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Periode Moving Average Exponential Smoothing 3 bulan 5 bulan α=0,3 α=0,5 Error (Dt-Ft) (Dt-Ft) Deman original
Periode Moving Average Exponential Smoothing 3 bulan 5 bulan α=0,3 α=0,5 Error (Dt-Ft) (Dt-Ft) Deman original
Periode
original 3 bulan 5 bulan α=0,3 α=0,5 Error (Dt-Ft) [ Dt-Ft ]
1 35 0.00 0.00
2 38 35 35 3.00 3.00
3 40 35.9 36.5 3.80 3.80
4 36 37.67 37.13 38.25 -1.69 1.69
5 42 38.00 36.791 37.125 5.04 5.04
6 45 39.33 38.2 38.3537 39.5625 6.04 6.04
7 40 41.00 40.2 40.34759 42.28125 -1.31 1.31
8 45 42.33 40.6 40.24331 41.140625 4.31 4.31
9 46 43.33 41.6 41.67032 43.070313 3.63 3.63
10 48 43.67 43.6 42.96922 44.535156 4.25 4.25
11 52 46.33 44.8 44.47846 46.267578 6.63 6.63
12 53 48.67 46.2 46.73492 49.133789 5.07 5.07
Total 520 380.33 295.2 439.6185 452.86621 38.76 44.76
n = 11
MAD = 44,76 / 11 = 4.06909