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An Automated Test For Telepathy in Connection With Emails
An Automated Test For Telepathy in Connection With Emails
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RES8.4 IICII
Introduction
IMostpeoltlc claitn to ltavc cxpericnccdtclcpathy.cspurciallyirr c(ulncctiorrrvith
tclcpltttrtcculls {Brown & Shckh'rkc.ICX)l: Slrcklrirkc.2fX)0.2003).Typically.
;xoplc sav thal tlteY havc lhought ol'st>lnconr'lil' no appilrcntrcils()n.and tlrcn
tltal 1rcrsonclllctl. crr lltcy knew rvlru u.'ascalling rvlrcn thc phonc rung l,,,*l'trrc
itnswcringil or looking at a callr-rr idcntilicationdisplav.
Tclc'pltottctclcpathy lrirs [rccn invusligatctlcxpcrinlcnlall]' by nrcansol' ran-
tlonrizctltrials itt wlticlt sutrjcctsrcccivcda call frorn onc ol' lirur potentialcallcrrs
(.$hcldrakc& Stttart.l(X)-l:r.h:.Sltcldrakc et al..2O0{). Thcsc lirur pcoplc wcrc
n(ullittate(lin utlvitttcclrV lhc participall(stltctttsclyes. and wctt gsutlly peplrle
tltcy krtcrvrvcll. In a givcn trial. thc callcr wits Picketlat lantlollrtry lhe r.'x1xri-
tltcnlcr.Whc'trlhc tclcph()ncrilng. the participitnt$ucsscdrvlrorvascalling tretirrc
thc trthcr pcrs()nsPolig.Thc grtcssu,aseilhcl righl or wroflg. B,r clrance.partici-
Jran(stvoultl havc hccn right abiltrtonc lirrtr-'in lirrrr.ln it l()titl ol 17 | I'itlcotaFd
t r i i r l s . - 1 5 'o, il ' t l t c g u c s s c s w e r c h i t s ( c l ' l i ' c t s i z c t ) .l -t t<5l : x l 0 * : S h c l d r a k e&
:e
Nlethods
Pntcedure
Particilrantslegislcrcdonlinc lhrrruglrRupc'rlShc'ltlrakc's(RS's) Web silc.
rvu'rv.sl'tclth'akc,org. ctrlcrL'(ltheir lirst tnd sccond nattres.!ir:\. ilgr'
Thc sutr.iccts
ond P rogranuni ng
S.t'.rt{,rrr
Tltr: systcnl was tlcvclopctl antl operatedbv N'lotrili Lttl. ir Short N{cssagc
Scrvicc(SMS) solutionsand applicationlrrovitlcr.Mohili had an crnail gatcwa]'
(()scntlatttlrcccivcclttitil tllLrssilgcs.
tltitl cnahlccl(:tls(()tllel's
scex-2$01-23.ird, 31 antffi PM
1:10:u4
1: R. Sltcklrake& L. Avraanritlcs
Partieiprnnts
Parlicipatttswcrc rccruitctlin trvo \uavs.First. tlrroughRS's \LIcbsilc. rvhc^rc
ilny()nccould vtlluntccrto titkr-'part, Sccond.lry scvcrirlRcst-'irfclt
Hcl;rrs, volun*
lccrs rvho rvcrctlking pilrt undcrthe aegisol'thc Pcrrott-WarrickPrrrject.ol-rvhiclr
R..S.is Dircctor'.Tltcsc\!'crr'pc()Pleu,ho rvishctlkr gain s()nlcrssc'archcxpcricncc.
Each ol' lherttwas itskctllo drl lhe tcst lhcnrsc'lvcsanil thcn recruit othcr sub.jccls
lionr uttong lhcir li'ientlsund lirmily nrcrnhcrs.Thcy thenrsclvcsusuallyservctlas
u contactin thc testswith the palticipantsthev rccruitr-rd and usuallvregistercdtlre
sulriects.
Sulticctswerc hctwcen l2 antl 66 yclrs old. with thc nra.iorityrged hetwcen
30 and l!).
.9tatistics
Tltc rcsultstucfr]attah,scdttsingtltc hinorttiitltcsf: llu chancc;rrohability ol'tt
Itit rvas.3.1.Sinplc-sidctlPvulucsrvcrcusctl.Thc null hvpotltcsisrlas tlrirttlrc hit
ratc in tlte testsu'uuld n()l he signilicantlydil'l'crcntl'rorntlte chartcclevcl. For
cotttparisonsof clil'll'rcntsctsol'tlata. c.g.. li'onr rnalc'and lL'rurlcsub.iccts. lhc
I x 2 chi-xlttlrc lcsl was trscd.Cohcn's cl't'cctsiz.cr/ was calculatcclaccorilirrg
trr l h e l ttrn tu l i ttl : (p (l ri l so bscrvutl-) 0.-l ,l )/ sq[t(0.]" ix O.6(r).w ' hcrcP (hi ts
olr:er'\'cdlis llte Prrrlrru'liort tll'hils.
Resrdts
OverallRcsrrltr
I n a lolal ol'4l9 lrials.thcrcwcrc 175hits (-ll .Sti l. signiticunllvnrorctlrantht:
3J.J{,icxpcctctllry chancctp : .(XX)l).
Not all the sub.iectscrtntplcte'dthc prcslrccilietlnurtthcr ol' trials in l tcst.
In some'casLrs rtncol'thcir contactstlid not rcsl'xurd. in ()thcnithcy had lo sloJrthe
tcst lrccausethey riln out of tirnc. in sonrcthere were lcclrnieallirultswith thc
systenl thal tcrnrinatedthc test l(x) s(x)n. and in so111g thcy nral' sinrply lravc
deciclc'dtr) stop. This raiscs tltu Ptrssibilityof rn "optional stopping" artclacl.
rvhcrct'rvgreoplcrvith lorv lril ratcsstogrlntl onlv thoscrvith high hit ratcsr()nlpL'te
thc lcsl. H(')wevcr. tlrcrcwcre 37 urntpletete'sl.s u'ilh a lolll ol'276 trials.in u'hir.'h
tlrclc rvclc 106 trits{ltt.,{fi'.p :.{)l}. Ol'thesc tcsts. l7 had hit ratcsabovc llrr-r
chancclcvcl. lo rvereat tlrcchancelevcl.and I I u'crc txlorv it. In thc irtcturplctc
tc s ts .th c l c w c rc l 4 J tri a l sr vi th 69 hi ts t4X ." l l l :1t .= .Ofi )l ). Tl rr' hi t ratc i n thc
inconrplclclcsls rvirsirr l'nctsigniliclntly ltiglrcr (l) : .O5)tltun in tlrc conrplctc
tc s ts .
In thc cornqrlctc tcsls.lhc hit ratc in the lirst 3 tlials rvus-lfl oul o[ | I I l-1.].1'lI
contptredrvith 5tt out ()l'165(35.2{,{} in thc subscqucnt trials.This difiL'lrnccwits
nrrtsignilicitntal lltc p .= .()5lcvcl.
TABLE I
Hit Ratesin Trialswith DifferentDela;-shetrueen
ContactSendingr lr4essage
and
theSubjc'clResponding
Dlscussion
( )trr hypothesisrvitstlrul lrit ralcsin an Aul()rniltc(l test rvould
cnrail tclePatlty'
tx lbor;e chancc lcvcls. but thc r-'ll'cct sizc rvoultl be snraller than in prcvious
tclcplroncanrlcrnail tclepntllycxpcrimcnts.in rvhiclrllrc ctlntactsrvcrelirussing
on thc suh.jcctrvhcn slrc rnadehcr guess.antl in rvhich rvc clrosc suhjectsu'ho
wcrc unusullly' scnsitivc.Wc cxpectcda lorvcr cll'ect sizc bccausr'thc suhjects
in this autornatcdcrnail cxpcrirncnlrvcrc not sclcctcdon lhc basisof apparcnt
lclcpathicability. and llso lrrcau.,,* thc stthjcclsguc'sscdrvholurd scn(thcrna nres-
sagconl,valicr thc nrcssagchud r',Lcnscnt.Ttrc o\rer'illlhit ratettf J I .lJ{,4rvasittrove
thr'clrancclLrvclof 33.1{./r {;r: .fiX)l). but the clft'ct sizc (d: O.2)rvasintlc.ed
srrtitllcrthan in lclcphrrnctclepatlrytcsts(r/ : 0.5: Shc'ldrake & Srtttrt. 2tx)ih)
(d: {} .5:S l rcl drakc
a n d s i n ru l ta n c o ucsn ra i ltc l c p i l th)' tests We
& S nral t.2(n} 5).
havc also carricclottl a sitrtilar itulotnaletlcxJrcrintenlinvolving SMS tlcssaftcs
TABLE 2
Hit Rnteswith Sutrjects
of Ditl'erentAges
References
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