, digitiser, webcam,
Cost of checking, cleaning, storage, The economic lifetime of devices needing main board, CMOS battery, etc.). The
repackaging and dispatch (all devices) superficial repair number of repairs needed also varied with
Average refurbishment costs for tablets and In this category, all devices needed the age of the device.
laptops were provided by WRAP.161 superficial repairs (replacement of
batteries, charger or casing). The number of As not all devices in this category were
Fallout (broken devices only) superficial repairs was estimated to increase repairable, not all could be resold for
A percentage of broken devices cannot be slightly with the age of the device. revenue. To reflect this we lowered the
repaired, which grows with the age of the resale price to around 64 per cent of the
device. Data was provided by WRAP, with price assumed for devices in the other
Green Alliance estimates.162 two categories.
36
Endnotes

1 Landfill figures from. US Environmental Protection Agency 12 Rohin Dhar, 8 February 2012, ‘Your phone loses value pretty 23 In the UK six in ten admit that new technology “always” or survey’, India infoline news service, www.indiainfoline.com/
Office of Resource Conservation and Recovery, 1 May 2011, fast (unless it’s an iPhone)’, priceonomics, priceonomics. “sometimes” confuses them, and the same proportion say article/news/indians-have-a-habit-of-stocking-goods-they-
Electronics waste management in the United States through com/phones/ they wait until someone they know gets new technology no-longer-use-olx-crust-survey-5849260571_1.html
2009, www.epa.gov/waste/conserve/materials/ecycling/ 13 Cost of coding Cyanogenmod, www.ohloh.net/p/ before they consider it themselves. 7 August 2014, The 32 Toni Sacconaghi, 7 August 2013, The long view: the used
docs/fullbaselinereport2011.pdf cyanogenmod/estimated_cost; cost of coding LXDE: www. communications market report, Ofcom, p 38, stakeholders. smartphone market, part 1: what, where and how big?,
2 Gregg Keizer, 24 July 2014, ‘The other Apple economy: $2b in ohloh.net/p/lxde/estimated_cost, accessed 1 June 2014 ofcom.org.uk/binaries/research/cmr/cmr14/2014_UK_ Bernstein Research, p 9
devices on ebay’, Computerworld, www.computerworld. CMR.pdf
14 JR Raphael, 8 February 2012, ‘Surprise! The Android 33 Export costs are cheap in absolute terms as ships are often
com/article/2490396/apple-mac/the-other-apple- upgrade challenge has been answered’, Computerworld, 24 The World Bank, 2013, ‘Population ages 65 and above (% of returning empty after exporting goods, but also in relative
economy---2b-in-devices-on-ebay.html www.computerworld.com/article/2475858/android/ total)’, data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS/, terms compared to high costs of sorting, disassembling and
3 NextWorth, 10 December 2014, ‘NextWorth estimates the surprise--the-android-upgrade-challenge-has-been- accessed 1 November 2014 recycling phones in developed world. See: Djahane
2014 US Smartphone trade-in market value potential to be answered.html 25 Ron Amadeo, 7 October 2014, ‘Testing a $35 Firefox OS Salehabadi, 25 March 2013, Transboundary movements of
more than $3 billion’, PR Newswire, finance.yahoo.com/ 15 See section three of this report, US and UK market phone—how bad could it be?’, Ars Technica, arstechnica. discarded electrical and electronic equipment, Solving the
news/nextworth-estimates-2014-u-smartphone-130000177. characteristics, p X com/gadgets/2014/10/testing-a-35-firefox-os-phone-how- E-Waste Problem (StEP) Green Paper, p 27, www.step-
html bad-could-it-be/1/ initiative.org/tl_files/step/files/5.%20StEP%20Task%20
16 Tim Bajarin, 7 May 2012, ‘6 reasons Apple is so successful’, Forces/5.1%20TF%201%20Policy/5.1.4%20Projects/
4 WRAP, 12 December 2013, Switched on to value, www.wrap. TIME, techland.time.com/2012/05/07/six-reasons-why- 26 Quentin Fottrell, 13 February 2014, ‘Consumers hoard $13
org.uk/sites/files/wrap/Switched%20on%20to%20 billion in old iPhones’, MarketWatch, www.marketwatch. Transboundary%20Movement%20of%20WEEE/
apple-is-successful/ StEP_GP_TBM_20130325.pdf
Value%2012%202014.pdf com/story/consumers-hoard-13-billion-in-old-
17 Nektarios Oraiopoulos, Mark Ferguson and L Toktay, 1 May iphones-2014-02-12 34 Toni Sacconaghi, 7 August 2013, The long view: the used
5 Private correspondence with the IT asset disposal 2012, ‘Relicensing as a secondary market strategy’,
company RDC 27 13 per cent of consumers asked why they haven’t sold smartphone market, part 1: what, where and how big?,
Management science, vol 58, issue 5, p 6, www.prism. Bernstein Research, p 9
6 Toni Sacconaghi, 7 August 2013, The long view: the used gatech.edu/~bt71/articles/OFT.pdf their old phone are concerned about their personal
smartphone market, part 1: what, where and how big?, information, while 17 per cent haven’t wiped their data 35 Green Alliance private correspondence with several IT asset
18 “At Priceonomics, we firmly believe that resale value is the “yet”. Lookout, 29 November 2012, ‘End #phonehoarding disposal companies.
Bernstein Research, p 2 best objective indicator of product quality”, quoted from: with Lookout’, blog.lookout.com/blog/2012/11/29/ 36 Bianca Vázquez Toness, 8 August 2014, ‘Indians flaunt
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smartphone market, part 1: what, where and how fast (unless it’s an iPhone)’, priceonomics, priceonomics. 4-year-old iPhones as Apple builds appeal: tech’, Bloomberg,
big?,Bernstein Research com/phones/ 28 These figures are likely to be the maximum size of the www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-08-07/indians-flaunt-4-
market, and would only be realised if devices were efficiently year-old-iphones-as-apple-builds-appeal-tech.html
8 Data from German consumers, which we believe is 19 Roger Entner, 23 June 2011, International comparisons: the repurchased. From: Sellmymobile.com Mobile Mountain
representative of most wealthy world markets. Corinna handset replacement cycle, Recon Analytics, mobilefuture. 37 ‘Samsung galaxy SIII vs. Moto E - phone specs comparison’,
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PRWEB UK, uk.prweb.com/releases/2013/2/ accessed 1 November 2014
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Ecodesign%20WP3_Draft_Task_3_report_20140616_1500. new one, versus 23 per cent in 2011-2012. See: Toni Josie Cruz, 14 February 2014, ‘The mobile mountain grows: mobile connectivity, Pew Research Center, p 14, www.
pdf Sacconaghi, 7 August 2013, The long view: the used Americans hoard $47 billion in unused mobile phones, 39 pewinternet.org/files/old-media//Files/Reports/2012/
9 Used LG G2 and Nexus 5 second-hand values from: glyde. smartphone market, part 1: what, where and how big?, percent more than last year’, PRWEB, www.prweb.com/ PIP_Best_Worst_Mobile_113012.pdf
com/sell/LG-G2-32GB-Black-TMobile/12076356; glyde.com/ Bernstein Research, p 20 releases/2014/02/prweb11583191.htm 39 Those who agree with the statement “I love to buy new
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11 Android: as at November 3, 2014, developer.android.com/ cycle/ Bernstein Research, p 9
31 It appears that the growing Indian middle class retain gadgets
about/dashboards/index.html ; Windows Phone: from 22 Dan Seifert, 26 June 2014, ‘With Android one, Google is much like the middle class in the developed world, so the 41 priceonomics, 8 March 2012, ‘The cost of cracking’,
October 2014, winsupersite.com/windows-phone/ poised to own the entire world’, The Verge, www.theverge. trend for repair and reuse in India may decline as India grows priceonomics.com/phones/apple/
windows-phone-stats-october-2014 accessed 1 November com/2014/6/26/5845562/android-one-google-the-next- wealthier. See: 15 January 2014, ‘Urban Indians stocking an 42 Screen and battery repair as a proportion of all repairs. Kevin
2014 billion estimated Rs. 22,000cr worth of used goods: OLX crust Culligan and Brian Menzies, 29 March 2013, The value of
37
consumer electronics for trade-in and re-sale, WRAP, 51 ‘Buy Nokia shell for Lumia 520 - Microsoft store’, 61 Aaron Smith, 30 November 2012, The best (and worst) of Feng Wanga, Jaco Huisman, Christina EM Meskers, Mathias
appendices, available on request, www.wrap.org.uk/ www.microsoftstore.com/store/msusa/en_US/pdp/ mobile connectivity, Pew Research Center, p 14, www. Schluep, Ab Stevels, Christian Hagelüken, 1 November 2012,
node/18473 Nokia-Shell-for-Lumia-520/productID.283833500, accessed pewinternet.org/files/old-media//Files/Reports/2012/ ‘The best-of-2-worlds philosophy: developing local
43 Cat phones, 28 November 2013, ‘New research reveals 1 November 2014 PIP_Best_Worst_Mobile_113012.pdf dismantling and global infrastructure network for sustainable
mobile users want phones to have a longer than average 52 Those who don’t agree with the statement “I love to buy new 62 As of 30 November 2012, India had 736,654 base transceiver e-waste treatment in emerging economies’, Waste
battery life’, catphones.com/news/press-releases/ gadgets” . 1 August 2013, Communications market report stations (2G GSM & CDMA, and 3G). Of those, 96,212 (13 per Management, vol 32, issue 11, p 9, www.sciencedirect.com/
new-research-reveals-mobile-users-want-phones-to-have-a- 2013, Ofcom, p 87, stakeholders.ofcom.org.uk/binaries/ cent) provided 3G mobile and data services. Out of India’s science/article/pii/S0956053X12001407
longer-than-average-battery-life.aspx research/cmr/cmr13/2013_UK_CMR.pdf 640 districts, 610 districts were covered by 3G services. 67 It’s true that Android does not support dynamic hardware
44 According to Re-Tek data, only 18 per cent of laptop repairs 53 Cat phones, 28 November 2013, ‘New research reveals Sanjay Bafna, 21 December 2012, ‘India has 7,36,654 mobile today, Eremenko said, “The good news is that we’re
were for screen replacement, vs 47 per cent for hard drive. mobile users want phones to have a longer than average towers and only 96,112 BTS’s are 3G enabled !’, Telecom Talk, Google”, from: Phil Goldstein, 16 April 2014, ‘Google wants
Kevin Culligan and Brian Menzies, 29 March 2013, The battery life’, catphones.com/news/press-releases/ telecomtalk.info/india-has-736654mobile-towers-and-only- first Project Ara smartphone to go on sale in January 2015’,
value of consumer electronics for trade-in and re-sale, WRAP, new-research-reveals-mobile-users-want-phones-to-have-a- 96112bts-are-3g-enabled/103422/ FierceWireless, www.fiercewireless.com/story/google-
appendices, available on request, www.wrap.org.uk/ longer-than-average-battery-life.aspx 63 Paul Teehan and Milind Kandlikar, 7 May 2013, Comparing wants-first-project-ara-smartphone-go-sale-
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54 Corinna Fischer (et al), 16 June 2014, Preparatory study to
45 The trend with ultrabooks is towards ‘embedded’ batteries. establish the Ecodesign Working Plan 2015-2017 and electronics products, environmental science and 68 Richard Stallman, 19 September 2011, ‘Is Android really free
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‘ultrabook’ laptops users can’t change the battery Deloitte, p108, www.ecodesign-wp3.eu/sites/default/files/ es303012r technology/2011/sep/19/android-free-software-stallman
themselves, Electronics TakeBack Coalition, p 1, www. Ecodesign%20WP3_Draft_Task_3_report_20140616_1500. 64 For example, Toyota deploys used hybrid car batteries as 69 The automotive and aerospace markets include
electronicstakeback.com/wp-content/uploads/Ultrabook- pdf grid storage for its car dealerships. Silvio Marcacci, 5 significant remanufacturing, but this is rarely explicit.
report-Aug-2012.pdf 55 Nielsen, 1 February 2013, The mobile consumer: a global February 2013, ‘Toyota recycles hybrid batteries into energy Nicholas Morley, 29 October 2012, Materials security,
46 iPhone 3GS Display Assembly Replacement: Ben snapshot, p 17, www.nielsen.com/content/dam/corporate/ management systems’, CleanTechnica, cleantechnica. productivity and new business models, Centre for
Eisenman, iFixit, www.ifixit.com/Guide/iPhone+3GS+Dis us/en/reports-downloads/2013%20Reports/Mobile- com/2013/02/05/toyota-recycles-hybrid-batteries-into- Remanufacturing and Reuse, cfsd.org.uk/site-pdfs/si12/
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56 Andy Wolber, 5 November 2013, ‘Put Chromebooks in proper page.pdf
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57 John Rath, 25 March 2014, ‘Titanfall taps windows azure historically were more disassemblable, though this has feature/in_developing_world_a_push_to_bring_e-waste_
between a circular and a linear economy? 1 mm’, Green cloud for low-latency gaming’, Data centre knowledge, www.
Alliance Blog, greenallianceblog.org.uk/2012/07/05/ changed with ultrabooks: 15 August 2012, ULTRA- out_of_shadows/2736/
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58 Those who don’t agree with the statement “I love to buy new Coalition, p 5-6, www.electronicstakeback.com/wp-content/ ibnlive.in.com/news/can-micromax-become-indias-leading-
48 Julia, 1 May 2013, ‘iFixit community survey: the results are gadgets”. 1 August 2013, Communications market report uploads/Ultrabook-report-Aug-2012.pdf
in’, iFixit, ifixit.org/blog/4631/ifixit-community-survey-the- smartphone-maker/437322-55.html
2013, Ofcom, p 87, stakeholders.ofcom.org.uk/binaries/ 66 Current minimum wages differ by state, eg:176-274rupees per
results-are-in/ research/cmr/cmr13/2013_UK_CMR.pdf 72 Dave Lee, 5 December 2014, ‘Old laptop batteries could
day in electronics (Bihar), www.paycheck.in/main/salary/ power slums, IBM says’, www.bbc.com/news/
49 Brook Lyndhurst Ltd, 1 July 2011, Public understanding of 59 Yardena Arar, 18 November 2013, ‘Laptop buying guide minimumwages/bihar/minimum-wages-in-bihar-w-e-f-april-
product lifetimes and durability (1), Department for technology-30345221
2013: how to find the right notebook for you’, PCWorld, 1-2014-to-september-30-2014; 216-241 rupees per day in
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uk/Document.aspx?Document=Publicunderstandingproduc html minimumwages/haryana/haryana-minimum-wage-from-july- and the sorry state of copyright law’, Future Proof, www.tim.
tlifetimes1_Finalpublishedreport.pdf 1-2014-to-december-31-2014. According to one study, as id.au/blog/2012/11/10/toshiba-laptop-service-manuals-
60 Michael S. Rosenwald, 16 January 2014, ‘Smartphones get and-the-sorry-state-of-copyright-law/
50 The leading budget model has 30 per cent of the Windows more sophisticated, but their owners do not’, The labour costs rise to 1.26 €/h (676 rupees per day, an
phone market as of December 2013. Ron, 5 January 2014, Washington Post, www.washingtonpost.com/local/ equivalent wage is expected by 2015 in China but somewhat 74 Bill Ray, 24 January 2011, ‘The cost of beating Apple’s
‘Nokia Lumia 520: exploring the world’s most popular smartphones-get-more-sophisticated-but-their-owners-do- later in India), only partial (rather than full) disassembly will shrewd screws? £2’, The Register, www.theregister.co.
windows phone device ever’, WinBeta, www.winbeta.org/ not/2014/01/15/99d7e100-7a20-11e3-8963- be profitable and, once labour costs reach 2.95 €/h (1582 uk/2011/01/24/apple_screws/
news/nokia-lumia-520-exploring-worlds-most-popular- b4b654bcc9b2_story.html?hpid=z3 rupees per day, an equivalent wage is expected by 2026 in 75 Brook Lyndhurst Ltd, 1 July 2011, Public understanding of
windows-phone-device-ever China), manual disassembly will not be profitable at all. See: product lifetimes and durability (1), Department for
38
Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, p 51, randd.defra.gov. 86 Pew Research Center, 2013, ‘Cell phone and smartphone us/en/reports-downloads/2013%20Reports/Mobile- 107 Charles Arthur, 16 October 2014, ‘Peak tablet: how will Apple
uk/Document.aspx?Document=Publicunderstandingproduc ownership demographics’, www.pewinternet.org/ Consumer-Report-2013.pdf sell even more iPads?’, The Guardian, www.theguardian.com/
tlifetimes1_Finalpublishedreport.pdf data-trend/mobile/cell-phone-and-smartphone-ownership- 97 Charles Arthur, 27 April 2014, ‘How to keep on selling technology/2014/oct/16/apple-peak-tablet-ipad-ipad-air-pro
76 Julia, 1 May 2013, ‘iFixit community survey: the results are demographics/ smartphones when we’ve nearly all got one already’, The 108 Tablets have only been sold for four years so refresh cycles
in’, iFixit, ifixit.org/blog/4631/ifixit-community-survey-the- 87 Charles Arthur, 30 April 2014, ‘The death of the featurephone Observer, www.theguardian.com/technology/2014/apr/27/ are uncertain. We averaged estimates provided by Jackdaw
results-are-in/ in the UK - and what’s next’, The Guardian, www. smartphone-market-saturation-apple-samsung research, Consumer Intelligence Research Partners, HP, and
77 Kyle Wiens, 31 October 2012, ‘One way to create theguardian.com/technology/2014/apr/30/featurephone- 98 Compare China, 21 per cent; India, five per cent; and Italy, TabTimes, to arrive at an estimate of 2.55 years.
American jobs: fix our 5 million tons of out-of-use smartphone-uk- 16 per cent. ‘GSMA intelligence – data’, GSMA 109 Steve Daniel, 1 July 2013, United States PC, tablet, & mobile
electronics’, iFixit, ifixit.org/blog/3654/one-way-to- 88 For example, Moto G launched in November 2013, Intelligence, gsmaintelligence.com/data/, accessed 29 phone market size and forecast, July 2013, Daniel Research
create-american-jobs-fix-our-5-million-tons-of-out-of- boosting the manufacturer from “nowhere in Europe” to October 2014 Group, p 5, www.danielresearchgroup.com/LinkClick.aspx?f
use-electronics/ six per cent of UK smartphone sales. Gareth Beavis, 16 99 Toni Sacconaghi, 7 August 2013, The long view: the used ileticket=1ejALRMAUbk%3D&tabid=122&mid=522
78 Dell, ‘Interactive video teardowns’, support.dell.com/ May 2014, ‘The next smartphone war is going to be smartphone market, part 1: what, where and how big?, 110 7 August 2014, The communications market report, Ofcom, p
support/topics/global.aspx/support/csr/interactive_ cheap, not nasty’, techradar, www.techradar.com/news/ Bernstein Research, p 4 271, stakeholders.ofcom.org.uk/binaries/research/cmr/
video_teardowns, accessed 1 November 2014 phone-and-communications/mobile-phones/the-next- cmr14/2014_UK_CMR.pdf
smartphone-war-is-going-to-be-cheap-not- 100 Eric Ravenscraft, 23 September 2013, ‘Are early upgrade
79 1 June 2011, ‘Case study: specifying durability and repair in nasty-1248451 plans worth it?’, lifehacker, lifehacker.com/are-early- 111 Deloitte’s Digital Democracy Survey, referenced in: 2 April
vacuum cleaners’, WRAP, p 7, www2.wrap.org.uk/ upgrade-plans-worth-it-1369868915 2014, ‘Half of us millennials own a laptop, smartphone and
downloads/Dyson_Case_study_AG.aa37bdc4.11040.pdf 89 7 August 2014, The communications market report, Ofcom, p tablet’, MarketingCharts, www.marketingcharts.com/
110, stakeholders.ofcom.org.uk/binaries/research/cmr/ 101 O2, 12 April 2014, ‘O2 launches new tariff allowing customers
80 C Lee-Woolf, O Hughes, O M Fernandez, and J Cox, 11 to get the latest phone whenever they want’, news.o2.co. online/half-of-us-millennials-own-a-laptop-smartphone-
cmr14/2014_UK_CMR.pdf and-tablet-41706/
December 2012, Engagement with re-use and repair services uk/?press-release=o2-launches-new-tariff-allowing-
in the context of local provision, Brook Lyndhurst and Zero 90 Pew Research Center, 2013, ‘Cell phone and smartphone customers-to-get-the-latest-phone-whenever-they-want 112 Year on year sales declined by seven per cent in the fourth
Waste Scotland, p 45, www.brooklyndhurst.co.uk/ ownership demographics’, www.pewinternet.org/ quarter of 2013. Mohana Ravindranath, 11 February 2014,
data-trend/mobile/cell-phone-and-smartphone-ownership- 102 Roger Entner, 23 June 2011, International comparisons: the
download/201/d92687a5/Brook%20Lyndhurst%20-%20 handset replacement cycle, Recon Analytics, p2, ‘PCs lumber towards the technological graveyard’, The
Re-use%20and%20repair%20in%20context%20of%20 demographics/ Guardian, www.theguardian.com/technology/2014/feb/11/
mobilefuture.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/
local%20provision%20-%20Full.pdf 91 70 per cent of AB groups own smartphones vs 47 per cent of mobile-future.publications.handset-replacement-cycle.pdf; personal-computer-decline-pc-obsolete
81 Rohin Dharmakumar, 2 December 2013, ‘Can Micromax DEs. From: 7 August 2014, The communications market see also Toni Sacconaghi, 7 August 2013, The long view: the 113 Katie Collins, 23 September 2014, ‘Samsung will no longer
become India’s leading smartphone maker?’, IBN Live, report, Ofcom, p 274, stakeholders.ofcom.org.uk/binaries/ used smartphone market, part 1: what, where and how big?, sell laptops or Chromebooks in Europe’, wired.co.uk, www.
ibnlive.in.com/news/can-micromax-become-indias-leading- research/cmr/cmr14/2014_UK_CMR.pdf Bernstein Research, p 19 wired.co.uk/news/archive/2014-09/23/samsung-exits-
smartphone-maker/437322-55.html 92 Aaron Smith, 30 November 2012, The best (and worst) of 103 By contrast, in the UK, the number of contract users has laptop-market
82 Assa Doron, 1 September 2012, ‘Consumption, technology mobile connectivity, Pew Research Center, p 14, www. slightly increased. See: 1 May 2013, ‘Mobile users move 114 7 August 2014, The communications market report, Ofcom, p
and adaptation: care and repair economies of mobile pewinternet.org/files/old-media//Files/Reports/2012/ toward contract tariffs as prepaid plateaus’, GSMA 271, stakeholders.ofcom.org.uk/binaries/research/cmr/
phones in north India’, Pacific Affairs, vol 85, issue 3, p 563, PIP_Best_Worst_Mobile_113012.pdf Intelligence, gsmaintelligence.com/analysis/2013/05/ cmr14/2014_UK_CMR.pdf
www.ingentaconnect.com/content/paaf/ 93 Charles Arthur, 30 April 2014, ‘The death of the featurephone mobile-users-move-toward-contract-tariffs-as-prepaid- 115 An average of 3.11 years, based on information from the
paaf/2012/00000085/00000003/art00006 in the UK - and what’s next’, The Guardian, www. plateaus/386/ Oeko Institut, Daniel research group, Lenovo, Crucial, HP
83 Rohin Dharmakumar, 2 December 2013, ‘Can Micromax theguardian.com/technology/2014/apr/30/featurephone- 104 Charles Arthur, 16 October 2014, ‘Peak tablet: how will Apple and the EU’s Joint Research Centre
become India’s leading smartphone maker?’, IBN Live, smartphone-uk- sell even more iPads?’, The Guardian, www.theguardian.com/ 116 Naina Khedekar, 25 February 2013, ‘Market watch: the
ibnlive.in.com/news/can-micromax-become-indias-leading- 94 Charles Arthur, 27 April 2014, ‘How to keep on selling technology/2014/oct/16/apple-peak-tablet-ipad-ipad-air-pro second-hand options’, Tech2, tech.firstpost.com/
smartphone-maker/437322-55.html smartphones when we’ve nearly all got one already’, The 105 Kathryn Zickuhr and Lee Rainie, 1 January 2014, ‘Tablet and news-analysis/market-watch-the-second-hand-
84 Assa Doron, 1 September 2012, ‘Consumption, technology Observer, www.theguardian.com/technology/2014/apr/27/ e-reader ownership’, Pew Research Center, www. options-75481.html
and adaptation: care and repair economies of mobile smartphone-market-saturation-apple-samsung pewinternet.org/2014/01/16/tablet-and-e-reader- 117 Assa Doron, 1 September 2012, ‘Consumption, technology
phones in north India’, Pacific Affairs, vol 85, issue 3, p 578, 95 Matt Hamblen, 24 March 2014, ‘Smartphone innovation is ownership/ and adaptation: care and repair economies of mobile
www.ingentaconnect.com/content/paaf/ slowing, so what’s next?’, Computerworld, www. 106 Kathryn Zickuhr and Lee Rainie, 16 January 2014, E-reading phones in north India’, Pacific Affairs, vol 85, issue 3, p 563,
paaf/2012/00000085/00000003/art00006 computerworld.com/article/2488558/smartphones/ rises as device ownership jumps: three in ten adults read an www.ingentaconnect.com/content/paaf/
85 7 August 2014, The communications market report, Ofcom, p smartphone-innovation-is-slowing--so-what-s-next-.html e-book last year; half own a tablet or e-reader, Pew Research paaf/2012/00000085/00000003/art00006
3, stakeholders.ofcom.org.uk/binaries/research/cmr/ 96 Nielsen, 1 February 2013, The mobile consumer: a global Centre, p 5, www.pewinternet.org/files/old-media//Files/ 118 The Gazette of India: Extraordinary, 12 May 2011, Ministry of
cmr14/2014_UK_CMR.pdf snapshot, p 17, www.nielsen.com/content/dam/corporate/ Reports/2014/PIP_E-reading_011614.pdf Environment and Forests Notification, Controller of

39
Publications, Delhi, p29, www.moef.nic.in/downloads/ 129 ‘Laptops | buy laptops online at best prices in India’, flipkart. 140 Toni Sacconaghi, 7 August 2013, The long view: the used final figures by fuel type and end-user, Department of Energy
rules-and-regulations/1035e_eng.pdf com, www.flipkart.com/laptops/pr?p=facets.pricerange%2 smartphone market, part 1: what, where and how big?, and Climate Change, p 10, www.gov.uk/government/
119 4 June 2014, ‘India continues as one of the fastest growing 55B%255D%3DRs.%2B10001%2B- Bernstein Research, p4 uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/
smartphone markets in Asia Pacific in 1Q 2014, says IDC’, %2BRs.%2B20000&p=sort%3Dprice_ 141 Nektarios Oraiopoulos, Mark Ferguson and L. Toktay, 1 May file/295968/20140327_2013_UK_Greenhouse_Gas_
IDC, www.idc.com/getdoc.jsp?containerId=prIN24908614 asc&sid=6bo%2Cb5g&ref=3a0d498b-9d6b-4da3-ab6f- 2012, ‘Relicensing as a secondary market strategy’, Emissions_Provisional_Figures.pdf
a0292544fde2, accessed 1 December 2014 Management Science, vol 58, issue 5, p 6, www.prism. 153 Based on the UN’s definition of humans needing a minimum
120 Anand Rai, 29 May 2014, ‘India had third largest smartphone
base with 117m users in 2013; to grow 45% in 2014: Mary 130 Ministry of Environment and Forests, 15 November 2010, gatech.edu/~bt71/articles/OFT.pdf of 50 litres of water per day. United Nations, ‘Global issues:
Meeker report’, techcircle.in, techcircle.vccircle. ‘Ban on import of second-hand computers’, Press 142 ibid, p 3 water’, www.un.org/en/globalissues/water, accessed 1
com/2014/05/29/india-had-third-largest-smartphone- Information Bureau Government of India, pib.nic.in/ November 2014
newsite/erelease.aspx?relid=67144 143 10 February 2012, ‘Un-backed report warns of dangers of
base-with-117m-users-in-2013-to-grow-45-in-2014-mary- increasing electronic waste in west Africa’, UN News Centre, 154 Average footprint data. Smartphone data from: Nokia,
meeker-report/ 131 The Gazette Of India: Extraordinary, 14 October 2013, www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=41201 Apple, Google, Sony, Samsung, Fairphone; tablets from
121 Vasanth R, 30 March 2014, ‘Smartphone users doubled in ‘Ministry of Environment and Forests notification’, Controller Google and Apple; laptops from Google, Apple, Dell and a
of Publications, Delhi, pp 20, 27, 30, envfor.nic.in/sites/ 144 1 November 2012, Mining for smartphones: the true cost of study from the EU’s Joint Research Centre
urban India: recorded 89% y-o-y growth in 2013!’, tin, Friends of the Earth, p 4, www.foe.co.uk/sites/default/
dazeinfo.com, www.dazeinfo.com/2014/03/20/ default/files/SO%203100%28E%29.pdf 155 Data for a 3.5-inch screen 2009 iPod touch, which we take to
files/downloads/tin_mining.pdf
smartphone-users-doubled-urban-india-recorded-89- 132 Data from Recon Analytics, mobilefuture.org/wp-content/ be equivalent to an early iPhone. Paul Teehan and Milind
yoy-growth-2013/ uploads/2013/02/mobile-future.publications.handset- 145 eef (The manufacturers’ organisation), 1 July 2014, Materials Kandlikar, 7 May 2013, ‘Comparing embodied greenhouse
replacement-cycle.pdf; 2013 data suggests US replacement for manufacturing: safeguarding supply, p 1, www.eef.org. gas emissions of modern computing and electronics
122 Javed Anwer, 20 September 2013, ‘Android’s market share in uk/resources-and-knowledge/research-and-intelligence/
India over 90%: IDC’, The Times of India, timesofindia. rates may have risen slightly to 22.4 months reconanalytics. products’, Environmental Science and Technology, vol 47, p
com/2014/02/rogers-recon-state-of-wireless-union-2014- industry-reports/materials-for-manufacturing- 3999, pubs.acs.org/doi/pdf/10.1021/es303012r
indiatimes.com/tech/tech-news/Androids-market-share-in- safeguarding-supply
India-over-90-IDC/articleshow/22793647.cms part-two/ 156 Data for an iPad 1, ibid
133 An average of 3.11 years, based on information from the 146 Honda, 4 March 2013, ‘World’s first process to reuse rare
123 4 June 2014, ‘India continues as one of the fastest growing earth metals extracted from nickel-metal hydride batteries 157 Data for a 16” HP laptop, ibid
smartphone markets in Asia Pacific in 1q 2014, says IDC’, Oeko Institut, Daniel research group, Lenovo, Crucial, HP
and the EU’s Joint Research Centre. for hybrid vehicles’, phys.org, phys.org/news/2013-03- 158 Paul Teehan and Milind Kandlikar, 7 May 2013, ‘Comparing
IDC, www.idc.com/getdoc.jsp?containerId=prIN24908614 world-reuse-rare-earth-metals.html embodied greenhouse gas emissions of modern computing
124 James Crabtree, 28 July 2014, ‘India prepares for ‘big bang’ 134 Tiernan Ray, 11 April 2013, ‘AAPL, DELL, HPQ: Bernstein and electronics products’, Environmental Science and
ponders lengthening PC cycle’, Barrons, blogs.barrons.com/ 147 Heather Clancy, 28 May 2014, ‘Dell’s supply chain brings
in smartphone use’, Financial Times, www.ft.com/ closed-loop recycling advantage’, Forbes, www.forbes.com/ Technology, vol 47, p 3,999, pubs.acs.org/doi/pdf/10.1021/
cms/s/0/15942a48-0e2c-11e4-85ab-00144feabdc0. techtraderdaily/2013/04/11/aapl-dell-hpq-bernstein- es303012r
ponders-lengthening-pc-cycle/ sites/heatherclancy/2014/05/28/dells-supply-chain-
html?siteedition=uk brings-closed-loop-recycling-advantage/ 159 Smartphone data from Recon Analytics; tablet data provided
125 Rohin Dharmakumar, 2 December 2013, ‘Can Micromax 135 Nielsen, 1 February 2013, The mobile consumer: a global by Jackdaw research, Consumer Intelligence Research
snapshot, p 17, www.nielsen.com/content/dam/corporate/ 148 85 per cent of emissions arise from production for the
become India’s leading smartphone maker?’, IBN Live, iPhone 6. From: Apple, 1 September 2014, iPhone 6 Partners, HP, and TabTimes to arrive at an estimate of 2.55
ibnlive.in.com/news/can-micromax-become-indias-leading- us/en/reports-downloads/2013%20Reports/Mobile- years; laptops estimated at 3.11 years, based on information
Consumer-Report-2013.pdf environmental report, p 1, images.apple.com/environment/
smartphone-maker/437322-55.html reports/docs/iPhone6_PER_Sept2014.pdf from the Oeko Institut, Daniel research group, Lenovo,
126 PTI (Press Trust of India), 16 June 2014, ‘India to have 519 136 Serenity Caldwell, 22 July 2014, ‘This is Tim: Apple’s CEO on Crucial, HP and the EU’s Joint Research Centre
iPad sales, china, beats, IBM, and more’, Macworld, www. 149 Averages of available footprint data. Smartphone data
million mobile internet users by FY18: Morgan Stanley’, The from: Nokia, Apple, Google, Sony, Samsung, Fairphone; 160 Paul Teehan and Milind Kandlikar, 7 May 2013, ‘Comparing
Times of India, timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/ macworld.com/article/2455693/this-is-tim-apples-ceo-on- embodied greenhouse gas emissions of modern computing
ipad-sales-china-beats-ibm-and-more.html tablets from Google and Apple; laptops from Google,
tech-news/India-to-have-519-million-mobile-internet-users- Apple, Dell and a study from the EU’s Joint Research and electronics products’, Environmental Science and
by-FY18-Morgan-Stanley/articleshow/36656019.cms 137 Bianca Vázquez Toness, 8 August 2014, ‘Indians flaunt Centre Technology, vol 47, p3999, pubs.acs.org/doi/pdf/10.1021/
127 Singh Rawat, 11 October 2013, ‘Vodafone connects to rural 4-year-old iPhones as Apple builds appeal: tech’, Bloomberg, es303012r
www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-08-07/indians-flaunt-4- 150 We’ve calculated the economic lifetime described here as
India for data segment growth’, Business Standard, www. the time during which the cost of acquisition and repair of 161 Kevin Culligan and Brian Menzies, 29 March 2013, The value
business-standard.com/article/companies/vodafone- year-old-iphones-as-apple-builds-appeal-tech.html of consumer electronics for trade-in and re-sale, WRAP,
these devices is below the price that the device can fetch on
connects-to-rural-india-for-data-segment- 138 Toni Sacconaghi, 7 August 2013, The long view: the used the market. appendices, available on request, www.wrap.org.uk/
growth-113101100781_1.html smartphone market, part 1: what, where and how big?, node/18473
Bernstein Research, p4 151 The relationship between mass and carbon intensity is
128 Phil Muncaster, 20 December 2013, ‘World’s cheapest tablet reasonably strong, with an R² value of 0.731 162 ibid
just got cheaper’, The Register, www.theregister.co. 139 7 August 2014, The communications market report, Ofcom, p 163 ibid
uk/2013/12/20/aakash4_datawind_india_cheapest_ 274, stakeholders.ofcom.org.uk/binaries/research/cmr/ 152 27 March 2014, 2013 UK greenhouse gas emissions,
tablet/ cmr14/2014_UK_CMR.pdf provisional figures and 2012 UK greenhouse gas emissions,

40
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Acknowledgements: Andrea Steves,


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