Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Level : 3 License
Option : Economic and Social Analysizs
Module : English
Professor : Dr SAMB
College year 2019/2020
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PLAN
INTRODUCTION
CONCLUSION
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INTRODUCTION
The classical model was popular before the great depression. It say that the ecoonomy is very
free-flowing, and prices and wage freely adjust to the ups and downs of demand over time. In
other words, when times are good, wages and prices quickly go up and when times are bad,
wages and prices freely adjust downward the major assumption of this model is that the
economy is always at full employment.a second model is called the keynesian model. As i
said before the model came about as a result of the great depression.economist johnmaynard
keynes observed that the economy is not always at full employment. In other woods the
economy can be below or above is potential. During the great depression unemployment was
widespread, many busnesses failed and the economy was operating at much less than is
potential.
In macroeconomics, it has been customary since Keynes to group together under the name of
"classical" theory the current of thought which goes from Adam Smith (Wealth of Nations,
1776), Jean Baptise Say(Treaty of political economy, 1803), 1803) and David Ricardo
(Principles of political economy and taxation, 1817) until Alfred Marshall.
Thus, three principles are at the base of this classical theory:
the law of outlets, the quantitative theory of money and the self-regulation of the market.
1. Law of outlets
The law of outlets is a theory developed by economist Jean-Baptiste Say (1767-1832) according
to which the producer creates demand by offering his products, thus offering an outlet for other
goods for the amount of his value. If the producer offers his production, it is in order to be able,
with the income he derives from it, to acquire other products, thus creating outlets for other
producers, money being only an intermediary in trade. According to this law, there could be no
crises of overproduction.
« Since each of us can only buy the products of others with our own products; since the value
that we can buy is equal to the value that we can produce, men will buy all the more the more
they produce. There this other conclusion which you refuse to admit, that if certain commodities
do not sell, it is because others do not occur; and that it is the production alone which opens
outlets for the products. » Jean-Baptiste Say - Letter to Malthus on political economy and the
stagnation of trade
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2. The quantitative theory of money
The quantitative theory of money postulates a direct link between the quantity of money in
circulation and the price level. According to this approach, monetary stimulus does not have
lasting beneficial effects on the economy, it will only generate inflation.
Distant origins
From the Renaissance, Nicolas Copernicus and Jean Boding put in relation the link between the
quantity of money in circulation and the evolution of prices. Indeed, the arrival of gold
following the colonization of America leads to inflationary surges, mainly in Spain.
In the 19th century, the quantitative theory of money was developed in particular by David
Ricardo. Karl Marx, however opposed on many points to Ricardo's thought, is also a supporter
of the quantitative theory of money. It can be summed up as follows: a change in the money
supply results in an increase in prices.
The equation at the base of the quantitative theory of money is due to Irving Fischer, an
American economist of the beginning of the 20th century. It comes in the form:
M×V=P×Y
Where M is the quantity of money in circulation, V the speed of circulation of money (number
of transactions carried out), P the price level and Y the volume of production (in other words
the GDP).
This equation is an accounting identity, not a theory in itself. However, supporters of the
quantitative theory of money consider that V is fixed and that Y is independent of the quantity
of money in circulation. In this case, a change in the money supply is automatically reflected in
a change in the price level. In other words, an increase in the quantity of money automatically
creates inflation.
The quantitative theory of money will be defended in the second half of the 20th century by a
current of thought sometimes called monetarist, of which Milton Friedman was one of the main
representatives. According to Friedman, "Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary
phenomenon in the sense that it is and can only be generated by an increase in the quantity of
money faster than that of production."
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3. Market self-regulation
Smith's "invisible hand" metaphor is interpreted to mean that by allowing individuals to act
in their own best interests, general well-being is assured. The pursuit of self-interest leads
to exchange, which leads to specialization and therefore to general prosperity.
Thus the liberal or classical current advocates economic liberalism and the abstention of the
State in the economy. We must promote laissez-faire and let the markets self-regulate
through the invisible hand dear to ADAM SMITH.
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Effective demand and Say's law
The expected demand is the demand anticipated by the entrepreneurs. The latter calculate
the production they must achieve in order to offer the optimum quantity of goods and
services demanded by economic agents. The underemployment of factors of production is,
according to Keynes, due to the fact that entrepreneurs have pessimistic expectations and
underestimate effective demand. Keynes, unlike Jean-Baptiste Say and the neo-classics,
does not reason within the framework of « perfect rationality of agents and ... perfect
information on the present and future situation »1 also effective demand depends on
forecasts of agents which may not lead to full employment.
Effective demand and the labor market
For Keynes, salary is not only a cost, it is also an important determinant of demand.
Moreover, for Keynes, the price mechanism on the labor market does not usually lead to
full employment, hence the introduction of the concept of involuntary unemployment.
A fall in nominal wages would lead to a contraction in demand which would in turn lead to
a fall in production. While for Jean-Baptiste Say supply creates its own demand, for Keynes,
insufficient effective demand will determine a supply which will not correspond to a
situation of full employment: “the mere fact that there is insufficient demand effective can
and often stops the increase in employment before it has reached its maximum ”. So, for
him, unemployment can be involuntary.
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Alan Blinder, Keynesian Economics. (wikipedia)
remunerated however adapts to the interest rates expected from the rémunérations. The
lower the rates, the more investors will tend to prefer liquidity, especially since when rates
are low, they can be expected to rise, causing bond prices to fall. Investors therefore ask
for a liquidity premium to invest for the long term.
3. Government intervation
Keynes rejected the idea that the economy would return to a natural state of equilibrium.
Instead, argued that once an economi downturn sets in, for whateve reason, the fear and
gloom that it engenders among businesses and investor will tend tobecome self-fulfilling
and can lead to a substained period of depressed economic activity and unemployment. In
reponse to this, keynes advocated a countercyclical fiscal policy in which, periods of
economy woe, the governement should undertake deficit spending to make up for thr
decline in investment and boost consumer spending in order to stabilize aggregate demand
Keynes was highlycritical o the british governement at the time. Thegovernement gretly
increased welfare spending and raised taxes to balance the national books. Keynes said
this would not encourage people to spend their money, thereby leaving the economy
unstimulated and unable to recover and return to a sucessful state. Instead, he proposed that
the governement spend more money and cut taxes to turn a budget deficit which would
increase consumer demand in the economy. This would, in turn, lead to zn increase
inoverall activity economic actiity and a reduction in unemployment.
CONCLUSION
The classical model is often termed « laissez –faire « because there is little need for the
government to intervene in managing the economy.
the keynesian model makes for greater level of government intervention, especially ina
recession when there is a need for government spending to offset the fall in private sector
investment.
Bibliography
BAILLY.J-L, CAIRE .G, (2019) Macroeconomics , chap 1et 2
Webography
http//www.wikipedia.com
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