Professional Documents
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2. Backwardation
o A situation where it is more expensive to buy the commodity in spot
market than agree to buy it at a future date using futures contract.
o Can occur as a result of a higher demand currently due to shortage of the
commodity in the spot market.
o Traders can make profit by short selling at current price and buy at lower
futures price.
o Result in a downward sloping forward curve.
Regardless of contango or backwardation, price will eventually converge to the spot
price as maturity approaches.
2.5 Delivery
The period during which delivery can be made is defined by the exchange.
The decision on which delivery will be made is defined by short position holder.
Procedure:
1. When the decision to delivery is made, his broker will issue a notice of intention
to deliver to the exchange.
2. The exchange will choose the party with a long position to accept the delivery.
o There is no guarantee that it will be the party that he first entered the
contract into will be the one receiving the delivery.
o Counterparty may have already close his position by trading with other
investors.
o Exchange will usually choose the party with oldest outstanding long
position to receive the notice.
3. Parties with long positions must accept the delivery notice.
o If the notice is transferrable, they have a limited amount of time (half an
hour) to find another party with long position to take the delivery in place
of them.
4. Parties taking the delivery is responsible for all costs involved and make
immediate payment.
o Warehouse costs, transportation costs, cold storage costs, etc…
5. The whole process generally takes about two to three days.
Three critical days for the contract:
1. First Notice Day
o First day on which a notice of intention for delivery can be submitted to
the exchange.
2. Last Notice Day
o Last day on which a notice of intention for delivery can be submitted to the
exchange.
3. Last Trading Day
o One day before contract’s expiration day, usually a few days before last
notice day.
To avoid risk of having to take delivery, long investors should close out their position
prior to the first notice day.
2.7 Traders
Two main types:
1. Futures Commission Merchants (FMCs)
o Follows instructions of their clients and charge a commission for doing so.
2. Locals
o Trading on own account.
Regardless of the categories, all individuals taking position can be classified into
either hedger, speculator or arbitrageur.
Speculators can be further classified as:
1. Scalpers
o Watching for very short-term trends and attempt to profit from small
changes in the contract price.
2. Day Traders
o Hold their position for less than 1 trading day.
o Unwilling to take the risk that adverse news will occur overnight.
3. Position Traders
o Hold their position for much longer period of time.
o Hope to make significant profit from major movement in the market.
2.8 Orders
Unless otherwise specified, all orders are day orders that expires at the end of the
trading day.
1. Market Order
o A request to carry out trade immediately at the best price available in the
market.
2. Limit Order
o Order can only be executed at a pre-specified price or at one more
favourable to the investor.
o No guarantee that the order will be executed at all because the limit price
may never be reached.
3. Stop-Loss Order
o Order is executed at the best available price once a bid/offer is made at a
pre-specified price or a less favourable price.
o Close out a position if unfavourable price movement takes place to limit
losses.
4. Stop-Limit Order
o Combination of stop-loss order and limit order.
o Specifies both limit price and stop price.
o Stop order is filled at the market price after the stop price has been hit,
regardless of whether the price changes to an unfavourable position.
o Can lead to trades being completed at less than desirable prices
should the market adjust quickly.
o Combining with limit order, after the stop price is triggered, the limit order
takes effect to ensure that the order is not completed unless the price is at
or better than the limit price the investor has specified.
5. Market-if-Touched (MIT) Order/Board Order
o Executed at the best available price after a trade occurs at a specified
price or a more favourable price.
o Ensure profits are taken if sufficiently favourable market movement
occurs.
6. Market-Not-Held Order/Discretionary Order
o Similar to market order except that execution can be delayed at broker’s
discretion in attempt to get a better price.
7. Time-of-Day Order
o Specifies a particular period of time during the day when the order can be
executed.
8. Open Order/Good-Till-Cancelled Order
o In effect until execution or until the end of trading in a particular contract.
9. Fill-or-Kill Order
o Must be executed immediately on receipt or not at all.
2.9Regulations
Futures market are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC).
Roles:
o Ensure prices are communicated to the public and futures traders report their
outstanding positions if they are above certain level.
o License all individuals who offer their services to the public in futures trading.
Investigate these individual’s background and impose minimum capital
requirement.
o Deal with complaints of public and ensure disciplinary actions are taken
against individuals when appropriate.
o Responsible for rules requiring that standard OTC derivatives be traded on
swap execution facilities and cleared through central counterparties.