L5

Probability Thinking Statements

True or False

A B
Tomorrow either it will rain If you throw a coin 50 times and
or it won’t rain. you get 48 heads and only 2 tails the
Therefore the probability of rain coin must be biased.
tomorrow is 50%

C
Bag A contains 4 red counters and 2 blue counters.
Bag B contains 10 red counters and 5 blue counters.
If you pick a counter out of bag B, you are more likely to get a red counter
than with bag A because there are more red counters in bag B.

D E
Everyone knows that some people are luckier Next-door is a family
than others, and everyone has good days and with 4 boys.
bad days. By the law of averages, the
So the probability of getting a 6 with a dice next child is bound to be a
depends on who throws it and when. girl.

F
If you throw two dice the chance of getting a double 6 is less than
the chance of getting a double 5 because a double 6 would be the maximum
score possible and there’s only one way of that happening.

Extension
Write down reasons for your answers.
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