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Radio One Answer
Radio One Answer
Why does Radio One want to acquire the 12 urban stations from Clear Channel
Communications in the top 50 markets along with the stations in Charlotte, N.C., Augusta,
Georgia, and Indianapolis, Indiana? What the sources of potential benefit and risk with these
acquisitions?
Radio One wants to acquire 12 urban stations since it feels that the opportunity which has come
is something which does not happen everyday. If it is able to buy these 12 channels, it would
double the size of Radio One and give it a national presence.
The potential benefits would be
a. The acquisition would make Radio One market leader in African-American radio stations. It
would give national presence. These two things combined would help increase advertising
revenues
b. There would be cost benefits to Radio One. Radio One already had many centralized functions
and so adding these radio stations, the costs would not increase so much and there would be
synergy benefits
c. The African-American radio listeners were increasing at a faster rate and the income was also
increasing. Having more radio stations would help in generating more revenue
d. The acquisition would serve as base for expansion into other media – cable, recording industry
and internet
The sources of risk would be
a. The size of the deal is very large. It would double the number of radio stations and so
managing the integration may be difficult.
b. There may be some cannibalization from the existing listeners and so the synergy benefits may
be lower than anticipated.
c. The income statement shows that the company is making losses. The acquisition would need
more cash and so servicing the debt may be a problem.
d. Radio One has no expertise in the other media of cable, recording industry and internet.
2. What price should Radio One offer based upon a discounted cash flow analysis? Are the
cash flows in the exhibits reasonable? (The points below may be of assistance in your
analysis.)
a. Assume an effective tax rate of 34% going forward
b. The new capital investments required each year will generate additional depreciation
expenses beyond the 90 million noted in the case exhibits. You might simplify your
analysis by assuming that these additional capital investments will each have five
year life and might be depreciated on a straight line basis.
c. In addition to the new capital investments, this expansion will require a commitment
of net working capital. You might consider using the balance sheet and income
statement data for the prior three years to establish a relationship between revenue net
of commissions and net working capital.
d. General corporate expenses might be allocated based upon BCF and/or assumed to
decline due to economies of scale.
e. Assume a market risk premium at the time of the case of 7.2%.
NPV 1,276,512
3. What price should Radio One offer based upon a trading multiples analysis?
Based on multiples, the valuation comes to $1. 398 billion ( 21.5 X 2000 BCF)
and $1.256 billion ( 19.4 X 2000 EBITDA).
4. Given that Radio One’s stock price is 30X BCF, can if afford to offer as much as 30X BCF
for the new stations?
30X BCF would give a value of 30 X 65,041 = $1.951 billion. This amount is too high in
relation to DCF calculations and in relation to multiple valuation.
Radio One should not offer such high valuation.
Infinity paid 1,400/18 = $78 million per station and Cox paid 380/7 = $54 million per station.
Based on the above calculations, the price is between the range of $54 million and $78 million.
So Radio One should start at the lower end of the range at say $60 million and be prepared to go
up to $66 million the maximum based on multiple.