Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Budget Allocation Models For Pavement Maintenance and Rehabilitation - Comparative Case Study
Budget Allocation Models For Pavement Maintenance and Rehabilitation - Comparative Case Study
Abstract: A principal component of maintenance and rehabilitation (M&R) planning is the allocation of limited funds to candidate projects
to achieve optimal levels of system performance. This paper objectively compares three methods for budget allocation: cost-benefit analysis
(CBA), integer-linear programming (ILP), and a “decision tree þ needs-based” allocation. The study first presents a review of the major
resource allocation approaches in the extant literature. It then implements, through a numerical case study, a representative method from each
allocation approach. These are implemented on a subset pavement (50 sections) network for projects prioritization and budget allocation. The
results indicate that, compared with the optimization model, both the CBA and the decision tree þ needs-based allocation methods lead to
faster declines (over the planning horizon) in average network condition scores (CS) (1% annually). However, this result arises due to both
models inherently considering more “equity in outcome,” which is evidenced by a decreasing gap between the individual CS of pavement sec-
tions over time. The method leading to the highest average network performance (0.30% decrease annually) is the integer-linear program. This
method performs the worst in equity considerations. The findings from this study highlight the important dynamics of “equity-effectiveness”
trade-offs inherent in different budget allocation methods for M&R programming. This paper also supports the need to develop more hybrid
approaches capable of leveraging the merits of different resource allocation approaches. For practitioners, this work presents a consoli-
dated view of the strengths and weaknesses of major resource allocation methods, which can aid in the transition that many highway agen-
cies are making toward the use of more formalized analytical models for M&R budget allocation. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-
5479.0000599. © 2018 American Society of Civil Engineers.
Author keywords: Pavement management; Maintenance and rehabilitation (M&R); Optimization models; Funding allocation; Asset
management.
Introduction plans, which account for the constraints of available funding as well
as the differing objectives of relevant stakeholders (Ashuri and
In modern society, transportation infrastructure plays a key role in Mostaan 2015; Gao and Zhang 2008). Because of the constrained
the economics and mobility of goods and human resources (Boyles availability of resources, highway agencies managing large-scale
et al. 2010). Highway infrastructure planners are tasked with road networks can execute pavement treatments each year only on
addressing mobility, safety, accessibility, and economic develop- small sections of their network. It is thus critical that pavement engi-
ment issues for multimodal corridors that have different functional neers make the most cost-effective choices while achieving the best
classifications and networks that stretch for thousands of miles time efficiencies across the highway network and among project
(Chen et al. 2015). This work is increasingly challenging due to lim- alternatives (Gao and Zhang 2013a).
ited funds allocation coupled with the rapid deterioration of pave- In M&R programming, transportation engineers must also con-
ment infrastructure over time (Arif et al. 2016; Ismail et al. 2009; sider issues, such as the strategic goals of the central body, the net-
Lamptey et al. 2008). Contributing to the fast deterioration of infra- work management objectives of regional authorities, conditions of
structure is urbanization and the pressure it puts on highway facili- the highway network, and other political or administrative con-
ties. Another level of complexity in highway planning is the consid- straints not easily quantified (Augeri et al. 2011). This problem can
eration of multiple and often conflicting stakeholder objectives be divided into two main categories: budget allocation and budget
(Caldas et al. 2011; Chen et al. 2015; Podgorski and Kockelman planning (Gao et al. 2012). A budget planning problem is a
2006). Consequently, a major concern of highway agencies is the network-level analysis that attempts to minimize the total M&R
development of effective maintenance and rehabilitation (M&R) cost over a specified planning horizon, such that a selected condi-
tion requirement is satisfied. This is usually done at a higher level
in the decision-making process and leads to the proposal of a mini-
1
Ph.D. Candidate, Dept. of Civil, Architectural, and Environmental mal budget required to meet specific state-wide agency goals. The
Engineering, Univ. of Texas at Austin, 301 E. Dean Keeton St., ECJ budget allocation problem, on the other hand, attempts to maxi-
5.412, Austin, TX 78712 (corresponding author). E-mail: francemens@ mize the effectiveness of M&R treatments and/or minimize the
utexas.edu user cost while accounting for specified budget constraints (Gao
2
Professor, Dept. of Civil, Architectural, and Environmental et al. 2012). In recent studies, however, the emphasis has shifted
Engineering, Univ. of Texas at Austin, 301 E. Dean Keeton St., ECJ
toward the bi-objective optimization of agency costs and user
5.412, Austin, TX 78712. E-mail: wjob@mail.utexas.edu
Note. This manuscript was submitted on August 15, 2017; approved
costs alike (Gao and Zhang 2013a; Labi and Sinha 2005; Li and
on October 13, 2017; published online on January 9, 2018. Discussion pe- Madanu 2009).
riod open until June 9, 2018; separate discussions must be submitted for Accordingly, pavement management systems (PMS) were devel-
individual papers. This paper is part of the Journal of Management in oped by state highway agencies (SHAs) to aid in M&R decision-
Engineering, © ASCE, ISSN 0742-597X. making tasks. The information contained in typical PMS includes
to use a hybrid of engineering judgment and needs-based and/or it is imperative for the agency to make sound and defensible data-
performance-based condition assessments to guide the allocation driven decisions on the best short- to long-term M&R projects.
of highway funds to M&R projects (Wiegmann and Yelchuru To collect, store, and aid in the analysis of pavement-related
2012). Current studies in the literature have mostly focused on the data, TxDOT developed the Pavement Management Information
effectiveness (objective function) of proposed models in conduct- System (PMIS). Implemented in 1993, PMIS contains annual data
ing comparative analyses of different methods. However, for many on pavement condition trends, treatment history, traffic informa-
agencies considering a transition to more analytical frameworks tion, structural attributes, and potential problem areas for 0.81-km
and models, there is the need for a more holistic comparative analy- (0.5-mi) sections of the pavement network. The primary metric for
sis of the existing budget allocation models in a pragmatic context. measuring the functional and structural condition of Texas pave-
Such analyses would inform decision makers of the caveats, ments is the PMIS condition score (CS). This is a product of the util-
strengths, and weaknesses of different methods, which can guide ity score value for ride quality (comfort and safety oriented) and the
the development of an effective budget allocation framework. assessed distress score rating (Fig. 1). For flexible pavements, dis-
The remaining sections of this paper are organized as follows. tress score ratings are based on data collected on failures, flushing,
The next section provides a detailed description of the general raveling, shallow rutting, deep rutting, alligator cracking, block
M&R planning practices of a major SHA as a motivating case. This cracking, traverse cracking, and longitudinal cracking. A distress
is followed by an overview of the major approaches to budget allo- score is assigned to a pavement section based on the utility values
cation models. The representative methods for the analysis are then of some of the previously mentioned distress-related data according
introduced and implemented in a numerical case study. The case to conversion charts developed by TxDOT. Similarly, the ride score
study implementation results are then discussed. Finally, the con- is also awarded based on the ratings for the ride quality of each
clusion section presents key findings, study limitations, and future pavement section. These metrics guide pavement engineers in the
research work. screening and shortlisting of pavement sections for potential M&R
projects.
About 93% of all the pavement sections in Texas are flexible;
M&R Planning in Texas hence, the treatment categories discussed in this section concern
flexible pavements. As depicted in Fig. 2, TxDOT has five primary
Districts within the Texas DOT (TxDOT) are aiming to attain “90% M&R treatment options: no maintenance, preventive maintenance
or better state-maintained pavements in good or better conditions.” (PM), light rehabilitation (LR), medium rehabilitation (MR), and
As part of this effort, they are required to submit a 4-year pavement heavy rehabilitation (HR). PM is usually applied to sections with
management plan (PMP). This plan contains the anticipated budgets minor stresses like traverse and longitudinal cracking. It typically
to meet the agency goals for the network (Zhang et al. 2009), involves the application of seal coats or overlays less than 51 mm
including estimated construction costs for maintenance (routine and (2 in.). LR is moderately expensive and typically includes thicker
preventive) projects, and for rehabilitation projects to be executed overlays between 51 and 76 mm (2 and 3 in.), repairs to potholes
over the planning horizon (Chi et al. 2013). This district-specific and pavement edges, and performing pavement level-up activities.
plan is expected to include pavement score targets and the perform- MR involves a structural overlay between 76 and 127 mm (3 and
ance impact of the proposed maintenance spending on the highway 5 in.), base repair, replacing the surface layer, and milling off the
infrastructure network (Liu et al. 2012). worn-out surface layer. Finally, HR (also known as reconstruction)
No
Maintenance Medium
Rehabilitaon
Minimum
performance
acceptable
Heavy Rehabilitaon
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by UNIV OF CONNECTICUT LIBRARIES on 01/16/18. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.
involves the total replacement of the existing pavement section. Funds Allocation Approaches
This is the most expensive treatment option and is usually applied
to sections with major distresses, such as deep rutting, to restore the The first part of this study involves a discussion of the existing
section to its original structural and functional condition (Chi et al. major approaches to M&R programming. This section presents
2013; Gharaibeh et al. 2014). brief descriptions and enumerates the merits and demerits of the dif-
ferent methods of each approach.
Network-Level Project Selection
Ranking-Based Methods
For most districts, the development of the PMP starts with identify-
ing pavement sections in the PMIS that call for urgent attention. One approach to solving M&R fund allocation problems is via
This could be pavement sections with extremely low CS or sections ranking-based methods. This often involves developing and assign-
with good scores but exhibit trends of relatively fast deterioration ing weights to certain key indicators as an approach to the optimal
rates. A list of candidate projects is prepared by the area office engi- selection of eligible M&R candidate projects for funding (Farhan
neers (AOEs) and submitted to the district office for consideration. and Fwa 2012). This is usually done by creating and rating candi-
This is followed by an elaborate field investigation to confirm the date treatments or projects based on a set of indicator parameters.
current condition of the selected pavement section(s) for the pro- The analysis usually depends on expert judgment, pavement-related
posed projects. The District Maintenance Engineer (DME), in col- data (condition states), or economic analysis (Torres-Machí et al.
laboration with AOEs, then prioritizes projects based on the pave- 2014). More often than not, decision makers tend to use a hybrid of
ment condition, deterioration rate, traffic volume, project costs, the previously mentioned approaches. The methods include cost-
available funding, and other local considerations. Prior to this, a benefit analysis (CBA) (Li and Madanu 2009), analytic hierarchy
project-level analysis is performed to determine which treatment process (AHP) (Farhan and Fwa 2009; Li and Sinha 2004), and
strategy is the most suitable for the identified pavement sections other multicriteria decision-making methods (Sabatino et al. 2015;
over the planning period based on historical data and the experien- Zietsman et al. 2006). Fig. 3 indicates a general framework of M&R
tial knowledge of pavement engineers. programming based on ranking-based approaches.
Because of the use of some federal funding sources for M&R The ranking approach to selecting M&R treatments has several
projects, the Transportation Planning and Development (TPD) drawbacks. First, the budget tends to be allocated to pavement sec-
Director also coordinates with the DME to ensure that M&R proj- tions that are most severely damaged and seldom leads to the opti-
ects eligible for federal funding are also allocated effectively. mal benefit of the entire pavement network (Visintine et al. 2016).
Hence, at the district level, budget allocation is often an iterative The parameters that are selected do not always lead to an optimal
process that requires collaborative planning and negotiations solution for achieving a given objective (for instance, maximizing
between the maintenance and the TPD functional groups of network performance or minimizing M&R agency costs). Other
TxDOT. Previous research has suggested that this process of studies have gone a step further to critique the relative importance
network-level selection is still conducted via a hybrid of qualitative or weights of parameters that are considered vital versus other pa-
and quantitative approaches that rely heavily on pavement condi- rameters that are considered trivial (Farhan and Fwa 2012).
tion evaluations and the engineering judgment of pavement engi- Furthermore, given the fact that experts usually provide their opin-
neers (Chi et al. 2013). The literature provides numerous quantita- ion on the relative importance of the indicators in the model, there is
tive budget allocation models, yet few districts have fully a tendency for some experts to hype or overestimate the importance
transitioned to using such models (Wu et al. 2012). With increas- of certain variables to the performance and functionality of the high-
ing urbanization and a growing gap between available funds and way pavement network (Wu et al. 2008). To address subjective
M&R needs, it is becoming increasingly important to develop de- inconsistencies in the factor weightages, other studies (Ahmed et al.
fensible approaches for effective allocation of limited budgets. 2017; Porras-Alvarado et al. 2017) have used and modified the
For some districts, there is still no formal and consistent analyti- AHP approach for M&R projects prioritization. This involves a
cal/quantitative approach in the selection and funding of M&R multicriteria approach, which ensures internal consistency (via the
projects at the network level. However, this is not limited to consistency index) in the pairwise comparisons of attributes by the
TxDOT. Several SHAs have still not fully transitioned from the respective decision makers.
needs-based approach of projects prioritization for budget allocation More importantly, when highway agencies use such prioritiza-
(Wiegmann and Yelchuru 2012). tion schemes or ranking methods, they rarely develop well-defined
Short term M&R Mid term M&R Programming and scheduling M&R projects
projects list and projects list and for the short term and mid-term.
schedules. schedules. Increased aenon on short term projects to
ensure funding availability and opmal
scheduling.
Fig. 3. General framework for funds allocation via ranking-based methods (adapted from Chi et al. 2013; Gharaibeh et al. 2014) (Note: IRI =
International roughness index)
criteria to assess the effectiveness of chosen methods in achieving resource allocation problem is formulated and solved with the out-
certain strategic goals for the highway pavement network. Farhan put of M&R treatments that are selected for the pavement groups
and Fwa (2012) addressed this by demonstrating the loss in optimal- created. Accordingly, LP models are relatively tractable and allow
ity when decision makers choose to go with certain prioritized users to perform sensitivity analyses of the input parameters (De La
activities in the M&R program. Furthermore, most ranking methods Garza et al. 2011). The demerit of LP models is that the solutions
ignore multiyear analysis (Torres-Machí et al. 2014). This is partic- provided apply only to a group of pavement sections rather than
ularly important because a lower ranked project not selected in one individual pavement sections (De La Garza et al. 2011; Gao and
year may lead to an expensive rehabilitation project in a year or Zhang 2013b). In practice, however, pavement engineers are also
two. This drawback makes it unsuitable for medium- to long-range interested in M&R project selection at the network level. Providing
M&R plans. treatments to a group of pavements leaves decision makers with an
On the flip side, ranking methods are easy to understand and are extra decision—selecting which pavement sections in the group
usually indicative of the intended pavement maintenance policies of should receive the proposed treatment (project-selection problem).
the respective highway agency (Farhan and Fwa 2012). They also In areas in which LP fails, the integer programming (IP)
can be easily tailored to the specific needs of different highway approach thrives. IP models can provide exact information regard-
agencies because each agency tends to have different short-term, ing M&R activities scheduling and individual project selections for
long-term, or strategic goals due to varying levels of traffic volume, the optimal performance of the pavement network. However, IP
network dynamics, and available M&R funding levels. Given the models tend to require more computational power, especially when
importance of transparency to the M&R planning process for high- implemented on large-scale networks (Gao and Zhang 2013b).
way agencies and the ease of understanding and implementing such Even for single-objective functions, an M&R scheduling problem
methods, the ranking method logically tends to be an attractive that has integer decision variables is a nondeterministic polynomial-
option for highway pavement engineers. time (NP)–hard problem (Gao et al. 2012). On the other hand, DP
can be used to solve discrete problems having an optimal substruc-
Mathematical Optimization and Metaheuristics ture and overlapping subproblems. This means that the problems
formulated should be solvable sequentially, and components of the
In the domain of pavement management, the mathematical optimi- optimal solution should also facilitate the solving of subproblems
zation methods usually used are linear, integer, nonlinear, and (Boyles et al. 2010). Also, DP is often used for accounting for
dynamic programming (DP) (Torres-Machí et al. 2014). A defining uncertainty in infrastructure maintenance policies (Madanat et al.
characteristic of mathematical optimization methods is that they of- 2006; Medury and Madanat 2013). The work by Powell (2007) on
ten lead to optimal solutions within the construct of the pavement the use of approximate dynamic programming (ADP) demon-
management problem definition and formulation. Linear program- strated that ADP models can be conveniently applied to heteroge-
ming (LP) usually involves dividing the road network into groups neous networks of facilities (Kuhn 2010). Finally, nonlinear pro-
of pavement sections that have similar traits, such as road class, dis- gramming models have their objective(s) and at least some of their
tress type, pavement condition range, traffic volume, or any combi- constraints formulated as curvilinear (Bryce et al. 2014). Studies
nation of the previously listed classifications. Based on this, a that have used nonlinear programming suggest that it is more
ments with the lowest CALm ratio were then chosen as the optimal
project alternatives for the shortlisted pavement sections. All the Objective Functions
pavement performance modeling parameter values were, as pre- The objectives of the model include the maximization of pavement
sented in Menendez et al. (2013), based on the treatment option and condition improvements and the minimization of road user costs.
the traffic classification categories (low, medium, or high) The first objective (Z1) is constructed as the summation of the prod-
uct of the number of lane-kilometers (lane-miles); improvement in
r pm CS; and decision variable for each pavement section, maintenance
ALm ¼ " !#b 1 (1)
CSnet pm treatment chosen, and specific time period [Eq. (4)]
ln 1
min CSB þ DCSpm ; 100 I X
X M X
T
max Z1 ¼ ðNi Li eim Þximt (4)
where r pm and b pm = curve parameters for traffic-level p and treat- i¼1 m¼1 t¼1
ment option m (Table 1); CSB = condition of the section prior to the
application of the treatment, while DCSpm = estimated improvement Šelih et al. (2008) demonstrated that, compared with M&R
in the CS based on the traffic-level p and treatment option m agency costs, indirect costs like road user costs are significant even
when the actual user costs are underestimated. Accordingly, the sec-
Cm ond objective of this model was to account for the road user costs,
CALm ¼ (2)
ALm which are usually borne by the public and the state as a whole. The
primary components of road user costs are the vehicle operating
Considering the network-level prioritization of projects, these cost, crash cost, and the travel delay cost (Gao and Zhang 2013a).
were conducted based on how important the shortlisted projects This model accounts for the most valuable and measurable compo-
were to the expected improvement to the network. Prior to this nents of user costs, travel-delay and vehicle-operating costs (Lee
stage, all the eligible pavement sections in the network have an and Madanat 2015). Crash costs are difficult to evaluate; thus, they
assigned project (based on the CAL ratio). Hence, the problem
addressed is which project to fund based on a limited budget. The
proposed approach was to calculate the benefit of each section i Table 2. Notations of the Integer-Linear Program
(Benefiti) by calculating a product of the AADT, section length, and Symbol Definition
the area between the performance curve (AUPCi) and the threshold
value. This was followed by calculating the total cost (Costi) of the AADTi Average annual daily traffic of pavement section i
project as a product of the length, number of lanes, and unit cost of AADTTi Average annual daily truck traffic of pavement section i
the selected M&R project [Eq. (3)]. Pavement sections were then Bt Available budget for M&R at period t
ranked in order of descending benefit-to-cost ratios (BCRi) and Cim Unit cost of applying treatment m to pavement section i
allocated funds until the M&R budget for each year was exhausted CSi0 Initial CS for pavement section i
CSit CS for pavement section i at period t
Benefiti AADTi AUPCi Li CSmax Maximum possible CS for each pavement section in the
BCRi ¼ ¼ (3)
Costi Cm Li Ni network
CSmin Least allowable CS for each pavement section in the network
DCm Travel time delay costs per AADT for treatment option m
ILP di Constant pavement deterioration rate for pavement section i
eim Improvement in CS for pavement section i for M&R treatment
The ILP models provide quantitative solutions on the selection (0, option m
not selected; 1, selected) of specific projects to be undertaken Li Length of pavement section i (in miles)
Ni Number of lanes of pavement section i
Table 1. Curve Parameters for Additional Pavement Life Model OC1 Marginal operating cost of a passenger car
(Adapted from Menendez et al. 2013) OC2 Marginal operating cost of a truck
b pm r pm RSi Ride score of pavement section i
TDCim Travel time delay costs for pavement section i for treatment
M&R Low Medium High Low Medium High option m
option traffic traffic traffic traffic traffic traffic VOCi Vehicle operating costs for pavement section i
PM 2.3 1.5 1.7 9.3 9.0 10.6 Wc Adjustment factor minus average cost of adding one additional
LR 2.4 1.5 1.5 11.0 12.5 12.4 unit of CS
MR 2.4 1.6 1.3 12.9 14.8 14.7 Ximt Whether or not to select pavement section i, for treatment m, in
HR 2.5 1.6 1.2 16.1 19.4 17.1 year t (binary variable: 0, not selected or 1, if selected)
M&R projects until the allocated budget for each year was depleted. after the implementation of the different methods, a final network
Based on the structure of the tree, pavement sections with “bad” CS CS (in the fourth year) was also assessed as an indication of the “re-
were funded first followed by other pavement sections classified as sidual” value of the network. Equity is a largely subjective measure;
Yes and then Vigilance if there were still more funds available. For it is important then to clearly define it for the context of this study.
The notion of equity used in this paper is not “social equity.” Equity
the feature categories, the CS for each pavement section was
is defined in this study as the fair distribution of M&R funds accord-
grouped as follows: bad (CS ≤ 70), fair (70 < CS ≤ 80), and good
ing to pavement sections in need of interventions. This concept for
(80 < CS ≤ 100). Similarly, the CSD were also categorized as slow
measuring the fairness of the distribution of limited resources is of-
(–5 ≤ CSD), medium (–15 ≤ CSD < –5), and fast (CS < –15). This
ten used in the performance evaluation of resource allocation in
is consistent with the groupings for the second test set of the original
other areas (Mishra et al. 2015). For many mathematical models
study, which yielded higher prediction accuracies for the test data.
developed for M&R programming in the extant literature, research-
ers neglect equity considerations or fail to specifically account for
Case Study them during problem formulation. In a network-level study by
Boyles (2015), it was suggested that more funding tends to go to
urban areas than rural areas, which is “arguably unfair and politi-
Preamble cally infeasible.” Because equity theory was not the focus of the pa-
The models were implemented on a network size of 50 flexible per, the authors did not specifically account for equity in the con-
pavement sections, representative of a subset network in Texas. The straints of the integer-linear program (to reflect the status quo of
pavement attributes were retrieved from PMIS; Table 4 presents a most models in the literature). Given the importance of the impact
summary statistical description of the salient attributes of the net- of M&R strategies on the resulting condition of the network, the
work. Considering a typical PMP, a 4-year planning horizon was metrics used to assess equity focused on “equity in outcome” of the
chosen for the case study implementation. All the selected pave- CS. This was done by examining how an allocation method wid-
ment sections were 0.81-km (0.5-mi) in length with two lanes. The ened or reduced the gap in CS for the different pavement sections in
budget for the 4-year plan was $2 million (assumed to be in constant the network. Hence, assigning funds to pavement sections that had
dollars). For other cost parameter values retrieved from earlier stud-
ies, a discount rate of 4% was used to adjust previous values to pres- Table 4. Summary Statistics of the Model Pavement Network (50
ent worth (Lamptey et al. 2008). For the integer-linear model, the Sections)
model was formulated and solved within the general algebraic mod- Standard
eling system (GAMS) software environment. Although GAMS has Attribute Mean Median Minimum Maximum deviation
a number of solvers for mixed integer programming (MIP), the
AADTTa 118.86 102.00 14.00 350.00 91.55
solver “branch and cut” (CBC) originally developed by computa-
AADT 2,253.50 1,168.50 167.00 6,807.00 2,161.88
tional infrastructure for operations research (COIN-OR) was used.
Ride score 3.04 3.00 2.00 4.00 0.49
The CBC algorithm for solving MIP models is an extension of the
Current CS 76.40 76.50 51.00 98.00 12.79
“branch-and-bound” method with cutting planes to constrain the
Previous 78.84 82.00 45.00 99.00 14.42
relaxations of LP (Mitchell 2002). The other approaches (CBA and
CS
DTN) were implemented in a traditional worksheet (Microsoft
a
Excel) environment with formulas and Visual Basic for Applications Annual average daily truck traffic.
CS Root
Node
Fair Good
Bad Internal
CSD CSD
Node
Leaf
Yes Yes Yes No Vigilance No No Node
Fig. 4. Decision tree for shortlisting pavement sections (adapted from Chi et al. 2013)
ment sections.
Effectiveness
Over the planning horizon (4 years), the average network CS Strategic Goal (Percentage Good or Better)
dropped continually for all the methods compared. This could be Different agencies have varying strategic goals based on different
indicative of an allocated budget ($2 million) that is insufficient decision-making levels (state, district, and local/area). However, for
to maintain the infrastructure network at its current functional this performance measure, a variation of TxDOT’s statewide goal
and structural condition. The ILP approach emerges as the most was used. DTN starts out in the first year with the most (76%) pave-
“effective” budget allocation approach because it leads to the ment sections in a good or better condition but consistently declines
slowest annual decline in average network CS (Fig. 5). With an to 68% (fourth year) over the remaining time periods (Fig. 7). On
average decline in network CS of 0.3% per year, the ILP method the other hand, CBA shows an up and down movement trend that
significantly outperformed the CBA and DTN methods, which declines over time, ranging from 68% (lowest in year four) to 72%
had average declines of 1.17 and 1% per annum. The difference (highest in year one). The ILP model follows a similar trend with
between the ILP method and other methods becomes increasingly generally higher percentages of pavement sections in a good or bet-
conspicuous with an average network CS of 75.42 in the fourth ter condition. In the third and fourth years, ILP also emerges as the
year compared with 72.94 and 73.42 for CBA and DTN, respec- most consistent approach with the highest number (72%) of good
tively. Hence, from a residual value perspective, ILP also leaves pavement sections in the network. Accordingly, the authors argue
the network with the highest asset value. This happens because, that the ILP approach is the best and most consistent method of
for the latter models, pavement in “very good” and “good” condi- achieving the strategic statewide goal of TxDOT.
tions seldom receives M&R treatments or projects. This often
leads to faster declines in the CS of such pavement sections Key Inferences
because deterioration occurs over longer periods of time leading
to a geometric compound impact. The CBA method is used by highway agencies because it measures
and contrasts the performance benefits versus treatment costs on a
pavement section, providing a neutral metric for performance eval-
Equity
uation of M&R treatments. At the network level, accounting for
Given the lack of standardized measures in the assessment of equity AADT in the prioritization of M&R projects also helps partially
in M&R budget allocation outcomes, this study chose the conven- account for the relevance of a particular pavement section to the
tional statistical metrics, range, and standard deviation of the CS. highway network. In this study, it was found that in spite of these
For both metrics, CBA and DTN performed better than ILP. There considerations, the CBA method used was not the most effective. A
77
Average Network Condition Score
76
75
74
73
72
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Plan Year
10
40
8
30
6
20
4
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by UNIV OF CONNECTICUT LIBRARIES on 01/16/18. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.
10 2
0 0
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Plan Year
80%
Percent of Pavements in "Good" or Better Condition
75%
70%
65%
60%
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Plan Year
key demerit of this method is that it does not account for good or In this study, it was found that of the three methods imple-
better pavement sections that may be rapidly deteriorating. As Labi mented, ILP is the most effective. This is consistent with previous
and Sinha (2005) pointed out, even for pavement in good condition, studies that did comparative analyses of other mathematical optimi-
a PM project can retard the onset of significant deterioration of the zation methods and other judgment-based methods like the WF
section, potentially obviating the need for a more expensive future approach (Visintine et al. 2016). It also outperformed the other
M&R project. Another observation during implementation was that approaches in leading to a network in the best condition at the end
because this particular CBA approach recommends treatment of the planning horizon as well as in better achieving the strategic
options with the least CAL ratio, selected projects were more likely goal of the agency. At the same time, in equity considerations, it
to lead to the minimally acceptable impact. Beyond the second performed the worst. Certainly, the ILP model can be formulated to
year, most of the suggested projects were PM or LR, which is not re- account for better equity in outcome. However, as indicated earlier,
flective of practical decision-making choices. On the other hand, most models in the literature do not specifically account for equity
the CBA method has strong inherent equity considerations, which in outcome concerns. Hence, this study also demonstrates this gap
leads to better equity in outcome results. This is reflected by the in problem formulation. This notwithstanding, it is important to
decreasing standard deviation in network CS over time. note that it would also be unrealistic to make the minimization of
The DTN method is a hybrid approach that fuses the project- make recommendations for model modifications and adaptation
screening function of decision trees (based on data mining) and a based on specific agency goals, M&R practices, and other relevant
needs-based (WF) allocation approach. The results of its implemen- factors. This could drive the proposal of more hybrid approaches
tation suggest that its performance is similar to that of the CBA that could leverage the advantages of different methods for M&R
approach. DTN has similar, strong equity considerations because it budget allocation.
prioritizes pavement sections in “fair” or worse condition to be eli-
gible to receive M&R projects. Furthermore, it also accounts for
pavement sections that are in “good” condition but deteriorating at a References
“fast” rate. This possibly explains the marginal advantage that DTN
has over CBA in having higher average network CS over the plan- Abaza, K. (2006). “Iterative linear approach for nonlinear nonhomogenous
ning period. Although the decision tree used for this study is based stochastic pavement management models.” J. Transp. Eng., 10.1061
/(ASCE)0733-947X(2006)132:3(244), 244–256.
on a previous study on Texas pavements, other SHAs can perform a
Ahmed, S., Vedagiri, P., and Krishna Rao, K. V. (2017). “Prioritization of
similar analysis for their state networks and benefit from the balance pavement maintenance sections using objective based analytic hierarchy
in equity and effectiveness that DTN offers. The most important process.” Int. J. Pavement Res. Technol., 10(2), 158–170.
merit of using decision trees in practice is that they are white-box Al-Amin, M. (2013). “Impact of budget uncertainty on network-level pave-
analysis techniques that provide a consistent approach to making ment condition: A robust optimization approach.” M.S. thesis, Univ. of
experience-based decisions (Chi et al. 2013). Accordingly, it would Texas at Austin, Austin, TX.
be easier for practitioners to adopt this method in conjunction with Arif, F., Bayraktar, M., and Chowdhury, A. (2016). “Decision support
the WF approach, which is a method pavement engineers are al- framework for infrastructure maintenance investment decision making.”
ready familiar with. J. Manage. Eng., 10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000372, 04015030.
Ashuri, B., and Mostaan, K. (2015). “State of private financing in develop-
ment of highway projects in the United States.” J. Manage. Eng., 10
Conclusion .1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000362, 04015002.
Augeri, M., Colombrita, R., Greco, S., Lo Certo, A., Matarazzo, B., and
Findings from this study support the widely held claim that Slowinski, R. (2011). “Dominance-based rough set approach to budget
allocation in highway maintenance activities.” J. Infrastruct. Syst., 10
optimization models are generally more effective than other
.1061/(ASCE)IS.1943-555X.0000051, 75–85.
approaches (Cheng et al. 2010). First, this paper has presented a Blum, C., and Roli, A. (2003). “Metaheuristics in combinatorial optimiza-
consolidated review of the major approaches to budget allocation tion: Overview and conceptual comparison.” ACM Comput. Surv, 35(3),
in the extant literature. Second, this work conducted a compara- 268–308.
tive analysis of select methods within each major approach on a Boyles, S., Zhang, Z., and Waller, S. (2010). “Optimal maintenance and
numerical example illustrative of a subset network in Texas. The repair policies under nonlinear preferences.” J. Infrastruct. Syst., 10
models were assessed based on three performance measures (eq- .1061/(ASCE)1076-0342(2010)16:1(11), 11–20.
uity, effectiveness, and strategic goal achievement) of a smaller Boyles, S. D. (2015). “Equity and network-level maintenance scheduling.”
scope PMP typically developed by a highway agency. The EURO J. Transp. Logist., 1(4), 175–193.
method achieving the highest average network CS was the ILP Bryce, J. M., Flintsch, G., and Hall, R. P. (2014). “A multi criteria decision
budget allocation, although at the expense of a deficiency in eq- analysis technique for including environmental impacts in sustainable
infrastructure management business practices.” Transp. Res., 32(Oct),
uity considerations over the planning horizon. On the other hand,
435–445.
CBA and DTN both performed better in equity measures, with Caldas, C. H., Zhang, Z., Kockelman, K. M., Persad, K. R., and Al, R.
DTN slightly outperforming CBA in effectiveness. (2011). “Development of best practices for right-of-way valuation and
The primary contribution of this paper is that it demonstrates the negotiations in transportation projects.” J. Transp. Res. Forum, 50(3),
effectiveness, equity considerations, and strategic goal performance 23–41.
of select methods of ranking-based, mathematical optimization, and Cambridge Systematics. (2009). An asset-management framework for the inter-
data mining approaches to budget allocation. The extant literature state highway system, Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC.
contains several methods that are not assessed based on established, Castells, A., and Sole-Olle, A. (2005). “The regional allocation of infra-
comprehensive, and well-defined criteria for model performance. structure investment: The role of equity, efficiency and political fac-
Previous comparative studies have often focused on just evaluating tors.” Eur. Econ. Rev., 49(5), 1165–1205.
Chen, L. X., et al. (2015). “Visualization of large data sets for project
the effectiveness (functional or structural performance of pavement
planning and prioritization on transportation corridors.” Proc.,
network) of methods without accounting for the equity considera- Systems and Information Engineering Design Symp. (SIEDS), 2015,
tions and the degree to which different methods achieve typical IEEE, Piscataway, NJ, 1–6.
agency goals. By performing a well-defined comparative analysis Cheng, D., Tan, S., and Hicks, R. (2010). “Improving pavement manage-
and simple but useful evaluation of different methods, the findings ment system by adding pavement preservation component.” Proc.,
from this study provide useful information for pavement engineers GeoShanghai International Conf. 2010, Shanghai, China, ASCE,
who are considering a transition to a more formal analytical Reston, VA.
“Framework for multiobjective optimization of physical highway assets Decis. Making, 7(2–3), 254–266.