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Case Study

Budget Allocation Models for Pavement Maintenance and


Rehabilitation: Comparative Case Study
Jojo France-Mensah, S.M.ASCE1; and William J. O’Brien, Ph.D., P.E., M.ASCE2
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Abstract: A principal component of maintenance and rehabilitation (M&R) planning is the allocation of limited funds to candidate projects
to achieve optimal levels of system performance. This paper objectively compares three methods for budget allocation: cost-benefit analysis
(CBA), integer-linear programming (ILP), and a “decision tree þ needs-based” allocation. The study first presents a review of the major
resource allocation approaches in the extant literature. It then implements, through a numerical case study, a representative method from each
allocation approach. These are implemented on a subset pavement (50 sections) network for projects prioritization and budget allocation. The
results indicate that, compared with the optimization model, both the CBA and the decision tree þ needs-based allocation methods lead to
faster declines (over the planning horizon) in average network condition scores (CS) (1% annually). However, this result arises due to both
models inherently considering more “equity in outcome,” which is evidenced by a decreasing gap between the individual CS of pavement sec-
tions over time. The method leading to the highest average network performance (0.30% decrease annually) is the integer-linear program. This
method performs the worst in equity considerations. The findings from this study highlight the important dynamics of “equity-effectiveness”
trade-offs inherent in different budget allocation methods for M&R programming. This paper also supports the need to develop more hybrid
approaches capable of leveraging the merits of different resource allocation approaches. For practitioners, this work presents a consoli-
dated view of the strengths and weaknesses of major resource allocation methods, which can aid in the transition that many highway agen-
cies are making toward the use of more formalized analytical models for M&R budget allocation. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-
5479.0000599. © 2018 American Society of Civil Engineers.
Author keywords: Pavement management; Maintenance and rehabilitation (M&R); Optimization models; Funding allocation; Asset
management.

Introduction plans, which account for the constraints of available funding as well
as the differing objectives of relevant stakeholders (Ashuri and
In modern society, transportation infrastructure plays a key role in Mostaan 2015; Gao and Zhang 2008). Because of the constrained
the economics and mobility of goods and human resources (Boyles availability of resources, highway agencies managing large-scale
et al. 2010). Highway infrastructure planners are tasked with road networks can execute pavement treatments each year only on
addressing mobility, safety, accessibility, and economic develop- small sections of their network. It is thus critical that pavement engi-
ment issues for multimodal corridors that have different functional neers make the most cost-effective choices while achieving the best
classifications and networks that stretch for thousands of miles time efficiencies across the highway network and among project
(Chen et al. 2015). This work is increasingly challenging due to lim- alternatives (Gao and Zhang 2013a).
ited funds allocation coupled with the rapid deterioration of pave- In M&R programming, transportation engineers must also con-
ment infrastructure over time (Arif et al. 2016; Ismail et al. 2009; sider issues, such as the strategic goals of the central body, the net-
Lamptey et al. 2008). Contributing to the fast deterioration of infra- work management objectives of regional authorities, conditions of
structure is urbanization and the pressure it puts on highway facili- the highway network, and other political or administrative con-
ties. Another level of complexity in highway planning is the consid- straints not easily quantified (Augeri et al. 2011). This problem can
eration of multiple and often conflicting stakeholder objectives be divided into two main categories: budget allocation and budget
(Caldas et al. 2011; Chen et al. 2015; Podgorski and Kockelman planning (Gao et al. 2012). A budget planning problem is a
2006). Consequently, a major concern of highway agencies is the network-level analysis that attempts to minimize the total M&R
development of effective maintenance and rehabilitation (M&R) cost over a specified planning horizon, such that a selected condi-
tion requirement is satisfied. This is usually done at a higher level
in the decision-making process and leads to the proposal of a mini-
1
Ph.D. Candidate, Dept. of Civil, Architectural, and Environmental mal budget required to meet specific state-wide agency goals. The
Engineering, Univ. of Texas at Austin, 301 E. Dean Keeton St., ECJ budget allocation problem, on the other hand, attempts to maxi-
5.412, Austin, TX 78712 (corresponding author). E-mail: francemens@ mize the effectiveness of M&R treatments and/or minimize the
utexas.edu user cost while accounting for specified budget constraints (Gao
2
Professor, Dept. of Civil, Architectural, and Environmental et al. 2012). In recent studies, however, the emphasis has shifted
Engineering, Univ. of Texas at Austin, 301 E. Dean Keeton St., ECJ
toward the bi-objective optimization of agency costs and user
5.412, Austin, TX 78712. E-mail: wjob@mail.utexas.edu
Note. This manuscript was submitted on August 15, 2017; approved
costs alike (Gao and Zhang 2013a; Labi and Sinha 2005; Li and
on October 13, 2017; published online on January 9, 2018. Discussion pe- Madanu 2009).
riod open until June 9, 2018; separate discussions must be submitted for Accordingly, pavement management systems (PMS) were devel-
individual papers. This paper is part of the Journal of Management in oped by state highway agencies (SHAs) to aid in M&R decision-
Engineering, © ASCE, ISSN 0742-597X. making tasks. The information contained in typical PMS includes

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roadway condition history; treatment history; traffic volume data, Complicating the planning process is the fact that TxDOT’s
such as the annual average daily traffic (AADT); and many other funding is dependent on revenue from multiple sources (state
functional pavement characteristics (Woldesenbet et al. 2015). and federal) with stringent project funding eligibility constraints
PMS help agency staff in making decisions concerning pavement (France-Mensah et al. 2017). Additionally, the policy boards of the
sections, such as which need interventions, the appropriate mainte- Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) have oversight over
nance treatment option to apply, and the optimal scheduling periods certain funding categories that also require concurrence with
(Shah et al. 2014). For every PMS, the appropriate agency needs to TxDOT. Recent studies suggest that the current levels of funding
identify and specify the relevant data attributes, the main objectives for TxDOT will be insufficient to keep the network-level pavement
of the M&R program, and the resource allocation logic. There are condition at the desired performance and service levels (Zhang
several studies that have proposed models, frameworks, and differ- et al. 2010). To prevent the pavement network from falling to unac-
ent approaches for M&R programming. Still, many SHAs continue ceptable (minimum) standards with the projected levels of funding,
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to use a hybrid of engineering judgment and needs-based and/or it is imperative for the agency to make sound and defensible data-
performance-based condition assessments to guide the allocation driven decisions on the best short- to long-term M&R projects.
of highway funds to M&R projects (Wiegmann and Yelchuru To collect, store, and aid in the analysis of pavement-related
2012). Current studies in the literature have mostly focused on the data, TxDOT developed the Pavement Management Information
effectiveness (objective function) of proposed models in conduct- System (PMIS). Implemented in 1993, PMIS contains annual data
ing comparative analyses of different methods. However, for many on pavement condition trends, treatment history, traffic informa-
agencies considering a transition to more analytical frameworks tion, structural attributes, and potential problem areas for 0.81-km
and models, there is the need for a more holistic comparative analy- (0.5-mi) sections of the pavement network. The primary metric for
sis of the existing budget allocation models in a pragmatic context. measuring the functional and structural condition of Texas pave-
Such analyses would inform decision makers of the caveats, ments is the PMIS condition score (CS). This is a product of the util-
strengths, and weaknesses of different methods, which can guide ity score value for ride quality (comfort and safety oriented) and the
the development of an effective budget allocation framework. assessed distress score rating (Fig. 1). For flexible pavements, dis-
The remaining sections of this paper are organized as follows. tress score ratings are based on data collected on failures, flushing,
The next section provides a detailed description of the general raveling, shallow rutting, deep rutting, alligator cracking, block
M&R planning practices of a major SHA as a motivating case. This cracking, traverse cracking, and longitudinal cracking. A distress
is followed by an overview of the major approaches to budget allo- score is assigned to a pavement section based on the utility values
cation models. The representative methods for the analysis are then of some of the previously mentioned distress-related data according
introduced and implemented in a numerical case study. The case to conversion charts developed by TxDOT. Similarly, the ride score
study implementation results are then discussed. Finally, the con- is also awarded based on the ratings for the ride quality of each
clusion section presents key findings, study limitations, and future pavement section. These metrics guide pavement engineers in the
research work. screening and shortlisting of pavement sections for potential M&R
projects.
About 93% of all the pavement sections in Texas are flexible;
M&R Planning in Texas hence, the treatment categories discussed in this section concern
flexible pavements. As depicted in Fig. 2, TxDOT has five primary
Districts within the Texas DOT (TxDOT) are aiming to attain “90% M&R treatment options: no maintenance, preventive maintenance
or better state-maintained pavements in good or better conditions.” (PM), light rehabilitation (LR), medium rehabilitation (MR), and
As part of this effort, they are required to submit a 4-year pavement heavy rehabilitation (HR). PM is usually applied to sections with
management plan (PMP). This plan contains the anticipated budgets minor stresses like traverse and longitudinal cracking. It typically
to meet the agency goals for the network (Zhang et al. 2009), involves the application of seal coats or overlays less than 51 mm
including estimated construction costs for maintenance (routine and (2 in.). LR is moderately expensive and typically includes thicker
preventive) projects, and for rehabilitation projects to be executed overlays between 51 and 76 mm (2 and 3 in.), repairs to potholes
over the planning horizon (Chi et al. 2013). This district-specific and pavement edges, and performing pavement level-up activities.
plan is expected to include pavement score targets and the perform- MR involves a structural overlay between 76 and 127 mm (3 and
ance impact of the proposed maintenance spending on the highway 5 in.), base repair, replacing the surface layer, and milling off the
infrastructure network (Liu et al. 2012). worn-out surface layer. Finally, HR (also known as reconstruction)

Distress Ride Condion


Category IRI Category Category
Score Score Score
100 0 100 100
Very Good Very Good Very Good
90 59 90 90
Good Good Good
80 119 80 70
Fair Fair Fair
70 170 70 50
Poor Poor Poor
60 220 60 35
Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
0 950+ 0 0

Distress Score x URide = Condion Score


Fig. 1. PMIS CS composition (adapted from Goehl 2013)

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Pavement Performance Light
(Condion Score, etc.) Prevenve Maintenance Rehabilitaon

No
Maintenance Medium
Rehabilitaon
Minimum
performance
acceptable
Heavy Rehabilitaon
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Time / Traffic Volume

Fig. 2. Different M&R treatments performed by TxDOT

involves the total replacement of the existing pavement section. Funds Allocation Approaches
This is the most expensive treatment option and is usually applied
to sections with major distresses, such as deep rutting, to restore the The first part of this study involves a discussion of the existing
section to its original structural and functional condition (Chi et al. major approaches to M&R programming. This section presents
2013; Gharaibeh et al. 2014). brief descriptions and enumerates the merits and demerits of the dif-
ferent methods of each approach.
Network-Level Project Selection
Ranking-Based Methods
For most districts, the development of the PMP starts with identify-
ing pavement sections in the PMIS that call for urgent attention. One approach to solving M&R fund allocation problems is via
This could be pavement sections with extremely low CS or sections ranking-based methods. This often involves developing and assign-
with good scores but exhibit trends of relatively fast deterioration ing weights to certain key indicators as an approach to the optimal
rates. A list of candidate projects is prepared by the area office engi- selection of eligible M&R candidate projects for funding (Farhan
neers (AOEs) and submitted to the district office for consideration. and Fwa 2012). This is usually done by creating and rating candi-
This is followed by an elaborate field investigation to confirm the date treatments or projects based on a set of indicator parameters.
current condition of the selected pavement section(s) for the pro- The analysis usually depends on expert judgment, pavement-related
posed projects. The District Maintenance Engineer (DME), in col- data (condition states), or economic analysis (Torres-Machí et al.
laboration with AOEs, then prioritizes projects based on the pave- 2014). More often than not, decision makers tend to use a hybrid of
ment condition, deterioration rate, traffic volume, project costs, the previously mentioned approaches. The methods include cost-
available funding, and other local considerations. Prior to this, a benefit analysis (CBA) (Li and Madanu 2009), analytic hierarchy
project-level analysis is performed to determine which treatment process (AHP) (Farhan and Fwa 2009; Li and Sinha 2004), and
strategy is the most suitable for the identified pavement sections other multicriteria decision-making methods (Sabatino et al. 2015;
over the planning period based on historical data and the experien- Zietsman et al. 2006). Fig. 3 indicates a general framework of M&R
tial knowledge of pavement engineers. programming based on ranking-based approaches.
Because of the use of some federal funding sources for M&R The ranking approach to selecting M&R treatments has several
projects, the Transportation Planning and Development (TPD) drawbacks. First, the budget tends to be allocated to pavement sec-
Director also coordinates with the DME to ensure that M&R proj- tions that are most severely damaged and seldom leads to the opti-
ects eligible for federal funding are also allocated effectively. mal benefit of the entire pavement network (Visintine et al. 2016).
Hence, at the district level, budget allocation is often an iterative The parameters that are selected do not always lead to an optimal
process that requires collaborative planning and negotiations solution for achieving a given objective (for instance, maximizing
between the maintenance and the TPD functional groups of network performance or minimizing M&R agency costs). Other
TxDOT. Previous research has suggested that this process of studies have gone a step further to critique the relative importance
network-level selection is still conducted via a hybrid of qualitative or weights of parameters that are considered vital versus other pa-
and quantitative approaches that rely heavily on pavement condi- rameters that are considered trivial (Farhan and Fwa 2012).
tion evaluations and the engineering judgment of pavement engi- Furthermore, given the fact that experts usually provide their opin-
neers (Chi et al. 2013). The literature provides numerous quantita- ion on the relative importance of the indicators in the model, there is
tive budget allocation models, yet few districts have fully a tendency for some experts to hype or overestimate the importance
transitioned to using such models (Wu et al. 2012). With increas- of certain variables to the performance and functionality of the high-
ing urbanization and a growing gap between available funds and way pavement network (Wu et al. 2008). To address subjective
M&R needs, it is becoming increasingly important to develop de- inconsistencies in the factor weightages, other studies (Ahmed et al.
fensible approaches for effective allocation of limited budgets. 2017; Porras-Alvarado et al. 2017) have used and modified the
For some districts, there is still no formal and consistent analyti- AHP approach for M&R projects prioritization. This involves a
cal/quantitative approach in the selection and funding of M&R multicriteria approach, which ensures internal consistency (via the
projects at the network level. However, this is not limited to consistency index) in the pairwise comparisons of attributes by the
TxDOT. Several SHAs have still not fully transitioned from the respective decision makers.
needs-based approach of projects prioritization for budget allocation More importantly, when highway agencies use such prioritiza-
(Wiegmann and Yelchuru 2012). tion schemes or ranking methods, they rarely develop well-defined

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Descripon/Applicaons
Site visits, requests  Analyzing pavement condion scores (for e.g.
Pavement IRI), traffic volume, and previous treatments
or complaints
Inventory Data of roads.
(public or officials)
 Some projects are included due to requests by
public officials or complaints made by the
users.
Select potenal list  A larger set of potenal projects are selected
of M&R projects based on these preliminary analyses.

 Coordinaon among county, district, and state


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Evaluate potenal agency staff


M&R projects  Robust data-driven analysis (treatment
history, effecveness of past M&R treatments,
pavement performance over me, etc.)

Rank M&R projects  Ranking of candidate M&R projects by


based on agency weighted sum/index, AHP, benefit-cost rao,
approach mul-aribute ulity, other heuriscs, etc.
 Funds are allocated based on project rankings.

Short term M&R Mid term M&R  Programming and scheduling M&R projects
projects list and projects list and for the short term and mid-term.
schedules. schedules.  Increased aenon on short term projects to
ensure funding availability and opmal
scheduling.

Fig. 3. General framework for funds allocation via ranking-based methods (adapted from Chi et al. 2013; Gharaibeh et al. 2014) (Note: IRI =
International roughness index)

criteria to assess the effectiveness of chosen methods in achieving resource allocation problem is formulated and solved with the out-
certain strategic goals for the highway pavement network. Farhan put of M&R treatments that are selected for the pavement groups
and Fwa (2012) addressed this by demonstrating the loss in optimal- created. Accordingly, LP models are relatively tractable and allow
ity when decision makers choose to go with certain prioritized users to perform sensitivity analyses of the input parameters (De La
activities in the M&R program. Furthermore, most ranking methods Garza et al. 2011). The demerit of LP models is that the solutions
ignore multiyear analysis (Torres-Machí et al. 2014). This is partic- provided apply only to a group of pavement sections rather than
ularly important because a lower ranked project not selected in one individual pavement sections (De La Garza et al. 2011; Gao and
year may lead to an expensive rehabilitation project in a year or Zhang 2013b). In practice, however, pavement engineers are also
two. This drawback makes it unsuitable for medium- to long-range interested in M&R project selection at the network level. Providing
M&R plans. treatments to a group of pavements leaves decision makers with an
On the flip side, ranking methods are easy to understand and are extra decision—selecting which pavement sections in the group
usually indicative of the intended pavement maintenance policies of should receive the proposed treatment (project-selection problem).
the respective highway agency (Farhan and Fwa 2012). They also In areas in which LP fails, the integer programming (IP)
can be easily tailored to the specific needs of different highway approach thrives. IP models can provide exact information regard-
agencies because each agency tends to have different short-term, ing M&R activities scheduling and individual project selections for
long-term, or strategic goals due to varying levels of traffic volume, the optimal performance of the pavement network. However, IP
network dynamics, and available M&R funding levels. Given the models tend to require more computational power, especially when
importance of transparency to the M&R planning process for high- implemented on large-scale networks (Gao and Zhang 2013b).
way agencies and the ease of understanding and implementing such Even for single-objective functions, an M&R scheduling problem
methods, the ranking method logically tends to be an attractive that has integer decision variables is a nondeterministic polynomial-
option for highway pavement engineers. time (NP)–hard problem (Gao et al. 2012). On the other hand, DP
can be used to solve discrete problems having an optimal substruc-
Mathematical Optimization and Metaheuristics ture and overlapping subproblems. This means that the problems
formulated should be solvable sequentially, and components of the
In the domain of pavement management, the mathematical optimi- optimal solution should also facilitate the solving of subproblems
zation methods usually used are linear, integer, nonlinear, and (Boyles et al. 2010). Also, DP is often used for accounting for
dynamic programming (DP) (Torres-Machí et al. 2014). A defining uncertainty in infrastructure maintenance policies (Madanat et al.
characteristic of mathematical optimization methods is that they of- 2006; Medury and Madanat 2013). The work by Powell (2007) on
ten lead to optimal solutions within the construct of the pavement the use of approximate dynamic programming (ADP) demon-
management problem definition and formulation. Linear program- strated that ADP models can be conveniently applied to heteroge-
ming (LP) usually involves dividing the road network into groups neous networks of facilities (Kuhn 2010). Finally, nonlinear pro-
of pavement sections that have similar traits, such as road class, dis- gramming models have their objective(s) and at least some of their
tress type, pavement condition range, traffic volume, or any combi- constraints formulated as curvilinear (Bryce et al. 2014). Studies
nation of the previously listed classifications. Based on this, a that have used nonlinear programming suggest that it is more

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reflective of the distribution of the selected input variables, espe- Need for Comparative Analysis
cially for variables related to pavement performance (Abaza 2006;
The literature thus offers a significant number of methods to aid
Gao et al. 2010).
pavement engineers in the budget planning, project prioritization,
As indicated by Wu et al. (2012), no single mathematical
and budget allocation processes. In most of these studies, however,
optimization approach is universally superior in terms of com-
the authors do not objectively compare or evaluate proposed
putational requirements, the availability of the required infor- resource allocation models with other extant methods. In the few
mation, ease of use, and transparency. Generally, mathematical instances of such comparisons, researchers implement allocation
programming methods are not suitable for application in large methods based on different contexts (location, scale, or level of de-
networks. The inclusion of a large number of decision variables cision making) on the same network. This can lead to biased results
in such optimization models leads to increased complexity of that are not representative of the pragmatic context of the proposed
the formulated problems and geometrically increases the com-
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models. Furthermore, when comparative studies are done, the usual


puting time (Torres-Machí et al. 2014). Beyond this, some of the performance criteria and metrics focus solely on effectiveness with-
parameters in such models are often poorly defined, making it out simultaneously accounting for other measures, such as equity
challenging to adapt proposed models to different case scenarios and the strategic goal(s) of the agency. From a pragmatic stand-
(Augeri et al. 2011). point, most SHAs have strategic goals about the percentage of pave-
On the other hand, metaheuristics are high-level iterative pro- ment sections that are expected to be in a specified condition state
cedures that guide the selection of heuristic processes to explore (score) for each year or over a predetermined planning horizon.
the solution space to find near-optimal solutions (Blum and Roli Furthermore, addressing performance gaps in condition states of
2003). Again, although mathematical optimization models are individual pavement sections is also standard practice by pavement
not suitable for large networks (due to combinatorial explosion), engineers in highway agencies. This ensures that poorly performing
metaheuristics provide “acceptable” close approximations or sections of the network do not fall below acceptable standards,
near optimal solutions, in a shorter time period, for problems that which can lead to expensive rehabilitation projects later. In the cur-
have a high polynomial complexity (Lee and Madanat 2015). rent study, the methods chosen for comparison have all been previ-
Although there are global search and local search metaheuristics, ously implemented on a subset pavement network in Texas. They
applications in M&R programming often involve global search have common pavement assessment measures (CS, etc.) and the
heuristics (usually population based), such as genetic algorithms same implementation context. This allows for the objective evalua-
(GAs), particle swarm optimization, ant colony optimization, and tion of different methods to demonstrate each method’s pragmatic
evolutionary programming. A thorough review of related works merits and demerits in budget allocation for M&R programming.
in the literature reveals a disproportionately high number of Furthermore, the CBA, needs-based approach, and the integer-
works using GAs for solving M&R resource allocation problems linear programming (ILP) methods have been reported to be used
(Chootinan et al. 2006; Jha and Abdullah 2006). Two major by several highway agencies in nationwide studies by Wiegmann
demerits of metaheuristics are that convergence to the true global and Yelchuru (2012) and Cambridge Systematics (2009).
value is still unclear and their computation approach can be com- Thus, the primary objective of this study is to compare methods
plex. Fuzzy logic-based programming has also been used in from the identified major approaches, such as ranking-based
numerous studies (Mellano et al. 2009; Moazami et al. 2011). approaches, mathematical optimization models, and data mining,
Fuzzy logic is an approach to expressing the membership of indi- with M&R programming. The corresponding methods are CBA,
vidual entities as a continuum of probability values ranging from ILP, and a combination of a “decision tree classifier (data mining
0 to 1 (Sundin and Braban-Ledoux 2001). It is usually applied in approach) þ needs-based” allocation method. All the methods
conjunction with other mathematical optimization methods, heu- (hitherto implemented on a portion of the Texas highway network)
ristics, or ranking-based methods. are applied in a numerical case study representative of a subset
pavement network in Texas. The models are evaluated based on the
average network CS (effectiveness), inherent equity considerations,
Artificial Intelligence and Data Mining
and their ability to meet the prime strategic goal set by a highway
Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are used to replicate decision- agency (in this case, TxDOT).
making patterns but do not necessarily define one on their own.
Consequently, if the training data set of “decisions” contains subop-
timal decisions, those decisions will be reflected in the output by the Budget Allocation Methods
ANN. Fwa and Chan (1993) demonstrated the feasibility of using
This section provides a description of the three methods imple-
neural networks to replicate the decisions of pavement engineers in
mented in the numerical case study. The section highlights the
prioritizing pavement maintenance needs. Comparing ANNs with
major assumptions, the resource allocation logic, and the parame-
the traditional weighted sum method of ranking, the authors argued
ters that were used in each method for the case implementation and
that the former lacked consistency in application and failed to
comparison.
reflect the thought process of pavement engineers. ANNs, however,
are the subject of the “black-box” critique, making them unattrac-
tive for application in M&R resource allocation problems. On the CBA
other hand, decision tree algorithms are “white-box” methods, One often used method for prioritizing M&R projects for budget
which pavement engineers typically use to support engineering allocation is the CBA. Menendez et al. (2013) proposed and imple-
judgments. In a study by Chi et al. (2013), decision tree classifiers mented a CBA approach in a TxDOT district to develop multiyear
were used to develop a network-level projects prioritization method M&R plans for different budgetary scenarios. The decision-making
for a district in Texas. Based on the qualitative input from pavement process occurred at two levels, project and network. At the project
engineers and historical pavement performance data, a list of candi- level, the metric used for treatment selection was the treatment cost
date M&R projects was proposed for a 4-year pavement plan for a to added life (CALm) ratio. At the network level, projects were pri-
district. oritized based on the relative importance of the shortlisted projects

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on the expected improvement of the network. Concerning the for- throughout a network to optimize specified objectives under con-
mer, pavement sections with a CS lower than 70 (CSnet) were eligi- straints. SHAs usually need to choose an optimal set of projects
ble for an M&R treatment. An eligible M&R treatment for a pave- from a pool of candidate projects for multiple years. Hence, the ILP
ment section had to be able to increase the CS to at least 70 or more. approach was chosen because it is one of the most used models for
The added life (ALm) of each eligible pavement section was calcu- budget allocation due to the specificity in its solutions providing
lated based on nonlinear pavement performance models developed details on the timing, treatment type, and location (Gao and Zhang
and used by TxDOT [Eq. (1)]. The equation was based on consider- 2013b). For this model, the current work presents a novel integer-
ation of the estimated additional years added to the life of the pave- linear program, which builds on studies by Al-Amin (2013), Wang
ment section before it fell below the threshold value (CSnet of 70). et al. (2003), and Lee and Madanat (2015). Table 2 displays the
The CALm was then calculated, as shown in Eq. (2), as the ratio of notations for the parameters and decision variables of the model.
the unit treatment cost (Cm) and the added life (ALm). The treat-
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ments with the lowest CALm ratio were then chosen as the optimal
project alternatives for the shortlisted pavement sections. All the Objective Functions
pavement performance modeling parameter values were, as pre- The objectives of the model include the maximization of pavement
sented in Menendez et al. (2013), based on the treatment option and condition improvements and the minimization of road user costs.
the traffic classification categories (low, medium, or high) The first objective (Z1) is constructed as the summation of the prod-
uct of the number of lane-kilometers (lane-miles); improvement in
r pm CS; and decision variable for each pavement section, maintenance
ALm ¼ " !#b 1 (1)
CSnet pm treatment chosen, and specific time period [Eq. (4)]
ln 1   
min CSB þ DCSpm ; 100 I X
X M X
T
max Z1 ¼ ðNi Li eim Þximt (4)
where r pm and b pm = curve parameters for traffic-level p and treat- i¼1 m¼1 t¼1

ment option m (Table 1); CSB = condition of the section prior to the
application of the treatment, while DCSpm = estimated improvement Šelih et al. (2008) demonstrated that, compared with M&R
in the CS based on the traffic-level p and treatment option m agency costs, indirect costs like road user costs are significant even
when the actual user costs are underestimated. Accordingly, the sec-
Cm ond objective of this model was to account for the road user costs,
CALm ¼ (2)
ALm which are usually borne by the public and the state as a whole. The
primary components of road user costs are the vehicle operating
Considering the network-level prioritization of projects, these cost, crash cost, and the travel delay cost (Gao and Zhang 2013a).
were conducted based on how important the shortlisted projects This model accounts for the most valuable and measurable compo-
were to the expected improvement to the network. Prior to this nents of user costs, travel-delay and vehicle-operating costs (Lee
stage, all the eligible pavement sections in the network have an and Madanat 2015). Crash costs are difficult to evaluate; thus, they
assigned project (based on the CAL ratio). Hence, the problem
addressed is which project to fund based on a limited budget. The
proposed approach was to calculate the benefit of each section i Table 2. Notations of the Integer-Linear Program
(Benefiti) by calculating a product of the AADT, section length, and Symbol Definition
the area between the performance curve (AUPCi) and the threshold
value. This was followed by calculating the total cost (Costi) of the AADTi Average annual daily traffic of pavement section i
project as a product of the length, number of lanes, and unit cost of AADTTi Average annual daily truck traffic of pavement section i
the selected M&R project [Eq. (3)]. Pavement sections were then Bt Available budget for M&R at period t
ranked in order of descending benefit-to-cost ratios (BCRi) and Cim Unit cost of applying treatment m to pavement section i
allocated funds until the M&R budget for each year was exhausted CSi0 Initial CS for pavement section i
CSit CS for pavement section i at period t
Benefiti AADTi  AUPCi  Li CSmax Maximum possible CS for each pavement section in the
BCRi ¼ ¼ (3)
Costi Cm  Li  Ni network
CSmin Least allowable CS for each pavement section in the network
DCm Travel time delay costs per AADT for treatment option m
ILP di Constant pavement deterioration rate for pavement section i
eim Improvement in CS for pavement section i for M&R treatment
The ILP models provide quantitative solutions on the selection (0, option m
not selected; 1, selected) of specific projects to be undertaken Li Length of pavement section i (in miles)
Ni Number of lanes of pavement section i
Table 1. Curve Parameters for Additional Pavement Life Model OC1 Marginal operating cost of a passenger car
(Adapted from Menendez et al. 2013) OC2 Marginal operating cost of a truck
b pm r pm RSi Ride score of pavement section i
TDCim Travel time delay costs for pavement section i for treatment
M&R Low Medium High Low Medium High option m
option traffic traffic traffic traffic traffic traffic VOCi Vehicle operating costs for pavement section i
PM 2.3 1.5 1.7 9.3 9.0 10.6 Wc Adjustment factor minus average cost of adding one additional
LR 2.4 1.5 1.5 11.0 12.5 12.4 unit of CS
MR 2.4 1.6 1.3 12.9 14.8 14.7 Ximt Whether or not to select pavement section i, for treatment m, in
HR 2.5 1.6 1.2 16.1 19.4 17.1 year t (binary variable: 0, not selected or 1, if selected)

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J. Manage. Eng., 2018, 34(2): 05018002


are often not accounted for in the formulation of road user cost CSmin  CSit  CSmax 8t 2 T 8i 2 I (11)
models
X
M
I X
X M X
T ximt ¼ 1; 8t 2 T 8i 2 I (12)
min Z2 ¼ ðVOCi þ TDCim Þximt (5) m¼1
i¼1 m¼1 t¼1

where Other Parameter Values


VOCi ¼ ½OC1  ðAADTi  AADTTi Þ þ OC2  ðAADTTi Þ For this study, a pavement CS deterioration (CSD) rate of 5% was
assumed. The present values of operating costs used for the model
 RSi (6) were $0.0547/lane-km/unit ride score ($0.0881/lane-mile/unit ride
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score) for passenger cars and $0.1861/lane-km/unit ride score


TDCim ¼ AADTi  DCm (7) ($0.2995/lane-mile/unit ride score) for trucks (Gao and Zhang
2013a). The allowable minimum and maximum CS were also con-
The weighted sum approach was used to form a composite func- strained at 50 and 100, respectively. Table 3 shows the assumed val-
tion (Z3) of the two conflicting objectives [Eq. (8)]. Furthermore, ues for other relevant parameters that were used for the implementa-
the weighting factors allow different highway agencies to assign tion of this model.
different factors to the level of importance that improvements to
infrastructure conditions have in relation to user costs. Given the Decision Tree 1 Needs-Based Allocation
difference in units of the functions, a conversion factor (Wc) was
introduced to the objective function (Z1) to ensure that both func- As the name suggests, the decision tree þ needs-based allocation
tions were in equivalent dollar values. Wc was calculated by finding (DTN) method is a combination of two methods. A general descrip-
the average marginal cost of improving a pavement section by one tion of this method is outlined as
unit (CS). This value was assessed to be $7,705/lane-km/unit CS 1. An assembly of pavement-related data on the condition trends
($12,400/lane-mile/unit CS) in this study. For purposes of compari- of the pavement sections in the network,
son, W1 was chosen as 0.9; hence, (1 – W1) was 0.1 for Z2. This is 2. Selection of representative attributes from the list of pavement
based on the argument that agency costs are physically and directly attributes that can influence the decision to select a pavement
borne by SHAs, whereas user costs are not as “visible” (Khurshid section for a project,
et al. 2009) 3. Assignment of class labels (type of project required) based on
experiential knowledge of pavement engineers,
max Z3 ¼ ½W1  Wc  Z1 þ ð1  W1 Þ  Z2  (8) 4. Setting up and execution of decision trees or rule-based algo-
rithms to predict class labels,
5. Selection and implementation of best performing classifiers to
Constraints prioritize pavement sections, and
To reflect the pragmatic programming constraints and practices by 6. Application of the “worst-first” (WF) approach on the priori-
pavement engineers in a typical highway agency (TxDOT), a num- tized list of pavement sections.
ber of constraints were formulated. First, the total cost of perform- The decision tree algorithm used in this study is based on a study
ing all the M&R projects for each year should not exceed the by Chi et al. (2013). The main objective of that decision tree was to
budget allocation for each time point [Eq. (9)]. It is also important aid in the efficient screening of network-level candidate projects for
to account for the changes in the CS from year to year based on a district in TxDOT. The attributes (features) used for the derivation
the applied M&R project and pavement deterioration based on of the decision tree in that study were the current CS, the CSD from
traffic and other factors. This transition equation is based on a the previous year, and the condition of the adjacent pavement sec-
study by Wang et al. (2003), as shown in Eq. (10) tions in the network. The project selection algorithm used these
I X
X M input features to classify candidate projects as one of the following:
Ni Li Cim ximt  Bt 8t 2 T (9) a potential immediate project, a vigilance project, or an isolated pro-
i¼1 m¼1 ject. The classification was performed in two phases. The first clas-
sification algorithm (J48 class for creating a pruned or unpruned
M X
X T C4.5 decision tree), which was implemented in Weka (data mining
CSit ¼ CSi0 ð1  di Þt þ ximt eim ð1  di Þtt 8t 2 T 8i 2 I software developed by Witten et al. 1999), was used to decide if a
m¼1 t¼1 pavement section should be a project (Yes), not be a project (No),
(10) or be closely monitored for future intervention (Vigilance). The
next phase involved addressing the problem of having “isolated”
where t* = previous discrete time point (t* ≤ t) at which an M&R
treatment was applied to the pavement section. This confirms that Table 3. CS Improvements, Travel Delay Costs, and M&R Treatment
the model takes into account the impact of previous M&R Costs
treatments. Travel delay costs,
The next set of constraints ensures that the minimum and maxi- M&R Treatment cost [$/lane-km PMIS CS [$/AADT/lane-km
mum CS values are satisfied [Eq. (11)]. Finally, the model also option ($/lane-mile)] improvement ($/AADT/lane-mile)]
accounted for constraints on the number of treatments that each
NM 0 (0) 0 0 (0)
pavement section can receive per year and the total number of treat-
PM 21,127 (34,000) 3 0 (0)
ments that a specific pavement section can receive over the plan-
LR 125,517 (202,000) 15 0.31 (0.5)
ning horizon. For Texas pavements, sections were limited to one
MR 172,120 (277,000) 25 0.62 (1)
treatment option (can be no maintenance) per year, thus, four treat-
HR 321,250 (517,000) 40 0.84 (1.35)
ments per section over the development of the 4-year PMP

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projects and the prioritization of consolidated projects based on the (VBA). Given the scope of the problem (network size), there were no
number of contiguous pavement sections needing M&R interven- significant differences in the computational times between the
tion (Yes and Vigilance) and a project-ranking matrix. approaches used.
In this study, the method described previously was slightly
modified. The projects eligibility decision tree generated by the J48 Performance Evaluation
class was used in conjunction with a needs-based (WF) allocation
logic (typically used by pavement engineers) for M&R budget allo- The three approaches to project prioritization and budget allocation
cation. The decision tree (Fig. 4) was used as a guide to shortlist the were assessed via three measures: the concepts of effectiveness, eq-
number of pavement sections that should, in the current planning uity, and the achievement of a strategic goal synonymous to the one
year, have a M&R project (Yes and/or Vigilance). After the short- set by TxDOT. Effectiveness was measured by the computation of
list, a traditional WF approach was used to assign funds to suitable the average network CS at the end of each plan year. Furthermore,
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M&R projects until the allocated budget for each year was depleted. after the implementation of the different methods, a final network
Based on the structure of the tree, pavement sections with “bad” CS CS (in the fourth year) was also assessed as an indication of the “re-
were funded first followed by other pavement sections classified as sidual” value of the network. Equity is a largely subjective measure;
Yes and then Vigilance if there were still more funds available. For it is important then to clearly define it for the context of this study.
The notion of equity used in this paper is not “social equity.” Equity
the feature categories, the CS for each pavement section was
is defined in this study as the fair distribution of M&R funds accord-
grouped as follows: bad (CS ≤ 70), fair (70 < CS ≤ 80), and good
ing to pavement sections in need of interventions. This concept for
(80 < CS ≤ 100). Similarly, the CSD were also categorized as slow
measuring the fairness of the distribution of limited resources is of-
(–5 ≤ CSD), medium (–15 ≤ CSD < –5), and fast (CS < –15). This
ten used in the performance evaluation of resource allocation in
is consistent with the groupings for the second test set of the original
other areas (Mishra et al. 2015). For many mathematical models
study, which yielded higher prediction accuracies for the test data.
developed for M&R programming in the extant literature, research-
ers neglect equity considerations or fail to specifically account for
Case Study them during problem formulation. In a network-level study by
Boyles (2015), it was suggested that more funding tends to go to
urban areas than rural areas, which is “arguably unfair and politi-
Preamble cally infeasible.” Because equity theory was not the focus of the pa-
The models were implemented on a network size of 50 flexible per, the authors did not specifically account for equity in the con-
pavement sections, representative of a subset network in Texas. The straints of the integer-linear program (to reflect the status quo of
pavement attributes were retrieved from PMIS; Table 4 presents a most models in the literature). Given the importance of the impact
summary statistical description of the salient attributes of the net- of M&R strategies on the resulting condition of the network, the
work. Considering a typical PMP, a 4-year planning horizon was metrics used to assess equity focused on “equity in outcome” of the
chosen for the case study implementation. All the selected pave- CS. This was done by examining how an allocation method wid-
ment sections were 0.81-km (0.5-mi) in length with two lanes. The ened or reduced the gap in CS for the different pavement sections in
budget for the 4-year plan was $2 million (assumed to be in constant the network. Hence, assigning funds to pavement sections that had
dollars). For other cost parameter values retrieved from earlier stud-
ies, a discount rate of 4% was used to adjust previous values to pres- Table 4. Summary Statistics of the Model Pavement Network (50
ent worth (Lamptey et al. 2008). For the integer-linear model, the Sections)
model was formulated and solved within the general algebraic mod- Standard
eling system (GAMS) software environment. Although GAMS has Attribute Mean Median Minimum Maximum deviation
a number of solvers for mixed integer programming (MIP), the
AADTTa 118.86 102.00 14.00 350.00 91.55
solver “branch and cut” (CBC) originally developed by computa-
AADT 2,253.50 1,168.50 167.00 6,807.00 2,161.88
tional infrastructure for operations research (COIN-OR) was used.
Ride score 3.04 3.00 2.00 4.00 0.49
The CBC algorithm for solving MIP models is an extension of the
Current CS 76.40 76.50 51.00 98.00 12.79
“branch-and-bound” method with cutting planes to constrain the
Previous 78.84 82.00 45.00 99.00 14.42
relaxations of LP (Mitchell 2002). The other approaches (CBA and
CS
DTN) were implemented in a traditional worksheet (Microsoft
a
Excel) environment with formulas and Visual Basic for Applications Annual average daily truck traffic.

CS Root
Node

Fair Good

Bad Internal
CSD CSD
Node

Fast Medium Slow Fast Medium Slow

Leaf
Yes Yes Yes No Vigilance No No Node

Fig. 4. Decision tree for shortlisting pavement sections (adapted from Chi et al. 2013)

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J. Manage. Eng., 2018, 34(2): 05018002


lower CS was perceived as more “equitable.” The specific metrics was practically no difference in the measure of dispersion between
used in this study include the range (the difference between the min- the CBA and DTN methods, which were within 0.28 standard devi-
imum and maximum values) and the standard deviation of the CS ation points of the CS of individual pavement sections throughout
of the pavement network for each plan (fiscal) year. The last mea- the planning period. The trend is similar for the range values in indi-
sure of assessment is the percentage of pavement sections that vidual pavement CS for both methods. Furthermore, over the
qualified as in a “good or better” condition. This was based on planning horizon, both methods continually reduced the level of
TxDOT’s statewide condition goal of having 90% of pavement lane disparity between the CS of individual sections (Fig. 6).
miles in a good or better condition. Conversely, the ILP method appeared to maintain the initial level
of disparity (standard deviation around 12) in the CS of the pave-
ment network for each time period. Accordingly, it does not nec-
Results and Discussion essarily reduce or increase the difference in the CS of the pave-
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ment sections.
Effectiveness
Over the planning horizon (4 years), the average network CS Strategic Goal (Percentage Good or Better)
dropped continually for all the methods compared. This could be Different agencies have varying strategic goals based on different
indicative of an allocated budget ($2 million) that is insufficient decision-making levels (state, district, and local/area). However, for
to maintain the infrastructure network at its current functional this performance measure, a variation of TxDOT’s statewide goal
and structural condition. The ILP approach emerges as the most was used. DTN starts out in the first year with the most (76%) pave-
“effective” budget allocation approach because it leads to the ment sections in a good or better condition but consistently declines
slowest annual decline in average network CS (Fig. 5). With an to 68% (fourth year) over the remaining time periods (Fig. 7). On
average decline in network CS of 0.3% per year, the ILP method the other hand, CBA shows an up and down movement trend that
significantly outperformed the CBA and DTN methods, which declines over time, ranging from 68% (lowest in year four) to 72%
had average declines of 1.17 and 1% per annum. The difference (highest in year one). The ILP model follows a similar trend with
between the ILP method and other methods becomes increasingly generally higher percentages of pavement sections in a good or bet-
conspicuous with an average network CS of 75.42 in the fourth ter condition. In the third and fourth years, ILP also emerges as the
year compared with 72.94 and 73.42 for CBA and DTN, respec- most consistent approach with the highest number (72%) of good
tively. Hence, from a residual value perspective, ILP also leaves pavement sections in the network. Accordingly, the authors argue
the network with the highest asset value. This happens because, that the ILP approach is the best and most consistent method of
for the latter models, pavement in “very good” and “good” condi- achieving the strategic statewide goal of TxDOT.
tions seldom receives M&R treatments or projects. This often
leads to faster declines in the CS of such pavement sections Key Inferences
because deterioration occurs over longer periods of time leading
to a geometric compound impact. The CBA method is used by highway agencies because it measures
and contrasts the performance benefits versus treatment costs on a
pavement section, providing a neutral metric for performance eval-
Equity
uation of M&R treatments. At the network level, accounting for
Given the lack of standardized measures in the assessment of equity AADT in the prioritization of M&R projects also helps partially
in M&R budget allocation outcomes, this study chose the conven- account for the relevance of a particular pavement section to the
tional statistical metrics, range, and standard deviation of the CS. highway network. In this study, it was found that in spite of these
For both metrics, CBA and DTN performed better than ILP. There considerations, the CBA method used was not the most effective. A

77
Average Network Condition Score

76

75

74

73

72
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Plan Year

Cost-Benefit Analysis Integer-Linear Programming Decision Tree + Needs-based

Fig. 5. Results of the average network CS

© ASCE 05018002-9 J. Manage. Eng.

J. Manage. Eng., 2018, 34(2): 05018002


60 14

Standard Deviaon of Condion Scores


Range in Network Condition Scores
50 12

10
40
8
30
6
20
4
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10 2

0 0
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Plan Year

Cost-Benefit Analysis Integer-Linear Programming


Decision Tree + Needs-based Cost-Benefit Analysis
Integer-Linear Programming -SD Decision Tree + Needs-based - SD

Fig. 6. Results of range and spread of network CS

80%
Percent of Pavements in "Good" or Better Condition

75%

70%

65%

60%
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Plan Year

Cost-Benefit Analysis Integer-Linear Programming Decision Tree + Needs-based

Fig. 7. Percentage of pavement sections in at least good condition

key demerit of this method is that it does not account for good or In this study, it was found that of the three methods imple-
better pavement sections that may be rapidly deteriorating. As Labi mented, ILP is the most effective. This is consistent with previous
and Sinha (2005) pointed out, even for pavement in good condition, studies that did comparative analyses of other mathematical optimi-
a PM project can retard the onset of significant deterioration of the zation methods and other judgment-based methods like the WF
section, potentially obviating the need for a more expensive future approach (Visintine et al. 2016). It also outperformed the other
M&R project. Another observation during implementation was that approaches in leading to a network in the best condition at the end
because this particular CBA approach recommends treatment of the planning horizon as well as in better achieving the strategic
options with the least CAL ratio, selected projects were more likely goal of the agency. At the same time, in equity considerations, it
to lead to the minimally acceptable impact. Beyond the second performed the worst. Certainly, the ILP model can be formulated to
year, most of the suggested projects were PM or LR, which is not re- account for better equity in outcome. However, as indicated earlier,
flective of practical decision-making choices. On the other hand, most models in the literature do not specifically account for equity
the CBA method has strong inherent equity considerations, which in outcome concerns. Hence, this study also demonstrates this gap
leads to better equity in outcome results. This is reflected by the in problem formulation. This notwithstanding, it is important to
decreasing standard deviation in network CS over time. note that it would also be unrealistic to make the minimization of

© ASCE 05018002-10 J. Manage. Eng.

J. Manage. Eng., 2018, 34(2): 05018002


the difference in CS of pavement sections an optimization objective approach to budget allocation. Furthermore, this work has proposed
instead of a flexible model constraint. Different highway agencies a novel network-level project selection ILP model that was assessed
have varying levels of equity in outcome expectations that are ac- to be the most effective approach among the CBA and DTN meth-
ceptable while accounting for the network-wide effectiveness of ods. This ILP model can also be formulated to accommodate both
proposed models. Furthermore, there appears to be an inverse rela- equity and effectiveness concepts and allows decision makers the
tionship between increasing “effectiveness” and improving “eq- flexibility of choosing the specific network-wide goals to be
uity” as confirmed by an earlier study by Castells and Sole-Olle achieved. As demonstrated in this study, there appears to be an “eq-
(2005). Accordingly, an area for further research could be investi- uity-effectiveness” trade-off based on the different methods used.
gating the balance between these measures when both concepts are This concept needs to be accounted for in the decision by any SHA
incorporated in the same optimization model and implementation to use any of the previously implemented methods. Future research
context. can explore the equity-effectiveness Pareto frontier and possibly
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The DTN method is a hybrid approach that fuses the project- make recommendations for model modifications and adaptation
screening function of decision trees (based on data mining) and a based on specific agency goals, M&R practices, and other relevant
needs-based (WF) allocation approach. The results of its implemen- factors. This could drive the proposal of more hybrid approaches
tation suggest that its performance is similar to that of the CBA that could leverage the advantages of different methods for M&R
approach. DTN has similar, strong equity considerations because it budget allocation.
prioritizes pavement sections in “fair” or worse condition to be eli-
gible to receive M&R projects. Furthermore, it also accounts for
pavement sections that are in “good” condition but deteriorating at a References
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