Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Index
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Introduction & Firm Obj
Weird business
The Business World is very weird not to mention financial world!!
Lehman Brothers assets was $639 bn vs Egypt GDP $452 bn, and at the end LB was down
While a person like Warren Edward Buffett is the most successful investor in the world, and
is consistently ranked among the world's wealthiest people and his investing could bit the
market
The main aim of this decisions is to Maximize the Value of the firm (OR maximize the stock
price)
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Investment
What long-term investments should you take on?
Opportunity NO
Cost ? Yes
Our aim is
to reduce
uncertainty
Finance
Where will you get the long-term financing to pay for your investment? Will you bring in other
owners or will you borrow the money?
Finance
Equity Debit
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Theory of Debt
More is better than less, unless the more will make you less in your position.
Dividends
The dividends is the part of profit that given to the owners
Profit
Reinvest (Returned
Dividends
earning)
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Why Finance is of a major importance
Every decision that a business makes has financial implications.
Corporate
Finance
Conclusion: everything that a business does fits under the rubric of corporate finance
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The Agency Problem (Sarbans-Oxley Act 2001)
The relationship between stockholders and management is called an agency relationship. Such a
relationship exists whenever someone (the principal) hires another (the agent) to represent his
or her interests. For example, you might hire someone (an agent) to sell a car you own while
you are away at school. In all such relationships, there is a possibility of conflict of interest
between the principal and the agent. Such a conflict is called an agency problem.
In response to corporate scandals at companies such as Enron, WorldCom, Tyco, and Adelphia,
Congress enacted the Sarbanes–Oxley Act in 2002. The act, better known as “Sarbox,” is
intended to protect investors from corporate abuses
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How managers (Agencies) could abuse others
In this course we are dealing with CORPORATION which represent 20% but responsible for
80% of the international production
Corporate governance
Shareholder structure
Institutional vs free float
More institutional is much better because they have more knowledge and specialist who work
with to determine which to invest in, but the problem lay if their benefits counteract the
individuals’ benefits (could hurt individuals by manipulating)
The question we try to answer here, who control this firm? For this point and the coming point,
analysis of board
Analysis of Board
It’s better that most of the board member from the share holder
The better that the board member majority to be from outsider
The count of member preferred to be odd number
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We should now from the board guidelines how is the chairman is nominated
Its better that the chairman is not the same person as the CEO (accept if he had a perfect
vision for the industry like Apple)
Society
The shareholders want the value of corporate donation for community (CSR) to be zero
while the community want it to be 100%
We could use marketing campaign to overcome this constrain, by market to the company
and at the same time donate to the community
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Financial analysis
Efficient Market hypothesis “EMH”
Financial analysis
Technical
Fundemental
(Price bhaviour - Chart
(Top down analysis)
analyisi)
Because we are academic course we will study the fundamental financial analysis
Country Level
Sector Level
Industry Level
Firm Level
Country Level
Due to fluctuations in currencies, employment, government stimulus and taxation issues among other things,
specific countries may be doing better economically than others. Particularly when considering whether to
invest in or not (eg: Inflation, GDP, culture, level of education, ..)
Sector Level
After taking at look and narrowing down to a country economy that is doing well, take a look at how specific
sectors may be doing, and their outlook. An example of a sector would be the "Technology Sector".
Industry Level
Taking one step further, once a sector is targeted, take a look within that sector to see which industry may
be doing better than others, and their outlook. An example of an industry within the "Technology Sector"
would be "Application Software". (eg: potential growth, life cycle, …)
Firm Level
Once you have narrowed down a possible Industry, take a look at potential individual businesses within that
industry. An example of an individual business with the "Application Software" industry would be "Microsoft".
(eg: Ratio Analysis, ..)
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Ratio Analysis
Accounting review
Basic Equation
= +
Assets Liabilities Equity
Intangeble Current
Current Assets Fixed Assets Long term Liabilities Capital
Assets Liabilities
Accounting
Inventory real estate franchise Bond
payable
Unearned
Supplies furniture trademark
revenue
Account
Know how
recivables
Prepaid
Expences
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Liquidity ratios
Do the firm have enough money to pay its duties?
We measure the firm ability to meet its short term obligation
Current ratio
Quick ratio
NB: in some corporates the profit could be misleading, because the management are selling the
corporate assets, and in the other hand, lose could be acceptable if there are big investment
paid
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Financial leverage (Capital structure ratios)
Refers to the way a firm finances its assets (The firm ability to manage its liabilities)
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Assets Management Efficiency Ratios
Asset management efficiency ratios measure
a firm’s effectiveness in utilizing its assets to Assets Sales
generate sales.
Fixed Current
Total Assets ratio Assets Assets
Sales
Total Assets =
Assets
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Inventory ratio
Cost of Goods
Inventory ratio =
Inventory
measures how many times the company turns over its inventory during the year
Shorter inventory cycles lead to greater liquidity since the items in inventory are converted
to cash more quickly.
We compare the Inventory to the Cost of goods not the whole sales, because inventory is
recorded with the cost value so it should be compared with the cost value of the quantity
sold, which is Cost of goods
Mobinil Example
Inventory Turnover = Cost of Goods Sold / Inventory
2,339 / 177 = 13.2 times
The firm turned over its inventory 13.2 times per year.
(2010- 17.6) (2009 -16.81) (2008 – 18)
Industry – 17
In this ratio there are the same above mistake in the total assets ratio
Sales
A/R ratio = A/R
Measures how many times accounts receivable are “rolled over” during a year
It is compared to Credit sales not all the sales, because account receivable arise from
credit sales only not from the cash sales.
Gives us an indicator to evaluate collection management in the firm.
Mobinil Example
Receivables Turnover = Sales / Accounts Receivable
9676 / 524 = 18.4
The firm’s accounts receivable were turning over at 18.4 times per year
(2010- 26.2) (2009 – 35.96) (2008 – 40)
Industry 35
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In this ratio there are the same above mistake in the total assets ratio in addition that we
should subtract the cash sales from it, but we will keep also both mistakes
365
Average Collection Period = A/R ratio
Measures the average number of days it takes the firm to collects its receivables.
Mobinil Example
Days’ Sales in Receivables = 365 / Receivables Turnover
365 / 18.4 = 19.8 days
The firm collects its accounts receivable in average 19.8 days.
Profitability Ratios
The profitability ratio measures a company’s profit in relation to its sales, assets, and equity.
ROE
Equity
Sales Profit
Assets
Profit Margin
ROI
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170/ 9767 = 0.01 or - 1%
99% of my sales are cost and 1% only profit
(2010- 13%) (2009- 18.71%) (2008 – 19.9)
Industry 14%
Net Income
ROI =
Assets
Net Income
ROE =
Owners’ Equity
Measures the profit as a percentage of owners’ equity. It tells us how well a company is
using owners’ equity to generate a profit
Mobinil Example
Return on Equity (ROE) = Net Income / Total Equity
170 / 3587= 0.04 times or - 4%
For every 100 invested by the owners they get 4 LE
Industry 12%
ROE is the most important ratio that explain the history and forecast the future, as from Du
Pont Identity we prove that, ROE = Profit Margin * Total Assets Turnover * Equity Multiplier
Profit margin is a measure of the firm’s operating efficiency – how well does it control costs
Total asset turnover is a measure of the firm’s asset use efficiency – how well does it manage
its assets
Equity multiplier is a measure of the firm’s financial leverage
Investors and others are frequently interested in knowing how rapidly a firm's sales can grow.
The important thing to recognize is that if sales are to grow, assets have to grow as well, at
least over the long run, so this may forecast how the company will do in the future
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Payout and Retention Ratios
Retention = return earning = plowback = re invested = b or RR
Dividends = Pay out ratio = 1 –b
could be more than 1, only if management decide to take debt to pay dividends for owners
Growth rate
A firm has two broad sources of financing, internal and external, internal financing simply refers to
what the firm earn and plow back (b) into the business, externa (sustainable) financing refer to funds
raised by either borrowing money or selling stock
Growth
Internal Sustainable
Internal growth
The internal growth rate tells us how much the firm can grow assets using retained earnings as the
only source of financing
ROA b
Internal Growth Rate
1 - ROA b
g (Growth) = ROE X b
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Time Value of Money
The phrase time value of money refers to the fact that a dollar in hand today is worth more than a dollar
promised at some time in the future.
The first thing we will study is future value, refers to the amount of money an investment will grow to over some
period of time at some given interest rate.
For calculating any interest there are two way of calculation, simple and compound, simple mean calculating
every year the interest ratio on the initial invested money, while the compound calculate the interest value at the
end of the year on the initial invested money in addition to the interest (Interest on interest)
Single interest
Interest earned only on the original principal amount invested
Compound interest
Interest earned on both the initial principal and the interest reinvested from the prior periods
Future value
Simple Compound
Single
Multiple
Annuities
Ordinary Perpetuities
Constant
Growing
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Single cash
In the single cash, you only pay single cash at the beginning
1 1 1
PV FV
FV = PV X (1 + r) n
FV= Future Value
PV = Present Value
r = interest rate
n = number of period
We always calculate the present value, because we always estimate the future and the make
discounting to check its value now, to decide whether to invest or not.
n
PV = FV /(1+r)
Multiple cash
In the multiple cash, you pay multiple times in the beginning and at other period
1 1 1
PV FV
In this case we calculate the present value by discounting each cash flow separately
Example
1 1 1
X 1/1.06
$943.40
$1780.00 X 1/1.062
$2518.86 X 1/1.063
PV = $ 5242.26, for r= 6%
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Ordinary Annuities cash
An annuity is a constant cash flow that occurs at regular intervals for a fixed period of time
A A A
1 1 1
1
1 - (1 + r) n
PV of an Annuity = PV(A, r, n) = A
r
A A A
1 1 1
A
PV of Perpetuity =
r
A B C
1 1 1
CF1
PV of Growing Perpetuity =
(r - g)
where
CF1 is the expected cash flow next year (B)
g is the constant growth rate and
r is the discount rate
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