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Business News Analysis 1
Business News Analysis 1
Academic Task No.: 03 Academic Task Title: Analysis of Ten Business News
Learning Outcomes: (Student to write briefly about learnings obtained from the academic tasks)
Get to know various news and the related impact in the economy of every country.
Get to know the impact of corona virus outbreak in the global financial crisis.
Declaration:
I declare that this Assignment is my individual work. I have not copied it from any other student’s work
or from any other source except where due acknowledgement is made explicitly in the text, nor has any
part been written for me by any other person.
Student’s Signature:
1. Corona virus pandemic economic fallout “ way worse than the global
financial crisis”, IMF chief says- CNBC
2. Coronavirus threatens the next generation of smartphones - BBC News
3. Covid-19 impact: Flying ban lands 80% of Indian aircraft at top six airports -
The Economic Times
4. India GDP forecast: Fitch slashes India growth forecast to 30-year low of
2% for FY21 - The Economic Times
5. Jobs destroyed worldwide as coronavirus sparks recession - The Economic
Times
6. For oil refiners, things have gone from bad to worse in March quarter- Live
Mint
7. RBI announces 3rd targeted LTRO for Rs 25,000 cr to ensure adequate
liquidity- Business Today
8. WHO: Countries rushing to lift coronavirus restrictions risk 'severe' damage
to economy-CNBC
9. Coronavirus Fallout: Fruit farmer stare at a loss of Rs 7000 Cr amid
nationwide lockdown- MoneyControl
10. US wages could take 4 to 5 years to recover from coronavirus outbreak-
CNBC
Key Points:
The coronavirus pandemic has created an economic crisis "like no other," the top
International Monetary Fund official said.
"Never in the history of the IMF have we witnessed the world economy come to a
standstill," said Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the IMF.
"It is way worse than the global financial crisis" of 2008
2008-09,
09, Georgieva said during a
World Health Organization news conference.
Analysis:
The IMF is working with the World Bank and other international financial institutions to
alleviate the economic fallout from the outbreak, which has infected more than 1 million
people in almost every country across the world, and killed more than 55,000 people.
The IMF is encouraging central banks in developed countries to support emerging
markets and developing countries.
The IMF has a $1 trillion fund allocated for this pandemic and also determined to use as
much of it as necessary.
As per the official report from IMF More than 90 countries so far have applied for
assistance from those funds.
nds.
From this pandemic most of the developing economies have been hardest hit and often
have fewer resources to protect themselves from the economic fallout.
News Article 2
Key Points:
Approximately 70% off smartphones are manufactured in China - so as the pandemic hit
China, there has been significant disruption to the supply of existing devices," says Razat
Gaurav, chief executive of Llamasoft, a supply chain analytics company.
Many smartphone makers rely on components that are made in China and South Korea,
two nations that have been hardest hit by the outbreak.
And it's not just supply, demand has fallen dramatically. Shipments of smartphones in
China tumbled by 40% in the first quarter of 2020, compared with the same period last
year,according to research firm IDC
IDC.
Key Points:
Delhi: India’s top six airports, including the two biggest hubs of New Delhi and Mumbai,
are now home to about 80% of the civilian aircraft that have had to remain on the ground
since the authorities enforced a blanked flying ban last week to help contain the Covid-19
Covid
outbreak in the country.
“Indian carriers have around 650
650-odd
odd planes in their fleet and parking for these airplanes
is not a problem. All airports together, including the government
government--owned Airports
Authority of India (AAI) airports, can handle many more planes,” said a senior AAI
official.
Airport officials said that Delhi airport itself has parking bays for about 196 aircraft and
Mumbai has place for about 100 aircraft.
Analysis:
Data sourced
rced from industry sources and flight tracking portals show that at top six
airports — Delhi, Mumbai, Bengaluru, Hyderabad, Kolkata and Chennai — 538 of the
total 650 aircraft are parked. Sources, however, added that planes are also parked at one
of the runways
nways at Delhi airport, which is the only facility in India that has three runways.
News Article 4
Analysis:
As outbreak is increasing, micro, small and medium-sized enterprises and the services
segment are likely to be among the most affected amid reduced consumer spending due
to the lockdown all over the country which will impact the source of revenue for these
sectors.
As discussed above this micro, small sized enterprises are the NBFCs' business borrowers
and are typically smaller with more limited cash buffers, and any material fall in earnings
is likely to affect their ability to repay their loans directly. This will impact the financial
institutions also.
The challenges for India's non-bank financial institutions (NBFI) will intensify as local
measures to contain the spread of the coronavirus exert pressure on their operating
performance and financial profiles. Government-imposed activity restrictions in India
will raise operational complications for the NBFIs, while any escalation in local
infections would deal a blow to economic sentiment.
Key Points:
The world’s workers are reeling from the initial shock of the coronavirus recession, with
job losses and welfare claims around the globe already running into the millions this
week.
As the International Labour Organization warns of almost 25 million layoffs if
i the virus
isn’t controlled, the cuts from Austria to the U.S. reflect the deepest peacetime recession
since the 1930s as economies are frozen to beat the pandemic.
“We see unemployment rates in the U.S. and Europe getting up well up into the teens,”
Peterr Hooper, global head of economic research at Deutsche Bank AG, told Bloomberg
Television. “Given the pain that we see near
near-term
term in the U.S. and Europe, this is
unprecedented since the Great Depression, in terms of magnitudes.”
Analysis:
Rising unemployment will intensify pressure on governments and central banks to speed
delivery of programs to either compensate workers who are made redundant, or try to
persuade employers to hoard staff until the virus fades. Failure would risk an even deeper
recession
cession or weak recovery that would require policy makers to consider yet more
stimulus on top of that already deployed.
Key Points:
The benchmark Singapore gross refining margin (GRM) is estimated to have averaged
only $1.20 a barrel up to 27 March in the quarter, compared to $1.70 per barrel in the
December quarter.
This has obviously impacted on state
state-run oil marketing companies
nies (OMCs) Bharat
Petroleum Corp. Ltd (BPCL), Hindustan Petroleum Corp. Ltd (HPCL) and Indian Oil
Corp. Ltd (IOC).
Analysis:
There could be respite due to higher auto fuel marketing margins; extent of gains remains
to be seen
The 21-day
day nationwide lockd
lockdown
own is expected to impact fuel demand, as all kinds of
transportation activity has diminished greatly, but it will be impacting every auto oil
marketing companies of India.
There is complete collapse of fuel demand due to the shutdown and even refining
throughput
oughput shutdown coupled with the inventory loss owing to a $12 per barrel decline in
News Article 7
Key Points:
While announcing the TLTRO, the monetary authority had said banks would have
deployed at least 50 per cent of the proceeds in corporate bonds, commercial papers and
debentures, so that the secondary market for debt remains fully liquid.
Analysis:
Banks would have deploy at least 50 per cent of the proceeds in corporate bonds,
commercial papers and debentures, so that the secondary market for debt remains fully
liquid. And will help in the market to operate their operation and also would help people
for living.
In this globally faced financial crisis, The TLTRO will go a long way in helping the fund-
starved nonbanking financial companies (NBFCs) and housing finance companies
(HFCs) as they borrow heavily from the debt market to meet their working capital
requirements.
With the intensification of redemption pressures, liquidity premia on instruments such as
corporate bonds, commercial paper and debentures have surged. Combined with the
thinning of trading activity with the virus outbreak, financial conditions for these
instruments, which are used to access working capital in the face of the slowdown in
bank credit, have also tightened.
Banks shall be required to acquire up to 50 percent of their incremental holdings of
eligible instruments from primary market issuances and the remaining fifty per cent from
the secondary market, including from mutual funds (MFs) and NBFCs.
Key Points:
Countries that rush to lift quarantine restrictions designed to contain the coronavirus
pandemic risk even worse economic damage, the World Health Organization says.
“We are all aware of the profound social and economic consequences of the pandemic,”
WHO’s top official says.
Analysis:
Countries needs to help their citizens by expanding social welfare programs, moving
financial barriers and ensuring public health measures are so that people will not face
their financial incapability and will help in improvement of societal welfare.
This is an unprecedented crisis which demands an unprecedented response. If people
delay care or avoid it because they can’t afford it, they not onl
onlyy harm themselves, they
make the pandemic harder to control and put society at risk. So it’s every countries
responsibility to make sure to take care every fellow citizen.
World leaders need to build up their public health systems if we’re going to get out of an
interminable cycle of economically punishing lockdowns and shutdowns, we must get
News Article 9
Key Points:
The outbreak of Coronavirus and a freeze in the freight and logistics industry that
followed the pandemic may lead to a collective loss of almost $1 billion or around Rs
7,000 crore for the fruit growing farmers across the country.
For many fruit growing farmers, the time between March and May is particularly joyous
as fruits are transported and sold to wholesale markets and from there it reaches the
consumers.
Analysis:
Banana prices have dropped by 60 percent in the last two weeks to about Rs 400 a quintal
but still there are no takers due to non-availability of distribution channels and partial
close down transportation. , transporters charged around Rs 45,000 that has now risen to
as much as Rs 85,000.This has trickled down to consumers in urban cities. Fruits are
being bought at higher prices and the middle man is making money in the process.
The current situation will impact the small acreage farmers more as such farmers take
loans for farming. Simply put, they will not be able to repay the crop loan they had taken
and may even not have spare money for the next year's season. This will directly cause
the production for the next season and will also cause life threatening situation for the
Several farmers across the region are struggling to sell their produce. Just like banana
growers, farmers are facing trouble in selling their oranges. Oranges have a shelf life of
two weeks after harvest if they are not able to sell then farmers will incur a major loss
this year.
Oranges from India are also exported to European countries which have also been
stopped during the lockdown. Farmers might face a collective loss of Rs 2,000 crore if
the situation remains the same. Not only with orange and bananas but with other fruits the
The government announced a lockdown in the country on March 24. Farmers complain
that until a week after the announcement there was no transportation allowed by state
governments. In major cities, markets are open for a fixed time period so the demand for
uncertainty in income people first think only about stocking up on essentials needed for
News Article 10
Key Points:
It may take Americans up to five years to recover from the hit their wages will take
during the coronavirus pandemic, according to an analysis by Payscale.
Blue-collar and small-business
business workers are feeling the biggest impact, said Sudarshan
Sampath, director of research for PayScale, a compensation software and data company.
A lot of folks working for small businesses are probably going to experience something
very similar to 2008, where they are losing everything; it w
will
ill take four to five years for
them to recover.
The pandemic has caused businesses to shutter and workers to lose or be furloughed from
their jobs. About 10 million Americans have filed for unemployment insurance over the
past two weeks. The biggest groups looking for work are bartenders, athletic coaches and
wait staff.
The Q1 2020 Payscale Index, which tracks quarterly and annual trends in compensation,
found that wages in sales jobs and the energy and utility sectors saw the least growth last
quarter.
On the other hand, Transportation topped the list, because of the lockdown in almost
every affected countries the increase in demand for delivered goods from the many
people working from home. First-quarter wages grew 3.2% over the past year In
America.
In the next few weeks, if we see cases and hospitalizations go down, I would feel good
about saying for larger firms it is going to be business as usual come and they will
improve some stance but it is only possible if this could be controlled but as we are
looking the condition of this outbreak the globally pandemic in increasing and can be
predict that the world is going be in worse condition than the year 2007-2009 recession
period.
Recommendation
The stock has turned upwards on good volumes after forming a double bottom, triggering a
resumption of the uptrend. Moreover, it took support at the trend line in the recent correction and
resumed its upward journey, confirming bullishness. RSI has turned upwards, closing beyond the
60-level after making a higher low, which is a sign of strength. the stock has broken out of a
rounding bottom resistance on good volumes, triggering resumption of the uptrend. Further, a
sustained trade beyond Rs 430 will extend the gains in the coming sessions. RSI is also
suggesting an up move. Headline Indices ended lower for the second day running amidst
volatility. Further, the Nifty50 index turned sharply lower post breakdown from the trend line
support of 15,200. However, on the downside, 15,000 will act as a demand zone.