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Time a (6) Garda wraaad atid seat 418 Beal wage arflererdl yee > ig (7 adisla arvlseedl Dari aa i 45 = 116.33, S5= 052A T, = 2.5 ola, cl acide aredlsretdl amis And. i (8) Bed eavdera fd wud d a | y= 156.85 + 23.5 ie 8) af 2016 412 yl Gadd pire Aad. i (9) wel yeyez (CDR) Aaa Hed HA weud. i (10) As weet al eeBert 40,000 usd war wil F AA S000 sual As al ' ee bart yey wei. a adel cumycyer Anal. | ab vale adel Bel Heyes (CDR) 17.64 G. mL Adel uaa yexEr (SDR) " (b) (12) art ARs Retr wee val aed weudl. (13) A Aust aigusie wa wadl aed veudd. aay a a-[ > % ] la il adj Aaa. NR-108 4 LSeat No. : NR-108 December-2015 B.Com., Sem.-I SE-101 B : Basic Statistics — 1 (Adv. Statistics) ‘Time: 3 Hours} [Max. Marks : 70 Instructions : (1) Figures to the right side indicate full marks of the questions (2) Simple calculator is allowed. Anal. 1, (@)_ Explain following terms 4 @ Probable Error Gi). Coefficient of determination as al ox ‘What is association of attributes ? Discuss types of association of attributes. (SDR) () Find comelation coefficient for the following by Karl Pearson’s method : 6 X [12] 1 | 13 | as | aa} 17 | 16 | 19 | a8 i yiil2]}s}t4a}sfof7]s]o | OR Find rank correlation coefficient from the following : X_| 55 | 40 | 65 | 40} 80 | 90 | 68 | 75 | 20 Y_| 120] 100} 90 | 100} 65 | 100] 55 | 30 | 10 (© 1660 students appeared in an examination out of which 422 passed. 250 students £0 for private classes, out of which 150 passed. Using comparison of observed and expected frequency method check whether private tuition affects the result, 4 OR If (A) = 300, (B) = 260, (AB) = 160 and N = 500, then find Yule’s coefficient of association and interpret it. R-108 5 P.T.0.i i 1 2. (a) What is Business Forecasting ? Explain its importance in short. 4 OR State different methods of business forecasting and explain method of exponential 4 smoothing method. = (b) Fitstraight line to the following data and forecast price for the year 2017 : 6 x Year _ | 2008| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 Price@®| 5 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 16 | 20 | 23 € OR Fit a straight line to the following data and forecast profit for the year 2017 : Year 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 Profit (in) | 30 | 45 | 54 | 70 | 75 | 85 (©) If initial demand of a production is 150 and exponential smoothing value is 0.2, then forecast for given years by exponential smoothing method : 4 Year 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 Demand (000) | 155 | 163 | 172 | 180 . . OR Fit a second degree parabola to the following data and estimate the sales for the fear 2016 : Year 2008 | 2010 | 2012 | 2014 Sales(inlacs) | 5 | 8 | 10 | 6 (b) 3. (a) _ Explain the meaning and uses of Vital Statistics. OR State the methods of collection of Vital Statistics. Explain any one of them. (b) Find standard death rates of two cities from the following data and compare two cities’ health : I City A City B Standard Age i i Population a (in years) | Population | Death | Population | Death pul (in 000) _| Rate | (in’000) | Rate (in 000) Less than 5 16 45 8 35 5 © It 5-15 40 20 30 18 35 x 15-30 25 18 20 13 25 30-45 15 R 10 15 1B 45-60 10 25 8 20 u If More than 60 4 24 2 40 6 a OR NR-108 6 assential for the re two ~ [age in (ears) 15-19 | 20-24 | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45.49 Find General Fertility Rate (GFR),, Specific Fertility Rate (SFR) and Total Fertility Rate (TFR) for the following data : No, of Females (in 000) 20 25 | 21 u 10 1 6 No. of live births 820 | 2500 | 2100 | sso _| 600 | 70 12 (©) Find General Fertility Rate (GFR) and Total Fertility Rate (TFR) from the following data : 4 Age (in years) 13-20 | 20-25 | 25-30 | 3035 | 35-40 | 40-45 | 45-50 Fertility Rate 12 80 | 125 | 104 | 60 | 25 4 OR Total population of Ahmedabad city is 70 lakhs. In the city the number of females per thousand males is 950 and of them 48% of females are in child bearing age group. If General Fertility Rate of Ahmedabad city is 35, find the expected number of children that born live. (a) Define the term matrix. Also give the difference between matrix and determinant, 4 OR Give the difference between (Row matrix and column matrix. Gi) Symmetric matrix and skew symmetric matrix, (b) Solve the following equation using inverse of matrix : 6 2r-y-z=1 xty- xt3y—4z OR 2 IfA | -1o2 -1 | then prove that A? ~ 6A? + 9A ~ 41 = 0, where Lis a unit 1-1 -2 matrix of order 3 x3, 3 irx=[} all and v-[3 > J) then find the value of a and b such that XY =YX, 4 OR 10 a 3 IA -| 207d - @ symmetric matrix, then find the value of a, b and c. Also b4s find matrix B such that A + 2B = I, where lis a unit matrix. 7 PTO. ss aeae nail aS a Answer the following questions in short : (1) What is range of correlation coefficient ? (2) If the ranks of two vasiable-y and y are in same order, then what is the value of S22 (3) Draw scatter diagram for r = -1 (4) When two attributes are said to be independent ? (5). Give the example of positive association of attributes. (6) Fora second degree parabola, how many normal equations are required '0 fit the ‘equation ? Time eet (1) Inexponential smoothing method 2, = 116.33, S; = 110.5 and T5 5, then find exponential smoothing constant, (8) The fitted straight line equation a2 y= 15685 + 23.5 ese) Estimate price of y for the year-2016. (0) Write formula for obtaining Crude Death Rate (CDR). (10) Among 40,000 children born in a city during the year, 5000 died within one year. Find infant moriality rate of the city. (11) ‘The value of CDR for standard city is 17.64. Find SDR for the same city. (12) State the condition for existence of inverse of a matrix. (13) State the condition for multiplication of two matrices. sere a 5 (14) Find adjoint of A=| 5 19 110, NR-108 8