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en tua ogy cet ncn, ] European Geosciences dl Union Development and application of a tsunami fragility curve of the 2015 tsunami in Coquimbo, Chile aaa arsngus eae 1902207 -Dcsin aN 207 Rene 35 jn 7048-Aecpe 66018 Pubane 104g 2018 Abstract Tre lsterrqvte tht teed hy of qu okie in Sept 2015 and had e maprude of My. eating inlaid dagen lowing res of ey. “Motion anthrsesmcpp nar oft 201s ravhauake ptr reahor acen ert therefor senha erhgunee 828} ona ean ud Orr ne a {ate he ree paper evlos Suna ay re fre ay of Cogummze zed nfl sur aoa an sunam pamelor ne ianaston septa BoIschkutaninconuirbo nas sated ears of areal stulton wth we Nahe Een of Ocean WAS (NEONANE redler gs Wha ‘rownum i eslaane er The tagcat ehh sean tater crest reas inapsy ere te oxage war sete ete gh Inandain eps nadie. ar ese th Coquer experancas his dmage han Dine mat stan inundation depth 2 Dao had 3-75 Hy ‘fdamoge wnt cogmta proved Rove oy 20% probably Te ren ogy cove wos usa estimate he dag by possible ure Gums nthe ted. The SMaBe {Ssnmens showed 304 of he srucirsin elem arnt Conant fares gata of damages th aetna ganereed athe ce 0 he ay [Nestin circa he some yes tsar, =s0O06 ow tt, eingu 8, Ur lana and YapDetlpmart ane sppleaion os tuna ogy cu the 20S sana Coqu che Nat. Hazard an ye Ser, 209-216) Mpeg DSTOMNess BETWS 216 1 Introduction (on eaten 2015 3M. eaun ok lc the cast he Caqbe elon [USGS i east sap seletiuakelelsgel zohan st ‘Seco fon 301) Tre earths aneraed 3 sia at munate tom tae oe ey of Cequenbo mth re rextingupe Sanaa paneaton Seance uP tooo miArang al, 216 Conrear ine ta 251) renege opr of gent samage tourer and use rss (Consrap Lipa tal, 2000. he ‘onhune ile the sesmigp hatha estes st hes gan agua abn De Coquersod seme elon 1 la ea 2515 Ye ta 2076 oneal just noch othe 23 pre es as ot perenne smc ey ee te T92 hae ve Mgr al, 96 ee a 28) Tt ‘ecoreersedtha recoarton ns sen sung igsion estes conser tent aes ete pase uname tea norte 2015 lapel rn reg tothe sett of suc eae wihinthe exposed aes ast pte tuna hard wo ferent porous wer etd Demag can be estate rasta seesentne oe srg ans ange scare handset a2 Moe, 78% snmeren srt, Ye a, N55 however sch 39 ayn Deere nsconsing and irpracalia entre du oe higheson mera irl (-27) hat steered Mtn tease ot Seucutl eamage ous be pertarmea probally rears of Pal ces (fashur eal 2002 Supa etal 201) Ts apy cae epresethe rotate rage tasrueures elon tuna oars menu seh te ianaton dept antl or yaya are achat eal 20%), though uly prostate approach may ceo ise ange pssblescearis us bth harasses rd sarge assess ar orotate Pak 207A ‘stat oppose ss tear ote wt ray hase ats rd oeenates Jt Ths retools os Deen sped tsar empl ser ogy CONS oF lanes coh nian errs, 2988) an hana apps e201) athe 24 nan ean nua The same manoceloy was spans atee ecesy (2009 Soma Su {Gkon wa 2c In asa mares ethed asaphedn pan fer he 201 Tobby nar ow severly caves at aie {Supsae st a 01) serie 2616 Ch arar, Mar a 291} Sloped tars apy cone Tn rectyears sew ethno have been propel or te dordopmest unr aglycone ht ae deaeigied ssh he nea near del generate ve tele nonarametcrl Caer 20% 207 Mabe a 20) ‘hese rew mene propose amare compreans anaes nora Sle approps‘ satel models ar rly which sina ens measure pe tebe ‘eoresetan ofthe atered cape ct atsbun eal, 207) Even tough ese of dere ses modes ov eran mproveere orth ray lestsaure Imei hte fen quanesbe srs tthe et of ara ata nines model aes lian one pred powe Fame) acaba er, 201) For wm Deslomant ng appiaon 3 tsnamfrapty care of 2015 tera n comune a aatcon ‘Tsuna apy cae ean run ates nde en seaari:harere hay may tbe apps ana seas etret se th | nase Se elingrateas may ate asi 2084 Sopp ta 207 or nama buns aloe Sara ra coast apn expences rete daage an tres toca on tpn Sen Spas ea 20°28, 2131 Is eR eal (217 azar of Guna vay on Suu damage oh ape naa Yee ‘ste ney fundsnat we Povey moves he agi meds theo coal poles moulds cenederea nepal when velo wines he sae Meter dong tal 0"7 weds Dart reey mesaieto eshte uname ash ath Now vey and rundation dpi Saeed Thy urd Bom ‘ttc gant forts ate stant rome cae natn, thy fur rt ered cones bung rhe mom see othe epson ot ‘tlosy. wn wood sructre ext ne sry tot le ‘he Coqumno sea proves pod partys deo ogy cise and sea pont ina npst sneha n 2075 na damage a stucire an soma the drngadsvuctres Rove bee pedo ton hv engine Tut sly Grebo epra agyee forthe Coquinbo res wang Fl savy Sts rd ‘ura saan ote 2015 Chiral, naGdvon we esas the probly osc sage os determine tar serae ange Camu ay (love Seton 2 gers deren te sty ae ths se oe ote loaasinaly Scien 3 presente tral fe ogy ete deeper en eles 'campazon th exsingeunom Fagby ces acon presets on appa of De agit caves, Fly Sc 5 geste ae cnn te peer eterh 2 Study area ‘ety Cguite bead onthe southern hereof Coguito bay (2995'). The Coquinto sea mas menoned he ongusators sa ood pe es orn the Iocsien bare mporant inte 1h ery deter protean Rofered pans sous wel waves Coqumbo Bay 'sapen'o te rortwes and Curated 9 lemtnasopgrashy wit along fa say bane hang el £6 srt the coal pen fend he allel ern Conant loted eer the esuen eo te Niza atebeden Sou Ahern pie T8- ) The covergere fate ofthe ples Sry a the Chie subdue at ese wens ve pines esr 8 yea an age sine a 248) fe re eve oer magne af pa ken leans bet Syren e370 Mau 38) 2 aee ‘igre Sesto cel ie) Spce~ine pt ge eae ong eval Che es bas are he ve log the CopiotCoqunbo ron a thee tts Tat ne thee ver of 730, heh part tha Los Woe orsttuccn ons Canara iapelaepans (eke. 39H Lorn, 2008 Waa et 1, 2006 Nero, 985) (ap showing es and ows mentored nthe ax. Te ylowsta represents he eer’ fhe 2015 apeleatauoe The eae » Baunans Figure shows th secon reirdadin che Coq are, The ls eo of tus ace he 1730 eet Ths earthquake panera Sexe ear at terol an Canepcon ara #20 jn estan ira 27) Tena aetoyes seal eh nha nore aque alee 3 (65,107) Atougn he 800 sn 193 satustes se asec obese shen, 38) oseves tha he behaves other gerne yes ers ‘Stemtote etree etre ganarate ge cure of water tested inte anchor ran 3 sypsapsngm Cag aos a Go 9) 3nd eh (eve ey a eh Voburiso love ans, 1975) nk nosuom was repre 9 Coqumon Canvas he 215 unread us 6475 tthe Coes ie {rs wits urs os em rng a 2315 Cnmerseape e201) Moser, 3 serum rum arose 09 ast Cberne tthe valparaiso ‘uptute area and alarger agitude eres etal, 2076: Onumak et al, 2076 resulting ina age initia Suna aerate frarui ta, 2016), ‘The lrget sv ver recorded in Coq tokglace in 522. aed in Caquerbo 2h after te esther wanes ceed ne td of wich a he Irgese nha manana nisin hig ty nan na poet 29k par ete yea one orn sar Caqao0 Bay wa aly ropes by tehthe water ard uname Gale and Gy 373 esr ae, te eran ached non igo wa Chatarsland 6) mat alr, The unas ‘os abo obserse napa i macnn srs ang Da 7c (Cael 2017, Sloe a Gs, 173) whih's tthe amples ee 205 eet (0 Em tt german ore th 943 ey cher oem feck a, 1938) nthe gear event athe 149 srngke, keh genre 3 ese es a ‘manly afeced Caquimb. Te unam sve 00 30min ster th atauste peneates 300m Pruoraly ar ese Sm above the hig ear Sao sa, 197). 3 Development of the fragility curve ‘he devlopmer ofthe raphy unto inte preset workrequred tt mln sep: fst dt cole regarng bull damage ls th oquo ares and sta inuncatr ngs or real medeigalaatn second selector o 2 "sptre ose 205 Map eathqate avalos the Suna wurden Pegs" ‘himstonatsunamnandatin seth nag aah snatteslaaje or easton btwn Saye kl nde tars uaa an Set ant evelopment ng appa tram frapty care of 2015 tena n Coq, Chile oy ty a rgure2 Photographs of srucuresuntanage nd mone heuses damaged bythe 1 Septebr 215 unas in the Cequero ara The relents the observed ‘Sine undaton pth Al photos were ken on 22 epee 203 > arlene 3.1 Building damage and tsunami inundation data ‘ny 5107 ays ae 2015 ees awa sured eae area ane colaced more tan 4 itndtion hein dg ndsunar rp measures nthe {aque munditan ae. The el estuaries flowed eannedroanam mney proceaie berger, 2028 Conipaehowes 2912 Sjabes tnd, as) der coete freee tthe tne of rr nde. Ath sre i 5 sures wah te neon aes wee eed an aed rine 3 rhfornd cance oust ear mare sos) avery es srucurstot ocr et mma olng sands) The ure en thrlr the ravred coe ig stures were remare am te ag exe analy Iypeal rues an (re nundate area of Coqumbo nove ane stay an are mate of sso, ough Bere te some west bans Mae at sen ee foe ad woos he eo too, nore toca he canparson th evng apy cave eg Dat) Stowers combined rage cagory mand severe Pure shows ye red eure ar nada deh ars sey Cogumba frase afer the 015 ura ge 2 and bakon apne hours halen Saroges ye es 2016) ar sur Sata, Re icles represent anda eases an yelow Wangs sana to. mes > atone tere destraye and arena ang reat weld ae nae pute shane a Sore srucure wth ror nas ans ro! amp removes ihe "penne tothe earthquake mas tried (Condi eal, 2017) andthe structures most affected by the earthquace were made of adabe (Fernandez et al. 2017. In ain, the authors had the ‘Seperunyo compare savage anand an runcated soe Conan rade tov th he srr datage te sundaes hover ue oth ara ert oi categoria sage eta te ergot) sna doroge steele darage scl mas used. Ths, te pase wrk sued te damage to ‘rote srucures nos ue ono he Star tay wisely wo sarage lee lel ne Gesroye nce sure wr age moar ama ceptor yen DY Tree dorage townie conn that hod comple calapeed 22-0, ‘method asuines that bales wi et aos are pat destoyed Suppst el, 2017 and severe droge alsa ier alls aya be served Mas eal, 2072135 3.2 Tsunami inundation depth Tsuna naeation dep nas estate as he dferenc beeen ura inunston high ne gourd latin Sie he natn Nes mee messed ata fees revrine runs sesame ee uae nnewatian,apaon urs npn sts hasan Peewee Sted ‘rem earamimumarialsinelon athe 215 ee Wetered ou" ssl nec auk mel, nay those Ut st 20° ae 10, Deana et a 208} ‘the field measurements of nundaton eight and rinaipte slet an sppronriate ory land roughness caePieent, the made props ‘modeling of elec body waves wa ana ecard OART vy Sex Ue ape the proposed models Merb ant > ‘Sutera asian ry prey eC ti ators aN Te py siren dh rox pa Cathet values natal web {Sina nent especie. Teper Seta ers ones guveloes niacrimen that D 9G < K< 1.08 and arbre be Rod a og = 2 og Ki 0 fur Terai al canonscf fou snure mel and cogarisan of ena record th sulted tea waveforms DART 2242, Coquinto and Va ann Desloman ng appiaon 3 tnamifapty care of 2015 sara n Comunale ‘certo ‘otis bye tact a ica part ote ode rs 3 werd athe Sevope sar ak wt oer esiet a ste, eran ‘Spmieempices rom tneimuncatonarea ony te modes a BO tp ose wi aougmes coer oo ‘are 7 esi sans numeral isons or each nest esate, (}runeson pn 8 om vey 38 (hod fre, » boutons 3.3 Fragility curve The onsucion ata rally cane equrers carlton beeen he sacral aap ll ps ram tery mesure rch athe nunaaton dept, arent ot Troamamic tore To send we une the csr appreach wth gga da ands atau stimu ea 2089, mvc srt defined sch eh "ngs ofthe tunmiireneymessire eee dees nue a srutres Tene dane psbay tse by cone nso detye or otteeyn| uure for ae rage fhe erst resue Fray he apy elon devaaped heough regres anal crete of earae potas andthe irensy measure Tellore tis asume athe amuse predabty Pa dageotows he antares noalorlgetmal aseavien unten gen nO) @ the fenton fieron x ne hyresyramic ests Stn ara, ne este ne mean ne andr ceo ot spate Theale yard ear cesta ese hlesesquare eingateard ners (2°) en rormalagper en ay Lh 6) poob te o ‘Te odyaiorc per ant with AN acing ona scr scouted asthe rage on by Ee Gh whee the dg cet isassunedte be 19 forsale, plot dey of seawater (a25hgm°) ete few ley tm") ane het anton pth Lepnut deoetw © Table Satstiatparametes or ceveoes tog cues ebaines om anormal sb, Tanita ny =H ON tp ane ANy S61 ‘ure 7 sho the rst nesiueseunsinersy measures. ean be Obsrvehat hetpeespy Hays mp len sar inudatin aha maser Irena ep le To)sur atthe beac ans neon whe deoped rear btn ne allay an recs Seas ar the snere rece lm murat Seat ns Sims manne hg ves ocr deseo the tes apd opera ches FP) suchas ele si he coastal wie lode ae observed wt he ‘nvged secure snes cans" See ydrpame rcs arombaran at ath anton caps aed How vey 7. he developed sea bese allay presen ow fore swe. figure Sabo there ote sar apy caver of Cau er nuralen eth New veely oye The sample sat leet 40 rues th Yrsnge war ied Fire a show hegre fe some he elo bana amas potaalt shai Sep per Pareh fon ely eemal pane aahyedysoe tres omer sael wn es ine represen nebo cre rte pl na ag ty carver ners evita ay mes [egesion naps cs shown in So The sas pears ofthe ovskped aly uncles fest Tab hsp sits pesale to otseve ainsi eps tomer than 1 mad ot gorarae rage oh surveyed sur ures ane dare preaaaiy ee cunes5than 0% Moree ogy carve Sows ron opine ghertan moan 3100 probaly of severe damage ocd srucutes 9 Coquron Vth rogarstohe Sow eley Finsbured atmos =e Sedo wen he rags oft 25142 ih domge prota of stan 49, na sina maroer,hysredmarc force lowe tan 23KN proves esc iN tamageprosaneyetessthn20% Sines he 2915 russ nad edt inpse th low natin cep ana ow vies in aeetpa re i bacorer ey Inport ages ne em sage ete poste vets takng poe these ror areata fhe 802 earthguske snc ge Inanason dap were report the ee Se 2 sigue # Geelong sa apy carve (igre ube of ered and ntestryed suc n terms fhe suits mesures wn he Inunaston rea) Sta ped en rrr probably paper andes apy atoning damage ers hau messes he Ines th ertiseare ofthe lo eek show he daintan af Sage ck, 3.4 Comparison with existing fragility curves ‘hissecion comaire the apy cave canes Caqumbe wine bane nate places ter rece eet. Te sel prsneesfetg apy eaves re ‘own inTabe be curve tate Oath japan hh wae beamed or wooden srucure ster te 153 eaam ere Te says uaeoSaheses ss ang Spproumately So sracure Supp e200, nase mamer, the apy covect Okt Chl inhes 5 muestra snd range cso sacar et sit ‘Development ana appliatin of suram frag y cure ofthe 2015 tsunami Coquamae, Chile ‘oased or "wo rors, ney Pang Mf ar Pk. wh 250 and 133 STU especie nadolol ata were corde nore to develo 9 apy eave or manawa ‘eure anon dephuppae’ eral 201} egre eshowe a congarson othe Comm gly cure nih eve anage cares ef Dh, Ons, banda ech, ‘ren Sooo Thai is see tht Coqeraeexgerehas his drape Ban Diet fh Osta hundao epson! Ua 3 a tan hunt eepth tm bersto ars ous nav 35-75% artsy of args, wen Caqurmsete probs nt-23 Tre Neh pstabityoSrape Dera a Oe ode ae (eitelage numer orucures maze of wod an ighine grater ile by twit ans nar flows Mas a. 23°2 ven though he balan materi {Coq are sea is eased fig Wo at sance rom eShore she alla ebanker aerease ow vey a ths Soar ery ereforeDesame Irancsion pn geertes er aragearrucureshsamlsr marr, ne ght ifr achersteal ruth Talon shows 3 gh paksalty of Sape 0 Inandsion ep 2-50 tata 10 praaby &f aumogels rested at mundabon depts per an Si Ine eae of Cad he carve shaw alo rebly thamage (20) aan muntinaepth om whch arparabe' seu; however the Sage pobsoly nate nests apd athe mdin Gehan, reuming 100% tm inunston ep oem wen aul be set mart he Pauses Roving el ane te tres ae 2) ‘ewe ena agers fr daage preity develop ore latins and tere rage evel Two le ef dagen forte Seren ce in {his srananaincorens fsb sonst fo mona stars pen ySunpae” e193) Sx dager esate srry Spe s 1205 Pour eamoge le for wae huss pen by Supa 20128 Four sonage tl or raedarsteral atures any Sapss e a ON 2ab Inacdon was seven daca Aceh a sures ere ue weate when ow veloc exceed 25 m5 wha damage pekabo 2% ans 100% robb of tarae votes ge an mostra 2006) These eu te ing agreement wihtheCaguvbo apy crv Mrebre the opepaphy ofan sh (Pandan phe oer nant ups erate fo upo B0 wher he surdon degth exes re seperti mute thar the Som rag csv we ovtped coring eferent pes of suctex, cing wood can arent canes. aan te aghy cave bs Kno Row eles gant tamage 5939) stole ot me nent an 53% probly frag atlas seh ae me" (Geka 20h) Se alryperof rues te nae n> hae frvert telethon elocies woul eal cause Snape a codon serene sorageta refed cote tutures wos eaureh rer mentor depth Sod ow es, The eae gh damage obi lo nsason des cou abo be do te tpe coast Ameria Sea Goto eta. 20) Table 2 Summary fats suet anddanoge ee for eat cures Ma af, 201; Sapp etl, 20128 203)ndung he renee of Counts Rowsousun-vean | > Doannudaisx Fur ban ehaw be comparan ne Coqumioaply curve the caves ge Sips et 2013 er oeden and maesmatr suctrein pr epee ‘estoy canserd ree an 2000 eae ange s.veyes arte 201 Tok enor and ade poses o sabe deere dog levels lg aerials Igor tiesuen hat ncace nd med seus n san ove sm benee Wap level cmaee Sesrto) isles, he ape pba = heneron in (our at nanan dep loge an 27 eases nd ied seuctes pan preset eae hgh resale carpe deste eel ang or S00 fam une ncaqurnbo sony 20% ane grup ay cane for weasen sand srucures-stawn nF 38am especie = mee cin om suey dt of 2011 apn sia ihe Sens {rc tnsomal pans sspa ay 2072), the care shown stream at sens wer espero te eanar dese oem urtan eet, ea: tonal happened aren wi ioe apy, sue a he Sah cost supose ta, 212201) and se dose bap sch Dhl a eal, 2012) hs nev the cae of undo doth an om lary anna damage De hie 27 prapsred ne evlpmes of wines mee elated spe ‘eper apc cote, suchas lanaype a ia-ype ans, They ean pe canteen gene sarge abaya rj coos athe samelruncton Icenetwory ate Coqueoe tagline fr deructon cmp rage neta with minor damage cave for wos and maeseraterlnoueesin teat Injaan ig Sd and Agere explononis at routes Japan reese new ne ak secrang tet conten manda spar eal. 2125; nent ‘utr ebseretin Combe, where ld hoses te ound ee 2 athough cul as be utah cal popaphc stuf Connte, T dg ugeests Oat bth "epeorapy ra srcure aly hols be rasa neuro aage sma, 4 Application of fragility curve to tsunami damage estimation Tis secon reser an cram oh se of ay vest esate sna drags rough a tense snar sean Coqunbo, We fst fe 3 una sera {hen weruniterumerssimulstantoabsn te neaon depin analy we tne eur Sage in Conamba Se erate damage te Canam eon os roedn 2015 Cana, 217, Fernanda al, 2017 is asured tht the dorageto Srucutes ue lesbo he Guna ont evelopment ng appa otra fapty care of 2015 tera n Coq, Chie ‘gre 1 poe are show sp asraons ng cea source mode Th gry ecanls on eachstenao oc sent. The ornmagite fr eth Sora sate moses ete ne top of te corespondrg pane Lover pats stan he Wess coping Se race! Tom Meo ea OTS pF, {loa Conros eran Teron {GM stars ess pael andthe mere spade rm aah (208 rem paneer ae art heen Scarce dels These ets the pce fhe 201 Hapa erthguac etre byte National Sesto ater (SN Real Span The ue conor ‘aire nvr sip lemon every 2087 rch Ts Maple Ok e201) » bourne 4.1 Tsunami source model lave an Fi. poesle segments an be ras nary he Copp-Coqumbo, aqueac-ipe ar Map Carthucén agar Hower, evetsinehe spl ‘ener cut ote of 1822s 606 har never geese eur Cogn Sloe an Go, 173h an ony th 720 ere ch pred he equ se cern peste 3 uname es fen eters eal, 201 tee parler gnats era epee nt nie Ine presen anata Ins sini anne,eathouaes anh Coquerseue sere were cotsere beraar te 2075 Hap eathke ied th ear ‘ested sce st rar erngoken 1 eae ever Veal 201 use lunes earhquaes at geerate spin shar OUake lat ter he Net hue, avers te nose sone has provid oer sive ay set 102, as yess 217 eM Th arson prevalent er toe pein 181973 yursbfore the 922 een, Terre the Conape-Coquro seers of pat mares erg pessble re otha and Guam CogumD0 Iisiperarto noe tht the sma ever 1848 (rage 75 acd aris 206) gett msi in Copa, esp th sl eashouse nage on Pura Chr Fg 0 andi second separ: ram Pana Cherosie Ove. Oak whchabo coneses wih teeta opel te 1A evn ie Fh ‘age 1 Rests of sna per silt freak a he te sero 52d 12 et cou pn show vr sear delice ena con parts show maxi uneaton depth ter inseats he aan a ete gauge dhe in ek es repent cour ies vy 2. RGM clan pare, Show unr warfor eet ah cased eo sate Cogumbe se gauge » bonus Febiedo gereratlon ropgatonarardaon (hear t a. 2077 Gest and Pers 2005 Wedaznse ana ik, 21 Nrspooteal, 201: Fae ahd Cae, 2076 he et ‘ret eran ware ees sean bed on toes ees rang ra, 2014 sous a, 262 Whennge, 2012 Hamner te cupped aes theshapea! pb cure crteinc earthquates (ts 201 Plot a 20S} snesesarablehreropencue pel ou be preetasby te eres ieersc slong steal, 201; onealecarosea ea, 205, Tus the sh trou Satara sace ds repress en by (8 (0) ie(« ‘)v(ea Sls +H). © sre ct the nasesmie coping gr om 0. Teneo eoupng mde adopted inne tugs fam Mata 230 wnen ie dered or ering ob Petonng syste (GPS renurrera srg he Ceo mar (38 5 tative been ode ty ienatenal arses the aly 180s ee i tal 20 hd ‘etree hrain Rprotde 3 eaanabl sina one dgres ot long between ha Nats phe st Aerie plese ong cup eng he sera es regors leet 10st Viste pte comune ae 2 res om he RNBNLVILSA model Geto) at elite terse pare or iregaton 5's Bestoarttesrall een (48 fy < 7.8) 3¢(e fh besion whch stsedn he Global Ceo Moment Tensor SCNT IEE (un tales rsateerh nr et aes) 208 8, oe) ae peta pasraamiesgallowng 5 kath aout Ip ses ‘rome estes the GMT an the pc elatoship between ature ses an the ment magne rtasce ay Wels on Copaerarth 98 ‘orem ceubten otmment nagtice teach compet ths gete,tessure acre apt he ee ty by ohms a 2010, Ne sisted he Ico 201 tape eashqune Fam tne GM lat nd ten conde cet ethene sour ede mh he vee ip adel evap fy ana et etre neg) 10; Me stp con sisassue to e pure Untangle ton. Note at Cis eorstarogarst tie an the possess is ‘ot canara inte prosnt nye rp at esa sore ogc sgh outers 5 ‘eval sp aeruson asain rome heterogenous itrecmicoupg C Tne ne or tenga ot 8 asst Be yas (12219 208) Ech ‘egress sasinded to ohne Ok sabepce oto eb ba D-H! saute ease sane S2 respecte, Weleche mage af eevee a Serer st sia, the magne oes verte Nba. Mouth aerate ar consered opin (88 ~ 81+ 82 he tal magus Mek. 7he tke and angles fart rena tae acrty eset o boner aard or he sibsucig ab pemety ote Sab 9 medel ayer a 01 er, gh 1750) rst ne [ete ap, for he fo greeny ana characters outs pra 2el 2 emp nael porate or ae sana sure eel ae alert (eauors won request ™ evelopment ng appara frapty carve of 2015 tera n comin, Chie igre 12 fast af ura rumeral simulation ofthe event (r8.2} ah nundston depth bw veel (2 yada fore Sn erase arden hgh omoare tthe 20'S Const Guta ( weese in fle ley cnpaed to he 2915 Cognito unease Hedyorn Tre compare ote > pousone 4.2 Numerical simulation of proposed tsunami scenario The carpuaton covered an cst eof hth au intra mi Faure akows the main reais ad the ie diferent saam sen combinstors The uapet om Sows he essere [He-8.21 3rd he ek ow hows De rs fo ee 52 (Ms he thee Yom saws he esas caine scenarios) [dzturtsh maton he ean shane the vr spect te setae metal sn te seam rare ph and eigen sews Utessuar ware nm athe Coque e gage even eleased reo 4h 240rmp his eased hl aegent 2 (yt) grees loner Mundt deates Dan arnt st aeah whch an be explains by teat these ale rhe costal orpaloy cau tent be propped towardte rath and rely {award Caan Bay. Mca te tara geet ay opment the sean wave a ster propagtes rely Conara Cum ay. Fe ovale tease ttovthemaxeram naesion depts redhead upto 9 develope afas along oasine Moreove is meresbg athe Mase eer 3 cominbon ef Sn S2 (tnarrowintp Ti peers owernenesn depnetan sega slne neon be opted thee a heuer rams spade eer a nk {Bo between the Segre 2 ever S40 tthe any Gua Noes aie Neves sana beporde ope he pese ae 4.3 Damage to structures ‘he previous secon demons-vid atthe combina of 1 and 2 upturn at thse pres lowermunaton heighten the teense therefore the damage tosmucuress ance sgre tony et una gested by Mecha othe const of Counts t greaer maton het wer han Fur 2 sowie ests or eh rarity esse, alannah No veya doar foe upper ane Wain ee we "2 shows he eotreea between he adn aun ey reasues nay tes seen ar hase! We silted 0°5 autam vet. 7h Taare ons ‘reas witha renter nase sarin ease nahi aap prea tbe Jee order detain ie om rst of argo age ruc etude ane gtd corns ae assed each structure wine rnin ae, and ‘tetraxnam radon eps pene thst aera smuata are heaton af ey snare ae empered o GE sta ne muna Spe ane ved Ira uve angen wi 0 samples each ang ane ran ave of ae ange brs th he apy cave hen FB ede dee Saage posal far ese rangn ar spy ae ev press sas e 204 Hebe an Cox 2.4 we snd ote ay cre Rear seauncon fhe nda an th Toate damage pcb penn te previous ep asurnte te cule peerage seus wits go posabry damage wenn each ange Toate (ps deeranaton te ransaon dept ost ange ar angen deseeh iy oe ap he ues eats lh peeetge th helene murat Sea in tterarglare seus fave sow patabityo Saoge gre 1 Tana indaon ap Fur 138 chows he hng ate he yf Cagnbs andthe empate iuneaton depth any he une mation ena, eat 8 dma {hot srucures Le, 96% 0! be aoded Scures have high preabiy of omage 9 gar ats ruchhghe tan te 20 wsueeyes He fe the 2015 Suna AS ‘Speco ne suctucs beind the aly embankment snd tana woul exper es anage ten ae ened dee he ore, uetoshe ign pratablty at samageta hae letenese he sor trace ht ny cecottractn an a iret miigatan reir asi eae tt high surarunanten Sgt 8 oul be genre nth ares ee 20 oan Gur, hs be derestte a comprehensive wean lowe ey pie ‘orang tire dsere sch natn bs apache Secrest re animes eucralanenenericurl maa coal rotecten anenaus ‘menage ars atey wih altlelnef Sere (rst Ctres 2017 radon te rs: parlor te 2 apan ura ineise manos 2 rerghen costal dteac sues ericasion bong id esta oven Gupte, 2013) Ths Coqurbo sens ta ean wren asaya the ond 88 ‘etn andes ny pay fate cts egurrmen ember ins ovtemeaieSns Reales heen to mpl mere comprehen Mca ‘untermesies the fire Insta carter ve a 15 oud that the ana countess pent he Gost Cortpcn aes wer the 210 Che teunant sucha hrdweascture couibve poste tthe recovery oer acl este aftugh Ras und anew ented Novag ese sa FesirceMerebver ts rcenmendes ta govermatalanouses are eee dectrated wuts el coetarn sre sucess erate a oe esr fare nrasruture or sunam mgr ew ta. 205) Fay, eas a ovnsthat sua mitgaion ests roles nD ar be 20°0 Ce tein not decress tons rake some wns ersblsiPvang condone on houahld incomes and ned ome van eet are the sare lea rine es 297, tar‘ neural gos mesures ly soporte ec teesaing aan ain oe re, 5 Conclusions eer siti ath 201 cle srs rove n good agement wh eld suey dan Coque. A oqu raphy ssw developed th wo evel Clsieatno sructurl damage nary, ral desaye rd ceed The aque ay deve shows» probably of damage 29 a lil hgh munca dept {amin conostownatwasopserved nant Chan own oka, were a 68 proba 6 Gamage ested ame sare nestor deh Ths sh 08 poorer ts aly cares forte Son anne prs inapen nh! ara ney Sean on le omage ar ssa. ant Inconuinto | ‘operat Tein auge autos ture arate te caettCoqumbs Risracoerdea hat new tiga pls be teens cede ta replete pes of cures ningun the rune ares radeon, tare on prevaur experience Jan and Cle ne nan maton reanies mst ree” sonra on 9B ra rd nonstrurl eu coumamessres horde eet decease tena ii Cogan Rtre Development ng appiation of 3tnami fap care of 2015 tera a Coqund, Chie Data availability ae pe regu by carat creping su. Author contributions ‘helen was ones and A. The else damaged stucures wis ai othe the dau of una arate egestas cave out by Rand. Allume smucons were peroned Wa Tana opty coves were develope RA ad LU whe AO ap Y proposed esi sous masel'" he Sppleston fragt cure seen comage to scturesan a prepared ne ts manure he aerate easing el vero esl. Competing interests ‘he aumorsceetre mat ney hae ra cnt teres, Acknowledgements ‘he autor out ra COMI (Che) os FONDAP 1518017 8 FONDECY #110824 ants awl athe Reset an nnvaton Depart recon ot Iresigncn enor the Unhersad Cate una, Conte spel hanks to these whe carted te eanetan Bl at vie Mur an Eve Peres, Ecorse pan Tastee sya ove Upon sta F aay Manse oar eee me SEAN ned Tomas cide References sho edb o ns sere made cerns rom sane) Pp ah 28 SPR Mle ADS 92178 ringua.R srbayaa, an amas auras Hor he re Tap Sure rapon nha eet on pars af ena Che Nat HES 175-20, ‘ila ego roayesiaesessampes 201 ing R Gans, Gres Catalin A enue Yas Ye Ohana Ura, Cortera ey ele, and on The He september 201 hie ena am thet Tauno Sure and hare Madaing Perspective Pure APB Geophys 78, DHS aA ag SOeaeapasts ake 26 uc Sarton, Kus nd Rees: Source carrie ofr earthquakes ng he cera Chesubduton one SAE Si 1815129198, eter on 5, Tag Mandar. £0n he Ned or Lager Manning = Roughness Confers Depth tga aural undaton Med, oar.) 1 S8005, nail ana anaes anos 205 Cali lr, ane Corts: Cergrsn Baten Tura Sal Gerad by Dirt Source Modes nd the Cbved Oats fh Maal 20S Eats, Pure oplcwophye 78 0808, plore recat ase, 2016 ana, 6. de ase, Morea, and edexma,C: GeotethneaAspecs 8 201 M83 ape ete arn Sequence CMe Et SPECT 55.7097 ‘thuuialenanveuon nengunay 20 ana M. cra Gubler A aan We» and Wesson. Recut the mages ‘rhe 1906 an 1902 cian athe ung apnese ‘sina artes estore orsoure dest onan, Geophys. es Sol a, 1217, as ga OG ONGA ze, 207 hare Suppas, A Kuta, Sugars 2 nda, Arutivaritegeneralzestiner ura ght motel Keenruma iy based on maximum fw Sept, Nt azar, 7, 2079-20, is oO OT eR ABE 25 hare Macabug | assests Tsunamnneices Bubig sage eh Fal Funes: rca Revew ne Resenreh Needs Font BUREN, 3.36 ‘panning orz aoa, 27 Cheung KF Wes Yara ¥. and, 5.5: Moelng 50833 uname probs das nt costal rasa nthe Pai Norte Con EMS, 70985 [npalln gpa sore snraeagsonhbeaes 2a ar, 163 August 2011, iba el Nar, Che, 2077 oneraéper. Me, Wir Sept |, dour ares A, Carsten F Grate CJ. Mise, gu F re Wl, Uys Vergara Mar averosStre Ri ral Srey ofthe 2015 he Tunas wt Epon cose ean nl Carsten Aas Pure pL Geophys, 1784-967, ia gO THT ESD Dates. Garden Brg 9. Fad San Seren recon tthe geen revere selon einatart cree pte maton, ssp Re at 21-284 atin gS AGT 1856, erg Beer, Gaentsu oe 8 a FOr M, Mv. Ania R Anna LBA. Gamer, cme, osha Sab. 6, Oey less eur ign 2A, Swerson M, an Vege F Tuna ert Spea T8148 lg SPAT, 208 Desi Gos. Yasuda Tan Mes, aw velelyinpecantn Garam etal aply mele Each Re, 15, 5682 iain asciey 26 12038 717 Dorney Howes. Derr L Curso P Keng La arava Fané oreo J: ators survey team TST possunan sey Hel gue, UNESCOHOL, amt 2082.20.28, Devloman ng appa tramp ty care of 2015 tera neque, Chil nies M.A, quate 6, Masi M, ala D, VEN G Gone], and WEslobos A: ASK ot 2015 Mw 83 Hapland Taam Nunca an eal opraeses Pre Al eap 17344 pes ar/ 100/238 201 (oi 1 ar Pamans Taba sna of aram hzad Nat Mazar, 277204 206 Coton Kesher, a, Mts M, Ramey, a nes. Dawopng ally fuetan fr the arb arty ha 7009 Sarton earthquake anteinaa Nat Wzads anh StS 35-0), main oe ane aL aie 20°6| oneal Crates Argue A Domingue jC. ad Ura Ase of tere oun madelo eine undten an rural Res et, jes 6.P Wal.) anderson -LShb 0A thee imensonl modelo gbalsubelon ote geome. Geoplys es. SC, 17, 60132, sla ee 2820 yeas 212 Heian Mn A probs ran hazard assert forthe Morn subvton 2oe athe nonhesten Ind ce. Nt Lads, 77-598, ‘alte eta voor taeneraeney 20" orspaotN Praange. Lin Js Lae Asta 9. ang, Cpt A Batra 8, AMUN, an TlH KA rabble ea harassment to Incoress at Hazards arth Sut Se, ta S31, basa Sase acaeaaie 214 ron ¥ 1 Jerse MP Dyan, Sen Carlos, RG att, Mang. an Ayana T Assit fel pteapton en he ombutan of ardinktutre fr ‘sun gto to cssal cont esilence ater the 208 wns. Greater Conlon ae, Ci WD a Res, 3 320399, Pipaltan ta ote dots 3 2015 stimu, Namepaya a8 Ynapsowa Tura ay A ren east oles sina ange Das es 4 AINA 20% Tea Ingors, Cun ng) 51243273, pari ag dP SoDNENS 20 rotor byusnegenrpheanernston atm Pe 936 Eng JE AS, 955360, 998 tan. 7, Cnn Fan Yet modeling of simian tena wave abeenalons tcansainthe 1 Sapaber 25 Map hie Mw Beata. ire proces Gopi fest 3H 2 Mason O02 OTSGL OUTS, 2016 Lome €:Msertathaunker of Ces Hstoral Survey, 155-196 Semel es. Let, 7 38-978, peor! 8p 3368 2006 eatin.) Rss, anne | Super A Sbgaen 9, Adriana 2, Imamura Eames anKeshmars 5: propose stad f rng tra gy ‘aeons balngs sng tna itenty messes Nt ara 8, 257205, ie ee S OTR AERA 016 Monines Ct 0. Vlas P regu ana SSCs Kiar se percent 3 tan Setyedy the 200 Ceuta, at Hasse ach Sei 1, 7279 ti ri ass 72E 20 207 Mas. Rona, Supotr A, Matsuoka M, Mater M, Yoshi Trine, ral nl amr: Osean Tar raply cave inn rot ring ard ‘ney dts fe 3013 Cre roam in Dea, Nat Aare rh yt Se 12 268-2607 eel og sadnnees 26882007 2012 ular. Fn. Wigs, 5, Gg gC Fuerte M. Var. Asn RM, Sharer. ral Sh semen ang slow upto ranch tg ‘eis iapel Chie arrgusce, Gopi Rar Let 3, et nepeven a /16SOSLOET ES, 26 kos. any. € Sout Alessi oupng Meg nausea Same Saar Heng the eis Subsicon Zon 3 at re AGOGO BA 2 tzu A, Fur Tsou, Kamara, ¥, Oka 6A, an jel © sara nsdn oie nase OND 2912 Napaasna. NA K Sasa ¥ and Tak, oll obstinate 201 eet apa sar rey fl ard natal sures an Suna gon, (Coser oth iar oat 23 98 012 1 Pre pt soph. 178 rhe southans agen Se, Coot rg, 1548, ene 5S preteen gent tpl eases angst Cea an Soutetn Pern Mati of Soh Americ Ante pH (GecatonRar, 9038093815 pears 1eZSIBOSDEUSEOISS, 1285 se Pale, 9. Neus Moy Steals Me: euarlnducedfrcezon Sueur nat See, Sgabore 26-28 disap aa4 2507 OO 209. hada ¥Suteeclomaton eto shes ard teal fats nah spe, Bl Sesmal Sot fn, 8, 118-154, 188 sof Coaland oan penny este Kan 6. Moet hal Yap rng 8 Gos and Gens, 6: Rute Mores Dung the 20S pe Che Carthguie: Zapper. Rte sade Pe pl Gece ‘7a torent pio omnagenzeateeT 206, Pak, Con 0.1: Probable atest of eal tuna arid: mundson depth weak, rer fu lina arton pple Sede, Oregon, ‘east rg 117, 79.6 ees 06 esa 20080701, 2016. Park Hox. Tan Barbosa, AR: Comparsen finunson depo) an morerun fx asd ropes pobbisisuna damage assessment an urcersinyaabss (aa rg 2, 1-6 Poe 9) cose 2097090 201 Pat, pi 2 avr, ha Maen B Segue, Naa and Yara: Sena Source Mode and Suen round Met fr usu Megastar elestonto na, Cerrar Bul esa See hm 1, 368386 sie erg/Bs TMIS2OAIES, 2015, fu. en, Dlcampa Fea Fo Met Mar: B38 |. arg Lat. Madras 8 an lias The Seb Sequees ef the Septet 2015 ‘3 pel Oe Crtnqine Sea Res Let 67, 70-798 usa ag0 2208S 2016 Shimotins, and Sat Scott ably ra sing nando eve vero and rechng by hex flood nade, Cott. Ca, 107, 1125, pag 038 onsaeng 01519007 2016, Shrvsava MM, Come Moreno M Ce, M, bar P Rey, 0. Ber Cate, Gonz. an eo Ue. C: Coser sip ane aes ofthe 2015 MBS pal ch earque seternne rom cortracas GPS aa Ger es Let, 070718, pie, 1002056068, 2068 Sato. S and o,¢ ACs furan the scar shart ha Paci een, Nas Pung Hoses, Maron, 19, Sor, Det an Goda. K: Wn Fale anna oes FSmstn, Geode 7,14 Hegel argo 3agoeceeTEADA 27 ‘tusk Corea, A: Toure mignon naan amet 201 Took Tsar tes Rik eu 72,3571, bop or 10 RR 17 92.0% 2017, sont ‘roan pons apy i 9 72915 Cogn, chi aoe “tech ‘ee ea seaaaat aa” Supa A Mas. Kesher, aK Hara Xn rr Fling Ta rag Cures From Sujet tne 201 Gra apa Tea Sen Sno tramak i Car ng) Seni pears enSAS S008 2420 super A Mas, chara, Gnsskera Ra Fuki, Ale, and maar, F: Bulg amag charts ned an see dt an apy carve the Dat creat an pan taco No Maar 6 9-30, Miele SOD oa a 20, Super A aehartef. Behr |,Leans N. Mayas A Yamasit Mainostin, ose and aut F: ngravemet of Teun Counteraasares Gated on esis rm he a011 reat Eas oon Etat Tuna Stan Ate Fe Yes Coo. 5 1001, se oo aOSTSESS A008 2018 ‘yok € ae Oat €:192-2002: Perspective 2 Decade of ots ures BT Tsuna Case Suds and Recent Deepens eed ye Seat Springer Neternds, Srdae 105 Mepis er eo azEH891 1 2008 2, Oslo RA, aut A loa, Ruse E, nah H:SPH medal rami impact ss Boe an ride rs Cos Er, 14,2548, Wl 9. ard Copp &J-New eritalreaborships aeng magne, rope lngth up wthrptreaes, nasraedepaceartBa Semel Soe fr, eb, 0. ML an Cox 0. T:Aapeaton ot aglty cureso etre balling Samage 20 es re OH OE aT 20, rd sconomicos at communi sa: cat uy of Sede, Oregon, Nat Hara 1, jeunes: Nenshore ura rade of Lanka dee pebabe wrstase seo sana he nan Deeb, Cant Eng 47-5, pais ep Ne eststng 1202895 2912 eas Kava. 7. a Cheung F eptintpatedntydesatc dl tr wave beard tJ Nur Math id 6475457, [pave noosh os 208, ‘amaze ¥ Cheung. «Faroe Z:bepthinepated,nntytontate mel nesting fortuna genera propapsionandrurt, it} Maver Meth es rater, naira soma 201, Ye Lay. Kana and Kaper KD ap Etat Seami Sure Peart for he 6 Septet 201 Mae, Chile Mn 2 rhs, Pare pl Gans 173, SUVHRD sen 0079026018202, 206 nm

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