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Biotech Stock Buy PDF
Biotech Stock Buy PDF
7 Biotech Stocks
to Buy Now
Contents
Disclaimer 25
Ever since the human genome was mapped nearly 20 years ago, an explosion
of scientific discovery has been unleashed with many hundreds of public and
private companies, universities, and research institutes working to better
understand life and cure disease.
Plus, there are hundreds more start-up companies attracting both passionate
scientists and venture capital funding. GV, formerly known as Google Ventures,
has brought a few bio-focused companies into the spotlight: Foundation
Medicine, a platform for large-scale testing of DNA mutations and Flatiron
Healthcare, a software company that organizes the world’s oncology
information and makes it accessible for doctors, patients, and researchers. Both
companies were acquired by Roche in 2018.
Within weeks of the report being published, two of those companies were
involved in big M&A take-over announcements.
And two more of the companies have seen explosive gains without any M&A
action.
Both Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) and Editas Medicine (EDIT) are up over
30% since the start of the year (through December 6, 2019).
So with the 2 big buyout deals closing, and 2 other stock picks up significantly,
I decided it was time to add some fresh picks to The Century of Biology.
First let me share 2 updates on the science and medical trends described in the
original report. Of course, I can’t update all the developments, any more than
I could describe them completely in the original report. But these items really
stand out and have handed members in my Healthcare Innovators portfolio
other substantial gains in different stocks...
SCD and ß-Thalassemia are related diseases caused by beta-globin (HBB) gene
mutations. In SCD a polymerizing mutant form of hemoglobin (Hb) causes
stiff red blood cells and insufficient oxygen supply, while in ß-Thalassemia the
mutation causes insufficient Hb production and anemia.
This is the type of investing and trading one can do in Biotech when you do your
homework on companies and know where to take advantage of the greed and
fear of other market players at emotional extremes.
On November 25, we got confirmation of what we’ve been banking on here for
18 months:
Upon this news, several Wall Street biopharma analysts raised their price targets
for GBT shares to between $95 and $110, sending the stock to new all-time
highs above $70.
And overall, I think that institutional biopharma investors will be net buyers of
the first SCD winner while the market cap is still near $4 billion.
Another bright spot was in the race to treat Alzheimer’s, where we banked a
164% gain in Axsome Therapeutics (AXSM), even before Biogen (BIIB) released
their somewhat promising data.
Still, Biotech investing wasn’t always so uplifting this year. The summer of 2019
saw a big decline in the industry, with the Nasdaq Biotech Index (IBB) down
over 10% and many constituents down over 30%.
And the IBB has stormed back over 20% to within 1% of new 52-week highs
above $122.
Our vision and endurance have paid off handsomely. And now I welcome you
to make use of the following information to expand your knowledge of these
exciting sciences.
Just remember, if you decide to join us in my 7 latest Top Biotech Picks please
be prepared to accept the volatility that goes along with the outsized rewards
of the most exciting investment industry.
Look at the new terminologies that are becoming common-place now any time
you see a medical news report:
• Cell therapy
• Gene therapy
• Immuno-oncology
• Gene editing with CRISPR and other modalities
On October 1, 2018 we learned that the Nobel prize for medicine was awarded
to two scientists who helped create the field of “immuno-oncology,” a cancer
therapy that teaches the body’s immune system to fight its own cancer.
A BBC News article by Michelle Roberts had these quotes from the dynamic
duo...
As if that weren’t enough going on in this new science, there have been
frequent reports about the dangers of CRISPR where unintended “edits” can
be caused, disrupting the genome of an organism. Then in 2018, a completely
new derivation of CRISPR was unveiled that could prove less error-prone, and
thus less risky for eventual human use.
This discovery further upset the CRISPR apple cart and all 3 pure-play stocks --
CRISPR Therapeutics, Editas Medicine, and Intellia Therapeutics -- have fallen
hard from their all-time highs. Adding to the uncertainty is the fact that the
first human clinical research trial are just being designed, enrolled, and begun
in 2019.
But at least one CRISPR company is virtually certain to come out ahead in this
tumult. I will share that name coming up.
But first, let me describe in more detail exactly what CRISPR is, whether you
are an investor who wants to begin investigating this “breakthrough of the
century,” or one who just wants to know what the bleeding-edge competitive
threat is to the other 300 Biotech companies in existence.
The following sections on CRISPR are excerpts from my special report for Zacks
Ultimate members, that I update quarterly...
ZFN was the science that handed my Zacks Healthcare Innovators members
155% gains in Sangamo Therapeutics (SGMO) in 2018. Now we are on to
the potentially more-promising field of CRISPR. This all sounds like pretty
complicated science, and it is. But it has its roots in a very simple, primordial
defense mechanism that could be over a billion years old.
For now, this is the crux of what you want to remember about CRISPR-Cas:
scientists have learned from bacteria -- nature’s warriors of survival and her
ninjas of adaptation -- how they utilize proteins to alter the genetic structure of
invading viruses, and thereby how we can use Cas9 to “edit” genetic material.
When DNA pairs are cut with “molecular scissors,” the genes quickly try to
repair themselves using whatever component material is available. Using an
RNA guide material to both find the desired gene to edit and provide the
designated replacement material, scientists are on the verge of extremely
Because of its ability to modify a cell’s DNA with amazing precision, CRISPR and
its evolving variations -- a new enzyme called Cas13 was recently discovered
that could be less error-prone -- will be a hot arena for science and medical
innovation for decades to come.
Mother nature indeed knows things. In fact, most scientists believe we are
just scratching the surface of what will be discovered this century. So it may be
premature to call CRISPR “the discovery of the century” when we’ve got over
80 years left.
“Humans had better be ready to play God. Because we’ve now got the
tools to do just that.”
“CRISPR/Cas9 is a rapid and easy to use gene editing technology that can
selectively delete, modify or correct a disease causing abnormality in a
specific DNA segment. CRISPR refers to Clustered Regularly Interspaced
Short Palindromic Repeats occurring in the genome of certain bacteria,
from which the system was discovered; Cas9 is a CRISPR-associated
endonuclease (an enzyme), the “molecular scissors” that are easily
programmed to cut and edit, or correct, disease-associated DNA in a
patient’s cell.
Again, scientists have simply learned from bacteria how they utilize protein
enzymes to alter the genetic structure of invading viruses, and thereby how we
can copy the mechanism of CRISPR-Cas to “edit” the genetic material of more
complex life like mammals. This opens up a whole new realm of possibilities for
curing genetic diseases.
There are more than 10,000 known single-gene (or monogenic) diseases,
occurring in about 1 out of every 100 births. Scientists and clinicians are now
conducting pioneering research using CRISPR/ Cas9 to address both recessive
and dominant genetic defects, opening up the potential of gene editing to
provide novel transformative gene-based medicines for patients with a large
number of both rare and common diseases.
“Genome editing has been a heavily studied field for a number of years
with an ultimate goal of specificity to limit off target effects. Zinc Finger
Nuclease (ZFN) was the predominant genome targeting technology
for over ten years, but over time drawbacks to the system emerged.
Certain nucleotide triplets could not be targeted, and interactions
within a zinc finger array could reduce specificity.
The key theme here is “off-target” effects or edits. This is the big risk with all this
gene editing technology. Even if you have a degree in molecular biology, it’s
not going to be easy to predict the path of success and the winners as CRISPR
becomes a treatment modality. But there are some ways we can navigate the
science with relatively low risk and still have significant “skin in the game.”
Besides, it’s always fascinating learning about these companies, their science,
and the long-term wealth-building opportunities. We are almost to my top
picks for this journey of discovery. Just two more elements to address where
science fiction meets the reality of financial market booms and busts.
The IBB reached about $400 (pre-split), before heading into a nasty 40% bear
market correction. Then, the resurgent bull market of 2016-18 brought the
money flow back as smart investors realized my “4 Megatrends of Healthcare”
are still unstoppable:
The IBB did a 3-for-1 split in 2017 and was working on multi-year highs above
$122 in September, with the old record high about $133 (split-adjusted). So you
can see the Biotech Bull roared back, just as I predicted it would back in 2016.
So where does that leave us now after a Q4 meltdown in the stock market that
saw the IBB crash 25% to $90?
It leaves us with some great bargains in Q1 of 2019! The Biotech Bull is still alive
and well. He was just taking a rest.
Bigger picture, when you combine all these technologies, the possibilities for
transforming life and society are mind-boggling, from “designer babies” to
designer brains and bodies as medicine and “self-improvement” take on new
realms. They are also scary.
But as I’ve learned from reading some of the best minds involved in gene
editing and AI -- creator Dr. Jennifer Doudna and MIT physicist Max Tegmark,
respectively -- we have to be as engaged and as knowledgeable as possible to
help steer the trajectory of these “genies” we can no longer put back in their
bottles.
My effort is to learn all I can about Biotechnology to achieve two goals (1)
grow my wealth faster than just about any other sector and (2) be an informed
voice when ethical crossroads are reached and legislators need more support,
restraint, or education. I also happen to love the journey of discovery that is
constantly available when learning about all these companies and their science.
It is with this razor that I bring you my top ideas right now for investors looking
for more diverse exposure to Biotech.
1. Editas Medicine (EDIT) - This is the CRISPR company who just came
out on top of the big patent battles in this space. That’s because they
already licensed a big chunk of the winning technology from the Broad
Institute, affiliated with MIT and Harvard. While these companies are
years away from conclusive efficacy and safety in human trials, at a
sub-$1 billion market cap, I want to own the biggest patent beneficiary,
who also has IP connections to the newest derivations of CRISPR like
Cas-13. Buy under $30.
Note: My suggested buy ranges for these stocks are only instructive guides
through March 2020. Fundamental and market conditions for companies and
stocks will obviously change over time -- for better and worse -- and price
targets and buy ranges could definitely move higher, or lower. Be sure to
follow me in Healthcare Innovators for weekly updates.
As you can see, I picked 4 promising small-cap companies with market caps
near only $1 billion: EDIT, SGMO, NVTA and NTLA. That’s because I’m often
cautious about valuations and like to see a company have a shot at growing
into a reasonable price-to-sales ratio of 10-20X (reasonable for emerging
Biotech, that is). That would be the case for BLUE given their partnership with
CELG. And SGMO could be precluded from M&A given their partnership with
Gilead (GILD).
The big caveat here is that many times existing partnerships preclude a
buy-out because, as I like to say, “why buy the cow when you’re getting the
milk for (nearly) free?”
That would be the case for BLUE given their partnership with Celgene, which
is now part of Bristol-Myers. And SGMO could be precluded from M&A given
their partnerships with both Gilead and Pfizer. But EDIT, NVTA, and NTLA
could be on some M&A radars.
But in Healthcare
Innovators we nailed two “...we nailed ‘two takeovers’...
“take-overs” in 2018 with
JUNO and BIVV -- for 98% in 2018 with JUNO and BIVV
and 75% gains -- and I’d like
to believe it was slightly —for 98% and 75% gains—”
more than luck involved in
such a small portfolio.
Kevin Cook is a Senior Stock Strategist for Zacks Investment Research where he
runs the Healthcare Innovators service.
All images, unless otherwise noted, represented herein are commercially licensed from Shutterstock.
com.
This Special Report has not been authorized, sponsored, or otherwise approved or endorsed by the
companies represented herein. Each of the company names represented herein are trademarks of
Celgene Corporation; Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Spark Therapeutics; Roche Holding AG; Vertex
Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Global Blood Therapeutics Inc.; Axsome Therapeutics Inc.; Biogen Inc.; Editas
Medicine Inc.; bluebird bio; Illumina, Inc.; Sangamo Therapeutics Inc.; Locus Development Inc.; Intellia
Therapeutics Inc.; GW Pharmaceuticals.
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