Professional Documents
Culture Documents
a
School of Accounting, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing, China. Email: baoy@cqut.edu.cn.
b
Department of Accountancy and Finance, University of Otago, New Zealand. Email: daisy.chou@otago.ac.nz.
c
Corresponding author, Department of Economics and Finance, La Trobe University, Bundoora, VIC 3086, Australia.
Tel: +61 3 9479 3120, Email: j.zhao@latrobe.edu.au. This project is supported by the National Social Science
Research Foundation of China (Grant No.: 15CJY006).
0
ABSTRACT
Since 2001, the China Securities Regulatory Commission has implemented a series of policies to
ensure that dividend payments constitute a prerequisite of equity financing. This is known as the
semi-mandatory dividend policy. Using a sample of Chinese listed firms from 2007 to 2015, we
document that firms with more R&D investments tend to pay more dividends. While this is not
consistent with the classical dividend theorem, it can be explained by the semi-mandatory dividend
policy and the unique features of R&D investments. R&D firms are more likely to have equity
financing needs and they have strategic incentives to pay dividends in order to access external
capital markets. Such pay-for-financing incentives are stronger for firms with lower cash holdings
and less financial constraints. By examining future seasoned equity offerings, we further
demonstrate equity financing needs as the underlying mechanism for R&D investments to
positively affect dividend payout. In addition, we show that such semi-mandatory dividend
payments adversely affect firm value and sustainable growth and our findings hold after controlling
Keywords: R&D investments, Dividend payout, Semi-mandatory dividend policy, China, Equity
financing
economic growth, and in recent decades this has sharply increased. Firms’ dividend policy has
become an increasingly controversial topic in the finance literature. The essential question to ask
is: do R&D firms pay more or less dividends than non-R&D firms? It has been argued in the
classical dividend theorem that in an imperfect capital market internal funds offer a less costly
source of capital than the external market, and when investments and dividends compete for limited
internal funds, firms may be forced to choose between paying dividends and pursuing valuable
investment projects (Fama and French, 2002; DeAngelo et al., 2006). It ties dividend payments to
investments and predicts a negative effect of R&D investments on dividend payout. In the
literature, empirical studies provide supporting evidence for this prediction but are largely limited
to developed markets. For instance, Fama and French (2001) and Bates et al. (2009) show that
firms with more R&D investments pay less dividends in the U.S., while Gugler (2003) reports a
similar negative effect for a panel of Austrian firms. In this paper, we focus on understanding the
nexus between R&D investments and dividend payments in China which has a unique institutional
setting.
As a developing market, China has long been characterized as having weak investor
protection and corporate governance mechanisms (Allen et al., 2005). Chinese publicly listed firms
are eager to raise external funds yet reluctant to pay dividends. Since 2001, the China Securities
Regulatory Commission (CSRC)1 has implemented a series of policies to protect investors’ rights
by tying securities issuance to dividend payments. On May 6, 2006 and October 9, 2008, the CSRC
released two decrees to define minimum dividend payments as a prerequisite for equity financing.
These regulations cannot force all listed companies to pay dividends, but they impose constraints
1
CSRC is China’s counterpart of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
2
mandatory dividend policy (hereafter, SMDP). Many studies have demonstrated the effectiveness
of the SMDP in enhancing dividend payout propensity and ratio of Chinese listed firms (Deng et
al., 2013; Wei et al., 2017). Its semi-mandatory nature, however, may weaken or even reverse the
Unlike capital expenditures, R&D investments are long-term and inflexible projects and
largely financed by external capital markets (Kim and Weisbach, 2008; Brown et al., 2012;
Guarigli and Liu, 2014). Firms with more R&D investments tend to have more equity financing
needs and therefore are more affected by the SMDP. In order to access external capital markets,
there are strategic incentives for R&D firms to pay dividends to meet the prerequisite of equity
financing, which we call pay-for-financing incentives. Using a sample of Chinese listed firms from
2007 to 2015, this paper documents that firms with more R&D investments tend to pay more
dividends, i.e. a positive effect of R&D investments on dividend payout. While this is not
consistent with the classical dividend theorem, it can still be explained by the pay-for-financing
Firm with higher R&D needs are expected to face internal cash shortages and consequently
have stronger incentives for future refinancing. McLean (2011) shows that firms increasingly issue
shares for the purpose of cash savings. It suggests firms with less cash holdings having more equity
financing needs. Moreover, firms rely extensively on cash holdings to smooth their R&D
expenditures in response to transitory finance shocks (Brown and Peterson, 2011). For this reason,
we predict that firms with less cash holdings are more influenced by the SMDP due to their stronger
pay-for-financing incentives. Consistent with this prediction, this paper shows that the positive
effect of R&D investments on dividend payout is stronger for firms with less cash holdings.
3
We also examine whether firms’ financial constraints affect this positive relationship
between R&D investments and dividend payout. Prior research defines financially constrained
firms as those encountering severe agency and transaction costs when accessing external capital
markets (Korajczyk and Levy, 2003). The CSRC uses a merit-based system to regulate share
issuance of listed firms, which requires them to meet certain accounting performance measures.
Even if financially constrained firms have paid cash dividends and met the requirements of the
SMDP, it is less likely that they will qualify for equity financing due to their poorer accounting
performance, and therefore they have less pay-for-financing incentives. Consistent with this
argument, we demonstrate that the positive effect of R&D investments on dividend payout is less
In China, securities issuance mainly refers to seasonal equity offerings (SEOs). We show
that the propensity and intensity of future SEOs are positively associated with R&D investments.
It confirms equity financing needs as the underlying mechanism for R&D investments to positively
affect dividend payout. For firms with R&D investments, internal funds provide a less costly
source of capital compared to external equity markets, but under the SMDP they are forced to pay
dividends in order to meet the prerequisite of equity financing. We show that such semi-mandatory
dividend payments have adverse impacts on firm value and sustainable growth, and diminish the
stage least squares and propensity score matching (PSM) approaches and our findings remain
robust.
the best of our knowledge, it is the first study documenting R&D investments as having a positive
effect on dividend payout. Existing studies are largely limited to developed markets, and they find
that firms with more R&D investments pay less dividends (Fama and French, 2001; Bah and
4
Dumontier, 2001; Bates, 2009), which is consistent with the classical dividend theorem. Our
findings can be explained by the unique institutional setting of China, in particular the SMDP, and
the unique features of R&D investments. It points out the importance of revisiting classical
corporate finance theories to establish their relevance and explanatory power in the context of
Our findings also contribute to the literature analyzing corporate financial policies under
the SMDP. Many studies have demonstrated the effectiveness of the SMDP in enhancing dividend
payout propensity and ratio of Chinese publicly listed firms (Deng et al., 2013; Wei et al., 2017).
To promote dividend payout, the SMDP sets minimum dividend payments as a prerequisite of
equity financing, which generates extra costs for firms to access external capital markets. Although
it aims to protect investors’ rights, we demonstrate that such semi-mandatory dividend payments
adversely impact on firm value and sustainable growth, and such an impact is stronger for firms
with more R&D investments. Given that investments in R&D represent a key driver of long-term
economic growth, Chinese policy-makers may consider relaxing the requirements of SMDP on
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 discusses the research
background and develops our hypotheses. Section 3 describes our research methodology and
sample selection criteria. Section 4 reports our empirical results and findings and finally Section
5 concludes the paper with a summary of the main themes covered here.
Dividend policy has long been a controversial topic in the finance literature. Miller and
Modigliani (1961) demonstrate that in a perfect capital market only investments affect firm value
but they may or may not affect dividend decisions. If the market is less than perfect, for instance,
5
in the presence of financing frictions, internal funds present a less costly source of capital than the
external market. When investments and dividends compete for limited internal funds, firms may
be forced to choose between paying dividends and pursuing valuable investment projects. It ties
dividend payments to investments and predicts a negative relationship between them (Fama and
French, 2002; DeAngelo et al., 2006). Although early empirical studies examining the effect of
investments on dividend payments provide mixed evidence (Fama, 1974; Partington, 1985), more
recent empirical results are largely consistent with investments having a negative effect. 2
Compared to capital expenditures, R&D investments are more relevant to long-term economic
growth. The sharp increase in R&D expenditures in recent decades may affect firms’ dividend
policies, but the empirical examinations are largely limited to developed markets. For instance,
Fama and French (2001) and Bates et al. (2009) show that firms with more R&D investments pay
less dividends in the U.S., and Gugler (2003) reports a similar negative effect for a panel of
Austrian firms. In this paper, we focus on understanding the nexus between R&D investments and
As an emerging market, China has long been plagued by weak investor protection
mechanisms (Allen et al., 2005). Chinese publicly listed firms are eager to raise external funds but
they are reluctant to pay dividends.4 Prior research argues that dividends can be used in an agency
2
For evidence concerning investments’ negative effect on dividend payment, see the following analyses: Adedeji
(1998), Fama and French (2001, 2002), Sarig (2004), DeAngelo et al. (2006), and Soo, Ramalingegowda and Yu
(2017).
3
China’s government announced its “Medium to Long Term Science and Technology Development Plan (2006-2020)”
in 2006, the aim being to: firstly, raise R&D intensity from 1.3% to 2.5% of GDP; secondly, sharply curtail the
country’s reliance on imported technology; and thirdly, obtain advanced core technologies in the manufacturing and
information industries by 2020. It highlights the importance of R&D investments in China. Detailed information
about the development plan can be found at: http://www.gov.cn/english/2006-02/09/content_183426.htm
4
See, for instance, Allen et al. (2005), Chen et al. (2009), and Huang et al. (2011) for evidence of Chinese firms paying
low dividends compared to similar firms operating in countries with stronger investor protection systems.
6
context to prevent insiders from diverting retained earnings for their own benefit (La Porta et al.,
2006). Since 2001, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has implemented a series
of policies to protect investors’ rights by tying equity financing to dividend payments. On March
28, 2001, the CSRC stipulated that listed firms that do not pay continuous cash dividends in the
previous three years do not qualify for securities issuance, which mainly refers to seasoned equity
offerings (SEOs). On May 6, 2006 and October 9, 2008, the CSRC further released two decrees
to define minimum dividend payments as a prerequisite for equity financing. The 2006 (2008)
regulation stipulated that “the cumulatively distributed profits in cash or stocks (cash) in the recent
3 years shall not be less than 20% (30%) of the average annual distributable profits realized in the
recent 3 years”.5 Although these regulations cannot force all listed companies to pay dividends,
they do impose constraints of dividend payments on those listed firms with equity financing needs,
Many studies have demonstrated the effectiveness of the SMDP in enhancing dividend
payout propensity and ratio of Chinese listed firms, in particular those with financing needs (Deng
et al., 2013; Wei et al., 2017). Its semi-mandatory nature, however, may weaken or even reverse
the explanatory power of classical dividend theories. For instance, in contrast to the conventional
negative investment-dividend relationship evidenced in the literature, Deng et al. (2013) document
an “N-shaped” nonlinear relationship between dividends and investments in Chinese firms from
2000 to 2010. Furthermore the average coefficient from regressing investments on dividends is
insignificant.
R&D-driven innovation has long been regarded as a crucial generator of productivity and
innovation and urging firms to invest more in R&D activities (Guariglia and Liu, 2014). The
5
Detailed information about the regulations can be found at:
http://www.csrc.gov.cn/pub/csrc_en/laws/overRule/Decrees/200910/t20091028_166901.html
7
SMDP is especially pertinent to firms with R&D investments as an integral part of their business
strategies. On the one hand, equity financing is the predominant source of finance for R&D
investments, as widely documented in the literature. 6 Kim and Weisbach (2008) explore the
motivations for public equity offerings across 38 countries and find that investments (R&D in
particular) increase following equity offers. On the other hand, innovation activities are generally
considered as long-term projects (Fama and French, 2002). Unlike capital expenditures, R&D
investments are more inflexible and commonly used as a proxy for expected investment or
precautionary motives (McLean, 2011). Therefore, compared to firms without R&D investments,
R&D-intensive firms are more likely to have existing and future equity financing needs, and there
are strategic incentives for them to pay out dividends to meet the prerequisite of equity financing
under the SMDP, which we call pay-for-financing incentives. Although empirical literature
documents R&D firms paying less dividends in some developed markets (Fama and French, 2001;
Gugler, 2003), the effect of R&D investments on Chinese firms’ dividend policies is unclear given
the SMDP.
As discussed above, firms with more R&D investments tend to have more existing and
future equity financing needs due to the nature of R&D investments. Under the SMDP, those firms
are more likely to pay dividends in order to be qualified for securities issuance. In China, a publicly
listed firm’s ability to make an SEO is highly restricted and must be approved by the CSRC. In
2013 the CEO of Shenzhen Stock Exchange pointed out that firms with a high payout ratio, say,
exceeding 50%, should be given priority for SEOs. Therefore, firms with more R&D investments
6
For international evidence regarding the connection between equity financing and R&D investments, see Brown et
al. (2009), Gatchev et al. (2009), Brown et al. (2012), and Guarigli and Liu (2014).
8
tend to pay more dividends in order to obtain access to external financing sources. Our first
hypothesis is as follows:
As noted by Hall (2002), Brown et al. (2009) and many others, firms with a high R&D
emphasis use little debt, and R&D investments are financed mostly with external equity issuance
and internal funds. McLean (2011) contends that firms increasingly issue shares for the purpose
of cash savings, suggesting firms with less cash holdings have more equity financing needs. In
addition, Brown and Peterson (2011) demonstrate that firms rely extensively on cash holdings to
smooth their R&D expenditures in response to transitory finance shocks. Therefore, firms with
less cash holdings are more affected by the SMDP and their pay-for-financing incentives are
H2: The positive effect of R&D investments on dividend payout is stronger for firms with
Prior research defines financially constrained firms as those that face severe agency and
transaction costs when accessing external capital markets (Korajczyk and Levy, 2003). Compared
to unconstrained firms, financially constrained firms experience higher costs of equity financing.
On the other hand, the CSRC uses a merit-based system to regulate share issuance of listed firms,
which requires them to meet certain accounting performance measures. Even if financially
constrained firms have paid cash dividends and met the requirements of the SMDP, it is less likely
for them to qualify for equity financing due to their poorer accounting performance when compared
to unconstrained firms. Therefore, firms with more (less) financial constraints have less (more)
pay-for-financing incentives due to their lower (higher) possibility of receiving external equity
9
H3: The positive effect of R&D investments on dividend payout is stronger for firms with
To examine how R&D investments affect dividends, we consider the following regression
specification:
𝑁
where the dependent variable 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑖,𝑡 is the dividend payout ratio of firm 𝑖 in year 𝑡, measured
by dividend per share divided by earnings per share,7 our main explanatory variable 𝑅&𝐷𝑖,𝑡 denotes
R&D investments of firm 𝑖 in year 𝑡, calculated as R&D expenditures scaled by total assets,8 and
𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑜𝑙𝑛,𝑖,𝑡 , 𝑛 = 1, … , 𝑁, represent a set of control varibales. Many publicly listed firms do not
pay dividends, which makes the dependent variable 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑖,𝑡 censored at zero. Therefore we use
the Tobit model in our regressions.9 Our first hypothesis predicts R&D investments as having a
To test the second hypothesis, we further allow the effect of 𝑅&𝐷 to change with firms’
7
In unreported robustness tests, we use dividend payments to sales and dividend payments to net assets as alternative
measures of dividend payout ratio and obtain qualitatively similar results.
8
In unreported robustness tests, we use R&D expenditures scaled by total sales as an alternative measure of R&D
investments and obtain qualitatively similar results. When R&D investments are measured in the lagged year instead,
the results remain similar.
9
Tobit regression models are widely implemented in studies on payout policy (see Chay and Suh, 2009; Huang et al.,
2011).
10
𝑁
+ ∑ 𝛾𝑛 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑜𝑙𝑛,𝑖,𝑡 + 𝜀𝑖,𝑡 ,
𝑛=1
where 𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ𝑖,𝑡 denotes the cash holdings of firm 𝑖 in year 𝑡, measured as cash and cash equivalent
divided by net assets measured at the beginning of year 𝑡.10 Our second hypothesis predicts 𝛽2 to
be negative in (2), indicating that the positive effect of R&D investments is stronger for firms with
We further examine the role of financial constraints in affecting the relationship of R&D
investments and dividend payout. Hadlock and Pierce (2010) find that firm size and age are
particularly useful predictors of financial constraints levels, and propose a measure of financial
where variable 𝑆𝑖𝑧𝑒 denotes firm size, calculated as the natural logarithm of book value of total
assets, and 𝑎𝑔𝑒 is firm age, i.e. the number of years since IPO. To ensure our variable of financial
𝑆𝐴 − 𝑚𝑖𝑛(𝑆𝐴)
𝑇𝑆𝐴 = , (4)
max(𝑆𝐴) − min(𝑆𝐴)
where 𝑆𝐴 is the SA index, and 𝑚𝑎𝑥(𝑆𝐴) and 𝑚𝑖𝑛(𝑆𝐴) denote the maximum and minimum 𝑆𝐴
value in the whole sample, respectively.12 In particular, we have 𝑇𝑆𝐴 = 1 for 𝑆𝐴 = 𝑚𝑎𝑥(𝑆𝐴),
and 𝑇𝑆𝐴 = 0 for 𝑆𝐴 = 𝑚𝑖𝑛(𝑆𝐴), and the 𝑇𝑆𝐴 index represents a measure of financial constraints
ranging from 0 to 1. To test the third hypothesis, we allow the effect of 𝑅&𝐷 to vary with a firm’s
10
Cash holdings are measured at the beginning of the fiscal year to reflect the fact that investment and dividend
decisions are influenced by the cash reserve of the previous year.
11
The SA index has been adopted by a number of studies as a measure of financial constraints. Examples of recent
studies on this are He and Wintoki (2016) and Koo et al. (2017).
12
In unreported robustness tests, we use 𝑆𝐴 as a measure of financial constraints instead of 𝑇𝑆𝐴 and obtain
qualitatively similar results.
11
𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑖,𝑡 = 𝛼1 + 𝛽1 𝑅&𝐷𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽4 𝑅&𝐷𝑖,𝑡 × 𝑇𝑆𝐴𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽5 𝑇𝑆𝐴𝑖,𝑡
𝑁 (5)
+ ∑ 𝛾𝑛 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑜𝑙𝑛,𝑖,𝑡 + 𝜀𝑖,𝑡 ,
𝑛=1
where 𝑇𝑆𝐴𝑖,𝑡 denotes the 𝑇𝑆𝐴 index of firm 𝑖 in year 𝑡. Our third hypothesis predicts 𝛽4 to be
negative in (5), indicating that the positive effect of R&D investments is stronger for firms with
less financial constraints, since their pay-for-financing incentives are higher compared to firms
of firm 𝑖 in year 𝑡 , representing other possible determinants of dividend payout ratio. Their
definitions are provided in Table I. The first control variable is firm size (Size). We expect its
coefficient to be positive, as empirical evidence shows that larger firms are more likely to pay
higher dividends (Denis and Osovov, 2008). Debt can be a substitute for dividends in mitigating
agency problems, as both debt and dividends reduce free cash flows (Brockman and Unlu, 2009;
Huang et al., 2011). We include leverage (𝐿𝑒𝑣) as a control variable and expect its coefficient to
be negative. Firms with higher profitability tend to pay more dividends (Brockman and Unlu,
2009). We use 𝑅𝑂𝐴 as a proxy for firms’ profitability, and include it as a control variable, of which
between growth prospects and dividend payments (Cheng et al., 2009; Bradford et al., 2013). To
capture this effect, we consider Tobin’s Q ( 𝑇𝑜𝑏𝑖𝑛’𝑠 𝑄 ) as a control variable and expect its
coefficient to be negative. Firms with more free cash flows are expected to pay more dividends
(Gul and Tsui, 1998). We include free cash flow (𝐹𝐶𝐹) as a control variable and expect its
coefficient to be positive. Following Gugler (2003), Ramalingeowda et al. (2013) and many other
studies in dividend policy, we further include some other firm-specific financial variables as
controls, including firm age (𝐴𝑔𝑒), capital expenditures (𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑒𝑥), working capital (𝑊𝑜𝑟𝑘𝑐𝑎𝑝) and
12
firm risk (𝐵𝑒𝑡𝑎).13 As well, prior studies (Sharma, 2011; Chen et al., 2017) show that a firm’s
dividend policy is affected by its governance structure. To capture this effect, we further adopt
(Sh1), board size (Bsize), board independence (Bindpend), and CEO duality (Duality). All our
In January 2007, all publicly listed Chinese firms had to adopt the New Chinese Accounting
Principle 2006, which requires them to disclose R&D expenditures. To ensure consistent
measurements of R&D expenditures and financial data, our sample stocks include all A-share firms
listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges between 2007 and 2015. We exclude
financial and insurance firms as those firms have different accounting criteria. We further drop ST,
*ST and PT firms because those firms underperformed and are highly regulated by the
government.14 We also drop firms that have shareholders’ equity loss in certain years or missing
values in one or more explanatory variables. Our final sample consists of 11,840 firm-year
observations. We collect financial and corporate governance data from the China Stock Market
and Accounting Research Database (CSMAR). The information on R&D expenditures (𝑅&𝐷) is
sourced from the CSMAR and the Center of Research in Security Prices (CRSP). Given there are
many missing values in R&D expenditures in 2007 and 2008, we manually collect those data from
13
In unreported robustness tests, we adopt retained earnings ratio, return on equity, and sales growth rate as alternative
proxies for a firm’s lifecycle, profitability and growth, respectively, and obtain qualitatively similar results.
14
If a firm experiences abnormal financial or operating situations, for example losses in 2 consecutive years, it is
classified as a ST (Special Treatment) firm by the CSRC. *ST firms denote those firms warned about the risk of being
delisted due to their worsening situations, say experiencing losses over 3 consecutive years. Firms undergoing even
worse situations are classified as PT (Particular Transfer) firms by the CSRC, and they have been delisted and only
particular transfers of their stocks are permitted.
13
the information disclosure website designated by the CSRC (http://www.cninfo.com.cn/cninfo-
new/index). All the continuous variables are winsorized at 1% and 99% to reduce the impact of
extreme values.
4. Empirical Results
Panel A of Table II reports summary statistics of the main variables in the whole sample.
The average dividend payout ratio is 23.8%, which is higher than the median payout ratio. It
indicates that some firms pay very high dividends in certain periods, pushing up the average payout
ratio. A similar pattern can be found in dividend per share (DPS). The mean and median DPS is
¥0.103 and ¥0.05, respectively. The average R&D investments in our sample constitute 0.739%
of total assets and the median value is zero, suggesting that less than 50% of the firms have R&D
investments. The mean and median of cash holdings (𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ) is 0.199 and 0.151, respectively. 𝑇𝑆𝐴
proxies for financial constraints and its mean and median values are 0.5595 and 0.5724,
respectively. Summary statistics of other firm characteristics are similar to those documented in
prior studies (Huang et al., 2011; Bradford et al., 2013). The average firm size (𝑆𝑖𝑧𝑒) is 21.84,
equivalent to book value of total assets of ¥3.055billions. The mean value of leverage ratio (𝐿𝑒𝑣),
return on assets (𝑅𝑂𝐴), Tobin’s Q (𝑇𝑜𝑏𝑖𝑛’𝑠 𝑄), free cash flow (𝐹𝐶𝐹), firm age (𝑎𝑔𝑒), capital
expenditures (𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑒𝑥), working capital (𝑊𝑜𝑟𝑘𝑐𝑎𝑝) and firm risk (𝐵𝑒𝑡𝑎) is 45.44%, 6.44%, 2.345,
¥0.347 per share, 13.952 years, 5.83%, 32.8%, and 1.009, respectively. The average proportion of
number of shares held by the controlling shareholders is 36.1%. On average, Chinese publicly
listed firms’ board size is 10.475 while the percentage of independent directors on the board is
33.7%. For around 21.5% of firm-year observations, CEO and chairman are in fact the same person.
14
To examine the effect of R&D investments on dividend payout, we first compare the
characteristics of subsamples with and without R&D expenditures. Panel B of Table II reports:
firstly, the average statistics of the main variables for the two subsamples; and secondly, the
difference between them. The average payout ratio and dividend per share of R&D firms are higher
than those of non-R&D firms, and the differences between the two subsamples are statistically
significant at the 1% level (t-values are 11.435 and 8.386, respectively). This simple test indicates
that R&D firms have higher dividend payout ratio compared to non-R&D firms, which is consistent
with our first hypothesis. The average cash holdings (𝑇𝑆𝐴) for R&D firms is 0.228 (0.5534) while
that for non-R&D firms is 0.173 (0.5635); the difference is statistically significant at the 1% level.
It shows that firms with R&D investments tend to hold more cash and are less financially
constrained compared to non-R&D firms. This evidence aligns with prior studies arguing that cash
holdings and financial constraints play important roles in influencing firms’ investment and
dividend decisions (Bates et al., 2009; Chay and Suh, 2009; Brown et al., 2012; Hoberg et al.,
2014). Furthermore this panel shows that on average, R&D firms have a lower leverage ratio, more
growth opportunities, less free cash flow, more capital expenditures, lower controlling shareholder
ownership, larger board size, and less board independence. Added to these features, such firms are
Panel C of Table II illustrates the evolution of dividend policy in the subsamples with
varying 𝑅&𝐷. In particular, we sort observations into subsamples based on R&D investments and
report their average characteristics. As firms’ R&D investments increase, it is more likely for them
to pay dividends, and their average dividend per share and payout ratio also increase. The only
exception is the subsample with 𝑅&𝐷 ranging between 90% and 100% percentiles, i.e. the P100
subsample. Although their propensity to pay dividends is the highest, their average 𝐷𝑃𝑆 and
𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡 is slightly lower than those of the P90 subsample. Overall, firms with more R&D
15
investments have higher propensity of dividends payments and higher payout ratio, consistent with
4.2 Effect of R&D Investments on Dividend Payout and the Roles of Cash Holdings and Financial
Constraints
To rigorously test our first hypothesis and control for the effects of other firm characteristics,
we adopt regression specification (1) and report the results of estimating the Tobit model based on
the whole sample in column (1) of Table III. The regression coefficient of R&D is 0.973,
payments in Chinese publicly listed firms, i.e. firms with more R&D investments pay more
dividends. It is consistent with our first hypothesis that under the SMDP there are strategic
incentives for R&D firms to pay dividends in order to meet the prerequisite of external equity
financing. The impact of R&D investments is also economically significant. For instance, a one-
standard-deviation rise in 𝑅&𝐷 increases the dividend payout ratio by 130.38 basis points.15 The
effects of control variables are largely consistent with prior studies (Brockman and Unlu, 2009;
Huang et al., 2011). In particular, firms tend to pay more dividends if they have the following
characteristics: larger size, lower leverage, higher profitability, less growth opportunities, more
free cash flows, more controlling shareholder ownership, less board independence, less CEO
To test our second hypothesis, we allow the effect of R&D investments to vary with firms’
cash holdings as specified in (2) and report the regression results of the whole sample in column
15
Because the sample standard deviation of 𝑅&𝐷 is 0.0134 and its regression coefficient is 0.973, we have
0.973 × 0.0134 = 1.3038%.
16
(2) of Table III. The regression coefficient of 𝑅&𝐷 × 𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ is significantly negative at the 1%
level. It indicates that the positive effect of R&D investments on dividend payments is more (less)
pronounced for firms with lower (higher) cash holdings, and this is consistent with our second
hypothesis. Cash reserves provide a less costly source of capital and can be used to smooth R&D
expenditures in response to finance shocks, and therefore firms with higher cash holdings have less
pay-for-financing incentives and consequently R&D investments exert a weaker effect on dividend
payments. In other words, firms with higher (lower) cash holdings are more (less) flexible in their
dividend decisions and less (more) eager to meet the requirements of the SMDP to access the
external capital markets. The regression coefficient of 𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ is significantly positive at the 1%
level, confirming that firms with more cash holdings tend to pay more dividends. To further
examine the role of cash holdings, we sort firm-year observations into two subsamples based on
cash holdings and report their regression results in column (3-4) of Table III, respectively. In the
subsample with low 𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ, the regression coefficient of R&D is 1.833, significantly positive at the
1% level, indicating a strong positive effect of R&D investments on dividend payments. In the
subsample with high 𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ, the regression coefficient of R&D is insignificant, which suggests that
dividend decisions are not affected by R&D investments for firms with high cash holdings.
To test our third hypothesis, we allow the effect of 𝑅&𝐷 to change with firms’ financial
constraints. Column (1) of Table IV reports the results of estimating the Tobit regression model
as specified in (5), where 𝑇𝑆𝐴 proxies for financial constraints. The regression coefficient of
𝑅&𝐷 × 𝑇𝑆𝐴 is significantly negative at the 1% level, suggesting that the positive effect of R&D
investments on dividend payments is more (less) pronounced for firms with less (more) financial
constraints. It is consistent with our third hypothesis. In addition, financially constrained firms
tend to pay less dividends, as evidenced by the regression coefficient of 𝑇𝑆𝐴 being significantly
negative. We further sort observations into two subsamples based on 𝑇𝑆𝐴 and report their
17
regression results in column (2-3), respectively. The positive effect of 𝑅&𝐷 on 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡 is
significantly positive in the subsample with low 𝑇𝑆𝐴 only. Financially constrained firms are less
likely to win approval from the CSRC to access external capital markets due to their poorer
accounting performance, even if they pay dividends and meet the requirements of the SMDP.
Therefore, their pay-for-financing incentives are lower compared to unconstrained firms. Our
results are consistent with those arguments that dividend decisions are less affected by R&D
In our developed hypotheses, we argue there are strategic incentives for R&D firms to fulfill
the requirements of the SMDP in order to access external capital markets. Compared to capital
expenditures, R&D investments are more pertinent to future financing needs. Seasoned equity
offerings (SEOs) represent the source of external equity financing for Chinese publicly listed firms.
Our hypotheses conjecture equity financing needs as the underlying mechanism for R&D
investments to affect dividend payments. Therefore, firms with more R&D investments are
expected to conduct more SEOs in the future. Here we explore this underlying mechanism by
examining the effect of R&D investments on future SEO activities. Column (1) and (3) of Table
V report the results of logistic regression model with 𝑆𝐸𝑂𝑑𝑢𝑚𝑚𝑦 as the dependent variable, which
takes the value of 1 if the firm conducts SEO within the next three years and 0 otherwise. Column
(1) adopts R&D investments ( 𝑅&𝐷 ) as an explanatory variable, while column (3) uses
𝑅&𝐷𝑑𝑢𝑚𝑚𝑦 instead, which equals 1 if 𝑅&𝐷 > 0 and 0 otherwise. The regression coefficient of
𝑅&𝐷 and 𝑅&𝐷𝑑𝑢𝑚𝑚𝑦 is significantly positive at the 5% and 1% level, respectively. It indicates
that firms with more R&D investments are more likely to conduct SEOs in the future. Column (2)
18
and (4) of Table V report the results of ordinary least squares (OLS) model with 𝑆𝐸𝑂𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 as the
dependent variable, measured as the natural logarithm of total SEO amount within the next three
years. The regression coefficients of 𝑅&𝐷 and 𝑅&𝐷𝑑𝑢𝑚𝑚𝑦 are significantly positive, indicating
that firms with more R&D investments engage in more SEOs in the future. Overall, both
propensity and intensity of future SEOs are positively related to R&D investments. It confirms our
conjecture that equity financing needs serve as the underlying mechanism for R&D investments
For firms with R&D investments, internal funds provide a less expensive source of capital
compared to external equity markets. Under the SMDP, they are forced to pay dividends in order
to meet the prerequisite of equity financing. Such semi-mandatory dividend payments represent
extra costs of equity financing and may have adverse impacts on firm value and sustainable growth.
We adopt market-to-book ratio, calculated as market value of total assets scaled by book value of
total assets, as a proxy for firm value. To understand the financial consequences of the SMDP, we
examine the effects of dividend payout and R&D investments on market-to-book ratio and report
the regression results in column (1-3) of Table VI. Prior studies document a positive association
between dividend payments and firm value (Fama and French, 1998). Dividends contribute more
to firm value in countries with weaker investor protection mechanisms (Pinkowitz et al., 2006).
However, the regression coefficient of 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡 is significantly negative at the 1% level in column
(1-3).
Firms making more dividend payments tend to have lower firm value, indicating a value-
diminishing effect of dividend payments under the SMDP. In addition, the regression coefficient
19
of 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡 × 𝑅&𝐷 is significiantly negative at the 1% level, meaning that the negative effect of
dividend payments on firm value is stronger for firms with more R&D investments. Under the
SMDP, firms with external financing needs are forced to pay dividends, and such payments
represent additional costs of accessing external capital markets and adversely impact on firm value.
Firms with greater levels of R&D investments tend to have more external financing needs, and
therefore their dividend policies are more constrained by the SMDP. In column (1-3), the
regression coefficient of 𝑅&𝐷 is significantly positive at the 1% level, consistent with the reported
evidence in literature that R&D expenditures have a positive impact on firm value (Fama and
French, 1998; Booth et al., 2006). However, the negative coefficient of 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡 × 𝑅&𝐷 indicates
a less positive impact of 𝑅&𝐷 for firms with more dividend payments. It implies that the value-
To proxy for firm sustainable growth (Klein and Belt, 1993; Chen et al., 2013), we use
sustainable growth ratio from the CSMAR database, which is calculated as (net profit margin on
sales × total asset turnover × retained earnings) divided by (1− (net profit margin on sales × total
asset turnover × retained earnings)). Column (4-6) of Table VI report the results of the regressions
with sustainable growth ratio as the dependent variable. The regression coefficient of 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡
( 𝑅&𝐷 ) is significantly negative (positive) at the 1% level, while that of 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡 × 𝑅&𝐷 is
significantly negative. Dividend payments are indicated as adversely affecting firms’ sustainable
growth under the SMDP; furthermore such an effect is stronger for firms with more R&D
investments. Although R&D continues to act as a driving force of sustainable growth, its impact
becomes weaker for firms with more dividend payments. Under the SMDP, equity financing is
tied to dividend payments. Firms with more R&D investments tend to have more equity financing
requirements and therefore are more likely to pay dividends in order to access external capital
20
markets. We demonstrate that such semi-mandatory dividend payments have adverse impacts on
Endogeneity is a possible concern in our analysis. On the one hand, firms with certain
patterns of R&D investments may have other unobserved firm-specific characteristics that affect
both R&D investments and dividend payout, which potentially bias our results. On the other hand,
dividend payout could potentially impact on R&D investments, indicating the reverse causality
issue. We use a two-stage least squares (2SLS) approach and a propensity score matching (PSM)
approach to mitigate the potential endogeneity of R&D investments. Following Wahal and
regressions, which is calculated by deducting industry average 𝑅&𝐷 of each year from firm-level
𝑅&𝐷. Column (1-2) of Panels A and B of Table VII report the results of estimating the first and
second stage models. In the first stage model, industry-adjusted 𝑅&𝐷 is shown to be positively
related to 𝑅&𝐷 at the 1% significance level. The second stage model reveals that the effect of 𝑅&𝐷
on 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡 is significantly positive, while the regression coefficients of 𝑅&𝐷 × 𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ and
𝑅&𝐷 × 𝑇𝑆𝐴 are both significantly negative. After controlling for endogeneity issues, the results
The PSM approach is widely used in the literature to address endogeneity issues (Attig et
al., 2015; He et al., 2017). To estimate the propensity score, we adopt a logistic model with
𝑅&𝐷𝑑𝑢𝑚𝑚𝑦 as the dependent variable, which is equal to 1 if the firm has R&D investments and
0 otherwise. To identify factors that significantly influence firms’ R&D investment decisions, we
perform a stepwise regression strategy and find several significant factors, including firm age, cash
21
holdings, industry dummy, 𝑅𝑂𝐴 and controlling shareholder ownership. The propensity score is
the probability that a firm has R&D investments predicted by a logistic model with those significant
factors as determinants. Before matching, the treatment (control) group includes observations of
firms with (without) R&D investment. The kernel density functions of the propensity score of the
two groups are plotted in the upper panel of Figure 1, which are quite different from each other.
For each observation with positive 𝑅&𝐷 (in the treatment group), we match it with an
observation with zero 𝑅&𝐷 to make their propensity scores as close as possible to form the control
group. We obtain 9,178 matching observations, including 4,589 observations with positive 𝑅&𝐷
(the treatment group) and 4,589 observations with zero 𝑅&𝐷 (the control group). As shown in the
lower panel of Figure 1, the two kernel density functions become a lot closer after the matching.
Column (3) of Panels A and B of Table VII report regression results estimated based on the
matching observations. The effect of 𝑅&𝐷 on 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡 is significantly positive and consistent with
our first hypothesis. The regression coefficient of 𝑅&𝐷 × 𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ and 𝑅&𝐷 × 𝑇𝑆𝐴 are both
significantly negative, indicating that the positive effect of R&D investments on dividend payout
is stronger for firms with lower cash holdings and less financial constraints, as predicted by our
5. Concluding Remarks
This paper examines the effect of R&D investments on firms’ dividend policies in China
relationship widely documented in the literature, we show that firms with more R&D investments
tend to pay more dividends in China and this effect is more pronounced for firms with lower cash
holdings and less financial constraints. Unlike capital expenditures, R&D investments are long-
22
term projects and largely financed by external capital markets. Firms with more R&D investments
tend to have more future equity financing needs, and therefore under the semi-mandatory dividend
policy there are strategic incentives for them to pay dividends in order to meet the prerequisite of
The SMDP promotes dividend payments by linking them to equity financing. It creates
extra costs of equity financing since dividend payments are mandatory for accessing external
capital markets. The SMDP aims to protect investors’ rights but we demonstrate that such semi-
mandatory dividend payments have adverse impacts on firm value and sustainable growth. These
effects are stronger for firms with more R&D investments. The CSRC uses a merit-based system
to regulate share issuance of listed firms, which means that in practice financially constrained firms
are less affected by the SMDP. Nonetheless, R&D firms are more disadvantaged by the SMDP
compared to non-R&D firms due to their greater need for equity financing. Given that investments
in R&D represent a key driver of long-term economic growth, Chinese policy-makers may have to
consider waiving the requirements of SMDP on R&D firms in order to stimulate business
innovation activities.
23
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26
Figure 1. Kernel density function of the treatment and control groups before and after the propensity score
matching. We use logistic regression to model the probability that a firm has R&D investments, where firm age, cash
holdings, industry dummy, ROA and controlling shareholder ownership are adopted as determinants and the predicted
probability is obtained as the propensity score. Before matching, the treatment (control) group includes observations
of firms with (without) R&D investment. The kernel density functions of their propensity scores are plotted
respectively in the upper panel of this figure. We adopt propensity score matching (PSM) to negate observable
differences in firm characteristics between R&D firms and non-R&D firms. For each observation in the treatment
group, we match it with one observation of non-R&D firms to ensure their propensity scores are as close as possible
to form the control group. The plots in the lower panel of this figure illustrate the kernel density functions of the
propensity scores of the treatment and matched (control) groups, respectively.
Before Matching
8
6
Density
Treat
4
Control
0
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
Propensity Score
After Matching
8
6
Density
Treat
4
Control
0
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
Propensity Score
27
Table I
Variable Definitions
This table provides definitions of the variables.
Variables Definition
Dependent variable
Dividend payout ratio (𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡) Dividend per share divided by earnings per share.
Independent variables
𝑅&𝐷 R&D expenditures divided by book value of total assets.
Cash holdings (𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ) Cash and cash equivalents divided by net assets, measured at the
beginning of the year.
Transformed SA index (𝑇𝑆𝐴) 𝑆𝐴−𝑚𝑖𝑛(𝑆𝐴)
Transformed SA index, calculated as 𝑇𝑆𝐴 = ,
𝑚𝑎𝑥(𝑆𝐴)−𝑚𝑖𝑛(𝑆𝐴)
where 𝑆𝐴 denotes the size-age (SA) index, a measure of financial
constraints proposed by Hadlock and Pierce (2010) defined as
𝑆𝐴 = 0.043 × 𝑆𝑖𝑧𝑒 2 − 0.737 × 𝑆𝑖𝑧𝑒 − 0.04 × 𝐴𝑔𝑒, and 𝑚𝑎𝑥(𝑆𝐴)
and 𝑚𝑖𝑛(𝑆𝐴) are the maximum and minimum SA index value in
the whole sample, respectively.
Control variables
Firm size (𝑆𝑖𝑧𝑒) Natural logarithm of book value of total assets.
Leverage (𝐿𝑒𝑣) Total debts divided by book value of total assets.
Return on assets (𝑅𝑂𝐴) Ratio of earnings before interest and income tax to book value of
total assets.
Firm growth prospect (𝑇𝑜𝑏𝑖𝑛’𝑠 𝑄) Market value of equity plus book value of total liabilities then
divided by book value of total assets.
Free cash flow (𝐹𝐶𝐹) Total operating revenue-income tax expenses + depreciation &
amortization - changes in working capital - capital expenditure and
then divided by number of total outstanding shares.
Firm age (𝐴𝑔𝑒) Natural logarithm of “1 + 𝑎𝑔𝑒”, where 𝑎𝑔𝑒 is the number of years
since IPO.
Capital expenditures (𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑒𝑥) Capital expenditures divided by book value of total assets.
Working capital (𝑊𝑜𝑟𝑘𝑐𝑎𝑝) Working capital divided by book value of total assets.
Firm risk (𝐵𝑒𝑡𝑎) Firm stock’s beta coefficient, which is obtained by regressing
monthly excess stock return on excess market return over 3 years.
Controlling shareholder ownership Number of shares held by controlling shareholders divided by total
(𝑆ℎ1) number of outstanding shares.
Board size (𝐵𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒) Natural logarithm of total number of board of directors.
Board independence (𝐵𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑝) Number of independent directors divided by total number of board
of directors.
CEO duality (𝐷𝑢𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦) Dummy variable, which equals one if the CEO and chairman are the
same person and zero otherwise.
28
Table II
Descriptive Statistics
Panel A of this table presents the full sample summary statistics of the main variables, consisting of 11,840 firm-year
observations, while the average statistics for the subsamples of R&D and non-R&D firms and the difference between
the two subsamples are reported in Panel B. The variables are defined in Table I and dividend per share (DPS) is the
amount of cash dividends that a company’s shareholders receive on a per-share basis. In Panel C, we sort observations
into subsamples based on R&D investments and report their average characteristics of dividend policy. Propensity to
pay dividends is calculated as the percentage of observations with positive dividend payout ratio. For each subsample,
average R&D investments, propensity to pay dividends, average DPS, and average payout ratio are reported. Symbols
***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
29
Table II-Continued
Panel C: Statistics for dividend payout of subsamples sorted based on R&D percentiles
P65 P70 P80 P90 P100
Percentile of 𝑅&𝐷 (0%-65%) (65%-70%) (70%-80%) (80%-90%) (90%-100%)
Average 𝑅&𝐷 0.0028 0.0065 0.0148 0.0253 0.0677
Propensity to pay dividends 59.26% 62.16% 73.01% 80.55% 83.28%
Average 𝐷𝑃𝑆 0.0832 0.0880 0.1027 0.1298 0.1229
Average 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡 0.2086 0.2271 0.2625 0.2860 0.2599
30
Table III
Effect of R&D Investments on Dividend Payout and the Role of Cash Holdings
This table reports the results of estimating Tobit regression models with dividend payout ratio as the dependent
variable. Variable definition is provided in Table I. Column (1-2) report the regression results based on the whole
sample. Using the sample average of cash holdings as the cutoff, we further consider two subsamples, one with cash
holdings lower than the average value and the other with higher cash holdings. Column (3-4) report the regression
results of the two subsamples, respectively. Heteroscedasticity-robust White (1980) t-statistics are shown in
parentheses. Symbols ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
31
Table IV
Effect of R&D Investments on Dividend Payout and the Role of Financial Constraints
This table reports the results of estimating Tobit regression models with dividend payout ratio as the dependent
variable. Variable definition is provided in Table I. TSA denotes the transformed SA index, which proxies for
financial constraints. Column 1 reports the regression results based on the whole sample. Using the sample average
TSA as the cutoff, we further consider two subsamples, one with TSA lower than the average value and the other with
higher TSA. Column (2-3) report the regression results of the two subsamples, respectively. Heteroscedasticity-
robust White (1980) t-statistics are shown in parentheses. Symbols ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%,
and 10% levels, respectively.
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Table V
Effect of R&D Investments on Future Equity Financing
This table reports the regression results with propensity or intensity of future equity financing as the dependent variable.
𝑆𝐸𝑂𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 denotes the natural logarithm of total SEO amount within the next three years, which measures the intensity
of future equity financing. 𝑆𝐸𝑂𝑑𝑢𝑚𝑚𝑦 takes the value of 1 if the firm engages in SEO within the next three years
and 0 otherwise, which measures the propensity of future equity financing. 𝑅&𝐷𝑑𝑢𝑚𝑚𝑦 takes the value of 1 if the
firm has R&D investments and 0 otherwise. Other variables are defined in Table I. Column (1) and (3) and column
(2) and (4) report the results of logistic regression and OLS regression, respectively. Heteroscedasticity-robust White
(1980) t-statistics or z-statistics are shown in parentheses. Symbols ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%,
and 10% levels, respectively.
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Table VI
Effect of R&D Investments and Dividend Payout on Firm Value and Sustainable Growth
This table reports the regression results with market-to-book ratio or sustainable growth ratio as the dependent variable.
Market-to-book ratio is calculated as market value of total assets scaled by book value of total assets, proxies for firm
value. Sustainable growth ratio is sourced from the CSMAR database, defined as (net profit margin on sales × total
asset turnover × retained earnings) divided by (1− (net profit margin on sales × total asset turnover × retained
earnings)), which proxies for firm financial sustainable growth ability. Sales growth (𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠𝑔𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑡ℎ) is adopted as a
proxy for firm growth and included as a control variable. Dividend payout ratio (𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡), R&D investments (𝑅&𝐷)
and other variables are defined in Table I. Heteroscedasticity-robust White (1980) t-statistics are shown in parentheses.
Symbols ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
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Table VII
Endogeneity Tests: Two-Stage Least Squares Regression and Propensity Score Matching
This table presents the endogeneity test results. Variables are defined in Table I. In column (1) and (2), we perform
two-stage-least squares (2SLS) regression. Industry-adjusted 𝑅&𝐷 is used as an instrumental variable for R&D
investment, which is the difference between 𝑅&𝐷 and the industry average 𝑅&𝐷 for that year. Column 1 reports the
results of the 1st stage OLS regression and column 2 reports the 2nd stage Tobit estimation results. In column (3), we
use propensity score matching (PSM) to match each observation with positive 𝑅&𝐷 (in treatment group) with an
observation with zero 𝑅&𝐷 to make their propensity scores as close as possible. The propensity score is the
probability that a firm has R&D investments predicted by a logistic regression with firm age, cash holdings, industry
dummy, 𝑅𝑂𝐴 and controlling shareholder ownership as determinants. We obtain 9,178 matching observations,
including 4,589 observations with positive 𝑅&𝐷 and 4,589 observations with zero 𝑅&𝐷 and report their regression
results in column (3). Heteroscedasticity-robust White (1980) t-statistics are shown in parentheses. Symbols ***, **
and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
Panel A:Effect of R&D investments on dividend payout and the role of cash holdings
(1) (2) (3)
2SLS: 1st stage 2SLS: 2nd stage PSM
Dependent variable 𝑅&𝐷 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡
𝑅&𝐷 0.845*** 0.775***
(2.90) (2.62)
𝑅&𝐷 × 𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ -4.184* -5.093***
(-1.91) (-2.64)
𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ 0.0052*** 0.153*** 0.142***
(5.44) (4.70) (3.67)
Industry-adjusted 𝑅&𝐷 0.689***
(19.12)
𝑆𝑖𝑧𝑒 0.00016 0.0628*** 0.0653***
(1.63) (16.95) (14.44)
𝐿𝑒𝑣 -0.0020*** -0.553*** -0.565***
(-3.96) (-24.42) (-21.24)
𝑅𝑂𝐴 0.0086*** 1.15*** 1.25***
(5.17) (17.89) (17.05)
𝑇𝑜𝑏𝑖𝑛’𝑠 𝑄 0.0004*** -0.0419*** -0.0390***
(5.46) (-14.84) (-12.32)
𝐹𝐶𝐹 -0.00006 0.0184*** 0.0201***
(-0.54) (4.49) (3.91)
𝐴𝑔𝑒 -0.00486*** -0.136*** -0.141***
(-13.07) (-12.34) (-11.10)
𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑒𝑥 0.00209 0.0326 0.0263
(1.08) (0.45) (0.30)
𝑊𝑜𝑟𝑘𝑐𝑎𝑝 -0.00037 -0.00375 -0.0132*
(-1.08) (-0.56) (-1.92)
𝐵𝑒𝑡𝑎 0.00054* -0.0738*** -0.0627***
(1.74) (-5.68) (-4.19)
𝑆ℎ1 -0.109* 0.120*** 0.142***
(-1.75) (5.16) (5.06)
𝐵𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 0.00064 0.0224 0.0389*
(1.37) (1.30) (1.90)
𝐵𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑝 -0.00062 -0.252*** -0.247***
(-0.35) (-3.70) (-3.10)
𝐷𝑢𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦 0.00024 -0.0178* -0.0189*
(0.84) (-1.88) (-1.80)
Constant 0.0126*** -0.455*** -0.535***
(4.51) (-4.39) (-4.20)
35
Table VII-Continued
36