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THINK WRITE
50
c 1 Find the long-term term behaviour c Consider M = 0.6 0.5
50
= 0.5556 .
0.4444
4 Answer the question. So, the long-term probability of rain is
0.5556 and dry is 0.4444.
Eigenvalues
For a matrix, A, if there is a column matrix (vector), X, such that:
AX = lX [1]
then X is called an eigenvector of A and l is called an eigenvalue of the matrix, A.
Eigenvectors of a matrix, A, are important because they represent objects that are in a
sense unchanged by a transformation represented by the matrix, A. In physics, economics
and biology, eigenvectors are important features in mathematical modelling.
In the previous section on Markov chains, the values for steady state were to be
WORKED Example 10
If A = 1 6 , find:
2 2
a eigenvalues associated with the matrix b eigenvectors associated with the matrix.
THINK WRITE
a 1 To find the eigenvalues, l, use the a Consider the equation det(A - lI) = 0.
determinant equation, det (A - lI) = 0.
A - lI = 1 – l 6
2 2–l
THINK WRITE
a
6 As you cannot find a and b X is any vector of the form 2a .
explicitly, state the relationship ------
3
between them.
7 Repeat this procedure for l = -2. 1 6 a = -2 a
Again, substitute for A and X. 2 2 b b
8 Consider the first row of the product a + 6b = -2a
only. 6b = -3a
– 3a
b = ---------
6
a
= - ---
2
a
9 State the eigenvectors for l = -2. X is any vector of the form a .
– ---
2
10 Answer the question. The eigenvectors for the given matrix are any
a a
vectors of the form 2a or a .
------ – ---
3 2
remember
1. A transition matrix, M, is used to calculate the likelihood of certain states given
the states at a previous stage.
2. The sequence of states, Si, is called a Markov chain.
3. The values of M are arranged as follows:
From
A B
A
To
B
4. If a system can be in one of r states, the r ¥ 1 column matrix (or vector) p gives
the likelihood of each of the states.
5. If a system is initially in a state p after n stages the system is in a state given by
M np.
6. The sum of columns in a transition matrix is 1.
7. The sum of probabilities in the state matrix is 1.
8. The long-term behaviour of the system can be found by considering M 50p, first
checking that M 51 is the same as M 50.
9. For a matrix, A, if there is a column matrix (vector), X, such that:
AX = lX
then X is called an eigenvector of A and l is called an eigenvalue of the matrix, A.
Chapter 2 Matrices and applications 65
Markov chains and
2B eigenvalues
0.3 0.2 0.50
WORKED 1 The transition matrix for a system is 0.3 0.2 0.25 .
Example
8 0.4 x 0.25
a Calculate the value of x.
0.2
b If the current state of the system is 0.2 , calculate the state of the system at each
0.6
of the following stages:
i 1 stage later ii 2 stages later iii 3 stages later iv 4 stages later.
1
c If the current state of the system is 0 , calculate the state of the system for each
0
of the following stages:
i 1 stage later ii 2 stages later iii 3 stages later iv 4 stages later.
0
d If the current state of the system is 1 , calculate the state of the system at each of
0
the following stages:
i 1 stage later ii 2 stages later iii 3 stages later iv 4 stages later.
0.2 0.2 c
2 The transition matrix for a system is 0.3 b 0.25 .
a 0.1 0.20
a Calculate the values of a, b and c.
0.1
b If the current state of the system is 0.2 , calculate the state of the system after
0.7
each of the following stages:
i 1 stage later ii 2 stages later iii 3 stages later iv 4 stages later.
1
c If the current state of the system is 0 , calculate the state of the system for each
0
of the following stages:
i 1 stage later ii 2 stages later iii 3 stages later iv 4 stages later.