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Atmospheric Environment 222 (2020) 117115

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Atmospheric Environment
journal homepage: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/atmosenv

Temporal scaling study of particulate matter (PM10) and solar radiation


influences on air temperature in the Caribbean basin using a 3D joint
multifractal analysis
Thomas Plocoste a, b, *, Pablo Pavo
�n-Domínguez c
a
Department of Research in Geoscience, KaruSph�ere SASU, Abymes, 97139, Guadeloupe
b
EA 4935 - LaRGE (Laboratoire de Recherche en G�eosciences et Energies), D�epartement de Physique, Universit�e des Antilles, Pointe-�
a-Pitre, 97157, Guadeloupe (F.W.I.)
c
Department of Mechanical Engineering and Industrial Design, Universidad de C� adiz, Spain

H I G H L I G H T S

� Application of a 3D joint multifractal method between PM10 and climatic parameters.


� Multifractal spectrum was performed on time series.
� Scaling properties of air temperature was highlighted in Caribbean region.
� A greenhouse effect was observed in high dust season.

A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T

Keywords: In literature, many studies have highlighted the health impact of African dust. To our knowledge, few of them
Joint multifractal analysis have analyzed the impact of mineral dust on the climate of the Caribbean basin in a multifractal way. In this
Air temperature study, the joint multifractal analysis was performed for three variables coexisting in the same geometric support
PM10
in order to outline the influence of Particulate Matter (PM10) and Solar Radiation (SR) on air Temperature
Solar radiation
Complex geometry phenomena
(TEMP) over a wider range of temporal scales and exponents order. To conduct this analysis, six years of daily
Greenhouse effect time series recorded in Guadeloupe archipelago were used. A 3D joint multifractal analysis was conducted by
considering both the strange attraction formalism and the method of moments. The scale dependence among the
studied variables was highlighted and the capability of joint multifractal analysis to completely characterize the
complex temporal geometry among these non linear natural phenomena was demonstrated. Saharan dust sea­
sonality strongly influenced TEMP values across analyzed temporal scales. We found that multifractality degree is
more significant for high dust season. In addition, the single multifractal spectrum always showed the mono­
fractal pattern of TEMP while the fractal dimension differs according to dust seasonality and explanatory variable
values, i.e. PM10 and SR. All these results have clearly highlighted the strong influence of PM10 concentration
and SR intensity on TEMP value.

1. Introduction From May to September, i.e the high dust season, important amounts
of mineral dust are carried from the Sahara and the Sahel to the
These last decades, many studies were made on mineral dust sea­ Caribbean Sea (Prospero et al., 1981). Dust transport occurs mainly in
sonality and origins in the Caribbean basin (Colarco et al., 2003a, b; the Saharan Air Layer (SAL), a hot, dry dust-laden layer located above
Doherty et al., 2008; Prospero and Mayol-Bracero, 2013; Kumar et al., the top of the marine boundary layer (Carlson and Prospero, 1972).
2014; Velasco-Merino et al., 2018). With 800 Tg yr 1 , i.e. 70% of the During that period, the SAL tops out at about 3–4 km over the western
total is African, the world’s largest dust source (Huneeus et al., 2011). A Atlantic side (Huang et al., 2010; Tsamalis et al., 2013). When dust
main part of these emissions are transported from the westcoast of North outbreaks occur, the transit time between western Africa and the eastern
Africa to the western Atlantic side (Prospero et al., 2014). Caribbean takes about 5–7 days (Velasco-Merino et al., 2018).

* Corresponding author. Department of Research in Geoscience, KaruSph�ere SASU, Abymes, 97139, Guadeloupe.
E-mail addresses: karusphere@gmail.com (T. Plocoste), pablo.pavon@uca.es (P. Pav�
on-Domínguez).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2019.117115
Received 27 March 2019; Received in revised form 3 November 2019; Accepted 5 November 2019
Available online 18 November 2019
1352-2310/© 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
T. Plocoste and P. Pav�
on-Domínguez Atmospheric Environment 222 (2020) 117115

In literature, it is widely demonstrated that mineral dust affects theoretical framework of the joint multifractal analysis. Then, the ach­
human health (Pope et al., 2002; Griffin and Kellogg, 2004; Prospero ieved results are presented and discussed in section 3. Lastly, a conclu­
and Mayol-Bracero, 2013; Cadelis et al., 2014), to cite only a few. sion and an outlook for future studies are given in Section 4.
Moreover, mineral dust could also play a significant role in climate.
Indeed, their impacts can be felt with different effects: direct, 2. Materials and methods
semi-direct and indirect. Choobari et al. (2014) review study highlights
that mineral dust directly impact Earth’s radiation budget by scattering 2.1. Study site and data collection
and partly absorbing solar radiation (Miller and Tegen, 1998),
semi-directly by modifying the atmospheric cloud cover through evap­ Guadeloupe archipelago is a French overseas region of ~1800 km2
oration of cloud droplets (Hansen et al., 1997; Ackerman et al., 2000), located in the middle of the West Indies arc (see GPE in Fig. 1; 440,000
and indirectly by operating as cloud and ice condensation nuclei (Tar­ inhabitants). In this study, the time series used are hourly data released
gino et al., 2006; Teller and Levin, 2006). by Guadeloupe air quality network (Gwad’Air) and French Weather
In this study, we focus on mineral dust that have an aerodynamic Office (M�et�eo France) (Plocoste et al., 2019). Between 2010 and 2017,
diameter less than 10 μm diameter. Commonly referred to as PM10, six years of PM10 measurements are available: from 2010 to 2012 in
these particulate matter may have a wide impact on meteorological Pointe-a �-Pitre (16:2422∘ N, 61:5414∘ W) and from 2015 to 2017 in
parameters. Here, solar radiation and air temperature are selected. Our Baie-Mahault (16:2561∘ N, 61:5903∘ W). 2013 and 2014 data in Abymes
primary goal in this work is to assess PM10 and solar radiation in­ (16:2611∘ N, 61:5269∘ W) were invalidated by Gwad’Air due to a local
fluences on air temperature behaviour. However, the characterization pollution that may disrupts PM10 signal. These invalidated data were
across temporal and spatial scales is difficult due to the multiple vari­ rejected for our study. For the same periods, Solar Radiation (SR) and air
ables involved in air temperature. Indeed, they coexist in the same Temperature (TEMP) measurements made on the international airport
space-time and govern air temperature fluctuations (Bristow and in Abymes (16:2630∘ N 61:5147∘ W) were selected. All measurements
Campbell, 1984; Mohseni and Stefan, 1999; Gui et al., 2007; Schwarz were performed in the center of the island where the main emitters of
et al., 2012). pollutants are located: the main industrial area, the biggest open landfill,
Multifractal analysis has demonstrated to be a suitable tool for the two busiest roads of the island and the international airport (Plocoste
describing the scaling properties of a variety of meteorological and et al., 2017b, 2018). In order to investigate PM10 and SR influences on
pollutions time series for the independence of its parameters over a TEMP, all measurements must be synchronous. Time series were previ­
range of scales. Specifically, several algorithms and approaches have ously pre-processed. Consequently, no anomalous data were found due
explored the multifractal properties of air temperature (Lee et al., 2010; to the validation process performed by Gwad’Air and M� et�eo France. To
Zhou and Leung, 2010; Jiang et al., 2013; Burguen ~ o et al., 2014; Mali, conduct this study, hourly data were converted into daily average
2015; Kalamaras et al., 2017) and PM10 (Dong et al., 2017; Plocoste values. In total, between 2010 and 2017, 2062 points are available for
et al., 2017a; Manimaran and Narayana, 2018; Fan et al., 2019; Gao PM10 data; i.e. 94% of potential data. The missing data are mostly due to
et al., 2019; Wang, 2019). Thus, the study of these interactions using maintenance. As regards SR and TEMP, data set are complete, i.e. 2190
multifractal techniques provides useful results. The pioneer idea of the points. Consequently, 2062 points are retained.
joint multifractal analysis for several variables was developed by Fig. 2 displays a time series example of the daily measurements of
Meneveau et al. (1990). This is based on the relationships that two PM10, SR and TEMP. Visually, one can observe that all signals show a
variables exhibit at different scales when they coexist in the same geo­ cyclical behaviour. This trend is more pronounced for PM10 and TEMP
metric support. From this work, several studies were conducted in time series which seem to follow the same temporal pattern.
several fields, such as soils (Yi et al., 2011; Zheng-Ying et al., 2011;
Bertol et al., 2017; Siqueira et al., 2018), agronomy (Kravchenko et al.,
2000; Zeleke and Si, 2004), grassland productivity (Banerjee et al.,
2011), stock markets (Chen and Zheng, 2017), meteorology and pollu­
tion (Jim�enez-Hornero et al., 2010). Specifically, Jim� enez-Hornero et al.
(2011) first applied the joint multifractal analysis to assess the scaling
relationship between air temperature and an explanatory variable
(wind-regimens). Later, other works focusing on joint multifractal
analysis of temperature have been developed (Chatterjee et al., 2018).
The first generalization of the multifractal aspect for more than two
variables was carried out for the study of the influence of chemical and
meteorological variables on tropospheric ozone (Pavo �n-Domínguez
et al., 2015). Subsequently, it was used for the study of topography and
soil texture on soil water storage (Biswas, 2019). Taking advantage of
the potential of this method, this generalization of the joint multifractal
analysis to multiple variables is conducted. This procedure enables to
characterize and summarize in a compact spectrum the influence that
PM10 and solar radiation produce on air temperature variability across
different temporal scales according to seasonality. The main advantages
of this method are: i) results provide a useful description of temporal
variations of air temperature, ii) this description is conducted by the
joint action of chemical and meteorological variables, and iii) parame­
ters are scale independent. The procedure for three variables is con­
ducted according to the algorithm proposed by Pavo �n-Domínguez et al.
(2015), which MATLAB pseudo-code is available as supplementary
Fig. 1. Overview of the West Indies arc with Puerto-Rico at the top (18:23∘ N,
material in the aforementioned work. To our knowledge, this research 66:50∘ W; PR in yellow), Guadeloupe archipelago in the middle (16:25∘ N,
study is the first of its kind in atmospheric field. 61:58∘ W; GPE in orange), and Grenada at the bottom (12:10∘ N, 61:68∘ W; GR
In order to carry out this study, that paper is organized as follows. in green). (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure legend, the
Firstly, Section 2 describes the study area, the data sets used, and the reader is referred to the Web version of this article.)

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on-Domínguez Atmospheric Environment 222 (2020) 117115

Step 3: Joint partition function. In this step, the existence of scaling


properties in the joint distribution of the studied variables is
evaluated. The combined study of the probability mass functions
through different time scales is developed by the method of
moments (Evertsz and Mandelbrot, 1992). The joint partition
function, which depends on the values of the three exponents, is
calculated for each interval size, δ, as follows:
χ ðq½TEMP� ; q½PM10� ; q½SR� ; δÞ
n h
X � �iq½TEMP� h � �iq½PM10�
¼ ci½TEMP� δ � ci½PM10� δ (2)
i¼1
q½SR�
�½ci½SR� ðδÞ�

where n indicates the amount of intervals existing for a specific δ value.


The three exponents ðq½TEMP� ; q½PM10� ; q½SR� Þ ranging from 3 to 3 at 0.5
increments are introduced in this step. While the higher positive value of
qi the greater emphasis on high values of the variable i, the higher
negative value of qi the greater emphasis on low values of the variable i.
When two exponents are equal to zero, the joint partition function is
simplified and resembles the partition function for a single variable. For
multifractal measures, the joint partition function has the following
Fig. 2. Examples of simultaneous measurements sequences between particulate scaling property:
matter (PM10), Solar Radiation (SR) and air Temperature (TEMP) in 2011
and 2012.
χ ðq½TEMP� ; q½PM10� ; q½SR� ; δÞ � δτðq½TEMP� ;q½PM10� ;q½SR� Þ (3)

where τðq½TEMP� ; q½PM10� ; q½SR� Þ is the mass exponent function and depends
2.2. Joint multifractal framework
only on the exponents q½TEMP� , q½PM10� and q½SR� .
The extension of the joint multifractal analysis for the study of three
Step 4: Mass exponent function. The mass exponent function is esti­
variables distributed in the same geometric support is conducted by
mated from the slope of the linear segment fits of the log–log
taking the strange attraction or formalism (Grassberger, 1983; Hentschel
plot of the joint partition function versus the time resolution.
and Procaccia, 1983; Halsey et al., 1986) and the method of moments
From this relationship several issues can be defined. On the one
(Evertsz and Mandelbrot, 1992). The joint multifractal characterization
hand, the existence of multifractality in the relationships among
(Meneveau et al., 1990) of the distributions and properties of several
variables is tested. On the other hand, the range of temporal
multifractal measures coexisting in the same temporal can be summa­
scales, δlower – δupper , for which the multifractal nature is evinced.
rized into five steps:
Step 5: Joint multifractal spectrum. One way to analyse the multifractal
behaviour of phenomena is the construction of the joint multi­
Step 1: Domain division. The temporal domain is successively divided
fractal spectrum, which represents fðα½TEMP� ; α½PM10� ; α½SR� Þ versus
into n non-overlapping intervals of power of 2 lengths for a set of
ðα½TEMP� ; α½PM10� ; α½SR� Þ, which characterizes the scaling properties
time resolution δ ranging from δini to δfinal . The values ½TEMP�ini ,
½PM10�ini and ½SR�ini in any initial interval j are set to be equal to of the joint distribution of the local exponents α½TEMP� , α½PM10� and
the sample measurement and thus, δini is defined as the mini­ α½SR� (Meneveau et al., 1990). fðα½TEMP� ; α½PM10� ; α½SR� Þ can be
mum time resolution that allows to assign a non-zero measure considered as the fractal dimension of the set of intervals that
for each initial interval. The sum of the values ½TEMP�ini , corresponds to a combination of the singularities α½TEMP� , α½PM10�
½PM10�ini and ½SR�ini which are contained into a certain interval, and α½SR� . The Lipschitz–Ho €lder or singularity exponents ðα½TEMP� ;
are assigned to each interval. Finally, the total sum of the α½PM10� ; α½SR� Þ quantify the strength of the measures singularities.
measurements of each variable is assigned to the final interval By the Legendre transformation of the mass exponent for each
δfinal . statistical exponent, the singularity exponents are determined:
Step 2: Probability mass functions. The probability mass functions of
dτðq½TEMP� ; q½PM10� ; q½SR� Þ
each interval, ci , are defined in terms of a mass density (Krav­ α½TEMP� ðq½TEMP� ; q½PM10� ; q½SR� Þ ¼ (4a)
dq½TEMP�
chenko et al., 2000; Zeleke and Si, 2004):
½TEMP�i dτðq½TEMP� ; q½PM10� ; q½SR� Þ
ci½TEMP� ðδÞ ¼ Pnini (1a) α½PM10� ðq½TEMP� ; q½PM10� ; q½SR� Þ ¼ (4b)
j¼1 ð½TEMP�ini Þj
dq½PM10�

dτðq½TEMP� ; q½PM10� ; q½SR� Þ


½PM10�i
ci½PM10� ðδÞ ¼ Pnini (1b) α½SR� ðq½TEMP� ; q½PM10� ; q½SR� Þ ¼ (4c)
dq½SR�
j¼1 ð½PM10�ini Þj

Let Nðα½TEMP� ; α½PM10� ; α½SR� ; δÞ be the number of intervals of a given time


½SR�i
ci½SR� ðδÞ ¼ Pnini (1c) resolution δ, where a given combination of α values are found, and
j¼1 ð½SR�ini Þj define fðα½TEMP� ; α½PM10� ; α½SR� Þ from the scaling relationship:
½TEMP�i , ½PM10�i and ½SR�i being the sum of the values of TEMP, PM10
Nðα½TEMP� ; α½PM10� ; α½SR� ; δÞ � δ f ðα½TEMP� ;α½PM10� ;α½SR� Þ
(5)
and SR which comprise each interval i for a specific time resolution δ.
Meanwhile, the denominators are the sum of all the measures of each Finally, fðα½TEMP� ; α½PM10� ; α½SR� Þ can be calculated by Chhabra and
time series, and thus, probability mass ci½TEMP� ðδÞ, ci½PM10� ðδÞ, and ci½SR� ðδÞ Jensen (1989); Chhabra et al. (1989); Meneveau et al. (1990):
represents for each time resolution the relative weight or density of each
interval i, with respect to the sum of all values of the series.

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f ðα½TEMP� ; α½PM10� ; α½SR� Þ in the distribution of values of the studied variables.


¼ q½TEMP� α½Temp� þ q½PM10� α½PM10� (6) Fig. 3 shows the 3-joint multifractal spectrum for TEMP, PM10 and
þq½SR� α½SR� τðq½TEMP� ; q½PM10� ; q½SR� Þ SR variables. Each axis represents the values of the singularity exponents
and the combination of each triad α½TEMP� , α½PM10� and α½SR� is character­
A multifractal spectrum for time series reaches a maximum value for
fðα½TEMP� ; α½PM10� ; α½SR� Þ equal to 1, which corresponds to the capacity ized by a fractal dimension fðα½TEMP� ; α½PM10� ; α½SR� Þ. This is depicted by a
dimension of the geometric support for a one-dimensional variable. gradient of frequencies according to the darker, the greater the fractal
When one statistical exponent is equal to zero, the joint multifractal dimension is. According to Fig. 3, fðα½TEMP� ; α½PM10� ; α½SR� Þ is a convex
spectrum is identical to the joint multifractal spectrum for two variables. surface ranging from 0.68 to 1, which indicates the multifractal
Similarly, the single multifractal spectrum is obtained when two statis­ behaviour of this analysis. Moreover, notably differences can be found
tical exponents are simultaneously equal to zero. when we focus on the range of α values. Whereas α½TEMP� varies in a quite
narrow range from 0.99 to 1.01 (Δα½TEMP� ¼ 0.02), α½PM10� and α½SR�
3. Results and discussion respectively vary from 0.85 to 1.10 (Δα½PM10� ¼ 0.25) and from 0.98 to
1.14 (Δα½SR� ¼ 0.16). PM10 has the greatest multifractality degree, i.e.
3.1. Overall analysis highest variability, because contrary to SR and TEMP, it depends on
several random parameters as anthropogenic pollution (local source)
3.1.1. 3-joint multifractal spectrum and Saharan dust (large scale source) which may vary significantly from
The temporal range for which joint multifractal properties in TEMP, one year to another (Plocoste et al., 2017a). Contrary to megacities,
PM10 and SR variables are expected is examined for each combination anthropogenic pollution in Guadeloupe archipelago generates low PM10
of q moments through the joint partition function. An analysis was concentrations, i.e. � 20 μg=m3 in average (Euphrasie-Clotilde et al.,
performed from January 1st, 2009 to October 21st, 2011, i.e. a period of 2017). Consequently, high PM10 concentrations recorded are mainly
1024 data ¼ 210. From the joint partition function versus time resolu­ related to desert dust (Prospero et al., 2014). Many factors may explain
tion, linear regions can be observed for all the temporal scales studied, i. annual variations of PM10 concentration from year to year. The main
e. δmin ¼ 1 day to δmax ¼ 1024 data. Linear fits were established for the one is activation of dust sources in Africa (Knippertz and Todd, 2010).
aforementioned temporal scaling range with a mean value of R2 around To evaluate the relationship between pairs of variables, in Fig. 4 the
0,990 for most of the linear regressions. This fact ensures that the joint 3-joint multifractal spectrum is projected in a parallel way on the plane
multifractal properties of these variables are put in evidence for a broad formed by the two axes of the variables involved. In addition, taking into
scaling range (1 day–1024 days � 3 years). account that the greater α, the lower data value and vice-versa, some
We are interested in the temporal scaling relation among the studied relationships between pairs of variables can be found. As seen in Fig. 4a
variables. For this purpose, the 3-joint multifractal spectrum is analyzed. and b, the scarce variability in TEMP promotes a very flat perspective of
The 3-joint multifractal spectrum put in evidence the relations among the relationship among PM10 and SR with TEMP. As observed, in both
the singularity exponents α½TEMP� , α½PM10� and α½SR� , giving a fractal cases they exhibit a direct and increasing relationship from bottom left
dimension fðα½TEMP� ; α½PM10� ; α½SR� Þ to each combination of them. fðα½TEMP� ; part (low α values) to the top right (high α values), which indicates that
α½PM10� ; α½SR� Þ reaches the capacity dimension of the support when the high values of TEMP are related to high PM10 concentrations and high
three statistical moments q are simultaneously equal to zero ðq½TEMP� ¼ SR data. On the other hand, the same is true for low values. This trend
q½PM10� ¼ q½SR� ¼ 0Þ. between TEMP PM10 may be explained as a greenhouse effect caused
In this case, a unique value is found for α½TEMP� , α½PM10� and α½SR� , for by the presence of dust in the atmosphere. This phenomenon was pre­
which fðα½TEMP� ; α½PM10� ; α½SR� Þ ¼ 1. In addition, when the multi-scaling viously observed by Elminir (2007a) in Egypt. According to Choobari
relationship among variables is monofractal, the 3-joint multifractal et al. (2014), the impact of high PM10 concentrations on TEMP values
spectrum consists of a single point. As noted, monofractality is one of the may be referenced as a semi-directly effect. It is important to recall that
possible results when a multifractal analysis is conducted. By contrast, PM10 measurements made by Gwad’Air are in the surface layer. They
greater is the multifractality, broader is the range of α½TEMP� , α½PM10� and are not representative of PM10 contents in the entirety of atmospheric
column. Indeed, the transport of dust from the West African coast to the
α½SR� values. The existence of multifractality reveals a greater variability
Caribbean across the Atlantic Ocean is made in the SAL (Carlson and

Fig. 3. 3D joint multifractal spectrum obtained from TEMP, PM10 and SR time series.

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Fig. 4. Joint multifractal spectrum obtained from TEMP, PM10 and SR time series in 2 Dimension.

Prospero, 1972). Out of Africa, SAL can range from 4000 to 5000 m explanatory variables.
(Dunion and Velden, 2004). Furthermore, high PM10 concentrations 2-joint multifractal spectra depicted in Fig. 5a–c considers SR as first
may also decrease horizontal visibility (Ozer et al., 2007). explanatory variable. Thus, 3 slices from the 3-joint multifractal spec­
On the other hand, as expected, the trend to high-high and low-low trum are obtained (q½SR� ¼ 3, q½SR� ¼ 0, q½SR� ¼ 3). In all cases, the
TEMP SR is observed: the more SR, the greater TEMP is because ul­ multifractal relation between TEMP and SR is slightly direct, but is not
traviolet and infrared SR increase. When the relation between PM10 and evident due to the maintenance of the homogeneous range of α value
SR is considered, the joint spectrum puts in evidence a great variability. chosen for all the spectra. A slight tendency to high-high and low-low
As observed in Fig. 4c, there is an absent relationship between high correlation is found independent of the SR regime considered. Hence,
PM10 and low SR values, i.e. low α½PM10� and high α½SR� . In addition, the the main differences due to SR regimes are not found in the shape of the
combinations low values of PM10 and SR, and high values of PM10 and spectra but in values of f. In general, linked high PM10 and high TEMP is
SR are infrequent, as it is deducted from the low values of fðαÞ in these infrequent for low SR regimes (q½SR� ¼ 3). By analogy, in Fig. 5d–f,
regions of the spectrum. This shows a trend of opposite behaviour be­ PM10 is considered as the first explanatory variable by using q½PM10� ¼ 3,
tween PM10 and SR. This behaviour was also noticed by Elminir q½PM10� ¼ 0, q½PM10� ¼ 3. Results from these spectra confirm a slight
(2007b). High PM10 concentrations can decrease SR intensity that tendency to high-high and low-low correlation between SR and TEMP, i.
reached the ground level (Bian and Zender, 2003). According to Elminir e. classical behaviour between TEMP and SR. The main difference is that
(2007c), in Egypt, the reduction in ultraviolet radiation was 22% for when high values of PM10 are considered (q½PM10� ¼ 3), data relating to
days with PM10 � 150 μg=m3. Mineral dust aerosols directly impact SR and TEMP values are infrequent. This is due to the fact that high
Earth’s radiation by scattering and partly absorbing SR (Miller and PM10 values may increase TEMP values but also correspond to high SR
Tegen, 1998; Choobari et al., 2014). period. Indeed, from June to August, the area that receiving higher in­
tensity of SR is near 10∘ north latitude due to Earth’s inclination in the
3.1.2. 2-joint multifractal spectrum northern hemisphere (Noor et al., 2018). This cause a classic increase in
Even if joint multifractal analysis do not establishes a dependence TEMP measured in Guadeloupe (Br� evignon, 2003). Furthermore, during
relationship among variables, we are interested in the influence of both the same period, the Intertropical Convergence Zone allows the trans­
PM10 and SR on TEMP. For this reason, TEMP is selected as dependent port of dust from the West African coast to the Caribbean across the
variable and PM10 and SR as explanatory variables. Again considering Atlantic Ocean in the SAL (Carlson and Prospero, 1972; Ben-Ami et al.,
Fig. 3, for each variable, the spectrum is a combination of several quasi-
2012). During dust outbreaks, i.e. ½PM10� > 50 μg=m3 , atmospheric
parallel surfaces which are governed by its different q values. In this
temperature increases on average by 1.5� C. This values was previously
case, 3 values can be selected for each explanatory variable: q ¼ 3, q ¼
found by Jury and Winter (2010) with satellite data at ~850 hPa
0 and q ¼ 3. Whereas high q values magnified the importance of the
(~1450 m) over the Caribbean. In atmospheric field, these values are
very high data, low q values magnified the very low data. The case in
significant.
which q is equal to zero, data of the variable are not considered, acting as
same as the variable is removed from the study. Thereby, when a certain
3.1.3. Multifractal spectrum
q value is selected, it is possible to obtain a specific sliced surface from
The final step for obtaining the single multifractal spectra for TEMP is
the 3-joint multifractal spectrum. This surface, called 2-joint multi­
to cut the 2-joint multifractal spectrum with the second explanatory
fractal spectrum, contains the information of two variables on the basis
variable in order to define simultaneously different regimes of PM10 and
of the fixed characteristics taken from the q value of the first variable. At
SR (Fig. 5g-o). When we cross q ¼ 0 for both PM10 and SR, this multi­
the end, when combinations of regimen q½PM10� and q½SR� are selected, 9
fractal spectrum is the same that we would obtain if a single multifractal
single multifractal spectra for TEMP are obtained (see Fig. 5). Notice that analysis for TEMP was conducted (Fig. 5k). A check point that ensures
these spectra are the same, independently of the selection order of the

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Fig. 5. Single multifractal spectra for ½TEMP� obtained for different q½PM10� and q½SR� scenarios.

that the procedure is correct is that the maximum value of fðα½TEMP� ; coldest month and an average of 27–28� C for the hottest month, a
α½PM10� ; α½SR� Þ reaches the capacity dimension of the support (i.e. 1) when narrow annual TEMP range was observed due to the nearly permanent
both PM10 and SR are not considered. As observed, all the points of the Trade winds flow throughout the year (Br�evignon, 2003; Plocoste et al.,
spectra are overlapped in a unique point, which indicated that TEMP 2014). This explains the low TEMP variability values in Guadeloupe
follows monofractal behaviour. This fact evinces that TEMP follows a throughout the year, hence this monofractal behaviour. In other regions
simple monofractal behaviour in the Caribbean basin, for which a such as Asia or Europe, TEMP presents a multifractal behaviour due to
unique fractal dimension is enough for completely characterize the the high TEMP variability values between winter and summer (Lin and
temporal scaling behaviour of this variable. This is generalized for all the Fu, 2008; Jim�enez-Hornero et al., 2011).
cases. Consequently, it can be stated that TEMP show a monofractal However, results suggest that the influence of different PM10 and SR
behaviour in Caribbean region, which can be explained through the low combinations affects the monofractal behaviour of TEMP, according to
temporal variability of this variable throughout the year. When a mul­ the different values obtained for fðα½TEMP� ; α½PM10� ; α½SR� Þ in each case,
tifractal analysis is conducted, one of the possible results is that the which range from 0.7 to 1. The lowest values of fractal dimension (D)
variable be a monofractal case, e.g. pH in soil spatial variability (Krav­ correspond to 5 cases with “High PM10” (0.71–0.74) and “Low SR”
chenko et al., 1999). Indeed, with an average TEMP of 24� C for the (0.70–0.75). The strong values of PM10 and low values of SR will

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therefore reduce fractal dimension. In other words, “High PM10” and As observed, joint multifractal spectra in high dust season (Fig. 6a–c)
“Low SR” are extreme cases, and thus, infrequent. Conversely, the show a very similar triangular shape that the global time series (Fig. 4c),
maximum value of D (0.97) is found for “High SR/Not PM10”. This is confirming the positive correlation among these variables. However,
expected owing to the always close and direct relationship between SR some differences can be remarked. Firstly, low fðαÞ values are located at
and TEMP. All these results show that PM10 concentrations will have an the right part of the spectra for year 2012 and 2015, which indicates that
impact on TEMP values (Elminir, 2007a, b). low PM10 values are infrequent, mainly associated to low SR values, i.e.
α½PM10� and high α½SR� . Secondly, the minimum fðαÞ values is lower than
0.50, in contrast to minimum values around 0.68 in the overall analysis.
3.2. Seasonal analysis In addition, when multifractal spectra are compared, the shape of the
spectra and the values of fðαÞ are not equally distributed. For example,
3.2.1. Conventional statistic Fig. 6a (2010) shows a longer left tail where the accumulation of low
In order to compare the joint multifractal behaviour considering dust fðαÞ values are located. While year 2 (2012) and year 3 (2015) are quasi-
seasonality, an additional study is conducted selecting several years for overlapped, year 1 highlights a more extended shape, which means that
high and low dust periods. For high dust season, daily values of 2010, multifractality degree is greater in 2010. Multifractal analysis detect
2012 and 2015 were selected for TEMP, PM10 and SR from May 12th to differences among these years, however, statistical analysis did not show
September 16th, which represent the central period of Saharan dust differences.
outbreaks. On the other hand, values from November 13th to March When low dust season is analyzed, a more compact spectra is found
20th in 2010–2011, 2011–2012 and 2019–2017 were chosen for low with a rectangular o square shape owing to the fact that the left side is
dust season. Years were selected for the quality of the data and the ab­ truncated. This is because very high PM10 values are not found, i.e. low
sent of missing values. Thus, six new time series are considered with 128 α½PM10� (see Fig. 6d and e). However, the shape for the 2016–2017 period
daily data (27 data). is completely different, due to a very longer top-right tail in the spectra.
Table 1 summarizes statistics values of TEMP, PM10 and SR for both This part shows extremely infrequent events (fðαÞ < 0.2) of very high SR
studied periods. Similar mean and standard deviation are found for each and PM10. Indeed, 2016 and 2017 had the lowest annual PM10 con­
period, ensuring that no anomalous data are found in these time series. centrations in the last decade with respectively 23.0 and 24.0 μg=m3 (see
According to Table 1, mean values of TEMP and SR are higher in the high
annual reports made by Gwad’Air agency and available on http://www.
dust season. These results are consistent with the explanations given in
gwadair.fr/). These values are close to the 20.0 μg=m3 found by
Sections 3.1.1 and 3.1.2 with a greenhouse effect related to high PM10
Euphrasie-Clotilde et al. (2017) for anthropogenic pollution. This shows
concentrations (Elminir, 2007a) and an increase of SR intensity due to
that there was almost no Saharan dust during the high and low dust
Earth’s inclination in the northern hemisphere (Noor et al., 2018).
seasons for these years.
Focusing on standard deviation (σ), TEMP variability is higher in low
All these results enable us to confirm that there are differences be­
dust season because the lack of PM10 enables faster warming and
tween high dust and low dust seasons, but that within each African dust
cooling of the atmosphere. Concerning PM10, σ is higher in high dust
regime, the multifractal analysis is much more sensitive to changes than
season. During that period, in addition to anthropogenic pollution, high
the statistical analysis, which does not detect differences between the
PM10 concentrations mainly come from Saharan Dust (Velasco-Merino
years studied.
et al., 2018). From one year to another, the number of events and the
amount of dust varies from one dust episode to another. This increases
3.2.3. Multifractal spectrum
the variability and the intermittency parameter of PM10 values (Plo­
Considering TEMP as dependent variable, in Fig. 7 is depicted the
coste et al., 2017a).
single multifractal spectrum for different scenarios of PM10 and SR.
As first approximation to the statistical relation among variables, the
Regarding Fig. 7a–c, when the multifractal relation between PM10 and
Pearson coefficient is computed in order to assess the linear link strength
TEMP is explored for several SR regimes, greater multifractality is found
between PM10 and SR with TEMP (see Table 2). As observed, linear
in high dust season according to their longer multifractal spectra. With
relationships are found in high dust season, but are really poor in low
dust outbreaks, greater combinations of values occur between TEMP and
dust season. Statistics says that there is no correlation between
PM10, while in low dust period, the relation between both variables
TEMP-PM10 and TEMP-SR in low dust season. Maybe, multifractal
seem more homogenous. This happens for any SR regime. Therefore, it is
analysis offers different and complementary results.
not a matter of high or low SR, but the considered period between high
and low dust season.
3.2.2. 2-joint multifractal spectrum
For the study of different PM10 regime (Fig. 7d–f), it is noticed that
Joint multifractal analysis is carried out for the six time series,
the spectra practically overlap. The outlier values seen in low dust
considering the same q-moments 3 : 0.5 : 3 and the total spatial range
season correspond to the exceptional 2016–2017 period that has been
for the linear fits (1 data to 27 data). The 3-joint multifractal spectra are
commented previously in Fig. 6f. Therefore, the relation between SR and
a slightly convex surface with low variability in α axis of TEMP, which is
TEMP is not due to the high or low dust season, but to PM10 concen­
agreement with the shape for the entire time series describe in Section
trations in the atmospheric boundary layer. Note how the spectra are
3.1.1. For depicting purposes, spectra are projected on the α½PM10� -α½SR�
longer for low concentrations of PM10 (Fig. 7f) than for high ones
plane and showed in Fig. 6.

Table 1
Summary of basic statistics (Mean (M) and Standard deviation (σ)) for TEMP, PM10 and SR according to seasonality. N represents the data point number for each time
series.
High dust season Low dust season

2010 2012 2015 2010–2011 2011–2012 2016–2017

M σ M σ M σ M σ M σ M σ

TEMP ( C) (N ¼ 128)

27.8 0.87 27.4 0.66 27.5 0.70 24.7 0.98 24.5 0.79 25.0 1.13
PM10 (μg= m3 ) (N ¼ 128) 33.6 20.04 39.4 18.02 44.2 17.61 17.0 4.65 19.6 6.83 18.6 5.56
SR (W= m2 ) (N ¼ 128) 422.3 104.26 431.2 87.00 405.9 86.27 376.7 89.10 373.4 81.38 392.6 88.37

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Table 2
Pearson correlation coefficients between variables according to seasonality. N represents the data point number for each time series.
High dust season Low dust season

2010 2012 2015 2010–2011 2011–2012 2016–2017

TEMP � PM10 (N ¼ 128) 0.547 0.505 0.150 0.071 0.077 0.122


TEMP � SR (N ¼ 128) 0.695 0.472 0.572 0.055 0.011 0.014

Fig. 6. Joint multifractal spectrum obtained from TEMP, PM10 and SR time series for dust seasonality. The red color gradient highlights the high dust season whereas
the blue color gradient shows the low dust season. (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the Web version of
this article.)

(Fig. 7d). This means that when PM10 concentration is high, the mul­ dimension is reduced and it has a greater standard deviation. Finally, it
tifractal behaviour between SR and TEMP is very low. So, there is little can be established that SR and PM10 govern the multifractal behaviour
variability which grows when PM10 concentration decreases in the at­ of TEMP. However, when both are low, TEMP becomes more unpre­
mospheric boundary layer. dictable, more infrequent, so that other secondary variables govern
As expected, the behaviour of TEMP is also monofractal for all pe­ TEMP in detriment of SR and PM10 (Fig. 7o).
riods analyzed. However, depending on the scenario, the values of the
fractal dimension are different, being also nuanced by the seasonality of 4. Conclusions
the African dust. In the single multifractal spectra, points and error bars
represent the mean value and the standard deviation of the three years Usually, the joint multifractal spectrum can explain the scaling
of each season, respectively. When high SR values are considered behaviour between two variables. However, multiple variables can
(Fig. 7g–i), no differences are observed in high and low dust season. simultaneously influence air Temperature (TEMP) values. The aim of
When PM10 variable is not taken into account in the study, the multi­ this study was to investigate the impact of PM10 and Solar Radiation
fractal spectrum is similar to the single multifractal spectrum, with a (SR) on TEMP. For that, a joint multifractal analysis for three variables
fractal dimension value close to 1 (Fig. 7h and k). When considering low was achieved for outlining the complex scaling relationships of PM10
PM10 concentrations, the multifractal behaviour of TEMP in high dust and SR on TEMP.
season diverges, reducing its fractal dimension and increasing its Overall, multifractal properties are highlighted for a time resolution
variability. ranging from δmin ¼ 1 to δmax ¼ 1024 with a statistical order tested from
On the contrary, when SR is low (Fig. 7m–o), TEMP variability in­ 3 to 3 at 0.5 increments. PM10 has the greatest multifractality degree
creases and it becomes more unpredictable. In addition, the fractal due to the strong variability of dust outbreaks from one year to another.

8
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Fig. 7. Single multifractal spectra for ½TEMP� obtained for different q½PM10� and q½SR� scenarios for a dust seasonality approach. The red color gradient highlights the
high dust season whereas the blue color gradient shows the low dust season. Standard deviation values are depicted by whiskers. (For interpretation of the references
to color in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the Web version of this article.)

In addition, a rather low variability in α axis of TEMP is found. For case, multifractal spectrum show a triangular shape representing the
identical q-moments, the same multifractal properties was observed frequency than different combinations of PM10 SR values appear,
according to dust seasonality for a time resolution ranging from δmin ¼ 1 noticing that there is an absence of combinations of low SR with high
to δmax ¼ 128. PM10, that is, high α½SR� with low α½PM10� .
Thereafter, the 3-joint multifractal spectrum was projected in a By using TEMP as dependent variable, different scenarios of PM10
parallel way on the plane formed by the two axes of the variables and SR were analyzed. First, the previous slight tendency to high-high
involved. In spite of the low variability in a axis of TEMP, the joint and low-low correlation was observed regardless of PM10 and SR re­
multifractal spectrum in 2 Dimension show a slight direct and increasing gimes considered. The main differences were observed in f values. High
relationship between TEMP PM10 and TEMP SR. That means that PM10 and high TEMP are infrequent for low SR regimes. Conversely,
high TEMP values are related to high PM10 concentrations and high SR data relating to SR and TEMP values are infrequent for high PM10
data. On the other hand, the same is true for low values. Concerning values.
PM10 SR relation, a greater multifractal spectrum was found. In this As regards seasonality, the multifractality degree is more relevant for

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the high dust season due to a greater heterogeneity in PM10 distribution to asthmatic conditions in Guadeloupe (French Archipelago of the Caribbean). PLoS
One 9, e91136.
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Declaration of competing interest Dunion, J.P., Velden, C.S., 2004. The impact of the saharan air layer on atlantic tropical
cyclone activity. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 85 (3), 353–366.
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial Elminir, H.K., 2007a. Relative influence of air pollutants and weather conditions on solar
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the work reported in this paper. Elminir, H.K., 2007b. Relative influence of weather conditions and air pollutants on solar
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Acknowledgements Elminir, H.K., 2007c. Sensitivity of ultraviolet solar radiation to anthropogenic air
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The authors would like to thank Guadeloupe air quality network Euphrasie-Clotilde, L., Molini�e, J., Feuillard, T., Brute, F., 2017. The relationship
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Claude Cayol (weather specialist) for tropical weather discussions. This
multivariate time series. Phys. A Stat. Mech. Appl. 121864.
work is dedicated to my father, Dr. Jean-Claude Plocoste. Gao, X., Wang, X., Shi, H., 2019. Multifractal cascade analysis on the nature of air
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