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Who will benefit more from low-dose ! 2019 World Stroke Organization
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alteplase in acute ischemic stroke? sagepub.com/journals-permissions
DOI: 10.1177/1747493019858775
journals.sagepub.com/home/wso

Xia Wang1 , Keon-Joo Lee2, Tom J Moullaali1,3 ,


Beom Joon Kim2, Qiang Li1, Hee-Joon Bae2, Cheryl Carcel1 ,
Candice Delcourt1,4,5, Hisatomi Arima6, Shoichiro Sato7,
Thompson G Robinson8, Lili Song9, Guofang Chen10, Jie Yang11,
John Chalmers1 , Craig S Anderson1,5,9, Richard Lindley1,12 and
Mark Woodward1,13; for the ENCHANTED Investigators

Abstract
Objectives: Controversy persists over the benefits of low-dose versus standard-dose intravenous alteplase for the
treatment of acute ischemic stroke. We sought to determine individual patient factors that contribute to the risk–benefit
balance of low-dose alteplase treatment.
Methods: Observational study using data from the Enhanced Control of Hypertension and Thrombolysis Stroke Study
(ENCHANTED), an international, randomized, open-label, blinded-endpoint trial that assessed low-dose (0.6 mg/kg)
versus standard-dose (0.9 mg/kg) intravenous alteplase in acute ischemic stroke patients. Logistic regression models were
used to estimate the benefit of good functional outcome (scores 0 or 1 on the modified Rankin scale at 90 days) and risk
(symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage), under both regimens for individual patients. The net advantage for low-dose,
relative to standard-dose, alteplase was calculated by dividing excess benefit by excess risk according to a combination of
patient characteristics. The algorithms were externally validated in a nationwide acute stroke registry database in
South Korea.
Results: Patients with an estimated net advantage from low-dose alteplase, compared with without, were younger
(mean age of 66 vs. 75 years), had lower systolic blood pressure (148 vs. 160 mm Hg), lower National Institute of Health
Stroke Scale score (median of 8 vs. 16), and no atrial fibrillation (10.3% vs. 97.4%), diabetes mellitus (19.2% vs. 22.4%), or
premorbid symptoms (defined by modified Rankin scale ¼ 1) (16.3% vs. 37.8%).
Conclusion: Use of low-dose alteplase may be preferable in acute ischemic stroke patients with a combination of
favorable characteristics, including younger age, lower systolic blood pressure, mild neurological impairment, and no
atrial fibrillation, diabetes mellitus, or premorbid symptoms.

Keywords
Acute stroke therapy, clinical trial, ischemic stroke, rtPA, thrombolysis, tPA

Received: 19 July 2018; accepted: 7 May 2019

8
Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, NIHR Leicester Biomedical
Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
9
1
The George Institute for Global Health, Faculty of Medicine, University The George Institute China, Peking University Health Science Center,
of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia Beijing, China
10
2
The Department of Neurology and Cerebrovascular Center, Seoul Department of Neurology, Xuzhou Central Hospital Affiliated to
National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam-si, Gyeonggi-do, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Xuzhou, China
11
Republic of Korea Department of Neurology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu
3
Centre for Clinical Brain Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Medical College, Chengdu, China
12
UK Westmead Hospital, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
13
4
Central Clinical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia The George Institute for Global Health, University of Oxford, Oxford,
5
Department of Neurology, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Sydney, UK
Australia Corresponding author:
6
Department of Public Health, Fukuoka University, Fukuoka, Japan Craig S Anderson, The George Institute for Global Health, PO Box
7
Department of Cerebrovascular Medicine, National Cerebral and M201, Missenden Road, Newtown, NSW 2050, Australia.
Cardiovascular Centre, Osaka, Japan Email: canderson@georgeinstitute.org.au

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Introduction from hospital where this was earlier). Digital images of


Alteplase is the only established thrombolytic treatment all baseline and follow-up computed tomography, mag-
for acute ischemic stroke (AIS), with most guidelines netic resonance imaging, and angiogram images were
recommending an intravenous dose of 0.9 mg/kg for uploaded for central review by independent assessors
eligible AIS patients.1,2 However, there are data to sug- blind to clinical data, treatment, and date and sequence
gest that Asians are at increased risk for symptomatic of scan using MIStar version 32 (Apollo Medical
intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH); this led to a lower Imaging Technology, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia).
dose of 0.6 mg/kg of alteplase being approved in Assessors graded any hemorrhage as intracerebral, sub-
Japan,3,4 which has been variably adopted by clinicians arachnoid, intraventricular, subdural, or other; sICH
elsewhere in Asia and beyond. was graded across all standard definitions.7
In the Enhanced Control of Hypertension and
Thrombolysis Stroke Study (ENCHANTED),5–7 low-
Validation cohort
dose alteplase was not found to be statistically nonin-
ferior to a standard-dose alteplase on the conventional Study subjects were selected from a prospective, multi-
binary outcome of death or any disability, defined center, nationwide acute stroke registry database in
by scores 2 to 6 on the modified Rankin scale South Korea, which was established in April 2008
(mRS) at 90 days after the onset of symptoms.7 and described in detail elsewhere.11,12 The collabora-
However, low-dose alteplase was found to be noninfer- tive registry study group consisted of 15 academic and
ior for overall functional recovery, through ordinal regional stroke centers as of July 2014. Participating
analysis of the mRS, and to clearly reduce the risk centers enrolled consecutive acute stroke cases
of sICH, the most worrisome complication of this admitted within seven days from onset into a web-
treatment.5–7 based database system. Study data were regularly
A combination of patient characteristics may influ- audited by the central adjudication committee using
ence the risk–benefit balance of low-dose relative to prespecified query sequences. Acute stroke manage-
standard-dose alteplase in AIS patients.8–10 The aim ment, including use of recanalization therapy, was
of this study was to develop clinical prediction models performed according to current clinical guidelines
that incorporate plausible risk and benefit estimates and institutional protocols, at the discretion of indi-
in order to determine individual patient factors that vidual physicians who managed the patients.13
contribute to the risk–benefit balance of low-dose com- Information on patient characteristics and treatments
pared with standard-dose alteplase treatment. were obtained from the registry database.

Methods Outcomes
A beneficial outcome was defined as excellent func-
Development cohort tional recovery according to scores 0 or 1 on the mRS
The ENCHANTED trial was an international, multi- at 90 days: this was the primary efficacy outcome in the
center, quasi-factorial, prospective, randomized, open- alteplase-dose arm of the ENCHANTED trial. A risk
label, blinded-endpoint trial; the details of which are outcome was defined as sICH according to the Safe
outlined elsewhere.5–7 In the alteplase-dose arm of the Implementation of Thrombolysis in Stroke-
trial, 3310 patients with a clinical diagnosis of AIS Monitoring Study (SITS-MOST).
confirmed on brain imaging and fulfilling standard cri-
teria for thrombolysis treatment, including symptom
onset within 4.5 h, were randomly assigned to receive
Statistical analysis
low- (0.6 mg/kg; 15% as bolus, 85% as infusion over Two logistic regression models were developed: one for
1 h) or standard-dose (0.9 mg/kg; 10% as bolus, 90% the prediction of benefit and the other for the predic-
as infusion over 1 h) alteplase. The study protocol tion of risk. Significant predictors (P < 0.1) from the
was approved by the appropriate ethics committee univariate analyses and randomized dose arm were
at each participating center, and written informed tested for their associations with outcomes in multivari-
consent was obtained from each patient or an appro- able models. The full models were reduced by succes-
priate surrogate. sively removing the nonsignificant covariates until all
Key demographic and clinical characteristics were the remaining predictors remained statistically signifi-
recorded at the time of enrolment of patients, with cant (P < 0.05). Randomized treatment group was
the severity of neurological impairment measured forced into the models. Collinearity and interaction
using the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale between variables were checked. Significant two-way
(NIHSS) at baseline, 24 h, and at day 7 (or on discharge and three-way interactions (P < 0.05) between variables

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Wang et al. 3

were included in models. The models were validated in remained significant. Randomized treatment group
the South Korean acute stroke registry database. was forced into the model to estimate the predicted
Performance of the final prediction models was assessed probabilities according to alteplase dose. A significant
using an area under the receiver-operating-characteristic interaction between age and AF was identified and
curve, with c-statistic for discriminative ability and included in the model (Table 1). No collinearity was
the Hosmer–Lemeshow goodness-of-fit statistic for found. The final model shows good discriminative abil-
calibration.14 ity (c-statistic 075, SFigure II) and excellent calibration
The models were constructed to estimate the prob- (Hosmer–Lemeshow P ¼ 0.54, SFigure III).
abilities of benefit and risk for any patient according to To produce estimates for the same population, only
low- and standard-dose alteplase. The treatment vari- patients included in the benefit analysis were included
able was fixed in turn to low-dose and standard-dose in the risk analysis: 51 (16%) had sICH, including 1%
alteplase, with the probabilities of benefit and risk for and 22% in the low-dose and standard-dose alteplase
subject i represented as BLi and BSi , and RLi and RSi , groups, respectively. Patients with sICH were signifi-
respectively, for the two doses. The net advantage
 of
 cantly more likely to be older, with a severe neuro-
low-dose alteplase is defined as BLi  BSi = RLi  RSi . logical deficit, and with history of comorbidities
A net advantage > 1 therefore indicates the superior- (including hypertension, previous stroke, coronary
ity of low-dose alteplase. However, this methodology artery disease, DM, and AF) and prior use of aspirin
assumes that benefit and risk have equal weight, at baseline (STable 2). The final model includes systolic
which may not be acceptable to some clinicians. BP, AF, and randomized dose arm (Table 2) and dem-
Thus, a weighted
 net advantage
 was assigned as onstrates good discrimination (c-statistic 0.71, SFigure
w BLi  BSi =ð1  wÞ RLi  RSi , where w is the relative II) and excellent calibration (Hosmer–Lemeshow
weight (between 0 and 1) given to benefit. For example, P ¼ 0.44, SFigure III). No collinearity or interactions
if the risk of harm from sICH is considered to be more were found.
important, and the clinician should wish to disregard
potential functional benefits from treatment, w should
be set close to 0. Conversely, if the risk of harm from
Model validation and performance
sICH is considered to be less important, and wishes to There were 1526 (29.5% were treated by low-dose alte-
focus on positive functional outcome, then w should be plase) patients included in the analysis from the acute
set close to 1. The equations to estimate the probabil- stroke registry data set. The benefit model demon-
ities were shown in SFigure I. Two-sided P values were strated both good discrimination (C-statistic: 0.76)
reported and P < 0.05 was considered statistically sig- and calibration (Hosmer–Lemeshow P ¼ 0.30). The
nificant. SAS version 9.3 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC) was risk model demonstrated moderate discrimination
used in all analyses.5 (0.62) and good calibration (P ¼ 0.83) (SFigure IV).
Predicted and observed probabilities of the outcomes
in the validation data set corresponded well to over
Results one-tenth of predicted probability (Figure 1).
Model development and performance
Net advantage from low-dose alteplase according
All patients with complete information (n ¼ 3197) were
included in the benefit analysis: 1530 patients (478%)
to patient characteristics
had an excellent outcome; 48.9% and 46.8% had an AIS patients had a net advantage from low-dose alte-
excellent outcome in the low-dose and standard-dose plase when they were younger, had lower systolic BP,
alteplase groups, respectively. The characteristics of mild neurological deficit, and no AF, DM, or premor-
included patients by mRS scores 0–1 versus 2–6 are bid symptoms (mRS ¼ 1) (Table 3). In the validation
shown in STable 1. Patients with an excellent functional cohort, those with a net advantage had the same com-
outcome were significantly more likely to be young, bination of characteristics to the development cohort
male, of Asian ethnicity, with a mild neurological def- (Table 3). When benefit and risk were assigned different
icit, with fewer comorbidities (including previous weights, results followed a similar pattern (STable 3).
stroke, coronary artery disease, diabetes mellitus
(DM), and atrial fibrillation), and lower prior use of
warfarin, aspirin, and statin therapy, at baseline.
Discussion
After successively removing nonsignificant covariates The present analysis from ENCHANTED, the only
from the multivariable model, only age, systolic BP, large-scale randomized evaluation of different doses
baseline NIHSS score, premorbid level of function of intravenous alteplase for the treatment of AIS, dem-
(estimated mRS score), and history of AF and DM onstrates that patient-specific characteristics may

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Table 1. Final predictive model for benefita at 90 days

Estimate SE P

Age (years) 0.0117 0.00355 0.001

Systolic BP (mm Hg) 0.00598 0.00204 0.003

NIHSS score

0–4 Ref

5–10 0.9667 0.1102 <0.0001

11–15 1.9048 0.1299 <0.0001

16 2.4569 0.1431 <0.0001

Atrial fibrillation 1.3955 0.6471 0.031

Diabetes mellitus 0.2604 0.0996 0.009

No significant disability (mRS ¼ 1) 0.7921 0.1089 <0.0001

Randomized to low-dose 0.1443 0.0788 0.067


alteplase treatment

Age  atrial fibrillation 0.0238 0.00905 0.009


BP: blood pressure; NIHSS: National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale; mRS: modified Rankin scale; SE: standard error.
a
Defined according to scores 0–1 on the mRS at 90 days.

Table 2. Final predictive model for the risk of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhagea

Estimate SE P

Systolic BP (mm Hg) 0.0206 0.00783 0.009

Atrial fibrillation 1.3316 0.2873 <0.0001

Randomized to low-dose 0.8018 0.3054 0.009


alteplase treatment
BP: blood pressure; SE: standard error.
a
Defined according to the Safe Implementation of Thrombolysis in Stroke-Monitoring Study (SITS-MOST).

determine the anticipated individual effects of low-dose reduced the risk of sICH significantly by 52% accord-
alteplase in terms of benefits of an excellent outcome ing to the SITS-MOST definition. However, this infor-
(mRS ¼ 0–1 at 90 days) and increased risk of sICH. mation pertains to group level, and it is not informative
The model demonstrated good discriminative ability over the choice of dose of alteplase at an individual
and was well calibrated when externally validated in patient level. Furthermore, important secondary ana-
the nationwide acute stroke registry data set from lyses failed to identify any patient subgroup that can
South Korea. Low-dose alteplase appears optimal in clearly benefit from low-dose alteplase. Our approach,
younger patients who have lower systolic BP, mild therefore, was to develop a risk score that incorporated
neurological deficit, and an absence of major cardiovas- multiple patient-specific variables, in order to deter-
cular comorbidities or premorbid symptoms. mine the balance of benefit and risk for an individual
A risk–benefit algorithm was generated from the patient according to a combination of characteristics.
ENCHANTED trial, where the percentage of excel- Our analyses confirm that age, systolic BP, neuro-
lent outcome (mRS ¼ 0–1) was 489% and 46.8% in logical severity, comorbid AF and DM, and premorbid
the randomized low-dose and standard-dose alteplase symptoms are important factors that influence outcome
groups, respectively, but where low-dose alteplase in thrombolysis-treated AIS patients;15–17 these factors

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Wang et al. 5

Figure 1. Predicted versus observed probabilities of outcomes in the validation model. (a) Excellent outcome (mRS 0–1). (b)
SICH according to SITS-MOST. SITS-MOST: Safe Implementation of Thrombolysis in Stroke-Monitoring Study; sICH: symptomatic
intracerebral hemorrhage; mRS: modified Rankin scale.

Table 3. Patient characteristics by net advantage from low-dose alteplase

Development cohort Validation cohort

Net advantage from No Yes No Yes


low-dose alteplase (n ¼ 339, 11%) (n ¼ 2858, 89%) (n ¼ 363, 24%) (n ¼ 1162, 76%)

Age, years 75 (10.4) 66 (12.7) 74 (10.3) 66 (12.5)

Systolic BP, mm Hg 160 (14.8) 148 (19.9) 164 (26.3) 143 (26.1)

NIHSS 16 (10–20) 8 (5–13) 16 (12–20) 9 (5–14)

Prestroke mRS ¼ 0 211 (62.2%) 2393 (83.7%) 236 (65.0%) 1044 (89.9%)

Atrial fibrillation 330 (97.4%) 294 (10.3%) 322 (88.7%) 302 (26.0%)

Diabetes mellitus 76 (22.4%) 549 (19.2%) 104 (28.7%) 267 (22.9%)


BP: blood pressure; mRS: modified Rankin scale; NIHSS: National Institute of Health Stroke Scale.

also form components of established risk scores.18,19 of sICH when they are treated with low-dose alteplase.
More specifically, we have shown a net advantage However, they may also be less likely to have greater
from low-dose alteplase for younger patients with ischemic deficit from large vessel occlusions that are
a normal level of systolic BP (i.e., < 140 mm Hg), mild more resistant to low- compared with standard-dose
neurological deficit (i.e., score < 10 on NIHSS), and no alteplase, thus avoiding the potential reduced lytic effi-
AF, DM, or premorbid symptoms; factors which are cacy associated with under treatment.
known to predict good functional outcome and lower Following on, there are plausible reasons that
risk of sICH after AIS.17,20,21 It is possible that mild low-dose alteplase was less effective in severe AIS
AIS patients with a favorable risk profile and inherently patients with an unfavorable risk profile, in this case
favorable prognosis simply benefit from a reduced risk those who were older, had higher systolic BP, severe

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neurological impairment, comorbid AF and DM, and with those applied to registries. It is also worth noting
premorbid symptoms. This may again reflect stroke that the majority of participants in ENCHANTED
aetiology; those with higher risk profiles are more were Asian, and the model was validated in a Korean
likely to have large vessel occlusion and/or greater cohort, thus its applicability to other groups is
thrombus length where low-dose alteplase is poten- unknown.
tially less effective in achieving recanalization.8,22 In conclusion, the beneficial effects of low-dose alte-
They may therefore be subject to excess harm from plase in the individual patient, in terms of improving
the sequelae of failed recanalization such as infarct the probability of excellent outcome (mRS ¼ 0–1) and
extension, cerebral edema, and need for decompressive reducing the risk of sICH can be quantified using a
hemicraniectomy, despite lower rates of sICH. We did multivariable risk algorithm. Low-dose alteplase
not have access to neuroimaging data on these fac- appears optimal in patients with mild AIS and a favor-
tors in the present analyses, and future analysis of able risk profile. Future studies should aim to deter-
the brain images acquired from participants in mine the effects of low-dose versus standard-dose
ENCHANTED (5000 þ scans) may confirm or refute alteplase in subgroups according to neuroimaging char-
this hypothesis. acteristics, such as thrombus burden and infarct
In regard to BP, observational data from the SITS volume, as well as associations of low-dose alteplase
registry23,24 revealed that high systolic BP postthrom- with subsequent infarct extension, cerebral edema,
bolysis is associated with sICH and poor outcome.23 and hemicraniectomy. These findings may also support
In particular, the most favorable outcome was in future research that focuses on low-dose thrombolysis
those with systolic BP levels of 141–150 mm Hg in mild AIS patients, for example, in those who are not
between 2–24 h after thrombolysis.24 Systolic BP was eligible for mechanical thrombectomy.
an important factor in our risk–benefit model, but not
in a way that one might initially anticipate; patients at Author contributions
higher risk of sICH due to elevated BP did not benefit XW undertook the analyses and wrote the first and subse-
from low-dose alteplase. Instead, the present model sug- quent drafts of report; TJM, QL, CSA, and MW interpreted
gests patients with favorable characteristics that include the data and wrote the first draft of the report; TGR, CSA,
lower systolic BP had greater net advantage from low- RL and JC obtained funding, planned and supervised the
dose alteplase. This is due to the characteristics being study; all other authors provided critical review of the report.
considered in combination rather than individually.
The ENCHANTED BP arm25 has shown that more Declaration of conflicting interests
intensive BP lowering (systolic target 130–140 mm Hg) The author(s) declared the following potential conflicts of
was not in superior efficacy despite significantly lowering nterest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or pub-
the risk of ICH compared to the longstanding guideline lication of this article: XW reports receiving research grant
from the George Institute for Global Health. CSA reports
recommendations (systolic target < 180 mm Hg) in the
receiving fees for Advisory Panels of Amgen and
context of thrombolysis in AIS. Boehringer Ingelheim speaking at seminars for Takeda
Interpretation of the present model should be done China and Boehringer Ingelheim, and a research grant from
in the context of the original trial, where, in the primary Takeda China. TJM reports grants from British Heart
group-level analyses, low-dose alteplase was not shown Foundation. HA reports fees for speaking at seminars for
to be noninferior to standard-dose, nor did it perform Daiichi Sankyo, Takeda, and Bayer. TGR is a National
significantly well in a particular subgroup according to Institute of Health Research Senior Investigator and reports
single patient characteristics.7–10,26 The novel value of receiving speaking fees from Bayer and Boehringer Ingelheim,
the current predictive model arises from the use of a and fees for Advisory Panels from Bayer and Daiichi Sankyo.
combination of clinically significant and routinely JC reports research grants and lecture fees from Servier for
available patient characteristics that constitute a profile the ADVANCE trial and posttrial follow-up. MW is a con-
sultant for Amgen.
for which low-dose alteplase confers a net advantage.
The potential utility of low-dose alteplace in this con-
Funding
text has scientific plausibility through the mechanisms
discussed above, and furthermore, was externally vali- The author(s) disclosed receipt of the following financial sup-
port for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this
dated using real-world registry data. However, there
article: Funding was principally received from the National
was much less sICH in ENCHANTED according to Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) of
SITS-MOST criteria compared with that in the stroke Australia. Additional funding was from the Stroke
registry using a comparable but less specific criteria. Association of the United Kingdom, the National Council
Therefore, the risk model performs less optimistically for Scientific and Technological Development of Brazil, and
due to lower discriminative ability. This is an unavoid- the Ministry for Health, Welfare and Family Affairs of the
able limitation of comparing clinical trial definitions Republic of Korea (HI14C1985).

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Wang et al. 7

ORCID iD 12. Kim BJ, Han MK, Park TH, et al. Low- versus standard-
Xia Wang https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1684-7076 dose alteplase for ischemic strokes within 4.5 hours: a
Tom J Moullaali https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6786-3623 comparative effectiveness and safety study. Stroke 2015;
Cheryl Carcel https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8942-953X 46: 2541–2548.
John Chalmers https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9931-0580 13. Jauch EC, Saver JL, Adams HP Jr, et al. Guidelines for the
Richard Lindley https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0104-5679 early management of patients with acute ischemic stroke: a
guideline for healthcare professionals from the American
Heart Association/American Stroke Association. Stroke
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